股匯紅不讓 personal page - To The Moon

股匯紅不讓

股匯紅不讓

縱橫全球股市投機員

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股匯紅不讓

2023-12-28

Nice Game，Nice Play

@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅

股匯紅不讓

2023-12-28

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-11-08

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-11-07

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-11-07

Nice Game，Nice Play

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!

股匯紅不讓

2023-11-06

Nice Game, Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-10-30

nice game， good play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-26

Nice Game, Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-25

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-24

Nice Game， Nice play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-23

Nice Game， Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-22

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-22

Nice Game， Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-21

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-20

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-19

Nice Game，Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-18

Nice Game， Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-17

Nice Game， Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-16

Nice Game, Nice Play

股匯紅不讓

2023-06-16

Nice Game, Nice Play

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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09:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"股东大会召开在即，一起看看“股神”去年的预言准确吗","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183306546","media":"第一财经","summary":"长期来看，从1965年至2020年，伯克希尔的复合年增长率为20%，大幅跑赢标普500指数10.2%的增幅。美东时间5月1日下午1:30（北京时间5月2日凌晨1:30），伯克希尔哈撒韦公司（Berks","content":"<div>\n<p>长期来看，从1965年至2020年，伯克希尔的复合年增长率为20%，大幅跑赢标普500指数10.2%的增幅。美东时间5月1日下午1:30（北京时间5月2日凌晨1:30），伯克希尔哈撒韦公司（Berkshire Hathaway）2021年年度股东大会将在洛杉矶举行。和2020年一样，2021年年会依旧是虚拟会议。在1:30至5:00的三个半小时内，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼CEO沃伦•巴菲特(...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101039869.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"dyvj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>股东大会召开在即，一起看看“股神”去年的预言准确吗</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n股东大会召开在即，一起看看“股神”去年的预言准确吗\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-01 09:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101039869.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>长期来看，从1965年至2020年，伯克希尔的复合年增长率为20%，大幅跑赢标普500指数10.2%的增幅。