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2022-06-16

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美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%

2022-06-16

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Dow Tumbles 500 Points, Reversing Wednesday’S Gains on Rising Recession Fears

2022-06-15

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ZIFT SOLUTIONS LAUNCHES INTEGRATION BETWEEN ZIFTONE AND MICROSOFT DYNAMICS 365

2022-06-15

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美联储加息75个基点成华尔街共识，美股离筑底还有多远？

2022-06-15

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2022-06-11

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比亚迪造富：巴菲特爆赚30倍，有人持股27年成地方首富

2022-06-02

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谁该为经济衰退负责，拜登还是鲍威尔？

2022-05-30

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盘前异动 | 热门中概股普跌！滴滴逆势大涨逾7%

2022-05-30

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开盘 | 美股三大指数集体高开，拼多多涨超7%

2022-05-29

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抖音对垒视频号，孙燕姿和罗大佑你pick了谁？

2022-05-28

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霍华德·马克斯最新备忘录：《牛市的韵律》

2022-05-21

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U.S. Stocks Opened Higher and Went Lower in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Slid Nearly 1%

2022-05-18

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马斯克喊话美国SEC，呼吁调查推特用户数量

2022-05-18

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Powell Says Fed Has Resolve to Bring U.S. Inflation Down

2022-05-10

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2022-05-10

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2022-05-10

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2022-05-09

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Palantir, Disney, Occidental, Rivian, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

