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Plan R
01-29
Let’s huat !
@koolgal
2025
Plan R
2024-10-03
Typo in first part $224 price target reflected as $22
Amazon AWS Has Enough Growth To Offset Consumer Headwinds
Plan R
2024-09-18
Time to buy more value stocks ✌🏻
Plan R
2024-07-30
MSTR 🫶🏻
Plan R
2024-07-29
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Find out more here:
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Plan R
2024-07-25
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Find out more here:
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Plan R
2024-07-12
DCA time when it dips
Plan R
2024-07-07
Yes, training to take some profits now and then
Plan R
2024-07-04
Back to 400 club
Plan R
2024-06-28
Many tigers 🫢
Plan R
2024-06-28
Happy Friday and huat ah last trading day
Plan R
2024-06-28
Nice anniversary event to reward users[Smile]
@TigerEvents:[10th Anniv] Discover exciting features & win a US$1,010 reward!
Plan R
2024-05-21
Mcd
Plan R
2024-03-31
Happy Easter
Plan R
2024-02-29
Fly to the Moon! Exciting March awaits
Plan R
2024-02-27
Yes definitely break all time high
Plan R
2024-02-23
I love Singqpore
Plan R
2024-01-14
[Cool] [Cool] [Cool] [Cool] [Cool]
Plan R
2024-01-12
[Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile]
Plan R
2024-01-11
[Cool] [Cool] [Cool] [Cool] [Cool]
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R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let’s huat !<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\"> @koolgal </a>2025","listText":"Let’s huat !<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\"> @koolgal </a>2025","text":"Let’s huat ! @koolgal 2025","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/743ee7d74b1bf86a0e2ca53cf3d45217"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/397789247197664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356129514233928,"gmtCreate":1727955251642,"gmtModify":1727955257509,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Typo in first part $224 price target reflected as $22","listText":"Typo in first part $224 price target reflected as $22","text":"Typo in first part $224 price target reflected as $22","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/356129514233928","repostId":"2472686086","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2472686086","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1727948612,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2472686086?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2024-10-03 17:43","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Amazon AWS Has Enough Growth To Offset Consumer Headwinds","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2472686086","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Amazon.com, Inc.'s AWS continues to dominate cloud infrastructure, driven by enterprise migration to the cloud for cost and performance benefits, especially for AI applications.Amazon's capital invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Amazon.com, Inc.'s AWS continues to dominate cloud infrastructure, driven by enterprise migration to the cloud for cost and performance benefits, especially for AI applications.</p></li><li><p>Amazon's capital investments in AWS and custom silicon chips are expected to support strong revenue growth and improved margins through scaled operations.</p></li><li><p>AMZN's strategic focus on high-quality, customizable cloud services and expanding data center capacity as customer demand presently outstrips supply.</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com, Inc.</a> continues to dominate the cloud infrastructure market as enterprises migrate more workloads from on-prem to the cloud to capitalize on costs and GPU availability. As more enterprises seek to leverage GenAI and other AI applications in the workplace, I have reason to believe more data and applications will make the move. This is to realize lower latency and improved performance no matter the geographical region. Aside from Amazon’s accelerated growth in AWS, the hyperscaler may face headwinds as consumer confidence diminishes paired with more cost-conscious spending as it relates to budgetary constraints. Given that demand for compute capacity outstrips GPU & CPU availability, I believe Amazon’s capital outlay will support quality revenue growth with scaled operations. I recommend AMZN shares with a BUY rating with a price target of $22/share at 18.57x eFY25 EV/EBITDA, providing investors an upside potential of 21% from the current trading range.</p><h3 id=\"id_2366753365\">Amazon Operations</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/73d8099f3c7f60c8838418312f22dcf6\" alt=\"Corporate Reports\" title=\"Corporate Reports\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"84\"/><span>Corporate Reports</span></p><h4 id=\"id_1203293436\">AWS</h4><p>Amazon is increasingly focusing on providing the highest quality and most customizable cloud service for customers through their diverse CPU & GPU offerings. These span Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) MI-series GPUs, Nvidia (NVDA) Hopper GPUs, and Intel (INTC) x86 CPUs while also scaling their custom silicon chips, including Graviton CPUs and Trainium & inferential for training and inferencing AI models. Management doesn’t necessarily see their own custom silicon as a competitor to these world-class chip designers, but rather an additional option for customers to choose from.</p><p>One of the biggest selling points for Amazon’s custom silicon chips is that the processors are designed with a singular purpose: being placed in Amazon’s data centers. This means that Amazon’s engineers were able to optimize the chip design for the needs of AWS servers to realize significant price performance and energy efficiency for AI/ML workloads when compared to competing chip designs. For example, Graviton4 is suggested to outperform the best x86 processors by 40-50% at a price that is 20% lower than the competition.</p><p>Trainium2 is expected to be released at the end of CY24. According to the preannouncement press release, Trainium2 is designed to be up to 2x more energy efficient and deliver up to 4x the training speed as its predecessor and will be capable of being deployed in EC2 UltraClusters of up to 100,000 chips.</p><p>Inferentia2 also offered customers a significant step-up from Inferentia1 in which it provides 50% better energy efficiency, up to 4x higher throughput, and up to 10x lower latency.