Thanks to a strong January employment report, the greenback $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ made an impressive comeback from the weakness since Q4 2022. Someone might expect the strength could persist and even test 2022’s high, but I regard this as a rebound and the dollar will likely trade in a range between 100 to 108 (Dollar Index basis) in 1H 2023. EUR vs 2-year yield differential between US and GermanyFirst of all, the strength of greenback last year mainly came from an aggressive rate hike by Federal Reserve that kept the bond yield evaluated and widened the yield differential. As the chart shown, the yield differential of 2-year bond between US and Germany kept widening since 2H 2021 and reached the peak at Q