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2022-11-15

He

TSM Surged 11% in Morning Trading After Buffett Took a $5 Billion Stake in It

2022-11-15

Huh

Munger Says Crypto Is Rife With Fraud and Delusion and Praises Tesla's Success a "Minor Miracle"

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Ok

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Jj

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Huh

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Jj

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Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy

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Again

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Kk

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Kk

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Jj

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Oh

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Ohhh

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Huh

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Jj

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Kk

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Jj

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He

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Jj

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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSM Surged 11% in Morning Trading After Buffett Took a $5 Billion Stake in It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-15 22:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> surged 11% in morning trading after Buffett took a $5 billion stake in it.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e461891932d573b70ae8fe01647c58\" tg-width=\"837\" tg-height=\"842\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166351757","content_text":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing surged 11% in morning trading after Buffett took a $5 billion stake in it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969760850,"gmtCreate":1668524397770,"gmtModify":1676538070736,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huh","listText":"Huh","text":"Huh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969760850","repostId":"2283292775","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283292775","pubTimestamp":1668524093,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283292775?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-15 22:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Munger Says Crypto Is Rife With Fraud and Delusion and Praises Tesla's Success a \"Minor Miracle\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283292775","media":"Markets Insider","summary":"Charlie Munger ripped into cryptocurrencies, saying fraud and delusion are common in the industry.Regulators overlooked crypto's risks and should have banned it, Warren Buffett's business partner said","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13425b7e77780d08e60f445f8b3d4596\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><ul><li>Charlie Munger ripped into cryptocurrencies, saying fraud and delusion are common in the industry.</li><li>Regulators overlooked crypto&#39;s risks and should have banned it, Warren Buffett&#39;s business partner said.</li><li>Munger also contrasted the Fed with the Bank of Japan, and praised Elon Musk and Tesla.</li></ul><p>Warren Buffett&#39;s business partner has torn into cryptocurrencies once again, declaring the space is rife with fraud and delusion, and regulators have dropped the ball by not outlawing bitcoin and other digital assets.</p><p>Charlie Munger, a billionaire investor and the vice-chairman of Buffett&#39;s Berkshire Hathaway, also suggested the Federal Reserve is far less aggressive than the Bank of Japan. Moreover, he underscored Tesla&#39;s unlikely success and praised Elon Musk.</p><p>Here&#39;s what Munger told CNBC in an interview aired on Tuesday. He spoke days after Sam Bankman-Fried&#39;s digital-asset exchange, FTX, filed for bankruptcy:</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s partly fraud and partly delusion — that&#39;s a bad combination,&#34; Munger said about the crypto industry. &#34;People think this is a real asset, it&#39;s not a real asset,&#34; he added about the coins themselves.</p><p>The 98-year-old investor bemoaned the growing acceptance of crypto by Wall Street banks and hedge funds, and suggested financiers are far too eager to buy into the latest fad.</p><p>&#34;It pains me that in my own country I see people that once were regarded as very reputable people helping these things exist,&#34; he said. &#34;There are people who think that you&#39;ve got to be on every deal that&#39;s hot.&#34;</p><p>Munger added that it&#39;s &#34;crazy&#34; and &#34;demented&#34; to think someone can mint a new token that can turn a 12-year-old into a billion are overnight.</p><p>Buffett&#39;s right-hand man also suggested the novelty of crypto has meant regulators have failed to grasp its dangers. He criticized authorities for not banning crypto early on.</p><p>&#34;The danger flags are wagging so clearly,&#34; he said. &#34;None of this stuff should ever have been allowed.&#34;</p><p>Munger has previously compared crypto to a &#34;venereal disease&#34; and an &#34;open sewer,&#34; and said he wouldn&#39;t want someone in the space to marry into his family.</p><h2>The Fed, Elon Musk, and Tesla</h2><p>The world needs competent central banks, but the Fed is a &#34;mouse that hardly tries to do anything&#34; compared to the Bank of Japan, Munger said.</p><p>&#34;If we get in the kind of trouble Japan was in, of course we&#39;ll do the same damn thing,&#34; he said. The Japanese central bank has cut interest rates below zero in an effort to shore up economic growth in recent years.</p><p>On another note, Munger said he was surprised by Tesla&#39;s outsized success, and felt far more positively about Elon Musk&#39;s company than he does about bitcoin.</p><p>&#34;Tesla has made some real contributions to civilization,&#34; he said. &#34;Elon Musk has done some good things that other people couldn&#39;t do.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We haven&#39;t had a successful new auto company in a long, long time,&#34; Munger added. &#34;What Tesla has done in the car business is a minor miracle.&#34;</p><h2>US-China ties</h2><p>Munger underscored the value of a friendly US-China relationship, arguing America shouldn&#39;t be so threatened by the rise of the world power.</p><p>US purchases of Chinese imports helped the country grow and contributed to pulling over a billion people out of poverty, he said. A warm relationship between the two countries should be mutually beneficial, and the US should focus on keeping things friendly and striking win-win deals instead of fearing China&#39;s progress, he continued.</p><p>&#34;Why should a great civilization like ours care if a new civilization rises?&#34; Munger asked. &#34;It&#39;s always a mistake to envy people who are doing well.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"marketsinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Munger Says Crypto Is Rife With Fraud and Delusion and Praises Tesla's Success a \"Minor Miracle\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMunger Says Crypto Is Rife With Fraud and Delusion and Praises Tesla's Success a \"Minor Miracle\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 22:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/charlie-munger-warren-buffett-crypto-ftx-sbf-regulation-musk-fed-2022-11><strong>Markets Insider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Charlie Munger ripped into cryptocurrencies, saying fraud and delusion are common in the industry.Regulators overlooked crypto's risks and should have banned it, Warren Buffett's business partner said...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/charlie-munger-warren-buffett-crypto-ftx-sbf-regulation-musk-fed-2022-11\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/charlie-munger-warren-buffett-crypto-ftx-sbf-regulation-musk-fed-2022-11","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283292775","content_text":"Charlie Munger ripped into cryptocurrencies, saying fraud and delusion are common in the industry.Regulators overlooked crypto's risks and should have banned it, Warren Buffett's business partner said.Munger also contrasted the Fed with the Bank of Japan, and praised Elon Musk and Tesla.Warren Buffett's business partner has torn into cryptocurrencies once again, declaring the space is rife with fraud and delusion, and regulators have dropped the ball by not outlawing bitcoin and other digital assets.Charlie Munger, a billionaire investor and the vice-chairman of Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, also suggested the Federal Reserve is far less aggressive than the Bank of Japan. Moreover, he underscored Tesla's unlikely success and praised Elon Musk.Here's what Munger told CNBC in an interview aired on Tuesday. He spoke days after Sam Bankman-Fried's digital-asset exchange, FTX, filed for bankruptcy:\"It's partly fraud and partly delusion — that's a bad combination,\" Munger said about the crypto industry. \"People think this is a real asset, it's not a real asset,\" he added about the coins themselves.The 98-year-old investor bemoaned the growing acceptance of crypto by Wall Street banks and hedge funds, and suggested financiers are far too eager to buy into the latest fad.\"It pains me that in my own country I see people that once were regarded as very reputable people helping these things exist,\" he said. \"There are people who think that you've got to be on every deal that's hot.\"Munger added that it's \"crazy\" and \"demented\" to think someone can mint a new token that can turn a 12-year-old into a billion are overnight.Buffett's right-hand man also suggested the novelty of crypto has meant regulators have failed to grasp its dangers. He criticized authorities for not banning crypto early on.\"The danger flags are wagging so clearly,\" he said. \"None of this stuff should ever have been allowed.\"Munger has previously compared crypto to a \"venereal disease\" and an \"open sewer,\" and said he wouldn't want someone in the space to marry into his family.The Fed, Elon Musk, and TeslaThe world needs competent central banks, but the Fed is a \"mouse that hardly tries to do anything\" compared to the Bank of Japan, Munger said.\"If we get in the kind of trouble Japan was in, of course we'll do the same damn thing,\" he said. The Japanese central bank has cut interest rates below zero in an effort to shore up economic growth in recent years.On another note, Munger said he was surprised by Tesla's outsized success, and felt far more positively about Elon Musk's company than he does about bitcoin.\"Tesla has made some real contributions to civilization,\" he said. \"Elon Musk has done some good things that other people couldn't do.\"\"We haven't had a successful new auto company in a long, long time,\" Munger added. \"What Tesla has done in the car business is a minor miracle.\"US-China tiesMunger underscored the value of a friendly US-China relationship, arguing America shouldn't be so threatened by the rise of the world power.US purchases of Chinese imports helped the country grow and contributed to pulling over a billion people out of poverty, he said. A warm relationship between the two countries should be mutually beneficial, and the US should focus on keeping things friendly and striking win-win deals instead of fearing China's progress, he continued.\"Why should a great civilization like ours care if a new civilization rises?\" Munger asked. \"It's always a mistake to envy people who are doing well.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969127108,"gmtCreate":1668388581904,"gmtModify":1676538048088,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969127108","repostId":"1190456060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190456060","pubTimestamp":1668302284,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190456060?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190456060","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF  that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday  - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Large 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.</li><li>Major bottoms require a policy change.</li><li>The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d234d2c3a6fdd66410e8c4fdc86a25\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>gonin/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The top 20: daily returns for S&amp;P500</h2><p>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&amp;P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&amp;P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let&#39;s first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&amp;P500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a00554a6ad210b0ab26216de0667def\" tg-width=\"927\" tg-height=\"1314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see from the list above,</p><ul><li>12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.</li><li>8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.</li><li>2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.</li></ul><p>Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&amp;P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.</p><h2>The major bottom thesis</h2><p>The major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.</p><p>The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.</p><p>As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed&#39;s monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed&#39;s tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.</p><p>The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It&#39;s true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.</p><p>However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether &#34;something will break&#34; during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.</p><h2>The recessionary selloff</h2><p>The S&amp;P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.</p><p>Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.</p><p>Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ef81e28bf62d769ca5f75f29feb339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FRED</span></p><p>Based on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.</p><h2>Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?</h2><p>The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.</p><p>The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.</p><p>But don&#39;t count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.</p><p>But don&#39;t expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it&#39;s more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.</p><h2>It&#39;s a bear market rally</h2><p>We are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of &#34;things breaking&#34; like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.</p><p>Bear market rallies happen during the &#34;in-between periods&#34;, so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don&#39;t think anybody expects this over the near term. Don&#39;t fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.</p><h2>SPY sector analysis</h2><p>AllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d11bae7fc6e9bba3dee9e588bd902bb1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SelectSectorSPDR</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bear Market Rally Or A Major Bottom?