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3dbc251d462682d5af10347a47b9c07c\" alt=\"Amazon\" title=\"Amazon\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"182\"/><span>Amazon</span></p><p>It is clear that Amazon’s provision of custom silicon to customers comes with a number of performance and pricing benefits. In addition to these, Trainium2 and Inferenium2 may provide some easement to the tight supply chain, given the historical constraints for sourcing Nvidia’s H100 GPUs. Though the supply chain has loosened up, making the GPUs more readily available and having the additional price-performance competitive option available may manage down costs for enterprises.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4fde5f30821bb08f7ba645f7dfb58402\" alt=\"Statista\" title=\"Statista\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"294\"/><span>Statista</span></p><p>Mr. Jassy, CEO of Amazon, voiced similar capacity headwinds as Mr. Nadella of Microsoft (MSFT) in Amazon’s q2 ’24 earnings call in which demand has outstripped compute capacity. Accordingly, Amazon has 108 availability zones, which management noted are equivalent to a data center, serving 34 geographic regions. The hyperscaler is planning to launch 18 additional availability zones across 6 AWS regions, including Mexico, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, Taiwan, and the AWS European Sovereign Cloud.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7a3eba2784da4bc765327fe142b873fc\" alt=\"Amazon\" title=\"Amazon\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"274\"/><span>Amazon</span></p><p>In terms of growing capacity, Amazon invested $17.62b in Q2 ’24, which was primarily allocated to AWS-related infrastructure to serve the strong demand for both GenAI and non-GenAI workloads. Though management did not provide firm figures for Q3 ’24, they noted that capital investments will grow sequentially with the objective of building out AWS capacity. I’m forecasting capital investments for Q3 ’24 to sum to $20.5b and $75b for all of eFY24 as the firm catches up with customer demand to support cloud-based workloads.</p><p>Management noted one interesting factor relating to the growth story for cloud architecture that may drive growth in the coming years.</p><blockquote><p>About 90% of the global IT spend is still on premises. If you believe that equation is going to flip, which I do, there's a lot of growth ahead of us in AWS.</p><p>Andy Jassy, CEO.</p></blockquote><p>According to Gartner, global IT spend is expected to sum to $5T in 2024.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/520afa5f5620b3bc08ec618099ab0ff8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\"/></p><p>Gartner</p><p>Though I do not anticipate a massive migration from on-prem to the cloud to happen, I suspect at least a portion of workloads will migrate to the cloud as CIOs seek to minimize IT spend. I believe the driving factor will inevitably come down to where the AI-related data and applications are hosted, whether on-prem or in the cloud. Given that the majority of AI applications are hosted in the cloud, I suspect that enterprises may opt to migrate more data into cloud-hosted environments.</p><p>There are significant headwinds out of the tech sector that may impede the growth opportunity for hyperscalers. Power constraints have become one of the greatest challenges in scaling compute, and this challenge may persist through the end of the decade. The <em>Wall Street Journal</em> reported in March 2024 that Amazon acquired a data center powered by an on-site 2.5GW nuclear power plant. I suspect that this trend may persist, as reliable power will be required to light up these massive AI factories. It may potentially lead to hyperscalers to either opt for natural gas-fired power plants or stand their ground for renewables and await commercialization of small modular reactors.</p><p>I expect that hyperscalers will co-invest in power plants with partner utilities to manage onsite power to guarantee the appropriate baseload. Though it is not my intention to bring politics into the mix, I believe that this will alleviate some pressure as hyperscalers may take precedence over residents in the case of a natural disaster. Dedicated power sources will disassociate any challenges faced by local residents and allow for the hyperscalers to operate on a standalone basis.</p><h4 id=\"id_4078708850\">Amazon Prime</h4><p>Amazon’s consumer-facing services will likely be impacted by the current state of the economy. Management’s verbiage aligned with other retailers in which consumers are trading down on price, resulting in lower ASPs for Amazon. Management also mentioned that discretionary items, such as electronics, computers, and TVs have been growing at a faster clip compared to competitors in the retail market; however, growth is noticeably slower when compared to a more robust economy.</p><p>Retail may become a challenge in the coming quarters for Amazon as consumer confidence weakens, and more consumers fear a weakening labor market. Though this may not necessarily impact staples, I believe Amazon may realize more pressure on bigger ticket items as consumers face increasing costs for everyday items, such as food & beverage, electricity, and housing.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/34ccddc9cb864cfb7287d5ba0083fd3d\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"383\"/></p><p>NBER</p><p></p><p>If unit volumes were to face pressure, headwinds may trickle into Amazon’s advertising services with slower growth.</p><p>Despite the potential headwinds at the consumer level, management has been taking steps to control costs with additions to the same-day facility network and the regionalized inbound network. There is also chatter that Amazon may further leverage robotics in the warehouses, which would substantially reduce costs and improve efficiencies. If Amazon were to partner with Tesla (TSLA) in using Optimus, I would only hope that Amazon would use the codename Optimus Prime for the program.</p><h3 id=\"id_237445492\">Amazon Financials</h3><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/92a64c742f3144bec1ad60f569165145\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"186\"/></p><p>Corporate Reports</p><p></p><p>Looking to financials, I’m forecasting Amazon to generate $157b in total revenue for q3 ’24 with AWS and advertising leading the way in terms of year-over-year growth. This will translate to $1.10/share in diluted EPS for the quarter. For all of eFY24, I’m forecasting total revenue to come in at $634b with a diluted EPS of $4.43/share.