2022-05-09

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2022-05-08

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苹果汽车的8大技术猜想

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 21:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>6月16日，美股芯片股集体走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光科技</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">阿斯麦</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>跌近3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99096fe68ff55e82b105991d287b1e0e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a1a8c5698b6f32ee1637556a15bb35b","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","MU":"美光科技","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175075343","content_text":"6月16日，美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%，英伟达、AMD、阿斯麦跌超4%，英特尔跌近3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054679887,"gmtCreate":1655388036349,"gmtModify":1676535627987,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054679887","repostId":"1118727036","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118727036","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1655386410,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1118727036?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 21:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Tumbles 500 Points, Reversing Wednesday’S Gains on Rising Recession Fears","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118727036","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks were under pressure Thursday, putting the major averages to give up the solid gains made","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks were under pressure Thursday, putting the major averages to give up the solid gains made in the previous session.</p><p>Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.5%, or 460 points. S&amp;P 500 futures were down 1.7%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 2%. All three futures contracts had earlier been trading in positive territory.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury yield resumed its massive June run on Thursday, reversing higher overnight. The 10-year yield was last around 3.44% after ending May at 2.84%.</p><p>Those moves come after the Federal Reserve implemented its largest interest rate hike since 1994 on Wednesday. The Fed raised rates by75 basis points, as was widely anticipated.</p><p>“Clearly, today’s 75 basis point increase is an unusually large one, and I do not expect moves of this size to be common,” Federal Reserve ChairmanJerome Powell said at a news conference following the decision.</p><p>Stocks took a leg higher Wednesday after Powell said that a 50 or 75 basis point increase “seems most likely”at the next meeting in July, indicating the central bank’s commitment to fighting inflation. Powell did caution, however, that decisions will be made “meeting by meeting.”</p><p>The major averages ended the session higher, with the Dow and S&amp;P 500 both snapping five-day losing streaks. The 30-stock benchmark added about 304 points, or 1%, while the S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.46%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was the relative outperformer, rising 2.5%.</p><p>However, market sentiment appeared to sour once again Thursday as other central banks around the globe adopted more aggressive policy stances and investors questioned whether the Fed can pull off a soft landing.</p><p>The Swiss National Bank overnight raised rates for the first time in 15 years. The Bank of England was set on Thursday to raise rates for the fifth straight time.</p><p>“It’s about time we exit this artificial world of predictable massive liquidity injections where everybody gets used to zero interest rates, where we do silly things whether it’s investing in parts of the market we shouldn’t be investing in or investing in the economy in ways that don’t make sense,” Allianz chief investment advisor Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday. “We are exiting that regime and it’s going to be bumpy.”</p><p>Tech shares moved lower in premarket trading following Wednesday’s bounce, with Tesla, PayPal, Nvidia, Amazon and Netflix all down more than 3%.</p><p>“There is an astonishing level of tech selling right now,” wrote CNBC’s Jim Cramer in a tweet Thursday. “It is breathtaking to watch as sellers are sending the best techs down gigantically at 5 a.m.”</p><p>Travel stocks including United, Delta and Carnival also took a leg lower.</p><p>Data out Thursday further indicated a dramatic slowdown in economic activity. Housing starts dropped 14% in May, topping the 2.6% decline expected by economists polled by Dow Jones. The Philadelphia Fed Business Index for June came in with a negative 3.3 reading, its first contraction since May 2020</p><p>The major averages entered Thursday’s session down for the week and well below record levels.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are both in bear market territory, down roughly 21% and 32% from their all-time highs in January and November, respectively. The Dow, meantime, is 17% below its Jan. 5 all-time intraday high.</p><p>Rampant inflation, which is at the highest level in 40 years, has weighed on the major averages, as have fears around slowing economic growth and the possibility of a recession.</p><p>Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Michael Wilson warned that the inflation problem won’t be solved overnight.</p><p>“It also raises the risk of a recession because you’re bringing forward rate hikes even faster, and I don’t think it’s going to help the bond market,” he said on CNBC’s“Closing Bell.”</p><p>Economic data out Thursday includes weekly jobless claims numbers, with economists surveyed by Dow Jones forecasting a 220,000 print. Housing starts will also be released, whileAdobeandKrogerwill report quarterly updates.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Tumbles 500 Points, Reversing Wednesday’S Gains on Rising Recession Fears</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Tumbles 500 Points, Reversing Wednesday’S Gains on Rising Recession Fears\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 21:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks were under pressure Thursday, putting the major averages to give up the solid gains made in the previous session.</p><p>Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.5%, or 460 points. S&amp;P 500 futures were down 1.7%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 2%. All three futures contracts had earlier been trading in positive territory.</p><p>The 10-year Treasury yield resumed its massive June run on Thursday, reversing higher overnight. The 10-year yield was last around 3.44% after ending May at 2.84%.</p><p>Those moves come after the Federal Reserve implemented its largest interest rate hike since 1994 on Wednesday. The Fed raised rates by75 basis points, as was widely anticipated.</p><p>“Clearly, today’s 75 basis point increase is an unusually large one, and I do not expect moves of this size to be common,” Federal Reserve ChairmanJerome Powell said at a news conference following the decision.</p><p>Stocks took a leg higher Wednesday after Powell said that a 50 or 75 basis point increase “seems most likely”at the next meeting in July, indicating the central bank’s commitment to fighting inflation. Powell did caution, however, that decisions will be made “meeting by meeting.”</p><p>The major averages ended the session higher, with the Dow and S&amp;P 500 both snapping five-day losing streaks. The 30-stock benchmark added about 304 points, or 1%, while the S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.46%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was the relative outperformer, rising 2.5%.</p><p>However, market sentiment appeared to sour once again Thursday as other central banks around the globe adopted more aggressive policy stances and investors questioned whether the Fed can pull off a soft landing.</p><p>The Swiss National Bank overnight raised rates for the first time in 15 years. The Bank of England was set on Thursday to raise rates for the fifth straight time.</p><p>“It’s about time we exit this artificial world of predictable massive liquidity injections where everybody gets used to zero interest rates, where we do silly things whether it’s investing in parts of the market we shouldn’t be investing in or investing in the economy in ways that don’t make sense,” Allianz chief investment advisor Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday. “We are exiting that regime and it’s going to be bumpy.”</p><p>Tech shares moved lower in premarket trading following Wednesday’s bounce, with Tesla, PayPal, Nvidia, Amazon and Netflix all down more than 3%.</p><p>“There is an astonishing level of tech selling right now,” wrote CNBC’s Jim Cramer in a tweet Thursday. “It is breathtaking to watch as sellers are sending the best techs down gigantically at 5 a.m.”</p><p>Travel stocks including United, Delta and Carnival also took a leg lower.</p><p>Data out Thursday further indicated a dramatic slowdown in economic activity. Housing starts dropped 14% in May, topping the 2.6% decline expected by economists polled by Dow Jones. The Philadelphia Fed Business Index for June came in with a negative 3.3 reading, its first contraction since May 2020</p><p>The major averages entered Thursday’s session down for the week and well below record levels.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are both in bear market territory, down roughly 21% and 32% from their all-time highs in January and November, respectively. The Dow, meantime, is 17% below its Jan. 5 all-time intraday high.</p><p>Rampant inflation, which is at the highest level in 40 years, has weighed on the major averages, as have fears around slowing economic growth and the possibility of a recession.</p><p>Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Michael Wilson warned that the inflation problem won’t be solved overnight.</p><p>“It also raises the risk of a recession because you’re bringing forward rate hikes even faster, and I don’t think it’s going to help the bond market,” he said on CNBC’s“Closing Bell.”</p><p>Economic data out Thursday includes weekly jobless claims numbers, with economists surveyed by Dow Jones forecasting a 220,000 print. Housing starts will also be released, whileAdobeandKrogerwill report quarterly updates.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118727036","content_text":"U.S. stocks were under pressure Thursday, putting the major averages to give up the solid gains made in the previous session.Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.5%, or 460 points. S&P 500 futures were down 1.7%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 2%. All three futures contracts had earlier been trading in positive territory.The 10-year Treasury yield resumed its massive June run on Thursday, reversing higher overnight. The 10-year yield was last around 3.44% after ending May at 2.84%.Those moves come after the Federal Reserve implemented its largest interest rate hike since 1994 on Wednesday. The Fed raised rates by75 basis points, as was widely anticipated.“Clearly, today’s 75 basis point increase is an unusually large one, and I do not expect moves of this size to be common,” Federal Reserve ChairmanJerome Powell said at a news conference following the decision.Stocks took a leg higher Wednesday after Powell said that a 50 or 75 basis point increase “seems most likely”at the next meeting in July, indicating the central bank’s commitment to fighting inflation. Powell did caution, however, that decisions will be made “meeting by meeting.”The major averages ended the session higher, with the Dow and S&P 500 both snapping five-day losing streaks. The 30-stock benchmark added about 304 points, or 1%, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.46%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was the relative outperformer, rising 2.5%.However, market sentiment appeared to sour once again Thursday as other central banks around the globe adopted more aggressive policy stances and investors questioned whether the Fed can pull off a soft landing.The Swiss National Bank overnight raised rates for the first time in 15 years. The Bank of England was set on Thursday to raise rates for the fifth straight time.“It’s about time we exit this artificial world of predictable massive liquidity injections where everybody gets used to zero interest rates, where we do silly things whether it’s investing in parts of the market we shouldn’t be investing in or investing in the economy in ways that don’t make sense,” Allianz chief investment advisor Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday. “We are exiting that regime and it’s going to be bumpy.”Tech shares moved lower in premarket trading following Wednesday’s bounce, with Tesla, PayPal, Nvidia, Amazon and Netflix all down more than 3%.“There is an astonishing level of tech selling right now,” wrote CNBC’s Jim Cramer in a tweet Thursday. “It is breathtaking to watch as sellers are sending the best techs down gigantically at 5 a.m.”Travel stocks including United, Delta and Carnival also took a leg lower.Data out Thursday further indicated a dramatic slowdown in economic activity. Housing starts dropped 14% in May, topping the 2.6% decline expected by economists polled by Dow Jones. The Philadelphia Fed Business Index for June came in with a negative 3.3 reading, its first contraction since May 2020The major averages entered Thursday’s session down for the week and well below record levels.The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are both in bear market territory, down roughly 21% and 32% from their all-time highs in January and November, respectively. The Dow, meantime, is 17% below its Jan. 5 all-time intraday high.Rampant inflation, which is at the highest level in 40 years, has weighed on the major averages, as have fears around slowing economic growth and the possibility of a recession.Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Michael Wilson warned that the inflation problem won’t be solved overnight.“It also raises the risk of a recession because you’re bringing forward rate hikes even faster, and I don’t think it’s going to help the bond market,” he said on CNBC’s“Closing Bell.”Economic data out Thursday includes weekly jobless claims numbers, with economists surveyed by Dow Jones forecasting a 220,000 print. Housing starts will also be released, whileAdobeandKrogerwill report quarterly updates.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055424017,"gmtCreate":1655304467739,"gmtModify":1676535608884,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055424017","repostId":"2243091930","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2243091930","pubTimestamp":1655303700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243091930?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ZIFT SOLUTIONS LAUNCHES INTEGRATION BETWEEN ZIFTONE AND MICROSOFT DYNAMICS 365","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243091930","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"CARY, N.C., June 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div>\n<p><span>CARY, N.C.</span>, <span>June 15, 2022</span> /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship management (PRM) and through-channel marketing automation (TCMA) software, today announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 to offer an integrated technology solution for partner programs. By eliminating the tracking of data in multiple platforms, companies with channel partner programs will now be able to manage data seamlessly between ZiftONE and Dynamics 365. Zift also announced it has earned co-sell ready status with Microsoft and will co-market solutions to Dynamics 365 customers. The new ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 product will also be available on Microsoft AppSource.</p>\n<div>\n<p>\n<img src=\"https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/1294823/Zift_Solutions_Logo.jpg\" title=\"(PRNewsfoto/Zift Solutions)\"/>\n</p>\n</div>\n<div contenteditable=\"false\">Zift Solutions announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 for an integrated solution for partner programs.</div><p>\"We are thrilled to announce the collaboration between Zift and Microsoft to deliver a Dynamics 365 capability that manages channel partners through our industry-leading ZiftONE platform,\" said Gordon Rapkin, CEO of Zift Solutions. \"By building partner management directly in Dynamics 365, the user experience for channel sales leaders, marketing leaders, and administrators is familiar and efficient, and delivers the full power of Zift's Partner Relationship Management (PRM) platform.\"</p>\n<p>With this integration, Dynamics 365 customers can now manage deals and users directly in Dynamics 365 without ever leaving their native environment. With a combination of channel expertise, powerful data tools, and a platform built for ease-of-use, channel programs will be empowered to see immediate ROI and dramatically improve their partner experience.</p>\n<p>This new solution includes all of ZiftONE's features: Dynamic, hyper-personalized, easy to use partner portal experience, powerful through-partner social media and email marketing campaigns, co-brandable video, comprehensive onboarding plans, easy-to-create online training, partner locator, deal registration, lead distribution and more.</p>\n<p>\"Microsoft is glad to be partnering with Zift Solutions to provide a partner relationship channel management system with a more seamless technology experience built on Dynamics 365,\" says Toby Bowers, General Manager, Industry, Applications &amp; Data Marketing at Microsoft Corp. \"By making it easier for partner programs to access their data in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> place, we are significantly reducing roadblocks that lead to friction and reduced ROI.\"</p>\n<p>Companies interested in adding ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 to their current Dynamics 365 instance can view the listing in the Microsoft AppSource to find out more.</p>\n<div aria-level=\"3\" role=\"heading\"><b>About Zift Solutions</b></div><p>Founded in 2006, Zift Solutions delivers Partner Relationship Management (PRM) and Channel Marketing Management. For more information, visit www.ziftsolutions.com.</p>\n<p>CONTACT: Heather BallSenior Director of Marketing<span>[email protected]</span></p>\n<div>\n</div>\n<p><img height=\"12\" src=\"https://c212.net/c/img/favicon.png?sn=CL90151&amp;sd=2022-06-15\" title=\"Cision\" width=\"12\"/> View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/zift-solutions-launches-integration-between-ziftone-and-microsoft-dynamics-365-301568730.html</p>\n<p>SOURCE Zift Solutions</p>\n</div> </div></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ZIFT SOLUTIONS LAUNCHES INTEGRATION BETWEEN ZIFTONE AND MICROSOFT DYNAMICS 365</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZIFT SOLUTIONS LAUNCHES INTEGRATION BETWEEN ZIFTONE AND MICROSOFT DYNAMICS 365\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 22:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20217518><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>CARY, N.C., June 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship management (PRM) and through-channel marketing automation (TCMA) software, today announced a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20217518\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4577":"网络游戏","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","MSFT":"微软","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20217518","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243091930","content_text":"CARY, N.C., June 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship management (PRM) and through-channel marketing automation (TCMA) software, today announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 to offer an integrated technology solution for partner programs. By eliminating the tracking of data in multiple platforms, companies with channel partner programs will now be able to manage data seamlessly between ZiftONE and Dynamics 365. Zift also announced it has earned co-sell ready status with Microsoft and will co-market solutions to Dynamics 365 customers. The new ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 product will also be available on Microsoft AppSource.\n\n\n\n\n\nZift Solutions announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 for an integrated solution for partner programs.\"We are thrilled to announce the collaboration between Zift and Microsoft to deliver a Dynamics 365 capability that manages channel partners through our industry-leading ZiftONE platform,\" said Gordon Rapkin, CEO of Zift Solutions. \"By building partner management directly in Dynamics 365, the user experience for channel sales leaders, marketing leaders, and administrators is familiar and efficient, and delivers the full power of Zift's Partner Relationship Management (PRM) platform.\"\nWith this integration, Dynamics 365 customers can now manage deals and users directly in Dynamics 365 without ever leaving their native environment. With a combination of channel expertise, powerful data tools, and a platform built for ease-of-use, channel programs will be empowered to see immediate ROI and dramatically improve their partner experience.\nThis new solution includes all of ZiftONE's features: Dynamic, hyper-personalized, easy to use partner portal experience, powerful through-partner social media and email marketing campaigns, co-brandable video, comprehensive onboarding plans, easy-to-create online training, partner locator, deal registration, lead distribution and more.\n\"Microsoft is glad to be partnering with Zift Solutions to provide a partner relationship channel management system with a more seamless technology experience built on Dynamics 365,\" says Toby Bowers, General Manager, Industry, Applications & Data Marketing at Microsoft Corp. \"By making it easier for partner programs to access their data in one place, we are significantly reducing roadblocks that lead to friction and reduced ROI.\"\nCompanies interested in adding ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 to their current Dynamics 365 instance can view the listing in the Microsoft AppSource to find out more.\nAbout Zift SolutionsFounded in 2006, Zift Solutions delivers Partner Relationship Management (PRM) and Channel Marketing Management. For more information, visit www.ziftsolutions.com.\nCONTACT: Heather BallSenior Director of Marketing[email protected]\n\n\n View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/zift-solutions-launches-integration-between-ziftone-and-microsoft-dynamics-365-301568730.html\nSOURCE Zift Solutions","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055425687,"gmtCreate":1655304394149,"gmtModify":1676535608892,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055425687","repostId":"1183345309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183345309","pubTimestamp":1655275365,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183345309?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 14:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储加息75个基点成华尔街共识，美股离筑底还有多远？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183345309","media":"第一财经","summary":"纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员","content":"<div>\n<p>纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员安德森（Timothy Anderson）向第一财经记者解释道，10日出炉的5月消费者价格指数（CPI）和6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数明确显示，美国民众最关心的通胀问题仍在恶化。“联储官员必须向消费者...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"dyvj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储加息75个基点成华尔街共识，美股离筑底还有多远？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储加息75个基点成华尔街共识，美股离筑底还有多远？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 14:42 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员安德森（Timothy Anderson）向第一财经记者解释道，10日出炉的5月消费者价格指数（CPI）和6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数明确显示，美国民众最关心的通胀问题仍在恶化。“联储官员必须向消费者...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183345309","content_text":"纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员安德森（Timothy Anderson）向第一财经记者解释道，10日出炉的5月消费者价格指数（CPI）和6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数明确显示，美国民众最关心的通胀问题仍在恶化。“联储官员必须向消费者和投资者表态，抗通胀，他们是认真的。”安德森认为，“认真”的表现形式就是扩大加息的幅度。截至第一财经记者发稿时，芝商所利率观察工具（FedWatch Tool）显示，押注15日美联储加息75个基点的概率由前一日的34.6%骤然升至95.8%，而一周前，仅为3.9%。高盛、摩根大通、富国银行、德意志银行、巴克莱和杰夫瑞等多家机构均预测，美联储将在15日后宣布75个基点加息，若预测准确，这将成1994年以来美联储最大幅度的单次加息。6月加息75个基点的概率高达95.8%（图源：芝商所官网）纠错？美联储以往通常尽可能与市场充分沟通，避免市场震荡。在6月4日开始的静默期之前，包括鲍威尔在内的不少美联储官员表示支持本周加息50个基点，并在7月再次加息50个基点。那么，市场为何认为美联储将会“食言”？券商OANDA高级市场分析师莫亚（Edward Moya）对第一财经记者表示，美联储转变态度实则是纠正错误。“一直以来，鲍威尔对通胀存在错判，如果美联储再不积极加息，恐有政策失误的风险。”他称，美联储正试图避免上世纪70年代犯过的错误，75个基点的加息幅度将是向正确的政策方向迈出一步。对冲基金Pershing Square创始人阿克曼（Bill Ackman）则认为，这将是美联储挽回市场信心的机会。他表示，美联储允许通胀失控的现实，令股市和信贷市场对美联储失去信心，他甚至认为，6月、7月及随后的议息会议加息100个基点会是更好的方案。“美联储越早达到终端利率，就能越快开始放松货币政策，市场就能越早实现复苏。”他说。靴子落地后，市场能否筑底？美股正在抢跑美联储，为更激进的加息前景重新定价。隔夜，标普500指数五连阴，继续于熊市区间下探，跌至2021年1月以来的低位，较其1月历史高位跌超22%。上次熊市期间，标普500指数较前高下跌33.9%才开始反弹。另有数据显示，标普500指数熊市平均持续时间超过18个月。美国银行最新月度调查显示，鹰派央行被投资者视为市场面临的最大尾部风险，全球经济衰退是第二大风险，基金经理对全球经济前景的悲观情绪达到历史之最，对滞胀的担忧达到2008年金融危机以来的最高水平。美银首席全球股票策略师哈奈特（Michael Hartnett）在报告中写道，华尔街悲观情绪堪忧。莫亚对第一财经记者表示，即便美联储靴子落地，短期之内华尔街将很难看到任何可能的反弹。安德森则认为，金融市场将欣然接受75个基点的加息，可能不会立刻看到美股反弹，但股市的下行压力应该会得到一定缓解。本周是央行超级周，除了美联储，英格兰银行、日本央行等都将公布利率决议，然而，各国都面临自身的经济挑战，在能源、食品价格飙升，供应链问题加剧等全球问题上越发难以独善其身。荷兰国际集团（ING）宏观研究全球主管布热斯基（Carsten Brzeski）表示：“各大央行好像自己都慌了，市场突然需要接受这个高利率的新时代，因此股市出现大幅调整，也是合理的。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055422209,"gmtCreate":1655304339401,"gmtModify":1676535608843,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055422209","repostId":"1183345309","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056399638,"gmtCreate":1654936400824,"gmtModify":1676535537334,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056399638","repostId":"2242634960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2242634960","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"时代财经是“南方传媒”新媒体转型,寻求新的产业风口的重磅财经新闻产品。在当下财经资讯泛滥的市场中,时代财经只创作和精选深度财经新闻","home_visible":1,"media_name":"时代财经","id":"1083162684","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e46aca849659e0b62b7d019d1950408"},"pubTimestamp":1654852571,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2242634960?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-10 17:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"比亚迪造富：巴菲特爆赚30倍，有人持股27年成地方首富","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242634960","media":"时代财经","summary":"今年以来比亚迪股价一路走高，让不少股民赚的盆满钵满。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者：张旭</p><p>前有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>市值突破万亿，被冠以“宁王”之称，如今，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>“比王”也来了。</p><p>6月10日开盘，比亚迪一路拉升走高，盘中一度大涨8.32%，股价创历史新高，市值突破万亿元。截至10日收盘，比亚迪A股单日涨幅达到8.19%，报收348.8元/股，总市值为10154亿元。</p><p>今年以来，比亚迪股价一路走高，让不少股民赚的盆满钵满。有股民6月8日发帖称，两年多来帮亲戚代持账户，满仓比亚迪，因为亲戚要置换新房，选择了清仓，两年多时间赚到80万元。</p><p>中国车企市值历史上首次突破万亿，其意义远比“赚一套房”更深远。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21187b8f330e7b6f73a6b15038aeeaec\" tg-width=\"1334\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>图片来源：比亚迪官网</p><h4><b>巴菲特投资比亚迪赚30倍，“中国巴菲特”赚的更多</b></h4><h5></h5><p>通过炒股买房买车并不稀奇，但凭借投资比亚迪登上福布斯富豪榜的，就是一段传奇了。这个人，就是比亚迪创始人王传福的表哥吕向阳。</p><p>公开报道称，王传福的创业资金，是吕向阳给的。吕向阳一开始反对他创业，王传福坚持道：“我是研究电池出身的，也有电池企业的管理经验，我相信自己，你也了解我的能力。至于市场方面，你可以不相信我的判断，但你应该相信电池行业的潜力。”</p><p>最终，吕向阳出资250万元，以第二大股东的身份，与王传福在1995年创立了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">比亚迪股份</a>有限公司。</p><p>2002年，比亚迪上市，市值在两个月之内就上涨了70%。那一年，王传福和吕向阳这对兄弟双双冲上《福布斯》中国内地富豪榜，分别以1.52亿美元和1.45亿美元的资产，名列第41位和48位。</p><p>2003年，王传福把比亚迪做成了国内第一、全球第二大手机电池制造商，超越日本三洋成为世界电池之王。同年，王传福宣布比亚迪要做国内最大的电动汽车企业。</p><p>2008年9月，“股神”巴菲特投资的旗下附属公司MidAmerican斥资2.3亿美元，购入比亚迪10%股份，这也是其在中国投资的第一家企业。如今，比亚迪的市值突破万亿元，14年时间巴菲特赚了30多倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e89a30de2e719cf5189bf6df390a2ea\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>6月10日，比亚迪市值首次突破一万亿。</p><p>目前，吕向阳个人仍是比亚迪第三大股东，吕向阳与其妻子张长虹共同控制的融捷集团，还是比亚迪第五大股东。吕向阳投资比亚迪的250万元，变成了如今上千亿的资产，投资回报超过40000倍。他从比亚迪赚到的钱，比巴菲特本人还多，这让他有了“中国巴菲特”之称。</p><p>另据2022年胡润中国百富榜显示，吕向阳、张长虹夫妇还以1250亿的总资产坐上“广州首富”宝座。</p><p>除此之外，华尔街知名基金经理、有“女版巴菲特”之称的凯西·伍德也是比亚迪的股东。本周一，她旗下的方舟投资管理公司出售了80725股比亚迪在美国OTC市场的股票，按收盘价计算价值617万美元，这是她近9个月来首次减持比亚迪OTC股票。</p><p>一家比亚迪，让巴菲特、“中国巴菲特”、“女版巴菲特”齐聚一堂，也算投资界一桩美谈了。</p><h4><b>比亚迪市值全球第三，新能源车销量力压<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b></h4><h5></h5><p>比亚迪的成就离不开新能源汽车行业的高速发展。</p><p>2021年，中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600617\">国新能源</a>汽车产销超过350万辆，我国新能源汽车销量已经连续7年位居全球第一。进入2022年，我国对新能源汽车的强劲需求势头不减，国内新能源乘用车占世界新能源乘用车的57%。</p><p>比亚迪长期领跑国内车企市值排行榜。Wind数据显示，在4月份中国车企市值排行榜上，比亚迪以7074.08亿元的市值高居榜首。约等于排名第二至第四的长城、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600104\">上汽集团</a>市值的总和。</p><p>6月7日全球车企市值排行榜榜单中，比亚迪是排行榜前十名中唯一的一家中国汽车公司。比亚迪以1288亿美元（约8626亿人民币）的市值力压大众、奔驰、宝马、通用、福特、本田等一众跨国车企，是市值排在第十位的本田集团的近三倍。在比亚迪前面的，只剩下7288.8亿美元的特斯拉，和2289.6亿美元的丰田集团。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443cadccf781ad782613bdbdc199c982\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>比亚迪在全球车企市值榜单上排名第三。</p><p>从产销量看，5月份，比亚迪的新能源汽车产销量分别为118135辆和114943辆。2022年前五个月，比亚迪的新能源汽车产销量分别为513143辆和507314辆，同比分别上涨约347%和348%。</p><p>具体来看，在新能源市场，特斯拉3月份短暂赢得了全球电动车销售冠军，也是今年唯一一次超越比亚迪，紧接着4月份和5月份再次被比亚迪超越。</p><p>业绩方面，2022年第一季度，比亚迪实现营收668.25亿元，同比增长63.02%。归属上市公司净利润8.084亿元，同比增长240.59%。经营活动产生的现金流量净额为119.33亿元，同比增长8312.29%。基本每股盈利0.28元，同比增长250%。</p><p>分析人士指出，比亚迪市值过万亿，在中国新能源汽车史上有着里程碑式的意义。目前，比亚迪的估值主要还是落在整车业务上，动力电池外供所带来的估值提升并不大。但自给自足的电池能给比亚迪带来巨大的供应链、成本优势，未来比亚迪的利润率有望进一步提升。</p><p>本月8日，比亚迪宣布将A股回购价格上限由300元/股上调至400元/股，可见其信心十足。</p><p>今年二季度，比亚迪宣布将停止燃油车整车生产，专注于纯电动和插电式混合动力汽车业务，这意味着比亚迪已转型为一家纯粹的新能源汽车公司。</p><p>中国汽车技术研究中心汽车战略与政策研究中心副主任刘斌向时代财经表示，新能源汽车是长期的发展方向，比亚迪顺应趋势，十多年深耕新能源汽车，技术实力和产品力得到了显著提升，市值突破万亿，可喜可贺。</p><p>刘斌补充道：“比亚迪具有整个体系竞争力，在电池、整车及众多零部件都有布局，在应对疫情方面也凸显了其体系竞争力。新能源汽车是交通转型、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>技术、信息化技术等多项技术的终端，比亚迪处于这个多技术汇总的赛道，资本看好。”</p><p>券商和机构也持续看好比亚迪。6月10日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601211\">国泰君安</a>将比亚迪的目标价升至395元，维持增持评级。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02611\">国泰君安</a>预计，比亚迪后续单月销量仍将继续保持逐月环比提升，全年预计新能源汽车销量将达到160万辆以上，同比超过150%，占我国新能源汽车有望继续提升至27%以上的水平，继续保持国内第一的位置。</p><p>机构还表示，2022年1-4月，比亚迪装机量国内市场份额达到23%，1-3月全球市占率达到11.1%，较21年均有显著提升；随着后续给外部车企客户电池的供应，公司电池业务的市场地位和市占率有望进一步得到提升。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>比亚迪造富：巴菲特爆赚30倍，有人持股27年成地方首富</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n比亚迪造富：巴菲特爆赚30倍，有人持股27年成地方首富\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1083162684\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e46aca849659e0b62b7d019d1950408);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">时代财经 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 17:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>作者：张旭</p><p>前有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>市值突破万亿，被冠以“宁王”之称，如今，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>“比王”也来了。</p><p>6月10日开盘，比亚迪一路拉升走高，盘中一度大涨8.32%，股价创历史新高，市值突破万亿元。截至10日收盘，比亚迪A股单日涨幅达到8.19%，报收348.8元/股，总市值为10154亿元。</p><p>今年以来，比亚迪股价一路走高，让不少股民赚的盆满钵满。有股民6月8日发帖称，两年多来帮亲戚代持账户，满仓比亚迪，因为亲戚要置换新房，选择了清仓，两年多时间赚到80万元。</p><p>中国车企市值历史上首次突破万亿，其意义远比“赚一套房”更深远。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21187b8f330e7b6f73a6b15038aeeaec\" tg-width=\"1334\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>图片来源：比亚迪官网</p><h4><b>巴菲特投资比亚迪赚30倍，“中国巴菲特”赚的更多</b></h4><h5></h5><p>通过炒股买房买车并不稀奇，但凭借投资比亚迪登上福布斯富豪榜的，就是一段传奇了。这个人，就是比亚迪创始人王传福的表哥吕向阳。</p><p>公开报道称，王传福的创业资金，是吕向阳给的。吕向阳一开始反对他创业，王传福坚持道：“我是研究电池出身的，也有电池企业的管理经验，我相信自己，你也了解我的能力。至于市场方面，你可以不相信我的判断，但你应该相信电池行业的潜力。”</p><p>最终，吕向阳出资250万元，以第二大股东的身份，与王传福在1995年创立了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">比亚迪股份</a>有限公司。</p><p>2002年，比亚迪上市，市值在两个月之内就上涨了70%。那一年，王传福和吕向阳这对兄弟双双冲上《福布斯》中国内地富豪榜，分别以1.52亿美元和1.45亿美元的资产，名列第41位和48位。</p><p>2003年，王传福把比亚迪做成了国内第一、全球第二大手机电池制造商，超越日本三洋成为世界电池之王。同年，王传福宣布比亚迪要做国内最大的电动汽车企业。</p><p>2008年9月，“股神”巴菲特投资的旗下附属公司MidAmerican斥资2.3亿美元，购入比亚迪10%股份，这也是其在中国投资的第一家企业。如今，比亚迪的市值突破万亿元，14年时间巴菲特赚了30多倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e89a30de2e719cf5189bf6df390a2ea\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>6月10日，比亚迪市值首次突破一万亿。</p><p>目前，吕向阳个人仍是比亚迪第三大股东，吕向阳与其妻子张长虹共同控制的融捷集团，还是比亚迪第五大股东。吕向阳投资比亚迪的250万元，变成了如今上千亿的资产，投资回报超过40000倍。他从比亚迪赚到的钱，比巴菲特本人还多，这让他有了“中国巴菲特”之称。</p><p>另据2022年胡润中国百富榜显示，吕向阳、张长虹夫妇还以1250亿的总资产坐上“广州首富”宝座。</p><p>除此之外，华尔街知名基金经理、有“女版巴菲特”之称的凯西·伍德也是比亚迪的股东。本周一，她旗下的方舟投资管理公司出售了80725股比亚迪在美国OTC市场的股票，按收盘价计算价值617万美元，这是她近9个月来首次减持比亚迪OTC股票。</p><p>一家比亚迪，让巴菲特、“中国巴菲特”、“女版巴菲特”齐聚一堂，也算投资界一桩美谈了。</p><h4><b>比亚迪市值全球第三，新能源车销量力压<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b></h4><h5></h5><p>比亚迪的成就离不开新能源汽车行业的高速发展。</p><p>2021年，中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600617\">国新能源</a>汽车产销超过350万辆，我国新能源汽车销量已经连续7年位居全球第一。进入2022年，我国对新能源汽车的强劲需求势头不减，国内新能源乘用车占世界新能源乘用车的57%。</p><p>比亚迪长期领跑国内车企市值排行榜。Wind数据显示，在4月份中国车企市值排行榜上，比亚迪以7074.08亿元的市值高居榜首。约等于排名第二至第四的长城、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600104\">上汽集团</a>市值的总和。</p><p>6月7日全球车企市值排行榜榜单中，比亚迪是排行榜前十名中唯一的一家中国汽车公司。比亚迪以1288亿美元（约8626亿人民币）的市值力压大众、奔驰、宝马、通用、福特、本田等一众跨国车企，是市值排在第十位的本田集团的近三倍。在比亚迪前面的，只剩下7288.8亿美元的特斯拉，和2289.6亿美元的丰田集团。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443cadccf781ad782613bdbdc199c982\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>比亚迪在全球车企市值榜单上排名第三。</p><p>从产销量看，5月份，比亚迪的新能源汽车产销量分别为118135辆和114943辆。2022年前五个月，比亚迪的新能源汽车产销量分别为513143辆和507314辆，同比分别上涨约347%和348%。</p><p>具体来看，在新能源市场，特斯拉3月份短暂赢得了全球电动车销售冠军，也是今年唯一一次超越比亚迪，紧接着4月份和5月份再次被比亚迪超越。</p><p>业绩方面，2022年第一季度，比亚迪实现营收668.25亿元，同比增长63.02%。归属上市公司净利润8.084亿元，同比增长240.59%。经营活动产生的现金流量净额为119.33亿元，同比增长8312.29%。基本每股盈利0.28元，同比增长250%。</p><p>分析人士指出，比亚迪市值过万亿，在中国新能源汽车史上有着里程碑式的意义。目前，比亚迪的估值主要还是落在整车业务上，动力电池外供所带来的估值提升并不大。但自给自足的电池能给比亚迪带来巨大的供应链、成本优势，未来比亚迪的利润率有望进一步提升。</p><p>本月8日，比亚迪宣布将A股回购价格上限由300元/股上调至400元/股，可见其信心十足。</p><p>今年二季度，比亚迪宣布将停止燃油车整车生产，专注于纯电动和插电式混合动力汽车业务，这意味着比亚迪已转型为一家纯粹的新能源汽车公司。</p><p>中国汽车技术研究中心汽车战略与政策研究中心副主任刘斌向时代财经表示，新能源汽车是长期的发展方向，比亚迪顺应趋势，十多年深耕新能源汽车，技术实力和产品力得到了显著提升，市值突破万亿，可喜可贺。</p><p>刘斌补充道：“比亚迪具有整个体系竞争力，在电池、整车及众多零部件都有布局，在应对疫情方面也凸显了其体系竞争力。新能源汽车是交通转型、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>技术、信息化技术等多项技术的终端，比亚迪处于这个多技术汇总的赛道，资本看好。”</p><p>券商和机构也持续看好比亚迪。6月10日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601211\">国泰君安</a>将比亚迪的目标价升至395元，维持增持评级。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02611\">国泰君安</a>预计，比亚迪后续单月销量仍将继续保持逐月环比提升，全年预计新能源汽车销量将达到160万辆以上，同比超过150%，占我国新能源汽车有望继续提升至27%以上的水平，继续保持国内第一的位置。</p><p>机构还表示，2022年1-4月，比亚迪装机量国内市场份额达到23%，1-3月全球市占率达到11.1%，较21年均有显著提升；随着后续给外部车企客户电池的供应，公司电池业务的市场地位和市占率有望进一步得到提升。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21187b8f330e7b6f73a6b15038aeeaec","relate_stocks":{"002594":"比亚迪","00285":"比亚迪电子","01211":"比亚迪股份"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2242634960","content_text":"作者：张旭前有宁德时代市值突破万亿，被冠以“宁王”之称，如今，比亚迪“比王”也来了。6月10日开盘，比亚迪一路拉升走高，盘中一度大涨8.32%，股价创历史新高，市值突破万亿元。截至10日收盘，比亚迪A股单日涨幅达到8.19%，报收348.8元/股，总市值为10154亿元。今年以来，比亚迪股价一路走高，让不少股民赚的盆满钵满。有股民6月8日发帖称，两年多来帮亲戚代持账户，满仓比亚迪，因为亲戚要置换新房，选择了清仓，两年多时间赚到80万元。中国车企市值历史上首次突破万亿，其意义远比“赚一套房”更深远。图片来源：比亚迪官网巴菲特投资比亚迪赚30倍，“中国巴菲特”赚的更多通过炒股买房买车并不稀奇，但凭借投资比亚迪登上福布斯富豪榜的，就是一段传奇了。这个人，就是比亚迪创始人王传福的表哥吕向阳。公开报道称，王传福的创业资金，是吕向阳给的。吕向阳一开始反对他创业，王传福坚持道：“我是研究电池出身的，也有电池企业的管理经验，我相信自己，你也了解我的能力。至于市场方面，你可以不相信我的判断，但你应该相信电池行业的潜力。”最终，吕向阳出资250万元，以第二大股东的身份，与王传福在1995年创立了比亚迪股份有限公司。2002年，比亚迪上市，市值在两个月之内就上涨了70%。那一年，王传福和吕向阳这对兄弟双双冲上《福布斯》中国内地富豪榜，分别以1.52亿美元和1.45亿美元的资产，名列第41位和48位。2003年，王传福把比亚迪做成了国内第一、全球第二大手机电池制造商，超越日本三洋成为世界电池之王。同年，王传福宣布比亚迪要做国内最大的电动汽车企业。2008年9月，“股神”巴菲特投资的旗下附属公司MidAmerican斥资2.3亿美元，购入比亚迪10%股份，这也是其在中国投资的第一家企业。如今，比亚迪的市值突破万亿元，14年时间巴菲特赚了30多倍。6月10日，比亚迪市值首次突破一万亿。目前，吕向阳个人仍是比亚迪第三大股东，吕向阳与其妻子张长虹共同控制的融捷集团，还是比亚迪第五大股东。吕向阳投资比亚迪的250万元，变成了如今上千亿的资产，投资回报超过40000倍。他从比亚迪赚到的钱，比巴菲特本人还多，这让他有了“中国巴菲特”之称。另据2022年胡润中国百富榜显示，吕向阳、张长虹夫妇还以1250亿的总资产坐上“广州首富”宝座。除此之外，华尔街知名基金经理、有“女版巴菲特”之称的凯西·伍德也是比亚迪的股东。本周一，她旗下的方舟投资管理公司出售了80725股比亚迪在美国OTC市场的股票，按收盘价计算价值617万美元，这是她近9个月来首次减持比亚迪OTC股票。一家比亚迪，让巴菲特、“中国巴菲特”、“女版巴菲特”齐聚一堂，也算投资界一桩美谈了。比亚迪市值全球第三，新能源车销量力压特斯拉比亚迪的成就离不开新能源汽车行业的高速发展。2021年，中国新能源汽车产销超过350万辆，我国新能源汽车销量已经连续7年位居全球第一。进入2022年，我国对新能源汽车的强劲需求势头不减，国内新能源乘用车占世界新能源乘用车的57%。比亚迪长期领跑国内车企市值排行榜。Wind数据显示，在4月份中国车企市值排行榜上，比亚迪以7074.08亿元的市值高居榜首。约等于排名第二至第四的长城、蔚来、上汽集团市值的总和。6月7日全球车企市值排行榜榜单中，比亚迪是排行榜前十名中唯一的一家中国汽车公司。比亚迪以1288亿美元（约8626亿人民币）的市值力压大众、奔驰、宝马、通用、福特、本田等一众跨国车企，是市值排在第十位的本田集团的近三倍。在比亚迪前面的，只剩下7288.8亿美元的特斯拉，和2289.6亿美元的丰田集团。比亚迪在全球车企市值榜单上排名第三。从产销量看，5月份，比亚迪的新能源汽车产销量分别为118135辆和114943辆。