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10-28

Earnings Preview: AMD Isn’t the Next ASML

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is set to release its Q3 earnings report on October 29, a highly anticipated announcement. Last week, $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ’s earnings fell short of expectations, sending its stock down over 10% and dragging down the broader semiconductor sector. With AMD's upcoming report, investors may get answers to pressing questions raised by ASML's earnings disappointment.Different Roles in the Semiconductor SpaceWhile both AMD and ASML are major players in semiconductors, their roles differ. AMD is one of the few companies that can genuinely capture market share from $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ whereas ASML’s struggles likely don’t reflect the broad
Earnings Preview: AMD Isn’t the Next ASML
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10-26

IBM: A Reality Check

$IBM(IBM)$ ’s stock performance surged after its Q3 2024 earnings report, behaving more like a prominent AI software player than a tech giant with substantial legacy businesses, mainly in consulting. However, IBM’s traditional operations are unlikely to benefit significantly from the AI boom. Given another lackluster quarter, IBM might not be worth the bullish outlook.Stagnant Growth Amid AI PushDespite repeated promises of pivoting to growth sectors, IBM hasn’t achieved substantial sales momentum. The latest quarterly report revealed a revenue increase of only 1.5% year-over-year, falling short of expectations. IBM's AI software business shows promise, but with an existing $60 billion revenue base, adding a few billion won’t ignite substantial gro
IBM: A Reality Check
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10-25

IONQ Hits 52-Week High: A Quantum Leap Forward

$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ is making waves in the stock market, recently reaching a 52-week high of $15.71. This impressive milestone reflects growing investor confidence, with the company seeing a notable 36.33% increase over the past year, largely thanks to its advancements in quantum computing technology.Leadership in Quantum ComputingAs a leader in the quantum computing space, IONQ specializes in hardware development and aims to commercialize quantum technology. Since going public via SPAC in 2021, the company has doubled its revenues each year, solidifying its position as a frontrunner in the field.IONQ generates revenue by building quantum computers that tackle problems beyond the reach of classical systems. The company is focused on developing quant
IONQ Hits 52-Week High: A Quantum Leap Forward
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10-25

TSMC Market Cap Hits $1 Trillion: What's Next?

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ has just crossed the $1 trillion market cap mark, marking a significant milestone after reporting impressive growth in Q3. It’s now the ninth company in the world to reach this figure, excluding state-owned enterprises. As the absolute leader in the semiconductor foundry market, TSMC is benefiting immensely from the ongoing surge in AI computing chip spending, with no signs of slowdown in sight.Growth in HPCTSMC stands out as the only company capable of producing ultra-fast computer chips with the smallest transistor sizes. Their 3nm and 5nm chips contributed about half of the company's Q3 revenue, indicating high demand and premium pricing. Due to this demand, TSMC anticipates a 30% revenue growth in 2024.
TSMC Market Cap Hits $1 Trillion: What's Next?
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10-25

AI Revitalizes IBM?

Is AI helping $IBM(IBM)$ get back on its feet? Absolutely! The company is poised for solid organic revenue growth in its software and consulting divisions. Analysts believe IBM will continue to infuse AI capabilities across its business lines, especially in consulting. While the current high-interest rate environment has posed challenges, there's optimism that IT consulting will rebound once the U.S. economy stabilizes.Granite Foundation ModelsIn September 2023, IBM launched its Granite Foundation Models, designed to enhance AI technology for clients. These models are optimized for enterprise software development and can handle between 3 billion and 34 billion parameters across 116 programming languages. For businesses, these ready-made AI models
AI Revitalizes IBM?
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10-23

Arm Hit Harder After Falling Out with QCOM

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ and $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ have fallen out! Recent reports indicate that Arm has revoked Qualcomm's architecture licensing agreement. This means Qualcomm can no longer use Arm’s architecture to design its mobile chips.Qualcomm is a giant in the mobile chip industry, dominating the Android ecosystem, while Arm is the leading provider of chip architecture. Think of architecture like blueprints for a building: Qualcomm is the developer who pays licensing fees to tweak the designs and save on foundational work.For years, Qualcomm and Arm worked together smoothly. However, things changed when Arm was acquired by Japan’s $Softbank Group Corp(SFTBF)$ a
Arm Hit Harder After Falling Out with QCOM
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10-23