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556371-spy-bear-market-rally-or-a-major-bottom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190456060","content_text":"SummaryLarge 1-day rallies are usually associated with the bear market rallies.Major bottoms require a policy change.The Fed is still in inflation-fighting mode.gonin/iStock via Getty ImagesThe top 20: daily returns for S&P500The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) that tracks the S&P500 soared by 5.5% Thursday (11/10/2022) - and almost broke into the top 20 daily S&P500 returns in history - since the 1920s. So, what doesit mean? Is this just a bear market rally, or a signal of the major bottom. Let's first evaluate the top 20 list of the daily rates of return for the S&P500:As you can see from the list above,12 out 20 top daily returns were the bear market rallies, and 8 out of these 12 were during the 1929-1932 bear market and the Great Depression.8 out of 20 were the near-bottoms, bottoms, or after-bottoms, and 6 of these 8 were during the bottom associated with the 1932 Great Depression bottom.2 out of 8 bottoms were associated with the bottoms of the sharp corrections, the 1987 and the 2020 bottom. The 1987 correction was not associated with a recession, and it is generally considered as a technical in nature. The 2020 bottom was associated with the extraordinary events related to covid19 and the monetary and fiscal covid stimuli.Based on the historical evidence, the 5.6% daily spike in S&P500 (SPX) is either a signal of a major bottom or just another bear market rally.The major bottom thesisThe major bottom thesis requires an actual bear market capitulation, such as the 1932 bottom, the 2003 bottom or 2009 bottom. In each of these cases, there was a clear policy response to stimulate the economy, both monetary and fiscal.The 11/10/22 daily spike was in response to the positive surprise in the CPI inflation, which raised the hope of the Fed pivot - or a less aggressive monetary policy tightening.As I previously explained, the full bear market has3 stages:1) the liquidity selloff in response to the Fed's monetary policy tightening, 2) the recessionary selloff caused by the Fed's tightening, and 3) the credit crunch (or a financial crisis) triggered by the deep recession.The bullish case assumes that the current bear market ended with the Phase 1 - or with the peak Fed hawkishness. It's true, we are likely past the peak inflation, and thus the peak hawkishness.However, the question is whether there is a Phase 2 coming - or a recessionary selloff, and whether \"something will break\" during the process and cause the Phase 3 and the credit crunch.The recessionary selloffThe S&P500 PE ratio after the 11/10 spike is 20.58. The market is still overvalued and not priced for a recession.Is the recession coming? The spread between the 10Y Treasury Bond yield and the 3-Month Treasury Bill yield is the most reliable and the Fed-favored recession indicator, and once it inverts, the recession becomes almost a certainty.Currently, the 10y-3mo spread is deeply inverted at -0.46%. Here is the chart:FREDBased on yield curve spread indicator, the recession is coming, and the market is not priced for it - based on the PE ratio of over 20. Thus, the current bear market has not bottomed yet, and the next Phase of the bear market is coming.Why is the 10Y-3mo curve inverted? Why is this signaling a recession?The 10Y-3mo spread is inverted because the Fed is hiking the short-term interest rates above the long-term interest rates. Why? To cause a recession to bring the inflation down.The market hopes that the Fed will slow down with the interest rates hikes, because the inflation has peaked. Too late. The damage has been done. The Fed could even stop after the December 50bpt hike, the 10y-3mo spread has already inverted.But don't count on the Fed to pause yet. If the core CPI printed today 4.3% (instead of actual 6.3%), and that was expected to persist, the Fed would still have to further hike. The target is 2% inflation.But don't expect inflation to sharply fall either - without a deep recession. The economic war with China is still active, and it's more likely to escalate. This is inflationary. The war in Ukraine is still active and it's more likely to escalate. This is also inflationary. The unemployment rate in the US is still near record lows, and this is inflationary. The only thing the Fed can influence is the US unemployment rate - by inducing a recession.It's a bear market rallyWe are not at a major bottom; we are possibly in-between the Phase 1 selloff and a Phase 2 recessionary selloff. There are already signs of \"things breaking\" like the cryptocurrencies, which could lead to the Phase 3 selloff.Bear market rallies happen during the \"in-between periods\", so this bear market rally could continue. The bottom will be in-place when the Fed wants to the bottom to be in place - this will be the pivot the bulls are waiting: the Fed slashing interest rates and resuming QE. I don't think anybody expects this over the near term. Don't fight the Fed. The bear market rally is the opportunity to sell or re-short.SPY sector analysisAllSPYsectors were up significantly on 11/10/2022, led by the beaten down technology sector (XLK), the interest rate sensitive real estate sector (XLRE) and the cyclical discretionary sector (XLY). These sectors should not lead pre-recession, while the Fed is trying to cool off economy.SelectSectorSPDR","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960665719,"gmtCreate":1668143931932,"gmtModify":1676538020085,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960665719","repostId":"2282438291","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2282438291","pubTimestamp":1668136480,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282438291?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-11 11:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Meta Went From a Trillion-Dollar Company to Mass Layoffs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282438291","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Meta’s (META) recent mass layoff marks a turning point for a company whose business model once seeme","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Meta’s (META) recent mass layoff marks a turning point for a company whose business model once seemed untouchable despite years of controversies over privacy and Russian election interference.</p><p>While some might blame Meta’s fall on CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s obsession with the immersive online world known as the metaverse, that’s only one factor that helped send its stock price plummeting 70% in the last year. Other major blows include the rise of short-form video platform TikTok, Apple privacy changes that hurt advertising revenue, and a lack of Gen Z users.</p><p>“The company literally has one foot in one direction, which is the metaverse, and another foot in short form video trying to compete with TikTok, and it&#39;s not doing either particularly well at the moment,” Forrester Research Director Mike Proulx told Yahoo Finance.</p><h2><b>TikTok’s rise, and a graying Facebook</b></h2><p>Meta faces threats from both its own aging user base and the rise of TikTok, a Chinese app with more than 1 billion monthly active users.</p><p>The key to TikTok’s success is its short-form video format and algorithmically driven For You page, which serves up a stream of videos designed to mesmerize you. As TikTok rose, Meta focused on taking on rival Snapchat, aping its ephemeral video features. TikTok continued perfecting its algorithm and creating a new destination for Gen. Z users.</p><p>Meta’s attempt to take on TikTok’s short-form video, Reels, isn’t catching on with those younger users either</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0814611adea0bbc6320de41ca8ebd8f0\" tg-width=\"5472\" tg-height=\"3648\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>TikTok is eating into Meta&#39;s performance with younger audiences. (Image: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports)USA TODAY USPW / reuters</span></p><p>“We know that meta has a Gen Z problem,” Proulx explained. “The market share for Reels amongst Gen Z is far lower than that of tech TikTok.”</p><p>According to Forrester, just 40% of teens between 12 and 17 say they use Facebook weekly — down from 48% in 2021. Sixty-one percent of those teens say they use Instagram weekly, and 69% use TikTok.</p><p>An August Pew Research Center survey found that just 32% of teens use the main Facebook app, while 62% say they use Instagram. TikTok is pulling in 67% of teens.</p><p>Unfortunately for Meta, TikTok continues to gain traction among both users and advertisers.</p><p>“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> years ago it wasn’t clear that TikTok was going to be as dominant as it is,” Julie Biel, portfolio manager and senior research analyst Kayne Anderson Rudnick, told Yahoo Finance Live. “They’re kind of eating [Meta’s] lunch, and seeing an economic downturn, we shouldn’t be surprised that advertisers are pulling back spending [at Meta].”</p><h2><b>The economy and Apple are squeezing Meta’s moneymaker</b></h2><p>The weakened economy is also hammering Meta, which generates the vast majority of its revenue through online advertising. One of the first line items companies cut as part of their cost-savings measures is their ad budgets — directly impacting Meta’s bottom line.</p><p>Meta is also still dealing with the fallout from Apple’s (AAPL) iOS privacy changes called App Tracking Transparency. The feature, which Apple rolled out in 2021, lets users choose whether apps track them across third-party apps and websites. Before the ad market started drying up, Zuckerberg warned that Apple’s privacy changes would kill digital advertising.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1918be94ff9d184ac8e862cba07051aa\" tg-width=\"5500\" tg-height=\"3669\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Apple CEO Tim Cook has instituted iOS privacy changes that have taken a bite out of Meta&#39;s bottom line. REUTERS/Andrew KellyAndrew Kelly / reuters</span></p><p>The slowing economy and Apple’s privacy changes combined to create a bleak couple of quarters for Meta. In the second quarter of this year, it reported its first year-over-year drop in sales — and it reported its second-ever decline the following quarter.</p><h2><b>Meta is plowing cash into a massive gamble</b></h2><p>Even with declining revenue growth, Zuckerberg continues to put pressure on the company by steering billions of dollars towards his plans for the metaverse.</p><p>In 2021, Meta spent $10 billion on its Reality Labs division, which builds out the firm’s metaverse hardware and software. Meta has already spent more than $9 billion on the project so far this year. During Meta’s recent third-quarter earnings call, CFO Dave Wehner said metaverse spending will increase even more in 2023.</p><p>These billions will go to fund an endeavor that people might never even sign up for. According to The Wall Street Journal, Meta’s “Horizon Worlds” is, so far, a dud. Meta initially wanted to have 500,000 users in the app by the end of 2022, but it scaled that back to 280,000. That’s because there are fewer than 200,000 running around the lonely digital domain.</p><p>In October, Zuckerberg suggested the metaverse could also become a virtual workspace, but experts remain skeptical of the Meta CEO&#39;s business case for Reality Labs.</p><p>“They’ve been trying to convince us that the business use case for VR is really there, and I have yet to have someone really explain it to me in a way where the economic model makes a lot of sense,” Biel said. “I don’t think anyone really wants to sit in a VR space and conduct office meetings. They’re already bad enough as it is.”</p><p>While Meta will cut costs by axing workers, Proulx said the company also has to rebuild its business plan if it wants to ramp up momentum. Turning things around at Meta could mean the company choosing between the metaverse Zuckerberg sees as its future, or the social media apps that made it giant.</p><p>In the meantime, Proulx said, “We predict a bleak 2023 for Meta.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Meta Went From a Trillion-Dollar Company to Mass Layoffs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Meta Went From a Trillion-Dollar Company to Mass Layoffs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-11 11:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-meta-went-from-a-trillion-dollar-company-to-mass-layoffs-211332657.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Meta’s (META) recent mass layoff marks a turning point for a company whose business model once seemed untouchable despite years of controversies over privacy and Russian election interference.While ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-meta-went-from-a-trillion-dollar-company-to-mass-layoffs-211332657.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-meta-went-from-a-trillion-dollar-company-to-mass-layoffs-211332657.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282438291","content_text":"Meta’s (META) recent mass layoff marks a turning point for a company whose business model once seemed untouchable despite years of controversies over privacy and Russian election interference.While some might blame Meta’s fall on CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s obsession with the immersive online world known as the metaverse, that’s only one factor that helped send its stock price plummeting 70% in the last year. Other major blows include the rise of short-form video platform TikTok, Apple privacy changes that hurt advertising revenue, and a lack of Gen Z users.“The company literally has one foot in one direction, which is the metaverse, and another foot in short form video trying to compete with TikTok, and it's not doing either particularly well at the moment,” Forrester Research Director Mike Proulx told Yahoo Finance.TikTok’s rise, and a graying FacebookMeta faces threats from both its own aging user base and the rise of TikTok, a Chinese app with more than 1 billion monthly active users.The key to TikTok’s success is its short-form video format and algorithmically driven For You page, which serves up a stream of videos designed to mesmerize you. As TikTok rose, Meta focused on taking on rival Snapchat, aping its ephemeral video features. TikTok continued perfecting its algorithm and creating a new destination for Gen. Z users.Meta’s attempt to take on TikTok’s short-form video, Reels, isn’t catching on with those younger users eitherTikTok is eating into Meta's performance with younger audiences. (Image: Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports)USA TODAY USPW / reuters“We know that meta has a Gen Z problem,” Proulx explained. “The market share for Reels amongst Gen Z is far lower than that of tech TikTok.”According to Forrester, just 40% of teens between 12 and 17 say they use Facebook weekly — down from 48% in 2021. Sixty-one percent of those teens say they use Instagram weekly, and 69% use TikTok.An August Pew Research Center survey found that just 32% of teens use the main Facebook app, while 62% say they use Instagram. TikTok is pulling in 67% of teens.Unfortunately for Meta, TikTok continues to gain traction among both users and advertisers.“Two years ago it wasn’t clear that TikTok was going to be as dominant as it is,” Julie Biel, portfolio manager and senior research analyst Kayne Anderson Rudnick, told Yahoo Finance Live. “They’re kind of eating [Meta’s] lunch, and seeing an economic downturn, we shouldn’t be surprised that advertisers are pulling back spending [at Meta].”The economy and Apple are squeezing Meta’s moneymakerThe weakened economy is also hammering Meta, which generates the vast majority of its revenue through online advertising. One of the first line items companies cut as part of their cost-savings measures is their ad budgets — directly impacting Meta’s bottom line.Meta is also still dealing with the fallout from Apple’s (AAPL) iOS privacy changes called App Tracking Transparency. The feature, which Apple rolled out in 2021, lets users choose whether apps track them across third-party apps and websites. Before the ad market started drying up, Zuckerberg warned that Apple’s privacy changes would kill digital advertising.Apple CEO Tim Cook has instituted iOS privacy changes that have taken a bite out of Meta's bottom line. REUTERS/Andrew KellyAndrew Kelly / reutersThe slowing economy and Apple’s privacy changes combined to create a bleak couple of quarters for Meta. In the second quarter of this year, it reported its first year-over-year drop in sales — and it reported its second-ever decline the following quarter.Meta is plowing cash into a massive gambleEven with declining revenue growth, Zuckerberg continues to put pressure on the company by steering billions of dollars towards his plans for the metaverse.In 2021, Meta spent $10 billion on its Reality Labs division, which builds out the firm’s metaverse hardware and software. Meta has already spent more than $9 billion on the project so far this year. During Meta’s recent third-quarter earnings call, CFO Dave Wehner said metaverse spending will increase even more in 2023.These billions will go to fund an endeavor that people might never even sign up for. According to The Wall Street Journal, Meta’s “Horizon Worlds” is, so far, a dud. Meta initially wanted to have 500,000 users in the app by the end of 2022, but it scaled that back to 280,000. That’s because there are fewer than 200,000 running around the lonely digital domain.In October, Zuckerberg suggested the metaverse could also become a virtual workspace, but experts remain skeptical of the Meta CEO's business case for Reality Labs.“They’ve been trying to convince us that the business use case for VR is really there, and I have yet to have someone really explain it to me in a way where the economic model makes a lot of sense,” Biel said. “I don’t think anyone really wants to sit in a VR space and conduct office meetings. They’re already bad enough as it is.”While Meta will cut costs by axing workers, Proulx said the company also has to rebuild its business plan if it wants to ramp up momentum. Turning things around at Meta could mean the company choosing between the metaverse Zuckerberg sees as its future, or the social media apps that made it giant.In the meantime, Proulx said, “We predict a bleak 2023 for Meta.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960665592,"gmtCreate":1668143910016,"gmtModify":1676538020077,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huh","listText":"Huh","text":"Huh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960665592","repostId":"2282118121","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2282118121","pubTimestamp":1668139034,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282118121?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-11 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk Is Selling And Tesla Is Buying","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282118121","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe recap our fundamental viewpoint as researched and published by Lyn Alden.Then, a brief revisit to our last setup and why a break of $260 made us anticipate lower prices in TSLA.This next low in price may be quite significant and could, in time, potentially lead to new highs.Justin Sullivanby Levi at StockWaves, produced with Avi GilburtThose who have been following what seems to be quite a bit of drama as of late are familiar with these headlines. It has been widely reported that Elon ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>We recap our fundamental viewpoint as researched and published by Lyn Alden.</li><li>Then, a brief revisit to our last setup and why a break of $260 made us anticipate lower prices in TSLA.</li><li>This next low in price may be quite significant and could, in time, potentially lead to new highs.