JonLucky personal page - To The Moon

JonLucky

JonLucky

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2025-03-01

B, A, A, B, B

2023-12-08

$Apple(AAPL)$ it remains to be seen

2022-12-13

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ staring down an abyss

2022-12-12

Tradewinds

Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week

2022-12-11

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ Bullish beginning to have more clarity

2022-12-10

$Bank of America(BAC)$ limping

2022-12-09

$Bank of America(BAC)$ bleeding hell

2022-12-08

$Bank of America(BAC)$ off balance

2022-12-07

Why, are they currently asleep?

Megacap Earnings to See "Rude Awakening" in 2023, Morgan Stanley’s Shalett Says

2022-12-06

$Bank of America(BAC)$ limping

2022-12-05

$Bank of America(BAC)$ wings impaired

2022-12-04

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ diving not driving

2022-12-03

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ sinking like a soft sand

2022-12-02

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ fly some more pls

2022-12-01

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ Awakening, rising, will be roaring soon

2022-12-01

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ awakening, soon be roaring

2022-11-30

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ the bleeding continues

2022-11-29

$Bank of America(BAC)$ banking off course

2022-11-28

$Bank of America(BAC)$ seems like we hit a glass ceiling

2022-11-27

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ revving up

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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A, A, B, B","listText":"B, A, A, B, B","text":"B, A, A, B, B","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/408715163652272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":249659080183968,"gmtCreate":1702002033345,"gmtModify":1702002036833,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> it remains to be seen&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> it remains to be seen&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ it remains to be seen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/249659080183968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923422663,"gmtCreate":1670895901253,"gmtModify":1676538455689,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>staring down an abyss&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>staring down an abyss&nbsp;","text":"$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ staring down an abyss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923422663","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923335336,"gmtCreate":1670800334226,"gmtModify":1676538434016,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tradewinds&nbsp;","listText":"Tradewinds&nbsp;","text":"Tradewinds","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923335336","repostId":"1160689342","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160689342","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1670799600,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160689342?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-12 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160689342","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetarypolicydecision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-12 07:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABM":"反导工业公司","ORCL":"甲骨文","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","ADBE":"Adobe",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TCOM":"携程网","09961":"携程集团—S",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PLAB":"福尼克斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160689342","content_text":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.Monday 12/12Oracle reports earnings for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.Tuesday 12/13Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.The House Financial Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.Wednesday 12/14The Federal Open Market Committee concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.Lennar, Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.Thursday 12/15Adobe and Jabil host earnings conference calls.The European Central Bank begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.The Philadelphia Fed Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.The Federal Reserve releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.Friday 12/16Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLAB":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TCOM":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ABM":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"ORCL":0.9,"09961":0.9,"LEN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929483538,"gmtCreate":1670721203925,"gmtModify":1676538422101,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Bullish beginning to have more&nbsp;clarity&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Bullish beginning to have more&nbsp;clarity&nbsp;","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ Bullish beginning to have more clarity","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929483538","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929873877,"gmtCreate":1670641344600,"gmtModify":1676538410897,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>bleeding hell","text":"$Bank of America(BAC)$ bleeding hell","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920741302","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2987,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920138680,"gmtCreate":1670455139341,"gmtModify":1676538369759,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>off balance","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>off balance","text":"$Bank of America(BAC)$ off balance","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920138680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3089,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920004334,"gmtCreate":1670386765628,"gmtModify":1676538358249,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why, are they currently asleep?","listText":"Why, are they currently asleep?","text":"Why, are they currently asleep?