</p><p>I believe AWS will realize continued growth acceleration for the duration of eFY24 and further acceleration in eFY25 as the firm scales out their CPU & GPU capacity. I’m expecting retail to grow at a slower pace as consumers remain cost-conscious.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/39d08f7a10fc2653c7e5e9aac996417c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"75\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p></p><h3 id=\"id_671916458\">Risks Related To Amazon</h3><h4 id=\"id_465092219\">Bull Case</h4><p>The market for GenAI has accelerated beyond Amazon’s and peer hyperscalers’ capacity, providing a strong runway for supporting capital investments that will turn to high-margin free cash flow. Despite the consumer headwinds Amazon is faced with, advertising will likely remain resilient across brand-sponsored ads on their retail site as well as advertising on their CTV Prime Video platform.</p><h4 id=\"id_2727733537\">Bear Case</h4><p>If the global economy were to continue to slow down, investments for GenAI may slow, resulting in Amazon being caught flatfooted with their large GPU & CPU expansions. Slower consumer demand may lead to lower unit volume sales across retail platforms and may trickle into fewer advertising dollars allocated to Amazon’s platforms.</p><p><strong>Valuation & Shareholder Value</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a54922c7b2104cf3c8b557cda19be267\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"99\"/></p><p>Corporate Reports</p><p></p><p>AMZN shares trade discounted to its peer average of 21.54x TTM EV/EBITDA, providing the shares room for mean reversion in terms of valuation.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49a2d763b44df2a6cd9783a00ed14bf0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"48\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p></p><p>Given the long runway for growth in AWS paired with strength in advertising, Amazon’s growth will likely push through the potential headwinds posed by the challenged consumer. Despite the relatively challenged price action for AMZN shares post-Q2 ’24 earnings, I believe AMZN shares will remain resilient as the firm continues to invest in AWS, leading to strong cash flow generation. Using an internal valuation model based on my eFY25 EBITDA forecast and the ticker’s historical valuation range, I believe shares should be priced at $224/share at 18.57x eFY25 EV/EBITDA, providing investors a potential upside risk of 21% from today’s trading range. I recommend AMZN shares with a BUY rating.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fcebb336246ed8e7f31dac71848464df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"119\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon AWS Has Enough Growth To Offset Consumer Headwinds</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon AWS Has Enough Growth To Offset Consumer Headwinds\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-03 17:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724679-amazon-aws-has-enough-growth-to-offset-consumer-headwinds><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon.com, Inc.'s AWS continues to dominate cloud infrastructure, driven by enterprise migration to the cloud for cost and performance benefits, especially for AI applications.Amazon's capital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724679-amazon-aws-has-enough-growth-to-offset-consumer-headwinds\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","BK4588":"碎股","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1 Acc SGD-H","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","BK4220":"综合零售","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","IE0004086264.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","IE0004091025.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"B\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0048584097.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","LU0096362180.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL FOCUS \"DU\" (USD)","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","AMZN":"亚马逊","LU0011850046.USD":"贝莱德全球长线股票 A2 USD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724679-amazon-aws-has-enough-growth-to-offset-consumer-headwinds","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2472686086","content_text":"Amazon.com, Inc.'s AWS continues to dominate cloud infrastructure, driven by enterprise migration to the cloud for cost and performance benefits, especially for AI applications.Amazon's capital investments in AWS and custom silicon chips are expected to support strong revenue growth and improved margins through scaled operations.AMZN's strategic focus on high-quality, customizable cloud services and expanding data center capacity as customer demand presently outstrips supply.Amazon.com, Inc. continues to dominate the cloud infrastructure market as enterprises migrate more workloads from on-prem to the cloud to capitalize on costs and GPU availability. As more enterprises seek to leverage GenAI and other AI applications in the workplace, I have reason to believe more data and applications will make the move. This is to realize lower latency and improved performance no matter the geographical region. Aside from Amazon’s accelerated growth in AWS, the hyperscaler may face headwinds as consumer confidence diminishes paired with more cost-conscious spending as it relates to budgetary constraints. Given that demand for compute capacity outstrips GPU & CPU availability, I believe Amazon’s capital outlay will support quality revenue growth with scaled operations. I recommend AMZN shares with a BUY rating with a price target of $22/share at 18.57x eFY25 EV/EBITDA, providing investors an upside potential of 21% from the current trading range.Amazon OperationsCorporate ReportsAWSAmazon is increasingly focusing on providing the highest quality and most customizable cloud service for customers through their diverse CPU & GPU offerings. These span Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) MI-series GPUs, Nvidia (NVDA) Hopper GPUs, and Intel (INTC) x86 CPUs while also scaling their custom silicon chips, including Graviton CPUs and Trainium & inferential for training and inferencing AI models. Management doesn’t necessarily see their own custom silicon as a competitor to these world-class chip designers, but rather an additional option for customers to choose from.One of the biggest selling points for Amazon’s custom silicon chips is that the processors are designed with a singular purpose: being placed in Amazon’s data centers. This