HMH
HMH
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avatarHMH
08-26
$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$   Exciting times ahead with PDD's earnings report on the horizon! The track record of exceeding expectations is impressive, and it certainly piques my interest as an investor looking for growth opportunities. I'm curious to see if they can maintain this momentum for a sixth consecutive quarter, which could signal strong underlying business fundamentals. PDD's recent acquisitions could significantly impact their future growth in several ways. Market expansion, technology and innovation, operational synergies, diversification, and talent acquisition are all potential benefits. I'm optimistic about their acquisitions, especially their investment in agricultural technology companies. This move
avatarHMH
08-25
My portfolio consists of the 3 Singapore banks (30%), Singapore listed REITs (30%), US stocks/options (5%) and the remainder Singapore penny stocks (35%). The Federal Reserve has confirmed an interest rate cut in September 2024. This decision is expected to have several implications for my portfolio. Risks - Market Volatility: While the rate cut aims to stimulate economic activity, it could also lead to short-term market volatility as investors adjust their expectations. - Currency Fluctuations: The rate cut might weaken the US dollar, impacting the value of my US stocks/options. - Sector-Specific Risks: Penny stocks remain high-risk due to their volatility and lower liquidity. Opportunities - Economic Stimulus: Lower interest rates can boost economic activity, benefiting sectors like bank
avatarHMH
08-25
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$  I've been reflecting on my journey as an investor, and it's interesting how my goals have evolved over time. Initially, like many others, I started trading stocks with the clear objective of making a profit. However, as I gained more experience and faced the realities of the market, I noticed a shift in my focus towards just breaking even at times. Several factors contributed to this change: 1. Market Volatility (or manipulation???): The unpredictable nature of the stock market has often challenged my strategies. During market corrections or downturn experienced in early August 2024, my priority shifted to minimizing losses rather than chasing gains. 2. Psychological Factors: The fear of losing money can be quite powerf
avatarHMH
08-23
Fortunately, I am not a bagholder of FFIE but had lost money on GREE which is before meme stocks become popular. Let's take a look at Faraday Future (FFIE) and assess if there are any opportunities. FFIE has recently experienced a significant surge in its stock price, rising by 123% following the announcement of its China-U.S. Automotive Bridge Strategy launch event. This event, scheduled for September 19, 2024, aims to provide more details on the company's second execution plan and introduce a new automotive brand. Given FFIE's history as a meme stock, characterized by volatile price movements driven by social media and retail investor sentiment, it is crucial to carefully consider my positioning in relation to this stock and similar assets. FFIE's recent price surge can be attributed to
avatarHMH
08-23
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$   Palantir Technologies, a prominent player in the data analytics and software industry, has recently seen significant insider activity. According to a recent 144 form, CEO Alex Karp sold 585,000 shares of common stock on August 20, 2024. Despite this, the stock rose by 0.68% the following day. As an amateur investor (starting to look into use of options), should I consider investing in Palantir based on its latest results, investment moats, risks, current price, intrinsic value, analyst forecasts, and the price to invest with a margin of safety? Palantir Technologies possesses several key investment moats: 1. Proprietary Technology: Palantir's software platforms, such as Got
avatarHMH
08-23
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$  My thoughts as an amateur investor/trader. Which is Harder: Doing Nothing or Doing Something? As an amateur investor, doing nothing is harder because it requires a lot of patience and trust in the market's long-term growth. It's tempting to make frequent trades based on market news or emotions and this had led to poor decisions for me. Common Mistakes to Avoid that I have to Keep Reminding Myself: 1. Overtrading: Trying to time the market can lead to higher costs and lower returns. 2. Emotional Decisions: Letting fear or greed drive your actions often results in buying high and selling low. 3. Lack of Diversification: Putting too much money into one stock or sector increases risk. Best Practices that I have to Keep Remi
avatarHMH
08-23
As an amateur investor, I have to constantly remind myself that successful investing isn’t about mimicking others’ trades. While some may have success with certain strategies, it’s crucial to develop my own investment approach based on thorough research and your financial goals. Mimicking others' trades can be risky for several reasons: 1. Lack of Understanding: When following someone else's trades, I might not fully understand the rationale behind their decisions. This can lead to poor investment choices if the market conditions change or if the original trader's strategy doesn't align with your financial goals. 2. Timing Issues: The person I am mimicking might have access to information or insights that I don't. By the time I act on their trades, the opportunity might have passed, leadin