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920004334","repostId":"1112917688","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112917688","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670373117,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112917688?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 08:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Megacap Earnings to See \"Rude Awakening\" in 2023, Morgan Stanley’s Shalett Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112917688","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Shalett says expectations from some big companies ‘delusional’Pinched consumer will fuel economic sl","content":"<div>\n<p>Shalett says expectations from some big companies ‘delusional’Pinched consumer will fuel economic slump next year, she addsMorgan Stanley Wealth Management’s Lisa Shalett said some of the stock market...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-06/morgan-stanley-warns-megacap-company-profits-due-for-rude-awakening-in-2023?srnd=markets-vp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Megacap Earnings to See \"Rude Awakening\" in 2023, Morgan Stanley’s Shalett Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMegacap Earnings to See \"Rude Awakening\" in 2023, Morgan Stanley’s Shalett Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-07 08:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-06/morgan-stanley-warns-megacap-company-profits-due-for-rude-awakening-in-2023?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shalett says expectations from some big companies ‘delusional’Pinched consumer will fuel economic slump next year, she addsMorgan Stanley Wealth Management’s Lisa Shalett said some of the stock market...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-06/morgan-stanley-warns-megacap-company-profits-due-for-rude-awakening-in-2023?srnd=markets-vp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-06/morgan-stanley-warns-megacap-company-profits-due-for-rude-awakening-in-2023?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112917688","content_text":"Shalett says expectations from some big companies ‘delusional’Pinched consumer will fuel economic slump next year, she addsMorgan Stanley Wealth Management’s Lisa Shalett said some of the stock market’s biggest companies may see earnings hit far more than expected next year as economic growth slows and inflation erodes the purchasing power of consumers.Such an outlook, she added, is not reflected in current earnings estimates, which remain too high despite multiple downward revisions.“A lot of corporate guidance is delusional,” Shalett, the division’s chief investment officer, told Bloomberg TV Tuesday, blaming not only analysts but chief executive officers as well. “I just think it’s going to be a rude awakening for a lot of folks.”Shalett said the brunt of the downside surprises will likely be born by e-commerce, social media and other companies whose fortunes are closely tied to swings in the economy, including those selling discretionary consumer goods, rather than the whole of corporate America.“It’s more the specific slice of it, but it’s the slice that, unfortunately, at the minute, dominates the market cap and the weight of how we are comprising consensus estimates,” she added.Bloomberg Intelligence expects full-year 2022 earnings per share for the companies in the S&P 500 to come in at $223.6 and rise to $229.7 in 2023, based on the note published on Dec. 2 by Wendy Soong. Estimates for next year continue to drift lower though remain relatively high.Shalett said earnings forecasts in general remain too optimistic given the unprecedented confluence of factors weighing on the outlook, including Federal Reserve rate hikes and the risk of a recession.“If the Fed succeeds, if the Fed pauses, which is what all the enthusiasm is about, that pricing power at best is going to halve and at worst is going to go away completely at the same time that your volume is slowing,” she said. “It’s that kind of negative operating leverage that I just don’t think is in the numbers.”And despite the strength of the labor market, a pinched consumer might lead to further economic slowing as they burn through pandemic-era savings.“Consumers are starting to run out of dough,” she said. “As we get into 2023, we think everything rests with the consumer.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967852094,"gmtCreate":1670298305519,"gmtModify":1676538339982,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>limping","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>limping","text":"$Bank of America(BAC)$ 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soon&nbsp;","text":"$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ Awakening, rising, will be roaring soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965062498","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965014317,"gmtCreate":1669856665039,"gmtModify":1676538257236,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a>awakening, soon be roaring&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a>awakening, soon be roaring&nbsp;","text":"$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ awakening, soon be roaring","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965014317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962217796,"gmtCreate":1669781907415,"gmtModify":1676538242372,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>the bleeding continues&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>the bleeding continues&nbsp;","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ the bleeding continues","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962217796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962994276,"gmtCreate":1669689331796,"gmtModify":1676538223805,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>banking off course&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>banking off course&nbsp;","text":"$Bank of America(BAC)$ banking off course","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962994276","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966586139,"gmtCreate":1669594213521,"gmtModify":1676538210050,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>seems like we hit a glass