OKLO Soared 180%+ in 23 Days, A full Stocks Map on the Electricity Value Chain

Content contributed by @EricFlaningam at X, Author of Generative ValueAmong the many bottlenecks for AI data centers, energy might be the most important and the most difficult to address. IF estimates of data center energy consumption turn out to be true (or even in the vicinity of truth), our current energy infrastructure will not be able to support those demands. Unfortunately, there’s no easy way to increase energy capacity quickly. I think it will take many solutions to solve this problem, just a few of them are: - Off-Grid Power Generation - Nuclear - Long-Duration Energy Storage (Batteries) - Building Where the Power’s At - Grid Optimization Tech I shared some thoughts on this areaNuclear Recently, we’ve seen big tech seemingly go all in on supporting nuclear. Just a few examples of
OKLO Soared 180%+ in 23 Days, A full Stocks Map on the Electricity Value Chain
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10-22

Navigating the Low Points: ASML Poised for Takeoff

Recently, $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ investors faced disappointing news. The chip manufacturing giant reported third-quarter results that fell short of expectations and lowered its sales forecast for 2025. Following the announcement, the stock plummeted 16% on the first day and another 6% the next.This shockwave was so intense that it dragged the entire chip industry down, putting pressure even on leaders like $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ . As a frontrunner in the semiconductor sector, ASML has seen some slowdown in demand for its lithography machines, and investors interpreted this as a sign of trouble across the board.A Buying Opportunity?However, with the historical volatility in order bookings, savvy investors mi
Navigating the Low Points: ASML Poised for Takeoff
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10-22

Semi Focus Returns to Wall Street Again!

Last week, the semiconductor industry experienced a wild ride as two giants in the field released vastly different earnings reports and forecasts, creating sharp divides within the sector. In the coming weeks, U.S. semiconductor stocks will remain in the spotlight for investors. As critical components in numerous products, the performance of chip manufacturers and related equipment companies is key to understanding economic conditions, making them a barometer for the broader market on Wall Street.AI-Driven MomentumThis year, the semiconductor industry has been heavily highlighted due to AI boom, which has been a core factor driving the stock market to new highs. Notable gains have been seen particularly in $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ .
Semi Focus Returns to Wall Street Again!
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10-21

When Will the Semi Bull Market End?

Since October 2022, the semiconductor market has been on a bull run. Taking the $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ as an example, it has surged by an impressive 149%, significantly outpacing the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ 's 83% gain during the same period.This bull market has lasted for two years, making many investors quite profitable. In the spirit of being proactive, let's discuss when this big bull market might end and when investors should sell to maximize their returns.Assessing the FundamentalsFrom a value investing perspective, the stock market acts as a barometer for the economy, and the fundamentals drive stock prices. After two years of growth in the semiconductor sector, are the fundamentals still s
When Will the Semi Bull Market End?
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10-20

Is NVIDIA Pricey? Wall Street: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ 's stock has surged nearly 180% this year, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of over 40 times. This has sparked intense debate on Wall Street about whether it's "too expensive." Among the top seven U.S. tech giants, NVIDIA has outperformed, leaving $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ behind by more than 116%.Recently, analysts like Vivek Arya and Duksan Jang from Bank of America described buying NVIDIA as a "once-in-a-generation opportunity." They believe the stock’s valuation remains attractive, with a price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.6x, far below the 1.9x average of the other "Mag 7" companies.Goldman Sachs also chimed in, stating that NVIDIA’s pricing is reasonabl
Is NVIDIA Pricey? Wall Street: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!
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10-19

Can TSMC Maintain a $1 Trillion Valuation?

As $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ eyes a market cap of over $1 trillion, several factors—both internal and external—will influence its future performance.1. External Factors: Competition, Geopolitics, and Economic EnvironmentTSMC is directly tied to the semiconductor industry's health, which is cyclical and subject to significant demand and price fluctuations. While the recovery of the global semiconductor market and growing demand for high-performance computing, smartphones, and AI devices present opportunities, a downturn could negatively impact TSMC's results.Intense competition from firms like $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ and $Intel(INTC)$
Can TSMC Maintain a $1 Trillion Valuation?
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10-18

Intel: Inventory Doesn’t Lie

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ has expressed interest in acquiring $Intel(INTC)$ , which could become one of the largest and most influential deals in recent years. But as always, there’s a chance this deal might not go through. So, potential investors need to consider whether Intel is still worth holding as a standalone company.Based on its latest inventory data, things aren’t looking great. Inventory levels often signal where we are in the business cycle. For cyclical companies, rising inventory can be a warning sign that they’re producing too much despite weakening demand. On the flip side, shrinking inventory signals strong demand.图片Intel's balance sheet shows a troubling trend. Back in December 2014, the company h
Intel: Inventory Doesn’t Lie
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10-17