avatarHMH
08-23
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$  recently reported its best quarterly results, leading to a significant rise in its stock price. This is my amateur view on investing in Xiaomi based on its latest financial performance, competitive advantages, risks, current stock price, intrinsic value, and margin of safety. Xiaomi's competitive advantages or "moats" include: 1. Brand Strength: Xiaomi has established a strong brand presence, particularly in the budget and mid-range smartphone markets. Its brand is synonymous with value-for-money, which resonates well with cost-conscious consumers. 2. Economies of Scale: Xiaomi's large-scale operations allow it to benefit from economies of scale, reducing per-unit costs and increasing profitabilit
avatarHMH
08-22
$Netflix(NFLX)$   This is my amateur review of Netflix's Q2 2024 financial performance, its competitive advantages, and a comparison of its intrinsic value with analyst forecasts. Latest Financial Results Netflix reported robust financial results for Q2 2024: - Revenue: $9.56 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase. - Operating Margin: Improved to 27.2%, up from 22.3% in Q2 2023. - Net Income: $2.15 billion, translating to a diluted EPS of $4.88, a 48% increase from Q2 2023. - Subscriber Growth: Added 8.05 million net paid customers, bringing the global base to 277.65 million. These results indicate strong operational performance and continued growth in subscriber base, driven by strategic initiatives such as the
avatarHMH
08-21
Gold prices have recently surged to $2,548, driven by safe-haven inflows amid geopolitical conflicts. Not sure if gold prices will reach $3,000 but we can position our portfolio to capitalize on this trend. Market Analysis 1. Current Market Conditions - Gold has reached new highs. Increased geopolitical tensions have led to a surge in demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. 2. Geopolitical Influences - Conflict Zones: Ongoing conflicts in key regions are likely to sustain or increase safe-haven demand. - Economic Sanctions: Sanctions on major economies can disrupt markets, further driving investors towards gold. 3. Economic Indicators - Inflation Rates: Persistent inflation concerns bolster gold's appeal as a hedge. - Interest Rates: Central banks' policies on interest rates will impact
avatarHMH
08-21
Share price of SATS popped today after it released its Q1 2024 results yesterday. Let's evaluate if we should invest in SATS Ltd. based on its latest financial results, current market conditions, and intrinsic value analysis. Company Overview SATS Ltd. is a leading provider of gateway services and food solutions in Singapore and internationally. The company operates through three main segments: Food Solutions, Gateway Services, and Others. SATS has a diversified revenue stream, with significant contributions from cargo handling, ground handling, and food solutions. Latest Financial Results SATS announced its financial results for the fiscal quarter ending June 30, 2024. Key highlights include: - Revenue grew 15.5% YoY to S$1.37 billion - Net Profit improved S$94.9 million YoY to S$65 milli
avatarHMH
08-21
Not sure if we should consider this as a meme stock but $Emergent BioSolutions(EBS)$ share price may jump due to monkeypox. Let's analyze the stock's recent performance, intrinsic value, and analyst forecasts to determine if there is further upside. Recent Performance - 12 Aug 2024: $6.67 - 20 Aug 2024: $9.64 (+45% vs. 12 Aug) The significant price increase over this period is attributed to heightened interest in EBS due to its involvement in vaccine production, particularly in response to the monkeypox outbreak. Intrinsic Value vs. Analyst Forecast Intrinsic Value - calculated using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, is estimated to be around $11.10. Analyst Forecast - Analysts have set a price target range for EBS between $1.07 and $21.13
avatarHMH
08-21
The recent launch of the video game "Black Myth: Wukong," inspired by the classic Chinese novel "Journey to the West," has garnered significant attention and positive reviews. Even though I have watched Journey to the West and excited by the game trailer, I am more keen to evaluate the potential investment opportunities in the gaming sector, focusing on the impact of this release and broader market trends. How can we capitalize on the growing interest in high-quality, culturally rich gaming content? Market Analysis 1. Gaming Industry Growth - The global gaming market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.64% from 2023 to 2028. The increasing popularity of AAA games, advancements in gaming technology, and the rise of eSports are key drivers. - The Chinese gaming market, in particular, is expe
avatarHMH
08-21