ceiling&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>seems like we hit a glass ceiling&nbsp;","text":"$Bank of America(BAC)$ seems like we hit a glass ceiling","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966586139","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966689253,"gmtCreate":1669517533572,"gmtModify":1676538203787,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>revving up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>revving up","text":"$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ revving up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966689253","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9923335336,"gmtCreate":1670800334226,"gmtModify":1676538434016,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tradewinds&nbsp;","listText":"Tradewinds&nbsp;","text":"Tradewinds","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923335336","repostId":"1160689342","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160689342","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1670799600,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160689342?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-12 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160689342","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetarypolicydecision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Data, Fed Meeting Will Set the Table for 2023: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-12 07:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.</p><p>On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.</p><p>Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.</p><p>Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.</p><h2>Monday 12/12</h2><p><b>Oracle reports earnings</b> for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.</p><h2>Tuesday 12/13</h2><p>Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.</p><p><b>The House Financial</b> Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.</p><h2>Wednesday 12/14</h2><p><b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.</p><p><b>Lennar,</b> Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases</b> its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.</p><h2>Thursday 12/15</h2><p><b>Adobe and</b> Jabil host earnings conference calls.</p><p><b>The European Central Bank</b> begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.</p><p><b>The Philadelphia Fed</b> Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.</p><h2>Friday 12/16</h2><p><b>Winnebago Industries,</b> Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABM":"反导工业公司","ORCL":"甲骨文","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","ADBE":"Adobe",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TCOM":"携程网","09961":"携程集团—S",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PLAB":"福尼克斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160689342","content_text":"It will be an eventful week on the macro front for investors and Federal Reserve watchers. November inflation data and a monetary policy decision will be the highlights.On Tuesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the November Consumer Price Index. Economists on average are predicting the headline index to be 7.3% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 7.7% rise through October. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy components, is forecast to be up 6.1%, versus 6.3% a month earlier.The Federal Open Market Committee concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. Markets are expecting an increase of 0.5 percentage point in the fed-funds rate, to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, following four-straight 0.75 point hikes. The FOMC will also publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections.Earnings highlights this week will be Oracle on Monday, Lennar on Wednesday, and Adobe on Thursday. Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture will all go on Friday.Other economic data out this week will include the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for November on Thursday. The European Central Bank will announce a monetary policy decision on Thursday. A 0.5 percentage point hike is the consensus prediction.Monday 12/12Oracle reports earnings for its fiscal second quarter. Analysts are looking for $1.17 per share, down from $1.21 a year ago.Tuesday 12/13Photronics, ABM Industries, Transcontinental, and PHX Minerals announce quarterly financial results.The House Financial Services Committee meets for an initial hearing investigating the collapse of FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried recently told The Wall Street Journal that he couldn’t explain what happened to billions of dollars that FTX customers sent to the bank accounts of his trading firm, Alameda Research.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Economists forecast that the CPI will show an increase of 7.3%, year over year, following a 7.7% jump in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to be up 6.1%, compared with 6.3% in October.Wednesday 12/14The Federal Open Market Committee concludes its final two-day meeting of the year. “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Chairman Jerome Powell recently said.Lennar, Nordson, and Trip.com report quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Export Price index, which is believed to have fallen 0.85% in November, after a 0.3% drop in October. Import prices are expected to be down 0.6%, after a 0.2% dip in October.Thursday 12/15Adobe and Jabil host earnings conference calls.The European Central Bank begins its two-day policy meeting in Frankfurt.The Philadelphia Fed Index, a monthly measure of manufacturing activity, is released. Economists expect a negative 11.5 reading for December, compared with a negative 19.4 in November.