2022年前五个月，比亚迪的新能源汽车产销量分别为513143辆和507314辆，同比分别上涨约347%和348%。具体来看，在新能源市场，特斯拉3月份短暂赢得了全球电动车销售冠军，也是今年唯一一次超越比亚迪，紧接着4月份和5月份再次被比亚迪超越。业绩方面，2022年第一季度，比亚迪实现营收668.25亿元，同比增长63.02%。归属上市公司净利润8.084亿元，同比增长240.59%。经营活动产生的现金流量净额为119.33亿元，同比增长8312.29%。基本每股盈利0.28元，同比增长250%。分析人士指出，比亚迪市值过万亿，在中国新能源汽车史上有着里程碑式的意义。目前，比亚迪的估值主要还是落在整车业务上，动力电池外供所带来的估值提升并不大。但自给自足的电池能给比亚迪带来巨大的供应链、成本优势，未来比亚迪的利润率有望进一步提升。本月8日，比亚迪宣布将A股回购价格上限由300元/股上调至400元/股，可见其信心十足。今年二季度，比亚迪宣布将停止燃油车整车生产，专注于纯电动和插电式混合动力汽车业务，这意味着比亚迪已转型为一家纯粹的新能源汽车公司。中国汽车技术研究中心汽车战略与政策研究中心副主任刘斌向时代财经表示，新能源汽车是长期的发展方向，比亚迪顺应趋势，十多年深耕新能源汽车，技术实力和产品力得到了显著提升，市值突破万亿，可喜可贺。刘斌补充道：“比亚迪具有整个体系竞争力，在电池、整车及众多零部件都有布局，在应对疫情方面也凸显了其体系竞争力。新能源汽车是交通转型、智能技术、信息化技术等多项技术的终端，比亚迪处于这个多技术汇总的赛道，资本看好。”券商和机构也持续看好比亚迪。6月10日，国泰君安将比亚迪的目标价升至395元，维持增持评级。国泰君安预计，比亚迪后续单月销量仍将继续保持逐月环比提升，全年预计新能源汽车销量将达到160万辆以上，同比超过150%，占我国新能源汽车有望继续提升至27%以上的水平，继续保持国内第一的位置。机构还表示，2022年1-4月，比亚迪装机量国内市场份额达到23%，1-3月全球市占率达到11.1%，较21年均有显著提升；随着后续给外部车企客户电池的供应，公司电池业务的市场地位和市占率有望进一步得到提升。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9050695669,"gmtCreate":1654179895751,"gmtModify":1676535407717,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9050695669","repostId":"1125287126","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125287126","pubTimestamp":1654165500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125287126?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-02 18:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"谁该为经济衰退负责，拜登还是鲍威尔？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125287126","media":"金十数据","summary":"拜登已将物价快速上涨的责任推给了美联储，但白宫可能还没有为接下来的事情做好准备。当中期选举年遇上高通胀肆虐时，最好的政治举措可能是将矛头推向央行。毕竟，稳定物价是他们重要的工作任务之一。不过，政府领导","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>拜登已将物价快速上涨的责任推给了美联储，但白宫可能还没有为接下来的事情做好准备。</blockquote><p>当中期选举年遇上高通胀肆虐时，最好的政治举措可能是将矛头推向央行。毕竟，稳定物价是他们重要的工作任务之一。不过，政府领导人可能会发现，抑制通胀的代价是经济衰退。目前尚不清楚他们是否准备好应对这一结果。</p><p>随着欧洲、美洲和澳洲的物价正在以几十年最快的速度上涨，让央行官员们在没有政治压力的情况下继续他们的任务是合理的。至少在理论上，央行应该能够迅速采取行动，不会像政府立法那样需要党派之间的讨价还价。</p><p>对于政府来说，这是一个双赢的局面：他们可以一边为推卸失败的责任，一边享受成功的喜悦。周二，美国总统拜登对美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话中，就带有一种强烈的授权意味。拜登宣称：</p><blockquote>“我的计划是解决通货膨胀问题，这始于一个简单的命题：尊重美联储，尊重美联储的独立性，我现在已经这么做了，而且将继续这样做。”</blockquote><p>美联储的自主权都被视为是黄金标准——就像前任美国总统特朗普辱骂鲍威尔并提出罢免他一样。即使在最好的时候，这种独立性也不是完全纯粹的，美联储官员会密切关注国会的情绪。</p><p><b>那么，为什么拜登觉得有必要去强调鲍威尔可以自由发挥呢？专栏作家Daniel Moss指出，原因在于，美联储主席应当会认识到自由发挥过程中所隐含的机遇和危险。潜台词是，你想如何紧缩经济政策都可以，但这是你的责任，你得对它负责。</b></p><p>当然，虽然领导人希望通胀回落，但他们也喜欢强劲的劳动力市场，讨厌经济衰退。拜登是否会为因命令鲍威尔采取行动而付出最终代价？Moss对此持怀疑态度。</p><p>鲍威尔可能也不想要经济衰退，但他已经敏锐地意识到全球经济正在走下坡路。人们不可避免地将他与1979年-1987年担任美联储主席的保罗•沃尔克相提并论。沃尔克以严重的经济衰退为代价阻止了通胀，并且他在里根执政期间也与里根有过令人不快的谈话。在11月的中期选举中，民意调查对于民主党人来说已经很糟糕了。经济增长放缓和就业市场降温并不会对此什么帮助。</p><p>尽管沃尔克很英勇，但在当前情况下，他可能不是一个完美的类比。1980年代初期的世界相当受控制：冷战进行得很激烈，全球一半地区几乎没有资本市场。沃尔克在他这样做的时候以巨大的力量打击通胀，因为通货膨胀至少已经恶化了十年。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>全球经济学家伊桑哈里斯在最近的一份报告中写道，这与现在的情况无法相提并论：</p><blockquote>“世界现在最不需要的就是沃尔克规模的政策冲击。沃尔克或多或少地故意制造了现代历史上最大的衰退之一。这次不一样。”</blockquote><p>虽然央行对供应链瓶颈无能为力，但瓶颈可能已经达到顶峰，衡量通胀的一项关键指标可能会在年底前回落。</p><p>拜登的言论也应该放在华盛顿当前更广泛的防御背景下去看待。本周早些时候，拜登为《华尔街日报》撰写了一篇关于他将如何遏制通胀的专栏文章。即将在周五发布的月度非农就业报告可能是通胀爆发前最具政治意义的经济报告。<b>高级官员一直谨慎地表示，就业增长可能会放缓，而拜登将这种情况描述为“这是我们成功进入复苏的下一阶段的迹象”。</b>现在似乎是纠正错误的好时机。美国财政部长耶伦（Janet Yellen）在接受CNN采访时表示，她去年错误地预测了物价上涨将是短暂的。</p><p>而在鲍威尔之前担任美联储主席的耶伦则是一个很好的例子。2007-2009年全球金融危机之后，全球央行都因没有出现通胀而感到吃惊。实际上，并非每一个乐观的数字背后都隐藏着价格上涨。这使得从各个央行的政策制定者都专注于推动劳动力市场的升温。他们宣称更倾向于结果，而不是预测。</p><p>如今的风险是，如果央行们需要等待通胀已经结束的明确和明确迹象，他们可能会错过扭转经济转向下行的机会。这可能会使他们不能不在未来降息更多次数。这种循环将不断重演下去。</p><p><b>结果是，央行的独立性将是一种设定货币价格的有吸引力的方式，因为如果有需要，央行可以迅速采取行动。</b></p></body></html>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>谁该为经济衰退负责，拜登还是鲍威尔？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n谁该为经济衰退负责，拜登还是鲍威尔？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-02 18:25 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/95000><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>拜登已将物价快速上涨的责任推给了美联储，但白宫可能还没有为接下来的事情做好准备。当中期选举年遇上高通胀肆虐时，最好的政治举措可能是将矛头推向央行。毕竟，稳定物价是他们重要的工作任务之一。不过，政府领导人可能会发现，抑制通胀的代价是经济衰退。目前尚不清楚他们是否准备好应对这一结果。随着欧洲、美洲和澳洲的物价正在以几十年最快的速度上涨，让央行官员们在没有政治压力的情况下继续他们的任务是合理的。至少在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/95000\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59f80b4f5ca39b50a8c2a9898ba64544","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/95000","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125287126","content_text":"拜登已将物价快速上涨的责任推给了美联储，但白宫可能还没有为接下来的事情做好准备。当中期选举年遇上高通胀肆虐时，最好的政治举措可能是将矛头推向央行。毕竟，稳定物价是他们重要的工作任务之一。不过，政府领导人可能会发现，抑制通胀的代价是经济衰退。目前尚不清楚他们是否准备好应对这一结果。随着欧洲、美洲和澳洲的物价正在以几十年最快的速度上涨，让央行官员们在没有政治压力的情况下继续他们的任务是合理的。至少在理论上，央行应该能够迅速采取行动，不会像政府立法那样需要党派之间的讨价还价。对于政府来说，这是一个双赢的局面：他们可以一边为推卸失败的责任，一边享受成功的喜悦。周二，美国总统拜登对美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话中，就带有一种强烈的授权意味。拜登宣称：“我的计划是解决通货膨胀问题，这始于一个简单的命题：尊重美联储，尊重美联储的独立性，我现在已经这么做了，而且将继续这样做。”美联储的自主权都被视为是黄金标准——就像前任美国总统特朗普辱骂鲍威尔并提出罢免他一样。即使在最好的时候，这种独立性也不是完全纯粹的，美联储官员会密切关注国会的情绪。那么，为什么拜登觉得有必要去强调鲍威尔可以自由发挥呢？专栏作家Daniel Moss指出，原因在于，美联储主席应当会认识到自由发挥过程中所隐含的机遇和危险。潜台词是，你想如何紧缩经济政策都可以，但这是你的责任，你得对它负责。当然，虽然领导人希望通胀回落，但他们也喜欢强劲的劳动力市场，讨厌经济衰退。拜登是否会为因命令鲍威尔采取行动而付出最终代价？Moss对此持怀疑态度。鲍威尔可能也不想要经济衰退，但他已经敏锐地意识到全球经济正在走下坡路。人们不可避免地将他与1979年-1987年担任美联储主席的保罗•沃尔克相提并论。沃尔克以严重的经济衰退为代价阻止了通胀，并且他在里根执政期间也与里根有过令人不快的谈话。在11月的中期选举中，民意调查对于民主党人来说已经很糟糕了。经济增长放缓和就业市场降温并不会对此什么帮助。尽管沃尔克很英勇，但在当前情况下，他可能不是一个完美的类比。1980年代初期的世界相当受控制：冷战进行得很激烈，全球一半地区几乎没有资本市场。沃尔克在他这样做的时候以巨大的力量打击通胀，因为通货膨胀至少已经恶化了十年。美国银行全球经济学家伊桑哈里斯在最近的一份报告中写道，这与现在的情况无法相提并论：“世界现在最不需要的就是沃尔克规模的政策冲击。沃尔克或多或少地故意制造了现代历史上最大的衰退之一。这次不一样。”虽然央行对供应链瓶颈无能为力，但瓶颈可能已经达到顶峰，衡量通胀的一项关键指标可能会在年底前回落。拜登的言论也应该放在华盛顿当前更广泛的防御背景下去看待。本周早些时候，拜登为《华尔街日报》撰写了一篇关于他将如何遏制通胀的专栏文章。即将在周五发布的月度非农就业报告可能是通胀爆发前最具政治意义的经济报告。高级官员一直谨慎地表示，就业增长可能会放缓，而拜登将这种情况描述为“这是我们成功进入复苏的下一阶段的迹象”。现在似乎是纠正错误的好时机。美国财政部长耶伦（Janet Yellen）在接受CNN采访时表示，她去年错误地预测了物价上涨将是短暂的。而在鲍威尔之前担任美联储主席的耶伦则是一个很好的例子。2007-2009年全球金融危机之后，全球央行都因没有出现通胀而感到吃惊。实际上，并非每一个乐观的数字背后都隐藏着价格上涨。这使得从各个央行的政策制定者都专注于推动劳动力市场的升温。他们宣称更倾向于结果，而不是预测。如今的风险是，如果央行们需要等待通胀已经结束的明确和明确迹象，他们可能会错过扭转经济转向下行的机会。这可能会使他们不能不在未来降息更多次数。这种循环将不断重演下去。结果是，央行的独立性将是一种设定货币价格的有吸引力的方式，因为如果有需要，央行可以迅速采取行动。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024848384,"gmtCreate":1653863304848,"gmtModify":1676535350865,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024848384","repostId":"1168055084","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168055084","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1653638568,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168055084?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-27 16:02","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"盘前异动 | 热门中概股普跌！滴滴逆势大涨逾7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168055084","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月27日，美股三大股指期货小幅下跌，道指期货跌0.09%，纳指期货跌0.26%，标普500指数期货跌0.09%。热门中概股盘前走势分化，哔哩哔哩、RLX科技跌逾3%，阿里巴巴、蔚来、小鹏汽车跌逾1%","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>5月27日，美股三大股指期货小幅下跌，道指期货跌0.09%，纳指期货跌0.26%，标普500指数期货跌0.09%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853ba25e93031b37e0c67abf795b5359\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>热门中概股盘前走势分化，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">RLX科技</a>跌逾3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌逾1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>大涨逾7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>小幅走高。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">好市多</a>盘前跌近2%，Q3毛利率下降0.99%，市场担忧通胀下毛利率承压。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACB\">奥罗拉大麻公司</a>盘前跌逾13%，将通过包销协议融资约1.25亿美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap</a>盘前跌16%，一季度业绩不及预期，公司大幅下调2022财年全年指引。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>盘前涨约10.5%，Q1营收、运营利润均创新高，净利同比增62%至11亿美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>盘前涨近4%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前异动 | 热门中概股普跌！滴滴逆势大涨逾7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前异动 | 热门中概股普跌！滴滴逆势大涨逾7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-27 16:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>5月27日，美股三大股指期货小幅下跌，道指期货跌0.09%，纳指期货跌0.26%，标普500指数期货跌0.09%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853ba25e93031b37e0c67abf795b5359\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>热门中概股盘前走势分化，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">RLX科技</a>跌逾3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌逾1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>大涨逾7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>小幅走高。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">好市多</a>盘前跌近2%，Q3毛利率下降0.99%，市场担忧通胀下毛利率承压。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACB\">奥罗拉大麻公司</a>盘前跌逾13%，将通过包销协议融资约1.25亿美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap</a>盘前跌16%，一季度业绩不及预期，公司大幅下调2022财年全年指引。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>盘前涨约10.5%，Q1营收、运营利润均创新高，净利同比增62%至11亿美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>盘前涨近4%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4526":"热门中概股","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BABA":"阿里巴巴",".DJI":"道琼斯","RLX":"雾芯科技","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","03086":"华夏纳指","BK4022":"陆运","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","09868":"小鹏汽车-W","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","COST":"好市多","BK4539":"次新股","BK4531":"中概回港概念","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","09626":"哔哩哔哩-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168055084","content_text":"5月27日，美股三大股指期货小幅下跌，道指期货跌0.09%，纳指期货跌0.26%，标普500指数期货跌0.09%。热门中概股盘前走势分化，哔哩哔哩、RLX科技跌逾3%，阿里巴巴、蔚来、小鹏汽车跌逾1%；滴滴大涨逾7%，拼多多、京东小幅走高。好市多盘前跌近2%，Q3毛利率下降0.99%，市场担忧通胀下毛利率承压。奥罗拉大麻公司盘前跌逾13%，将通过包销协议融资约1.25亿美元。Gap盘前跌16%，一季度业绩不及预期，公司大幅下调2022财年全年指引。戴尔盘前涨约10.5%，Q1营收、运营利润均创新高，净利同比增62%至11亿美元。迈威尔科技盘前涨近4%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024848020,"gmtCreate":1653863266160,"gmtModify":1676535350858,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024848020","repostId":"1169637590","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169637590","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1653658233,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169637590?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-27 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"开盘 | 美股三大指数集体高开，拼多多涨超7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169637590","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨175.14点，涨幅1.49%，报11915.79点。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，Q1营收同比增长7%至238亿元，较上年同期扭亏为盈。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>涨超15%，一季度营收、运营利润均创新高。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap</a>跌超11%，公司一季度业绩不及预期并大幅下调2022财年全年指引。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>涨5.54%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCH\">Farfetch</a>涨超11%，Q1录得营收5.15亿美元，绩后获<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>维持增持评级。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>涨5.26%，Q1营收同比增长4.4%至5.17亿元，净利润环比增长超80%至1641.8万元。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>开盘 | 美股三大指数集体高开，拼多多涨超7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n开盘 | 美股三大指数集体高开，拼多多涨超7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-27 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨175.14点，涨幅1.49%，报11915.79点。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，Q1营收同比增长7%至238亿元，较上年同期扭亏为盈。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>涨超15%，一季度营收、运营利润均创新高。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap</a>跌超11%，公司一季度业绩不及预期并大幅下调2022财年全年指引。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>涨5.54%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCH\">Farfetch</a>涨超11%，Q1录得营收5.15亿美元，绩后获<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>维持增持评级。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>涨5.26%，Q1营收同比增长4.4%至5.17亿元，净利润环比增长超80%至1641.8万元。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{"BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4558":"双十一","PDD":"拼多多",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169637590","content_text":"5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨175.14点，涨幅1.49%，报11915.79点。拼多多涨超7%，Q1营收同比增长7%至238亿元，较上年同期扭亏为盈。戴尔涨超15%，一季度营收、运营利润均创新高。Gap跌超11%，公司一季度业绩不及预期并大幅下调2022财年全年指引。迈威尔科技涨5.54%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。Farfetch涨超11%，Q1录得营收5.15亿美元，绩后获摩根士丹利维持增持评级。荔枝涨5.26%，Q1营收同比增长4.4%至5.17亿元，净利润环比增长超80%至1641.8万元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024894305,"gmtCreate":1653836091907,"gmtModify":1676535348985,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024894305","repostId":"1123332477","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123332477","pubTimestamp":1653793531,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123332477?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-29 11:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"抖音对垒视频号，孙燕姿和罗大佑你pick了谁？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123332477","media":"36氪","summary":"无论是抖音，还是亟待变现的视频号，这都是一场不能输的战役。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者：窦轩</p><p>5月27日晚上8点，两场同时进行的演唱会，刷屏了各个社交平台。</p><p>一场来自于视频号，华语音乐教父罗大佑首次在线上开启了自己的演唱会；另一场则在抖音直播上演，请到了天后孙燕姿，在线上直播了一个半小时，边唱边聊。</p><p>两位在乐坛极具份量的歌手，一出场就引发了大众的回忆杀。人们自发地在社交平台上转发链接，缅怀青春。孙燕姿的线上唱聊会，在开播不久后，观看人次就迅速破亿，两场演唱会也先后登上了微博的热搜。</p><p>在大众集体追忆青春的背后，这两场演唱会，也是抖音和视频号的一次正面交锋。两场演出同时举行，时长相近，这就意味着观众大多只能二者择一。在眼见视频号已经以多场演唱会成功破圈之后，抖音终于按捺不住，发起了反攻。</p><p><b>正面交锋</b></p><p>周五的晚上，两场演唱会开始之前，朋友圈就已经被直播海报刷屏，选择看哪场，也成了大家当晚最乐于探讨的共同话题。</p><p>两位演出的歌手也已经许久不曾在线下与观众见面。上一次罗大佑在线下的演出已经是两年前，而孙燕姿已经有7年没有举办过演唱会。对他们的歌迷来说，能够在线上看到本人的现场，确实非常久违而难得。</p><p>而对居家办公多时的上班族来说，下班后迎接周末，也亟需一场演出来放松神经。无论是罗大佑的《野百合也有春天》、《恋曲1980》、《光阴的故事》，还是孙燕姿当晚演唱的《我也很想他》、《遇见》，都是一代人耳熟能详的金曲，能够迅速激起人们的青春回忆和共鸣。</p><p>教父与天后的同时段竞技，背后则是视频号与抖音的一次正面对垒。</p><p>视频号曾经举办过多场线上音乐会，抖音近一年也有过在线上举办免费乃至付费演唱会的尝试，但两个平台在同一时段办演唱会，请的又是如此有话题性的嘉宾，尚属首次。</p><p>如果仅从观看人数来看，乍一看，抖音似乎赢了视频号。孙燕姿的这场线上唱聊会，在结束前观看人次就超过了2.4亿，而罗大佑在视频号的演唱会，在结束后再次回放时，显示有“超过4000万人看过”。不过，有媒体指出，微信视频号“看过的人”和抖音的“观看人次”统计方式并不相同，因此实际差距如何很难预计。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e121b231c99ef85edd3eff54f4e7d15\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"1115\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>罗大佑线上演唱会的回放</p><p>但从整场的直播呈现效果来看，一直持续在做线上演唱会的视频号明显更加老到。罗大佑2小时的演唱会里，不仅演唱了20多首经典金曲，按照主题分成了“光阴的印记”、“童乐箴言”、“恋曲2022“三个板块，还用微信视频连线了五条人和艾怡良作为嘉宾，结束时还有安可曲。</p><p>而抖音的孙燕姿线上唱聊会，不仅因为“主持人中途还跑去上卫生间”引来粉丝不满，在快结束时还一度出现了断线的事故，过了十几分钟才切回来画面，孙燕姿也因此将这首歌重新唱了一遍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a7ec709312284ddc6179e6e3546419d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"946\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>孙燕姿演唱歌曲途中，突然断线的现场</p><p>虽然热度颇高，但无论音响、打光，还是直播清晰度和稳定性，此次策划都受到了颇多吐槽。这次演唱会，除了《我也很想他》、《遇见》等大热曲目，孙燕姿演唱的大多数曲目也都是其相对冷门的歌曲。不过，就热度而言，这也已经是抖音线上演唱会热度最高的一次。</p><p>事实上，这已经是孙燕姿和抖音的第二次合作。上一次孙燕姿和抖音的合作，是去年夏日歌会的收官场，在那场近1小时的专场里，孙燕姿演唱了《和平》、《克卜勒》、《遇见》、《我怀念的》等多首经典曲目，累计观看人数达到了1222.1万。</p><p>就观看人次而言，此次明显要高于去年的首次直播。显然，除却官方的大力宣发之外，疫情带来的线下演出取消、宅家办公等现象，也助推了线上演唱会这一形式的出圈。</p><p><b>音乐直播新战场</b></p><p>在线上演唱会这个方向上，抖音其实是更早吃螃蟹的平台。</p><p>早在2020年上半年，抖音就曾推出了“DOULive沙发音乐会”、“DOULive在现场”等系列线上Live。</p><p>去年8月3日~9月9日，抖音也曾连开七场线上夏日歌会，邀请了孙燕姿、鱼丁糸、张惠妹、陈粒等乐团和歌手参与， 累计观看量超过4000万人次。与视频号如今启动演唱会招商不同，抖音将线上演唱会商业化的途径，则是售卖付费门票。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7a5e7c7ef648e8c651a0d2e1c5d505b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>孙燕姿参与抖音夏日歌会</p><p>不过，就引发的声量而言，抖音似乎也一直没有做出一个可以与西城男孩、周杰伦演唱会相提并论的爆款。无论这次呈现质量如何，孙燕姿的线上唱聊会，可以视为抖音第一次在线上演唱会这一方向上，做出了出圈爆款。</p><p>而在此之前，举办线上音乐会，一直是视频号的出圈利器。</p><p>去年12月17日，视频号举办西城男孩线上演唱会，观看人数超2700万人，成功出圈。有了第一次成功试水之后，视频号在跨年夜又与五月天合作线上演唱会直播，观看人数超过1400万人。</p><p>视频号举办的线上演唱会，无论是录像重映，还是现场直播，都倾向于通过邀约知名度、受众都非常广泛的老牌音乐人，来引爆人气和讨论度。4月，视频号先后上线张国荣的热。情演唱会超清修复版和崔健的现场演唱会，这两场演唱会累计观看人次分别破1700万和4600万。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78d1d1a7188a3d3162e6c38dedfef3d3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"809\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>崔健线上演唱会海报</p><p>罗大佑演唱会之前，视频号从520开始连续放映两天的周杰伦演唱会，总观看量已经近亿。数次出圈的尝试，也在反复印证这一策略的正确。</p><p>据一份网上流传的《微信视频号演唱会招商项目清单》显示，今年在周杰伦、罗大佑之后，视频号还会举办包括后街男孩、刘若英、陈奕迅、万能青年旅店等知名歌手在内的多场演唱会。平均每个月，视频号都会举办3-4场演出，显然比之前更加密集。</p><p>在出圈的同时，视频号也找到了线上演出商业化的方法。此前崔健的线上演唱会里，视频号首次尝试了线上演出的招商。此次罗大佑的演唱会冠名赞助商，也正是崔健演唱会的赞助商极狐汽车。</p><p>虽然抖音目前的日活高于视频号，但依托于微信，视频号在内容宣发和社交裂变上实在是有过大的优势。更重要的是，有腾讯音乐的资源和经验支持，视频号无论是邀请重磅的嘉宾，还是搭建现场直播，都更加得天独厚。</p><p>一位专业人士向36氪透露，这类线上演唱会的版权，和流媒体平台上的录音版权并不相同。环球、华纳等音乐公司跟音乐平台的版权合作，一般不会包含这类直播演出的合作。像这类线上的演唱会，一般都是“case by case单个去谈的”。</p><p>据这位专业人士透露，此前西城男孩、崔健等的线上演出，也都是视频号官方去单独谈的。不过，手握最多的音乐版权合作，又是多家音乐公司股东的腾讯音乐，显然更容易帮助视频号拿下这样的合作。</p><p>依靠着一场又一场演唱会，视频号也在不断吸收着爆款带来的流量。</p><p>腾讯今年Q1财报提到，视频号内容日益丰富，播放量和使用时长大幅增长。其社交网络收入的增长，主要也是因为视频号直播服务收入增加所致。无论在变现还是用户量上，视频号都正在成为腾讯新的业务增长点。</p><p>从去年开始，腾讯就有意加速视频号的商业化，在去年年报中，腾讯提到，视频号将会以短视频流广告、直播打赏及直播电商等形式实现商业化。</p><p>今年Q1财报发布时，腾讯管理层也表示，视频号对腾讯的总体业务非常重要，未来会考虑视频号如何变现。伴随着高期待，去年视频号日活已经达到5亿，这对于6.4亿日活，但增长逐渐见底的抖音而言，显然已成劲敌。</p><p>在这样的竞争格局里，抖音按捺不住，在同一个方向上，和对手正面碰撞，也在情理之中。事实上，在音乐内容这一领域里，抖音过去一年投入的力度也在逐步增大。</p><p>36氪此前也曾经报道过，在独家版权放开之后，抖音从去年下半年起，先后与中国音乐、摩登天空等音乐公司达成合作，并成立了音乐发行代理平台银河方舟，意图打造从创作、发行到宣传的全链条音乐体系。今年三月才开始内测的汽水音乐，五月就已经正式上线，远远快于字节同期内测的其他产品。</p><p>这一次抖音的试水成功，或许已经为下一次的出击做好铺垫。孙燕姿VS罗大佑的盛况，或许在接下来的几个月里，还会反复出现。</p><p>无论是需要突破日活瓶颈的抖音，还是亟待加速变现的视频号，这都是一场不能输的战役。</p></body></html>","source":"36k","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>抖音对垒视频号，孙燕姿和罗大佑你pick了谁？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n抖音对垒视频号，孙燕姿和罗大佑你pick了谁？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-29 11:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/gGxu9zTnShII5vl5Iowo4g><strong>36氪</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：窦轩5月27日晚上8点，两场同时进行的演唱会，刷屏了各个社交平台。一场来自于视频号，华语音乐教父罗大佑首次在线上开启了自己的演唱会；另一场则在抖音直播上演，请到了天后孙燕姿，在线上直播了一个半小时，边唱边聊。两位在乐坛极具份量的歌手，一出场就引发了大众的回忆杀。人们自发地在社交平台上转发链接，缅怀青春。孙燕姿的线上唱聊会，在开播不久后，观看人次就迅速破亿，两场演唱会也先后登上了微博的热搜。在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/gGxu9zTnShII5vl5Iowo4g\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0985140385cdd027eb740ce9985e976d","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/gGxu9zTnShII5vl5Iowo4g","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123332477","content_text":"作者：窦轩5月27日晚上8点，两场同时进行的演唱会，刷屏了各个社交平台。一场来自于视频号，华语音乐教父罗大佑首次在线上开启了自己的演唱会；另一场则在抖音直播上演，请到了天后孙燕姿，在线上直播了一个半小时，边唱边聊。两位在乐坛极具份量的歌手，一出场就引发了大众的回忆杀。人们自发地在社交平台上转发链接，缅怀青春。孙燕姿的线上唱聊会，在开播不久后，观看人次就迅速破亿，两场演唱会也先后登上了微博的热搜。在大众集体追忆青春的背后，这两场演唱会，也是抖音和视频号的一次正面交锋。两场演出同时举行，时长相近，这就意味着观众大多只能二者择一。在眼见视频号已经以多场演唱会成功破圈之后，抖音终于按捺不住，发起了反攻。正面交锋周五的晚上，两场演唱会开始之前，朋友圈就已经被直播海报刷屏，选择看哪场，也成了大家当晚最乐于探讨的共同话题。两位演出的歌手也已经许久不曾在线下与观众见面。上一次罗大佑在线下的演出已经是两年前，而孙燕姿已经有7年没有举办过演唱会。对他们的歌迷来说，能够在线上看到本人的现场，确实非常久违而难得。而对居家办公多时的上班族来说，下班后迎接周末，也亟需一场演出来放松神经。无论是罗大佑的《野百合也有春天》、《恋曲1980》、《光阴的故事》，还是孙燕姿当晚演唱的《我也很想他》、《遇见》，都是一代人耳熟能详的金曲，能够迅速激起人们的青春回忆和共鸣。教父与天后的同时段竞技，背后则是视频号与抖音的一次正面对垒。视频号曾经举办过多场线上音乐会，抖音近一年也有过在线上举办免费乃至付费演唱会的尝试，但两个平台在同一时段办演唱会，请的又是如此有话题性的嘉宾，尚属首次。如果仅从观看人数来看，乍一看，抖音似乎赢了视频号。孙燕姿的这场线上唱聊会，在结束前观看人次就超过了2.4亿，而罗大佑在视频号的演唱会，在结束后再次回放时，显示有“超过4000万人看过”。不过，有媒体指出，微信视频号“看过的人”和抖音的“观看人次”统计方式并不相同，因此实际差距如何很难预计。罗大佑线上演唱会的回放但从整场的直播呈现效果来看，一直持续在做线上演唱会的视频号明显更加老到。罗大佑2小时的演唱会里，不仅演唱了20多首经典金曲，按照主题分成了“光阴的印记”、“童乐箴言”、“恋曲2022“三个板块，还用微信视频连线了五条人和艾怡良作为嘉宾，结束时还有安可曲。而抖音的孙燕姿线上唱聊会，不仅因为“主持人中途还跑去上卫生间”引来粉丝不满，在快结束时还一度出现了断线的事故，过了十几分钟才切回来画面，孙燕姿也因此将这首歌重新唱了一遍。孙燕姿演唱歌曲途中，突然断线的现场虽然热度颇高，但无论音响、打光，还是直播清晰度和稳定性，此次策划都受到了颇多吐槽。这次演唱会，除了《我也很想他》、《遇见》等大热曲目，孙燕姿演唱的大多数曲目也都是其相对冷门的歌曲。不过，就热度而言，这也已经是抖音线上演唱会热度最高的一次。事实上，这已经是孙燕姿和抖音的第二次合作。上一次孙燕姿和抖音的合作，是去年夏日歌会的收官场，在那场近1小时的专场里，孙燕姿演唱了《和平》、《克卜勒》、《遇见》、《我怀念的》等多首经典曲目，累计观看人数达到了1222.1万。就观看人次而言，此次明显要高于去年的首次直播。显然，除却官方的大力宣发之外，疫情带来的线下演出取消、宅家办公等现象，也助推了线上演唱会这一形式的出圈。音乐直播新战场在线上演唱会这个方向上，抖音其实是更早吃螃蟹的平台。早在2020年上半年，抖音就曾推出了“DOULive沙发音乐会”、“DOULive在现场”等系列线上Live。去年8月3日~9月9日，抖音也曾连开七场线上夏日歌会，邀请了孙燕姿、鱼丁糸、张惠妹、陈粒等乐团和歌手参与， 累计观看量超过4000万人次。与视频号如今启动演唱会招商不同，抖音将线上演唱会商业化的途径，则是售卖付费门票。孙燕姿参与抖音夏日歌会不过，就引发的声量而言，抖音似乎也一直没有做出一个可以与西城男孩、周杰伦演唱会相提并论的爆款。无论这次呈现质量如何，孙燕姿的线上唱聊会，可以视为抖音第一次在线上演唱会这一方向上，做出了出圈爆款。而在此之前，举办线上音乐会，一直是视频号的出圈利器。去年12月17日，视频号举办西城男孩线上演唱会，观看人数超2700万人，成功出圈。有了第一次成功试水之后，视频号在跨年夜又与五月天合作线上演唱会直播，观看人数超过1400万人。视频号举办的线上演唱会，无论是录像重映，还是现场直播，都倾向于通过邀约知名度、受众都非常广泛的老牌音乐人，来引爆人气和讨论度。4月，视频号先后上线张国荣的热。情演唱会超清修复版和崔健的现场演唱会，这两场演唱会累计观看人次分别破1700万和4600万。崔健线上演唱会海报罗大佑演唱会之前，视频号从520开始连续放映两天的周杰伦演唱会，总观看量已经近亿。数次出圈的尝试，也在反复印证这一策略的正确。据一份网上流传的《微信视频号演唱会招商项目清单》显示，今年在周杰伦、罗大佑之后，视频号还会举办包括后街男孩、刘若英、陈奕迅、万能青年旅店等知名歌手在内的多场演唱会。平均每个月，视频号都会举办3-4场演出，显然比之前更加密集。在出圈的同时，视频号也找到了线上演出商业化的方法。此前崔健的线上演唱会里，视频号首次尝试了线上演出的招商。此次罗大佑的演唱会冠名赞助商，也正是崔健演唱会的赞助商极狐汽车。虽然抖音目前的日活高于视频号，但依托于微信，视频号在内容宣发和社交裂变上实在是有过大的优势。更重要的是，有腾讯音乐的资源和经验支持，视频号无论是邀请重磅的嘉宾，还是搭建现场直播，都更加得天独厚。一位专业人士向36氪透露，这类线上演唱会的版权，和流媒体平台上的录音版权并不相同。环球、华纳等音乐公司跟音乐平台的版权合作，一般不会包含这类直播演出的合作。像这类线上的演唱会，一般都是“case by case单个去谈的”。据这位专业人士透露，此前西城男孩、崔健等的线上演出，也都是视频号官方去单独谈的。不过，手握最多的音乐版权合作，又是多家音乐公司股东的腾讯音乐，显然更容易帮助视频号拿下这样的合作。依靠着一场又一场演唱会，视频号也在不断吸收着爆款带来的流量。腾讯今年Q1财报提到，视频号内容日益丰富，播放量和使用时长大幅增长。其社交网络收入的增长，主要也是因为视频号直播服务收入增加所致。无论在变现还是用户量上，视频号都正在成为腾讯新的业务增长点。从去年开始，腾讯就有意加速视频号的商业化，在去年年报中，腾讯提到，视频号将会以短视频流广告、直播打赏及直播电商等形式实现商业化。今年Q1财报发布时，腾讯管理层也表示，视频号对腾讯的总体业务非常重要，未来会考虑视频号如何变现。伴随着高期待，去年视频号日活已经达到5亿，这对于6.4亿日活，但增长逐渐见底的抖音而言，显然已成劲敌。在这样的竞争格局里，抖音按捺不住，在同一个方向上，和对手正面碰撞，也在情理之中。事实上，在音乐内容这一领域里，抖音过去一年投入的力度也在逐步增大。36氪此前也曾经报道过，在独家版权放开之后，抖音从去年下半年起，先后与中国音乐、摩登天空等音乐公司达成合作，并成立了音乐发行代理平台银河方舟，意图打造从创作、发行到宣传的全链条音乐体系。今年三月才开始内测的汽水音乐，五月就已经正式上线，远远快于字节同期内测的其他产品。这一次抖音的试水成功，或许已经为下一次的出击做好铺垫。孙燕姿VS罗大佑的盛况，或许在接下来的几个月里，还会反复出现。无论是需要突破日活瓶颈的抖音，还是亟待加速变现的视频号，这都是一场不能输的战役。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9025651922,"gmtCreate":1653690940966,"gmtModify":1676535325801,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9025651922","repostId":"1157934587","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157934587","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1653655854,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157934587?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-27 20:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"霍华德·马克斯最新备忘录：《牛市的韵律》","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157934587","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在$橡树资本$联合创始人霍华德·马克斯这篇名为《牛市的韵律》的最新备忘录中，对牛市周期规律进行了分析，并指出通过投资者行为可判断出当下所处阶段，在股市崩盘之前趁早离场。马克斯表示，投资者必须知道牛市心理何时占据主导地位，并保持必要的谨慎态度。我先提前声明，本次备忘录并不能预估市场的潜在方向。标普500指数先是在2020年2月19日创下3386点的历史新高，随后在短短34天内重挫三分之一，并在3月23日跌至2237点。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>百年来，股票市场起起伏伏，周而复始，从未有停止，无数周期如璀璨流星般从历史天空中划过。</p><p>为什么会有周期，为什么投资者要将无数精力投注到与市场波动的持续抗争之中？因为他们的投资心理始终在影响市场的走向。只要人类参与投资，我们就会看到它们一次又一次地发生。</p><p>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OAK\">橡树资本</a>联合创始人霍华德·马克斯（Howard Marks）<b>这篇名为《牛市的韵律》（Bull Market Rhymes）的最新备忘录中，对牛市周期规律进行了分析，并指出通过投资者行为可判断出当下所处阶段，在股市崩盘之前趁早离场。</b></p><p>出于对财富梦想的追求，投资者在牛市狂潮中会缺少适当的恐惧，而这种狂热心理的出现预示着风险的临近。</p><p>马克斯表示，<b>投资者必须知道牛市心理何时占据主导地位，并保持必要的谨慎态度。“牛市心理”并非褒义词，它意味着毫无警觉的行为和高风险承受能力，投资者应该感到担忧，而不是受到鼓舞</b>：</p><blockquote>是风险厌恶和对损失的恐惧让市场保持安全和理智。</blockquote><p>马克斯指出<b>，资产价格取决于基本面以及人们如何看待这些基本面</b>。牛市中的高回报使人们更加相信新事物、小概率事件和乐观的结果将会发生。当人们对这些东西的价值深信不疑时，他们往往会得出“没有太贵的股票”的结论。此时新入市者大举买进，股市维持在高位。谨慎、选择性和纪律，在最需要的时候却消失不见。</p><p>马克斯还以当下股市行情举例：</p><blockquote>在今时今日的华尔街，降息的消息将股市推高，但接下来利率走低导致通胀的预期把股市压低，然后，人们意识到降息能刺激萧条的经济，这种预期又将股市推高，之后，在经济过热将导致再次加息的恐惧中，股市最终下挫。</blockquote><p>马克斯直言，他信奉的是经久不衰的投资格言，因此<b>最伟大的投资者行为应该是“智者所始，愚者所终”。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1237ed2d4679f28b36508f982605e52f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>以下为该备忘录的全文：</p><p>虽然我在备忘录中运用了大量格言和引语，但只有少数能够进入我的首选名单，我最爱之一是马克吐温的名言：</p><blockquote>历史不会重演，但会以相似的韵律重复。</blockquote><p>有据可查的是，马克吐温在1874年说过前四个词，但是并没有准确的证据表明他曾说过后面的话。</p><p>多年来，有很多人说过类似的话。1965年，精神分析学家Theodor Reik在名为“遥不可及”的文章中表达过同样的观点。他自己又多加了几句，我认为他的表述是最好的：</p><blockquote>周期是反复的，起起伏伏，但过程基本相同，变化很小。有人说历史会重演，但这可能不太准确，历史只是以相似的韵律重复。</blockquote><p>曾经的投资事件不会重演，但事件主旋律确实会重现，尤其是与投资行为相关的，这正是我研究的内容。</p><p>在过去两年间，Reik所写道的周期经历了起起伏伏，引发市场注目。让我尤其震惊的，是在投资行为中再度出现的典型风格，这将成为本次备忘录的主题。</p><p>我先提前声明，本次备忘录并不能预估市场的潜在方向。举个例子，市场看涨行为从2020年3月触及底部开始，但自那时起，经济内部（通货膨胀）和经济外部（俄乌冲突）都发生了严重问题，并且出现了重大调整。包括我在内，没有人能够知道这些事情加在一起会对未来造成何种影响。</p><p>我写这篇备忘录的目的，只是为了将近期事件放在历史的背景下，从中发现一些隐含的经验教训。这一点至关重要，因为我们必须回到22年前，回到2000年科技—传媒—电信泡沫破灭之前，看看当时真正牛市的开始和由此引发的熊市结束。很多读者因为开始投资的时间较晚，没有经历过当时的事件。</p><p>你可能会问“在2008-2009年全球金融危机和2020年疫情大流行导致市场崩溃之前，市场收益情况如何？”</p><p>在我看来，在这两场危机之前，市场都是渐进式上涨，并不是沿着抛物线上行。上涨不是由狂热情绪推动的，股价也没有被推升至疯狂的高度，而且高股价并不是造成任何一场危机的原因。2008-2009年危机是源自房地产市场和次贷证券化的出现，2020年崩溃则是因为新冠疫情的流行和政府为控制疫情而关闭经济。</p><p>对于前面所说的“真正牛市”，我对它的定义并不是来自投资百科网站（Investopedia）：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>金融市场中资产或证券价格在一段时间内持续上涨。</p></li><li><p>市场通常在股价下跌20%之后，出现20%的上涨。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>第一个定义过于平淡，没能捕捉到投资者在牛市行情中的核心情绪。第二个定义提供了一种错误的精准，牛市不应该用价格的百分比变化来定义。对我来说，最好用它给人的感觉、背后的投资者心理以及由此引发的投资行为来进行描述。</p><p>（在牛市和熊市的数字标准被制定之前，我就已经开始投资，我认为这样的标准毫无意义。标普500指数下跌19.9%还是20.1%真的很重要吗？我还是更喜欢熊市的老派定义—神经折磨（nerve-racking）。</p><p><b>01、过度与修正</b></p><p>我的第二本书是《周期》（Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side）。众所周知，我是周期的学生，也是周期的信徒。这些年我作为投资者，经历了几个重要的周期（也接受了教育）。</p><p>我相信了解自己在市场周期中的位置，可以提示我们接下来会发生的事情。但是当我把这本书写完三分之二时，我突然想到一个之前从没考虑过的问题：为什么会有周期？</p><p>比如，标普500指数自1957年诞生，这65年的平均年回报率略高于10%，为什么它的回报率不能每年都是10%？在这里补充一下我在2004年7月备忘录《中庸之道》中提出的问题，为什么在这期间标普500指数的回报率只有6次在8%—12%之间，为什么它在90%时间里的表现都与此相差甚远？</p><p>在经过一段时间思考之后，我认为可以这么解释，那就是市场存在“过度与修正”。</p><p>如果把股票市场比作一台机器，你希望它能够随着时间的推移持续稳定地运转，这个想法是合理的。然而，我认为投资者心理状态对其决策造成的重大影响，可以在很大程度上解释市场出现波动的原因。</p><p>当投资者开始大举看涨时，他们倾向于得出以下结论。</p><p>首先，一切都将永远上涨；其次，无论他们为一项资产支付多高的价格，其他人都会以更高的价格从他们手中买走（即“更大傻瓜”理论），因为他们对市场高度非常乐观：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>股价上涨速度会比公司利润增速更快，涨幅会远高于公允价值（超额上涨）。</p></li><li><p>之后投资环境开始令人失望，出高价的愚蠢举动变得很显眼，股价会跌落至公允价值（修正），之后进一步跌破该价格水平。</p></li><li><p>股价下跌会进一步引发市场悲观情绪，由此导致股价下挫，并远远低于其本身价值（过度下跌）。</p></li><li><p>最终抄底买入会助推低迷股价回升至其公允价值（修正）。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>过度上涨会导致回报率在一段时间内高于平均水平，而过度下挫也会导致回报率在一段时间内低于平均水平。当然，可能还有其他因素在发挥作用，但是我认为，“过度和修正”可以解释大部分情况。在2020-2021年期间，我们看到股市有些过度上涨，而现在我们看到它们正在被修正。</p><p><b>02、牛市心理学</b></p><p>在牛市行情中，有利环境会引领股价上涨并提振投资者信心，而这种投资信心会诱发激进操作，之后会进一步引发股价上涨，那么接下来会出现更加乐观的投资心态以及持续的冒险操作。</p><p>这种上升式螺旋就是牛市的本质，其上升过程看起来似乎势不可挡。</p><p>在疫情大流行初期，我们见证了一场典型的资产价格崩盘。标普500指数先是在2020年2月19日创下3386点的历史新高，随后在短短34天内重挫三分之一，并在3月23日跌至2237点。但是之后在多种力量共同努力下，股价又出现大幅上涨：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>其中美联储将联邦基金利率下调至接近零的水平，并与财政部一道宣布了大规模经济刺激措施。</p></li><li><p>这些行动让投资者相信，国家机构会不惜一切代价稳定经济。</p></li><li><p>降息显著降低了投资的预期回报，影响其相对吸引力。</p></li><li><p>这些因素结合在一起，迫使投资者开始承受短期内出现的风险。</p></li><li><p>随后资产价格出现上涨：到当年8月底，标普500指数已经收回所有失地，并涨超2月高点。</p></li><li><p>FAAMG（脸书、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>）、软件股和其他科技股大幅上涨，推动市场走高。</p></li><li><p>最终，投资者得出结论，认为他们可以期待股市持续上涨，这也符合他们此前在牛市行情中的常规心态。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>就像上面最后一点，在牛市心理中最重要的是，就是大多数人认为股价上涨是预示之后行情的积极信号，不少人开始变得乐观。只有少数人会怀疑这种行情是过度上涨，其收益是依赖未来预期，所以上涨并不会持续，并且行情将发生逆转。</p><p>这让我想起了我最喜欢的另一句格言，是大约在50年前我最早学会的一句，即“牛市的三个阶段”：</p><p>第一阶段，当一些有远见的人开始押注牛市或将到来；</p><p>第二阶段，当大多数投资者意识到牛市正在发生；</p><p>第三阶段，当每个人都认为牛市会永远持续下去。</p><p>有意思的是，虽然在美联储的主导下，股市从2020年3月的疲软底部快速转变为5月的繁荣景象，但是半信半疑才是我在这期间最常见到的投资者心理，他们问我最多的问题是：</p><blockquote>环境这么糟糕，疫情大流行肆虐加上经济停滞，股市还能上涨？</blockquote><p>那时很难找到乐观主义者。很多投资者成为我已故岳父所描述的“戴手铐的人”：他们买股票不是因为自己想买，而是他们不得不买，因为现金回报率很低。一旦股市开始上涨，由于担心会被抛在后面，所以他们会追逐更高的价格。</p><p>因此，股市上涨似乎是源自美联储对资本市场的操纵，而不是来自企业的良好业绩或投资者的乐观情绪。直到2020年底，在标普500指数较3月底部上涨67.9%，全年累计上涨16.3%之后，投资者的心理状态才终于赶上飙升的股价。</p><p>牛市很少能够经历第一阶段，经历第二阶段的概率也很低，许多投资者都是从当年3月底的深度绝望直接转变为后来的极度乐观。</p><p>对当下来说，这就是一个很好的提醒。虽然有些历史事件的主旋律确实会重复出现，但是期待历史精确重演就是一个很大的错误。</p><p><b>03、乐观理由、超级股票和新生事物</b></p><p>在狂热的牛市行情中，投资者会变得歇斯底里。在极端情况下，他们的想法和行为会脱离实际。这里的前提是，必须出现一些要素既能激发投资者想象力，还能阻止他们谨慎思考。</p><p>因此值得注意的是，总有一些要素会在牛市中出现：新的发展、新的发明以及推动股票上涨的理由。</p><p>从定义上看，牛市的特点是繁荣向上、信心倍增、容易轻信以及投资者愿意为资产支付高价，而所有这些要素都在事后被证明是超出了限度。历史经验表明，将这些特点保持在合理范围内是至关重要的。鉴于这个原因，能够刺激牛市出现的理性或感性原因都来自新生事物，无法通过历史经验解释。</p><p>历史充分证明，当市场出现看涨行为，股票估值被推高，以及投资者开始毫不犹豫地接受新生事物时，后果往往是非常痛苦的。</p><p>每个人都知道（或者应该知道）在股市呈现抛物线上涨之后通常会下跌20%—50%。然而正如我在高中英语课上学到的“自愿终止怀疑”（the willing suspension of disbelief），上述行为仍在投资者中不断发生，反复出现。</p><p>下面是我最喜欢的另一句名言：</p><blockquote>狂喜的感觉在过去和现在都鲜为人知。人们对金融市场的记忆非常短暂，这就导致金融危机很快就会被遗忘。</blockquote><blockquote>而当相同或者非常相似的情况再度重演时，就算发生在几年之内，在年轻且极度自信的新一代眼中，这场危机也会被誉为是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JRJC\">金融界</a>和经济领域的重大发现。在人类涉猎的行业中，很少有行业像金融业一样，曾经的历史经验如此没有意义。</blockquote><blockquote>在某种程度上，历史经验完全成为回忆的一部分，对于那些无力欣赏眼下盛景的人而言，成为了他们的原始避难所</blockquote><blockquote>—John Kenneth Galbraith，《金融狂喜简史》，1990年</blockquote><p>在过去30年里，我多次与读者分享这句话，因为我认为它很好地总结了一些重要的观点，但针对其中所描述的行为，我之前并没有分享过我对它的理解。</p><p>我不认为投资者是健忘的。相反，对历史的了解和适当的谨慎态度位于天平的一侧，追求财富的梦想位于天平的另一侧，而后者总是获胜。回忆、谨慎、现实主义和风险规避只会阻碍致富梦想的实现。所以出于这个原因，当牛市行情开始时，投资者总是缺少适度的担忧。</p><p>取而代之的往往是为超出历史估值标准寻找理由。1987年10月11日，Anise Wallace在《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYT\">纽约时报</a>》上发表的一篇题为《为什么这个市场周期并没有什么不同》的文章中描述了这种现象。当时人们持有乐观、积极的情绪，为异常高的股价寻找合理性，但Wallace在文中指出，这种想法是站不住脚的：</p><blockquote>74岁的共同基金经理约翰·邓普顿曾指出，投资中最危险的四个字是“这次不同”。在股市大起大落时，投资者总会用这一理由来将其情绪驱动的决策合理化。</blockquote><blockquote>在接下来的一年里，许多投资者可能会重复这四个字，为高股价辩护。但他们更应该持有“有钱了我就还你”（the check’s in the mail找借口拖延）的态度来看待股市上涨，不管经纪人或基金经理怎么说，牛市不会永远持续下去。</blockquote><p>结果，没花一年时间，仅仅八天后，全球遭遇了“黑色星期一”，道琼斯工业指数单日暴跌22.6%。</p><p>对牛市的另一个解释是投资者相信某些企业一定会拥有美好的未来。这适用于20世纪60年代末的“漂亮50”成长股；80年代的半导体制造商；以及90年代末的电信、互联网和电子商务公司。人们认为，每一项发展都能够改变世界，因此，过去的商业现实并不能限制投资者的想象力和投资意愿。他们确实改变了世界。尽管如此，曾被认为合理的高估值并没有持续下去。</p><p>在许多牛市中，一或多个群体被我称之为“超级股票”，它们的迅速崛起让投资者越来越乐观。日益增长的乐观情绪将股价推向高点，成为以往市场循环过程中的一个特征。通过相对价值比较和投资者情绪的普遍改善，这种积极性和估值走高进一步反映到其他证券（或所有证券）的估值中。</p><p>回顾前两年，在2020—2021年，FAAMG（脸书、亚马逊、苹果、微软和谷歌）在令投资者兴奋不已的公司中位居榜首，其市场主导地位和规模能力前所未有的。2020年FAAMG的惊艳表现吸引了投资者的注意，并支持了普遍的看涨趋势。</p><p>到2020年9月（六个月内），这些股票与3月份的低点相比，几乎翻了一番，较年初上涨了61%。值得一提的是，这五只股票在标普500指数中权重很大，因此它们的表现导致指数整体涨势良好，但这分散了人们对其他495只表现不佳股票的注意力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eb43ec1382ac15f7a9090cf792e1236\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FAAMG的巨大成功为科技股带来了普遍的积极影响，投资者对科技股的需求激增，与投资领域的情况一样，强劲的需求刺激并增加了供应。在这种情况下，一个值得注意的晴雨表是未盈利的公司对待IPO的态度。</p><p>在20世纪90年代末互联网泡沫之前，没有盈利的公司的IPO相对较少，在泡沫期间期间激增，但此后数量再次下降。在2020-2021年的牛市中，未盈利的首次公开募股（IPO）经历了一次大的反弹，因为投资者愿意支持科技公司规模化的愿望和生物科技公司在药物试验上的开支需求。</p><p>如果拥有光明前景的公司为牛市提供了动力，那么市场上的新兴事物可能会起到推波助澜的作用，加剧其上涨。SPAC（借壳上市）是最近一个典型的例子。投资者为这些新成立的公司开展收购活动提供了空白支票，在满足以下两个条件后可以连本带利拿回资金，“如果两年内没有完成收购，或者如果投资者不同意拟议的收购”。</p><p>这似乎是一个“稳赚不赔”（世界上最危险的一个词）的买卖，SPAC的数量从2013年的10个和2019年的59个飙升至2020年的248个和2021的613个。一些公司获得了巨额利润，而在其他情况下，投资者连本带息收回了资金。但是，由于缺乏对未经考验的创新的怀疑，加之牛市心理的推动，使得太多SPAC被创造出来，无论是由称职的还是不称职的发起者，他们都会因完成收购而获得高额报酬......任何收购。</p><p>如今，自2020年以来通过完成收购并退出的SPAC平均售价为5.25美元，而发行价为10.00美元。这是一个很好的例子，证明了新事物并不是投资者所想的那么可靠——投资者再次为“一定不会发生的事”付出代价。</p><p>SPAC的支持者则认为，这些实体只是公司上市的另一种方式，并不担心它的潜在作用。我重点关注的是，投资者在火热时期如何欣然接受一项未经考验的创新。</p><p>另一个有关创新因素的动态也值得一提，其展示了“新事物”是如何对牛市作出了贡献：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>Robinhood Markets在疫情暴发前几年开始提供股票、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a>和加密货币等的免佣金交易。新冠疫情暴发后，这就鼓励了人们涌向股市，开始炒股，因为赌场和体育赛事停止了赌博业务。</p></li><li><p>数百万没有失业的人得到了慷慨的财政补贴，这意味着许多人在疫情期间的可支配收入增加了。而像Reddit这样的社交网站把投资转变成一种“隔离居家的社交活动”。</p></li><li><p>因此，大量的新手散户投资者涌向股市，其中许多人缺乏基本的投资经验。</p></li><li><p>新手会因崇拜某位公众人物而激动不已，并声称“股市只会上涨” 。</p></li><li><p>因此，许多科技股和“模因股”（抱团散户股）价格飙升。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>最后一个值得讨论的新兴事物是加密货币。例如，比特币的支持者列举了其多种用途，以及相对于潜在需求其供应是有限的。另一方面，怀疑论者指出，比特币缺乏现金流和内在价值，因此无法确定公允价格。无论哪一方是正确的，比特币都满足从牛市中受益的一些特征：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>比特币相对较新的（虽然它已经存在14年了，但最近五年人们才关注到它）。</p></li><li><p>比特币价格大幅飙升，从2020年的5000美元上涨到2021年的最高点68000美元。</p></li><li><p>根据Galbrait的说法，这肯定是前几代人“无法欣赏”事物。</p></li><li><p>从所有这些方面来看，这完全符合Galbrait的描述，即“由新的、年轻且十分自信的一代人热烈拥护，认为是金融领域伟大的创新发明”的事物。</p></li><li><p>现在，比特币与2021的高点相比下跌了一半多，但已经存在的数千种其他加密货币，跌幅要更大。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>2020年FAAMG、科技股、SPACs、抱团股和加密货币的惊人表现使得这种迷恋更加狂热，并增加了投资者的普遍乐观情绪。很难想象在没有前所未见或闻所未闻的情况下，会出现一个全面的牛市。“新新事物”和“这次不同”的信念是牛市主题反复出现的典型特征。</p><p><b>04、逐底竞争</b></p><p>不同周期中的另一个牛市主题是，牛市趋势对投资者决策质量的有害影响。简言之，当冷静理智被燃烧的乐观情绪取代时：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>资产价格上涨</p></li><li><p>贪婪盖过恐惧</p></li><li><p>不再担心亏损，转向担忧踏空</p></li><li><p>风险厌恶和小心谨慎逐渐消失</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>必须记住，是风险厌恶和对损失的恐惧让市场保持安全和理智。上述事态发展通常会提振市场，使谨慎和理智思考消失，令其成为危险之地。</p><p>我曾在2007年的备忘录《逐底竞争》中解释说，当投资者和资本提供者手中有太多资金，他们太渴望投入使用时，所以对证券和放贷机会的出价就过于激进。激烈的竞价压低了预期回报，增加了风险，削弱了安全结构，并降低了容错率。</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>谨慎的投资者坚持己见，说：“我坚持8%的利息和强力契约。”</p></li><li><p>其竞争对手回应道：“我接受7%的利息，并要求更少的契约。”</p></li><li><p>最不守规矩的人不想错过这个机会，说：“我可以接受6%的利息，且不需要契约。”</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>这是“逐底竞争”，这正是人们常说的“最差的贷款来自于最好的时候”。当人们对最近的损失感到痛心，害怕经历更多损失时，这是不可能发生的事情。美联储为应对全球金融危机采取大规模的措施后，迎来了了长达10多年的创纪录经济复苏和股市上涨，但伴随而来的还有：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>亏损公司的IPO浪潮</p></li><li><p>次级证券（高风险CCC评级债券）创纪录的发行</p></li><li><p>高波动性行业（科技和软件）公司大量发债，而谨慎的时期人们往往会选择回避这些行业</p></li><li><p>并购和收购的估值倍数不断上升</p></li><li><p>风险溢价持续走低</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>有利的发展也鼓励更多地使用杠杆。杠杆放大收益和损失，但在牛市中，投资者确信收益是必然的，而忽视损失的可能性。在这种情况下，很少有人能找到不举债的理由，因为债务的利息成本微乎其微，且可以增加成功的回报。</p><p>但是，在上涨周期后期以高价增加负债并不是成功的最佳方式。当情况变得糟糕时，杠杆就会变得不利。当投资银行在投资末期发行债务时，他们就会陷入困境。“挂在”银行资产负债表上的债务往往会成为“煤矿里的金丝雀”，暗示危险即将到来。</p><p>由于我信奉的是经久不衰的投资格言，因此，在这一点上，引用我认为最伟大的投资者行为的格言是十分恰当的，“智者所始，愚者所终”。在牛市的第一阶段购买股票的人，由于普遍的悲观情绪（如2008-09年全球金融危机期间和2020年新冠疫情初期），价格较低，有可能在风险极小的情况下获得丰厚的回报，主要先决条件是资金和胆量。</p><p>但当牛市升温，可观的回报鼓励了投资者乐观的情绪，此时获得回报的特质是渴望、轻信和冒险。在牛市的第三阶段，新入市者大举买进，股市维持在高位。谨慎、选择性和纪律，在最需要的时候却消失不见。</p><p>特别值得注意的是，乐观情绪并因风险承受能力而获得回报的投资者通常不再对投资机会进行辨别。投资者不仅认为一些“新事物”的肯定会成功，而且最终他们得出结论是，该领域前途一片光明，因此没有必要再进行区分。</p><p>由于上述原因，“牛市心理”并非褒义词。它意味着毫无警觉的行为和高风险承受能力，投资者应该感到担忧，而不是受到鼓舞。正如巴菲特所言，“别人处理自己的事情越不谨慎小心,我们处理自己的事情就越要谨慎小心”。投资者必须知道牛市心理何时占据主导地位，并保持必要的谨慎态度。</p><p><b>05、钟摆效应</b></p><p>牛市不是凭空出现的。每次牛市中的赢家之所以成为赢家，原因很简单，即他们获利的背后存在一些事实。然而，我上面所说的牛市往往会夸大股票价值，并将股价推至过高也因此脆弱的水平。并且，向上的波动不会永远持续下去。</p><p>我曾在《躺在沙发上》（OntheCouch，2016年1月）中写道：“在现实世界中，事情通常在‘相当好’和‘不太热’之间来回摆动。但在投资世界中，人们的预期往往从‘充满希望’变为‘绝望’”。在市场中，把事情做得严重过头是投资者行为的关键特征之一。牛市期间，投资者认为，有难度、不大可能发生和前所未有的事情肯定会奏效。</p><p>但在不那么景气的时期，利好的经济消息和“业绩超过预期”并未能刺激买盘，股价上涨也不再使持仓水平较低的投资者感到后悔。因此，我们看到，人们不再愿意暂时摒弃质疑，心态迅速转为消极。</p><p>投资者能够对几乎任意一条新闻进行解读，正面还是负面取决于报道方式和他们的心情，这是关键所在。（下面的漫画，我一直以来的最爱之一，是几十年前出版的，看看那些天线和电视机柜的深度，但显而易见，文字说明才与这一刻的主题有关。）</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b3a74156c69f713bc1092a9a6544f22\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>“在今时今日的华尔街，降息的消息将股市推高，但接下来利率走低导致通胀的预期把股市压低，然后，人们意识到降息能刺激萧条的经济，这种预期又将股市推高，之后，在经济过热将导致再次加息的恐惧中，股市最终下挫。”</p><p>将这个盛行的说法倒过来，便反映出我之前提到的“从充满希望到绝望”的过程。虽然支持牛市会发生的观点有些道理，但当进展顺利时，投资者便将其视为板上钉钉的事。然而，当这个观点的某些缺陷暴露出来时，人们又认为它完全错误。</p><p>在欢乐的日子里（在一年前），科技多头说：“你必须买成长股，因为未来几十年它们的收益很可能会增长。”但现在，在经历了一轮暴跌之后，我们反而听到：“基于未来潜力的投资风险太大。你必须持有价值股，因为能够确定它们的现值，另外定价较为合理。”</p><p>同样，在经济繁荣时期，参与亏损公司IPO的投资人表示：“报告亏损的公司没有什么问题，他们花钱扩大规模合情合理。”但现在的说法不一样了，许多人表示：“谁会投资于无利可图的公司？他们只会烧钱。”</p><p>没有花太多时间观察市场的人可能认为资产价格完全取决于基本面，但事实并非如此。资产价格取决于基本面以及人们如何看待这些基本面。因此，资产价格的变化取决于基本面的变化和/或人们如何看待这些基本面的变化。</p><p>公司基本面理论上受制于所谓的“分析”，甚至可能是预测。另一方面，对基本面的看法是主观的，不受分析或预测的影响，并且变化得更快、更剧烈。</p><p>一些俗语也反映了这个观点：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>气球放气的速度比充气的速度快得多。</p></li><li><p>事情发生的时间比你想象的要晚，但是它们发生的速度比你想象的要快得多。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>至于后者，根据我的经验，我们经常看到积极或消极的基本面会在一段时间内同时出现，而股价却没有反应。但随后达到了一个临界点——无论是基本面还是心理面——全部突然反映在价格上，有时甚至反映过度。</p><p><b>06、然后会发生什么？</b></p><p>牛市不会对所有行业一视同仁。正如我之前所讨论的，在牛市中，乐观情绪最强烈地集中在某类股票上，例如“新事物”或“超级股票”。这类股票涨幅最大，成为这一时期牛市的象征，并吸引进一步的买盘。媒体最关注这类股票，延长了整个过程。在2020-2021年期间，FAAMG和其他科技股就是这种现象的最好例子。</p><p>道理不言而喻，但我还是要说，持有大量在牛市中领先的股票的投资者都做得很好。一些基金经理足够聪明或足够幸运地专注于这些股票，因此他们实现的回报最高，乐观情绪盛行，与此同时，他们还出现在报纸和有线电视节目的头版。过去，我曾说过，我们的行业到处都是因连续做出正确决定而出名的人。而对于那些足够聪明或幸运地增持引领牛市的板块的基金经理来说，出名的人可能会翻倍。</p><p>然而，在上涨年份中涨幅最大的股票往往在下跌年份中跌幅最大。这里适用的格言来自现实世界，但这并没有降低它们的相关性：“成也萧何，败也萧何”“有起必有落”和“爬得越高，摔得越狠”：</p><blockquote>第一支科技基金在2020年增长了157%，从默默无闻到名声大震。但它在2021年下跌了23%，2022年迄今又下跌了57%。2019年底投资的100美元在一年后价值257美元，但如今已跌至85美元。</blockquote><blockquote>另一支波动性较小的科技基金在2020年上涨了48%，但此后下跌了48%。不幸的是，上涨的48%和下跌的48%并无法相互抵消，实际上，每投资100美元，净下跌22美元。</blockquote><blockquote>第三支科技基金在第一年上涨了惊人的291%，但在随后的三年中分别下跌了21%、60%和61%。在这四年里，开始时投资的100美元在最后仅价值43美元，相当于从第一年年底不可思议的高点下降了89%。等一下，目前的繁荣/萧条期还没有持续四年。不，我引用的是1999-2002年的结果，当时最后一个科技泡沫也破裂了。我提它们只是为了提醒你当前的表现是一次情景再现。</blockquote><p>前面我提到过免佣金交易的鼻祖Robinhood。它是2020-2021年牛市期间数字货币股的缩影。Robinhood于2021年7月以38美元/股的价格上市，一周后股价飙升至85美元。如今的股价仅为10美元，在不到一年的时间里从高位下跌了88%。</p><p>但是股票的平均表现其实并没有那么糟糕，对吧？以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数在2022年“仅”下跌27.4%。这个“牛市”的一个特征是，最大的成分股表现最好，从而提振了指数。思考一下这对其余成分股意味着什么，纳指22%的股票至少下跌了50%。（此处和下面数据的时间截至5月20日）</p><p>以下是我随机挑选的一些知名科技、数字货币和创新型股票的跌幅。也许，当这里的一些股票处于巅峰的时候，你因为没有入手而感到自责：</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffeced6fe46e2035410c8d0d198ea4da\" tg-width=\"499\" tg-height=\"956\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>假设，你仍然相信股价是由聪明的投资者根据基本面达成的共识决定的。如果是这样，那为什么所有这些股票都跌得如此惨烈？你真的相信这些企业的价值在过去几个月平均蒸发了一半以上吗？这个问题引发了一些我经常在想的其他问题。</p><p>在股市出现剧烈波动之际，比特币经常朝同一个方向变动。这背后是否存在某种根本原因导致两者之间走势存在相关性？国家之间的市场联系也是如此：当日本股市开局大幅下滑时，欧美股市往往会跟跌。有时，似乎美国股市领先，日本股市却同时出现下滑。这些国家基本面之间的联系是否足以导致它们联动？</p><p>我对所有这些问题的回答通常都是“不”。共同点不是基本面，而是心理因素，当后者发生重大变化时，所有这些事情都会受到类似的影响。</p><p><b>07、经验</b></p><p>正如对于投资专业的学生来说，最重要的不是在特定时间段内发生了什么事，而是我们可以从这些事件中学到什么。我们可以从2020-2021年的趋势中学到很多东西，这些趋势与前几个周期的趋势是一致的。在牛市中：</p><blockquote><ul><li><p>乐观是基于那些做得非常好的事情而建立的。</p></li><li><p>当股价从在心理和价位方面均相当低迷的基数上涨时，影响最为强烈。</p></li><li><p>牛市心理不存在担忧情绪，并且具有高水平的风险承受能力，因此伴随极为激进的行为。承担风险会得到回报，而努力勤奋的必要性却被遭到忽视。</p></li><li><p>高回报使人们更加相信新事物、小概率事件和乐观的结果将会发生。当人们对这些东西的价值深信不疑时，他们往往会得出“没有太贵的股票”的结论。</p></li><li><p>在它们（和价格）达到不可持续的水平之后，这些影响最终会降温。