</li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/789e7c34e3a788ee36136caea7db71a2\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"506\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Justin Sullivan</span></p><p><b><i>by Levi at StockWaves, produced with Avi Gilburt</i></b></p><p>Those who have been following what seems to be quite a bit of drama as of late are familiar with these headlines. It has been widely reported that Elon Musk is selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares so as to complete the acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) (see<i>Reuters</i> articlehere). What&#39;s also somewhat ironic is that on the last earnings conference call a few weeks back, it&#39;s becoming a possibility that the company may actually, for the first time in its history, buy back some of the shares on the open market (see<i>WSJ</i> articlehere).</p><p>In spite of all of the pushing and pulling in the stock over the last few months, has anything changed from a fundamental standpoint?</p><h2>A Fundamental Recap</h2><p>From what we&#39;re seeing, there are no changes in the actual fundamentals of the company itself. If anything, with the potential of a share buyback, this may suggest that the company is confident in its free cash flow and sees the shares as a bargain.</p><p>In a recent discussion of the fundamentals for TSLA, Lyn Alden offered these comments:</p><p>&#34;Tesla is one of the hardest stocks to analyze fundamentally because it trades a lot more so on sentiment than even other stocks of its size. This is a stock that has ranged from a 1.5x price/sales multiple to a 30x price/sales multiple over the past few years. Although it is cut in half from its 2021 highs in terms of its price/sales multiple, I continue to be concerned about Tesla&#39;s valuation as primarily a hardware company.&#34;</p><p>&#34;One of the bull cases for Tesla historically is to argue that it&#39;s more of a software company than a hardware company. However, in terms of the various operational risks and profit margin profiles they have, they clearly fit more in the hardware category. For example, this is the gross margin of two example software companies vs two examples hardware/&#39;car&#39; companies.&#34;</p><p><i>Now, please note Lyn&#39;s conclusion and one of the main benefits of our synergistic methodology in StockWaves:</i></p><p>&#34;So, I generally leave Tesla purely for the technical analysts to work with, because it&#39;s a stock that has such wild valuation fluctuations, that fundamentals are a distant second in terms of analysis compared to sentiment and narratives.&#34;</p><h2>The Prior Setup</h2><p>Back on Sept. 27, we published &#34;Tesla: Catch Me If You Can.&#34; The main takeaway from the piece was that the stock price needed to hold support in a fourth wave pullback and then<i>make a higher high</i>. Note the commentary near the conclusion of the article:</p><p><i>&#34;We see TSLA as needing a higher high in the near term, perhaps near the $340 level. In the bullish case, that would complete wave 5 of the parenthesis wave &#39;1&#39; up. Thereafter, a pullback in parentheses wave &#39;2&#39; would be underway and would typically retrace 38% to 62% of the larger wave &#39;1&#39;.&#34;</i></p><p><i>&#34;The highest probability entry point would be once that larger wave &#39;2&#39; finds its low and starts back up in what would be a third wave to new highs.&#34;</i></p><p>The stock instead broke support at the $260 level and this told us that it would at least retest the recent lows at $210 or even lower.</p><h2>Where Do We Find Ourselves Now?</h2><p>For those who follow our methodology, you will know that we view the markets as fluid, dynamic and non-linear in nature. This means that at any point in time there are various possibilities that can take shape. However, what this does not mean that we present all of these possibilities and then whichever comes to fruition we proclaim ourselves as correct.</p><p>We view the markets from a probabilistic standpoint. A basic stance would be that when the market moves up in a 5 wave structure and back down in a 3 wave structure that holds the prior low or higher, that usually proves to be a buying opportunity.</p><p>It&#39;s at that point that we find ourselves with TSLA. We&#39;re looking for a 5 wave advance to start from the $165-$175 area. Can TSLA move lower than that? Of course it can. But note what we are currently seeing in the near term structure of price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d5ddbf584b1dd0c30347e0ebe3df3d1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TradingView</span></p><p>So, should price strike this zone and then<i>move up in 5 waves</i> from there, a 3 wave corrective pullback would be a swing long buying opportunity with stops at that recent low.</p><h2>What&#39;s The Current Context?</h2><p>Elliott Wave theory, when correctly applied, is one of the only methodologies we know of that will provide context to any market at any given point in time. Where do we see TSLA at the moment? This is in a Primary fourth wave pullback that once complete, may indeed lead to new highs in the stock.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/693ade9b3b063722eedfd4e517cd1eeb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TradingView</span></p><h2>Risks and Conclusion</h2><p>It&#39;s plausible to conclude that TSLA is actually in a deeper fourth wave correction that could take it to the $128 - $138 area. While we don&#39;t see a probable setup for that scenario at the moment, it&#39;s possible. However, since we deal in probabilities, we mention it but are not projecting that at this time.</p><p>If we do not see a 5 wave move up from this $175 price target zone, then we will look for another high-probability setup in the near future.</p><h2>What&#39;s Truly Moving This Stock?</h2><p>We might even ask, what truly moves the markets? As humans, we love a narrative. Tell us a story, forge a narrative to explain what is happening at any moment in time. It&#39;s this craving for a framework around market movements that requires regular feeding on news, stories, narratives and the like. A narrative makes us feel like we are in control of our environment.</p><p>It&#39;s the narrative that seems to somehow provide reason to market movements. However, the markets are anything but reasonable. They&#39;re a mass of emotions driven hither and thither by the whims of the crowd.</p><p>We have some fascinating research in the Education section of ElliottWaveTrader.net. Avi Gilburt has gathered a wealth of scientific studies discussing what truly moves the markets. This is an excerpt from an article that asked the question, &#34;Does Man Truly Have Free Will?&#34;:</p><p>&#34;Based upon much recent research, it seems that, as a society, we are moved by our limbic system, which controls the impulsive actions of living creatures (including the &#39;herding&#39; impulse), and which will, subconsciously, often override the neocortex of our brain, which controls our reason. As Eric Hoffer aptly noted, &#39;When people are free to do as they please, they usually imitate each other.&#39; Therefore, as a society, we seem to be hard-wired so as to move in a unified direction.</p><p>However, it has also been proven that the extent of this effect will vary on an individual basis. Therefore, as individuals within the overall society, we are not necessarily completely bound by the decisions made by society at large, so we are then able to make choices which can, to some extent, protect us from the mistakes repeated by the masses throughout history. This, my friends, is probably the most powerful tool available to Elliotticians in our time. It is our ability to understand the overall trend of the masses, which potentially gives us the opportunity to act in contravention to the negative, harmful trends. This assists us in maximizing our individual &#39;free will.&#39;&#34;</p><h2>How We Can Use This Information</h2><p>To boil this all down to actionable intelligence, we&#39;re looking for TSLA to make a significant low in the $165-$175 area. From there, to create a high-probability setup, we want to see an initial 5 wave structure up, then a corrective 3 wave structure down that holds that low struck or higher. That will provide us with a swing long entry point with a specifically defined risk vs reward.</p><p>I would like to take this opportunity to remind you that we provide our perspective by ranking probabilistic market movements based upon the structure of the market price action. And if we maintain a certain primary perspective as to how the market will move next, and the market breaks that pattern, it clearly tells us that we were wrong in our initial assessment. But here&#39;s the most important part of the analysis: We also provide you with an alternative perspective at the same time we provide you with our primary expectation, and let you know when to adopt that alternative perspective before it happens.</p><p>There are many ways to analyze and track stocks and the market they form. Some are more consistent than others. For us, this method has proved the most reliable and keeps us on the right side of the trade much more often than not. Nothing is perfect in this world, but for those looking to open their eyes to a new universe of trading and investing, why not consider studying this further? It may just be one of the most illuminating projects you undertake.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk Is Selling And Tesla Is Buying</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk Is Selling And Tesla Is Buying\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-11 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555873-musk-is-selling-and-tesla-is-buying><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe recap our fundamental viewpoint as researched and published by Lyn Alden.Then, a brief revisit to our last setup and why a break of $260 made us anticipate lower prices in TSLA.This next ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555873-musk-is-selling-and-tesla-is-buying\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555873-musk-is-selling-and-tesla-is-buying","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282118121","content_text":"SummaryWe recap our fundamental viewpoint as researched and published by Lyn Alden.Then, a brief revisit to our last setup and why a break of $260 made us anticipate lower prices in TSLA.This next low in price may be quite significant and could, in time, potentially lead to new highs.Justin Sullivanby Levi at StockWaves, produced with Avi GilburtThose who have been following what seems to be quite a bit of drama as of late are familiar with these headlines. It has been widely reported that Elon Musk is selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares so as to complete the acquisition of Twitter (TWTR) (seeReuters articlehere). What's also somewhat ironic is that on the last earnings conference call a few weeks back, it's becoming a possibility that the company may actually, for the first time in its history, buy back some of the shares on the open market (seeWSJ articlehere).In spite of all of the pushing and pulling in the stock over the last few months, has anything changed from a fundamental standpoint?A Fundamental RecapFrom what we're seeing, there are no changes in the actual fundamentals of the company itself. If anything, with the potential of a share buyback, this may suggest that the company is confident in its free cash flow and sees the shares as a bargain.In a recent discussion of the fundamentals for TSLA, Lyn Alden offered these comments:\"Tesla is one of the hardest stocks to analyze fundamentally because it trades a lot more so on sentiment than even other stocks of its size. This is a stock that has ranged from a 1.5x price/sales multiple to a 30x price/sales multiple over the past few years. Although it is cut in half from its 2021 highs in terms of its price/sales multiple, I continue to be concerned about Tesla's valuation as primarily a hardware company.\"\"One of the bull cases for Tesla historically is to argue that it's more of a software company than a hardware company. However, in terms of the various operational risks and profit margin profiles they have, they clearly fit more in the hardware category. For example, this is the gross margin of two example software companies vs two examples hardware/'car' companies.\"Now, please note Lyn's conclusion and one of the main benefits of our synergistic methodology in StockWaves:\"So, I generally leave Tesla purely for the technical analysts to work with, because it's a stock that has such wild valuation fluctuations, that fundamentals are a distant second in terms of analysis compared to sentiment and narratives.\"The Prior SetupBack on Sept. 27, we published \"Tesla: Catch Me If You Can.\" The main takeaway from the piece was that the stock price needed to hold support in a fourth wave pullback and thenmake a higher high. Note the commentary near the conclusion of the article:\"We see TSLA as needing a higher high in the near term, perhaps near the $340 level. In the bullish case, that would complete wave 5 of the parenthesis wave '1' up. Thereafter, a pullback in parentheses wave '2' would be underway and would typically retrace 38% to 62% of the larger wave '1'.\"\"The highest probability entry point would be once that larger wave '2' finds its low and starts back up in what would be a third wave to new highs.\"The stock instead broke support at the $260 level and this told us that it would at least retest the recent lows at $210 or even lower.Where Do We Find Ourselves Now?For those who follow our methodology, you will know that we view the markets as fluid, dynamic and non-linear in nature. This means that at any point in time there are various possibilities that can take shape. However, what this does not mean that we present all of these possibilities and then whichever comes to fruition we proclaim ourselves as correct.We view the markets from a probabilistic standpoint. A basic stance would be that when the market moves up in a 5 wave structure and back down in a 3 wave structure that holds the prior low or higher, that usually proves to be a buying opportunity.It's at that point that we find ourselves with TSLA. We're looking for a 5 wave advance to start from the $165-$175 area. Can TSLA move lower than that? Of course it can. But note what we are currently seeing in the near term structure of price.TradingViewSo, should price strike this zone and thenmove up in 5 waves from there, a 3 wave corrective pullback would be a swing long buying opportunity with stops at that recent low.What's The Current Context?Elliott Wave theory, when correctly applied, is one of the only methodologies we know of that will provide context to any market at any given point in time. Where do we see TSLA at the moment? This is in a Primary fourth wave pullback that once complete, may indeed lead to new highs in the stock.TradingViewRisks and ConclusionIt's plausible to conclude that TSLA is actually in a deeper fourth wave correction that could take it to the $128 - $138 area. While we don't see a probable setup for that scenario at the moment, it's possible. However, since we deal in probabilities, we mention it but are not projecting that at this time.If we do not see a 5 wave move up from this $175 price target zone, then we will look for another high-probability setup in the near future.What's Truly Moving This Stock?We might even ask, what truly moves the markets? As humans, we love a narrative. Tell us a story, forge a narrative to explain what is happening at any moment in time. It's this craving for a framework around market movements that requires regular feeding on news, stories, narratives and the like. A narrative makes us feel like we are in control of our environment.It's the narrative that seems to somehow provide reason to market movements. However, the markets are anything but reasonable. They're a mass of emotions driven hither and thither by the whims of the crowd.We have some fascinating research in the Education section of ElliottWaveTrader.net. Avi Gilburt has gathered a wealth of scientific studies discussing what truly moves the markets. This is an excerpt from an article that asked the question, \"Does Man Truly Have Free Will?\":\"Based upon much recent research, it seems that, as a society, we are moved by our limbic system, which controls the impulsive actions of living creatures (including the 'herding' impulse), and which will, subconsciously, often override the neocortex of our brain, which controls our reason. As Eric Hoffer aptly noted, 'When people are free to do as they please, they usually imitate each other.' Therefore, as a society, we seem to be hard-wired so as to move in a unified direction.However, it has also been proven that the extent of this effect will vary on an individual basis. Therefore, as individuals within the overall society, we are not necessarily completely bound by the decisions made by society at large, so we are then able to make choices which can, to some extent, protect us from the mistakes repeated by the masses throughout history. This, my friends, is probably the most powerful tool available to Elliotticians in our time. It is our ability to understand the overall trend of the masses, which potentially gives us the opportunity to act in contravention to the negative, harmful trends. This assists us in maximizing our individual 'free will.'\"How We Can Use This InformationTo boil this all down to actionable intelligence, we're looking for TSLA to make a significant low in the $165-$175 area. From there, to create a high-probability setup, we want to see an initial 5 wave structure up, then a corrective 3 wave structure down that holds that low struck or higher. That will provide us with a swing long entry point with a specifically defined risk vs reward.I would like to take this opportunity to remind you that we provide our perspective by ranking probabilistic market movements based upon the structure of the market price action. And if we maintain a certain primary perspective as to how the market will move next, and the market breaks that pattern, it clearly tells us that we were wrong in our initial assessment. But here's the most important part of the analysis: We also provide you with an alternative perspective at the same time we provide you with our primary expectation, and let you know when to adopt that alternative perspective before it happens.There are many ways to analyze and track stocks and the market they form. Some are more consistent than others. For us, this method has proved the most reliable and keeps us on the right side of the trade much more often than not. Nothing is perfect in this world, but for those looking to open their eyes to a new universe of trading and investing, why not consider studying this further? It may just be one of the most illuminating projects you undertake.