美东时间5月1日下午1:30（北京时间5月2日凌晨1:30），伯克希尔哈撒韦公司（Berkshire Hathaway）2021年年度股东大会将在洛杉矶举行。和2020年一样，2021年年会依旧是虚拟会议。在1:30至5:00的三个半小时内，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼CEO沃伦•巴菲特(...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101039869.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f048cd16e2a715deb6f552f342ff7e6","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101039869.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183306546","content_text":"长期来看，从1965年至2020年，伯克希尔的复合年增长率为20%，大幅跑赢标普500指数10.2%的增幅。美东时间5月1日下午1:30（北京时间5月2日凌晨1:30），伯克希尔哈撒韦公司（Berkshire Hathaway）2021年年度股东大会将在洛杉矶举行。和2020年一样，2021年年会依旧是虚拟会议。在1:30至5:00的三个半小时内，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼CEO沃伦•巴菲特(Warren Buffett)和他的“黄金搭档”查理•芒格(Charlie Munger)将回答投资者疑问，并分享其关于商业和经济的精辟观点。大会即将召开之际，让我们先来回顾一下股神去年的“预言”是否准确吧？坚持价值投资这并非仅仅是巴菲特2020年的看法，而是其多年来实践的投资准则。在今年写给股东的信中，巴菲特对价值投资也是信心十足。他称：“年复一年，股市都在波动。我和查理·芒格始终相信，随着时间的推移，我们将获得可观的收益资本。”事实也确实如此。根据伯克希尔官网发布的2020年投资成绩单，其2020年全年归属于股东的净利润为425.21亿美元，比2019年的814.17亿美元同比下降近48%，几近“腰斩”。 但长期来看，从1965年至2020年，伯克希尔的复合年增长率为20%，大幅跑赢标普500指数10.2%的增幅，55年累计下来，伯克希尔上涨了2.8万倍，而标普的上涨幅度是235倍。永远不要做空美国去年新冠肺炎疫情肆虐时，巴菲特在2020年股东大会上喊出，“永远不要做空美国”，但他同时表示：“你可以押注美国，但你得小心你的押注方式。”巴菲特在2020年的投资颇为谨慎。尽管手握巨额现金储备，但伯克希尔哈撒韦全年却净卖出了80亿美元股票，包括一批石油股、航空股及高盛、摩根大通等公司股票。此外，在2020年股东大会召开时还未找到收购目标的伯克希尔哈撒韦，在2020年稍晚以100亿美元收购了美国天然气运输集团道明尼能源（Dominion Energy）的天然气管道业务，为其四年多来最大的一笔收购。巴菲特此前在股东大会上称，一直试图寻找所谓的“大象”或者说大型收购。道明尼能源公司是目前美国最大的能源生产商和运营商之一，拥有超过1000亿美元的资产，为美国20个州的超过700万家庭、企业提供电力和天然气。截至今年第一季度，该公司天然气相关业务营收占比35.39%，合计达到15.91亿美元。2月25日道明尼能源(股票代码：D)公布财报，公告显示公司2020财年年报归属于母公司普通股股东净利润为-4.01亿美元，同比下降129.53%；营业收入为141.72亿美元，同比下跌14.48%。道明尼能源的股价在去年累计下跌2.85%，也不及同期标普500指数累计上涨4.27%的表现。就2020年一年的表现来看，伯克希尔本身的市值增幅只有2.4%，而标普500指数的增幅高达18.4%，伯克希尔大幅跑输。这已经是伯克希尔连续第二年跑输标普500指数。巴菲特此前的收购也出现过失误。在2020年致股东信伊始，他便承认2016年高价收购PCC精密铸件公司是一个严重的错误。当时收购耗费了321亿美元，而去年疫情重创了航空业，造成飞机制造需求大减，伯克希尔不得不计提了近100亿美元的商誉减值。对看好的股票重仓持有巴菲特2021年致股东信透露，截至2020年12月31日，伯克希尔前十大重仓股如下：持股苹果（市值1204亿美元，持股占比5.4%）、美国银行（市值313亿美元）、可口可乐（市值219亿美元）、美国运通（市值183亿美元）、威瑞森通信（市值86亿美元）、穆迪（市值71.6亿美元）、美国合众银行（市值69亿美元）、比亚迪（市值58.97亿美元）、雪佛龙（市值40.96亿美元）、Charter通信（市值34.5亿美元）。截至4月26日，持仓前五的股票占其总仓位的约72%，第一持仓股苹果占比约为40%。巴菲特戏称苹果公司已成为伯克希尔的“第三业务”。而他对美国运通更是已重仓持有超过25年，自1998年以来就未大幅调整过仓位。转而看好科技股过去多年，巴菲特曾数次表示，自己不会购买科技股，因为看不懂科技公司是怎么赚钱的。但近年来，巴菲特和芒格的投资观念显然有了转变。最明显的就是伯克希尔第一大重仓股已为科技股龙头苹果。而苹果的表现也没有令巴菲特失望，去年一年内大涨82%，为伯克希尔贡献了不少投资收益。除了苹果外，伯克希尔哈撒韦还于去年9月云计算公司Snowflake刚刚上市时买入了2.5亿美元股票，当时曾引起市场热议，因为伯克希尔在过去54年从未“打新”过，而其首次“打新”就是对科技股。巴菲特对Snowflake的持股超612万股，占Snowflake总流通股数的15.2%。而Snowflake同样未令股神失望，上市首日收涨超112.87%，报255.45美元，令巴菲特在Snowflake上市时即获利超过8亿美元。