$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$I was guessing its 12/17 ending price as $885, longer term, by 2022 Q1 $770.  Some tigers believe it would go up to $1,600 soon.  Interestingly, an experienced Tiger recommended last week to sell 12/17 put on strike price $850.  From hindsight, he’s proven right. 

There are 2 schools of thoughts.  Some are extremely bullish with target >$1,600 around the corner.  Meanwhile, I’m the pessimistic bearish one.  I agree its business model is on the right direction.  However, looking at the waves generated by Elon Musk selling his shares, the fundamentals and by technical analysis, whichever microscope I deploy to examine, it’s still an extremely over valued stock in my opinion.  Unlike digital services, we are talking about manufacturing and sales of electric vehicles involving traditional raw materials and man-power.  Is it possible to generate profit exponentially within a short period?  I have my reservation. 

I’m tempted to buy ‘put’ but decided to stay by the beach and watch on.   

This is just my personal humble opinion and observation, not to be treated as an investment advice.  

# Technical Analysis

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  • kooko
    ·2021-12-27
    We are optimistic that Tesla will continue to lead in the field of new energy. Selling cars is not the key, but service value-added is the future
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    • Flochin
      Continue to lead in EV sector, I agree. Going to $1600 by next year as wished by lots of traders is a guess which I am not betting on. Anyway I decided to stay by the beach and watch on.
      2021-12-27
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  • blimpy
    ·2021-12-27
    If tesla can't continue to drive to new highs from this position, it may be worth considering short term positions
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    • Flochin
      I am not comfortable with a stock that’s so much influenced by its CEO’s selling action. I’ll just watch on.
      2021-12-27
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  • Heartbeat12
    ·2021-12-27
    I've owned Tesla for three years now, and I think tesla will be the number one stock market value sooner or later
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    • Flochin
      You entered early of the game. That’s great. Wish u make your target set.
      2021-12-27
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  • jinxie
    ·2021-12-27
    To be fair, Tesla's valuation is not cheap, because the stock price reflects a lot of good expectations
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    • Flochin
      Agree.
      2021-12-27
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  • HunterGame
    ·2021-12-27
    I also think Tesla is overvalued, but I'm hesitant to short it
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    • Flochin
      Me too.
      2021-12-27
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  • TomCap
    ·2021-12-27
    You can bet against Tesla's future, but don't bet against it. It's too risky
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    • Flochin
      Thanks for your advice. I agree. That’s why not betting a single cent.
      2021-12-27
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  • snuggix
    ·2021-12-27
    Tesla's stock price is high, but its valuation is low, and sales are still expected to double next year
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  • MarsBloom
    ·2021-12-27
    Tesla is on track to hit an all-time high next month, and Musk is nearing the end of his selling
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  • OutsiderLEO
    ·2021-12-27
    Tesla should not be valued by p/E, but by growth potential
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  • deathdevil
    ·2021-12-27
    like
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