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for November. The consensus call is for consumer spending to be flat, month over month, while sales excluding autos are seen gaining 0.3%. Both figures rose 1.3% in October.The Federal Reserve releases November industrial production figures, which measure the output of factories, mines, and utilities. Expect a 0.10% seasonally adjusted rise, after a 0.10% drop in October. Manufacturing production is expected to be up 0.15%, in line with October’s increase. Capacity utilization is expected to be 79.8%, compared with 79.9% in October.Friday 12/16Winnebago Industries, Darden Restaurants, and Accenture host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLAB":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TCOM":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ABM":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"ORCL":0.9,"09961":0.9,"LEN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923422663,"gmtCreate":1670895901253,"gmtModify":1676538455689,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>staring down an abyss&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>staring down an abyss&nbsp;","text":"$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ staring down an abyss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923422663","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":249659080183968,"gmtCreate":1702002033345,"gmtModify":1702002036833,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> it remains to be seen&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> it remains to be seen&nbsp;","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ it remains to be seen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/249659080183968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":408715163652272,"gmtCreate":1740800908507,"gmtModify":1740800912542,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"B, A, A, B, B","listText":"B, A, A, B, B","text":"B, A, A, B, B","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/408715163652272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388338218,"gmtCreate":1613019801734,"gmtModify":1704877450041,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It's inevitable&nbsp;","listText":"It's inevitable&nbsp;","text":"It's inevitable","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/388338218","repostId":"2110416000","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340262227,"gmtCreate":1617418860269,"gmtModify":1704699552314,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If we all have crystal ball to see the future, where's the fun in that?","listText":"If we all have crystal ball to see the future, where's the fun in that?","text":"If we all have crystal ball to see the future, where's the fun in that?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340262227","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191998262?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572249185724220","authorId":"3572249185724220","name":"xoxoll","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ed65c2962af2a6fbd414f4d6fe9e378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3572249185724220","idStr":"3572249185724220"},"content":"Help me comment and like","text":"Help me comment and like","html":"Help me comment and like"},{"author":{"id":"3573644992811813","authorId":"3573644992811813","name":"JadeS","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1e6f301e7632a6460b2c962cd5d56f91","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3573644992811813","idStr":"3573644992811813"},"content":"no more fun","text":"no more fun","html":"no more fun"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035799651,"gmtCreate":1647669382063,"gmtModify":1676534257656,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Monsters are scary","listText":"Monsters are scary","text":"Monsters are scary","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035799651","repostId":"2220777059","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110818587,"gmtCreate":1622437596249,"gmtModify":1704184429941,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Predictions are just opinions until proven otherwise. Buy time and only time alone will tell.","listText":"Predictions are just opinions until proven otherwise. Buy time and only time alone will tell.","text":"Predictions are just opinions until proven otherwise. Buy time and only time alone will tell.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110818587","repostId":"2139487733","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582764273979695","authorId":"3582764273979695","name":"WCS1981","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f98e28d5b1695429dd1657ecc78f93f5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582764273979695","idStr":"3582764273979695"},"content":"Yup always do due dilligence to do your own research instead of buying based on what others say.","text":"Yup always do due dilligence to do your own research instead of buying based on what others say.","html":"Yup always do due dilligence to do your own research instead of buying based on what others say."},{"author":{"id":"3584415246670106","authorId":"3584415246670106","name":"Oldie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09a7a0c9fe9b5b416d6f049746ddfa29","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3584415246670106","idStr":"3584415246670106"},"content":"Which of the above would u buy, if can choose one counter only ?","text":"Which of the above would u buy, if can choose one counter only ?","html":"Which of the above would u buy, if can choose one counter only ?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346862816,"gmtCreate":1618022050635,"gmtModify":1704706061584,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Taken a nap too long","listText":"Taken a nap too long","text":"Taken a nap too long","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/346862816","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347788792,"gmtCreate":1618531134716,"gmtModify":1704712223114,"author":{"id":"3573703375513385","authorId":"3573703375513385","name":"JonLucky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15afb66e92e4e4d6d1a8e9b7854e9d5e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573703375513385","idStr":"3573703375513385"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Every position is justifiable, until time proves it to be right or wrong.&nbsp;","listText":"Every position is justifiable, until time proves it to be right or wrong.&nbsp;","text":"Every position is justifiable, until time proves it to be right or wrong.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347788792","repostId":"1181372898","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}