means that Amazon’s engineers were able to optimize the chip design for the needs of AWS servers to realize significant price performance and energy efficiency for AI/ML workloads when compared to competing chip designs. For example, Graviton4 is suggested to outperform the best x86 processors by 40-50% at a price that is 20% lower than the competition.Trainium2 is expected to be released at the end of CY24. According to the preannouncement press release, Trainium2 is designed to be up to 2x more energy efficient and deliver up to 4x the training speed as its predecessor and will be capable of being deployed in EC2 UltraClusters of up to 100,000 chips.Inferentia2 also offered customers a significant step-up from Inferentia1 in which it provides 50% better energy efficiency, up to 4x higher throughput, and up to 10x lower latency.AmazonIt is clear that Amazon’s provision of custom silicon to customers comes with a number of performance and pricing benefits. In addition to these, Trainium2 and Inferenium2 may provide some easement to the tight supply chain, given the historical constraints for sourcing Nvidia’s H100 GPUs. Though the supply chain has loosened up, making the GPUs more readily available and having the additional price-performance competitive option available may manage down costs for enterprises.StatistaMr. Jassy, CEO of Amazon, voiced similar capacity headwinds as Mr. Nadella of Microsoft (MSFT) in Amazon’s q2 ’24 earnings call in which demand has outstripped compute capacity. Accordingly, Amazon has 108 availability zones, which management noted are equivalent to a data center, serving 34 geographic regions. The hyperscaler is planning to launch 18 additional availability zones across 6 AWS regions, including Mexico, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, Taiwan, and the AWS European Sovereign Cloud.AmazonIn terms of growing capacity, Amazon invested $17.62b in Q2 ’24, which was primarily allocated to AWS-related infrastructure to serve the strong demand for both GenAI and non-GenAI workloads. Though management did not provide firm figures for Q3 ’24, they noted that capital investments will grow sequentially with the objective of building out AWS capacity. I’m forecasting capital investments for Q3 ’24 to sum to $20.5b and $75b for all of eFY24 as the firm catches up with customer demand to support cloud-based workloads.Management noted one interesting factor relating to the growth story for cloud architecture that may drive growth in the coming years.About 90% of the global IT spend is still on premises. If you believe that equation is going to flip, which I do, there's a lot of growth ahead of us in AWS.Andy Jassy, CEO.According to Gartner, global IT spend is expected to sum to $5T in 2024.GartnerThough I do not anticipate a massive migration from on-prem to the cloud to happen, I suspect at least a portion of workloads will migrate to the cloud as CIOs seek to minimize IT spend. I believe the driving factor will inevitably come down to where the AI-related data and applications are hosted, whether on-prem or in the cloud. Given that the majority of AI applications are hosted in the cloud, I suspect that enterprises may opt to migrate more data into cloud-hosted environments.There are significant headwinds out of the tech sector that may impede the growth opportunity for hyperscalers. Power constraints have become one of the greatest challenges in scaling compute, and this challenge may persist through the end of the decade. The Wall Street Journal reported in March 2024 that Amazon acquired a data center powered by an on-site 2.5GW nuclear power plant. I suspect that this trend may persist, as reliable power will be required to light up these massive AI factories. It may potentially lead to hyperscalers to either opt for natural gas-fired power plants or stand their ground for renewables and await commercialization of small modular reactors.I expect that hyperscalers will co-invest in power plants with partner utilities to manage onsite power to guarantee the appropriate baseload. Though it is not my intention to bring politics into the mix, I believe that this will alleviate some pressure as hyperscalers may take precedence over residents in the case of a natural disaster. Dedicated power sources will disassociate any challenges faced by local residents and allow for the hyperscalers to operate on a standalone basis.Amazon PrimeAmazon’s consumer-facing services will likely be impacted by the current state of the economy. Management’s verbiage aligned with other retailers in which consumers are trading down on price, resulting in lower ASPs for Amazon. Management also mentioned that discretionary items, such as electronics, computers, and TVs have been growing at a faster clip compared to competitors in the retail market; however, growth is noticeably slower when compared to a more robust economy.Retail may become a challenge in the coming quarters for Amazon as consumer confidence weakens, and more consumers fear a weakening labor market. Though this may not necessarily impact staples, I believe Amazon may realize more pressure on bigger ticket items as consumers face increasing costs for everyday items, such as food & beverage, electricity, and housing.NBERIf unit volumes were to face pressure, headwinds may trickle into Amazon’s advertising services with slower growth.Despite the potential headwinds at the consumer level, management has been taking steps to control costs with additions to the same-day facility network and the regionalized inbound network. There is also chatter that Amazon may further leverage robotics in the warehouses, which would substantially reduce costs and improve efficiencies. If Amazon were to partner with Tesla (TSLA) in using Optimus, I would only hope that Amazon would use the codename Optimus Prime for the program.Amazon FinancialsCorporate ReportsLooking to financials, I’m forecasting Amazon to generate $157b in total revenue for q3 ’24 with AWS and advertising leading the way in terms of year-over-year growth. This will translate to $1.10/share in diluted EPS for the quarter. For all of eFY24, I’m forecasting total revenue to come in at $634b with a diluted EPS of $4.43/share.I believe AWS will realize continued growth acceleration for the duration of eFY24 and further acceleration in eFY25 as the firm scales out their CPU & GPU capacity. I’m expecting retail to grow at a slower pace as consumers remain cost-conscious.Seeking AlphaRisks Related To AmazonBull CaseThe market for GenAI has accelerated beyond Amazon’s and peer hyperscalers’ capacity, providing a strong runway for supporting capital investments that will turn to high-margin free cash flow. Despite the consumer headwinds Amazon is faced with, advertising will likely remain resilient across brand-sponsored ads on their retail site as well as advertising on their CTV Prime Video platform.Bear CaseIf the global economy were to continue to slow down, investments for GenAI may slow, resulting in Amazon being caught flatfooted with their large GPU & CPU expansions. Slower consumer demand may lead to lower unit volume sales across retail platforms and may trickle into fewer advertising dollars allocated to Amazon’s platforms.Valuation & Shareholder ValueCorporate ReportsAMZN shares trade discounted to its peer average of 21.54x TTM EV/EBITDA, providing the shares room for mean reversion in terms of valuation.Seeking AlphaGiven the long runway for growth in AWS paired with strength in advertising, Amazon’s growth will likely push through the potential headwinds posed by the challenged consumer. Despite the relatively challenged price action for AMZN shares post-Q2 ’24 earnings, I believe AMZN shares will remain resilient as the firm continues to invest in AWS, leading to strong cash flow generation. Using an internal valuation model based on my eFY25 EBITDA forecast and the ticker’s historical valuation range, I believe shares should be priced at $224/share at 18.57x eFY25 EV/EBITDA, providing investors a potential upside risk of 21% from today’s trading range. I recommend AMZN shares with a BUY rating.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350754890903616,"gmtCreate":1726659068742,"gmtModify":1726659072255,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy more value stocks ✌🏻","listText":"Time to buy more value stocks ✌🏻","text":"Time to buy more value stocks ✌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350754890903616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":333061123588296,"gmtCreate":1722341678338,"gmtModify":1722341682821,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"MSTR 🫶🏻","listText":"MSTR 🫶🏻","text":"MSTR 🫶🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/333061123588296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":332737925931112,"gmtCreate":1722262886339,"gmtModify":1722265385272,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"title":"TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.","htmlText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2024/10th-anniversary?banner=0&adcode=AC1718527559510bEArSe&feature=Message&utm_source=invite&utm_campaign=AC1718527559510bEArSe&utm_medium=tiger_community&platform=iOS&shareID=9bd7dde826833605307b988af39b0df2&invite=BG2V8N&lang=en_US\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","listText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2024/10th-anniversary?banner=0&adcode=AC1718527559510bEArSe&feature=Message&utm_source=invite&utm_campaign=AC1718527559510bEArSe&utm_medium=tiger_community&platform=iOS&shareID=9bd7dde826833605307b988af39b0df2&invite=BG2V8N&lang=en_US\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","text":"Find out more here: TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/332737925931112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1012,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":331203904872592,"gmtCreate":1721868156078,"gmtModify":1721869610795,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"title":"TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.","htmlText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.mydigiuc.com/activity/market/2024/10th-anniversary?adcode=AC1718527559510bEArSe&utm_source=invite&utm_campaign=AC1718527559510bEArSe&utm_medium=tiger_community&platform=iOS&shareID=4dde8f6bbe2a5a8e5e9c265cb2c188de&invite=BG2V8N&lang=en_US\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","listText":"Find out more here: <a href=\"https://www.mydigiuc.com/activity/market/2024/10th-anniversary?adcode=AC1718527559510bEArSe&utm_source=invite&utm_campaign=AC1718527559510bEArSe&utm_medium=tiger_community&platform=iOS&shareID=4dde8f6bbe2a5a8e5e9c265cb2c188de&invite=BG2V8N&lang=en_US\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","text":"Find out more here: TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/331203904872592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326701597081864,"gmtCreate":1720794497681,"gmtModify":1720794528433,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DCA time when it dips","listText":"DCA time when it dips","text":"DCA time when it dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/326701597081864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324869590188152,"gmtCreate":1720343087036,"gmtModify":1720343090623,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes, training to take some profits now and then","listText":"Yes, training to take some profits now and then","text":"Yes, training to take some profits now and 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🐯","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945287985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946931689,"gmtCreate":1680832703941,"gmtModify":1680832714257,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good day everyone ! Get more eggs","listText":"Good day everyone ! Get more eggs","text":"Good day everyone ! Get more eggs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946931689","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941432389,"gmtCreate":1680519755342,"gmtModify":1680519758708,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941432389","repostId":"9941431622","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9941431622,"gmtCreate":1680517465066,"gmtModify":1680519198433,"author":{"id":"9000000000000726","authorId":"9000000000000726","name":"OneGlanceTrader","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3238403b0b83a5914db126417a3494f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000726","authorIdStr":"9000000000000726"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"\n \n \n This Is Why You Are Behaving RECKLESSLY! Patrick Bet David #shorts\n \n","listText":"This Is Why You Are Behaving RECKLESSLY! Patrick Bet David #shorts","text":"This Is Why You Are Behaving RECKLESSLY! Patrick Bet David #shorts","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941431622","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"aa1277b21e4e40139b1cfc75beca5f04","tweetId":"9941431622","title":"This Is Why You Are Behaving RECKLESSLY! Patrick Bet David #shorts","videoUrl":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1680517459890115c4b980899209ac8c6c0111150b69c.