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960332636,"gmtCreate":1668062639425,"gmtModify":1676538006748,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960332636","repostId":"1167588549","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167588549","pubTimestamp":1668052807,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167588549?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-10 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan’s Trading Desk Maps Out CPI Game Plan for Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167588549","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"In-line inflation seen as ‘small positive’ for stocks, bondsOctober event shows risk of calling mark","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>In-line inflation seen as ‘small positive’ for stocks, bonds</li><li>October event shows risk of calling market based on one factor</li></ul><p>With midterm election results still unknown, Wall Street is bracing for the next event risk: a fresh inflation report that will heavily influence the latest round of Federal Reserve rate hikes.</p><p>Projecting any fallout from the release of the consumer price index Thursday is getting harder, but the trading team at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. is undeterred -- with a game plan that suggests stocks could fall as much as 6% during the session if the data comes in hotter than anticipated.</p><p>Should price trends in October align with consensus expectations -- with the year-on-year reading easing to 7.9% or 8% -- that would be taken as a “small positive” for both bonds and stocks, and the S&amp;P 500 may rise by 1% to 1.5%, according to the firm’s scenario analysis.</p><p>Anything near or above the prior reading of 8.2% may well spell trouble. The benchmark gauge is likely to sink as much as 6% on an inflation print north of 8.4%, the team including Andrew Tyler wrote in a note.</p><p>Arriving one week after Jerome Powell’s hawkish posture stoked big gyrations in world markets, the CPI update will help determine both the size of the Fed’s policy tightening in December and where interest rates will peak in this business cycle, or the so-called terminal rate.</p><p>On the flipside, if CPI falls to 7.6% or below, the S&amp;P 500 could surge more than 5% while 10-year Treasury yields fall below 4%, Tyler and his colleagues suggested.</p><p>“This may also reset the yield curve lower with terminal rate expectations falling under 5%,” the team wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday. “This week’s CPI will be the most important factor to shape the expectations for December FOMC.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88175566ae7c1e098407bf918e0c203\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Embedded in the analysis is the idea that hot inflation is bad for stocks, a narrative that had played out in 2022 -- until last month. After another strong CPI print on Oct. 13, the S&amp;P 500 initially dropped more than 2%, as predicted by the JPMorgan team. Then in a dramatic turn, the index staged a giant rebound to finish the session up 2.6%.</p><p>Some attributed the shocking reversal to chart support or options hedging. Others cited the specter of peak inflation leading to hopes for a less hawkish Fed. Whatever the reason, the episode highlights the danger of relying on any single factor to call the market’s tune.</p><p>Still, JPMorgan’s study offers a lens into the high stakes that the inflation report poses for investors. Below is how stocks have performed this year on CPI day.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10977810bc09452766cb57cdd2f1c80f\" tg-width=\"855\" tg-height=\"734\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan’s Trading Desk Maps Out CPI Game Plan for Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan’s Trading Desk Maps Out CPI Game Plan for Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-10 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-09/jpmorgan-s-trading-desk-maps-out-cpi-game-plan-for-wall-street><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In-line inflation seen as ‘small positive’ for stocks, bondsOctober event shows risk of calling market based on one factorWith midterm election results still unknown, Wall Street is bracing for the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-09/jpmorgan-s-trading-desk-maps-out-cpi-game-plan-for-wall-street\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-09/jpmorgan-s-trading-desk-maps-out-cpi-game-plan-for-wall-street","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167588549","content_text":"In-line inflation seen as ‘small positive’ for stocks, bondsOctober event shows risk of calling market based on one factorWith midterm election results still unknown, Wall Street is bracing for the next event risk: a fresh inflation report that will heavily influence the latest round of Federal Reserve rate hikes.Projecting any fallout from the release of the consumer price index Thursday is getting harder, but the trading team at JPMorgan Chase & Co. is undeterred -- with a game plan that suggests stocks could fall as much as 6% during the session if the data comes in hotter than anticipated.Should price trends in October align with consensus expectations -- with the year-on-year reading easing to 7.9% or 8% -- that would be taken as a “small positive” for both bonds and stocks, and the S&P 500 may rise by 1% to 1.5%, according to the firm’s scenario analysis.Anything near or above the prior reading of 8.2% may well spell trouble. The benchmark gauge is likely to sink as much as 6% on an inflation print north of 8.4%, the team including Andrew Tyler wrote in a note.Arriving one week after Jerome Powell’s hawkish posture stoked big gyrations in world markets, the CPI update will help determine both the size of the Fed’s policy tightening in December and where interest rates will peak in this business cycle, or the so-called terminal rate.On the flipside, if CPI falls to 7.6% or below, the S&P 500 could surge more than 5% while 10-year Treasury yields fall below 4%, Tyler and his colleagues suggested.“This may also reset the yield curve lower with terminal rate expectations falling under 5%,” the team wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday. “This week’s CPI will be the most important factor to shape the expectations for December FOMC.”Embedded in the analysis is the idea that hot inflation is bad for stocks, a narrative that had played out in 2022 -- until last month. After another strong CPI print on Oct. 13, the S&P 500 initially dropped more than 2%, as predicted by the JPMorgan team. Then in a dramatic turn, the index staged a giant rebound to finish the session up 2.6%.Some attributed the shocking reversal to chart support or options hedging. Others cited the specter of peak inflation leading to hopes for a less hawkish Fed. Whatever the reason, the episode highlights the danger of relying on any single factor to call the market’s tune.Still, JPMorgan’s study offers a lens into the high stakes that the inflation report poses for investors. Below is how stocks have performed this year on CPI day.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987731471,"gmtCreate":1667988366793,"gmtModify":1676537995156,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987731471","repostId":"1157692624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157692624","pubTimestamp":1668008277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157692624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157692624","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TSLA is trading at 12-month lows.</li><li>Rising interest rates, Q3&#39;s revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.</li><li>The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.</li><li>The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.</li><li>The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.</li></ul><p>Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed96ee922a9178151466be6bb913196e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.</p><p>Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.</p><p>The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddbc4100fa6280bf6fcc0ef8b86d03a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Trailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.</p><p>Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.</p><p>I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&amp;P 500 (not including dividends).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c08822d1f3055ab12bf6e9e8a7ea386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Previous analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&amp;P 500 above.</p><p>For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.</p><p>With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.</p><p><b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>ETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/615c8d0e04e8918e25b7385e2bad7c26\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"855\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797d6141699490e50d24fb2784e632e1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"882\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.</p><p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>I have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.</p><p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f689bc8494e22307e8401f8fcc1ac2\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.</p><p>To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67eb2da8e00a45afb6a60092265c1c8c\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.</p><p>Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f17528781a49f411c10295d132d77cf\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>Tesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEven At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 23:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157692624","content_text":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).Seeking Alpha12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.ETradeTrailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&P 500 (not including dividends).Seeking AlphaPrevious analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&P 500 above.For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLAETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).ETradeWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.Seeking AlphaWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.Market-Implied Outlook for TSLAI have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.SummaryTesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987731551,"gmtCreate":1667988359974,"gmtModify":1676537995157,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Again","listText":"Again","text":"Again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987731551","repostId":"1157692624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157692624","pubTimestamp":1668008277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157692624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157692624","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TSLA is trading at 12-month lows.</li><li>Rising interest rates, Q3&#39;s revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.</li><li>The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.</li><li>The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.</li><li>The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.</li></ul><p>Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed96ee922a9178151466be6bb913196e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.</p><p>Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.</p><p>The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddbc4100fa6280bf6fcc0ef8b86d03a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Trailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.</p><p>Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.</p><p>I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&amp;P 500 (not including dividends).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c08822d1f3055ab12bf6e9e8a7ea386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Previous analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&amp;P 500 above.</p><p>For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.</p><p>With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.</p><p><b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>ETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/615c8d0e04e8918e25b7385e2bad7c26\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"855\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797d6141699490e50d24fb2784e632e1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"882\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.</p><p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>I have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.</p><p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f689bc8494e22307e8401f8fcc1ac2\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.</p><p>To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67eb2da8e00a45afb6a60092265c1c8c\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.</p><p>Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f17528781a49f411c10295d132d77cf\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>Tesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEven At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 23:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157692624","content_text":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).Seeking Alpha12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.ETradeTrailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&P 500 (not including dividends).Seeking AlphaPrevious analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&P 500 above.For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLAETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).ETradeWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.Seeking AlphaWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.Market-Implied Outlook for TSLAI have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.SummaryTesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987869185,"gmtCreate":1667869742347,"gmtModify":1676537976595,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kk","listText":"Kk","text":"Kk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987869185","repostId":"2281293584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281293584","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1667861741,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281293584?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-08 06:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks End Higher, Meta Jumps As Investors Eye Midterms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281293584","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Meta Platforms rallies after report of job cuts* Apple slips as COVID-19 curbs crimp iPhone produc","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> rallies after report of job cuts</p><p>* Apple slips as COVID-19 curbs crimp iPhone production in China</p><p>* Indexes close: S&amp;P 500 +0.96%, Nasdaq +0.85%, Dow +1.31%</p><p>Nov 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher Monday as investors focused on Tuesday&#39;s midterm elections that will determine control of Congress, while shares of Meta Platforms jumped on a report of job cuts at the Facebook parent.</p><p>Republicans are favored to win a majority in the House of Representatives in the elections, with the Senate rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Republicans could use a majority in either chamber to hinder Democratic President Joe Biden&#39;s agenda.</p><p>&#34;The likelihood that the Republicans take the House or the Senate is pretty high, therefore guaranteeing some form of gridlock over the next couple of years. That would probably take tax hikes off the table, and any sort of big spending potentially perceived as inflationary off the table,&#34; said Ross Mayfield, an investment strategy analyst at Baird.</p><p>Meta Platforms Inc jumped over 6% following a report that the company was planning to begin large-scale layoffs this week. The stock has slumped more than 70% so far this year.</p><p>Recently beaten-down shares of Microsoft and Google-parent Alphabet each rallied more than 2% and contributed heavily to the S&amp;P 500&#39;s gain for the session.</p><p>Focus this week will also be on U.S. consumer prices data for October, due out on Thursday, for clues about how much the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s rapid interest rate hikes are helping cool down the economy.</p><p>Four Fed policymakers on Friday indicated they wouldconsidera smaller rate hike at their next policy meeting, despite new data showing another month of robust job gains and only small signs of progress in lowering inflation.</p><p>Traders are divided about whether the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points or 75 basis points at the U.S. central bank&#39;s meeting in December.