</p></li><li><p>处于高位的市场容易受到外部事件的影响，例如俄乌冲突。</p></li><li><p>涨幅最大的资产以及增持它们的投资者，往往会经历痛苦的反转。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p>在我的职业生涯中，我曾多次目睹此类事情发生，当中没有一次完全是由基本面造成的，相反，心理因素是主要原因，而心理的运作方式又不太可能发生改变。这就是为什么我坚信只要人类参与投资过程，我们就会看到它们一次又一次地发生。</p><p>而且，请注意，市场的剧烈波动基本上是由心理因素驱动的，显而易见，如果可能的话，只有当价格极高或极低时，才能预测市场走势。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n霍华德·马克斯最新备忘录：《牛市的韵律》\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-05-27 20:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>百年来，股票市场起起伏伏，周而复始，从未有停止，无数周期如璀璨流星般从历史天空中划过。为什么会有周期，为什么投资者要将无数精力投注到与市场波动的持续抗争之中？因为他们的投资心理始终在影响市场的走向。只要人类参与投资，我们就会看到它们一次又一次地发生。在橡树资本联合创始人霍华德·马克斯（Howard Marks）这篇名为《牛市的韵律》（Bull Market Rhymes）的最新备忘录中，对牛市周期...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1237ed2d4679f28b36508f982605e52f","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157934587","content_text":"百年来，股票市场起起伏伏，周而复始，从未有停止，无数周期如璀璨流星般从历史天空中划过。为什么会有周期，为什么投资者要将无数精力投注到与市场波动的持续抗争之中？因为他们的投资心理始终在影响市场的走向。只要人类参与投资，我们就会看到它们一次又一次地发生。在橡树资本联合创始人霍华德·马克斯（Howard Marks）这篇名为《牛市的韵律》（Bull Market Rhymes）的最新备忘录中，对牛市周期规律进行了分析，并指出通过投资者行为可判断出当下所处阶段，在股市崩盘之前趁早离场。出于对财富梦想的追求，投资者在牛市狂潮中会缺少适当的恐惧，而这种狂热心理的出现预示着风险的临近。马克斯表示，投资者必须知道牛市心理何时占据主导地位，并保持必要的谨慎态度。“牛市心理”并非褒义词，它意味着毫无警觉的行为和高风险承受能力，投资者应该感到担忧，而不是受到鼓舞：是风险厌恶和对损失的恐惧让市场保持安全和理智。马克斯指出，资产价格取决于基本面以及人们如何看待这些基本面。牛市中的高回报使人们更加相信新事物、小概率事件和乐观的结果将会发生。当人们对这些东西的价值深信不疑时，他们往往会得出“没有太贵的股票”的结论。此时新入市者大举买进，股市维持在高位。谨慎、选择性和纪律，在最需要的时候却消失不见。马克斯还以当下股市行情举例：在今时今日的华尔街，降息的消息将股市推高，但接下来利率走低导致通胀的预期把股市压低，然后，人们意识到降息能刺激萧条的经济，这种预期又将股市推高，之后，在经济过热将导致再次加息的恐惧中，股市最终下挫。马克斯直言，他信奉的是经久不衰的投资格言，因此最伟大的投资者行为应该是“智者所始，愚者所终”。以下为该备忘录的全文：虽然我在备忘录中运用了大量格言和引语，但只有少数能够进入我的首选名单，我最爱之一是马克吐温的名言：历史不会重演，但会以相似的韵律重复。有据可查的是，马克吐温在1874年说过前四个词，但是并没有准确的证据表明他曾说过后面的话。多年来，有很多人说过类似的话。1965年，精神分析学家Theodor Reik在名为“遥不可及”的文章中表达过同样的观点。他自己又多加了几句，我认为他的表述是最好的：周期是反复的，起起伏伏，但过程基本相同，变化很小。有人说历史会重演，但这可能不太准确，历史只是以相似的韵律重复。曾经的投资事件不会重演，但事件主旋律确实会重现，尤其是与投资行为相关的，这正是我研究的内容。在过去两年间，Reik所写道的周期经历了起起伏伏，引发市场注目。让我尤其震惊的，是在投资行为中再度出现的典型风格，这将成为本次备忘录的主题。我先提前声明，本次备忘录并不能预估市场的潜在方向。举个例子，市场看涨行为从2020年3月触及底部开始，但自那时起，经济内部（通货膨胀）和经济外部（俄乌冲突）都发生了严重问题，并且出现了重大调整。包括我在内，没有人能够知道这些事情加在一起会对未来造成何种影响。我写这篇备忘录的目的，只是为了将近期事件放在历史的背景下，从中发现一些隐含的经验教训。这一点至关重要，因为我们必须回到22年前，回到2000年科技—传媒—电信泡沫破灭之前，看看当时真正牛市的开始和由此引发的熊市结束。很多读者因为开始投资的时间较晚，没有经历过当时的事件。你可能会问“在2008-2009年全球金融危机和2020年疫情大流行导致市场崩溃之前，市场收益情况如何？”在我看来，在这两场危机之前，市场都是渐进式上涨，并不是沿着抛物线上行。上涨不是由狂热情绪推动的，股价也没有被推升至疯狂的高度，而且高股价并不是造成任何一场危机的原因。2008-2009年危机是源自房地产市场和次贷证券化的出现，2020年崩溃则是因为新冠疫情的流行和政府为控制疫情而关闭经济。对于前面所说的“真正牛市”，我对它的定义并不是来自投资百科网站（Investopedia）：金融市场中资产或证券价格在一段时间内持续上涨。市场通常在股价下跌20%之后，出现20%的上涨。第一个定义过于平淡，没能捕捉到投资者在牛市行情中的核心情绪。第二个定义提供了一种错误的精准，牛市不应该用价格的百分比变化来定义。对我来说，最好用它给人的感觉、背后的投资者心理以及由此引发的投资行为来进行描述。（在牛市和熊市的数字标准被制定之前，我就已经开始投资，我认为这样的标准毫无意义。标普500指数下跌19.9%还是20.1%真的很重要吗？我还是更喜欢熊市的老派定义—神经折磨（nerve-racking）。01、过度与修正我的第二本书是《周期》（Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side）。众所周知，我是周期的学生，也是周期的信徒。这些年我作为投资者，经历了几个重要的周期（也接受了教育）。我相信了解自己在市场周期中的位置，可以提示我们接下来会发生的事情。但是当我把这本书写完三分之二时，我突然想到一个之前从没考虑过的问题：为什么会有周期？比如，标普500指数自1957年诞生，这65年的平均年回报率略高于10%，为什么它的回报率不能每年都是10%？在这里补充一下我在2004年7月备忘录《中庸之道》中提出的问题，为什么在这期间标普500指数的回报率只有6次在8%—12%之间，为什么它在90%时间里的表现都与此相差甚远？在经过一段时间思考之后，我认为可以这么解释，那就是市场存在“过度与修正”。如果把股票市场比作一台机器，你希望它能够随着时间的推移持续稳定地运转，这个想法是合理的。然而，我认为投资者心理状态对其决策造成的重大影响，可以在很大程度上解释市场出现波动的原因。当投资者开始大举看涨时，他们倾向于得出以下结论。首先，一切都将永远上涨；其次，无论他们为一项资产支付多高的价格，其他人都会以更高的价格从他们手中买走（即“更大傻瓜”理论），因为他们对市场高度非常乐观：股价上涨速度会比公司利润增速更快，涨幅会远高于公允价值（超额上涨）。之后投资环境开始令人失望，出高价的愚蠢举动变得很显眼，股价会跌落至公允价值（修正），之后进一步跌破该价格水平。股价下跌会进一步引发市场悲观情绪，由此导致股价下挫，并远远低于其本身价值（过度下跌）。最终抄底买入会助推低迷股价回升至其公允价值（修正）。过度上涨会导致回报率在一段时间内高于平均水平，而过度下挫也会导致回报率在一段时间内低于平均水平。当然，可能还有其他因素在发挥作用，但是我认为，“过度和修正”可以解释大部分情况。在2020-2021年期间，我们看到股市有些过度上涨，而现在我们看到它们正在被修正。02、牛市心理学在牛市行情中，有利环境会引领股价上涨并提振投资者信心，而这种投资信心会诱发激进操作，之后会进一步引发股价上涨，那么接下来会出现更加乐观的投资心态以及持续的冒险操作。这种上升式螺旋就是牛市的本质，其上升过程看起来似乎势不可挡。在疫情大流行初期，我们见证了一场典型的资产价格崩盘。标普500指数先是在2020年2月19日创下3386点的历史新高，随后在短短34天内重挫三分之一，并在3月23日跌至2237点。但是之后在多种力量共同努力下，股价又出现大幅上涨：其中美联储将联邦基金利率下调至接近零的水平，并与财政部一道宣布了大规模经济刺激措施。这些行动让投资者相信，国家机构会不惜一切代价稳定经济。降息显著降低了投资的预期回报，影响其相对吸引力。这些因素结合在一起，迫使投资者开始承受短期内出现的风险。随后资产价格出现上涨：到当年8月底，标普500指数已经收回所有失地，并涨超2月高点。FAAMG（脸书、亚马逊、苹果、微软和谷歌）、软件股和其他科技股大幅上涨，推动市场走高。最终，投资者得出结论，认为他们可以期待股市持续上涨，这也符合他们此前在牛市行情中的常规心态。就像上面最后一点，在牛市心理中最重要的是，就是大多数人认为股价上涨是预示之后行情的积极信号，不少人开始变得乐观。只有少数人会怀疑这种行情是过度上涨，其收益是依赖未来预期，所以上涨并不会持续，并且行情将发生逆转。这让我想起了我最喜欢的另一句格言，是大约在50年前我最早学会的一句，即“牛市的三个阶段”：第一阶段，当一些有远见的人开始押注牛市或将到来；第二阶段，当大多数投资者意识到牛市正在发生；第三阶段，当每个人都认为牛市会永远持续下去。有意思的是，虽然在美联储的主导下，股市从2020年3月的疲软底部快速转变为5月的繁荣景象，但是半信半疑才是我在这期间最常见到的投资者心理，他们问我最多的问题是：环境这么糟糕，疫情大流行肆虐加上经济停滞，股市还能上涨？那时很难找到乐观主义者。很多投资者成为我已故岳父所描述的“戴手铐的人”：他们买股票不是因为自己想买，而是他们不得不买，因为现金回报率很低。一旦股市开始上涨，由于担心会被抛在后面，所以他们会追逐更高的价格。因此，股市上涨似乎是源自美联储对资本市场的操纵，而不是来自企业的良好业绩或投资者的乐观情绪。直到2020年底，在标普500指数较3月底部上涨67.9%，全年累计上涨16.3%之后，投资者的心理状态才终于赶上飙升的股价。牛市很少能够经历第一阶段，经历第二阶段的概率也很低，许多投资者都是从当年3月底的深度绝望直接转变为后来的极度乐观。对当下来说，这就是一个很好的提醒。虽然有些历史事件的主旋律确实会重复出现，但是期待历史精确重演就是一个很大的错误。03、乐观理由、超级股票和新生事物在狂热的牛市行情中，投资者会变得歇斯底里。在极端情况下，他们的想法和行为会脱离实际。这里的前提是，必须出现一些要素既能激发投资者想象力，还能阻止他们谨慎思考。因此值得注意的是，总有一些要素会在牛市中出现：新的发展、新的发明以及推动股票上涨的理由。从定义上看，牛市的特点是繁荣向上、信心倍增、容易轻信以及投资者愿意为资产支付高价，而所有这些要素都在事后被证明是超出了限度。历史经验表明，将这些特点保持在合理范围内是至关重要的。鉴于这个原因，能够刺激牛市出现的理性或感性原因都来自新生事物，无法通过历史经验解释。历史充分证明，当市场出现看涨行为，股票估值被推高，以及投资者开始毫不犹豫地接受新生事物时，后果往往是非常痛苦的。每个人都知道（或者应该知道）在股市呈现抛物线上涨之后通常会下跌20%—50%。然而正如我在高中英语课上学到的“自愿终止怀疑”（the willing suspension of disbelief），上述行为仍在投资者中不断发生，反复出现。下面是我最喜欢的另一句名言：狂喜的感觉在过去和现在都鲜为人知。人们对金融市场的记忆非常短暂，这就导致金融危机很快就会被遗忘。而当相同或者非常相似的情况再度重演时，就算发生在几年之内，在年轻且极度自信的新一代眼中，这场危机也会被誉为是金融界和经济领域的重大发现。在人类涉猎的行业中，很少有行业像金融业一样，曾经的历史经验如此没有意义。在某种程度上，历史经验完全成为回忆的一部分，对于那些无力欣赏眼下盛景的人而言，成为了他们的原始避难所—John Kenneth Galbraith，《金融狂喜简史》，1990年在过去30年里，我多次与读者分享这句话，因为我认为它很好地总结了一些重要的观点，但针对其中所描述的行为，我之前并没有分享过我对它的理解。我不认为投资者是健忘的。相反，对历史的了解和适当的谨慎态度位于天平的一侧，追求财富的梦想位于天平的另一侧，而后者总是获胜。回忆、谨慎、现实主义和风险规避只会阻碍致富梦想的实现。所以出于这个原因，当牛市行情开始时，投资者总是缺少适度的担忧。取而代之的往往是为超出历史估值标准寻找理由。1987年10月11日，Anise Wallace在《纽约时报》上发表的一篇题为《为什么这个市场周期并没有什么不同》的文章中描述了这种现象。当时人们持有乐观、积极的情绪，为异常高的股价寻找合理性，但Wallace在文中指出，这种想法是站不住脚的：74岁的共同基金经理约翰·邓普顿曾指出，投资中最危险的四个字是“这次不同”。在股市大起大落时，投资者总会用这一理由来将其情绪驱动的决策合理化。在接下来的一年里，许多投资者可能会重复这四个字，为高股价辩护。但他们更应该持有“有钱了我就还你”（the check’s in the mail找借口拖延）的态度来看待股市上涨，不管经纪人或基金经理怎么说，牛市不会永远持续下去。结果，没花一年时间，仅仅八天后，全球遭遇了“黑色星期一”，道琼斯工业指数单日暴跌22.6%。对牛市的另一个解释是投资者相信某些企业一定会拥有美好的未来。这适用于20世纪60年代末的“漂亮50”成长股；80年代的半导体制造商；以及90年代末的电信、互联网和电子商务公司。人们认为，每一项发展都能够改变世界，因此，过去的商业现实并不能限制投资者的想象力和投资意愿。他们确实改变了世界。尽管如此，曾被认为合理的高估值并没有持续下去。在许多牛市中，一或多个群体被我称之为“超级股票”，它们的迅速崛起让投资者越来越乐观。日益增长的乐观情绪将股价推向高点，成为以往市场循环过程中的一个特征。通过相对价值比较和投资者情绪的普遍改善，这种积极性和估值走高进一步反映到其他证券（或所有证券）的估值中。回顾前两年，在2020—2021年，FAAMG（脸书、亚马逊、苹果、微软和谷歌）在令投资者兴奋不已的公司中位居榜首，其市场主导地位和规模能力前所未有的。2020年FAAMG的惊艳表现吸引了投资者的注意，并支持了普遍的看涨趋势。到2020年9月（六个月内），这些股票与3月份的低点相比，几乎翻了一番，较年初上涨了61%。值得一提的是，这五只股票在标普500指数中权重很大，因此它们的表现导致指数整体涨势良好，但这分散了人们对其他495只表现不佳股票的注意力。FAAMG的巨大成功为科技股带来了普遍的积极影响，投资者对科技股的需求激增，与投资领域的情况一样，强劲的需求刺激并增加了供应。在这种情况下，一个值得注意的晴雨表是未盈利的公司对待IPO的态度。在20世纪90年代末互联网泡沫之前，没有盈利的公司的IPO相对较少，在泡沫期间期间激增，但此后数量再次下降。在2020-2021年的牛市中，未盈利的首次公开募股（IPO）经历了一次大的反弹，因为投资者愿意支持科技公司规模化的愿望和生物科技公司在药物试验上的开支需求。如果拥有光明前景的公司为牛市提供了动力，那么市场上的新兴事物可能会起到推波助澜的作用，加剧其上涨。SPAC（借壳上市）是最近一个典型的例子。投资者为这些新成立的公司开展收购活动提供了空白支票，在满足以下两个条件后可以连本带利拿回资金，“如果两年内没有完成收购，或者如果投资者不同意拟议的收购”。这似乎是一个“稳赚不赔”（世界上最危险的一个词）的买卖，SPAC的数量从2013年的10个和2019年的59个飙升至2020年的248个和2021的613个。一些公司获得了巨额利润，而在其他情况下，投资者连本带息收回了资金。但是，由于缺乏对未经考验的创新的怀疑，加之牛市心理的推动，使得太多SPAC被创造出来，无论是由称职的还是不称职的发起者，他们都会因完成收购而获得高额报酬......任何收购。如今，自2020年以来通过完成收购并退出的SPAC平均售价为5.25美元，而发行价为10.00美元。这是一个很好的例子，证明了新事物并不是投资者所想的那么可靠——投资者再次为“一定不会发生的事”付出代价。SPAC的支持者则认为，这些实体只是公司上市的另一种方式，并不担心它的潜在作用。我重点关注的是，投资者在火热时期如何欣然接受一项未经考验的创新。另一个有关创新因素的动态也值得一提，其展示了“新事物”是如何对牛市作出了贡献：Robinhood Markets在疫情暴发前几年开始提供股票、Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF和加密货币等的免佣金交易。新冠疫情暴发后，这就鼓励了人们涌向股市，开始炒股，因为赌场和体育赛事停止了赌博业务。数百万没有失业的人得到了慷慨的财政补贴，这意味着许多人在疫情期间的可支配收入增加了。而像Reddit这样的社交网站把投资转变成一种“隔离居家的社交活动”。因此，大量的新手散户投资者涌向股市，其中许多人缺乏基本的投资经验。新手会因崇拜某位公众人物而激动不已，并声称“股市只会上涨” 。因此，许多科技股和“模因股”（抱团散户股）价格飙升。最后一个值得讨论的新兴事物是加密货币。例如，比特币的支持者列举了其多种用途，以及相对于潜在需求其供应是有限的。另一方面，怀疑论者指出，比特币缺乏现金流和内在价值，因此无法确定公允价格。无论哪一方是正确的，比特币都满足从牛市中受益的一些特征：比特币相对较新的（虽然它已经存在14年了，但最近五年人们才关注到它）。比特币价格大幅飙升，从2020年的5000美元上涨到2021年的最高点68000美元。根据Galbrait的说法，这肯定是前几代人“无法欣赏”事物。从所有这些方面来看，这完全符合Galbrait的描述，即“由新的、年轻且十分自信的一代人热烈拥护，认为是金融领域伟大的创新发明”的事物。现在，比特币与2021的高点相比下跌了一半多，但已经存在的数千种其他加密货币，跌幅要更大。2020年FAAMG、科技股、SPACs、抱团股和加密货币的惊人表现使得这种迷恋更加狂热，并增加了投资者的普遍乐观情绪。很难想象在没有前所未见或闻所未闻的情况下，会出现一个全面的牛市。“新新事物”和“这次不同”的信念是牛市主题反复出现的典型特征。04、逐底竞争不同周期中的另一个牛市主题是，牛市趋势对投资者决策质量的有害影响。简言之，当冷静理智被燃烧的乐观情绪取代时：资产价格上涨贪婪盖过恐惧不再担心亏损，转向担忧踏空风险厌恶和小心谨慎逐渐消失必须记住，是风险厌恶和对损失的恐惧让市场保持安全和理智。上述事态发展通常会提振市场，使谨慎和理智思考消失，令其成为危险之地。我曾在2007年的备忘录《逐底竞争》中解释说，当投资者和资本提供者手中有太多资金，他们太渴望投入使用时，所以对证券和放贷机会的出价就过于激进。激烈的竞价压低了预期回报，增加了风险，削弱了安全结构，并降低了容错率。谨慎的投资者坚持己见，说：“我坚持8%的利息和强力契约。”其竞争对手回应道：“我接受7%的利息，并要求更少的契约。”最不守规矩的人不想错过这个机会，说：“我可以接受6%的利息，且不需要契约。”这是“逐底竞争”，这正是人们常说的“最差的贷款来自于最好的时候”。当人们对最近的损失感到痛心，害怕经历更多损失时，这是不可能发生的事情。美联储为应对全球金融危机采取大规模的措施后，迎来了了长达10多年的创纪录经济复苏和股市上涨，但伴随而来的还有：亏损公司的IPO浪潮次级证券（高风险CCC评级债券）创纪录的发行高波动性行业（科技和软件）公司大量发债，而谨慎的时期人们往往会选择回避这些行业并购和收购的估值倍数不断上升风险溢价持续走低有利的发展也鼓励更多地使用杠杆。杠杆放大收益和损失，但在牛市中，投资者确信收益是必然的，而忽视损失的可能性。在这种情况下，很少有人能找到不举债的理由，因为债务的利息成本微乎其微，且可以增加成功的回报。但是，在上涨周期后期以高价增加负债并不是成功的最佳方式。当情况变得糟糕时，杠杆就会变得不利。当投资银行在投资末期发行债务时，他们就会陷入困境。“挂在”银行资产负债表上的债务往往会成为“煤矿里的金丝雀”，暗示危险即将到来。由于我信奉的是经久不衰的投资格言，因此，在这一点上，引用我认为最伟大的投资者行为的格言是十分恰当的，“智者所始，愚者所终”。在牛市的第一阶段购买股票的人，由于普遍的悲观情绪（如2008-09年全球金融危机期间和2020年新冠疫情初期），价格较低，有可能在风险极小的情况下获得丰厚的回报，主要先决条件是资金和胆量。但当牛市升温，可观的回报鼓励了投资者乐观的情绪，此时获得回报的特质是渴望、轻信和冒险。在牛市的第三阶段，新入市者大举买进，股市维持在高位。谨慎、选择性和纪律，在最需要的时候却消失不见。特别值得注意的是，乐观情绪并因风险承受能力而获得回报的投资者通常不再对投资机会进行辨别。投资者不仅认为一些“新事物”的肯定会成功，而且最终他们得出结论是，该领域前途一片光明，因此没有必要再进行区分。由于上述原因，“牛市心理”并非褒义词。它意味着毫无警觉的行为和高风险承受能力，投资者应该感到担忧，而不是受到鼓舞。正如巴菲特所言，“别人处理自己的事情越不谨慎小心,我们处理自己的事情就越要谨慎小心”。投资者必须知道牛市心理何时占据主导地位，并保持必要的谨慎态度。05、钟摆效应牛市不是凭空出现的。每次牛市中的赢家之所以成为赢家，原因很简单，即他们获利的背后存在一些事实。然而，我上面所说的牛市往往会夸大股票价值，并将股价推至过高也因此脆弱的水平。并且，向上的波动不会永远持续下去。我曾在《躺在沙发上》（OntheCouch，2016年1月）中写道：“在现实世界中，事情通常在‘相当好’和‘不太热’之间来回摆动。但在投资世界中，人们的预期往往从‘充满希望’变为‘绝望’”。在市场中，把事情做得严重过头是投资者行为的关键特征之一。牛市期间，投资者认为，有难度、不大可能发生和前所未有的事情肯定会奏效。但在不那么景气的时期，利好的经济消息和“业绩超过预期”并未能刺激买盘，股价上涨也不再使持仓水平较低的投资者感到后悔。因此，我们看到，人们不再愿意暂时摒弃质疑，心态迅速转为消极。投资者能够对几乎任意一条新闻进行解读，正面还是负面取决于报道方式和他们的心情，这是关键所在。（下面的漫画，我一直以来的最爱之一，是几十年前出版的，看看那些天线和电视机柜的深度，但显而易见，文字说明才与这一刻的主题有关。）“在今时今日的华尔街，降息的消息将股市推高，但接下来利率走低导致通胀的预期把股市压低，然后，人们意识到降息能刺激萧条的经济，这种预期又将股市推高，之后，在经济过热将导致再次加息的恐惧中，股市最终下挫。”将这个盛行的说法倒过来，便反映出我之前提到的“从充满希望到绝望”的过程。虽然支持牛市会发生的观点有些道理，但当进展顺利时，投资者便将其视为板上钉钉的事。然而，当这个观点的某些缺陷暴露出来时，人们又认为它完全错误。在欢乐的日子里（在一年前），科技多头说：“你必须买成长股，因为未来几十年它们的收益很可能会增长。”但现在，在经历了一轮暴跌之后，我们反而听到：“基于未来潜力的投资风险太大。你必须持有价值股，因为能够确定它们的现值，另外定价较为合理。”同样，在经济繁荣时期，参与亏损公司IPO的投资人表示：“报告亏损的公司没有什么问题，他们花钱扩大规模合情合理。”但现在的说法不一样了，许多人表示：“谁会投资于无利可图的公司？他们只会烧钱。”没有花太多时间观察市场的人可能认为资产价格完全取决于基本面，但事实并非如此。资产价格取决于基本面以及人们如何看待这些基本面。因此，资产价格的变化取决于基本面的变化和/或人们如何看待这些基本面的变化。公司基本面理论上受制于所谓的“分析”，甚至可能是预测。另一方面，对基本面的看法是主观的，不受分析或预测的影响，并且变化得更快、更剧烈。一些俗语也反映了这个观点：气球放气的速度比充气的速度快得多。事情发生的时间比你想象的要晚，但是它们发生的速度比你想象的要快得多。至于后者，根据我的经验，我们经常看到积极或消极的基本面会在一段时间内同时出现，而股价却没有反应。但随后达到了一个临界点——无论是基本面还是心理面——全部突然反映在价格上，有时甚至反映过度。06、然后会发生什么？牛市不会对所有行业一视同仁。正如我之前所讨论的，在牛市中，乐观情绪最强烈地集中在某类股票上，例如“新事物”或“超级股票”。这类股票涨幅最大，成为这一时期牛市的象征，并吸引进一步的买盘。媒体最关注这类股票，延长了整个过程。在2020-2021年期间，FAAMG和其他科技股就是这种现象的最好例子。道理不言而喻，但我还是要说，持有大量在牛市中领先的股票的投资者都做得很好。一些基金经理足够聪明或足够幸运地专注于这些股票，因此他们实现的回报最高，乐观情绪盛行，与此同时，他们还出现在报纸和有线电视节目的头版。过去，我曾说过，我们的行业到处都是因连续做出正确决定而出名的人。而对于那些足够聪明或幸运地增持引领牛市的板块的基金经理来说，出名的人可能会翻倍。然而，在上涨年份中涨幅最大的股票往往在下跌年份中跌幅最大。这里适用的格言来自现实世界，但这并没有降低它们的相关性：“成也萧何，败也萧何”“有起必有落”和“爬得越高，摔得越狠”：第一支科技基金在2020年增长了157%，从默默无闻到名声大震。但它在2021年下跌了23%，2022年迄今又下跌了57%。2019年底投资的100美元在一年后价值257美元，但如今已跌至85美元。另一支波动性较小的科技基金在2020年上涨了48%，但此后下跌了48%。不幸的是，上涨的48%和下跌的48%并无法相互抵消，实际上，每投资100美元，净下跌22美元。第三支科技基金在第一年上涨了惊人的291%，但在随后的三年中分别下跌了21%、60%和61%。在这四年里，开始时投资的100美元在最后仅价值43美元，相当于从第一年年底不可思议的高点下降了89%。等一下，目前的繁荣/萧条期还没有持续四年。不，我引用的是1999-2002年的结果，当时最后一个科技泡沫也破裂了。我提它们只是为了提醒你当前的表现是一次情景再现。前面我提到过免佣金交易的鼻祖Robinhood。它是2020-2021年牛市期间数字货币股的缩影。Robinhood于2021年7月以38美元/股的价格上市，一周后股价飙升至85美元。如今的股价仅为10美元，在不到一年的时间里从高位下跌了88%。但是股票的平均表现其实并没有那么糟糕，对吧？以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数在2022年“仅”下跌27.4%。这个“牛市”的一个特征是，最大的成分股表现最好，从而提振了指数。思考一下这对其余成分股意味着什么，纳指22%的股票至少下跌了50%。（此处和下面数据的时间截至5月20日）以下是我随机挑选的一些知名科技、数字货币和创新型股票的跌幅。也许，当这里的一些股票处于巅峰的时候，你因为没有入手而感到自责：假设，你仍然相信股价是由聪明的投资者根据基本面达成的共识决定的。如果是这样，那为什么所有这些股票都跌得如此惨烈？你真的相信这些企业的价值在过去几个月平均蒸发了一半以上吗？这个问题引发了一些我经常在想的其他问题。在股市出现剧烈波动之际，比特币经常朝同一个方向变动。这背后是否存在某种根本原因导致两者之间走势存在相关性？国家之间的市场联系也是如此：当日本股市开局大幅下滑时，欧美股市往往会跟跌。有时，似乎美国股市领先，日本股市却同时出现下滑。这些国家基本面之间的联系是否足以导致它们联动？我对所有这些问题的回答通常都是“不”。共同点不是基本面，而是心理因素，当后者发生重大变化时，所有这些事情都会受到类似的影响。07、经验正如对于投资专业的学生来说，最重要的不是在特定时间段内发生了什么事，而是我们可以从这些事件中学到什么。我们可以从2020-2021年的趋势中学到很多东西，这些趋势与前几个周期的趋势是一致的。在牛市中：乐观是基于那些做得非常好的事情而建立的。当股价从在心理和价位方面均相当低迷的基数上涨时，影响最为强烈。牛市心理不存在担忧情绪，并且具有高水平的风险承受能力，因此伴随极为激进的行为。承担风险会得到回报，而努力勤奋的必要性却被遭到忽视。高回报使人们更加相信新事物、小概率事件和乐观的结果将会发生。当人们对这些东西的价值深信不疑时，他们往往会得出“没有太贵的股票”的结论。在它们（和价格）达到不可持续的水平之后，这些影响最终会降温。处于高位的市场容易受到外部事件的影响，例如俄乌冲突。涨幅最大的资产以及增持它们的投资者，往往会经历痛苦的反转。在我的职业生涯中，我曾多次目睹此类事情发生，当中没有一次完全是由基本面造成的，相反，心理因素是主要原因，而心理的运作方式又不太可能发生改变。这就是为什么我坚信只要人类参与投资过程，我们就会看到它们一次又一次地发生。而且，请注意，市场的剧烈波动基本上是由心理因素驱动的，显而易见，如果可能的话，只有当价格极高或极低时，才能预测市场走势。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021517291,"gmtCreate":1653086610813,"gmtModify":1676535219267,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021517291","repostId":"1190645914","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190645914","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing 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height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Opened Higher and Went Lower in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Slid Nearly 1%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ 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#494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Opened Higher and Went Lower in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Slid Nearly 1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-20 23:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks opened higher and went lower in morning trading. Nasdaq slid 0.91%, while Dow Jones, S&amp;P 500 slid 0.69% and 0.74% separately. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a2e636433516c77f04710dd7e29052\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"122\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190645914","content_text":"U.S. stocks opened higher and went lower in morning trading. Nasdaq slid 0.91%, while Dow Jones, S&P 500 slid 0.69% and 0.74% separately.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9029794411,"gmtCreate":1652830380533,"gmtModify":1676535168428,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9029794411","repostId":"2236220493","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2236220493","pubTimestamp":1652829708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236220493?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-18 07:21","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"马斯克喊话美国SEC，呼吁调查推特用户数量","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236220493","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"在收购推特的交易过程中，特斯拉CEO埃隆-马斯克周二呼吁美国证券交易委员会调查该社交网络的用户数量。　　马斯克上个月同意以440亿美元收购推特，但此后表示交易暂停，因他正在调查机器人、垃圾邮件和虚假账户，并在昨日表示不排除以更低价收购该公司。自马斯克上月初首次披露其持有推特9%的股份以来，该公司股价已回吐所有涨幅。推特还承认在过去三年中夸大了140万至190万的用户数量。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>在收购推特的交易过程中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>CEO埃隆-马斯克周二呼吁美国证券交易委员会（SEC）调查该社交网络的用户数量。</p><p>马斯克周二在推特的一项非正式民意调查中写道：“推特声称超过95%的日常活跃用户是真实的、独立的人类。有人有这种经历吗？”然后，他回应一位建议SEC开始调查的粉丝说：“你好@SECGov，有人在吗？”</p><p>马斯克上个月同意以440亿美元收购推特，但此后表示交易暂停，因他正在调查<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>、垃圾邮件和虚假账户，并在昨日表示不排除以更低价收购该公司。推特回应称，仍预计交易将以每股54.20美元的商定价格完成。</p><p>投资者一直在抛售推特股票，因担心马斯克将放弃他的收购协议，这将迫使他支付10亿美元的分手费。自马斯克上月初首次披露其持有推特9%的股份以来，该公司股价已回吐所有涨幅。</p><p>在一季度财报中，推特承认其平台上有许多“虚假或垃圾邮件账户”，但虚假或垃圾邮件账户的平均数不到可货币化日活用户（mDAU）的5%。推特还承认在过去三年中夸大了140万至190万的用户数量。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克喊话美国SEC，呼吁调查推特用户数量</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克喊话美国SEC，呼吁调查推特用户数量\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-18 07:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-18/doc-imcwiwst7978792.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在收购推特的交易过程中，特斯拉CEO埃隆-马斯克周二呼吁美国证券交易委员会（SEC）调查该社交网络的用户数量。马斯克周二在推特的一项非正式民意调查中写道：“推特声称超过95%的日常活跃用户是真实的、独立的人类。有人有这种经历吗？”然后，他回应一位建议SEC开始调查的粉丝说：“你好@SECGov，有人在吗？”马斯克上个月同意以440亿美元收购推特，但此后表示交易暂停，因他正在调查机器人、垃圾邮件和...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-18/doc-imcwiwst7978792.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9de09c07ea735de4f127a5bc877b174","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-18/doc-imcwiwst7978792.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236220493","content_text":"在收购推特的交易过程中，特斯拉CEO埃隆-马斯克周二呼吁美国证券交易委员会（SEC）调查该社交网络的用户数量。马斯克周二在推特的一项非正式民意调查中写道：“推特声称超过95%的日常活跃用户是真实的、独立的人类。有人有这种经历吗？”然后，他回应一位建议SEC开始调查的粉丝说：“你好@SECGov，有人在吗？”马斯克上个月同意以440亿美元收购推特，但此后表示交易暂停，因他正在调查机器人、垃圾邮件和虚假账户，并在昨日表示不排除以更低价收购该公司。推特回应称，仍预计交易将以每股54.20美元的商定价格完成。投资者一直在抛售推特股票，因担心马斯克将放弃他的收购协议，这将迫使他支付10亿美元的分手费。自马斯克上月初首次披露其持有推特9%的股份以来，该公司股价已回吐所有涨幅。在一季度财报中，推特承认其平台上有许多“虚假或垃圾邮件账户”，但虚假或垃圾邮件账户的平均数不到可货币化日活用户（mDAU）的5%。推特还承认在过去三年中夸大了140万至190万的用户数量。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9029794656,"gmtCreate":1652830360475,"gmtModify":1676535168419,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9029794656","repostId":"2236274480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236274480","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1652828904,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236274480?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-18 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell Says Fed Has Resolve to Bring U.S. Inflation Down","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236274480","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank's resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn't be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.\"Restoring pr","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank&#39;s resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn&#39;t be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Restoring price stability is a nonnegotiable need. It is something we have to do,&#34; Mr. Powell said in an interview Tuesday during The Wall Street Journal&#39;s Future of Everything Festival. &#34;There could be some pain involved.&#34;</p><p>Mr. Powell said he hoped that the Fed could bring down inflation while preserving a strong labor market, which he said might lead the unemployment rate -- near half-century lows of 3.6% in April -- to rise slightly. &#34;It may not be a perfect labor market,&#34; he said.</p><p>The central bank is raising interest rates as part of its most aggressive effort in decades to curb upward price pressures. Mr. Powell signaled Tuesday that the central bank was likely to follow a half-percentage-point raise earlier this month, to a range between 0.75% and 1%, with similar moves at meetings in June and July. Until this month, the Fed hadn&#39;t raised rates in such intervals since 2000.</p><p>The Fed last year maintained aggressive stimulus to spur a faster labor market recovery. Mr. Powell said Tuesday that it was possible that disruptions from the pandemic had changed the labor market in ways that made current levels of unemployment inconsistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation goal.</p><p>He said that it seemed the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation &#34;is probably well above 3.6%.&#34;</p><p>The Fed chairman repeated his hope that the central bank can curtail high inflation without spurring a large rise in unemployment. However, Mr. Powell said, there is little from modern economic experience to suggest that outcome can be achieved. &#34;If you look in the history book and find it -- no, you can&#39;t,&#34; he said. &#34;I think we are in a world of firsts.&#34;</p><p>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. Chief Executive Charlie Scharf, speaking at the same event Tuesday morning, said it would be difficult to avoid a recession but noted that consumers and businesses remain financially solid.</p><p>&#34;The fact that everyone is so strong going into this should hopefully provide a cushion such that whatever recession there is, if there is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, is short and not all that deep,&#34; he said.</p><p>Mr. Powell said he wasn&#39;t at odds with those who believe the Fed faces a difficult path to achieving what is known as a &#34;soft landing,&#34; in which growth slows enough to bring down inflation without triggering a recession.</p><p>&#34;I would say there is no disagreement really. It is a challenging task, made more challenging the last couple months because of global events,&#34; he said. &#34;It is challenging because unemployment is very low already and because inflation is very high.&#34;</p><p>Fed officials described higher inflation a year ago as temporary. They backed away from that characterization last fall, as the labor market healed rapidly and price pressures broadened.</p><p>Still, the Fed as recently as January had expected inflation to diminish this spring as supply-chain bottlenecks improved. Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine in late February and rolling Covid-related lockdowns in China created new sources of inflationary pressures.</p><p>&#34;That is going to make it harder for inflation to come down, so it has added a degree of difficulty to what was already a challenging market,&#34; said Mr. Powell.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s stopping point for rate increases isn&#39;t certainty. If inflation doesn&#39;t show signs of diminishing soon, more officials could conclude that rates need to rise closer to 4% over the next 12 to 18 months, rather than to a level around 3% that most of them projected at their policy meeting two months ago.</p><p>&#34;We will go until we feel like we are at a place where we can say, &#39;Yes, financial conditions are at an appropriate place. We see inflation coming down,&#39;&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We will go to that point, and there will not be any hesitation about that.&#34;</p><p>The most recent inflation data has been mixed. On a monthly basis, the consumer-price index&#39;s gauge of core prices, which excludes food and energy, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in April, according to a Labor Department report last week, and rose 6.2% over the previous 12 months.</p><p>The Fed uses a different gauge, the personal-consumption expenditures price index. April inflation data from that Commerce Department report will be released on May 27. Based on other recently released figures, Wall Street forecasters estimate a more muted rise in inflation using that measure. Economists at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> think core PCE inflation rose by less than 0.3% in April, bringing the 12-month rate of change to 4.8%, from 5.2% in March.</p><p>&#34;This is not a time for tremendously nuanced readings of inflation,&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We need to see inflation coming down in a convincing way. Until we do, we&#39;ll keep going.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell Says Fed Has Resolve to Bring U.S. Inflation Down</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell Says Fed Has Resolve to Bring U.S. Inflation Down\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-18 07:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank&#39;s resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn&#39;t be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Restoring price stability is a nonnegotiable need. It is something we have to do,&#34; Mr. Powell said in an interview Tuesday during The Wall Street Journal&#39;s Future of Everything Festival. &#34;There could be some pain involved.&#34;</p><p>Mr. Powell said he hoped that the Fed could bring down inflation while preserving a strong labor market, which he said might lead the unemployment rate -- near half-century lows of 3.6% in April -- to rise slightly. &#34;It may not be a perfect labor market,&#34; he said.</p><p>The central bank is raising interest rates as part of its most aggressive effort in decades to curb upward price pressures. Mr. Powell signaled Tuesday that the central bank was likely to follow a half-percentage-point raise earlier this month, to a range between 0.75% and 1%, with similar moves at meetings in June and July. Until this month, the Fed hadn&#39;t raised rates in such intervals since 2000.</p><p>The Fed last year maintained aggressive stimulus to spur a faster labor market recovery. Mr. Powell said Tuesday that it was possible that disruptions from the pandemic had changed the labor market in ways that made current levels of unemployment inconsistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation goal.</p><p>He said that it seemed the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation &#34;is probably well above 3.6%.&#34;</p><p>The Fed chairman repeated his hope that the central bank can curtail high inflation without spurring a large rise in unemployment. However, Mr. Powell said, there is little from modern economic experience to suggest that outcome can be achieved. &#34;If you look in the history book and find it -- no, you can&#39;t,&#34; he said. &#34;I think we are in a world of firsts.&#34;</p><p>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. Chief Executive Charlie Scharf, speaking at the same event Tuesday morning, said it would be difficult to avoid a recession but noted that consumers and businesses remain financially solid.</p><p>&#34;The fact that everyone is so strong going into this should hopefully provide a cushion such that whatever recession there is, if there is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, is short and not all that deep,&#34; he said.</p><p>Mr. Powell said he wasn&#39;t at odds with those who believe the Fed faces a difficult path to achieving what is known as a &#34;soft landing,&#34; in which growth slows enough to bring down inflation without triggering a recession.</p><p>&#34;I would say there is no disagreement really. It is a challenging task, made more challenging the last couple months because of global events,&#34; he said. &#34;It is challenging because unemployment is very low already and because inflation is very high.&#34;</p><p>Fed officials described higher inflation a year ago as temporary. They backed away from that characterization last fall, as the labor market healed rapidly and price pressures broadened.</p><p>Still, the Fed as recently as January had expected inflation to diminish this spring as supply-chain bottlenecks improved. Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine in late February and rolling Covid-related lockdowns in China created new sources of inflationary pressures.</p><p>&#34;That is going to make it harder for inflation to come down, so it has added a degree of difficulty to what was already a challenging market,&#34; said Mr. Powell.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s stopping point for rate increases isn&#39;t certainty. If inflation doesn&#39;t show signs of diminishing soon, more officials could conclude that rates need to rise closer to 4% over the next 12 to 18 months, rather than to a level around 3% that most of them projected at their policy meeting two months ago.</p><p>&#34;We will go until we feel like we are at a place where we can say, &#39;Yes, financial conditions are at an appropriate place. We see inflation coming down,&#39;&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We will go to that point, and there will not be any hesitation about that.&#34;</p><p>The most recent inflation data has been mixed. On a monthly basis, the consumer-price index&#39;s gauge of core prices, which excludes food and energy, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in April, according to a Labor Department report last week, and rose 6.2% over the previous 12 months.</p><p>The Fed uses a different gauge, the personal-consumption expenditures price index. April inflation data from that Commerce Department report will be released on May 27. Based on other recently released figures, Wall Street forecasters estimate a more muted rise in inflation using that measure. Economists at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> think core PCE inflation rose by less than 0.3% in April, bringing the 12-month rate of change to 4.8%, from 5.2% in March.</p><p>&#34;This is not a time for tremendously nuanced readings of inflation,&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We need to see inflation coming down in a convincing way. Until we do, we&#39;ll keep going.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236274480","content_text":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank's resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn't be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.\"Restoring price stability is a nonnegotiable need. It is something we have to do,\" Mr. Powell said in an interview Tuesday during The Wall Street Journal's Future of Everything Festival. \"There could be some pain involved.\"Mr. Powell said he hoped that the Fed could bring down inflation while preserving a strong labor market, which he said might lead the unemployment rate -- near half-century lows of 3.6% in April -- to rise slightly. \"It may not be a perfect labor market,\" he said.The central bank is raising interest rates as part of its most aggressive effort in decades to curb upward price pressures. Mr. Powell signaled Tuesday that the central bank was likely to follow a half-percentage-point raise earlier this month, to a range between 0.75% and 1%, with similar moves at meetings in June and July. Until this month, the Fed hadn't raised rates in such intervals since 2000.The Fed last year maintained aggressive stimulus to spur a faster labor market recovery. Mr. Powell said Tuesday that it was possible that disruptions from the pandemic had changed the labor market in ways that made current levels of unemployment inconsistent with the Fed's 2% inflation goal.He said that it seemed the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation \"is probably well above 3.6%.\"The Fed chairman repeated his hope that the central bank can curtail high inflation without spurring a large rise in unemployment. However, Mr. Powell said, there is little from modern economic experience to suggest that outcome can be achieved. \"If you look in the history book and find it -- no, you can't,\" he said. \"I think we are in a world of firsts.\"Wells Fargo & Co. Chief Executive Charlie Scharf, speaking at the same event Tuesday morning, said it would be difficult to avoid a recession but noted that consumers and businesses remain financially solid.\"The fact that everyone is so strong going into this should hopefully provide a cushion such that whatever recession there is, if there is one, is short and not all that deep,\" he said.Mr. Powell said he wasn't at odds with those who believe the Fed faces a difficult path to achieving what is known as a \"soft landing,\" in which growth slows enough to bring down inflation without triggering a recession.\"I would say there is no disagreement really. It is a challenging task, made more challenging the last couple months because of global events,\" he said. \"It is challenging because unemployment is very low already and because inflation is very high.\"Fed officials described higher inflation a year ago as temporary. They backed away from that characterization last fall, as the labor market healed rapidly and price pressures broadened.Still, the Fed as recently as January had expected inflation to diminish this spring as supply-chain bottlenecks improved. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in late February and rolling Covid-related lockdowns in China created new sources of inflationary pressures.\"That is going to make it harder for inflation to come down, so it has added a degree of difficulty to what was already a challenging market,\" said Mr. Powell.The Fed's stopping point for rate increases isn't certainty. If inflation doesn't show signs of diminishing soon, more officials could conclude that rates need to rise closer to 4% over the next 12 to 18 months, rather than to a level around 3% that most of them projected at their policy meeting two months ago.\"We will go until we feel like we are at a place where we can say, 'Yes, financial conditions are at an appropriate place. We see inflation coming down,'\" Mr. Powell said. \"We will go to that point, and there will not be any hesitation about that.\"The most recent inflation data has been mixed. On a monthly basis, the consumer-price index's gauge of core prices, which excludes food and energy, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in April, according to a Labor Department report last week, and rose 6.2% over the previous 12 months.The Fed uses a different gauge, the personal-consumption expenditures price index. April inflation data from that Commerce Department report will be released on May 27. Based on other recently released figures, Wall Street forecasters estimate a more muted rise in inflation using that measure. Economists at Morgan Stanley think core PCE inflation rose by less than 0.3% in April, bringing the 12-month rate of change to 4.8%, from 5.2% in March.\"This is not a time for tremendously nuanced readings of inflation,\" Mr. Powell said. \"We need to see inflation coming down in a convincing way. Until we do, we'll keep going.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065913680,"gmtCreate":1652138906140,"gmtModify":1676535036281,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065913680","repostId":"2234688177","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065913391,"gmtCreate":1652138887613,"gmtModify":1676535036273,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065913391","repostId":"2234688177","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065919765,"gmtCreate":1652138859957,"gmtModify":1676535036265,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065919765","repostId":"2234884616","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062880605,"gmtCreate":1652051034907,"gmtModify":1676535017629,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062880605","repostId":"1151523366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151523366","pubTimestamp":1652050295,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151523366?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-09 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir, Disney, Occidental, Rivian, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151523366","media":"Barrons","summary":"We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left to report this week. The economic-data highlights of the week will be a pair of inflation measures.</p><p>Monday’s highlights will include BioNTech, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, and Tyson Foods. Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum report on Tuesday, followed by Walt Disney,  Rivian Automotive, and Toyota Motoron Wednesday. Brookfield Asset Management and Tapestry will release earnings on Thursday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6917c65c235b29b3cad735f401b18555\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"1450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The economic calendar is headlined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price and producer price indexes for April. Those are forecast to rise by 8.1% and 10.6%, respectively, year over year.</p><p>Other data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for April on Tuesday and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for May on Friday.</p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams delivers a keynote address on U.S. monetary policy at a symposium hosted by the National Association for Business Economics and Deutsche Bundesbank, kicking off a full week for central bank speakers. Markets will be looking for more context and clarity on policy a week after the Fed executed its biggest interest-rate increase since 2000.</p><p><b>Monday 5/9</b></p><p>BioNTech, Duke Energy,Exelon,International Flavors &amp; Fragrances,Microchip Technology,Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, Tyson Foods, and Viatris report quarterly results.</p><p><b>Tuesday 5/10</b></p><p>Dentsply Sirona,Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Occidental Petroleum, Sysco,TransDigm Group,Welltower, and Wynn Resorts announce earnings.</p><p>Dish Network, Fortinet, Mondelez International, and Western Digital hold investor meetings.</p><p><b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 92.4 reading, about one point less than in March. The March figure is the lowest for the index since April of 2020, as a labor shortage and surging inflation have dampened small-business owners’ enthusiasm.