去年12月8日盘中，Snowflake曾一度大涨10%至420美元上方，盘中市值飙升至1200亿美元左右，超过了市值约为1120亿美元的老牌IT公司IBM和市值接近1117亿美元的半导体巨头AMD。不过，随后其股价开始大幅回落，截至4月29日，报236.64美元。不担心银行体系去年的股东大会上，巴菲特称，目前来看，银行体系不会发生太大的问题。虽然能源公司或者消费者信贷可能会出现一些状况，但目前银行体系资本充足，一季度储备很多，所以银行业不是主要的担忧方向。可在实际操作层面，一直偏好银行股的巴菲特还是大幅减持了众多银行股。比如，根据其披露的13F报告，伯克希尔在去年第二季度大幅减持了摩根大通、纽约梅隆银行、美国合众银行、富国银行等银行股，并清仓了高盛。摩根大通和富国银行排入了其去年二季度的前五笔最大卖出交易，甚至超过其公开唱空的三家航空公司的卖出量。但另一方面，他去年曾在半个月内13次买入美国银行，而美国银行去年的表现的确可圈可点，2020年上涨逾20%，使巴菲特持有的10亿股增值80亿美元，达到近400亿美元。对航空股多转空与银行股一样，航空股在过去多年一直都是巴菲特的“心头好”。然而，受到疫情影响，在去年股东大会举办前，股神就在航空股上巨亏。仅以达美航空为例，伯克希尔去年2月底以每股45.48美元至47.14美元的价格买入97.65万股达美航空股票，斥资约4530万美元，持有的达美航空股份增至7188.7万股。然而在4月1日和2日，伯克希尔在22.96-26.04美元的价格区间内出售了1299万股达美航空股票，减持后持有5890万股，占总持股比例9.2%，这笔投资如果按24美元的出售价格计算，巴菲特亏损了48%。基于此，去年5月3日，巴菲特一举清仓了其持有的美国最大四家航空公司——美国航空、达美航空、美国西南航空和美联航的股票。他表示：“该行业发生了巨大的变化，未来显得模糊不清，尤其是旅游、航空、邮轮、酒店行业，所受影响巨大。现在要买航空公司股票风险更大。”但自那以后，航空股一路高歌猛进。在其清仓航空股仅一个月后，四大航空股就全线反弹。以美国航空为例，在巴菲特公开宣布清仓后的一个多月时间里，其股价反弹了90%。若拉长时间看，自2020年5月25日触底以来，美国航空和西南航空的股价截至4月29日均上涨了逾80%，美联航和达美航空也上涨了70%左右。看好中国投资机会尽管在去年的股东大会上，巴菲特未提及中国投资相关话题，但近年来，巴菲特和芒格不止一次表示，中国市场存在不少投资机会，正在逐步试水。早在2018年的股东大会上，巴菲特和查理·芒格就表示，美国的很多投资人错失了中国机会。2020年12月，芒格夸赞中国经济，同时还表示自己对中国头部公司也有非常成功的经验。他此前投资的比亚迪，为伯克希尔赚了逾50亿美元，12年大赚逾20倍。今年第一季度，芒格管理的报社Daily Journal又重仓买入16.5万股阿里巴巴股票，持仓市值3748.3万美元。而比亚迪是伯克希尔截至去年12月31日的第八大重仓股，12年来从未减持。截至去年底，伯克希尔持有2.25亿股比亚迪，市值为58.97亿美元。2008年9月，巴菲特以每股8港元的价格认购2.25亿股比亚迪公司H股，交易价格总金额约为18亿港元（约2.3亿美元）。以此计算，伯克希尔投资比亚迪股票共赚了56.64亿美元，投资回报率近25倍。外媒4月18日的报道称，巴菲特日前在接受专访时，提到投资比亚迪的原因时表示，比亚迪的发展潜力远超美国的特斯拉，在企业发展潜力和中国市场的双重加持下，比亚迪未来的发展前景非常好。美国市场的潜力已经被挖掘殆尽，而中国这个拥有14亿人口的单一市场却有着巨大的发展潜力，这一优势是全球罕见的。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357761148,"gmtCreate":1617303123984,"gmtModify":1704698596512,"author":{"id":"3578485569204872","authorId":"3578485569204872","name":"股匯紅不讓","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9163ac5ce8379c394bf24e2cb901d9de","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578485569204872","authorIdStr":"3578485569204872"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357761148","repostId":"1185840581","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238538309926912,"gmtCreate":1699266470142,"gmtModify":1699266473488,"author":{"id":"3578485569204872","authorId":"3578485569204872","name":"股匯紅不讓","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9163ac5ce8379c394bf24e2cb901d9de","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578485569204872","authorIdStr":"3578485569204872"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice 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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. 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