</p><p>&#34;All else equal, whether the terminal rate sits at 4.5%, 5% or beyond, monetary policy is poised to have a negative effect on the economy heading into 2023,&#34; Glenmede&#39;s investment strategists wrote in a note on Monday.</p><p>Unofficially, the S&amp;P 500 climbed 0.96% to end the session at 3,806.90 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 0.85% to 10,564.52 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.31% to 32,827.00 points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/236177611a855db9994492b2f046233f\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P 500 by market cap</span></p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, eight rose, led by communication services which was up 1.83%, followed by a 1.73% gain in energy.</p><p>All the three major U.S. indexes have slumped this year, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq down 33% due to worries that aggressive monetary policy tightening could cripple the U.S. economy.</p><p>Digital World Acquisition Corp surged 66% after former U.S. President Donald Trump hinted at another White House bid. The blank-check firm has agreed to take social-media startup Trump Media &amp; Technology Group Corp public.</p><p>Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc gained 4.1% after VillageMD, a primary care provider backed by the pharmacy chain, said it will acquire Summit Health in a deal valued at nearly $9 billion.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 2.8-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 18 new highs and 15 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 93 new highs and 221 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 10.5 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90f10a1303702a952d66d20327425492\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks End Higher, Meta Jumps As Investors Eye Midterms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks End Higher, Meta Jumps As Investors Eye Midterms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-08 06:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> rallies after report of job cuts</p><p>* Apple slips as COVID-19 curbs crimp iPhone production in China</p><p>* Indexes close: S&amp;P 500 +0.96%, Nasdaq +0.85%, Dow +1.31%</p><p>Nov 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher Monday as investors focused on Tuesday&#39;s midterm elections that will determine control of Congress, while shares of Meta Platforms jumped on a report of job cuts at the Facebook parent.</p><p>Republicans are favored to win a majority in the House of Representatives in the elections, with the Senate rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Republicans could use a majority in either chamber to hinder Democratic President Joe Biden&#39;s agenda.</p><p>&#34;The likelihood that the Republicans take the House or the Senate is pretty high, therefore guaranteeing some form of gridlock over the next couple of years. That would probably take tax hikes off the table, and any sort of big spending potentially perceived as inflationary off the table,&#34; said Ross Mayfield, an investment strategy analyst at Baird.</p><p>Meta Platforms Inc jumped over 6% following a report that the company was planning to begin large-scale layoffs this week. The stock has slumped more than 70% so far this year.</p><p>Recently beaten-down shares of Microsoft and Google-parent Alphabet each rallied more than 2% and contributed heavily to the S&amp;P 500&#39;s gain for the session.</p><p>Focus this week will also be on U.S. consumer prices data for October, due out on Thursday, for clues about how much the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s rapid interest rate hikes are helping cool down the economy.</p><p>Four Fed policymakers on Friday indicated they wouldconsidera smaller rate hike at their next policy meeting, despite new data showing another month of robust job gains and only small signs of progress in lowering inflation.</p><p>Traders are divided about whether the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points or 75 basis points at the U.S. central bank&#39;s meeting in December.</p><p>&#34;All else equal, whether the terminal rate sits at 4.5%, 5% or beyond, monetary policy is poised to have a negative effect on the economy heading into 2023,&#34; Glenmede&#39;s investment strategists wrote in a note on Monday.</p><p>Unofficially, the S&amp;P 500 climbed 0.96% to end the session at 3,806.90 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 0.85% to 10,564.52 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.31% to 32,827.00 points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/236177611a855db9994492b2f046233f\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P 500 by market cap</span></p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, eight rose, led by communication services which was up 1.83%, followed by a 1.73% gain in energy.</p><p>All the three major U.S. indexes have slumped this year, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq down 33% due to worries that aggressive monetary policy tightening could cripple the U.S. economy.</p><p>Digital World Acquisition Corp surged 66% after former U.S. President Donald Trump hinted at another White House bid. The blank-check firm has agreed to take social-media startup Trump Media &amp; Technology Group Corp public.</p><p>Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc gained 4.1% after VillageMD, a primary care provider backed by the pharmacy chain, said it will acquire Summit Health in a deal valued at nearly $9 billion.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 2.8-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 18 new highs and 15 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 93 new highs and 221 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 10.5 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90f10a1303702a952d66d20327425492\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","MSFT":"微软",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GOOGL":"谷歌A","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281293584","content_text":"* Meta Platforms rallies after report of job cuts* Apple slips as COVID-19 curbs crimp iPhone production in China* Indexes close: S&P 500 +0.96%, Nasdaq +0.85%, Dow +1.31%Nov 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher Monday as investors focused on Tuesday's midterm elections that will determine control of Congress, while shares of Meta Platforms jumped on a report of job cuts at the Facebook parent.Republicans are favored to win a majority in the House of Representatives in the elections, with the Senate rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Republicans could use a majority in either chamber to hinder Democratic President Joe Biden's agenda.\"The likelihood that the Republicans take the House or the Senate is pretty high, therefore guaranteeing some form of gridlock over the next couple of years. That would probably take tax hikes off the table, and any sort of big spending potentially perceived as inflationary off the table,\" said Ross Mayfield, an investment strategy analyst at Baird.Meta Platforms Inc jumped over 6% following a report that the company was planning to begin large-scale layoffs this week. The stock has slumped more than 70% so far this year.Recently beaten-down shares of Microsoft and Google-parent Alphabet each rallied more than 2% and contributed heavily to the S&P 500's gain for the session.Focus this week will also be on U.S. consumer prices data for October, due out on Thursday, for clues about how much the U.S. Federal Reserve's rapid interest rate hikes are helping cool down the economy.Four Fed policymakers on Friday indicated they wouldconsidera smaller rate hike at their next policy meeting, despite new data showing another month of robust job gains and only small signs of progress in lowering inflation.Traders are divided about whether the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points or 75 basis points at the U.S. central bank's meeting in December.\"All else equal, whether the terminal rate sits at 4.5%, 5% or beyond, monetary policy is poised to have a negative effect on the economy heading into 2023,\" Glenmede's investment strategists wrote in a note on Monday.Unofficially, the S&P 500 climbed 0.96% to end the session at 3,806.90 points.The Nasdaq gained 0.85% to 10,564.52 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.31% to 32,827.00 points.S&P 500 by market capOf the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, eight rose, led by communication services which was up 1.83%, followed by a 1.73% gain in energy.All the three major U.S. indexes have slumped this year, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq down 33% due to worries that aggressive monetary policy tightening could cripple the U.S. economy.Digital World Acquisition Corp surged 66% after former U.S. President Donald Trump hinted at another White House bid. The blank-check firm has agreed to take social-media startup Trump Media & Technology Group Corp public.Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc gained 4.1% after VillageMD, a primary care provider backed by the pharmacy chain, said it will acquire Summit Health in a deal valued at nearly $9 billion.Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 by a 2.8-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted 18 new highs and 15 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 93 new highs and 221 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 10.5 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984653423,"gmtCreate":1667621248762,"gmtModify":1676537946073,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kk","listText":"Kk","text":"Kk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984653423","repostId":"2281633463","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281633463","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1667611037,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281633463?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-05 09:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Strong New Evidence That a U.S. Stock-Market Rally Is Coming Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281633463","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08fe901026b570575afe49651cc756c6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. stock-market rally. I&#39;m referring to an index that measures investors&#39; confidence that any market dip will be soon followed by a recovery. The index, called the &#34;U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index,&#34; was created two decades ago by Yale University&#39;s Robert Shiller. It is based on a monthly survey in which investors are asked to guess the market&#39;s direction the day after a 3% market decline.</p><p>My analysis of the data indicates that the index has contrarian significance. That is, high readings -- high confidence that any market drop will be followed by a quick recovery -- is a bad sign. Low readings, in contrast, are bullish.</p><p>This past summer the index got lower than 7% of all other monthly readings since Shiller began this survey in the 1990s. While that in itself is low enough to impress contrarians, it&#39;s also encouraging that the index hasn&#39;t jumped more since then. The normal pattern is for bullishness to jump whenever the market begins to rally. But the index currently stands at just the 20 percentile of the historical distribution.</p><p>In fact, the latest reading is even lower than the one registered in March 2020, at the bottom of the waterfall decline that accompanied the initial lockdowns of the COVID-19 pandemic. But as for the summer of 2022, you have to go back to late 2018 and early 2019 to find another time when the Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index was lower than where it stands now. Those months coincided with the bottom of the 19%+ correction (bear market) caused by the Fed&#39;s late 2018 rate-hike cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5618543e29ee918b96f35e6e7700d26\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This index&#39;s highest reading in recent years came in August 2021, when it rose to the 91 percentile of the historical distribution. As if we need any reminding, that came just two months before the top of the secondary market and four months before the broad market hit its top.</p><p>These two are just data points. A more comprehensive analysis is reflected in the table below, based on monthly data for the U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index over the last two decades.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2b9346868c3e0aeb995c523c87512ed\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Though these differences in average returns are statistically significant, it&#39;s important to emphasize that there are no guarantees. Sentiment is not the only factor that moves the market, after all.</p><p>Furthermore, even if a strong rally materializes, we can&#39;t know if it will be the beginning of a new bull market or just a bear-market rally. The answer will depend at least partly on how slowly or quickly investors regain their confidence that market dips will be quickly followed by a recovery. For the moment, contrarian analysis suggests that a strong rally is likely in coming weeks.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Strong New Evidence That a U.S. Stock-Market Rally Is Coming Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Strong New Evidence That a U.S. Stock-Market Rally Is Coming Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-05 09:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08fe901026b570575afe49651cc756c6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. stock-market rally. I&#39;m referring to an index that measures investors&#39; confidence that any market dip will be soon followed by a recovery. The index, called the &#34;U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index,&#34; was created two decades ago by Yale University&#39;s Robert Shiller. It is based on a monthly survey in which investors are asked to guess the market&#39;s direction the day after a 3% market decline.</p><p>My analysis of the data indicates that the index has contrarian significance. That is, high readings -- high confidence that any market drop will be followed by a quick recovery -- is a bad sign. Low readings, in contrast, are bullish.</p><p>This past summer the index got lower than 7% of all other monthly readings since Shiller began this survey in the 1990s. While that in itself is low enough to impress contrarians, it&#39;s also encouraging that the index hasn&#39;t jumped more since then. The normal pattern is for bullishness to jump whenever the market begins to rally. But the index currently stands at just the 20 percentile of the historical distribution.</p><p>In fact, the latest reading is even lower than the one registered in March 2020, at the bottom of the waterfall decline that accompanied the initial lockdowns of the COVID-19 pandemic. But as for the summer of 2022, you have to go back to late 2018 and early 2019 to find another time when the Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index was lower than where it stands now. Those months coincided with the bottom of the 19%+ correction (bear market) caused by the Fed&#39;s late 2018 rate-hike cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5618543e29ee918b96f35e6e7700d26\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This index&#39;s highest reading in recent years came in August 2021, when it rose to the 91 percentile of the historical distribution. As if we need any reminding, that came just two months before the top of the secondary market and four months before the broad market hit its top.</p><p>These two are just data points. A more comprehensive analysis is reflected in the table below, based on monthly data for the U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index over the last two decades.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2b9346868c3e0aeb995c523c87512ed\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Though these differences in average returns are statistically significant, it&#39;s important to emphasize that there are no guarantees. Sentiment is not the only factor that moves the market, after all.</p><p>Furthermore, even if a strong rally materializes, we can&#39;t know if it will be the beginning of a new bull market or just a bear-market rally. The answer will depend at least partly on how slowly or quickly investors regain their confidence that market dips will be quickly followed by a recovery. For the moment, contrarian analysis suggests that a strong rally is likely in coming weeks.