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64de8694b425cca0e48b74eea8bfab9b","shareLink":"http://v.tigerbbs.com/1680517459890115c4b980899209ac8c6c0111150b69c.mp4"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957531862,"gmtCreate":1677376881356,"gmtModify":1677376883218,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah","listText":"Yeah","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957531862","repostId":"2314332631","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2314332631","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1677281516,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2314332631?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2023-02-25 07:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Interest-Rate Concerns Push Investors Into Dividend-Paying Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2314332631","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The prospect of interest rates remaining higher for longer is sending investors scrambling back to d","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The prospect of interest rates remaining higher for longer is sending investors scrambling back to dividend-paying stocks.</p><p>Investors poured a net $272 million into U.S. mutual and exchange-traded funds that buy dividend-paying stocks in the two weeks ended Wednesday, according to data from Refinitiv Lipper. They added a record $48 billion to such funds in 2022 but pulled $835 million from them in January when shares of speculative companies propelled a market rebound.</p><p>The stock market's early-year rally has fizzled in recent weeks. A string of stronger-than-expected economic data has forced investors to reconsider their bets that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate-raising campaign.</p><p>Instead, many now fear the central bank will be forced to continue raising rates and keep them elevated for longer than expected to bring inflation down. The minutes from the Fed's latest meeting, which were released Wednesday, reinforced those concerns.</p><p>Although higher rates would likely be punishing for the market as a whole, dividend-paying stocks would see another chance to shine. Shares of companies paying big dividends outperformed the broader market last year when red-hot inflation, higher rates and worries about an impending recession weighed on risk assets.</p><p>The S&P 500 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTM.AU\">High</a> Dividend Index -- made up of the S&P 500's top 80 dividend-paying companies -- fell 1.1% including dividends last year, compared with a negative total return of 18% for the broad benchmark. In 2023, the index is up 2.5% but is trailing the S&P 500's 4.8% advance.</p><p>"I want to get a cash flow and hopefully an increasing cash flow from my investments, just in case the market doesn't do as well as we think it could," said Ken Van Leeuwen, founder and chief executive of Van Leeuwen & Co. "In dividend stocks, I get paid to wait."</p><p>Mr. Van Leeuwen, whose registered investment adviser manages about $350 million in client assets, said he is steering client portfolios to dividend-paying stocks. Over the past month, he bought shares of electrical-components maker Eaton Corp., which has a dividend yield of 2% and has climbed about 10% this year on a total-return basis.</p><p>After falling to start the year, government-bond yields are rising again. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled Friday at 3.948%, above the 3.826% where it ended last year. That has dimmed the allure of shares of fast-growing companies and the other speculative stocks.</p><p>"My view is that what happened in January is essentially a little bit of a junk rally," said Christopher Huemmer, senior investment strategist for FlexShares Exchange Traded Funds at Northern Trust Asset Management. "However, February is shifting. Equity returns are going to be lower. Dividend income will be a crucial component of total returns."</p><p>Although many investors and strategists agree that the U.S. is nowhere near a recession, they say dividend-paying stocks serve as a defensive play given the uncertainty facing the current economic, market and geopolitical environment.</p><p>Even if continued interest-rate increases tip the economy into a recession and inflation remains sticky, investors seeking a safe harbor in income-generating stocks should still do well, according to UBS Group AG analysts.</p><p>The S&P 500's dividends per share will rise 1% this year, despite a potential 11% fall in per-share earnings in a recessionary environment, they forecast in a Tuesday note. A bonus of investing in dividend-paying stocks now: Many of them are trading at a 15% to 20% valuation discount relative to the market, making them attractive bargains that pay a steady cash flow, the analysts added.</p><p>The S&P 500 is trading at 17.7 times its expected earnings over the next 12 months, down from 18.5 times earnings a year ago. That is partly because corporate-profit expectations have fallen sharply. Analysts polled by FactSet expect earnings among companies in the S&P 500 to rise roughly 2.2% this year. That is down from their forecasts for around 9.2% growth at the end of June.</p><p>George Ball, chairman of investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, which manages $4.9 billion in client assets, said his firm has shifted a significant portion of its clients' equity portfolios into stocks with "excellent earnings prospects" and "higher dividend payouts" over the next several quarters.</p><p>In recent weeks, his firm has added to client positions in energy company Enterprise Products Partners LP, which has a dividend yield of 7.6%; Bank of America Corp., which has a yield of 2.6%; and JPMorgan Chase & Co., with a yield of 2.8%.</p><p>However, investors could be burned by dividend-paying stocks if they cut payouts amid economic uncertainty. Intel Corp. said Wednesday it is slashing its dividend by about two-thirds as the chip maker seeks to cut $3 billion in costs this year. Its shares have fallen 55% -- including dividends -- from its 2022 high.</p><p>Although companies with high debt levels and low margins could afford to pay dividends in a low interest-rate environment, their financial health is going to be tested as raw-material and labor costs go up in a rising rate environment, potentially leading to a reduction or elimination of the dividend, said Mr. Huemmer of Northern Trust.