</p><p><b>Wednesday 5/11</b></p><p>Walt Disney reports second-quarter fiscal-2022 results. Shares of the entertainment behemoth have been the worst performer in the DJIA over the past year over concerns about spending on content.</p><p><b>Rivian Automotive,</b> Steris, and Toyota Motor release quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for April. Expectations are for a 8.1% year-over-year reading, while the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen jumping 5.9%. This compares with increases of 8.5% and 6.5% respectively, in March. Wall Street is hoping for confirmation that inflation has peaked, even as economists and the Federal Reserve expect inflation to remain much higher for far longer than they did just six months ago.</p><p><b>Thursday 5/12</b></p><p>Brookfield Asset Management, Constellation Energy,Motorola Solutions,and Tapestry hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p>Micron Technology and WestRock hold their 2022 investor days.</p><p>Ford Motor,Intel,and Verizon Communicationshost their annual shareholder meetings.</p><p><b>The BLS releases</b> the producer price index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 10.6% year-over-year rise, compared with a 11.2% jump in March, which is the highest on record for index since the 12-month data were first calculated in late 2010. The core PPI is expected to increase 8.9%, after a 9.2% gain in March.</p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 7. In April, jobless claims averaged just 184,000. They recently hit a more-than-five-decade low, despite a workforce that is more than twice as large now as it was then.</p><p><b>Friday 5/13</b></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for May. Economists forecast a 63.1 reading, about two point less than in April.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir, Disney, Occidental, Rivian, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir, Disney, Occidental, Rivian, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-09 06:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-occidental-rivian-palantir-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51652036428?mod=hp_LEAD_5><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left to report this week. The economic-data highlights of the week will be a pair of inflation measures....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-occidental-rivian-palantir-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51652036428?mod=hp_LEAD_5\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","NCLH":"挪威邮轮",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","U":"Unity Software Inc.","TM":"丰田汽车","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OXY":"西方石油","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","EA":"艺电",".DJI":"道琼斯","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-occidental-rivian-palantir-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51652036428?mod=hp_LEAD_5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151523366","content_text":"We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left to report this week. The economic-data highlights of the week will be a pair of inflation measures.Monday’s highlights will include BioNTech, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, and Tyson Foods. Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum report on Tuesday, followed by Walt Disney,  Rivian Automotive, and Toyota Motoron Wednesday. Brookfield Asset Management and Tapestry will release earnings on Thursday.The economic calendar is headlined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price and producer price indexes for April. Those are forecast to rise by 8.1% and 10.6%, respectively, year over year.Other data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for April on Tuesday and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for May on Friday.Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams delivers a keynote address on U.S. monetary policy at a symposium hosted by the National Association for Business Economics and Deutsche Bundesbank, kicking off a full week for central bank speakers. Markets will be looking for more context and clarity on policy a week after the Fed executed its biggest interest-rate increase since 2000.Monday 5/9BioNTech, Duke Energy,Exelon,International Flavors & Fragrances,Microchip Technology,Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, Tyson Foods, and Viatris report quarterly results.Tuesday 5/10Dentsply Sirona,Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Occidental Petroleum, Sysco,TransDigm Group,Welltower, and Wynn Resorts announce earnings.Dish Network, Fortinet, Mondelez International, and Western Digital hold investor meetings.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 92.4 reading, about one point less than in March. The March figure is the lowest for the index since April of 2020, as a labor shortage and surging inflation have dampened small-business owners’ enthusiasm.Wednesday 5/11Walt Disney reports second-quarter fiscal-2022 results. Shares of the entertainment behemoth have been the worst performer in the DJIA over the past year over concerns about spending on content.Rivian Automotive, Steris, and Toyota Motor release quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for April. Expectations are for a 8.1% year-over-year reading, while the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen jumping 5.9%. This compares with increases of 8.5% and 6.5% respectively, in March. Wall Street is hoping for confirmation that inflation has peaked, even as economists and the Federal Reserve expect inflation to remain much higher for far longer than they did just six months ago.Thursday 5/12Brookfield Asset Management, Constellation Energy,Motorola Solutions,and Tapestry hold conference calls to discuss earnings.Micron Technology and WestRock hold their 2022 investor days.Ford Motor,Intel,and Verizon Communicationshost their annual shareholder meetings.The BLS releases the producer price index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 10.6% year-over-year rise, compared with a 11.2% jump in March, which is the highest on record for index since the 12-month data were first calculated in late 2010. The core PPI is expected to increase 8.9%, after a 9.2% gain in March.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 7. In April, jobless claims averaged just 184,000. They recently hit a more-than-five-decade low, despite a workforce that is more than twice as large now as it was then.Friday 5/13The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for May. Economists forecast a 63.1 reading, about two point less than in April.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062880044,"gmtCreate":1652051013188,"gmtModify":1676535017614,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062880044","repostId":"2233559861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9066486000,"gmtCreate":1651944590500,"gmtModify":1676535001354,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803992145384","idStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9066486000","repostId":"2233315662","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2233315662","pubTimestamp":1651885227,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233315662?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-07 09:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"苹果汽车的8大技术猜想","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233315662","media":"42号车库","summary":"在辅助驾驶和电池方面可能没有重大优势或突破，产品的重点应该在设计和功能上","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>电动车或于2024年亮相，辅助驾驶水平、V2X（车联网应用）、动力电池等8大技术最值得期待。</b></blockquote><p>知名资讯机构 IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> 近期发布了一篇关于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>汽车项目的报告，其内容可谓短小精悍。报告中 IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> 公司内 10 位来自供应链、辅助驾驶、半导体传感器和车辆动力学等不同领域背景的研究者，合力整理了关于苹果汽车的 5 个关键问题和 8 个技术领域的推测——他们写到，<b>“苹果电动车”在 2024 年登场亮相的可能性为 50%。</b></p><p>一、苹果汽车前情提要</p><p>苹果最开始被爆料会进军汽车领域还是在 2014 年——那时的 Model S 还用着鲨鱼嘴造型的前脸，辅助驾驶硬件还是基于 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MBLY\">Mobileye</a> EyeQ3、单目摄像头、前向毫米波雷达和 12 台超声波雷达的 HW1。苹果 CEO 蒂姆·库克批准开发一辆支持高阶辅助驾驶的纯电动汽车的消息首次出现在人们的视野中。</p><p>从 2015 年苹果改装了两辆雷克萨斯 RX 作为测试车开始，到 2021 年传出苹果和韩国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HYUD.UK\">现代汽车</a>达成合作的 6 年间，苹果四处挖人、公开表示对发展自动驾驶系统的兴趣、组建了超过 60 辆测试车的测试车队、收购了技术公司 Drive.ai、团队 AI 主管人事变动......苹果推进项目的步调，多少有些太波澜不惊了。</p><p>苹果大项目的行事风格向来隐秘，曾甚嚣尘上的项目终止传闻也让这辆电动车有些捉摸不透。IHS Markit 也在这篇报告中对这部分内容没有过多八卦，而是直入主题列出了大家对于苹果汽车最感兴趣的 5 个关键问题。</p><p>二、苹果汽车的 5 个关键问题</p><p><b>Q1：苹果会量产“Apple Car”吗？</b></p><p>至少从史蒂夫·乔布斯握着初代 iPhone、掀起消费电子市场的腥风血雨开始，苹果给人的印象一直是“不鸣则已，一鸣惊人”——苹果产品硬件软件、用户体验等方面上优秀的传统艺能给这辆车做了信用背书：苹果出品必是精品。</p><p>苹果应该只会在有把握成为领域内最优秀的存在时，才会推出产品。换而言之，即使经过广泛探索和投入，如果不能达到苹果的标准，项目就会被抛弃——苹果支持自由放置设备的无线充电垫 AirPower 和 iPhone 8 在同一场发布会亮相，却在 2019 年苹果工程师的一封对外邮件中被打上“无法达到我们的高标准”的标签，黯然退场。</p><p>IHS Markit 认为，苹果对汽车领域始于 2014 年的投资具有战略性意义。虽然苹果 8 年来在汽车领域耕耘的成果尚不明确——是像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> Model S 这样的一款车，还是像华为那样的乘用车解决方案？IHS Markit 指出，尽管不知道苹果的汽车项目最终会以什么样貌面世，但 Project Titan 成功推出的可能性超过 50%，即使在汽车领域，苹果暂时不能像在消费电子领域（iPhone、Mac 和 Apple Watch 等产品）那样获得有优势的市场份额。</p><p><b>Q2：苹果汽车会是什么样？</b></p><p>IHS Markit 暂时还没有确认苹果会专注于汽车的哪个领域，但假设苹果汽车主要面向家庭，那么这辆车尺寸可能介于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> Model X（中大型 SUV）和本田 SUV e:concept（紧凑型 SUV）之间。</p><p>苹果产品的核心是“提供最佳用户体验”，那么苹果汽车也不例外。不过凡事也不绝对，苹果有为性能和设计舍弃用户体验开倒车的先例：为了防水而机身零件在 iPhone 7 系列上取消了耳机孔、用清一色的 Type-C 接口取代了 Mac 的 Magsafe 和 USB 接口以提升传输和充电速度。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a> CEO 何小鹏 2021 年曾说过，辅助驾驶技术的核心是数据。从公共渠道了解的信息来看，苹果“超过 60 辆”的测试车队即使从 2014 年开始全年无休地道路测试，积累的数据也很难让苹果在辅助驾驶方面有很大优势——<b>IHS Markit 认为，从专利和道路测试分析来看，苹果汽车在辅助驾驶和电池方面可能没有重大优势或突破，产品的重点应该在设计和功能上。</b></p><p><b>Q3：苹果汽车何时会发布？</b></p><p>IHS Markit 对这一问题的回答就很直白：有消息称苹果会在 2024 年推出 Project Titan 对应的纯电动汽车，但这一时间窗口非常紧凑。考虑到采购、工业化生产和制造的周期，如果苹果真的打算在 2024 年发布汽车，那么很可能这辆车会是苹果和现有的主机厂或供应商合作设计生产的。但如果苹果汽车的生产依赖于其他合作伙伴代工，那么年产量不太可能达到预期的 150,000 辆。</p><p><b>Q4：全自研还是部分整合？</b></p><p>IHS Markit 认为，与大体量的 OEM（原始设备制造商）合作能够让苹果避免重新设计新的制造工艺，不必像特斯拉那样在生产制造上亲力亲为。特斯拉在各个领域做的，是专注于提供面向客户的功能和服务，并缩短交付时间。</p><p><b>苹果如果要复制在消费电子领域的成功，则需要严格控制硬件和软件的开发整合，不过这么做也会让 OEM 伙伴沦为单纯的代工方，这也是许多 OEM 不希望成为的角色。</b></p><p><b>Q5：成为苹果供应商有何利弊？</b></p><p>IHS Markit 认为，苹果与麦格纳（Magna）或 LG 这样的合作伙伴合作的可能性比依赖传统汽车 OEM 供应商的可能性更高。LG 很有可能与苹果合作汽车项目，因为 LG 已经是苹果当前供应链的一部分。拿下苹果汽车项目将是有力背书，但以苹果在各方面的野心，与苹果合作造车将是一个极具挑战性的工作。</p><p>三、苹果汽车的关键技术预测</p><p><b>1. 辅助驾驶水平</b></p><p>激光雷达更可能用于车内的感知，包括面部识别和手势控制。</p><p>在内饰方面使用激光雷达完成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>座舱的功能，对苹果来说绝对是驾轻就熟的——iPhone 12 Pro 系列和同期的 iPad Pro 已经用上了小型激光雷达，扫描的精度和面积对于座舱环境感知和手势识别绰绰有余，满足支付安全要求的 Face ID 用来解锁车辆和用户识别也是小菜一碟。</p><p><b>对于苹果来说，直接推出具有 L4 级别辅助驾驶功能的车辆是一个“巨大的赌注”：除了全球各地监管部门的法规批准之外，相关移动出行服务的收费政策也需要进一步许可。</b></p><p>基于自动驾驶技术的出行即服务（Mobility as a Service，MaaS）业务能够很好地拓展苹果软件生态和用户体验的范围。并且现有 MaaS 业务的公司（如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a> Waymo、通用旗下 Cruise 等）并不自己生产车辆，苹果汽车量产能和未来可能的 MaaS 业务很好地匹配。但对于非商业用途的苹果汽车，车辆很有可能一开始就支持 L2 或 L3 级别的人机共驾，包括自动紧急制动（AEB）等基础 ADAS 功能。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64278cd314ee1f1c4a61ca134d38469\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1056\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>2. 汽车应用的开发</b></p><p>在能让苹果汽车脱颖而出的若干方面中，苹果的应用生态和云端服务一定会起到重要作用。苹果会在自己设计生产的汽车中内置 App Store 可以说是板上钉钉，而且苹果很有可能会提供对开发者较为友好的开发框架，协助第三方开发者编写面向苹果汽车的软件应用。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e7e377c6264b367c6c1c40a8375e3d5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"890\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>3. V2X</b>（车联网应用）</p><p><b>苹果非常有可能为车辆配备基于 5G 通讯的 V2X 功能。</b></p><p>伴随着苹果对辅助驾驶和自动化领域的研发投资，V2X 技术不出意外会出现在苹果设计的汽车上。V2X 的相关方面也是苹果专利申请最活跃的领域之一，包括从导航界面、消息通知样式、数据来源选择和非标准道路信息的识别等等。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce9e5ecdd9e247b201fabdcbee5db5bb\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"727\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>4. 动力电池</b></p><p><b>除了中国的众多电池企业，韩国 SK Innovation 也是苹果汽车电池技术合作的强有力竞争者。</b></p><p>苹果汽车项目的动力电池设计会是怎样，很大程度上取决于苹果到底是自行设计研发然后交给 ODM 厂商代工（例如富士康、LG 和麦格纳），还是是直接使用其他主机厂现有的车辆平台或者方案。不同方案下的电池包总成会有很大的不一样。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/045c41a2786b7cbe624251dfd7b451b6\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"607\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>5. 车身结构和材料</b></p><p>苹果曾申请过车辆四轮独立力学应用的专利，用于和 ClearMotion 这样的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>底盘悬架公司竞争。</p><p>苹果汽车项目的白车身结构设计会致力于满足当下和未来的安全标准，确保在不改变车身结构设计的前提下，能够通过以后新增的碰撞安全测试。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cad81b4d4f66e13ca488a3e508e9cb2\" tg-width=\"978\" tg-height=\"1280\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>6. 半导体设计</b></p><p><b>苹果一直在发展自己的芯片设计能力：2008 年苹果收购了 P.A. Semi 半导体公司，又在 2019 年收购了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>智能手机调制解调器</b><b>（基带芯片）</b><b>业务。</b></p><p>IHS Markit 认为，由于算力的制约，苹果不太可能直接把手机端的 A 系列处理器直接用于车辆辅助驾驶功能的计算，不过考虑到苹果在移动端 arm 架构处理器领域的设计能力，基于现有架构给车辆辅助驾驶设计专用芯片也非常有可能。</p><p>此外，近年来汽车半导体部件的占比已经以 7% 的速度持续增长多年，苹果在这一领域的优势会为其贡献巨大的价值。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08502391c74d244498120b2abcb504c4\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"727\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>7. 软件能力</b></p><p>苹果设计的核心是顶尖硬件、强大自研软件能力和服务之间的紧密结合。这种贯穿苹果所有产品的特质非常有可能延续到“Apple Car”上。</p><p>按照苹果以往在消费电子产品领域的风格，苹果汽车领域的软件战略会比大多数传统汽车制造厂商更深入，包括操作系统、中间层软件、数据分析和移动联通功能在内的领域都要由苹果完全掌控。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/154b923587ae88c1ce0577f3f8641ee5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1218\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>8. 04UI/UX</b><b>（用户界面和用户体验设计）</b></p><p>在众多设计风格中，苹果最有可能延续 iOS 和 MacOS 上明了简约的设计语言来和特斯拉抗衡，包括一定的实体按键、方向盘和中控屏幕上的触摸交互。</p><p>苹果围绕 AR-HUD（支持增强现实的平视显示器）交互注册了大量专利——“Apple Car”可能强调突出的，是基于 AR-HUD 展开的人机交互。相比燃油车型需要放置发动机、变速器和离合器，电动汽车的前机舱有更充裕的空间供 AR-HUD 设备发挥布置，优秀的 AR-HUD 完全可像 Model 3 那样取消仪表，让驾驶员视野更宽敞通透。</p><p>车辆使用的显示面板方面，由于消费电子领域<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>和京东方已经向苹果大量供应显示面板，这两家深度参与到苹果汽车项目的显示技术研发也不足为奇。就像 iPhone 13 Pro 系列的 OLED 显示面板由<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>独家供应、iPhone 13 系列素质稍低的 OLED 屏幕则混用京东方、三星面板的策略一样，苹果汽车上的重要显示面板可能由三星负责，其他需要控制成本的显示器则会让京东方供货。</p><p>除了屏幕上的触摸，苹果还会在汽车项目上使用其他“较为隐蔽的触控功能”，例如支持触控的柔软车门内衬、能够提供压力数据的门把手覆盖材料等等。在材料领域，处于领先地位的 3M 公司可能会和苹果展开合作。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81ef2e7024c92920327642b3fd82f3ff\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1135\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>写在最后</p><p>别的不说，如果苹果真的在 2024 年推出了一辆电动汽车，最让我关注的应该就是电池技术了——苹果一贯舍得用料、软件能力强悍、用户体验行业顶尖：碳纤维车身、无 B 柱设计、强大的汽车生态和智能体验，我想是完全不用担心。</p><p><b>反而是动力电池，在竞争激烈的电动汽车领域，缺乏本质革新的化学体系多少有些“不以苹果的意志为转移”。</b>基于此前苹果在新领域开拓上的成功经验，苹果汽车推出时很可能又会是行业顶尖的产品，不过 2014 年就开始立项的设计蓝本，有足够实力支撑苹果在现有的电池体系下，和未来的特斯拉一决雌雄吗？</p><p>苹果汽车项目从 2014 年至今已经 8 年。2022 年各家展示的概念车在交互和内饰方面的设计，已经让人的口味更挑剔、兴奋阈值更高了。但愿 2024 年我们熬夜看某款 iPhone 的发布会直播中，结尾 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> more thing 的“苹果牌电动车”平地惊雷。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1576726534775","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n苹果汽车的8大技术猜想\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-07 09:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.huxiu.com/article/548105.html><strong>42号车库</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>苹果电动车或于2024年亮相，辅助驾驶水平、V2X（车联网应用）、动力电池等8大技术最值得期待。知名资讯机构 IHS Markit 近期发布了一篇关于苹果汽车项目的报告，其内容可谓短小精悍。报告中 IHS Markit 公司内 10 位来自供应链、辅助驾驶、半导体传感器和车辆动力学等不同领域背景的研究者，合力整理了关于苹果汽车的 5 个关键问题和 8 个技术领域的推测——他们写到，“苹果电动车”在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.huxiu.com/article/548105.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c79d9ba94a347164a5cd3ec1bac06488","relate_stocks":{"BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","AAPL":"苹果","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边"},"source_url":"https://www.huxiu.com/article/548105.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2233315662","content_text":"苹果电动车或于2024年亮相，辅助驾驶水平、V2X（车联网应用）、动力电池等8大技术最值得期待。知名资讯机构 IHS Markit 近期发布了一篇关于苹果汽车项目的报告，其内容可谓短小精悍。报告中 IHS Markit 公司内 10 位来自供应链、辅助驾驶、半导体传感器和车辆动力学等不同领域背景的研究者，合力整理了关于苹果汽车的 5 个关键问题和 8 个技术领域的推测——他们写到，“苹果电动车”在 2024 年登场亮相的可能性为 50%。一、苹果汽车前情提要苹果最开始被爆料会进军汽车领域还是在 2014 年——那时的 Model S 还用着鲨鱼嘴造型的前脸，辅助驾驶硬件还是基于 Mobileye EyeQ3、单目摄像头、前向毫米波雷达和 12 台超声波雷达的 HW1。苹果 CEO 蒂姆·库克批准开发一辆支持高阶辅助驾驶的纯电动汽车的消息首次出现在人们的视野中。从 2015 年苹果改装了两辆雷克萨斯 RX 作为测试车开始，到 2021 年传出苹果和韩国现代汽车达成合作的 6 年间，苹果四处挖人、公开表示对发展自动驾驶系统的兴趣、组建了超过 60 辆测试车的测试车队、收购了技术公司 Drive.ai、团队 AI 主管人事变动......苹果推进项目的步调，多少有些太波澜不惊了。苹果大项目的行事风格向来隐秘，曾甚嚣尘上的项目终止传闻也让这辆电动车有些捉摸不透。IHS Markit 也在这篇报告中对这部分内容没有过多八卦，而是直入主题列出了大家对于苹果汽车最感兴趣的 5 个关键问题。二、苹果汽车的 5 个关键问题Q1：苹果会量产“Apple Car”吗？至少从史蒂夫·乔布斯握着初代 iPhone、掀起消费电子市场的腥风血雨开始，苹果给人的印象一直是“不鸣则已，一鸣惊人”——苹果产品硬件软件、用户体验等方面上优秀的传统艺能给这辆车做了信用背书：苹果出品必是精品。苹果应该只会在有把握成为领域内最优秀的存在时，才会推出产品。换而言之，即使经过广泛探索和投入，如果不能达到苹果的标准，项目就会被抛弃——苹果支持自由放置设备的无线充电垫 AirPower 和 iPhone 8 在同一场发布会亮相，却在 2019 年苹果工程师的一封对外邮件中被打上“无法达到我们的高标准”的标签，黯然退场。IHS Markit 认为，苹果对汽车领域始于 2014 年的投资具有战略性意义。虽然苹果 8 年来在汽车领域耕耘的成果尚不明确——是像特斯拉 Model S 这样的一款车，还是像华为那样的乘用车解决方案？IHS Markit 指出，尽管不知道苹果的汽车项目最终会以什么样貌面世，但 Project Titan 成功推出的可能性超过 50%，即使在汽车领域，苹果暂时不能像在消费电子领域（iPhone、Mac 和 Apple Watch 等产品）那样获得有优势的市场份额。Q2：苹果汽车会是什么样？IHS Markit 暂时还没有确认苹果会专注于汽车的哪个领域，但假设苹果汽车主要面向家庭，那么这辆车尺寸可能介于特斯拉 Model X（中大型 SUV）和本田 SUV e:concept（紧凑型 SUV）之间。苹果产品的核心是“提供最佳用户体验”，那么苹果汽车也不例外。不过凡事也不绝对，苹果有为性能和设计舍弃用户体验开倒车的先例：为了防水而机身零件在 iPhone 7 系列上取消了耳机孔、用清一色的 Type-C 接口取代了 Mac 的 Magsafe 和 USB 接口以提升传输和充电速度。小鹏汽车 CEO 何小鹏 2021 年曾说过，辅助驾驶技术的核心是数据。从公共渠道了解的信息来看，苹果“超过 60 辆”的测试车队即使从 2014 年开始全年无休地道路测试，积累的数据也很难让苹果在辅助驾驶方面有很大优势——IHS Markit 认为，从专利和道路测试分析来看，苹果汽车在辅助驾驶和电池方面可能没有重大优势或突破，产品的重点应该在设计和功能上。Q3：苹果汽车何时会发布？IHS Markit 对这一问题的回答就很直白：有消息称苹果会在 2024 年推出 Project Titan 对应的纯电动汽车，但这一时间窗口非常紧凑。考虑到采购、工业化生产和制造的周期，如果苹果真的打算在 2024 年发布汽车，那么很可能这辆车会是苹果和现有的主机厂或供应商合作设计生产的。但如果苹果汽车的生产依赖于其他合作伙伴代工，那么年产量不太可能达到预期的 150,000 辆。Q4：全自研还是部分整合？IHS Markit 认为，与大体量的 OEM（原始设备制造商）合作能够让苹果避免重新设计新的制造工艺，不必像特斯拉那样在生产制造上亲力亲为。特斯拉在各个领域做的，是专注于提供面向客户的功能和服务，并缩短交付时间。苹果如果要复制在消费电子领域的成功，则需要严格控制硬件和软件的开发整合，不过这么做也会让 OEM 伙伴沦为单纯的代工方，这也是许多 OEM 不希望成为的角色。Q5：成为苹果供应商有何利弊？IHS Markit 认为，苹果与麦格纳（Magna）或 LG 这样的合作伙伴合作的可能性比依赖传统汽车 OEM 供应商的可能性更高。LG 很有可能与苹果合作汽车项目，因为 LG 已经是苹果当前供应链的一部分。拿下苹果汽车项目将是有力背书，但以苹果在各方面的野心，与苹果合作造车将是一个极具挑战性的工作。三、苹果汽车的关键技术预测1. 辅助驾驶水平激光雷达更可能用于车内的感知，包括面部识别和手势控制。在内饰方面使用激光雷达完成智能座舱的功能，对苹果来说绝对是驾轻就熟的——iPhone 12 Pro 系列和同期的 iPad Pro 已经用上了小型激光雷达，扫描的精度和面积对于座舱环境感知和手势识别绰绰有余，满足支付安全要求的 Face ID 用来解锁车辆和用户识别也是小菜一碟。对于苹果来说，直接推出具有 L4 级别辅助驾驶功能的车辆是一个“巨大的赌注”：除了全球各地监管部门的法规批准之外，相关移动出行服务的收费政策也需要进一步许可。基于自动驾驶技术的出行即服务（Mobility as a Service，MaaS）业务能够很好地拓展苹果软件生态和用户体验的范围。并且现有 MaaS 业务的公司（如谷歌 Waymo、通用旗下 Cruise 等）并不自己生产车辆，苹果汽车量产能和未来可能的 MaaS 业务很好地匹配。但对于非商业用途的苹果汽车，车辆很有可能一开始就支持 L2 或 L3 级别的人机共驾，包括自动紧急制动（AEB）等基础 ADAS 功能。2. 汽车应用的开发在能让苹果汽车脱颖而出的若干方面中，苹果的应用生态和云端服务一定会起到重要作用。苹果会在自己设计生产的汽车中内置 App Store 可以说是板上钉钉，而且苹果很有可能会提供对开发者较为友好的开发框架，协助第三方开发者编写面向苹果汽车的软件应用。3. V2X（车联网应用）苹果非常有可能为车辆配备基于 5G 通讯的 V2X 功能。伴随着苹果对辅助驾驶和自动化领域的研发投资，V2X 技术不出意外会出现在苹果设计的汽车上。V2X 的相关方面也是苹果专利申请最活跃的领域之一，包括从导航界面、消息通知样式、数据来源选择和非标准道路信息的识别等等。4. 动力电池除了中国的众多电池企业，韩国 SK Innovation 也是苹果汽车电池技术合作的强有力竞争者。苹果汽车项目的动力电池设计会是怎样，很大程度上取决于苹果到底是自行设计研发然后交给 ODM 厂商代工（例如富士康、LG 和麦格纳），还是是直接使用其他主机厂现有的车辆平台或者方案。不同方案下的电池包总成会有很大的不一样。5. 车身结构和材料苹果曾申请过车辆四轮独立力学应用的专利，用于和 ClearMotion 这样的智能底盘悬架公司竞争。苹果汽车项目的白车身结构设计会致力于满足当下和未来的安全标准，确保在不改变车身结构设计的前提下，能够通过以后新增的碰撞安全测试。6. 半导体设计苹果一直在发展自己的芯片设计能力：2008 年苹果收购了 P.A. Semi 半导体公司，又在 2019 年收购了英特尔智能手机调制解调器（基带芯片）业务。IHS Markit 认为，由于算力的制约，苹果不太可能直接把手机端的 A 系列处理器直接用于车辆辅助驾驶功能的计算，不过考虑到苹果在移动端 arm 架构处理器领域的设计能力，基于现有架构给车辆辅助驾驶设计专用芯片也非常有可能。此外，近年来汽车半导体部件的占比已经以 7% 的速度持续增长多年，苹果在这一领域的优势会为其贡献巨大的价值。7. 软件能力苹果设计的核心是顶尖硬件、强大自研软件能力和服务之间的紧密结合。这种贯穿苹果所有产品的特质非常有可能延续到“Apple Car”上。按照苹果以往在消费电子产品领域的风格，苹果汽车领域的软件战略会比大多数传统汽车制造厂商更深入，包括操作系统、中间层软件、数据分析和移动联通功能在内的领域都要由苹果完全掌控。8. 04UI/UX（用户界面和用户体验设计）在众多设计风格中，苹果最有可能延续 iOS 和 MacOS 上明了简约的设计语言来和特斯拉抗衡，包括一定的实体按键、方向盘和中控屏幕上的触摸交互。苹果围绕 AR-HUD（支持增强现实的平视显示器）交互注册了大量专利——“Apple Car”可能强调突出的，是基于 AR-HUD 展开的人机交互。相比燃油车型需要放置发动机、变速器和离合器，电动汽车的前机舱有更充裕的空间供 AR-HUD 设备发挥布置，优秀的 AR-HUD 完全可像 Model 3 那样取消仪表，让驾驶员视野更宽敞通透。车辆使用的显示面板方面，由于消费电子领域三星和京东方已经向苹果大量供应显示面板，这两家深度参与到苹果汽车项目的显示技术研发也不足为奇。就像 iPhone 13 Pro 系列的 OLED 显示面板由三星独家供应、iPhone 13 系列素质稍低的 OLED 屏幕则混用京东方、三星面板的策略一样，苹果汽车上的重要显示面板可能由三星负责，其他需要控制成本的显示器则会让京东方供货。除了屏幕上的触摸，苹果还会在汽车项目上使用其他“较为隐蔽的触控功能”，例如支持触控的柔软车门内衬、能够提供压力数据的门把手覆盖材料等等。在材料领域，处于领先地位的 3M 公司可能会和苹果展开合作。写在最后别的不说，如果苹果真的在 2024 年推出了一辆电动汽车，最让我关注的应该就是电池技术了——苹果一贯舍得用料、软件能力强悍、用户体验行业顶尖：碳纤维车身、无 B 柱设计、强大的汽车生态和智能体验，我想是完全不用担心。反而是动力电池，在竞争激烈的电动汽车领域，缺乏本质革新的化学体系多少有些“不以苹果的意志为转移”。基于此前苹果在新领域开拓上的成功经验，苹果汽车推出时很可能又会是行业顶尖的产品，不过 2014 年就开始立项的设计蓝本，有足够实力支撑苹果在现有的电池体系下，和未来的特斯拉一决雌雄吗？苹果汽车项目从 2014 年至今已经 8 年。2022 年各家展示的概念车在交互和内饰方面的设计，已经让人的口味更挑剔、兴奋阈值更高了。但愿 2024 年我们熬夜看某款 iPhone 的发布会直播中，结尾 one more thing 的“苹果牌电动车”平地惊雷。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9029794656,"gmtCreate":1652830360475,"gmtModify":1676535168419,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9029794656","repostId":"2236274480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236274480","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1652828904,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236274480?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-18 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell Says Fed Has Resolve to Bring U.S. Inflation Down","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236274480","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank's resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn't be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.\"Restoring pr","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank&#39;s resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn&#39;t be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Restoring price stability is a nonnegotiable need. It is something we have to do,&#34; Mr. Powell said in an interview Tuesday during The Wall Street Journal&#39;s Future of Everything Festival. &#34;There could be some pain involved.&#34;</p><p>Mr. Powell said he hoped that the Fed could bring down inflation while preserving a strong labor market, which he said might lead the unemployment rate -- near half-century lows of 3.6% in April -- to rise slightly. &#34;It may not be a perfect labor market,&#34; he said.</p><p>The central bank is raising interest rates as part of its most aggressive effort in decades to curb upward price pressures. Mr. Powell signaled Tuesday that the central bank was likely to follow a half-percentage-point raise earlier this month, to a range between 0.75% and 1%, with similar moves at meetings in June and July. Until this month, the Fed hadn&#39;t raised rates in such intervals since 2000.</p><p>The Fed last year maintained aggressive stimulus to spur a faster labor market recovery. Mr. Powell said Tuesday that it was possible that disruptions from the pandemic had changed the labor market in ways that made current levels of unemployment inconsistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation goal.</p><p>He said that it seemed the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation &#34;is probably well above 3.6%.&#34;</p><p>The Fed chairman repeated his hope that the central bank can curtail high inflation without spurring a large rise in unemployment. However, Mr. Powell said, there is little from modern economic experience to suggest that outcome can be achieved. &#34;If you look in the history book and find it -- no, you can&#39;t,&#34; he said. &#34;I think we are in a world of firsts.&#34;</p><p>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. Chief Executive Charlie Scharf, speaking at the same event Tuesday morning, said it would be difficult to avoid a recession but noted that consumers and businesses remain financially solid.</p><p>&#34;The fact that everyone is so strong going into this should hopefully provide a cushion such that whatever recession there is, if there is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, is short and not all that deep,&#34; he said.</p><p>Mr. Powell said he wasn&#39;t at odds with those who believe the Fed faces a difficult path to achieving what is known as a &#34;soft landing,&#34; in which growth slows enough to bring down inflation without triggering a recession.</p><p>&#34;I would say there is no disagreement really. It is a challenging task, made more challenging the last couple months because of global events,&#34; he said. &#34;It is challenging because unemployment is very low already and because inflation is very high.&#34;</p><p>Fed officials described higher inflation a year ago as temporary. They backed away from that characterization last fall, as the labor market healed rapidly and price pressures broadened.</p><p>Still, the Fed as recently as January had expected inflation to diminish this spring as supply-chain bottlenecks improved. Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine in late February and rolling Covid-related lockdowns in China created new sources of inflationary pressures.</p><p>&#34;That is going to make it harder for inflation to come down, so it has added a degree of difficulty to what was already a challenging market,&#34; said Mr. Powell.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s stopping point for rate increases isn&#39;t certainty. If inflation doesn&#39;t show signs of diminishing soon, more officials could conclude that rates need to rise closer to 4% over the next 12 to 18 months, rather than to a level around 3% that most of them projected at their policy meeting two months ago.</p><p>&#34;We will go until we feel like we are at a place where we can say, &#39;Yes, financial conditions are at an appropriate place. We see inflation coming down,&#39;&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We will go to that point, and there will not be any hesitation about that.&#34;</p><p>The most recent inflation data has been mixed. On a monthly basis, the consumer-price index&#39;s gauge of core prices, which excludes food and energy, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in April, according to a Labor Department report last week, and rose 6.2% over the previous 12 months.</p><p>The Fed uses a different gauge, the personal-consumption expenditures price index. April inflation data from that Commerce Department report will be released on May 27. Based on other recently released figures, Wall Street forecasters estimate a more muted rise in inflation using that measure. Economists at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> think core PCE inflation rose by less than 0.3% in April, bringing the 12-month rate of change to 4.8%, from 5.2% in March.</p><p>&#34;This is not a time for tremendously nuanced readings of inflation,&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We need to see inflation coming down in a convincing way. Until we do, we&#39;ll keep going.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell Says Fed Has Resolve to Bring U.S. Inflation Down</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell Says Fed Has Resolve to Bring U.S. Inflation Down\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-18 07:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank&#39;s resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn&#39;t be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Restoring price stability is a nonnegotiable need. It is something we have to do,&#34; Mr. Powell said in an interview Tuesday during The Wall Street Journal&#39;s Future of Everything Festival. &#34;There could be some pain involved.&#34;</p><p>Mr. Powell said he hoped that the Fed could bring down inflation while preserving a strong labor market, which he said might lead the unemployment rate -- near half-century lows of 3.6% in April -- to rise slightly. &#34;It may not be a perfect labor market,&#34; he said.</p><p>The central bank is raising interest rates as part of its most aggressive effort in decades to curb upward price pressures. Mr. Powell signaled Tuesday that the central bank was likely to follow a half-percentage-point raise earlier this month, to a range between 0.75% and 1%, with similar moves at meetings in June and July. Until this month, the Fed hadn&#39;t raised rates in such intervals since 2000.</p><p>The Fed last year maintained aggressive stimulus to spur a faster labor market recovery. Mr. Powell said Tuesday that it was possible that disruptions from the pandemic had changed the labor market in ways that made current levels of unemployment inconsistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation goal.</p><p>He said that it seemed the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation &#34;is probably well above 3.6%.&#34;</p><p>The Fed chairman repeated his hope that the central bank can curtail high inflation without spurring a large rise in unemployment. However, Mr. Powell said, there is little from modern economic experience to suggest that outcome can be achieved. &#34;If you look in the history book and find it -- no, you can&#39;t,&#34; he said. &#34;I think we are in a world of firsts.&#34;</p><p>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. Chief Executive Charlie Scharf, speaking at the same event Tuesday morning, said it would be difficult to avoid a recession but noted that consumers and businesses remain financially solid.</p><p>&#34;The fact that everyone is so strong going into this should hopefully provide a cushion such that whatever recession there is, if there is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, is short and not all that deep,&#34; he said.</p><p>Mr. Powell said he wasn&#39;t at odds with those who believe the Fed faces a difficult path to achieving what is known as a &#34;soft landing,&#34; in which growth slows enough to bring down inflation without triggering a recession.</p><p>&#34;I would say there is no disagreement really. It is a challenging task, made more challenging the last couple months because of global events,&#34; he said. &#34;It is challenging because unemployment is very low already and because inflation is very high.&#34;</p><p>Fed officials described higher inflation a year ago as temporary. They backed away from that characterization last fall, as the labor market healed rapidly and price pressures broadened.</p><p>Still, the Fed as recently as January had expected inflation to diminish this spring as supply-chain bottlenecks improved. Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine in late February and rolling Covid-related lockdowns in China created new sources of inflationary pressures.</p><p>&#34;That is going to make it harder for inflation to come down, so it has added a degree of difficulty to what was already a challenging market,&#34; said Mr. Powell.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s stopping point for rate increases isn&#39;t certainty. If inflation doesn&#39;t show signs of diminishing soon, more officials could conclude that rates need to rise closer to 4% over the next 12 to 18 months, rather than to a level around 3% that most of them projected at their policy meeting two months ago.</p><p>&#34;We will go until we feel like we are at a place where we can say, &#39;Yes, financial conditions are at an appropriate place. We see inflation coming down,&#39;&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We will go to that point, and there will not be any hesitation about that.&#34;</p><p>The most recent inflation data has been mixed. On a monthly basis, the consumer-price index&#39;s gauge of core prices, which excludes food and energy, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in April, according to a Labor Department report last week, and rose 6.2% over the previous 12 months.</p><p>The Fed uses a different gauge, the personal-consumption expenditures price index. April inflation data from that Commerce Department report will be released on May 27. Based on other recently released figures, Wall Street forecasters estimate a more muted rise in inflation using that measure. Economists at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> think core PCE inflation rose by less than 0.3% in April, bringing the 12-month rate of change to 4.8%, from 5.2% in March.</p><p>&#34;This is not a time for tremendously nuanced readings of inflation,&#34; Mr. Powell said. &#34;We need to see inflation coming down in a convincing way. Until we do, we&#39;ll keep going.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236274480","content_text":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank's resolve in combating the highest inflation in 40 years shouldn't be questioned, even if it requires pushing up unemployment.\"Restoring price stability is a nonnegotiable need. It is something we have to do,\" Mr. Powell said in an interview Tuesday during The Wall Street Journal's Future of Everything Festival. \"There could be some pain involved.\"Mr. Powell said he hoped that the Fed could bring down inflation while preserving a strong labor market, which he said might lead the unemployment rate -- near half-century lows of 3.6% in April -- to rise slightly. \"It may not be a perfect labor market,\" he said.The central bank is raising interest rates as part of its most aggressive effort in decades to curb upward price pressures. Mr. Powell signaled Tuesday that the central bank was likely to follow a half-percentage-point raise earlier this month, to a range between 0.75% and 1%, with similar moves at meetings in June and July. Until this month, the Fed hadn't raised rates in such intervals since 2000.The Fed last year maintained aggressive stimulus to spur a faster labor market recovery. Mr. Powell said Tuesday that it was possible that disruptions from the pandemic had changed the labor market in ways that made current levels of unemployment inconsistent with the Fed's 2% inflation goal.He said that it seemed the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation \"is probably well above 3.6%.\"The Fed chairman repeated his hope that the central bank can curtail high inflation without spurring a large rise in unemployment. However, Mr. Powell said, there is little from modern economic experience to suggest that outcome can be achieved. \"If you look in the history book and find it -- no, you can't,\" he said. \"I think we are in a world of firsts.\"Wells Fargo & Co. Chief Executive Charlie Scharf, speaking at the same event Tuesday morning, said it would be difficult to avoid a recession but noted that consumers and businesses remain financially solid.\"The fact that everyone is so strong going into this should hopefully provide a cushion such that whatever recession there is, if there is one, is short and not all that deep,\" he said.Mr. Powell said he wasn't at odds with those who believe the Fed faces a difficult path to achieving what is known as a \"soft landing,\" in which growth slows enough to bring down inflation without triggering a recession.\"I would say there is no disagreement really. It is a challenging task, made more challenging the last couple months because of global events,\" he said. \"It is challenging because unemployment is very low already and because inflation is very high.\"Fed officials described higher inflation a year ago as temporary. They backed away from that characterization last fall, as the labor market healed rapidly and price pressures broadened.Still, the Fed as recently as January had expected inflation to diminish this spring as supply-chain bottlenecks improved. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in late February and rolling Covid-related lockdowns in China created new sources of inflationary pressures.\"That is going to make it harder for inflation to come down, so it has added a degree of difficulty to what was already a challenging market,\" said Mr. Powell.The Fed's stopping point for rate increases isn't certainty. If inflation doesn't show signs of diminishing soon, more officials could conclude that rates need to rise closer to 4% over the next 12 to 18 months, rather than to a level around 3% that most of them projected at their policy meeting two months ago.\"We will go until we feel like we are at a place where we can say, 'Yes, financial conditions are at an appropriate place. We see inflation coming down,'\" Mr. Powell said. \"We will go to that point, and there will not be any hesitation about that.