The U.S. government's consideration of breaking up Google represents a significant antitrust move, potentially the first of its kind since the unsuccessful attempt to dismantle Microsoft two decades ago. This is my perspective on how we should position in relation to this potential breakup, considering historical precedents and their impact on share prices. Analysis of Potential Breakup Historical Context Breaking up a major corporation can have varied impacts on shareholder value. To understand the potential outcomes, we examine two historical examples: the successful breakup of AT&T and the unsuccessful breakup of Kodak since h=the case with Microsoft is well known. Successful Breakup: AT&T (1984) The breakup of AT&T in 1984 is often cited as a successful example of corporate
avatarHMH
08-20
The recent downturn in consumer stocks presents a unique opportunity to invest in high-quality companies at attractive valuations. This is to evaluate potential investments in Nike, Lululemon, Estée Lauder, and ULTA Beauty, comparing their intrinsic values with analyst forecasts. Market Overview The consumer sector has faced significant challenges this year, with notable declines in stock prices: - Nike: Down 27.68% - Lululemon: Down 52.96% - Estée Lauder: Down 37.35% - ULTA Beauty: Down 42.7% These declines are driven by macroeconomic factors, including inflation, supply chain disruptions, and changing consumer behavior. However, these companies have strong brand equity, robust financials, and growth potential, making them attractive investment opportunities. Stock Analysis 1. Nike (NKE)
avatarHMH
08-20
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is set to release its earnings report on August 28th. The stock has experienced a month of pullbacks, rebounded to $130 on August 19th. The market anticipates that Nvidia might hold at this level if there are no surprises in macroeconomic data. The primary questions are whether to sell at current and wait to buy back at a lower price, or to hold Nvidia shares in anticipation of earnings exceeding expectations. I had previously shared that analysts remain bullish on Nvidia, with an average 12-month price target of approximately $130.88 (https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/forecast/). This is slightly above the closing price of $130 on August 19th. Financ
avatarHMH
08-20
The S&P and Nasdaq have recently recorded their first 8-day winning streak of the year, signaling strong market momentum. However, upcoming macroeconomic events, including the release of FOMC minutes and Fed Chair Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, introduce potential volatility. The following is an overview and potential actions to position my portfolio in light of these developments. Market Overview S&P 500 and Nasdaq Performance: Both indices have shown robust performance, with the Nasdaq-100 outperforming the S&P 500 significantly over the past two decades. This trend reflects strong investor confidence in technology and growth stocks. Historical Context: Historically, periods of sustained winning streaks in major indices often precede periods of consolidation o
avatarHMH
08-17
Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has recently initiated a position in Ulta Beauty (ULTA), purchasing approximately 690,000 shares valued at $266.3 million. Should I be following this trade? Let's look into Ulta Beauty’s investment moat, intrinsic value based on discounted cash flow (DCF), analyst forecasts, current share price, and margin of safety. Investment Moat Ulta Beauty possesses several competitive advantages that constitute its investment moat: - Strong Brand Recognition: Ulta Beauty is a well-known brand in the beauty retail industry, offering a wide range of products from mass-market to prestige brands. - Exclusive Product Offerings: The company has exclusive partnerships with various beauty brands, providing unique products that cannot be found elsewhere. - Loyalty Pr
avatarHMH
08-17
It was mid-July 2024, and I was riding high on the success of my investments. QQQ, the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100, had been performing exceptionally well, and I felt invincible. But then, the market took a sharp turn. From July 12th to August 5th, QQQ plunged by about 14%. My portfolio, once a source of pride, now felt like a sinking ship. I remember staring at my screen, watching the red numbers flash, feeling a mix of disbelief and frustration. How could this happen? Determined to recover my losses, I decided to engage in what I now recognize as revenge trading. The market had become my opponent, and I was ready to do whatever it took to win back my pride and money. Every day, I would wake up early, analyzing charts and news, looking for any sign of a rebound. My emotions were runnin
avatarHMH
08-17
This is a brief summary of the investment moat, intrinsic value versus analyst forecasts for Tencent and Alibaba. Investment Moat Tencent Holdings Ltd. - Diversified Portfolio: Tencent has a strong moat due to its diverse portfolio, including social media (WeChat), online gaming, fintech, and cloud services. - Network Effects: WeChat's extensive user base creates significant network effects, enhancing user retention and engagement. - Strategic Investments: Tencent's investments in various sectors, including entertainment, e-commerce, and fintech, further strengthen its competitive position. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. - E-commerce Dominance: Alibaba's primary moat lies in its dominance of China's e-commerce market through platforms like Taobao and Tmall. - Cloud Computing: Alibaba Cloud is

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