</p><p>"Don't be fooled by dividend growth or consistent dividend payment as proxies for the quality of the company," he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Interest-Rate Concerns Push Investors Into Dividend-Paying Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInterest-Rate Concerns Push Investors Into Dividend-Paying Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 07:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The prospect of interest rates remaining higher for longer is sending investors scrambling back to dividend-paying stocks.</p><p>Investors poured a net $272 million into U.S. mutual and exchange-traded funds that buy dividend-paying stocks in the two weeks ended Wednesday, according to data from Refinitiv Lipper. They added a record $48 billion to such funds in 2022 but pulled $835 million from them in January when shares of speculative companies propelled a market rebound.</p><p>The stock market's early-year rally has fizzled in recent weeks. A string of stronger-than-expected economic data has forced investors to reconsider their bets that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate-raising campaign.</p><p>Instead, many now fear the central bank will be forced to continue raising rates and keep them elevated for longer than expected to bring inflation down. The minutes from the Fed's latest meeting, which were released Wednesday, reinforced those concerns.</p><p>Although higher rates would likely be punishing for the market as a whole, dividend-paying stocks would see another chance to shine. Shares of companies paying big dividends outperformed the broader market last year when red-hot inflation, higher rates and worries about an impending recession weighed on risk assets.</p><p>The S&P 500 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTM.AU\">High</a> Dividend Index -- made up of the S&P 500's top 80 dividend-paying companies -- fell 1.1% including dividends last year, compared with a negative total return of 18% for the broad benchmark. In 2023, the index is up 2.5% but is trailing the S&P 500's 4.8% advance.</p><p>"I want to get a cash flow and hopefully an increasing cash flow from my investments, just in case the market doesn't do as well as we think it could," said Ken Van Leeuwen, founder and chief executive of Van Leeuwen & Co. "In dividend stocks, I get paid to wait."</p><p>Mr. Van Leeuwen, whose registered investment adviser manages about $350 million in client assets, said he is steering client portfolios to dividend-paying stocks. Over the past month, he bought shares of electrical-components maker Eaton Corp., which has a dividend yield of 2% and has climbed about 10% this year on a total-return basis.</p><p>After falling to start the year, government-bond yields are rising again. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled Friday at 3.948%, above the 3.826% where it ended last year. That has dimmed the allure of shares of fast-growing companies and the other speculative stocks.</p><p>"My view is that what happened in January is essentially a little bit of a junk rally," said Christopher Huemmer, senior investment strategist for FlexShares Exchange Traded Funds at Northern Trust Asset Management. "However, February is shifting. Equity returns are going to be lower. Dividend income will be a crucial component of total returns."</p><p>Although many investors and strategists agree that the U.S. is nowhere near a recession, they say dividend-paying stocks serve as a defensive play given the uncertainty facing the current economic, market and geopolitical environment.</p><p>Even if continued interest-rate increases tip the economy into a recession and inflation remains sticky, investors seeking a safe harbor in income-generating stocks should still do well, according to UBS Group AG analysts.</p><p>The S&P 500's dividends per share will rise 1% this year, despite a potential 11% fall in per-share earnings in a recessionary environment, they forecast in a Tuesday note. A bonus of investing in dividend-paying stocks now: Many of them are trading at a 15% to 20% valuation discount relative to the market, making them attractive bargains that pay a steady cash flow, the analysts added.</p><p>The S&P 500 is trading at 17.7 times its expected earnings over the next 12 months, down from 18.5 times earnings a year ago. That is partly because corporate-profit expectations have fallen sharply. Analysts polled by FactSet expect earnings among companies in the S&P 500 to rise roughly 2.2% this year. That is down from their forecasts for around 9.2% growth at the end of June.</p><p>George Ball, chairman of investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, which manages $4.9 billion in client assets, said his firm has shifted a significant portion of its clients' equity portfolios into stocks with "excellent earnings prospects" and "higher dividend payouts" over the next several quarters.</p><p>In recent weeks, his firm has added to client positions in energy company Enterprise Products Partners LP, which has a dividend yield of 7.6%; Bank of America Corp., which has a yield of 2.6%; and JPMorgan Chase & Co., with a yield of 2.8%.</p><p>However, investors could be burned by dividend-paying stocks if they cut payouts amid economic uncertainty. Intel Corp. said Wednesday it is slashing its dividend by about two-thirds as the chip maker seeks to cut $3 billion in costs this year. Its shares have fallen 55% -- including dividends -- from its 2022 high.</p><p>Although companies with high debt levels and low margins could afford to pay dividends in a low interest-rate environment, their financial health is going to be tested as raw-material and labor costs go up in a rising rate environment, potentially leading to a reduction or elimination of the dividend, said Mr. Huemmer of Northern Trust.