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281633463","content_text":"Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. stock-market rally. I'm referring to an index that measures investors' confidence that any market dip will be soon followed by a recovery. The index, called the \"U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index,\" was created two decades ago by Yale University's Robert Shiller. It is based on a monthly survey in which investors are asked to guess the market's direction the day after a 3% market decline.My analysis of the data indicates that the index has contrarian significance. That is, high readings -- high confidence that any market drop will be followed by a quick recovery -- is a bad sign. Low readings, in contrast, are bullish.This past summer the index got lower than 7% of all other monthly readings since Shiller began this survey in the 1990s. While that in itself is low enough to impress contrarians, it's also encouraging that the index hasn't jumped more since then. The normal pattern is for bullishness to jump whenever the market begins to rally. But the index currently stands at just the 20 percentile of the historical distribution.In fact, the latest reading is even lower than the one registered in March 2020, at the bottom of the waterfall decline that accompanied the initial lockdowns of the COVID-19 pandemic. But as for the summer of 2022, you have to go back to late 2018 and early 2019 to find another time when the Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index was lower than where it stands now. Those months coincided with the bottom of the 19%+ correction (bear market) caused by the Fed's late 2018 rate-hike cycle.This index's highest reading in recent years came in August 2021, when it rose to the 91 percentile of the historical distribution. As if we need any reminding, that came just two months before the top of the secondary market and four months before the broad market hit its top.These two are just data points. A more comprehensive analysis is reflected in the table below, based on monthly data for the U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index over the last two decades.Though these differences in average returns are statistically significant, it's important to emphasize that there are no guarantees. Sentiment is not the only factor that moves the market, after all.Furthermore, even if a strong rally materializes, we can't know if it will be the beginning of a new bull market or just a bear-market rally. The answer will depend at least partly on how slowly or quickly investors regain their confidence that market dips will be quickly followed by a recovery. For the moment, contrarian analysis suggests that a strong rally is likely in coming weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984926225,"gmtCreate":1667522097268,"gmtModify":1676537930626,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984926225","repostId":"2280545557","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2280545557","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1667516766,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280545557?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-04 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-U.S. Stocks Close Lower on Fed Rate Hike Worry","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280545557","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. initial weekly jobless claims fallServices industry growth slowsQualcomm, Roku slump on weak fo","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. initial weekly jobless claims fall</li><li>Services industry growth slows</li><li>Qualcomm, Roku slump on weak forecasts</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac0619e9025c9a7bad1a240ed5ae0d7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday as economic data did little to alter expectations the Federal Reserve would continue raising interest rates for longer than previously thought.</p><p>Following the Federal Reserve&#39;s statement on Wednesday, comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that it was &#34;very premature&#34; to be thinking about pausing its rate hikes sent stocks lower as U.S. bond yields and the U.S. dollar rose, a pattern that extended into Thursday.</p><p>Economic data on Thursday showed a labor market that continues to stay strong, although a separate report showed growth in the services sector slowed in October, keeping the Fed on its aggressive interest rate hike path.</p><p>&#34;Years ago the Fed’s job was to take away the punch bowl and that balance is always a very difficult transition, you want the economy to slow to keep inflation from getting out of hand but you want enough earnings to support stock prices,&#34; said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;It is about the rate of change as much as the change so when the rate of change starts to slow ... that almost becomes a positive even though in absolute terms we are going to continue to see higher rates and higher rates means more competition for stocks and lower multiples.&#34;</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 lost 40.23 points, or 1.04%, to end at 3,720.44 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 181.15 points, or 1.73%, to 10,342.97. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 148.42 points, or 0.47%, to 31,995.61.</p><p>While traders are roughly evenly split between the odds of a 50 basis-point and 75 basis-point rate hike in December, the peak Fed funds rate is seen climbing to at least 5%, compared with a prior view of 4.50%-4.75% rise.</p><p>Investors will closely eye the nonfarm payrolls report due on Friday for signs the Fed&#39;s rate hikes are beginning to have a notable impact on slowing the economy.</p><p>The climb in yields weighed on megacap growth companies such as Apple Inc and Alphabet Inc, which pulled down the technology and communication services sectors as the worst-performing on the session.</p><p>Losses were curbed on the Dow thanks to gains in industrials including Boeing Co and heavy equipment maker Caterpillar Inc.</p><p>Qualcomm Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku Inc</a> lost ground after their holiday quarter forecasts fell below expectations.</p><p>With roughly 80% of S&amp;P 500 having reported earnings, the expected growth rate is 4.7%, according to Refinitiv data, up slightly from the 4.5% at the start of October.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-U.S. Stocks Close Lower on Fed Rate Hike Worry</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-U.S. Stocks Close Lower on Fed Rate Hike Worry\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-04 07:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. initial weekly jobless claims fall</li><li>Services industry growth slows</li><li>Qualcomm, Roku slump on weak forecasts</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac0619e9025c9a7bad1a240ed5ae0d7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday as economic data did little to alter expectations the Federal Reserve would continue raising interest rates for longer than previously thought.</p><p>Following the Federal Reserve&#39;s statement on Wednesday, comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that it was &#34;very premature&#34; to be thinking about pausing its rate hikes sent stocks lower as U.S. bond yields and the U.S. dollar rose, a pattern that extended into Thursday.</p><p>Economic data on Thursday showed a labor market that continues to stay strong, although a separate report showed growth in the services sector slowed in October, keeping the Fed on its aggressive interest rate hike path.</p><p>&#34;Years ago the Fed’s job was to take away the punch bowl and that balance is always a very difficult transition, you want the economy to slow to keep inflation from getting out of hand but you want enough earnings to support stock prices,&#34; said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;It is about the rate of change as much as the change so when the rate of change starts to slow ... that almost becomes a positive even though in absolute terms we are going to continue to see higher rates and higher rates means more competition for stocks and lower multiples.&#34;</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 lost 40.23 points, or 1.04%, to end at 3,720.44 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 181.15 points, or 1.73%, to 10,342.97. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 148.42 points, or 0.47%, to 31,995.61.</p><p>While traders are roughly evenly split between the odds of a 50 basis-point and 75 basis-point rate hike in December, the peak Fed funds rate is seen climbing to at least 5%, compared with a prior view of 4.50%-4.75% rise.</p><p>Investors will closely eye the nonfarm payrolls report due on Friday for signs the Fed&#39;s rate hikes are beginning to have a notable impact on slowing the economy.</p><p>The climb in yields weighed on megacap growth companies such as Apple Inc and Alphabet Inc, which pulled down the technology and communication services sectors as the worst-performing on the session.</p><p>Losses were curbed on the Dow thanks to gains in industrials including Boeing Co and heavy equipment maker Caterpillar Inc.</p><p>Qualcomm Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">Roku Inc</a> lost ground after their holiday quarter forecasts fell below expectations.</p><p>With roughly 80% of S&amp;P 500 having reported earnings, the expected growth rate is 4.7%, according to Refinitiv data, up slightly from the 4.5% at the start of October.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","QCOM":"高通",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280545557","content_text":"U.S. initial weekly jobless claims fallServices industry growth slowsQualcomm, Roku slump on weak forecastsU.S. stocks closed lower for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday as economic data did little to alter expectations the Federal Reserve would continue raising interest rates for longer than previously thought.Following the Federal Reserve's statement on Wednesday, comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that it was \"very premature\" to be thinking about pausing its rate hikes sent stocks lower as U.S. bond yields and the U.S. dollar rose, a pattern that extended into Thursday.Economic data on Thursday showed a labor market that continues to stay strong, although a separate report showed growth in the services sector slowed in October, keeping the Fed on its aggressive interest rate hike path.\"Years ago the Fed’s job was to take away the punch bowl and that balance is always a very difficult transition, you want the economy to slow to keep inflation from getting out of hand but you want enough earnings to support stock prices,\" said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.\"It is about the rate of change as much as the change so when the rate of change starts to slow ... that almost becomes a positive even though in absolute terms we are going to continue to see higher rates and higher rates means more competition for stocks and lower multiples.\"According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 lost 40.23 points, or 1.04%, to end at 3,720.44 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 181.15 points, or 1.73%, to 10,342.97. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 148.42 points, or 0.47%, to 31,995.61.While traders are roughly evenly split between the odds of a 50 basis-point and 75 basis-point rate hike in December, the peak Fed funds rate is seen climbing to at least 5%, compared with a prior view of 4.50%-4.75% rise.Investors will closely eye the nonfarm payrolls report due on Friday for signs the Fed's rate hikes are beginning to have a notable impact on slowing the economy.The climb in yields weighed on megacap growth companies such as Apple Inc and Alphabet Inc, which pulled down the technology and communication services sectors as the worst-performing on the session.Losses were curbed on the Dow thanks to gains in industrials including Boeing Co and heavy equipment maker Caterpillar Inc.Qualcomm Inc and Roku Inc lost ground after their holiday quarter forecasts fell below expectations.With roughly 80% of S&P 500 having reported earnings, the expected growth rate is 4.7%, according to Refinitiv data, up slightly from the 4.5% at the start of October.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985796222,"gmtCreate":1667453440466,"gmtModify":1676537921007,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985796222","repostId":"1124568203","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124568203","pubTimestamp":1667433606,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124568203?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-03 08:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124568203","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f49e61e893d9c472d02d149b2fa866b5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. combined.</p><p>Apple finished Wednesday’s session with a $2.307 trillion market capitalization, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Alphabet, Amazon and Meta were worth a combined $2.306 trillion.</p><p>The comparison was flagged on Twitter by financial YouTuber Joseph Carlson.</p><p>The contrast illustrates the sharp comedown in technology shares this year. Apple was worth $2.913 trillion to close out 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The grouping of Alphabet, Amazon and Meta was worth $4.410 trillion at that time.</p><p>Apple’s stock has outperformed those of its three tech peers over both the past month and the course of 2022.</p><p>Shares of Apple are up 4.9% in the past month, while shares of Alphabet are down 9.1%, shares of Amazon are off 18.5% and shares of Meta are down 33.3%. On a year-to-date basis, Apple’s stock has lost 18.3%, while Alphabet’s has declined 40.5%, Amazon’s has fallen 44.7% and Meta’s has plunged 73.1%.</p><p>Apple’s stock has also had a better start to the week than any of those other three Big Tech names, though all four are down.</p><p>The four companies each reported earnings last week, and only Apple’s numbers were met with a positive stock reaction. Since then, Meta fell below a $300 billion valuation for the first time since February 2016. It was valued at $240 billion as of Wednesday’s close.</p><p>Meanwhile, Amazon’s stock has declined in each of the past six trading sessions, and the company on Tuesday fell out of trillion-dollar territory for the first time since April 2020.</p><p>Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik recently highlighted the challenges facing the big internet companies in what he called an “autopsy” of their latest results. He noted that Alphabet, Amazon and Meta now have to show “perfection” as they all have diversified businesses and investors are more prone to nitpicking signs of weakness in any one of those area amid this choppy market climate.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Now Valued at More Than Amazon, Alphabet and Meta — Combined\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-03 08:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-now-valued-at-more-than-amazon-alphabet-and-meta-combined-11667430617?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124568203","content_text":"Apple Inc. shares have held up far better than those of its Big Tech peers over the past month, and that’s helped the company to a staggering feat: The smartphone giant is now worth more than Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. combined.Apple finished Wednesday’s session with a $2.307 trillion market capitalization, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Alphabet, Amazon and Meta were worth a combined $2.306 trillion.The comparison was flagged on Twitter by financial YouTuber Joseph Carlson.The contrast illustrates the sharp comedown in technology shares this year. Apple was worth $2.913 trillion to close out 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The grouping of Alphabet, Amazon and Meta was worth $4.410 trillion at that time.Apple’s stock has outperformed those of its three tech peers over both the past month and the course of 2022.Shares of Apple are up 4.9% in the past month, while shares of Alphabet are down 9.1%, shares of Amazon are off 18.5% and shares of Meta are down 33.3%. On a year-to-date basis, Apple’s stock has lost 18.3%, while Alphabet’s has declined 40.5%, Amazon’s has fallen 44.7% and Meta’s has plunged 73.1%.Apple’s stock has also had a better start to the week than any of those other three Big Tech names, though all four are down.The four companies each reported earnings last week, and only Apple’s numbers were met with a positive stock reaction. Since then, Meta fell below a $300 billion valuation for the first time since February 2016. It was valued at $240 billion as of Wednesday’s close.Meanwhile, Amazon’s stock has declined in each of the past six trading sessions, and the company on Tuesday fell out of trillion-dollar territory for the first time since April 2020.Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik recently highlighted the challenges facing the big internet companies in what he called an “autopsy” of their latest results. He noted that Alphabet, Amazon and Meta now have to show “perfection” as they all have diversified businesses and investors are more prone to nitpicking signs of weakness in any one of those area amid this choppy market climate.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985884395,"gmtCreate":1667353211117,"gmtModify":1676537903095,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohhh","listText":"Ohhh","text":"Ohhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985884395","repostId":"2280425093","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2280425093","pubTimestamp":1667349152,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280425093?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-02 08:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Closes Below $1 Trillion in Market Value for First Time Since 2020","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280425093","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"A weak forecast contributed to a five-day drop for the stockTech has slumped this year on concerns o","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>A weak forecast contributed to a five-day drop for the stock</li><li>Tech has slumped this year on concerns over growth, rates</li></ul><p>Amazon.com Inc. shares fell on Tuesday, with the e-commerce and cloud-computing company closing below $1 trillion in market value for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic more than two years ago.</p><p>The stock fell 5.5% to end at $96.79, representing a market capitalization of $987.4 billion. Shares closed at their lowest level since April 2020, and have dropped 42% this year. At its Nov. 18 peak, Amazon boasted a market cap of nearly $1.9 trillion.</p><p>It was the fifth straight negative session for Amazon -- down about 20% over the period. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 Index fell 1% on Tuesday.</p><p>Recent weakness was spurred by the Seattle company’s earnings report last week, when it projected the slowest holiday-quarter growth in its history. Amazon, which had posted record profits during the pandemic, said sales would increase by only 2% to 8% during what has traditionally been its peak season.</p><p>Amazon, along with most other major technology and internet stocks, has been pressured throughout 2022 by concerns over slowing growth and rising interest rates. The economic uncertainty has weighed on the multiples of high-valuation stocks.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Closes Below $1 Trillion in Market Value for First Time Since 2020</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Closes Below $1 Trillion in Market Value for First Time Since 2020\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-02 08:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-closes-below-1-trillion-204439368.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A weak forecast contributed to a five-day drop for the stockTech has slumped this year on concerns over growth, ratesAmazon.com Inc. shares fell on Tuesday, with the e-commerce and cloud-computing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-closes-below-1-trillion-204439368.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4538":"云计算","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD)   INC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU0289941410.SGD":"AB FCP I Dynamic Diversified AX SGD","AMZN":"亚马逊","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4524":"宅经济概念"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-closes-below-1-trillion-204439368.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2280425093","content_text":"A weak forecast contributed to a five-day drop for the stockTech has slumped this year on concerns over growth, ratesAmazon.com Inc. shares fell on Tuesday, with the e-commerce and cloud-computing company closing below $1 trillion in market value for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic more than two years ago.The stock fell 5.5% to end at $96.79, representing a market capitalization of $987.4 billion. Shares closed at their lowest level since April 2020, and have dropped 42% this year. At its Nov. 18 peak, Amazon boasted a market cap of nearly $1.9 trillion.It was the fifth straight negative session for Amazon -- down about 20% over the period. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 Index fell 1% on Tuesday.Recent weakness was spurred by the Seattle company’s earnings report last week, when it projected the slowest holiday-quarter growth in its history. Amazon, which had posted record profits during the pandemic, said sales would increase by only 2% to 8% during what has traditionally been its peak season.Amazon, along with most other major technology and internet stocks, has been pressured throughout 2022 by concerns over slowing growth and rising interest rates. The economic uncertainty has weighed on the multiples of high-valuation stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985068132,"gmtCreate":1667271012626,"gmtModify":1676537888959,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huh","listText":"Huh","text":"Huh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985068132","repostId":"1180963465","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180963465","pubTimestamp":1667262471,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180963465?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-01 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple and Microsoft Market Caps Reached Their Largest Spread on Record — at Roughly Tesla’s Entire Valuation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180963465","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4062ea999ad9a74269b4289fac8b8890\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings reports widened the spread between the two companies’ market values to the largest on record at more than $700 billion to close out last week.</p><p>Apple finished Friday’s trading session with a<b> $2.48 trillion valuation</b>, while Microsoft ended the week with a <b>$1.76 trillion valuation</b>. The $719.24 billion spread between those two market caps was the widest record and nearly as much as Tesla Inc.’s entire market cap of<b> $721.61 billion</b>, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The spread has narrowed a bit with Monday morning’s trading action, as Apple shares are off 1.8% and Microsoft shares are down 1.5%. Apple’s market value is now $698.40 billion larger than Microsoft’s, with that spread again similar to Tesla’s  current valuation.</p><p>While Apple shares rallied 7.6% in Friday trading after the company posted a large revenue beat in its Mac segment and indicated that iPhone demand was strong despite supply challenges, Microsoft shares lost 7.7% Wednesday as the company’s most recent earnings report fueled concerns about cloud growth.</p><p>Combined, Apple’s and Microsoft’s market caps made up 42% of the market cap of all Dow Jones Industrial Average components as of Friday’s close.</p><p>Apple’s price-to-earnings ratio on a next-12-months basis is also higher than Microsoft’s in a somewhat rare occurrence. While the smartphone giant’s forward P/E has been higher than Microsoft’s during several days in September and October, it hadn’t been above Microsoft’s before those instances since January 2021, per Dow Jones Market Data, based on FactSet data.</p><p>Apple had a 24.48 P/E ahead of Monday’s open, while Microsoft’s was 23.25.</p><p>Shares of both names remain down on the year, however, with Microsoft’s stock off 31% over the course of 2022 and Apple’s off 14%. Together, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Meta Platforms Inc. have shed $3 trillion in market value so far this year.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple and Microsoft Market Caps Reached Their Largest Spread on Record — at Roughly Tesla’s Entire Valuation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple and Microsoft Market Caps Reached Their Largest Spread on Record — at Roughly Tesla’s Entire Valuation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-01 08:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-and-microsoft-market-caps-reached-their-largest-spread-on-record-at-roughly-teslas-entire-valuation-11667226567><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings reports widened the spread between the two companies’ market values to the largest on record at more ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-and-microsoft-market-caps-reached-their-largest-spread-on-record-at-roughly-teslas-entire-valuation-11667226567\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","TSLA":"特斯拉","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-and-microsoft-market-caps-reached-their-largest-spread-on-record-at-roughly-teslas-entire-valuation-11667226567","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180963465","content_text":"The divergent performances of Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. in the wake of their latest earnings reports widened the spread between the two companies’ market values to the largest on record at more than $700 billion to close out last week.Apple finished Friday’s trading session with a $2.48 trillion valuation, while Microsoft ended the week with a $1.76 trillion valuation. The $719.24 billion spread between those two market caps was the widest record and nearly as much as Tesla Inc.’s entire market cap of $721.61 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.The spread has narrowed a bit with Monday morning’s trading action, as Apple shares are off 1.8% and Microsoft shares are down 1.5%. Apple’s market value is now $698.40 billion larger than Microsoft’s, with that spread again similar to Tesla’s  current valuation.While Apple shares rallied 7.6% in Friday trading after the company posted a large revenue beat in its Mac segment and indicated that iPhone demand was strong despite supply challenges, Microsoft shares lost 7.7% Wednesday as the company’s most recent earnings report fueled concerns about cloud growth.Combined, Apple’s and Microsoft’s market caps made up 42% of the market cap of all Dow Jones Industrial Average components as of Friday’s close.Apple’s price-to-earnings ratio on a next-12-months basis is also higher than Microsoft’s in a somewhat rare occurrence. While the smartphone giant’s forward P/E has been higher than Microsoft’s during several days in September and October, it hadn’t been above Microsoft’s before those instances since January 2021, per Dow Jones Market Data, based on FactSet data.Apple had a 24.48 P/E ahead of Monday’s open, while Microsoft’s was 23.25.Shares of both names remain down on the year, however, with Microsoft’s stock off 31% over the course of 2022 and Apple’s off 14%. Together, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Meta Platforms Inc. have shed $3 trillion in market value so far this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982264048,"gmtCreate":1667188520584,"gmtModify":1676537874055,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982264048","repostId":"1188744789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188744789","pubTimestamp":1667185398,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188744789?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-31 11:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jittery Stock Traders Eye Four Days That Will Sow Market’s Fate","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188744789","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections comingSpells no reprieve from turbulence set ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections coming</li><li>Spells no reprieve from turbulence set off by earning reports</li></ul><p>Investors just got over a hectic week, contending with a blitz of earnings from some of America’s biggest companies as well as a pile of uncertain economic and geopolitical news. But what’s coming may be even worse.</p><p>In the span of just seven trading sessions, there will be four major events that could shape the market’s outlook for the rest of the year -- and potentially prompt a rapid about-face by confounding expectations.</p><p>On Nov. 2, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest-rate decision and give hints about its path forward, possibly signaling plans to ease back from the aggressive pace of hikes that’s threatening to drive the economy into a recession.</p><p>Two days later, the October jobs report will provide an important look at how much hiring is slowing. Then on Nov. 8, the mid-term elections may usher in a change in which party controls Congress. And finally, on Nov. 10 there’s the consumer price index, a report that’s played a key role in shaping expectations for the Fed’s path since inflation roared back to a four-decade high.</p><p>Throw in the ongoing earnings season and Bank of England’s interest-rate decision on Nov. 3, and it’s clear why some on Wall Street are bracing for a renewed jolt of volatility.</p><p>Here’s what investors are on the lookout for in each of these events.</p><h2>FOMC Rate Decision</h2><p>Wall Street views a fourth straight 75 basis-point interest-rate hike on Nov. 2 as a sure thing. What the Fed signals will happen next is far more significant, with traders increasingly betting that the central bank will start to ease up on its pace in December. The Bank of Canada did just that on Wednesday, providing a potential opening for other central banks to follow suit as recession risks rise.</p><p>Traders are bracing for larger-than-usual price changes on Nov. 2 and Nov. 10, judging by options expirations over the course of the next two weeks. To SpotGamma founder Brent Kochuba, the Fed’s rate decision is the most crucial of the upcoming events and sets the stage for how the data releases that follow will affect markets.</p><p>“For volatility traders, it’s the Fed first, everything else second,” Kochuba said. “If monetary policy makers come off as accommodative, that will shift volatility expectations in a big way.”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8065fe0bca22470d793e4f5a1ca003de\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"772\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><h2>Jobs Day</h2><p>The October jobs report, released Friday, is expected to show that the unemployment rate increased to 3.6% from 3.5%, edging up from a half-century low. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to tick down to 190,000 from 263,000 in September, but that would still indicate continued strength in the labor market.</p><p>Data on initial jobless claims Thursday indicated the employment market remains tight, while the initial report on third-quarter GDP showed the economy remains on strong footing, both of which suggest it can weather jumbo-sized rate hikes. A stronger-than-expected jobs report for September sent the S&amp;P 500 Index down 2.8% on Oct. 7, its worst jobs-day showing since the summer of 2010. Another upside surprise could dash hopes that the Fed will dial back its rate hikes to half a percentage point in December.</p><h2>Midterm Elections</h2><p>Stock bulls are hoping for one crucial outcome from the US midterm elections: a divided Congress. Why? Because equities tend to benefit from gridlock in Washington since it tends to produce few if any a major policy shifts.</p><p>The two most likely outcomes this midterm cycle -- either a Democratic president with a Republican House and a Democrat Senate or a Democratic president with a full Republican Congress -- have benefited equity investors in the past. In each of the scenarios, the S&amp;P 500 has proceeded to post annual gains ranging between 5% and 14%, according to Comerica Wealth Management, which cited data from Strategas Research Partners.</p><p>“Stocks perform best in a divided government,” Victoria Greene, chief investment officer at G Squared Private Wealth, said. “Balance of power and gridlock is something markets like.”</p><h2>Inflation Report</h2><p>Few economic announcements have mattered more this year than the consumer price index, given that tamping-down inflation is the central priority of the Fed. Barclays Plc strategists, who plotted the S&amp;P 500’s performance against 10 major economic indicators, found that in the past decade stocks have never reacted as negatively to any economic indicator as they are now to the CPI.</p><p>“We may have a shot at getting some clarity toward the end of the fourth quarter on whether inflation is slowing and if the Fed will ease up on rate hikes,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments, said in a phone interview. “Then that could provide calmness in the Treasury market and push investors to take on risk in equities once again.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jittery Stock Traders Eye Four Days That Will Sow Market’s Fate</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJittery Stock Traders Eye Four Days That Will Sow Market’s Fate\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-31 11:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-30/jittery-stock-traders-eye-four-days-that-will-sow-market-s-fate?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections comingSpells no reprieve from turbulence set off by earning reportsInvestors just got over a hectic week, contending with a blitz of earnings ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-30/jittery-stock-traders-eye-four-days-that-will-sow-market-s-fate?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-30/jittery-stock-traders-eye-four-days-that-will-sow-market-s-fate?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188744789","content_text":"Rate decision, jobs and CPI updates, midterm elections comingSpells no reprieve from turbulence set off by earning reportsInvestors just got over a hectic week, contending with a blitz of earnings from some of America’s biggest companies as well as a pile of uncertain economic and geopolitical news. But what’s coming may be even worse.In the span of just seven trading sessions, there will be four major events that could shape the market’s outlook for the rest of the year -- and potentially prompt a rapid about-face by confounding expectations.On Nov. 2, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest-rate decision and give hints about its path forward, possibly signaling plans to ease back from the aggressive pace of hikes that’s threatening to drive the economy into a recession.Two days later, the October jobs report will provide an important look at how much hiring is slowing. Then on Nov. 8, the mid-term elections may usher in a change in which party controls Congress. And finally, on Nov. 10 there’s the consumer price index, a report that’s played a key role in shaping expectations for the Fed’s path since inflation roared back to a four-decade high.Throw in the ongoing earnings season and Bank of England’s interest-rate decision on Nov. 3, and it’s clear why some on Wall Street are bracing for a renewed jolt of volatility.Here’s what investors are on the lookout for in each of these events.FOMC Rate DecisionWall Street views a fourth straight 75 basis-point interest-rate hike on Nov. 2 as a sure thing. What the Fed signals will happen next is far more significant, with traders increasingly betting that the central bank will start to ease up on its pace in December. The Bank of Canada did just that on Wednesday, providing a potential opening for other central banks to follow suit as recession risks rise.Traders are bracing for larger-than-usual price changes on Nov. 2 and Nov. 10, judging by options expirations over the course of the next two weeks. To SpotGamma founder Brent Kochuba, the Fed’s rate decision is the most crucial of the upcoming events and sets the stage for how the data releases that follow will affect markets.