TSMC Earnings Digest | AI Fuels Record-Breaking Results

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ just released its third-quarter earnings, and the results are staggering!Revenue and Profit - Revenue hit $23.5 billion, up 36% year-over-year, surpassing the upper end of management's guidance of $23.2 billion.- Gross margin soared to 57.8%, well above the guidance of 55.5%.- Net profit reached a historic $10.06 billion, a huge 50.9% increase, far exceeding analysts' expectations, with a net margin of 42.8%.Unsurprisingly, after this blowout report, TSMC’s stock surged nearly 7% in after-hours trading, breaking the $200 mark.The driving force? AI. In Q3, high-performance computing (HPC) contributed 51% of revenue, growing 11% quarter-over-quarter. Smartphones made up 34% of revenue, increasing 16%. IoT and
TSMC Earnings Digest | AI Fuels Record-Breaking Results
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10-17

Earnings Preview丨Strong AI Demand Bolsters TSMC

The demand for chip manufacturing remains robust, as evidenced by $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ 's early Q3 net sales data. The company is seeing strong demand from major AI market customers, primarily $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ and $Apple(AAPL)$ , which led to an acceleration in TSMC’s September net sales.Positive Signs for Q3 EarningsThe early net sales release bodes well for TSMC's Q3 earnings report. With a favorable entry point for investors and a solid valuation multiple, TSMC could be a long-term success story for investors. TSMC is benefiting from the surge in 5nm chip demand and the growing needs in high-performance computing (HPC). NVIDIA has been a
Earnings Preview丨Strong AI Demand Bolsters TSMC
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10-16

Nvidia Stock Nears All-Time Highs!

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ stock is on the rise again, closing in on its all-time high. The company has eased market concerns about product delays and long-term growth, boosting investor sentiment. This month alone, Nvidia shares are up 13%, potentially setting up for a record closing price for the first time since June. It's currently the second-best performer in the $.SPX(.SPX)$ for 2024.The recent rebound is driven by CEO Jensen Huang's positive updates. After previous delays, Nvidia's new Blackwell chips are now in full production. Huang boldly stated that demand is at a "crazy" level, and Morgan Stanley analysts reported that Blackwell's orders are filled for the next 12 months.AI Demand Fuels Nvidia's Surg
Nvidia Stock Nears All-Time Highs!
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10-16

Earnings Digest | ASML Crashes! What’s Next for Semi Industry?

Last night, $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ suffered a severe blow, with its stock plunging 16%, marking its biggest one-day drop in 26 years. In a time when companies like $Broadcom(AVGO)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ are hitting all-time highs, how did the dominant lithography machine maker like ASML come crashing down?1.Earnings ShockThis downturn is tied to ASML’s unexpected Q3 earnings report. The company reported new orders of just €2.63 billion, far below analysts’ expectations of €5.39 billion. They also lowered their 2025 revenue guidance from €30 billion-€40 billion to €30 billion - €35 billion and adjusted gross margin expectations down from 54
Earnings Digest | ASML Crashes! What’s Next for Semi Industry?
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10-15

AI Chip Demand Boosts TSMC & Nvidia Stocks

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ is set to hold its Q3 2024 earnings call this Thursday, and the market is optimistic. The primary reason? The robust demand for advanced processes. Major tech companies like $Apple(AAPL)$ $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ have already booked TSMC's 3nm capacity, with orders extending into 2025. On Monday, TSMC's stock hit an intraday all-time high of $194.25, closing at $192.21.3nm Capacity Demand to Skyrocket by 2025The demand for TSMC’s 3nm process is expected to surge in 2025, thanks to the strong demand
AI Chip Demand Boosts TSMC & Nvidia Stocks
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10-14

TSMC will continue to rise in the AI boom

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ just reported impressive sales figures and is set to release its Q3 earnings this week. As a leading player in chip manufacturing, TSMC remains one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom, thanks to growth from NVIDIA and other companies.Earnings and ForecastWhile we await TSMC's earnings, cash flow, and outlook for Q4, Wall Street analysts project Q3 earnings per share (EPS) to be around $1.79. This would represent a 39% increase year-over-year, with revenue also expected to rise by 30%. Analysts anticipate that earnings and revenue growth will align, indicating stable profit margins.On one hand, TSMC’s growth in revenue and production could lead to increased operating leverage and corresponding profit
TSMC will continue to rise in the AI boom
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10-14

Morgan Stanley: NVDA Could Reach New Heights!

Analysts from $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ are feeling optimistic about $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ 's stock after talks with the company's executives. They believe that as demand for GPU chips continues to rise, NVIDIA's market value is likely to keep climbing.During a three-day conference in New York, Morgan Stanley's analysts met with CEO Jensen Huang, CFO Colette Kress, and other members of the management team. Post-meeting, they noted a sustained growth in market demand, suggesting that NVIDIA's stock could even surpass its previous all-time high.Analyst Joseph Moore highlighted that the management’s optimistic outlook indicates we are still in the early stages of an AI investment cycle. He reiterated his "overweight"
Morgan Stanley: NVDA Could Reach New Heights!

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