\"The most recent inflation data has been mixed. On a monthly basis, the consumer-price index's gauge of core prices, which excludes food and energy, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in April, according to a Labor Department report last week, and rose 6.2% over the previous 12 months.The Fed uses a different gauge, the personal-consumption expenditures price index. April inflation data from that Commerce Department report will be released on May 27. Based on other recently released figures, Wall Street forecasters estimate a more muted rise in inflation using that measure. Economists at Morgan Stanley think core PCE inflation rose by less than 0.3% in April, bringing the 12-month rate of change to 4.8%, from 5.2% in March.\"This is not a time for tremendously nuanced readings of inflation,\" Mr. Powell said. \"We need to see inflation coming down in a convincing way. Until we do, we'll keep going.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054679887,"gmtCreate":1655388036349,"gmtModify":1676535627987,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054679887","repostId":"1118727036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065913680,"gmtCreate":1652138906140,"gmtModify":1676535036281,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065913680","repostId":"2234688177","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153459617,"gmtCreate":1625044543839,"gmtModify":1703850788785,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153459617","repostId":"1100844519","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100844519","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624850864,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100844519?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 11:27","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"提醒：因香港回归纪念日，港股7月1日休市","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100844519","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"据悉，因7月1日（周四）香港特别行政区成立纪念日，港股休市一日。具体安排如下：港股\n7月1日（周四）休市一日。7月2日（周五）照常开市。\n美股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡市场等照常交易。\n沪股通、深股通","content":"<p>据悉，因7月1日（周四）香港特别行政区成立纪念日，港股休市一日。具体安排如下：<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa05e0ac274f01336380bf4d575542d\" tg-width=\"787\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>港股</b></p>\n<p>7月1日（周四）休市一日。7月2日（周五）照常开市。</p>\n<p><b>美股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡市场等照常交易。</b></p>\n<p><b>沪股通、深股通：</b></p>\n<p>6月30日（周三）至7月1日（周四）不提供服务，7月2日（周五）起照常开通。</p>\n<p><b>港股通：</b></p>\n<p>7月1日（周四）不提供服务，7月2日（周五）起照常开通。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>提醒：因香港回归纪念日，港股7月1日休市</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n提醒：因香港回归纪念日，港股7月1日休市\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-28 11:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>据悉，因7月1日（周四）香港特别行政区成立纪念日，港股休市一日。具体安排如下：<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa05e0ac274f01336380bf4d575542d\" tg-width=\"787\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>港股</b></p>\n<p>7月1日（周四）休市一日。7月2日（周五）照常开市。</p>\n<p><b>美股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡市场等照常交易。</b></p>\n<p><b>沪股通、深股通：</b></p>\n<p>6月30日（周三）至7月1日（周四）不提供服务，7月2日（周五）起照常开通。</p>\n<p><b>港股通：</b></p>\n<p>7月1日（周四）不提供服务，7月2日（周五）起照常开通。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6adcf1f575211fc4f9ca7f666658417","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100844519","content_text":"据悉，因7月1日（周四）香港特别行政区成立纪念日，港股休市一日。具体安排如下：港股\n7月1日（周四）休市一日。7月2日（周五）照常开市。\n美股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡市场等照常交易。\n沪股通、深股通：\n6月30日（周三）至7月1日（周四）不提供服务，7月2日（周五）起照常开通。\n港股通：\n7月1日（周四）不提供服务，7月2日（周五）起照常开通。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125410743,"gmtCreate":1624685191382,"gmtModify":1703843636719,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125410743","repostId":"2146005842","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146005842","pubTimestamp":1624668303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146005842?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 08:45","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"新股消息 | 游艇国际控股有限公司递表港交所创业板，主要从事豪华及中高端品牌的一手游艇销售","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146005842","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，据港交所6月25日披露，游艇国际控股有限公司向港交所创业板递交上市申请，独家保荐人为新华汇富旗下汇富融资有限公司。公司是以香港为基地的游艇经销集团，主要从事豪华及中高端品牌的一手游艇销售。公司亦从事二手游艇及其他配套配件销售及提供全面的增值服务，包括保养及维修服务。公司在香港设有一个销售办事处以推广最新型号游艇来吸引潜在客户及促进游艇销售。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，据港交所6月25日披露，游艇国际控股有限公司向港交所创业板递交上市申请，独家保荐人为新华汇富旗下汇富融资有限公司。</p><center><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210626/1624667864475917.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1624667864475917.png\"/></center><p>该公司于2014年开始在香港经销游艇。自2014年及2015年起，公司代理的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLX\">豪华</a>机动游艇品牌分别为Absolute及Azimut(为少数国际知名豪华机动游艇品牌)。公司是以香港为基地的游艇经销集团，主要从事豪华及中高端品牌的一手游艇销售。公司亦从事二手游艇及其他配套配件销售及提供全面的增值服务，包括保养及维修服务。于往绩期间，公司的游艇销售基本上全部于香港进行，且公司能够将销售网络扩展至新加坡、中国台湾及深圳。公司拥有均衡的产品组合，提供豪华机动游艇、运动艇及充气船等各式各样的产品，以吸纳广泛客户。公司在香港设有一个销售办事处以推广最新型号游艇来吸引潜在客户及促进游艇销售。公司的客户主要为在香港拥有高可支配收入的个人(产品终端用户)以及多间企业。</p><p>于最后可行日期，公司的品牌组合包括两个豪华品牌 — Absolute及Azimut以及两个中高端品牌 — Four Winns及Zar  Formenti。于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，一手Absolute豪华机动游艇的销售额为4730万港元、3270万港元及6010万港元，分别占公司收益的约19.2%、12.9%及13.0%;于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，一手Azimut豪华机动游艇的销售额为1.814亿港元、1.954亿港元及3.25亿港元，分别占公司收益的约73.5%、77.1%及70.5%;</p><p>于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，公司向五大客户的销售分别为约1.633亿港元、1.931亿港元及2.222亿港元，占总收益66.2%、76.1%及48.3%;以及于相关年度每年向最大客户的销售分别为7960万港元、6260万港元及9120万港元，占总收益32.3%、24.7%及19.8%。</p><p>于往绩期间，公司的收益源于(i)销售游艇及相关部件;及(ii)服务收入。于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，收益分别为2.467亿港元、2.536亿港元及4.612亿港元。同年的毛利分别为3415万港元、3897万港元及5797万港元。</p><center><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210626/1624667847635417.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1624667847635417.png\"/></p></center></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>新股消息 | 游艇国际控股有限公司递表港交所创业板，主要从事豪华及中高端品牌的一手游艇销售</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n新股消息 | 游艇国际控股有限公司递表港交所创业板，主要从事豪华及中高端品牌的一手游艇销售\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 08:45 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/501817.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，据港交所6月25日披露，游艇国际控股有限公司向港交所创业板递交上市申请，独家保荐人为新华汇富旗下汇富融资有限公司。该公司于2014年开始在香港经销游艇。自2014年及2015年起，公司代理的豪华机动游艇品牌分别为Absolute及Azimut(为少数国际知名豪华机动游艇品牌)。公司是以香港为基地的游艇经销集团，主要从事豪华及中高端品牌的一手游艇销售。公司亦从事二手游艇及其他配套...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/501817.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a0d8d07bb7c07ed67df2bae10160584","relate_stocks":{"159915":"创业板","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数","DLX":"豪华"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/501817.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146005842","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，据港交所6月25日披露，游艇国际控股有限公司向港交所创业板递交上市申请，独家保荐人为新华汇富旗下汇富融资有限公司。该公司于2014年开始在香港经销游艇。自2014年及2015年起，公司代理的豪华机动游艇品牌分别为Absolute及Azimut(为少数国际知名豪华机动游艇品牌)。公司是以香港为基地的游艇经销集团，主要从事豪华及中高端品牌的一手游艇销售。公司亦从事二手游艇及其他配套配件销售及提供全面的增值服务，包括保养及维修服务。于往绩期间，公司的游艇销售基本上全部于香港进行，且公司能够将销售网络扩展至新加坡、中国台湾及深圳。公司拥有均衡的产品组合，提供豪华机动游艇、运动艇及充气船等各式各样的产品，以吸纳广泛客户。公司在香港设有一个销售办事处以推广最新型号游艇来吸引潜在客户及促进游艇销售。公司的客户主要为在香港拥有高可支配收入的个人(产品终端用户)以及多间企业。于最后可行日期，公司的品牌组合包括两个豪华品牌 — Absolute及Azimut以及两个中高端品牌 — Four Winns及Zar  Formenti。于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，一手Absolute豪华机动游艇的销售额为4730万港元、3270万港元及6010万港元，分别占公司收益的约19.2%、12.9%及13.0%;于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，一手Azimut豪华机动游艇的销售额为1.814亿港元、1.954亿港元及3.25亿港元，分别占公司收益的约73.5%、77.1%及70.5%;于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，公司向五大客户的销售分别为约1.633亿港元、1.931亿港元及2.222亿港元，占总收益66.2%、76.1%及48.3%;以及于相关年度每年向最大客户的销售分别为7960万港元、6260万港元及9120万港元，占总收益32.3%、24.7%及19.8%。于往绩期间，公司的收益源于(i)销售游艇及相关部件;及(ii)服务收入。于2019财政年度、2020财政年度及2021财政年度，收益分别为2.467亿港元、2.536亿港元及4.612亿港元。同年的毛利分别为3415万港元、3897万港元及5797万港元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021517291,"gmtCreate":1653086610813,"gmtModify":1676535219267,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021517291","repostId":"1190645914","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190645914","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1653060803,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190645914?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 23:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Opened Higher and Went Lower in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Slid Nearly 1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190645914","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks opened higher and went lower in morning trading. Nasdaq slid 0.91%, while Dow Jones, S&P","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks opened higher and went lower in morning trading. Nasdaq slid 0.91%, while Dow Jones, S&amp;P 500 slid 0.69% and 0.74% separately. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a2e636433516c77f04710dd7e29052\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"122\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Opened Higher and Went Lower in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Slid Nearly 1%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Opened Higher and Went Lower in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Slid Nearly 1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-20 23:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks opened higher and went lower in morning trading. Nasdaq slid 0.91%, while Dow Jones, S&amp;P 500 slid 0.69% and 0.74% separately. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a2e636433516c77f04710dd7e29052\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"122\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190645914","content_text":"U.S. stocks opened higher and went lower in morning trading. Nasdaq slid 0.91%, while Dow Jones, S&P 500 slid 0.69% and 0.74% separately.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065913391,"gmtCreate":1652138887613,"gmtModify":1676535036273,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065913391","repostId":"2234688177","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062880605,"gmtCreate":1652051034907,"gmtModify":1676535017629,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062880605","repostId":"1151523366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151523366","pubTimestamp":1652050295,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151523366?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-09 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir, Disney, Occidental, Rivian, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151523366","media":"Barrons","summary":"We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left to report this week. The economic-data highlights of the week will be a pair of inflation measures.</p><p>Monday’s highlights will include BioNTech, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, and Tyson Foods. Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum report on Tuesday, followed by Walt Disney,  Rivian Automotive, and Toyota Motoron Wednesday. Brookfield Asset Management and Tapestry will release earnings on Thursday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6917c65c235b29b3cad735f401b18555\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"1450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The economic calendar is headlined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price and producer price indexes for April. Those are forecast to rise by 8.1% and 10.6%, respectively, year over year.</p><p>Other data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for April on Tuesday and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for May on Friday.</p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams delivers a keynote address on U.S. monetary policy at a symposium hosted by the National Association for Business Economics and Deutsche Bundesbank, kicking off a full week for central bank speakers. Markets will be looking for more context and clarity on policy a week after the Fed executed its biggest interest-rate increase since 2000.</p><p><b>Monday 5/9</b></p><p>BioNTech, Duke Energy,Exelon,International Flavors &amp; Fragrances,Microchip Technology,Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, Tyson Foods, and Viatris report quarterly results.</p><p><b>Tuesday 5/10</b></p><p>Dentsply Sirona,Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Occidental Petroleum, Sysco,TransDigm Group,Welltower, and Wynn Resorts announce earnings.</p><p>Dish Network, Fortinet, Mondelez International, and Western Digital hold investor meetings.</p><p><b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 92.4 reading, about one point less than in March. The March figure is the lowest for the index since April of 2020, as a labor shortage and surging inflation have dampened small-business owners’ enthusiasm.</p><p><b>Wednesday 5/11</b></p><p>Walt Disney reports second-quarter fiscal-2022 results. Shares of the entertainment behemoth have been the worst performer in the DJIA over the past year over concerns about spending on content.</p><p><b>Rivian Automotive,</b> Steris, and Toyota Motor release quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the consumer price index for April. Expectations are for a 8.1% year-over-year reading, while the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen jumping 5.9%. This compares with increases of 8.5% and 6.5% respectively, in March. Wall Street is hoping for confirmation that inflation has peaked, even as economists and the Federal Reserve expect inflation to remain much higher for far longer than they did just six months ago.</p><p><b>Thursday 5/12</b></p><p>Brookfield Asset Management, Constellation Energy,Motorola Solutions,and Tapestry hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p>Micron Technology and WestRock hold their 2022 investor days.</p><p>Ford Motor,Intel,and Verizon Communicationshost their annual shareholder meetings.</p><p><b>The BLS releases</b> the producer price index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 10.6% year-over-year rise, compared with a 11.2% jump in March, which is the highest on record for index since the 12-month data were first calculated in late 2010. The core PPI is expected to increase 8.9%, after a 9.2% gain in March.</p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 7. In April, jobless claims averaged just 184,000. They recently hit a more-than-five-decade low, despite a workforce that is more than twice as large now as it was then.</p><p><b>Friday 5/13</b></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for May. Economists forecast a 63.1 reading, about two point less than in April.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir, Disney, Occidental, Rivian, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir, Disney, Occidental, Rivian, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-09 06:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-occidental-rivian-palantir-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51652036428?mod=hp_LEAD_5><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left to report this week. The economic-data highlights of the week will be a pair of inflation measures....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-occidental-rivian-palantir-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51652036428?mod=hp_LEAD_5\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","NCLH":"挪威邮轮",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","U":"Unity Software Inc.","TM":"丰田汽车","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OXY":"西方石油","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","EA":"艺电",".DJI":"道琼斯","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-occidental-rivian-palantir-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51652036428?mod=hp_LEAD_5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151523366","content_text":"We’re past the peak of first-quarter earnings season, but with several notable companies still left to report this week. The economic-data highlights of the week will be a pair of inflation measures.Monday’s highlights will include BioNTech, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, and Tyson Foods. Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum report on Tuesday, followed by Walt Disney,  Rivian Automotive, and Toyota Motoron Wednesday. Brookfield Asset Management and Tapestry will release earnings on Thursday.The economic calendar is headlined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price and producer price indexes for April. Those are forecast to rise by 8.1% and 10.6%, respectively, year over year.Other data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for April on Tuesday and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for May on Friday.Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams delivers a keynote address on U.S. monetary policy at a symposium hosted by the National Association for Business Economics and Deutsche Bundesbank, kicking off a full week for central bank speakers. Markets will be looking for more context and clarity on policy a week after the Fed executed its biggest interest-rate increase since 2000.Monday 5/9BioNTech, Duke Energy,Exelon,International Flavors & Fragrances,Microchip Technology,Palantir Technologies, Simon Property Group, Tyson Foods, and Viatris report quarterly results.Tuesday 5/10Dentsply Sirona,Electronic Arts, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, Occidental Petroleum, Sysco,TransDigm Group,Welltower, and Wynn Resorts announce earnings.Dish Network, Fortinet, Mondelez International, and Western Digital hold investor meetings.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 92.4 reading, about one point less than in March. The March figure is the lowest for the index since April of 2020, as a labor shortage and surging inflation have dampened small-business owners’ enthusiasm.Wednesday 5/11Walt Disney reports second-quarter fiscal-2022 results. Shares of the entertainment behemoth have been the worst performer in the DJIA over the past year over concerns about spending on content.Rivian Automotive, Steris, and Toyota Motor release quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for April. Expectations are for a 8.1% year-over-year reading, while the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen jumping 5.9%. This compares with increases of 8.5% and 6.5% respectively, in March. Wall Street is hoping for confirmation that inflation has peaked, even as economists and the Federal Reserve expect inflation to remain much higher for far longer than they did just six months ago.Thursday 5/12Brookfield Asset Management, Constellation Energy,Motorola Solutions,and Tapestry hold conference calls to discuss earnings.Micron Technology and WestRock hold their 2022 investor days.Ford Motor,Intel,and Verizon Communicationshost their annual shareholder meetings.The BLS releases the producer price index for April. Consensus estimate is for a 10.6% year-over-year rise, compared with a 11.2% jump in March, which is the highest on record for index since the 12-month data were first calculated in late 2010. The core PPI is expected to increase 8.9%, after a 9.2% gain in March.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 7. In April, jobless claims averaged just 184,000. They recently hit a more-than-five-decade low, despite a workforce that is more than twice as large now as it was then.Friday 5/13The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for May. Economists forecast a 63.1 reading, about two point less than in April.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063409412,"gmtCreate":1651502244629,"gmtModify":1676534917086,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ji","listText":"ji","text":"ji","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063409412","repostId":"2232733784","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2232733784","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"经济-金融-投资","home_visible":1,"media_name":"李迅雷金融与投资","id":"71","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb163b204aa14697bd7477df15b8b6b1"},"pubTimestamp":1651449428,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2232733784?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-02 07:57","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"关于缩表，需要担心什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2232733784","media":"李迅雷金融与投资","summary":"5月美联储议息会议召开在即，除去加息之外，很可能会公布关于美联储缩表的路径、方式等细节内容。那么，在疫情后时代的环境之下，美联储本轮缩表与上轮有何不同？又会怎样影响经济和资本市场？本报告对此进行展开分","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>5月美联储议息会议召开在即，除去加息之外，很可能会公布关于美联储缩表的路径、方式等细节内容。那么，在疫情后时代的环境之下，美联储本轮缩表与上轮有何不同？又会怎样影响经济和资本市场？本报告对此进行展开分析。</b></blockquote><p><b>概要</b></p><ul><li><p><b>这次缩表有什么不一样？首先</b>，从货币收紧的成因上来看，本轮加息缩表主要受到通胀的推动。<b>其次</b>，从全球货币政策的动向上来看，上轮缩表前，除个别新兴市场加息外，全球主要经济体未见明显收紧，而本轮缩表前，全球多数央行都加快了货币收紧进程。<b>第三</b>，从加息和缩表两种货币政策收紧方式的配合性上来看，本次缩表两者协同性更高。<b>第四</b>，从实施方式上来看，本轮缩表方式以被动为主，但或主动出售部分未到期的MBS。<b>第五</b>，从缩表的速度上来看，本轮推进节奏明显加快，加息与缩表间隔或由上轮的22个月降至2个月。<b>第六</b>，从强度上来看，本次缩减的目标规模占GDP比重相较上轮明显提升。<b>第七</b>，从缩表影响的预防应对上来看，本次联储提前设立常备回购便利工具，尽可能保证市场流动性的充裕。<b>最后</b>，从缩表的总规模上来看，我们估算，本轮缩表约达1.63万亿，也远超上轮，并持续约18个月至2023年底结束。</p></li></ul><ul><li><p><b>缩表如何影响流动性环境？</b>美联储缩表对利率水平的影响存在三大传导路径。<b>一方面</b>，通过<b>降低负债端的准备金规模</b>减少货币供给（量）。<b>另一方面</b>，通过<b>释放政策信号与资产组合再平衡</b>的途径推高利率水平（价）。缩表对于短端利率也会有一定推升，而在长端利率上的作用效果更为明显，我们预计，本轮缩表每年约推升十年期美国国债收益率0.4个百分点。虽然<b>缩表将显著降低流动性水平，但流动性危机短期或不会再现</b>。<b>一方面</b>，市场现存流动性较高。<b>另一方面</b>，美联储设立新工具将有效平滑市场流动性波动。不过，在本轮缩表周期中，美联储大概率将主动出售其持有的机构MBS，或进一步推高抵押贷款利率。</p></li></ul><ul><li><p><b>缩表下的全球资产变局</b>。<b>上轮缩表对新兴市场冲击较大，发达经济体内部表现则有所分化</b>。从美股的行业表现上来看，信息技术涨幅明显，消费板块显著分化，可选消费好于必选，不过房地产、必选消费和公共事业的板块表现则随着美联储缩表的推进而逐步改善。全球股指方面，上轮缩表时期美股一枝独秀，而其它市场多数下行。<b>新兴市场风险已有释放</b>。不过，本轮QE期间，新兴市场表现事实上不及发达市场。考虑到新兴市场今年以来资金有所流出，股指已经回调，风险已有一定释放。截至2021年底新兴市场资金流入约5700亿美元，不足上轮QE期间的一半。多数新兴市场经济体已经进行了预防性加息，因而<b>资本进一步外流的规模可能相对有限</b>。从历史经验来看，上轮美联储缩表期间，<b>中美利差因货币政策错位先收窄后扩大</b>，当前中美利差倒挂已然出现，我们认为，国内以<b>降准降息</b>为代表的<b>货币政策宽松空间受制</b>，<b>国内债市收益率水平易上难下</b>。汇率方面，美元维持强势，或给全球其它<b>主要货币</b>带来一定的<b>贬值压力</b>。目前来看，能源价格的上行主要来自<b>供给冲击</b>，很可能难以被美元走高所压制，全球定价的大宗商品，特别是<b>受到供给约束的工业品，价格或将居高不下。</b></p></li></ul><p><b>1、这次缩表有什么不一样？</b></p><p>在经历过几轮QE之后，2017年美联储正式宣布缩表，直至2019年结束，虽然其作为少数可供参照的缩表时期，但是，本轮缩表很可能与上一轮存在较大的不同。</p><p><b>通胀引发货币收紧。</b>首先，从货币政策收紧的成因上来看，本轮加息缩表主要受到通胀的推动。上轮缩表前，美国经济已经步入复苏通道，制造业PMI稳定在荣枯线以上，失业率也创新低，就业市场整体良好，通胀水平一直以来在2%附近波动。而本轮就业市场虽也存在改善，但自2021年年中以来，美国通胀持续高企并逐步攀升，创下自大滞胀时期以来的新高，并且目前尚未出现见顶回落的迹象。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7576a05bc1a949508d2d4248ed308199\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>加息抢跑防患未然。</b>其次，从全球货币政策的动向上来看，上轮缩表前，除个别新兴市场加息外，全球主要经济体未见明显收紧。而2021年下半年，随着美联储货币收紧预期上升，俄罗斯、巴西等新兴经济体先后采取预防性加息，防范汇率贬值、资本外流风险。今年以来，俄乌危机推动能源价格高企，为了抑制通胀，<b>全球多数央行都加快了货币收紧进程</b>。多个新兴市场经济体单次加息至少50个基点，新西兰、加拿大、韩国等发达经济体也进入加息队列，全球已经迎来新一轮加息潮。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3afd5e4e00c4fa8a1fc0f261bafc20c\" tg-width=\"985\" tg-height=\"871\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表加息紧密配合。</b>第三，从加息和缩表两种货币政策收紧方式的配合性上来看。持续几轮的量化宽松使得美联储资产负债表规模在上一轮缩表前夕，较金融危机发生前扩大近4倍，准备金过度宽裕令美联储试图将总<b>资产规模正常化</b>。同时，由于此前连续加息导致美元指数居高不下，通胀水平低位徘徊，当时在某种意义上，其实是以缩表作为加息的替代手段，这使得收紧方式上<b>更加灵活</b>，相对而言对于汇率和通胀的影响也比加息更为缓和。而反观本轮缩表，其主要目的在于配合加息这一方式，<b>加快抑制通胀上行</b>，缩减资产负债表和准备金规模回收过剩的流动性，特别是<b>推高长端利率进而扩大期限利差，为持续加息创造条件</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73a89f02a52041679744bd5a198e62a4\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>被动缩表为主，部分主动出售。</b>第四，从缩表的实施方式上来看，上轮缩表主要是通过减少到期资金再投资的方式来进行的被动缩表，而并没有采取主动缩表（在市场上出售尚未到期的持有证券）的形式。不过，根据3月美联储议息会议纪要，<b>本轮缩表方式以被动为主，但或主动出售未到期的MBS。</b>一方面，3月议息会议上与会官员认为，MBS本金提前还款可能会低于缩表的每月上限。纽约联储和里士满联储研究估算，MBS提前偿还月均规模约在240-250亿左右，低于MBS缩减上限。另一方面，联储预计未来持有资产组合应主要由国债构成，考虑主动出售MBS是合适的。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc95bfdf73c74954b55706a9dcfc835e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表速度明显加快。</b>第五，从缩表的速度上来看。美联储在加息已达四次，历经22个月后才正式启动上轮缩表，首月缩减目标定为60亿的美国国债与40亿的MBS，并每三个月分别提高60亿和40亿额度，历时一年达到每月300亿美债及200亿MBS的缩减上限。在持续7个月后，美联储开始降低缩表上限，首次将国债和MBS上限分别降至150亿和200亿额度，再历经3个月后将二者上限降为零。而本轮缩表从时间上来看，美联储推进节奏明显加快，加息与缩表时间间隔或降至2个月，且最快或于缩表后3个月就达到每月600亿美债及350亿MBS的缩减上限。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeacdf4a12cb48feab3e4da6108ca8ea\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表强度有所提升。</b>第六，从缩表的强度上来看。上次缩表过程中，美联储目标缩减规模占联储总资产比重最高约1.3%，占GDP比重最高约0.24%。尽管本次缩减上限提升至950亿美元且缩减速度大幅提升，但由于目前美联储达到历史最高规模的总资产，目标缩减规模占联储总资产比重未见明显变化，约为1.1%，而目标缩减规模占GDP比重约为0.41%，相较上轮明显提升。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/560e37ba85754134b4140c53a89691a0\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表影响提前应对。</b>第七，从缩表影响的预防应对上来看。流动性危机是美联储终止上轮缩表进程的主要原因。金融危机后，为增强银行系统抵御流动性风险的能力，美联储在监管方面提高了对流动性资产的要求。2019年9月，由于缩表、缴税和国债认购缴款三重因素叠加，隔夜拆借利率一度飙升至10％，联邦基金利率也一度突破目标上限升至2.3%，迫使纽约联储近十年来首次出手干预隔夜回购市场，<b>流动性短缺最终导致美联储退出缩表</b>。本次联储充分吸取上轮缩表所暴露出的流动性问题，提前设立常备回购便利工具，尽可能保证市场流动性的充裕。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28895693a9c642b884a4f059e48857c4\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"609\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表规模远超上轮。</b>最后，从缩表的总规模上来看。在2017年-2019年整个缩表周期中，联储目标缩减规模为7550亿美元，实际缩减了约6500亿美元的总资产，占缩表前美联储总资产规模的15%，占当年GDP规模约3%。考虑到目前准备金充足，流动性较为宽松，本次加息进程不会因此重蹈覆辙。但未来若通胀势头有所遏制，加息缩表进程或也不排除提前结束。参照上轮缩表经验以及近期联储官员发言，准备金规模占名义GDP比例为8%时，市场流动性较为合适。若按IMF预测美国2023年名义GDP为26.7万亿，则合意准备金规模约为2.14万亿美元，粗略估算本轮缩表规模1.63万亿，占现有总资产规模的18.2%，缩表持续约18个月至2023年底结束。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/015d51beb2ab46118d5e35bb5a5d0535\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>2、缩表如何影响流动性环境？</b></p><p><b>美联储缩表对利率水平的影响存在三大传导路径。</b>美联储资产负债表的扩张是在短期利率无法突破0利率下限约束的情况下，通过继续购买中长期国债，释放流动性并压平收益率曲线，降低长期限利率水平，从而达到继续刺激经济的手段。而<b>缩表本质上是对扩表的逆向操作。一方面</b>，通过降低负债端的准备金规模减少货币供给（量）。<b>另一方面</b>，通过释放政策信号与资产组合再平衡的途径推高利率水平（价）。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3cbd4846cec482586a5a0e39c382859\" tg-width=\"1046\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>短端利率也会上行。</b>加息主要通过提高资金借贷成本来抑制货币需求，而缩表则直接通过影响货币供给进而推升短端利率。如果剔除加息对短端利率的影响后来看，缩表对短期利率推升事实上也有一定贡献。从上一轮缩表时期来看，短期国债收益率与基准利率目标的差值在美联储缩表前后变化明显，缩表后提高约0.2个百分点。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72012418d8eb40b08be2fba8a69e4ab9\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"609\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>长端利率明显推升。</b>美联储缩表主要通过信号和资产组合再平衡途径影响长端利率。<b>一方面</b>，美联储释放资产负债表正常化信号，进行前瞻指引，改变收益率曲线预期，引导长端利率上行。<b>另一方面</b>，美联储持有长久期资产逐步下降，市场长久期资产供给上升，从而推高长端利率水平。根据Bauer and Neely（2012）的研究发现，GDP规模1%的美联储资产负债表变动将带来十年期国债收益率的变化约8bp，若按照缩表950亿美元的最大规模，预计每月将推升十年期国债收益率约3.3bp，每年的影响大约有0.4个百分点之多。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c641c1f98db4e30b518044ee16e8a80\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"606\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>美联储缩表将显著降低流动性水平。</b>美联储缩表将同时使得资产和负债端规模有所下降。上轮美联储QE期间，准备金规模大幅上升至2.5万亿美元，并长期维持在这一水平附近。而上一轮缩表开始后，准备金规模大幅下降至约1.5万亿美元左右，隔夜逆回购规模也由2000亿美元降至0。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0824d93953e841968a3d250d0e23a38f\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>流动性危机短期或不会再现。</b>不过，我们认为，本轮缩表发生流动性危机的风险不高。<b>一方面</b>，市场现存流动性较高，准备金规模保持在4万亿左右的水平，隔夜逆回购规模也维持在1.6万亿的较高水平，远高于每月950亿美元的缩表规模。<b>另一方面</b>，美联储于2021年将国内和国外回购便利设立为常备，用于及时向市场提供流动性，新工具将有效平滑市场流动性波动。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef8931ddcdc54ed58a54093ca5ab1815\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>主动出售MBS或将推高房贷利率。</b>随着美联储加速收紧货币政策，美国各期限国债收益率均有上升，带动30年期固定抵押贷款利率升破5%，创2011年以来新高。从历史数据来看，房贷利率抬升将提高居民购房成本，抑制购买需求，使房地产市场承压。本轮缩表周期中，美联储大概率将主动出售其持有的机构MBS，或进一步推高抵押贷款利率。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b99c41fbe3b84095879c0adc27ed6667\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>3、缩表下的全球资产变局</b></p><p><b>上轮缩表冲击新兴市场。</b>美联储缩表对于大类资产表现会有怎样的影响？我们不妨先从上轮缩表中寻找线索。我们把上一轮美联储缩表过程划分为缩表开始至半年、达到缩减上限（一年）和整个缩表时期（时长约两年）三个阶段，并分别计算各类资产的收益表现。我们发现，<b>上次缩表对于新兴市场的冲击较大，发达经济体内部则出现比较明显的分化。</b>随着美联储缩表的进行，新兴市场需求占比更高的大宗商品价格明显回落，新兴市场指数也逐步调整，但发达经济体需求占比更高的原油和股指表现相对较好。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b8da395bcf04d8792a296aa315b603b\" tg-width=\"1019\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>从行业表现上来看，信息技术涨幅明显，可选消费好于必选。</b>美联储上一轮缩表对于美股各行业表现的影响，整体来看，以信息技术行业涨幅最为突出。而消费板块存在显著分化，可选消费表现名列前茅，但必选消费则相对落后。不过，随着美联储缩表进程的推进，房地产、必选消费和公共事业表现则逐步改善。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50cf9c0220f14fd1a04ee998d7329dcd\" tg-width=\"1019\" tg-height=\"655\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>美股一枝独秀，其它市场多数下行。</b>全球主要市场股市在上一轮美联储缩表期间呈现震荡态势，但走势上差异较大。其中，除美国以外的发达市场和新兴市场受到缩表冲击更大，呈现出震荡下行走势。而美股在美联储缩表开始后的一年时间内保持上行并创新高。各市场股指在2018年9月至2019年2月均出现短暂回撤，随后走势继续分化。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fee8a5cf5d1402d914544119d798119\" tg-width=\"1015\" tg-height=\"610\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>新兴市场风险已有释放。</b>上一轮美联储资产负债表扩张期间，资金大举流向新兴市场，推高了新兴市场的股指表现，直到2013年美联储开始逐步收紧货币政策，全球资金形成回流，发达经济体市场表现较新兴市场更好，而当美联储开始缩表，新兴市场资金进一步流出。不过，本轮QE期间，新兴市场表现事实上不及发达市场。虽然本次货币收紧节奏较快，加息缩表近乎完全重叠，但考虑到新兴市场今年以来资金有所流出，股指已经回调，风险已有一定释放。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0387aaac6d684000a293b8abfe31ae00\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>资金流入规模不足上轮一半。</b>在上轮美联储QE期间，新兴市场股债资金净流入约1.3万亿美元，约占美联储资产负债表变动规模近60%。而本轮QE期间，截至2021年底新兴市场股债资金净流入约5700亿美元，不足上轮的一半，且仅占美联储资产负债表变动规模约13%。此外，<b>多数新兴市场经济体已经进行了预防性加息，因而资本进一步外流的规模可能相对有限</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea99419ab1a44a0bc507c339e0f6c0d\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"623\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>债市利率易上难下。</b>从历史表现上来看，我国国债收益率多数情况下和美债收益率走势一致。但在上轮美联储缩表期间，由于美联储收紧货币，而国内继续保持偏宽松的状态，导致两国利差收窄。上轮美联储缩表后期，由于市场出现流动性危机，美联储开始降息并停止缩表，带动美债收益率下行，中美利差再度扩大。当前中美利差倒挂已然出现，随着美债收益率水平的抬升，我们认为，国内以降准降息为代表的货币政策宽松空间受制，国内债市收益率水平易上难下。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a34509811861401da679c9d2b8fce9f6\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>美元维持强势，汇率贬值压力加大。</b>上轮美联储实施缩表使得美国货币政策较欧元区边际收紧，推动美元指数上行。总体来看，随着美联储缩表的不断进行，多数货币较美元贬值，跌幅逐步扩大，但上轮缩表期间泰铢和日元的表现相对较好。而目前美元指数已经超过100，这轮缩表或给全球主要货币都会带来一定的贬值压力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f402c7ee3a74a64953d4aebd576d889\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>供给冲击主导，价格恐居高不下。</b>能源商品在上轮美联储缩表的前中期表现较好，有色金属中除镍以外，均表现较差。而在上轮美联储的整个缩表期间，贵金属呈现先跌后升的局面。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000061\">农产品</a>中，玉米和大豆走势有所分化。当前来看，能源价格的上行主要来自供给冲击，很可能难以被美元走高所压制，全球定价的大宗商品，特别是受到供给约束的工业品，价格或将居高不下。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/873be73c90154fa3aeebabbfb73560e6\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>风险提示：政策变动，经济恢复不及预期。</b></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>关于缩表，需要担心什么？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n关于缩表，需要担心什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/71\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb163b204aa14697bd7477df15b8b6b1);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">李迅雷金融与投资 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-02 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>5月美联储议息会议召开在即，除去加息之外，很可能会公布关于美联储缩表的路径、方式等细节内容。那么，在疫情后时代的环境之下，美联储本轮缩表与上轮有何不同？又会怎样影响经济和资本市场？本报告对此进行展开分析。</b></blockquote><p><b>概要</b></p><ul><li><p><b>这次缩表有什么不一样？首先</b>，从货币收紧的成因上来看，本轮加息缩表主要受到通胀的推动。<b>其次</b>，从全球货币政策的动向上来看，上轮缩表前，除个别新兴市场加息外，全球主要经济体未见明显收紧，而本轮缩表前，全球多数央行都加快了货币收紧进程。<b>第三</b>，从加息和缩表两种货币政策收紧方式的配合性上来看，本次缩表两者协同性更高。<b>第四</b>，从实施方式上来看，本轮缩表方式以被动为主，但或主动出售部分未到期的MBS。<b>第五</b>，从缩表的速度上来看，本轮推进节奏明显加快，加息与缩表间隔或由上轮的22个月降至2个月。<b>第六</b>，从强度上来看，本次缩减的目标规模占GDP比重相较上轮明显提升。<b>第七</b>，从缩表影响的预防应对上来看，本次联储提前设立常备回购便利工具，尽可能保证市场流动性的充裕。<b>最后</b>，从缩表的总规模上来看，我们估算，本轮缩表约达1.63万亿，也远超上轮，并持续约18个月至2023年底结束。</p></li></ul><ul><li><p><b>缩表如何影响流动性环境？</b>美联储缩表对利率水平的影响存在三大传导路径。<b>一方面</b>，通过<b>降低负债端的准备金规模</b>减少货币供给（量）。<b>另一方面</b>，通过<b>释放政策信号与资产组合再平衡</b>的途径推高利率水平（价）。缩表对于短端利率也会有一定推升，而在长端利率上的作用效果更为明显，我们预计，本轮缩表每年约推升十年期美国国债收益率0.4个百分点。虽然<b>缩表将显著降低流动性水平，但流动性危机短期或不会再现</b>。<b>一方面</b>，市场现存流动性较高。<b>另一方面</b>，美联储设立新工具将有效平滑市场流动性波动。不过，在本轮缩表周期中，美联储大概率将主动出售其持有的机构MBS，或进一步推高抵押贷款利率。</p></li></ul><ul><li><p><b>缩表下的全球资产变局</b>。<b>上轮缩表对新兴市场冲击较大，发达经济体内部表现则有所分化</b>。从美股的行业表现上来看，信息技术涨幅明显，消费板块显著分化，可选消费好于必选，不过房地产、必选消费和公共事业的板块表现则随着美联储缩表的推进而逐步改善。全球股指方面，上轮缩表时期美股一枝独秀，而其它市场多数下行。<b>新兴市场风险已有释放</b>。不过，本轮QE期间，新兴市场表现事实上不及发达市场。考虑到新兴市场今年以来资金有所流出，股指已经回调，风险已有一定释放。截至2021年底新兴市场资金流入约5700亿美元，不足上轮QE期间的一半。多数新兴市场经济体已经进行了预防性加息，因而<b>资本进一步外流的规模可能相对有限</b>。从历史经验来看，上轮美联储缩表期间，<b>中美利差因货币政策错位先收窄后扩大</b>，当前中美利差倒挂已然出现，我们认为，国内以<b>降准降息</b>为代表的<b>货币政策宽松空间受制</b>，<b>国内债市收益率水平易上难下</b>。汇率方面，美元维持强势，或给全球其它<b>主要货币</b>带来一定的<b>贬值压力</b>。目前来看，能源价格的上行主要来自<b>供给冲击</b>，很可能难以被美元走高所压制，全球定价的大宗商品，特别是<b>受到供给约束的工业品，价格或将居高不下。</b></p></li></ul><p><b>1、这次缩表有什么不一样？</b></p><p>在经历过几轮QE之后，2017年美联储正式宣布缩表，直至2019年结束，虽然其作为少数可供参照的缩表时期，但是，本轮缩表很可能与上一轮存在较大的不同。</p><p><b>通胀引发货币收紧。</b>首先，从货币政策收紧的成因上来看，本轮加息缩表主要受到通胀的推动。上轮缩表前，美国经济已经步入复苏通道，制造业PMI稳定在荣枯线以上，失业率也创新低，就业市场整体良好，通胀水平一直以来在2%附近波动。而本轮就业市场虽也存在改善，但自2021年年中以来，美国通胀持续高企并逐步攀升，创下自大滞胀时期以来的新高，并且目前尚未出现见顶回落的迹象。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7576a05bc1a949508d2d4248ed308199\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>加息抢跑防患未然。</b>其次，从全球货币政策的动向上来看，上轮缩表前，除个别新兴市场加息外，全球主要经济体未见明显收紧。而2021年下半年，随着美联储货币收紧预期上升，俄罗斯、巴西等新兴经济体先后采取预防性加息，防范汇率贬值、资本外流风险。今年以来，俄乌危机推动能源价格高企，为了抑制通胀，<b>全球多数央行都加快了货币收紧进程</b>。多个新兴市场经济体单次加息至少50个基点，新西兰、加拿大、韩国等发达经济体也进入加息队列，全球已经迎来新一轮加息潮。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3afd5e4e00c4fa8a1fc0f261bafc20c\" tg-width=\"985\" tg-height=\"871\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表加息紧密配合。</b>第三，从加息和缩表两种货币政策收紧方式的配合性上来看。持续几轮的量化宽松使得美联储资产负债表规模在上一轮缩表前夕，较金融危机发生前扩大近4倍，准备金过度宽裕令美联储试图将总<b>资产规模正常化</b>。同时，由于此前连续加息导致美元指数居高不下，通胀水平低位徘徊，当时在某种意义上，其实是以缩表作为加息的替代手段，这使得收紧方式上<b>更加灵活</b>，相对而言对于汇率和通胀的影响也比加息更为缓和。而反观本轮缩表，其主要目的在于配合加息这一方式，<b>加快抑制通胀上行</b>，缩减资产负债表和准备金规模回收过剩的流动性，特别是<b>推高长端利率进而扩大期限利差，为持续加息创造条件</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73a89f02a52041679744bd5a198e62a4\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>被动缩表为主，部分主动出售。</b>第四，从缩表的实施方式上来看，上轮缩表主要是通过减少到期资金再投资的方式来进行的被动缩表，而并没有采取主动缩表（在市场上出售尚未到期的持有证券）的形式。不过，根据3月美联储议息会议纪要，<b>本轮缩表方式以被动为主，但或主动出售未到期的MBS。</b>一方面，3月议息会议上与会官员认为，MBS本金提前还款可能会低于缩表的每月上限。纽约联储和里士满联储研究估算，MBS提前偿还月均规模约在240-250亿左右，低于MBS缩减上限。另一方面，联储预计未来持有资产组合应主要由国债构成，考虑主动出售MBS是合适的。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc95bfdf73c74954b55706a9dcfc835e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表速度明显加快。</b>第五，从缩表的速度上来看。美联储在加息已达四次，历经22个月后才正式启动上轮缩表，首月缩减目标定为60亿的美国国债与40亿的MBS，并每三个月分别提高60亿和40亿额度，历时一年达到每月300亿美债及200亿MBS的缩减上限。在持续7个月后，美联储开始降低缩表上限，首次将国债和MBS上限分别降至150亿和200亿额度，再历经3个月后将二者上限降为零。而本轮缩表从时间上来看，美联储推进节奏明显加快，加息与缩表时间间隔或降至2个月，且最快或于缩表后3个月就达到每月600亿美债及350亿MBS的缩减上限。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeacdf4a12cb48feab3e4da6108ca8ea\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表强度有所提升。</b>第六，从缩表的强度上来看。上次缩表过程中，美联储目标缩减规模占联储总资产比重最高约1.3%，占GDP比重最高约0.24%。尽管本次缩减上限提升至950亿美元且缩减速度大幅提升，但由于目前美联储达到历史最高规模的总资产，目标缩减规模占联储总资产比重未见明显变化，约为1.1%，而目标缩减规模占GDP比重约为0.41%，相较上轮明显提升。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/560e37ba85754134b4140c53a89691a0\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表影响提前应对。</b>第七，从缩表影响的预防应对上来看。流动性危机是美联储终止上轮缩表进程的主要原因。金融危机后，为增强银行系统抵御流动性风险的能力，美联储在监管方面提高了对流动性资产的要求。2019年9月，由于缩表、缴税和国债认购缴款三重因素叠加，隔夜拆借利率一度飙升至10％，联邦基金利率也一度突破目标上限升至2.3%，迫使纽约联储近十年来首次出手干预隔夜回购市场，<b>流动性短缺最终导致美联储退出缩表</b>。本次联储充分吸取上轮缩表所暴露出的流动性问题，提前设立常备回购便利工具，尽可能保证市场流动性的充裕。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28895693a9c642b884a4f059e48857c4\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"609\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>缩表规模远超上轮。</b>最后，从缩表的总规模上来看。在2017年-2019年整个缩表周期中，联储目标缩减规模为7550亿美元，实际缩减了约6500亿美元的总资产，占缩表前美联储总资产规模的15%，占当年GDP规模约3%。考虑到目前准备金充足，流动性较为宽松，本次加息进程不会因此重蹈覆辙。但未来若通胀势头有所遏制，加息缩表进程或也不排除提前结束。参照上轮缩表经验以及近期联储官员发言，准备金规模占名义GDP比例为8%时，市场流动性较为合适。若按IMF预测美国2023年名义GDP为26.7万亿，则合意准备金规模约为2.14万亿美元，粗略估算本轮缩表规模1.63万亿，占现有总资产规模的18.2%，缩表持续约18个月至2023年底结束。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/015d51beb2ab46118d5e35bb5a5d0535\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>2、缩表如何影响流动性环境？</b></p><p><b>美联储缩表对利率水平的影响存在三大传导路径。</b>美联储资产负债表的扩张是在短期利率无法突破0利率下限约束的情况下，通过继续购买中长期国债，释放流动性并压平收益率曲线，降低长期限利率水平，从而达到继续刺激经济的手段。而<b>缩表本质上是对扩表的逆向操作。一方面</b>，通过降低负债端的准备金规模减少货币供给（量）。<b>另一方面</b>，通过释放政策信号与资产组合再平衡的途径推高利率水平（价）。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3cbd4846cec482586a5a0e39c382859\" tg-width=\"1046\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>短端利率也会上行。</b>加息主要通过提高资金借贷成本来抑制货币需求，而缩表则直接通过影响货币供给进而推升短端利率。如果剔除加息对短端利率的影响后来看，缩表对短期利率推升事实上也有一定贡献。从上一轮缩表时期来看，短期国债收益率与基准利率目标的差值在美联储缩表前后变化明显，缩表后提高约0.2个百分点。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72012418d8eb40b08be2fba8a69e4ab9\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"609\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>长端利率明显推升。</b>美联储缩表主要通过信号和资产组合再平衡途径影响长端利率。<b>一方面</b>，美联储释放资产负债表正常化信号，进行前瞻指引，改变收益率曲线预期，引导长端利率上行。