</p><p>"Don't be fooled by dividend growth or consistent dividend payment as proxies for the quality of the company," he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ETN":"伊顿","JPM":"摩根大通","BAC":"美国银行","EPD":"Enterprise Products Partners L.P","BK4211":"区域性银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2314332631","content_text":"The prospect of interest rates remaining higher for longer is sending investors scrambling back to dividend-paying stocks.Investors poured a net $272 million into U.S. mutual and exchange-traded funds that buy dividend-paying stocks in the two weeks ended Wednesday, according to data from Refinitiv Lipper. They added a record $48 billion to such funds in 2022 but pulled $835 million from them in January when shares of speculative companies propelled a market rebound.The stock market's early-year rally has fizzled in recent weeks. A string of stronger-than-expected economic data has forced investors to reconsider their bets that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate-raising campaign.Instead, many now fear the central bank will be forced to continue raising rates and keep them elevated for longer than expected to bring inflation down. The minutes from the Fed's latest meeting, which were released Wednesday, reinforced those concerns.Although higher rates would likely be punishing for the market as a whole, dividend-paying stocks would see another chance to shine. Shares of companies paying big dividends outperformed the broader market last year when red-hot inflation, higher rates and worries about an impending recession weighed on risk assets.The S&P 500 High Dividend Index -- made up of the S&P 500's top 80 dividend-paying companies -- fell 1.1% including dividends last year, compared with a negative total return of 18% for the broad benchmark. In 2023, the index is up 2.5% but is trailing the S&P 500's 4.8% advance.\"I want to get a cash flow and hopefully an increasing cash flow from my investments, just in case the market doesn't do as well as we think it could,\" said Ken Van Leeuwen, founder and chief executive of Van Leeuwen & Co. \"In dividend stocks, I get paid to wait.\"Mr. Van Leeuwen, whose registered investment adviser manages about $350 million in client assets, said he is steering client portfolios to dividend-paying stocks. Over the past month, he bought shares of electrical-components maker Eaton Corp., which has a dividend yield of 2% and has climbed about 10% this year on a total-return basis.After falling to start the year, government-bond yields are rising again. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled Friday at 3.948%, above the 3.826% where it ended last year. That has dimmed the allure of shares of fast-growing companies and the other speculative stocks.\"My view is that what happened in January is essentially a little bit of a junk rally,\" said Christopher Huemmer, senior investment strategist for FlexShares Exchange Traded Funds at Northern Trust Asset Management. \"However, February is shifting. Equity returns are going to be lower. Dividend income will be a crucial component of total returns.\"Although many investors and strategists agree that the U.S. is nowhere near a recession, they say dividend-paying stocks serve as a defensive play given the uncertainty facing the current economic, market and geopolitical environment.Even if continued interest-rate increases tip the economy into a recession and inflation remains sticky, investors seeking a safe harbor in income-generating stocks should still do well, according to UBS Group AG analysts.The S&P 500's dividends per share will rise 1% this year, despite a potential 11% fall in per-share earnings in a recessionary environment, they forecast in a Tuesday note. A bonus of investing in dividend-paying stocks now: Many of them are trading at a 15% to 20% valuation discount relative to the market, making them attractive bargains that pay a steady cash flow, the analysts added.The S&P 500 is trading at 17.7 times its expected earnings over the next 12 months, down from 18.5 times earnings a year ago. That is partly because corporate-profit expectations have fallen sharply. Analysts polled by FactSet expect earnings among companies in the S&P 500 to rise roughly 2.2% this year. That is down from their forecasts for around 9.2% growth at the end of June.George Ball, chairman of investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, which manages $4.9 billion in client assets, said his firm has shifted a significant portion of its clients' equity portfolios into stocks with \"excellent earnings prospects\" and \"higher dividend payouts\" over the next several quarters.In recent weeks, his firm has added to client positions in energy company Enterprise Products Partners LP, which has a dividend yield of 7.6%; Bank of America Corp., which has a yield of 2.6%; and JPMorgan Chase & Co., with a yield of 2.8%.However, investors could be burned by dividend-paying stocks if they cut payouts amid economic uncertainty. Intel Corp. said Wednesday it is slashing its dividend by about two-thirds as the chip maker seeks to cut $3 billion in costs this year. Its shares have fallen 55% -- including dividends -- from its 2022 high.Although companies with high debt levels and low margins could afford to pay dividends in a low interest-rate environment, their financial health is going to be tested as raw-material and labor costs go up in a rising rate environment, potentially leading to a reduction or elimination of the dividend, said Mr. Huemmer of Northern Trust.\"Don't be fooled by dividend growth or consistent dividend payment as proxies for the quality of the company,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315691037,"gmtCreate":1612239062329,"gmtModify":1704868590424,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Here for coins ?","listText":"Here for coins ?","text":"Here for coins ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315691037","repostId":"1183603122","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315866548,"gmtCreate":1612232467084,"gmtModify":1704868511620,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The last few retail stores in SG","listText":"The last few retail stores in SG","text":"The last few retail stores in SG","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315866548","repostId":"2108207463","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312045899,"gmtCreate":1611980295611,"gmtModify":1704866783590,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice read","listText":"Nice read","text":"Nice read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312045899","repostId":"1147723336","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":318529899,"gmtCreate":1611876229411,"gmtModify":1704865088645,"author":{"id":"3555464381271027","authorId":"3555464381271027","name":"Plan R","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7c154067507de533ac55801ad0e29059","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555464381271027","authorIdStr":"3555464381271027"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Holding position ","listText":"Holding position ","text":"Holding position","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/318529899","repostId":"1181346723","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}