<b>另一方面</b>，美联储持有长久期资产逐步下降，市场长久期资产供给上升，从而推高长端利率水平。根据Bauer and Neely（2012）的研究发现，GDP规模1%的美联储资产负债表变动将带来十年期国债收益率的变化约8bp，若按照缩表950亿美元的最大规模，预计每月将推升十年期国债收益率约3.3bp，每年的影响大约有0.4个百分点之多。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c641c1f98db4e30b518044ee16e8a80\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"606\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>美联储缩表将显著降低流动性水平。</b>美联储缩表将同时使得资产和负债端规模有所下降。上轮美联储QE期间，准备金规模大幅上升至2.5万亿美元，并长期维持在这一水平附近。而上一轮缩表开始后，准备金规模大幅下降至约1.5万亿美元左右，隔夜逆回购规模也由2000亿美元降至0。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0824d93953e841968a3d250d0e23a38f\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>流动性危机短期或不会再现。</b>不过，我们认为，本轮缩表发生流动性危机的风险不高。<b>一方面</b>，市场现存流动性较高，准备金规模保持在4万亿左右的水平，隔夜逆回购规模也维持在1.6万亿的较高水平，远高于每月950亿美元的缩表规模。<b>另一方面</b>，美联储于2021年将国内和国外回购便利设立为常备，用于及时向市场提供流动性，新工具将有效平滑市场流动性波动。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef8931ddcdc54ed58a54093ca5ab1815\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>主动出售MBS或将推高房贷利率。</b>随着美联储加速收紧货币政策，美国各期限国债收益率均有上升，带动30年期固定抵押贷款利率升破5%，创2011年以来新高。从历史数据来看，房贷利率抬升将提高居民购房成本，抑制购买需求，使房地产市场承压。本轮缩表周期中，美联储大概率将主动出售其持有的机构MBS，或进一步推高抵押贷款利率。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b99c41fbe3b84095879c0adc27ed6667\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>3、缩表下的全球资产变局</b></p><p><b>上轮缩表冲击新兴市场。</b>美联储缩表对于大类资产表现会有怎样的影响？我们不妨先从上轮缩表中寻找线索。我们把上一轮美联储缩表过程划分为缩表开始至半年、达到缩减上限（一年）和整个缩表时期（时长约两年）三个阶段，并分别计算各类资产的收益表现。我们发现，<b>上次缩表对于新兴市场的冲击较大，发达经济体内部则出现比较明显的分化。</b>随着美联储缩表的进行，新兴市场需求占比更高的大宗商品价格明显回落，新兴市场指数也逐步调整，但发达经济体需求占比更高的原油和股指表现相对较好。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b8da395bcf04d8792a296aa315b603b\" tg-width=\"1019\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>从行业表现上来看，信息技术涨幅明显，可选消费好于必选。</b>美联储上一轮缩表对于美股各行业表现的影响，整体来看，以信息技术行业涨幅最为突出。而消费板块存在显著分化，可选消费表现名列前茅，但必选消费则相对落后。不过，随着美联储缩表进程的推进，房地产、必选消费和公共事业表现则逐步改善。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50cf9c0220f14fd1a04ee998d7329dcd\" tg-width=\"1019\" tg-height=\"655\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>美股一枝独秀，其它市场多数下行。</b>全球主要市场股市在上一轮美联储缩表期间呈现震荡态势，但走势上差异较大。其中，除美国以外的发达市场和新兴市场受到缩表冲击更大，呈现出震荡下行走势。而美股在美联储缩表开始后的一年时间内保持上行并创新高。各市场股指在2018年9月至2019年2月均出现短暂回撤，随后走势继续分化。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fee8a5cf5d1402d914544119d798119\" tg-width=\"1015\" tg-height=\"610\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>新兴市场风险已有释放。</b>上一轮美联储资产负债表扩张期间，资金大举流向新兴市场，推高了新兴市场的股指表现，直到2013年美联储开始逐步收紧货币政策，全球资金形成回流，发达经济体市场表现较新兴市场更好，而当美联储开始缩表，新兴市场资金进一步流出。不过，本轮QE期间，新兴市场表现事实上不及发达市场。虽然本次货币收紧节奏较快，加息缩表近乎完全重叠，但考虑到新兴市场今年以来资金有所流出，股指已经回调，风险已有一定释放。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0387aaac6d684000a293b8abfe31ae00\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>资金流入规模不足上轮一半。</b>在上轮美联储QE期间，新兴市场股债资金净流入约1.3万亿美元，约占美联储资产负债表变动规模近60%。而本轮QE期间，截至2021年底新兴市场股债资金净流入约5700亿美元，不足上轮的一半，且仅占美联储资产负债表变动规模约13%。此外，<b>多数新兴市场经济体已经进行了预防性加息，因而资本进一步外流的规模可能相对有限</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea99419ab1a44a0bc507c339e0f6c0d\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"623\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>债市利率易上难下。</b>从历史表现上来看，我国国债收益率多数情况下和美债收益率走势一致。但在上轮美联储缩表期间，由于美联储收紧货币，而国内继续保持偏宽松的状态，导致两国利差收窄。上轮美联储缩表后期，由于市场出现流动性危机，美联储开始降息并停止缩表，带动美债收益率下行，中美利差再度扩大。当前中美利差倒挂已然出现，随着美债收益率水平的抬升，我们认为，国内以降准降息为代表的货币政策宽松空间受制，国内债市收益率水平易上难下。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a34509811861401da679c9d2b8fce9f6\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>美元维持强势，汇率贬值压力加大。</b>上轮美联储实施缩表使得美国货币政策较欧元区边际收紧，推动美元指数上行。总体来看，随着美联储缩表的不断进行，多数货币较美元贬值，跌幅逐步扩大，但上轮缩表期间泰铢和日元的表现相对较好。而目前美元指数已经超过100，这轮缩表或给全球主要货币都会带来一定的贬值压力。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f402c7ee3a74a64953d4aebd576d889\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>供给冲击主导，价格恐居高不下。</b>能源商品在上轮美联储缩表的前中期表现较好，有色金属中除镍以外，均表现较差。而在上轮美联储的整个缩表期间，贵金属呈现先跌后升的局面。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000061\">农产品</a>中，玉米和大豆走势有所分化。当前来看，能源价格的上行主要来自供给冲击，很可能难以被美元走高所压制，全球定价的大宗商品，特别是受到供给约束的工业品，价格或将居高不下。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/873be73c90154fa3aeebabbfb73560e6\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>风险提示：政策变动，经济恢复不及预期。</b></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8fca69a364eb1ccaf6e9078f1721480","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2232733784","content_text":"5月美联储议息会议召开在即，除去加息之外，很可能会公布关于美联储缩表的路径、方式等细节内容。那么，在疫情后时代的环境之下，美联储本轮缩表与上轮有何不同？又会怎样影响经济和资本市场？本报告对此进行展开分析。概要这次缩表有什么不一样？首先，从货币收紧的成因上来看，本轮加息缩表主要受到通胀的推动。其次，从全球货币政策的动向上来看，上轮缩表前，除个别新兴市场加息外，全球主要经济体未见明显收紧，而本轮缩表前，全球多数央行都加快了货币收紧进程。第三，从加息和缩表两种货币政策收紧方式的配合性上来看，本次缩表两者协同性更高。第四，从实施方式上来看，本轮缩表方式以被动为主，但或主动出售部分未到期的MBS。第五，从缩表的速度上来看，本轮推进节奏明显加快，加息与缩表间隔或由上轮的22个月降至2个月。第六，从强度上来看，本次缩减的目标规模占GDP比重相较上轮明显提升。第七，从缩表影响的预防应对上来看，本次联储提前设立常备回购便利工具，尽可能保证市场流动性的充裕。最后，从缩表的总规模上来看，我们估算，本轮缩表约达1.63万亿，也远超上轮，并持续约18个月至2023年底结束。缩表如何影响流动性环境？美联储缩表对利率水平的影响存在三大传导路径。一方面，通过降低负债端的准备金规模减少货币供给（量）。另一方面，通过释放政策信号与资产组合再平衡的途径推高利率水平（价）。缩表对于短端利率也会有一定推升，而在长端利率上的作用效果更为明显，我们预计，本轮缩表每年约推升十年期美国国债收益率0.4个百分点。虽然缩表将显著降低流动性水平，但流动性危机短期或不会再现。一方面，市场现存流动性较高。另一方面，美联储设立新工具将有效平滑市场流动性波动。不过，在本轮缩表周期中，美联储大概率将主动出售其持有的机构MBS，或进一步推高抵押贷款利率。缩表下的全球资产变局。上轮缩表对新兴市场冲击较大，发达经济体内部表现则有所分化。从美股的行业表现上来看，信息技术涨幅明显，消费板块显著分化，可选消费好于必选，不过房地产、必选消费和公共事业的板块表现则随着美联储缩表的推进而逐步改善。全球股指方面，上轮缩表时期美股一枝独秀，而其它市场多数下行。新兴市场风险已有释放。不过，本轮QE期间，新兴市场表现事实上不及发达市场。考虑到新兴市场今年以来资金有所流出，股指已经回调，风险已有一定释放。截至2021年底新兴市场资金流入约5700亿美元，不足上轮QE期间的一半。多数新兴市场经济体已经进行了预防性加息，因而资本进一步外流的规模可能相对有限。从历史经验来看，上轮美联储缩表期间，中美利差因货币政策错位先收窄后扩大，当前中美利差倒挂已然出现，我们认为，国内以降准降息为代表的货币政策宽松空间受制，国内债市收益率水平易上难下。汇率方面，美元维持强势，或给全球其它主要货币带来一定的贬值压力。目前来看，能源价格的上行主要来自供给冲击，很可能难以被美元走高所压制，全球定价的大宗商品，特别是受到供给约束的工业品，价格或将居高不下。1、这次缩表有什么不一样？在经历过几轮QE之后，2017年美联储正式宣布缩表，直至2019年结束，虽然其作为少数可供参照的缩表时期，但是，本轮缩表很可能与上一轮存在较大的不同。通胀引发货币收紧。首先，从货币政策收紧的成因上来看，本轮加息缩表主要受到通胀的推动。上轮缩表前，美国经济已经步入复苏通道，制造业PMI稳定在荣枯线以上，失业率也创新低，就业市场整体良好，通胀水平一直以来在2%附近波动。而本轮就业市场虽也存在改善，但自2021年年中以来，美国通胀持续高企并逐步攀升，创下自大滞胀时期以来的新高，并且目前尚未出现见顶回落的迹象。加息抢跑防患未然。其次，从全球货币政策的动向上来看，上轮缩表前，除个别新兴市场加息外，全球主要经济体未见明显收紧。而2021年下半年，随着美联储货币收紧预期上升，俄罗斯、巴西等新兴经济体先后采取预防性加息，防范汇率贬值、资本外流风险。今年以来，俄乌危机推动能源价格高企，为了抑制通胀，全球多数央行都加快了货币收紧进程。多个新兴市场经济体单次加息至少50个基点，新西兰、加拿大、韩国等发达经济体也进入加息队列，全球已经迎来新一轮加息潮。缩表加息紧密配合。第三，从加息和缩表两种货币政策收紧方式的配合性上来看。持续几轮的量化宽松使得美联储资产负债表规模在上一轮缩表前夕，较金融危机发生前扩大近4倍，准备金过度宽裕令美联储试图将总资产规模正常化。同时，由于此前连续加息导致美元指数居高不下，通胀水平低位徘徊，当时在某种意义上，其实是以缩表作为加息的替代手段，这使得收紧方式上更加灵活，相对而言对于汇率和通胀的影响也比加息更为缓和。而反观本轮缩表，其主要目的在于配合加息这一方式，加快抑制通胀上行，缩减资产负债表和准备金规模回收过剩的流动性，特别是推高长端利率进而扩大期限利差，为持续加息创造条件。被动缩表为主，部分主动出售。第四，从缩表的实施方式上来看，上轮缩表主要是通过减少到期资金再投资的方式来进行的被动缩表，而并没有采取主动缩表（在市场上出售尚未到期的持有证券）的形式。不过，根据3月美联储议息会议纪要，本轮缩表方式以被动为主，但或主动出售未到期的MBS。一方面，3月议息会议上与会官员认为，MBS本金提前还款可能会低于缩表的每月上限。纽约联储和里士满联储研究估算，MBS提前偿还月均规模约在240-250亿左右，低于MBS缩减上限。另一方面，联储预计未来持有资产组合应主要由国债构成，考虑主动出售MBS是合适的。缩表速度明显加快。第五，从缩表的速度上来看。美联储在加息已达四次，历经22个月后才正式启动上轮缩表，首月缩减目标定为60亿的美国国债与40亿的MBS，并每三个月分别提高60亿和40亿额度，历时一年达到每月300亿美债及200亿MBS的缩减上限。在持续7个月后，美联储开始降低缩表上限，首次将国债和MBS上限分别降至150亿和200亿额度，再历经3个月后将二者上限降为零。而本轮缩表从时间上来看，美联储推进节奏明显加快，加息与缩表时间间隔或降至2个月，且最快或于缩表后3个月就达到每月600亿美债及350亿MBS的缩减上限。缩表强度有所提升。第六，从缩表的强度上来看。上次缩表过程中，美联储目标缩减规模占联储总资产比重最高约1.3%，占GDP比重最高约0.24%。尽管本次缩减上限提升至950亿美元且缩减速度大幅提升，但由于目前美联储达到历史最高规模的总资产，目标缩减规模占联储总资产比重未见明显变化，约为1.1%，而目标缩减规模占GDP比重约为0.41%，相较上轮明显提升。缩表影响提前应对。第七，从缩表影响的预防应对上来看。流动性危机是美联储终止上轮缩表进程的主要原因。金融危机后，为增强银行系统抵御流动性风险的能力，美联储在监管方面提高了对流动性资产的要求。2019年9月，由于缩表、缴税和国债认购缴款三重因素叠加，隔夜拆借利率一度飙升至10％，联邦基金利率也一度突破目标上限升至2.3%，迫使纽约联储近十年来首次出手干预隔夜回购市场，流动性短缺最终导致美联储退出缩表。本次联储充分吸取上轮缩表所暴露出的流动性问题，提前设立常备回购便利工具，尽可能保证市场流动性的充裕。缩表规模远超上轮。最后，从缩表的总规模上来看。在2017年-2019年整个缩表周期中，联储目标缩减规模为7550亿美元，实际缩减了约6500亿美元的总资产，占缩表前美联储总资产规模的15%，占当年GDP规模约3%。考虑到目前准备金充足，流动性较为宽松，本次加息进程不会因此重蹈覆辙。但未来若通胀势头有所遏制，加息缩表进程或也不排除提前结束。参照上轮缩表经验以及近期联储官员发言，准备金规模占名义GDP比例为8%时，市场流动性较为合适。若按IMF预测美国2023年名义GDP为26.7万亿，则合意准备金规模约为2.14万亿美元，粗略估算本轮缩表规模1.63万亿，占现有总资产规模的18.2%，缩表持续约18个月至2023年底结束。2、缩表如何影响流动性环境？美联储缩表对利率水平的影响存在三大传导路径。美联储资产负债表的扩张是在短期利率无法突破0利率下限约束的情况下，通过继续购买中长期国债，释放流动性并压平收益率曲线，降低长期限利率水平，从而达到继续刺激经济的手段。而缩表本质上是对扩表的逆向操作。一方面，通过降低负债端的准备金规模减少货币供给（量）。另一方面，通过释放政策信号与资产组合再平衡的途径推高利率水平（价）。短端利率也会上行。加息主要通过提高资金借贷成本来抑制货币需求，而缩表则直接通过影响货币供给进而推升短端利率。如果剔除加息对短端利率的影响后来看，缩表对短期利率推升事实上也有一定贡献。从上一轮缩表时期来看，短期国债收益率与基准利率目标的差值在美联储缩表前后变化明显，缩表后提高约0.2个百分点。长端利率明显推升。美联储缩表主要通过信号和资产组合再平衡途径影响长端利率。一方面，美联储释放资产负债表正常化信号，进行前瞻指引，改变收益率曲线预期，引导长端利率上行。另一方面，美联储持有长久期资产逐步下降，市场长久期资产供给上升，从而推高长端利率水平。根据Bauer and Neely（2012）的研究发现，GDP规模1%的美联储资产负债表变动将带来十年期国债收益率的变化约8bp，若按照缩表950亿美元的最大规模，预计每月将推升十年期国债收益率约3.3bp，每年的影响大约有0.4个百分点之多。美联储缩表将显著降低流动性水平。美联储缩表将同时使得资产和负债端规模有所下降。上轮美联储QE期间，准备金规模大幅上升至2.5万亿美元，并长期维持在这一水平附近。而上一轮缩表开始后，准备金规模大幅下降至约1.5万亿美元左右，隔夜逆回购规模也由2000亿美元降至0。流动性危机短期或不会再现。不过，我们认为，本轮缩表发生流动性危机的风险不高。一方面，市场现存流动性较高，准备金规模保持在4万亿左右的水平，隔夜逆回购规模也维持在1.6万亿的较高水平，远高于每月950亿美元的缩表规模。另一方面，美联储于2021年将国内和国外回购便利设立为常备，用于及时向市场提供流动性，新工具将有效平滑市场流动性波动。主动出售MBS或将推高房贷利率。随着美联储加速收紧货币政策，美国各期限国债收益率均有上升，带动30年期固定抵押贷款利率升破5%，创2011年以来新高。从历史数据来看，房贷利率抬升将提高居民购房成本，抑制购买需求，使房地产市场承压。本轮缩表周期中，美联储大概率将主动出售其持有的机构MBS，或进一步推高抵押贷款利率。3、缩表下的全球资产变局上轮缩表冲击新兴市场。美联储缩表对于大类资产表现会有怎样的影响？我们不妨先从上轮缩表中寻找线索。我们把上一轮美联储缩表过程划分为缩表开始至半年、达到缩减上限（一年）和整个缩表时期（时长约两年）三个阶段，并分别计算各类资产的收益表现。我们发现，上次缩表对于新兴市场的冲击较大，发达经济体内部则出现比较明显的分化。随着美联储缩表的进行，新兴市场需求占比更高的大宗商品价格明显回落，新兴市场指数也逐步调整，但发达经济体需求占比更高的原油和股指表现相对较好。从行业表现上来看，信息技术涨幅明显，可选消费好于必选。美联储上一轮缩表对于美股各行业表现的影响，整体来看，以信息技术行业涨幅最为突出。而消费板块存在显著分化，可选消费表现名列前茅，但必选消费则相对落后。不过，随着美联储缩表进程的推进，房地产、必选消费和公共事业表现则逐步改善。美股一枝独秀，其它市场多数下行。全球主要市场股市在上一轮美联储缩表期间呈现震荡态势，但走势上差异较大。其中，除美国以外的发达市场和新兴市场受到缩表冲击更大，呈现出震荡下行走势。而美股在美联储缩表开始后的一年时间内保持上行并创新高。各市场股指在2018年9月至2019年2月均出现短暂回撤，随后走势继续分化。新兴市场风险已有释放。上一轮美联储资产负债表扩张期间，资金大举流向新兴市场，推高了新兴市场的股指表现，直到2013年美联储开始逐步收紧货币政策，全球资金形成回流，发达经济体市场表现较新兴市场更好，而当美联储开始缩表，新兴市场资金进一步流出。不过，本轮QE期间，新兴市场表现事实上不及发达市场。虽然本次货币收紧节奏较快，加息缩表近乎完全重叠，但考虑到新兴市场今年以来资金有所流出，股指已经回调，风险已有一定释放。资金流入规模不足上轮一半。在上轮美联储QE期间，新兴市场股债资金净流入约1.3万亿美元，约占美联储资产负债表变动规模近60%。而本轮QE期间，截至2021年底新兴市场股债资金净流入约5700亿美元，不足上轮的一半，且仅占美联储资产负债表变动规模约13%。此外，多数新兴市场经济体已经进行了预防性加息，因而资本进一步外流的规模可能相对有限。债市利率易上难下。从历史表现上来看，我国国债收益率多数情况下和美债收益率走势一致。但在上轮美联储缩表期间，由于美联储收紧货币，而国内继续保持偏宽松的状态，导致两国利差收窄。上轮美联储缩表后期，由于市场出现流动性危机，美联储开始降息并停止缩表，带动美债收益率下行，中美利差再度扩大。当前中美利差倒挂已然出现，随着美债收益率水平的抬升，我们认为，国内以降准降息为代表的货币政策宽松空间受制，国内债市收益率水平易上难下。美元维持强势，汇率贬值压力加大。上轮美联储实施缩表使得美国货币政策较欧元区边际收紧，推动美元指数上行。总体来看，随着美联储缩表的不断进行，多数货币较美元贬值，跌幅逐步扩大，但上轮缩表期间泰铢和日元的表现相对较好。而目前美元指数已经超过100，这轮缩表或给全球主要货币都会带来一定的贬值压力。供给冲击主导，价格恐居高不下。能源商品在上轮美联储缩表的前中期表现较好，有色金属中除镍以外，均表现较差。而在上轮美联储的整个缩表期间，贵金属呈现先跌后升的局面。农产品中，玉米和大豆走势有所分化。当前来看，能源价格的上行主要来自供给冲击，很可能难以被美元走高所压制，全球定价的大宗商品，特别是受到供给约束的工业品，价格或将居高不下。风险提示：政策变动，经济恢复不及预期。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060202957,"gmtCreate":1651150342522,"gmtModify":1676534858974,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060202957","repostId":"1147036890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147036890","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651149385,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147036890?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-28 20:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell | Nasdaq Futures Jump ; Meta Shine; U.S. GDP Declined at 1.4% Annual Pace in First Quarter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147036890","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq futures jumped 1.7% on Thursday, as a surge in Meta Platforms shares after its strong results","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nasdaq futures jumped 1.7% on Thursday, as a surge in Meta Platforms shares after its strong results eased pressure on growth and technology stocks that have been battered on concerns about rising interest rates.</p><p>The Facebook-parent rose 15% in premarket trading after it reported a stronger-than-expected profit and the social-networking site eked out user growth.read more</p><p>Other megacap stocks such as Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc and Tesla Inc rose between 1.4% and 2.2%.</p><p>Gross domestic product unexpectedly declined 1.4% in the first quarter, marking an abrupt reversal for an economy coming off its best performance since 1984, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.</p><p>The negative growth rate missed even the subdued Dow Jones estimate of a 1% gain for the quarter.</p><p>A plethora of factors conspired to weigh against growth during the first three months of 2022.</p><p>U.S. initial jobless claims fall 5,000 to 180,000 in latest week.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 08:35 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 181 points, or 0.54%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 47 points, or 1.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 214.25 points, or 1.65%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cf602d29590c646671f7c128d781e68\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b>Meta Platforms</b> —— Shares of Facebook parent company Meta Platforms Inc. surged 15% during pre-market hours Thursday, a day after reporting its main platform added more users than projected in the first quarter, potentially staving off concerns that the company is losing momentum as a new generation flocks to younger sites like TikTok.</p><p><b>Qualcomm</b> —— Qualcomm Inc forecast third-quarter revenue above analyst expectations after beating second quarter revenue and profit estimates on Wednesday, largely due to its move to focus on a growing non-handset business to cushion a likely hit from slowing smartphone demand. Qualcomm shares rose about 6% in premarket trading Thursday.</p><p><b>Teladoc Health</b> —— Shares of Teladoc Health Inc. plunged 43% in premarket trading Thursday, after the telemedicine company took an impairment charge of more than $6.5 billion and slashed its full-year outlook.</p><p><b>Twitter </b>—— Twitter just reported earnings for the first quarter of 2022, in what could be one of its last reports as a public company after its board agreed to sell to Elon Musk for $44 billion. Shares of Twitter were up about 0.9% during premarket trading.</p><p><b>PayPal</b> —— PayPal Holdings Inc.’s vow to rein in costs and push to boost profits cheered investors even after executives lowered targets for the firm’s performance this year. PayPal shares gained 3.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Pinterest</b> —— Pinterest Inc&#39;s first-quarter revenue and profit surpassed market estimates on Wednesday as the image-sharing platform benefited from higher ad spending by businesses, sending its shares about 8% higher in premarket trading Thursday.</p><p><b>McDonald’s </b>—— McDonald’s on Thursday reported better-than-expected revenue, fueled by price hikes in the U.S. and strong international sales growth. McDonald’s shares climbed 2% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Southwest Airlines</b> —— Southwest Airlines Co reported a smaller adjusted quarterly loss on Thursday and said it expects to be &#34;solidly profitable&#34; for the year as a rebound in travel helped it offset disruptions in January due to the Omicron coronavirus variant. Southwest Airlines shares climbed 3% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Eli Lilly</b> —— The drug maker&#39;s shares gained 3.5% in premarket trading after the company reported results from a clinical trial showing its obesity drug tirzepatide helped patients lose up to 22.5% of their weight. Eli Lilly also reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the first quarter and boosted its full-year revenue guidance.</p><p><b>Comcast</b> —— Comcast reported first-quarter earnings Thursday that beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines. While Comcast shares fell more than 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>ServiceNow</b> —— ServiceNow Inc.’s stock jumped more than 8% in premarket trading Thursday after the software company reported fiscal first-quarter revenue that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><b>Nokia </b>—— Telecom equipment maker Nokia reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results on Thursday, helped by demand for 5G gear despite supply chain constraints and higher prices of components. Nokia shares rose 3% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Caterpillar</b> —— Shares of the global construction machine maker slid more than 1% despite Caterpillar beating top- and bottom-line estimates during the first quarter. The company earned $2.88 per share excluding items on $13.59 billion in revenue. Analysts were expecting the company to earn $2.60 per share on $13.4 billion in sales, according to estimates compiled by Refinitiv.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Meta’s Facebook Returns to User Growth</b></p><p>Facebook rebounded from a drop in users early this year and its parent Meta posted a profit ahead of Wall Street targets, defying low investor expectations with a quarterly report.</p><p>Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg also said that the company would scale back costs and was investing in artificial intelligence tools to improve recommendations and ads, a sign Meta is buckling down to make money while working on its long-term ambitions to build the metaverse.</p><p><b>Mcdonald’s Revenue Tops Estimates, Fueled by Price Hikes and Overseas SamE-store Sales Growth</b></p><p>McDonald&#39;s Corp beat estimates for quarterly sales and profit on Thursday as the world&#39;s largest fast-food chain benefited from price increases in the United States and the launch of a new loyalty program.</p><p>Rising wages due to a tight labor market and soaring costs of ingredients such as chicken and beef have forced U.S. restaurant chains to announce a series of price hikes, which have seen little resistance from consumers so far.</p><p><b>VW Mulls Expanding U.S. Plant to Build ID.Buzz, Electric Pickup</b></p><p>Volkswagen is considering an expansion of its Chattanooga plant in the United States to produce an electric pick-up and the new ID.Buzz microbus, a source close to the matter told Reuters on Thursday.</p><p>The move would help the German automaker grow its market share in North America.</p><p><b>Moderna Asks FDA to Clear Its Covid-19 Vaccine for Young Children</b></p><p>Moderna Inc. has asked U.S. health regulators to authorize the use of its Covid-19 vaccine in children ages 6 months to 5 years old.</p><p>The company said Thursday that it had submitted the request after a study showed the shot safely induced immune responses in the young age group.</p><p>If the regulators agree, one of the last remaining age groups still not eligible for Covid-19 vaccination in the U.S.—children under 5 years—could begin to receive the shots by summer.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell | Nasdaq Futures Jump ; Meta Shine; U.S. GDP Declined at 1.4% Annual Pace in First Quarter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell | Nasdaq Futures Jump ; Meta Shine; U.S. GDP Declined at 1.4% Annual Pace in First Quarter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-28 20:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nasdaq futures jumped 1.7% on Thursday, as a surge in Meta Platforms shares after its strong results eased pressure on growth and technology stocks that have been battered on concerns about rising interest rates.</p><p>The Facebook-parent rose 15% in premarket trading after it reported a stronger-than-expected profit and the social-networking site eked out user growth.read more</p><p>Other megacap stocks such as Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc and Tesla Inc rose between 1.4% and 2.2%.</p><p>Gross domestic product unexpectedly declined 1.4% in the first quarter, marking an abrupt reversal for an economy coming off its best performance since 1984, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.</p><p>The negative growth rate missed even the subdued Dow Jones estimate of a 1% gain for the quarter.</p><p>A plethora of factors conspired to weigh against growth during the first three months of 2022.</p><p>U.S. initial jobless claims fall 5,000 to 180,000 in latest week.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 08:35 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 181 points, or 0.54%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 47 points, or 1.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 214.25 points, or 1.65%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cf602d29590c646671f7c128d781e68\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b>Meta Platforms</b> —— Shares of Facebook parent company Meta Platforms Inc. surged 15% during pre-market hours Thursday, a day after reporting its main platform added more users than projected in the first quarter, potentially staving off concerns that the company is losing momentum as a new generation flocks to younger sites like TikTok.</p><p><b>Qualcomm</b> —— Qualcomm Inc forecast third-quarter revenue above analyst expectations after beating second quarter revenue and profit estimates on Wednesday, largely due to its move to focus on a growing non-handset business to cushion a likely hit from slowing smartphone demand. Qualcomm shares rose about 6% in premarket trading Thursday.</p><p><b>Teladoc Health</b> —— Shares of Teladoc Health Inc. plunged 43% in premarket trading Thursday, after the telemedicine company took an impairment charge of more than $6.5 billion and slashed its full-year outlook.</p><p><b>Twitter </b>—— Twitter just reported earnings for the first quarter of 2022, in what could be one of its last reports as a public company after its board agreed to sell to Elon Musk for $44 billion. Shares of Twitter were up about 0.9% during premarket trading.</p><p><b>PayPal</b> —— PayPal Holdings Inc.’s vow to rein in costs and push to boost profits cheered investors even after executives lowered targets for the firm’s performance this year. PayPal shares gained 3.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Pinterest</b> —— Pinterest Inc&#39;s first-quarter revenue and profit surpassed market estimates on Wednesday as the image-sharing platform benefited from higher ad spending by businesses, sending its shares about 8% higher in premarket trading Thursday.</p><p><b>McDonald’s </b>—— McDonald’s on Thursday reported better-than-expected revenue, fueled by price hikes in the U.S. and strong international sales growth. McDonald’s shares climbed 2% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Southwest Airlines</b> —— Southwest Airlines Co reported a smaller adjusted quarterly loss on Thursday and said it expects to be &#34;solidly profitable&#34; for the year as a rebound in travel helped it offset disruptions in January due to the Omicron coronavirus variant. Southwest Airlines shares climbed 3% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Eli Lilly</b> —— The drug maker&#39;s shares gained 3.5% in premarket trading after the company reported results from a clinical trial showing its obesity drug tirzepatide helped patients lose up to 22.5% of their weight. Eli Lilly also reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the first quarter and boosted its full-year revenue guidance.</p><p><b>Comcast</b> —— Comcast reported first-quarter earnings Thursday that beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines. While Comcast shares fell more than 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>ServiceNow</b> —— ServiceNow Inc.’s stock jumped more than 8% in premarket trading Thursday after the software company reported fiscal first-quarter revenue that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><b>Nokia </b>—— Telecom equipment maker Nokia reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results on Thursday, helped by demand for 5G gear despite supply chain constraints and higher prices of components. Nokia shares rose 3% in premarket trading.</p><p><b>Caterpillar</b> —— Shares of the global construction machine maker slid more than 1% despite Caterpillar beating top- and bottom-line estimates during the first quarter. The company earned $2.88 per share excluding items on $13.59 billion in revenue. Analysts were expecting the company to earn $2.60 per share on $13.4 billion in sales, according to estimates compiled by Refinitiv.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b>Meta’s Facebook Returns to User Growth</b></p><p>Facebook rebounded from a drop in users early this year and its parent Meta posted a profit ahead of Wall Street targets, defying low investor expectations with a quarterly report.</p><p>Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg also said that the company would scale back costs and was investing in artificial intelligence tools to improve recommendations and ads, a sign Meta is buckling down to make money while working on its long-term ambitions to build the metaverse.</p><p><b>Mcdonald’s Revenue Tops Estimates, Fueled by Price Hikes and Overseas SamE-store Sales Growth</b></p><p>McDonald&#39;s Corp beat estimates for quarterly sales and profit on Thursday as the world&#39;s largest fast-food chain benefited from price increases in the United States and the launch of a new loyalty program.</p><p>Rising wages due to a tight labor market and soaring costs of ingredients such as chicken and beef have forced U.S. restaurant chains to announce a series of price hikes, which have seen little resistance from consumers so far.</p><p><b>VW Mulls Expanding U.S. Plant to Build ID.Buzz, Electric Pickup</b></p><p>Volkswagen is considering an expansion of its Chattanooga plant in the United States to produce an electric pick-up and the new ID.Buzz microbus, a source close to the matter told Reuters on Thursday.</p><p>The move would help the German automaker grow its market share in North America.</p><p><b>Moderna Asks FDA to Clear Its Covid-19 Vaccine for Young Children</b></p><p>Moderna Inc. has asked U.S. health regulators to authorize the use of its Covid-19 vaccine in children ages 6 months to 5 years old.</p><p>The company said Thursday that it had submitted the request after a study showed the shot safely induced immune responses in the young age group.</p><p>If the regulators agree, one of the last remaining age groups still not eligible for Covid-19 vaccination in the U.S.—children under 5 years—could begin to receive the shots by summer.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","TWTR":"Twitter","LLY":"礼来","CMCSA":"康卡斯特",".DJI":"道琼斯","QCOM":"高通","NOK":"诺基亚","NOW":"ServiceNow","LUV":"西南航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MCD":"麦当劳",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","CAT":"卡特彼勒"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147036890","content_text":"Nasdaq futures jumped 1.7% on Thursday, as a surge in Meta Platforms shares after its strong results eased pressure on growth and technology stocks that have been battered on concerns about rising interest rates.The Facebook-parent rose 15% in premarket trading after it reported a stronger-than-expected profit and the social-networking site eked out user growth.read moreOther megacap stocks such as Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc and Tesla Inc rose between 1.4% and 2.2%.Gross domestic product unexpectedly declined 1.4% in the first quarter, marking an abrupt reversal for an economy coming off its best performance since 1984, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.The negative growth rate missed even the subdued Dow Jones estimate of a 1% gain for the quarter.A plethora of factors conspired to weigh against growth during the first three months of 2022.U.S. initial jobless claims fall 5,000 to 180,000 in latest week.Market SnapshotAt 08:35 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 181 points, or 0.54%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 47 points, or 1.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 214.25 points, or 1.65%.Pre-Market MoversMeta Platforms —— Shares of Facebook parent company Meta Platforms Inc. surged 15% during pre-market hours Thursday, a day after reporting its main platform added more users than projected in the first quarter, potentially staving off concerns that the company is losing momentum as a new generation flocks to younger sites like TikTok.Qualcomm —— Qualcomm Inc forecast third-quarter revenue above analyst expectations after beating second quarter revenue and profit estimates on Wednesday, largely due to its move to focus on a growing non-handset business to cushion a likely hit from slowing smartphone demand. Qualcomm shares rose about 6% in premarket trading Thursday.Teladoc Health —— Shares of Teladoc Health Inc. plunged 43% in premarket trading Thursday, after the telemedicine company took an impairment charge of more than $6.5 billion and slashed its full-year outlook.Twitter —— Twitter just reported earnings for the first quarter of 2022, in what could be one of its last reports as a public company after its board agreed to sell to Elon Musk for $44 billion. Shares of Twitter were up about 0.9% during premarket trading.PayPal —— PayPal Holdings Inc.’s vow to rein in costs and push to boost profits cheered investors even after executives lowered targets for the firm’s performance this year. PayPal shares gained 3.2% in premarket trading.Pinterest —— Pinterest Inc's first-quarter revenue and profit surpassed market estimates on Wednesday as the image-sharing platform benefited from higher ad spending by businesses, sending its shares about 8% higher in premarket trading Thursday.McDonald’s —— McDonald’s on Thursday reported better-than-expected revenue, fueled by price hikes in the U.S. and strong international sales growth. McDonald’s shares climbed 2% in premarket trading.Southwest Airlines —— Southwest Airlines Co reported a smaller adjusted quarterly loss on Thursday and said it expects to be \"solidly profitable\" for the year as a rebound in travel helped it offset disruptions in January due to the Omicron coronavirus variant. Southwest Airlines shares climbed 3% in premarket trading.Eli Lilly —— The drug maker's shares gained 3.5% in premarket trading after the company reported results from a clinical trial showing its obesity drug tirzepatide helped patients lose up to 22.5% of their weight. Eli Lilly also reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the first quarter and boosted its full-year revenue guidance.Comcast —— Comcast reported first-quarter earnings Thursday that beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines. While Comcast shares fell more than 1% in premarket trading.ServiceNow —— ServiceNow Inc.’s stock jumped more than 8% in premarket trading Thursday after the software company reported fiscal first-quarter revenue that topped Wall Street forecasts.Nokia —— Telecom equipment maker Nokia reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results on Thursday, helped by demand for 5G gear despite supply chain constraints and higher prices of components. Nokia shares rose 3% in premarket trading.Caterpillar —— Shares of the global construction machine maker slid more than 1% despite Caterpillar beating top- and bottom-line estimates during the first quarter. The company earned $2.88 per share excluding items on $13.59 billion in revenue. Analysts were expecting the company to earn $2.60 per share on $13.4 billion in sales, according to estimates compiled by Refinitiv.Market NewsMeta’s Facebook Returns to User GrowthFacebook rebounded from a drop in users early this year and its parent Meta posted a profit ahead of Wall Street targets, defying low investor expectations with a quarterly report.Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg also said that the company would scale back costs and was investing in artificial intelligence tools to improve recommendations and ads, a sign Meta is buckling down to make money while working on its long-term ambitions to build the metaverse.Mcdonald’s Revenue Tops Estimates, Fueled by Price Hikes and Overseas SamE-store Sales GrowthMcDonald's Corp beat estimates for quarterly sales and profit on Thursday as the world's largest fast-food chain benefited from price increases in the United States and the launch of a new loyalty program.Rising wages due to a tight labor market and soaring costs of ingredients such as chicken and beef have forced U.S. restaurant chains to announce a series of price hikes, which have seen little resistance from consumers so far.VW Mulls Expanding U.S. Plant to Build ID.Buzz, Electric PickupVolkswagen is considering an expansion of its Chattanooga plant in the United States to produce an electric pick-up and the new ID.Buzz microbus, a source close to the matter told Reuters on Thursday.The move would help the German automaker grow its market share in North America.Moderna Asks FDA to Clear Its Covid-19 Vaccine for Young ChildrenModerna Inc. has asked U.S. health regulators to authorize the use of its Covid-19 vaccine in children ages 6 months to 5 years old.The company said Thursday that it had submitted the request after a study showed the shot safely induced immune responses in the young age group.If the regulators agree, one of the last remaining age groups still not eligible for Covid-19 vaccination in the U.S.—children under 5 years—could begin to receive the shots by summer.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887715275,"gmtCreate":1632099300997,"gmtModify":1676530699801,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/887715275","repostId":"1182753548","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1182753548","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632093446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182753548?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-20 07:17","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"前瞻：关注美联储利率决议！堃博医疗即将上市","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182753548","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"事件方面：美国将公布利率决定上限。美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将举行为期两天的货币政策会议，市场将密切关注美联储何时开始缩减资产购买计划的信号。\n\n\n数据方面：美联储利率决定(上限)、美国至9","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>事件方面：</b>美国将公布利率决定上限。美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将举行为期两天的货币政策会议，市场将密切关注美联储何时开始缩减资产购买计划的信号。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>数据方面：</b>美联储利率决定(上限)、美国至9月18日当周初请失业金人数、美国至9月17日当周EIA原油库存等值得关注。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>财报方面：</b>Adobe、Nike、联邦快递、高途、新东方等将陆续公布财报。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>新股方面：</b>堃博医疗将在港交所上市。\n</blockquote>\n<p>除了央行决议，投资者还要密切关注全球抗疫的最新进展、中东局势、美国政府债务上限、美国政府的加税和经济刺激计划等，这些基本面的消息和数据会给本的市场带来更大波动。接下来让我们细数本周重磅事件的时点。</p>\n<p><b>重要经济数据一览</b></p>\n<p><b>9月20日周一关键词：开盘情况，中国中秋节休市，美国房产指数</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/249cad0d1fc349a963c2046b613f748b\" tg-width=\"1071\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">根据沪港深三地中秋期间安排，9月19日到9月21日为内地法定假期，9月22日为香港公众假期，9月20日、9月21日A股休市，港股正常开市，9月22日A股开市，港股休市，9月23日起A港股市正常开市。</p>\n<p><b>经济数据方面，</b>投资者重点关注美国的房产市场指数。同时关注美股和美债的走势，从而找到市场情绪变化的方向。</p>\n<p><b>9月21日周二关键词：澳洲联储货币政策会议纪要，美国房市数据</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81529564792de14edd6f4181dfa8b247\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面，</b>关注美国房市数据。数据显示，7月份美国房价同比上涨18%，创该指数编制45年来最大的同比涨幅。当前的美国房价较2006年房地产泡沫时代高峰以来已增长逾41%。与此同时，房屋租赁价格也一路走高。</p>\n<p><b>财经事件方面，</b>关注澳洲联储公布9月货币政策会议纪要。澳洲联储在9月决议中，将基准利率及3年期国债收益率目标均维持在0.1％不变。澳洲联储强调， 加息条件最早要到2024年才可能出现。</p>\n<p><b>财报方面</b>，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SFIX\">Stitch Fix</a>等将公布财报。</p>\n<p><b>9月22日周三关键词：日本央行决议，EIA原油库存，美联储9月决议</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38cf13e2739bb97914526a632a78d618\" tg-width=\"1086\" tg-height=\"669\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面，</b>主要关注美国至9月17日当周EIA原油库存，中国至9月22日一年期贷款市场报价利率。</p>\n<p><b>事件方面，日本央行公布利率决议。</b>日本央行称，如果有必要，日本央行将会进一步放宽政策，短期、长期利率维持在目前或更低的水平。数据显示，截止到今年6月，日本持有美债总额达1.277万亿美元，是美国海外债券的第一大债主国。</p>\n<p><b>财报方面，</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GIS\">通用磨坊</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>等将公布财报。</p>\n<p><b>9月23日周四关键词：美国初请失业金和制造业PMI，美联储利率决定(上限)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e0bef211bd86260884b53453a2b0742\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"734\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面，美国至9月22日美联储利率决定(上限)。</b>联邦公开市场委员会(The Federal Open Market Committee ，简称 FOMC)通过举行讨论会议投票决定联邦基金利率，它们每年都要在华盛顿特区召开八次例行会议，其会议日程安排表每年都会向公众公开。利率的升降，反映了经济的好坏。</p>\n<p><b>事件方面，美联储FOMC公布利率决议，美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。</b>美联储是全世界最受瞩目的央行，他们最早有望在本月开启减少每月购债规模，这是去年新冠疫情爆发以来为刺激美国经济复苏而采取的非常规手段。但由于近期美国一些经济数据不及预期，因此美联储也可能会在今年晚些时候才开始行动。</p>\n<p><b>9月24日周五关键词：德国IFO商业景气指数，美国领先指标，美联储官员讲话</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/100bf8670e0bda28b08adad5fcba3b44\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面</b>，关注日本8月核心CPI年率、德国9月IFO商业景气指数等。</p>\n<p><b>事件方面</b>，<b>美联储主席鲍威尔、副主席克拉里达、理事鲍曼发表讲话。</b>对于判断美联储的政策走向很关键，因为这是美联储周三决议之后的克拉里达的首次表态。</p>\n<p><b>新股方面</b>，堃博医疗公布，公司于9月13日-16日招股，拟发行8935.5万股股份，其中香港发售占10%，国际发售占90%，另附有15%超额配股权；每股发售价17.20港元-18.70港元，预期将于9月24日（周五）开始在联交所开始买卖。</p>\n<p>招股书中显示，堃博医疗计划通过提高在现有医院中的销售额，以及加强医生教育和患者互动，渗透新的医院，来增强其在中国和全球介入性肺病学市场的影响力。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>前瞻：关注美联储利率决议！堃博医疗即将上市</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n前瞻：关注美联储利率决议！堃博医疗即将上市\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-20 07:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n <b>事件方面：</b>美国将公布利率决定上限。美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将举行为期两天的货币政策会议，市场将密切关注美联储何时开始缩减资产购买计划的信号。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>数据方面：</b>美联储利率决定(上限)、美国至9月18日当周初请失业金人数、美国至9月17日当周EIA原油库存等值得关注。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>财报方面：</b>Adobe、Nike、联邦快递、高途、新东方等将陆续公布财报。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>新股方面：</b>堃博医疗将在港交所上市。\n</blockquote>\n<p>除了央行决议，投资者还要密切关注全球抗疫的最新进展、中东局势、美国政府债务上限、美国政府的加税和经济刺激计划等，这些基本面的消息和数据会给本的市场带来更大波动。接下来让我们细数本周重磅事件的时点。</p>\n<p><b>重要经济数据一览</b></p>\n<p><b>9月20日周一关键词：开盘情况，中国中秋节休市，美国房产指数</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/249cad0d1fc349a963c2046b613f748b\" tg-width=\"1071\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">根据沪港深三地中秋期间安排，9月19日到9月21日为内地法定假期，9月22日为香港公众假期，9月20日、9月21日A股休市，港股正常开市，9月22日A股开市，港股休市，9月23日起A港股市正常开市。</p>\n<p><b>经济数据方面，</b>投资者重点关注美国的房产市场指数。同时关注美股和美债的走势，从而找到市场情绪变化的方向。</p>\n<p><b>9月21日周二关键词：澳洲联储货币政策会议纪要，美国房市数据</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81529564792de14edd6f4181dfa8b247\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面，</b>关注美国房市数据。数据显示，7月份美国房价同比上涨18%，创该指数编制45年来最大的同比涨幅。当前的美国房价较2006年房地产泡沫时代高峰以来已增长逾41%。与此同时，房屋租赁价格也一路走高。</p>\n<p><b>财经事件方面，</b>关注澳洲联储公布9月货币政策会议纪要。澳洲联储在9月决议中，将基准利率及3年期国债收益率目标均维持在0.1％不变。澳洲联储强调， 加息条件最早要到2024年才可能出现。</p>\n<p><b>财报方面</b>，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SFIX\">Stitch Fix</a>等将公布财报。</p>\n<p><b>9月22日周三关键词：日本央行决议，EIA原油库存，美联储9月决议</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38cf13e2739bb97914526a632a78d618\" tg-width=\"1086\" tg-height=\"669\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面，</b>主要关注美国至9月17日当周EIA原油库存，中国至9月22日一年期贷款市场报价利率。</p>\n<p><b>事件方面，日本央行公布利率决议。</b>日本央行称，如果有必要，日本央行将会进一步放宽政策，短期、长期利率维持在目前或更低的水平。数据显示，截止到今年6月，日本持有美债总额达1.277万亿美元，是美国海外债券的第一大债主国。</p>\n<p><b>财报方面，</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GIS\">通用磨坊</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>等将公布财报。</p>\n<p><b>9月23日周四关键词：美国初请失业金和制造业PMI，美联储利率决定(上限)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e0bef211bd86260884b53453a2b0742\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"734\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面，美国至9月22日美联储利率决定(上限)。</b>联邦公开市场委员会(The Federal Open Market Committee ，简称 FOMC)通过举行讨论会议投票决定联邦基金利率，它们每年都要在华盛顿特区召开八次例行会议，其会议日程安排表每年都会向公众公开。利率的升降，反映了经济的好坏。</p>\n<p><b>事件方面，美联储FOMC公布利率决议，美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。</b>美联储是全世界最受瞩目的央行，他们最早有望在本月开启减少每月购债规模，这是去年新冠疫情爆发以来为刺激美国经济复苏而采取的非常规手段。但由于近期美国一些经济数据不及预期，因此美联储也可能会在今年晚些时候才开始行动。</p>\n<p><b>9月24日周五关键词：德国IFO商业景气指数，美国领先指标，美联储官员讲话</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/100bf8670e0bda28b08adad5fcba3b44\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>经济数据方面</b>，关注日本8月核心CPI年率、德国9月IFO商业景气指数等。</p>\n<p><b>事件方面</b>，<b>美联储主席鲍威尔、副主席克拉里达、理事鲍曼发表讲话。</b>对于判断美联储的政策走向很关键，因为这是美联储周三决议之后的克拉里达的首次表态。</p>\n<p><b>新股方面</b>，堃博医疗公布，公司于9月13日-16日招股，拟发行8935.5万股股份，其中香港发售占10%，国际发售占90%，另附有15%超额配股权；每股发售价17.20港元-18.70港元，预期将于9月24日（周五）开始在联交所开始买卖。</p>\n<p>招股书中显示，堃博医疗计划通过提高在现有医院中的销售额，以及加强医生教育和患者互动，渗透新的医院，来增强其在中国和全球介入性肺病学市场的影响力。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46744ceebcd5f9f6cbe09f85295d7cfe","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182753548","content_text":"事件方面：美国将公布利率决定上限。美联储联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将举行为期两天的货币政策会议，市场将密切关注美联储何时开始缩减资产购买计划的信号。\n\n\n数据方面：美联储利率决定(上限)、美国至9月18日当周初请失业金人数、美国至9月17日当周EIA原油库存等值得关注。\n\n\n财报方面：Adobe、Nike、联邦快递、高途、新东方等将陆续公布财报。\n\n\n新股方面：堃博医疗将在港交所上市。\n\n除了央行决议，投资者还要密切关注全球抗疫的最新进展、中东局势、美国政府债务上限、美国政府的加税和经济刺激计划等，这些基本面的消息和数据会给本的市场带来更大波动。接下来让我们细数本周重磅事件的时点。\n重要经济数据一览\n9月20日周一关键词：开盘情况，中国中秋节休市，美国房产指数根据沪港深三地中秋期间安排，9月19日到9月21日为内地法定假期，9月22日为香港公众假期，9月20日、9月21日A股休市，港股正常开市，9月22日A股开市，港股休市，9月23日起A港股市正常开市。\n经济数据方面，投资者重点关注美国的房产市场指数。同时关注美股和美债的走势，从而找到市场情绪变化的方向。\n9月21日周二关键词：澳洲联储货币政策会议纪要，美国房市数据经济数据方面，关注美国房市数据。数据显示，7月份美国房价同比上涨18%，创该指数编制45年来最大的同比涨幅。当前的美国房价较2006年房地产泡沫时代高峰以来已增长逾41%。与此同时，房屋租赁价格也一路走高。\n财经事件方面，关注澳洲联储公布9月货币政策会议纪要。澳洲联储在9月决议中，将基准利率及3年期国债收益率目标均维持在0.1％不变。澳洲联储强调， 加息条件最早要到2024年才可能出现。\n财报方面，联邦快递、Adobe、Stitch Fix等将公布财报。\n9月22日周三关键词：日本央行决议，EIA原油库存，美联储9月决议经济数据方面，主要关注美国至9月17日当周EIA原油库存，中国至9月22日一年期贷款市场报价利率。\n事件方面，日本央行公布利率决议。日本央行称，如果有必要，日本央行将会进一步放宽政策，短期、长期利率维持在目前或更低的水平。数据显示，截止到今年6月，日本持有美债总额达1.277万亿美元，是美国海外债券的第一大债主国。\n财报方面，通用磨坊、高途、黑莓等将公布财报。\n9月23日周四关键词：美国初请失业金和制造业PMI，美联储利率决定(上限)经济数据方面，美国至9月22日美联储利率决定(上限)。联邦公开市场委员会(The Federal Open Market Committee ，简称 FOMC)通过举行讨论会议投票决定联邦基金利率，它们每年都要在华盛顿特区召开八次例行会议，其会议日程安排表每年都会向公众公开。利率的升降，反映了经济的好坏。\n事件方面，美联储FOMC公布利率决议，美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。美联储是全世界最受瞩目的央行，他们最早有望在本月开启减少每月购债规模，这是去年新冠疫情爆发以来为刺激美国经济复苏而采取的非常规手段。但由于近期美国一些经济数据不及预期，因此美联储也可能会在今年晚些时候才开始行动。\n9月24日周五关键词：德国IFO商业景气指数，美国领先指标，美联储官员讲话经济数据方面，关注日本8月核心CPI年率、德国9月IFO商业景气指数等。\n事件方面，美联储主席鲍威尔、副主席克拉里达、理事鲍曼发表讲话。对于判断美联储的政策走向很关键，因为这是美联储周三决议之后的克拉里达的首次表态。\n新股方面，堃博医疗公布，公司于9月13日-16日招股，拟发行8935.5万股股份，其中香港发售占10%，国际发售占90%，另附有15%超额配股权；每股发售价17.20港元-18.70港元，预期将于9月24日（周五）开始在联交所开始买卖。\n招股书中显示，堃博医疗计划通过提高在现有医院中的销售额，以及加强医生教育和患者互动，渗透新的医院，来增强其在中国和全球介入性肺病学市场的影响力。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054679664,"gmtCreate":1655388060058,"gmtModify":1676535627984,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054679664","repostId":"1175075343","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1175075343","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1655387468,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175075343?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 21:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175075343","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月16日，美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%，英伟达、AMD、阿斯麦跌超4%，英特尔跌近3%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>6月16日，美股芯片股集体走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光科技</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">阿斯麦</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>跌近3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99096fe68ff55e82b105991d287b1e0e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 21:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>6月16日，美股芯片股集体走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光科技</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">阿斯麦</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>跌近3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99096fe68ff55e82b105991d287b1e0e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a1a8c5698b6f32ee1637556a15bb35b","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","MU":"美光科技","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175075343","content_text":"6月16日，美股芯片股集体走低，美光科技跌超5%，英伟达、AMD、阿斯麦跌超4%，英特尔跌近3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055424017,"gmtCreate":1655304467739,"gmtModify":1676535608884,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055424017","repostId":"2243091930","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2243091930","pubTimestamp":1655303700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243091930?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ZIFT SOLUTIONS LAUNCHES INTEGRATION BETWEEN ZIFTONE AND MICROSOFT DYNAMICS 365","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243091930","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"CARY, N.C., June 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div>\n<p><span>CARY, N.C.</span>, <span>June 15, 2022</span> /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship management (PRM) and through-channel marketing automation (TCMA) software, today announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 to offer an integrated technology solution for partner programs. By eliminating the tracking of data in multiple platforms, companies with channel partner programs will now be able to manage data seamlessly between ZiftONE and Dynamics 365. Zift also announced it has earned co-sell ready status with Microsoft and will co-market solutions to Dynamics 365 customers. The new ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 product will also be available on Microsoft AppSource.</p>\n<div>\n<p>\n<img src=\"https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/1294823/Zift_Solutions_Logo.jpg\" title=\"(PRNewsfoto/Zift Solutions)\"/>\n</p>\n</div>\n<div contenteditable=\"false\">Zift Solutions announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 for an integrated solution for partner programs.</div><p>\"We are thrilled to announce the collaboration between Zift and Microsoft to deliver a Dynamics 365 capability that manages channel partners through our industry-leading ZiftONE platform,\" said Gordon Rapkin, CEO of Zift Solutions. \"By building partner management directly in Dynamics 365, the user experience for channel sales leaders, marketing leaders, and administrators is familiar and efficient, and delivers the full power of Zift's Partner Relationship Management (PRM) platform.\"</p>\n<p>With this integration, Dynamics 365 customers can now manage deals and users directly in Dynamics 365 without ever leaving their native environment. With a combination of channel expertise, powerful data tools, and a platform built for ease-of-use, channel programs will be empowered to see immediate ROI and dramatically improve their partner experience.</p>\n<p>This new solution includes all of ZiftONE's features: Dynamic, hyper-personalized, easy to use partner portal experience, powerful through-partner social media and email marketing campaigns, co-brandable video, comprehensive onboarding plans, easy-to-create online training, partner locator, deal registration, lead distribution and more.</p>\n<p>\"Microsoft is glad to be partnering with Zift Solutions to provide a partner relationship channel management system with a more seamless technology experience built on Dynamics 365,\" says Toby Bowers, General Manager, Industry, Applications &amp; Data Marketing at Microsoft Corp. \"By making it easier for partner programs to access their data in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> place, we are significantly reducing roadblocks that lead to friction and reduced ROI.\"</p>\n<p>Companies interested in adding ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 to their current Dynamics 365 instance can view the listing in the Microsoft AppSource to find out more.</p>\n<div aria-level=\"3\" role=\"heading\"><b>About Zift Solutions</b></div><p>Founded in 2006, Zift Solutions delivers Partner Relationship Management (PRM) and Channel Marketing Management. For more information, visit www.ziftsolutions.com.</p>\n<p>CONTACT: Heather BallSenior Director of Marketing<span>[email protected]</span></p>\n<div>\n</div>\n<p><img height=\"12\" src=\"https://c212.net/c/img/favicon.png?sn=CL90151&amp;sd=2022-06-15\" title=\"Cision\" width=\"12\"/> View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/zift-solutions-launches-integration-between-ziftone-and-microsoft-dynamics-365-301568730.html</p>\n<p>SOURCE Zift Solutions</p>\n</div> </div></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ZIFT SOLUTIONS LAUNCHES INTEGRATION BETWEEN ZIFTONE AND MICROSOFT DYNAMICS 365</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZIFT SOLUTIONS LAUNCHES INTEGRATION BETWEEN ZIFTONE AND MICROSOFT DYNAMICS 365\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 22:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20217518><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>CARY, N.C., June 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship management (PRM) and through-channel marketing automation (TCMA) software, today announced a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20217518\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4577":"网络游戏","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","MSFT":"微软","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20217518","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243091930","content_text":"CARY, N.C., June 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Zift Solutions, a leading provider of partner relationship management (PRM) and through-channel marketing automation (TCMA) software, today announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 to offer an integrated technology solution for partner programs. By eliminating the tracking of data in multiple platforms, companies with channel partner programs will now be able to manage data seamlessly between ZiftONE and Dynamics 365. Zift also announced it has earned co-sell ready status with Microsoft and will co-market solutions to Dynamics 365 customers. The new ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 product will also be available on Microsoft AppSource.\n\n\n\n\n\nZift Solutions announced a collaboration with Microsoft Dynamics 365 for an integrated solution for partner programs.\"We are thrilled to announce the collaboration between Zift and Microsoft to deliver a Dynamics 365 capability that manages channel partners through our industry-leading ZiftONE platform,\" said Gordon Rapkin, CEO of Zift Solutions. \"By building partner management directly in Dynamics 365, the user experience for channel sales leaders, marketing leaders, and administrators is familiar and efficient, and delivers the full power of Zift's Partner Relationship Management (PRM) platform.\"\nWith this integration, Dynamics 365 customers can now manage deals and users directly in Dynamics 365 without ever leaving their native environment. With a combination of channel expertise, powerful data tools, and a platform built for ease-of-use, channel programs will be empowered to see immediate ROI and dramatically improve their partner experience.\nThis new solution includes all of ZiftONE's features: Dynamic, hyper-personalized, easy to use partner portal experience, powerful through-partner social media and email marketing campaigns, co-brandable video, comprehensive onboarding plans, easy-to-create online training, partner locator, deal registration, lead distribution and more.\n\"Microsoft is glad to be partnering with Zift Solutions to provide a partner relationship channel management system with a more seamless technology experience built on Dynamics 365,\" says Toby Bowers, General Manager, Industry, Applications & Data Marketing at Microsoft Corp. \"By making it easier for partner programs to access their data in one place, we are significantly reducing roadblocks that lead to friction and reduced ROI.\"\nCompanies interested in adding ZiftONE for Microsoft Dynamics 365 to their current Dynamics 365 instance can view the listing in the Microsoft AppSource to find out more.\nAbout Zift SolutionsFounded in 2006, Zift Solutions delivers Partner Relationship Management (PRM) and Channel Marketing Management. For more information, visit www.ziftsolutions.com.\nCONTACT: Heather BallSenior Director of Marketing[email protected]\n\n\n View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/zift-solutions-launches-integration-between-ziftone-and-microsoft-dynamics-365-301568730.html\nSOURCE Zift Solutions","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055425687,"gmtCreate":1655304394149,"gmtModify":1676535608892,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055425687","repostId":"1183345309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183345309","pubTimestamp":1655275365,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183345309?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 14:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储加息75个基点成华尔街共识，美股离筑底还有多远？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183345309","media":"第一财经","summary":"纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员","content":"<div>\n<p>纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员安德森（Timothy Anderson）向第一财经记者解释道，10日出炉的5月消费者价格指数（CPI）和6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数明确显示，美国民众最关心的通胀问题仍在恶化。“联储官员必须向消费者...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"dyvj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储加息75个基点成华尔街共识，美股离筑底还有多远？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储加息75个基点成华尔街共识，美股离筑底还有多远？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 14:42 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员安德森（Timothy Anderson）向第一财经记者解释道，10日出炉的5月消费者价格指数（CPI）和6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数明确显示，美国民众最关心的通胀问题仍在恶化。“联储官员必须向消费者...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101444082.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183345309","content_text":"纽交所交易员安德森说：“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”从50个基点到75个基点，美联储加息预期似乎在一夜之间就发生了巨变，投资者也似乎朝夕之间就完成了心理建设。“突然间，市场就达成了共识。”纽交所交易员安德森（Timothy Anderson）向第一财经记者解释道，10日出炉的5月消费者价格指数（CPI）和6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数明确显示，美国民众最关心的通胀问题仍在恶化。“联储官员必须向消费者和投资者表态，抗通胀，他们是认真的。”安德森认为，“认真”的表现形式就是扩大加息的幅度。截至第一财经记者发稿时，芝商所利率观察工具（FedWatch Tool）显示，押注15日美联储加息75个基点的概率由前一日的34.6%骤然升至95.8%，而一周前，仅为3.9%。高盛、摩根大通、富国银行、德意志银行、巴克莱和杰夫瑞等多家机构均预测，美联储将在15日后宣布75个基点加息，若预测准确，这将成1994年以来美联储最大幅度的单次加息。6月加息75个基点的概率高达95.8%（图源：芝商所官网）纠错？美联储以往通常尽可能与市场充分沟通，避免市场震荡。在6月4日开始的静默期之前，包括鲍威尔在内的不少美联储官员表示支持本周加息50个基点，并在7月再次加息50个基点。那么，市场为何认为美联储将会“食言”？券商OANDA高级市场分析师莫亚（Edward Moya）对第一财经记者表示，美联储转变态度实则是纠正错误。“一直以来，鲍威尔对通胀存在错判，如果美联储再不积极加息，恐有政策失误的风险。”他称，美联储正试图避免上世纪70年代犯过的错误，75个基点的加息幅度将是向正确的政策方向迈出一步。对冲基金Pershing Square创始人阿克曼（Bill Ackman）则认为，这将是美联储挽回市场信心的机会。他表示，美联储允许通胀失控的现实，令股市和信贷市场对美联储失去信心，他甚至认为，6月、7月及随后的议息会议加息100个基点会是更好的方案。“美联储越早达到终端利率，就能越快开始放松货币政策，市场就能越早实现复苏。”他说。靴子落地后，市场能否筑底？美股正在抢跑美联储，为更激进的加息前景重新定价。隔夜，标普500指数五连阴，继续于熊市区间下探，跌至2021年1月以来的低位，较其1月历史高位跌超22%。上次熊市期间，标普500指数较前高下跌33.9%才开始反弹。另有数据显示，标普500指数熊市平均持续时间超过18个月。美国银行最新月度调查显示，鹰派央行被投资者视为市场面临的最大尾部风险，全球经济衰退是第二大风险，基金经理对全球经济前景的悲观情绪达到历史之最，对滞胀的担忧达到2008年金融危机以来的最高水平。美银首席全球股票策略师哈奈特（Michael Hartnett）在报告中写道，华尔街悲观情绪堪忧。莫亚对第一财经记者表示，即便美联储靴子落地，短期之内华尔街将很难看到任何可能的反弹。安德森则认为，金融市场将欣然接受75个基点的加息，可能不会立刻看到美股反弹，但股市的下行压力应该会得到一定缓解。本周是央行超级周，除了美联储，英格兰银行、日本央行等都将公布利率决议，然而，各国都面临自身的经济挑战，在能源、食品价格飙升，供应链问题加剧等全球问题上越发难以独善其身。荷兰国际集团（ING）宏观研究全球主管布热斯基（Carsten Brzeski）表示：“各大央行好像自己都慌了，市场突然需要接受这个高利率的新时代，因此股市出现大幅调整，也是合理的。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056399638,"gmtCreate":1654936400824,"gmtModify":1676535537334,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056399638","repostId":"2242634960","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9050695669,"gmtCreate":1654179895751,"gmtModify":1676535407717,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9050695669","repostId":"1125287126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9024848020,"gmtCreate":1653863266160,"gmtModify":1676535350858,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9024848020","repostId":"1169637590","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169637590","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1653658233,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169637590?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-27 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"开盘 | 美股三大指数集体高开，拼多多涨超7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169637590","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨175.14点，涨幅1.49%，报11915.79点。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，Q1营收同比增长7%至238亿元，较上年同期扭亏为盈。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>涨超15%，一季度营收、运营利润均创新高。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap</a>跌超11%，公司一季度业绩不及预期并大幅下调2022财年全年指引。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>涨5.54%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCH\">Farfetch</a>涨超11%，Q1录得营收5.15亿美元，绩后获<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>维持增持评级。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>涨5.26%，Q1营收同比增长4.4%至5.17亿元，净利润环比增长超80%至1641.8万元。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>开盘 | 美股三大指数集体高开，拼多多涨超7%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n开盘 | 美股三大指数集体高开，拼多多涨超7%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-27 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨175.14点，涨幅1.49%，报11915.79点。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，Q1营收同比增长7%至238亿元，较上年同期扭亏为盈。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>涨超15%，一季度营收、运营利润均创新高。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPS\">Gap</a>跌超11%，公司一季度业绩不及预期并大幅下调2022财年全年指引。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>涨5.54%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCH\">Farfetch</a>涨超11%，Q1录得营收5.15亿美元，绩后获<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>维持增持评级。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>涨5.26%，Q1营收同比增长4.4%至5.17亿元，净利润环比增长超80%至1641.8万元。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{"BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4558":"双十一","PDD":"拼多多",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169637590","content_text":"5月27日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨66.72点，涨幅0.20%，报32703.91点；标普500指数开盘上涨32.42点，涨幅0.80%，报4090.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨175.14点，涨幅1.49%，报11915.79点。拼多多涨超7%，Q1营收同比增长7%至238亿元，较上年同期扭亏为盈。戴尔涨超15%，一季度营收、运营利润均创新高。Gap跌超11%，公司一季度业绩不及预期并大幅下调2022财年全年指引。迈威尔科技涨5.54%，Q1营收同比增74%至14.5亿美元，好于市场预期。Farfetch涨超11%，Q1录得营收5.15亿美元，绩后获摩根士丹利维持增持评级。荔枝涨5.26%，Q1营收同比增长4.4%至5.17亿元，净利润环比增长超80%至1641.8万元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9025651922,"gmtCreate":1653690940966,"gmtModify":1676535325801,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9025651922","repostId":"1157934587","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065919765,"gmtCreate":1652138859957,"gmtModify":1676535036265,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065919765","repostId":"2234884616","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2234884616","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1652138058,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2234884616?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-10 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 Ends below 4,000 for 1st Time since March 2021; Growth Shares Lead Decline","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2234884616","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Nasdaq drops more than 4%* Twitter falls as short-seller Hindenburg flags risk to Musk deal* Indexes: Dow down 2%, S&P 500 down 3.2%, Nasdaq down 4.3%NEW YORK, May 9 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended be","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Nasdaq drops more than 4%</p><p>* Twitter falls as short-seller Hindenburg flags risk to Musk deal</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 2%, S&amp;P 500 down 3.2%, Nasdaq down 4.3%</p><p>NEW YORK, May 9 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended below 4,000 for the first time since late March 2021 and the Nasdaq dropped more than 4% on Monday in a selloff led by mega-cap growth shares as investors grew more concerned about rising interest rates.</p><p>The Nasdaq closed at its lowest level since November 2020. Apple shares dropped 3.3% and were the biggest weight on the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500. Microsoft Corp dropped 3.7% and Tesla Inc fell 9.1%.</p><p>Investors are worried about how aggressive the Federal Reserve will need to be to tame inflation. The U.S. central bank last week hiked interest rates by 50 basis points.</p><p>Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest levels since November 2018 before easing on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Markets are digesting the start of a return to a more normal monetary policy environment,&#34; said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco in New York.</p><p>&#34;Moving more aggressively (on rates) raises the specter of a recession, especially with all of these complications - high inflation, Ukraine war, COVID-related supply chain disruptions,&#34; she said.</p><p>Investors have also been worried about an economic slowdown in China following a recent rise in coronavirus cases.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 653.67 points, or 1.99%, to 32,245.7, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 132.1 points, or 3.20%, to 3,991.24, its lowest close since March 31, 2021.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 521.41 points, or 4.29%, to 11,623.25.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is now down 16.3% for the year so far.</p><p>Among the hardest hit in the recent selloff have been technology and growth stocks, whose valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.</p><p>All S&amp;P 500 sectors ended lower on Monday except for consumer staples, which rose 0.1%.</p><p>The energy sector fell 8.3% as oil prices dropped.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 growth index was down 3.9% on the day, while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 2.5%.</p><p>Twitter Inc shares eased more than 3% as Hindenburg Research took a short position on the social media company&#39;s stock, saying the company&#39;s $44 billon deal to sell itself to Elon Musk has a significant risk of getting repriced lower.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 15.29 billion shares, compared with the 12.34 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 7.18-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 5.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 73 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 13 new highs and 1,217 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 Ends below 4,000 for 1st Time since March 2021; Growth Shares Lead Decline</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 Ends below 4,000 for 1st Time since March 2021; Growth Shares Lead Decline\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-10 07:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Nasdaq drops more than 4%</p><p>* Twitter falls as short-seller Hindenburg flags risk to Musk deal</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 2%, S&amp;P 500 down 3.2%, Nasdaq down 4.3%</p><p>NEW YORK, May 9 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended below 4,000 for the first time since late March 2021 and the Nasdaq dropped more than 4% on Monday in a selloff led by mega-cap growth shares as investors grew more concerned about rising interest rates.</p><p>The Nasdaq closed at its lowest level since November 2020. Apple shares dropped 3.3% and were the biggest weight on the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500. Microsoft Corp dropped 3.7% and Tesla Inc fell 9.1%.</p><p>Investors are worried about how aggressive the Federal Reserve will need to be to tame inflation. The U.S. central bank last week hiked interest rates by 50 basis points.</p><p>Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest levels since November 2018 before easing on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Markets are digesting the start of a return to a more normal monetary policy environment,&#34; said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco in New York.</p><p>&#34;Moving more aggressively (on rates) raises the specter of a recession, especially with all of these complications - high inflation, Ukraine war, COVID-related supply chain disruptions,&#34; she said.</p><p>Investors have also been worried about an economic slowdown in China following a recent rise in coronavirus cases.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 653.67 points, or 1.99%, to 32,245.7, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 132.1 points, or 3.20%, to 3,991.24, its lowest close since March 31, 2021.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 521.41 points, or 4.29%, to 11,623.25.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is now down 16.3% for the year so far.</p><p>Among the hardest hit in the recent selloff have been technology and growth stocks, whose valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.</p><p>All S&amp;P 500 sectors ended lower on Monday except for consumer staples, which rose 0.1%.</p><p>The energy sector fell 8.3% as oil prices dropped.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 growth index was down 3.9% on the day, while the S&amp;P 500 value index fell 2.5%.</p><p>Twitter Inc shares eased more than 3% as Hindenburg Research took a short position on the social media company&#39;s stock, saying the company&#39;s $44 billon deal to sell itself to Elon Musk has a significant risk of getting repriced lower.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 15.29 billion shares, compared with the 12.34 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 7.18-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 5.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 73 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 13 new highs and 1,217 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","AAPL":"苹果","SH":"标普500反向ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2234884616","content_text":"* Nasdaq drops more than 4%* Twitter falls as short-seller Hindenburg flags risk to Musk deal* Indexes: Dow down 2%, S&P 500 down 3.2%, Nasdaq down 4.3%NEW YORK, May 9 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended below 4,000 for the first time since late March 2021 and the Nasdaq dropped more than 4% on Monday in a selloff led by mega-cap growth shares as investors grew more concerned about rising interest rates.The Nasdaq closed at its lowest level since November 2020. Apple shares dropped 3.3% and were the biggest weight on the Nasdaq and the S&P 500. Microsoft Corp dropped 3.7% and Tesla Inc fell 9.1%.Investors are worried about how aggressive the Federal Reserve will need to be to tame inflation. The U.S. central bank last week hiked interest rates by 50 basis points.Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest levels since November 2018 before easing on Monday.\"Markets are digesting the start of a return to a more normal monetary policy environment,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco in New York.\"Moving more aggressively (on rates) raises the specter of a recession, especially with all of these complications - high inflation, Ukraine war, COVID-related supply chain disruptions,\" she said.Investors have also been worried about an economic slowdown in China following a recent rise in coronavirus cases.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 653.67 points, or 1.99%, to 32,245.7, while the S&P 500 lost 132.1 points, or 3.20%, to 3,991.24, its lowest close since March 31, 2021.The Nasdaq Composite dropped 521.41 points, or 4.29%, to 11,623.25.The S&P 500 is now down 16.3% for the year so far.Among the hardest hit in the recent selloff have been technology and growth stocks, whose valuations rely more heavily on future cash flows.All S&P 500 sectors ended lower on Monday except for consumer staples, which rose 0.1%.The energy sector fell 8.3% as oil prices dropped.The S&P 500 growth index was down 3.9% on the day, while the S&P 500 value index fell 2.5%.Twitter Inc shares eased more than 3% as Hindenburg Research took a short position on the social media company's stock, saying the company's $44 billon deal to sell itself to Elon Musk has a significant risk of getting repriced lower.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 15.29 billion shares, compared with the 12.34 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 7.18-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 5.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 73 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 13 new highs and 1,217 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062880044,"gmtCreate":1652051013188,"gmtModify":1676535017614,"author":{"id":"3576803992145384","authorId":"3576803992145384","name":"crazybee1235","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c499a430cc5a688f27aebff6afef12a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576803992145384","authorIdStr":"3576803992145384"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062880044","repostId":"2233559861","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2233559861","pubTimestamp":1652014810,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233559861?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 21:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股抛售潮愈演愈烈，这个数据会成为市场转折点吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233559861","media":"第一财经","summary":"华尔街又经历了动荡的五个交易日。美联储决议并未像3月那样成为短期市场的底部，三大股指延续了4月以来的调整步伐。风险资产抛售潮的背后，是投资者对美国经济软着陆的担忧。市场开始将目光转向了即将公布的消费者","content":"<div>\n<p>华尔街又经历了动荡的五个交易日。美联储决议并未像3月那样成为短期市场的底部，三大股指延续了4月以来的调整步伐。风险资产抛售潮的背后，是投资者对美国经济软着陆的担忧。市场开始将目光转向了即将公布的消费者物价指数（CPI），数据对通胀预期的影响可能会打压资金对于加息路径的猜测，进而为持续下跌的市场带来喘息机会。通胀预期博弈升温美联储议息会议无疑是近期最大焦点，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）决定将联邦...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101405369.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"dyvj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股抛售潮愈演愈烈，这个数据会成为市场转折点吗？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股抛售潮愈演愈烈，这个数据会成为市场转折点吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 21:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101405369.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>华尔街又经历了动荡的五个交易日。美联储决议并未像3月那样成为短期市场的底部，三大股指延续了4月以来的调整步伐。风险资产抛售潮的背后，是投资者对美国经济软着陆的担忧。市场开始将目光转向了即将公布的消费者物价指数（CPI），数据对通胀预期的影响可能会打压资金对于加息路径的猜测，进而为持续下跌的市场带来喘息机会。通胀预期博弈升温美联储议息会议无疑是近期最大焦点，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）决定将联邦...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101405369.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528f1b5f95c1aa85d740d858963e7e8f","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101405369.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2233559861","content_text":"华尔街又经历了动荡的五个交易日。美联储决议并未像3月那样成为短期市场的底部，三大股指延续了4月以来的调整步伐。风险资产抛售潮的背后，是投资者对美国经济软着陆的担忧。市场开始将目光转向了即将公布的消费者物价指数（CPI），数据对通胀预期的影响可能会打压资金对于加息路径的猜测，进而为持续下跌的市场带来喘息机会。通胀预期博弈升温美联储议息会议无疑是近期最大焦点，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）决定将联邦基金利率上调至0.75%-1.00%，这也是2000年以来首次加息50个基点。与此同时，缩减资产负债表计划也随之公布，美联储计划在9月将缩表规模提升至950亿美元，这是历史上最快的缩表周期之一。通过收紧货币政策，美联储希望在实现控制通胀的同时，避免经济衰退的发生。在一季度国内生产总值（GDP）意外回落后，本周公布的包括制造业、服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）、贸易逆差等数据，都在显示美国经济动能有进一步放缓的迹象。牛津经济研究院高级经济学家施瓦茨（Bob Schwartz）在接受第一财经记者采访时表示，高涨的物价问题仍然是美联储的主要担忧，快速上涨的商品和服务价格，正在侵蚀美国家庭收入，对消费者信心形成了负面影响。考虑到供应链瓶颈和地缘政治因素，美联储想要在政策和经济之间找到平衡点，正面临巨大挑战。货币政策开始对信贷市场产生冲击。房地美上周报告称，30年期抵押贷款利率达到5.27%，比此前一周上升17个基点，为2009年以来的最高水平。从近两周公布的成屋销售、新屋开工等数据看，新一轮加息周期和即将开始的缩表周期，让买房者在不断上涨的房价面前开始望而却步。值得注意的是，美联储加息后，高涨的通胀预期并未随之明显降温。虽然美联储主席鲍威尔在发布会上称，并未对75个基点加息“积极考虑”，根据芝加哥商品交易所（CME）利率观察工具FedWatch的最新数据，投资者认为6月加息75基点的可能性高达83%，而美联储上一次这么做还是在1994年11月。在外界看来，未来通胀的走向将很大程度上决定美联储的加息路径。最新公布的非农就业报告显示，劳动力市场需求依然强劲，但小时薪资增速较上月有所放缓。施瓦茨认为，随着储蓄率下降和管制措施放松，美国劳动力市场供应增加将给工资增长带来下行压力，这有望印证鲍威尔对“工资-价格螺旋”的风险评估。市场已经把目光转向下周将公布的CPI，如果增速能从此前创造的40年高位回落的话，通胀预期的有效降温可能缓解美联储的政策压力。施瓦茨告诉第一财经记者，他认为75个基点的加息幅度过于激进，更倾向于美联储将在未来两次会议继续加息50个基点，以避免出现政策收紧过快冲击经济的情况。市场反弹是否临近美联储加息周期的冲击波仍在延续，芝加哥期权交易所市场波动性指数（VIX）本周一度冲击年内新高。目前道指已经连跌六周，标普500指数自2011年以来首次出现周线五连阴的情况。科技股持续表现不佳，截至6日收盘，纳指较去年11月历史高点已经回撤近25%。政策预期不断推高美债收益率，基准10年期美债上周一度触及突破3.10%，冲击了其依赖现金流的估值体系。美国投资公司爱德华琼斯(EdwardJones)的投资策略师库尔卡法斯（Angelo Kourkafas）表示：“成长股表现不佳与实际收益率的上升直接相关，而目前实际收益率已经处于正区间。其实问题不仅在于不同利率制度带来的估值压力，还在于相关需求有所提前，这是本财报季相关板块所表现出的主要趋势之一。”市场动荡也打压了投资者情绪。美国个人投资者协会（AAII）最新每周调查显示，个人投资者对未来六个月前景“看跌”的比例上升至59.4%，为2009年以来的最高水平。另一项情绪指标——市场恐惧与贪婪指数已经连续第四周处于恐慌区间。投资者继续抛售各类风险资产。金融市场数据和基础设施提供商路孚特（Refinitiv Lipper）的数据显示，截至5月4日的一周内，美国投资者抛售了价值55.2亿美元的债券基金，连续净卖出达到17周，股票基金净流出37.6亿美元，其中成长型基金卖出39.3亿美元。避险情绪推动下，本周货币市场基金录得净买入26.3亿美元。美股连续调整后，不少资金在衍生品市场上为超跌反弹摩拳擦掌。根据嘉信理财为第一财经记者提供的数据，过去一周，VIX看涨期权和看跌期权未平仓量分别环比增长1.8%和14.7%，与此同时，标普500指数看涨期权未平仓量增长2.6%，看跌期权回落1.5%，两者都显示，投资者在押注短期美股将企稳回升。不过，不少华尔街机构认为，本轮市场调整的低点尚未出现。高盛首席经济学家哈齐乌斯（Jan Hatzius）上周预计，美股将出现震荡下跌的走势。他在报告中写道：“如果我们短期不会出现衰退的预测是正确的，那么今年迄今为止看到的模式可能会继续下去：只要衰退不正式出现，股市就会不断探底反抽，同时利率曲线和大宗商品价格会随着时间的推移继续走高。”文末，让我们看看市场将有哪些重要事件及重要财报吧！下周前瞻 | 美国4月CPI即将揭晓；西方石油、理想汽车财报来袭周一，佛诞翌日，港股休市，美股正常开市。周二起，港股开始交易。经济数据方面，中国4月贸易帐、货币供应数据、美国批发销售数据将公布。周二，经济数据方面，美国4月NFIB小型企业信心指数、中国4月全社会用电量等数据将公布。事件方面，FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯将发表讲话。周三，经济数据方面，中国4月CPI/PPI、美国4月CPI等重要经济数据将公布。新股方面，云康集团新股申购结束。周四，经济数据方面，美国4月PPI、美国当周初请失业金人数等数据将公布。周五，经济数据方面，美国4月进口物价指数、5月密歇根大学消费者信心指数等数据将公布。事件方面，2023年FOMC票委、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利将就能源和通胀发表讲话。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}