“For volatility traders, it’s the Fed first, everything else second,” Kochuba said. “If monetary policy makers come off as accommodative, that will shift volatility expectations in a big way.”Source: BloombergJobs DayThe October jobs report, released Friday, is expected to show that the unemployment rate increased to 3.6% from 3.5%, edging up from a half-century low. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to tick down to 190,000 from 263,000 in September, but that would still indicate continued strength in the labor market.Data on initial jobless claims Thursday indicated the employment market remains tight, while the initial report on third-quarter GDP showed the economy remains on strong footing, both of which suggest it can weather jumbo-sized rate hikes. A stronger-than-expected jobs report for September sent the S&P 500 Index down 2.8% on Oct. 7, its worst jobs-day showing since the summer of 2010. Another upside surprise could dash hopes that the Fed will dial back its rate hikes to half a percentage point in December.Midterm ElectionsStock bulls are hoping for one crucial outcome from the US midterm elections: a divided Congress. Why? Because equities tend to benefit from gridlock in Washington since it tends to produce few if any a major policy shifts.The two most likely outcomes this midterm cycle -- either a Democratic president with a Republican House and a Democrat Senate or a Democratic president with a full Republican Congress -- have benefited equity investors in the past. In each of the scenarios, the S&P 500 has proceeded to post annual gains ranging between 5% and 14%, according to Comerica Wealth Management, which cited data from Strategas Research Partners.“Stocks perform best in a divided government,” Victoria Greene, chief investment officer at G Squared Private Wealth, said. “Balance of power and gridlock is something markets like.”Inflation ReportFew economic announcements have mattered more this year than the consumer price index, given that tamping-down inflation is the central priority of the Fed. Barclays Plc strategists, who plotted the S&P 500’s performance against 10 major economic indicators, found that in the past decade stocks have never reacted as negatively to any economic indicator as they are now to the CPI.“We may have a shot at getting some clarity toward the end of the fourth quarter on whether inflation is slowing and if the Fed will ease up on rate hikes,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments, said in a phone interview. “Then that could provide calmness in the Treasury market and push investors to take on risk in equities once again.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982085220,"gmtCreate":1667047408260,"gmtModify":1676537853936,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kk","listText":"Kk","text":"Kk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982085220","repostId":"2278507483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2278507483","pubTimestamp":1667005734,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278507483?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-29 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in November","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278507483","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The Oracle of Omaha's methodology is passing the test of time after all.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett&#39;s value-based approach to picking stocks somewhat fell out of favor back in mid-2020, when growth stocks led the market out of its pandemic-prompted pullback. The market environment is more than a little rocky this year, though, and Buffett&#39;s philosophy is proving itself once again. Whereas the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has been rather deep in the red over the past year of trading, <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> stock is basically breaking even.</p><p>Translation: Given enough time, the all-weather Warren Buffett way still works.</p><p>Let&#39;s take a look at three Berkshire holdings you may want to scoop up for yourself, and soon. They&#39;re mostly underperforming for now. But these stocks tend to be recession-resilient, and they could end up outperforming the broad market in the foreseeable future.</p><h2>1. Bank of America</h2><p>At first glance, there are some troubling indicators surrounding banks right now. Rising interest rates could crimp demand for loans, while a weakening economy dents borrowers&#39; ability to make loan payments. Such an environment also sours the stock market, undermining the banking industry&#39;s investment-related businesses.</p><p>But investors may be pricing in far more downside than is merited for banks at the same time they&#39;re overlooking the upsides of this situation. That&#39;s arguably what&#39;s happening with <b>Bank of America</b> shares anyway.</p><p>Yes, last quarter&#39;s results showed a sizable uptick in provisions for losses on loans that may be in the cards, and per-share earnings fell from $0.85 to only $0.81 per share. That&#39;s quite possibly the worst trouble the bank&#39;s facing though. Even the company&#39;s investment management operation more or less matched this year&#39;s second-quarter results as well as the year-ago Q3 results during the third quarter of this year despite the broader market&#39;s poor performance.</p><p>Indeed, things may even be looking up very soon for Buffett&#39;s beaten-down $133 billion Bank of America position, which accounts for more than a tenth of his total stock holdings.</p><p>Although Bank of America is likely to make far fewer loans within the next few months than it has during the past few months, the net profitability of those loans should be much greater than the bank&#39;s current loan portfolio. In a recent interview with Yahoo! Finance, CEO Brian Moynihan pointed out that continued increases in interest rates could add another billion dollars worth of profitability to the company&#39;s current bottom line. That would bolster net interest income that was already up 24% year over year last quarter.</p><p>It&#39;s a possibility, however, that&#39;s only recent begun to be reflected in the stock&#39;s rebound effort from a sell-off that dragged it 40% below February&#39;s peak price. Still down 20% year to date though, the bounce since October&#39;s low may be a sign that the market is finally starting to right-price this ticker headed into November.</p><h2>2. Coca-Cola</h2><p>The recession-related risk of losing a job may prompt some people to cancel a vacation or postpone the purchase of a new car. Economic weakness and burgeoning inflation, however, typically don&#39;t cause consumers to stop buying their favorite beverages.</p><p>Enter<b> Coca-Cola</b>, which is doing just fine at a time when most companies aren&#39;t. Last quarter&#39;s organic revenue was up 16% on a 4% increase in unit volume, meaning the beverage giant is successfully passing along its higher costs to its customers. The company also managed to gain market share in a very crowded drinks market. And, given all that its management knows right now, Coca-Cola is still looking for solid single-digit revenue and earnings growth for the upcoming year despite broad economic headwinds.</p><p>This loyalty makes sense. Coca-Cola is one of the world&#39;s most recognized and beloved brand names, and being in business for 136 years means it&#39;s had plenty of time to become a fixture of the global culture. Christmas ornaments, clothing, toys, and home decor are just some of non-beverage goods that regularly borrow the Coca-Cola logo and colors, reflecting the planet&#39;s affinity for the brand outside of beverages.</p><p>Of course, The Coca-Cola Company isn&#39;t just its namesake cola anymore. The company reaches plenty of non-soda drinkers as well; it also owns Dasani water, Gold Peak tea, and Minute Maid juices, just to name a few.</p><p>Perhaps the real upside to new investors, however, is the nuance that Buffett likes most about this particular Berkshire holding. That&#39;s the dividend -- and its reliable growth -- that keeps on coming even in lousy environments. The quarterly payout has not only been paid like clockwork for decades now, but the annual dividend payment has been upped every year for the past 60 years.  Thanks to the stock&#39;s relative weakness this year, you can step into this stock right now while its yield is an above-average 3%.</p><h2>3. American Express</h2><p>Finally, add <b>American Express</b> to your list of Buffett stocks to buy sooner than later, while you can still buy it 26% below February&#39;s peak.</p><p>On the surface, it&#39;s just another credit company. Dig deeper, though, and it&#39;s much more. Whereas competitors like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a></b> and <b>Mastercard</b> provide a payments processing platform for card issuers, American Express builds and operates its own robust charge-card ecosystem. The bulk of the company&#39;s personal and business charge cards impose an annual fee, but it&#39;s a fee its customers gladly pay in exchange for incredible perks. The Platinum Card, for instance, offers access to select airport lounges, while the Gold Card offers outright credits for <b>Uber Technology</b>&#39;s ride-hailing services.</p><p>And this ecosystem of benefits is no small matter.</p><p>The company earns interest income like any other lender and collects the usual transaction fees for facilitating the purchase of goods and services. But it also generates a great deal of service and card-fee income. Roughly 10% of last quarter&#39;s top line came from cardholders&#39; payments just for the privilege of holding an American Express charge card.</p><p>Of course, the economic turbulence could rattle consumers&#39; spending and prompt some to cancel credit cards that incur an annual fee. But that&#39;s not as likely as you might suspect.</p><p>Aside from the fact that American Express cardholders really, <i>really</i> love their rewards programs -- in August, J.D. Power ranked American Express highest for customer satisfaction for a third year in a row -- credit cards aren&#39;t just for splurging anymore. They&#39;re increasingly being used as an alternative to cash to buy everyday goods. In this vein, American Express has collected nearly $38.7 billion in net revenue through the first three quarters of this year, up 30% from where it was at this time of year in pre-pandemic 2019. Analysts are calling for top-line growth of 11% next year, too, despite the brewing economic headwind. That&#39;s more than many other companies will be able to produce.</p><p>You won&#39;t want to tarry if you agree with the bigger-picture bullish premise either. While the stock&#39;s deep in the red for the year, American Express and now both Mastercard and Visa all agreed in their most recent earnings reports that consumer spending is remaining surprisingly firm. The market hasn&#39;t been pricing these stocks accordingly, but may well do that beginning in November now that all three players are singing the same chorus.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in November</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in November\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-29 09:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/3-warren-buffett-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist-in-n/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett's value-based approach to picking stocks somewhat fell out of favor back in mid-2020, when growth stocks led the market out of its pandemic-prompted pullback. The market environment is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/3-warren-buffett-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist-in-n/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","KO":"可口可乐","AXP":"美国运通"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/28/3-warren-buffett-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist-in-n/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278507483","content_text":"Warren Buffett's value-based approach to picking stocks somewhat fell out of favor back in mid-2020, when growth stocks led the market out of its pandemic-prompted pullback. The market environment is more than a little rocky this year, though, and Buffett's philosophy is proving itself once again. Whereas the S&P 500 has been rather deep in the red over the past year of trading, Berkshire Hathaway stock is basically breaking even.Translation: Given enough time, the all-weather Warren Buffett way still works.Let's take a look at three Berkshire holdings you may want to scoop up for yourself, and soon. They're mostly underperforming for now. But these stocks tend to be recession-resilient, and they could end up outperforming the broad market in the foreseeable future.1. Bank of AmericaAt first glance, there are some troubling indicators surrounding banks right now. Rising interest rates could crimp demand for loans, while a weakening economy dents borrowers' ability to make loan payments. Such an environment also sours the stock market, undermining the banking industry's investment-related businesses.But investors may be pricing in far more downside than is merited for banks at the same time they're overlooking the upsides of this situation. That's arguably what's happening with Bank of America shares anyway.Yes, last quarter's results showed a sizable uptick in provisions for losses on loans that may be in the cards, and per-share earnings fell from $0.85 to only $0.81 per share. That's quite possibly the worst trouble the bank's facing though. Even the company's investment management operation more or less matched this year's second-quarter results as well as the year-ago Q3 results during the third quarter of this year despite the broader market's poor performance.Indeed, things may even be looking up very soon for Buffett's beaten-down $133 billion Bank of America position, which accounts for more than a tenth of his total stock holdings.Although Bank of America is likely to make far fewer loans within the next few months than it has during the past few months, the net profitability of those loans should be much greater than the bank's current loan portfolio. In a recent interview with Yahoo! Finance, CEO Brian Moynihan pointed out that continued increases in interest rates could add another billion dollars worth of profitability to the company's current bottom line. That would bolster net interest income that was already up 24% year over year last quarter.It's a possibility, however, that's only recent begun to be reflected in the stock's rebound effort from a sell-off that dragged it 40% below February's peak price. Still down 20% year to date though, the bounce since October's low may be a sign that the market is finally starting to right-price this ticker headed into November.2. Coca-ColaThe recession-related risk of losing a job may prompt some people to cancel a vacation or postpone the purchase of a new car. Economic weakness and burgeoning inflation, however, typically don't cause consumers to stop buying their favorite beverages.Enter Coca-Cola, which is doing just fine at a time when most companies aren't. Last quarter's organic revenue was up 16% on a 4% increase in unit volume, meaning the beverage giant is successfully passing along its higher costs to its customers. The company also managed to gain market share in a very crowded drinks market. And, given all that its management knows right now, Coca-Cola is still looking for solid single-digit revenue and earnings growth for the upcoming year despite broad economic headwinds.This loyalty makes sense. Coca-Cola is one of the world's most recognized and beloved brand names, and being in business for 136 years means it's had plenty of time to become a fixture of the global culture. Christmas ornaments, clothing, toys, and home decor are just some of non-beverage goods that regularly borrow the Coca-Cola logo and colors, reflecting the planet's affinity for the brand outside of beverages.Of course, The Coca-Cola Company isn't just its namesake cola anymore. The company reaches plenty of non-soda drinkers as well; it also owns Dasani water, Gold Peak tea, and Minute Maid juices, just to name a few.Perhaps the real upside to new investors, however, is the nuance that Buffett likes most about this particular Berkshire holding. That's the dividend -- and its reliable growth -- that keeps on coming even in lousy environments. The quarterly payout has not only been paid like clockwork for decades now, but the annual dividend payment has been upped every year for the past 60 years.  Thanks to the stock's relative weakness this year, you can step into this stock right now while its yield is an above-average 3%.3. American ExpressFinally, add American Express to your list of Buffett stocks to buy sooner than later, while you can still buy it 26% below February's peak.On the surface, it's just another credit company. Dig deeper, though, and it's much more. Whereas competitors like Visa and Mastercard provide a payments processing platform for card issuers, American Express builds and operates its own robust charge-card ecosystem. The bulk of the company's personal and business charge cards impose an annual fee, but it's a fee its customers gladly pay in exchange for incredible perks. The Platinum Card, for instance, offers access to select airport lounges, while the Gold Card offers outright credits for Uber Technology's ride-hailing services.And this ecosystem of benefits is no small matter.The company earns interest income like any other lender and collects the usual transaction fees for facilitating the purchase of goods and services. But it also generates a great deal of service and card-fee income. Roughly 10% of last quarter's top line came from cardholders' payments just for the privilege of holding an American Express charge card.Of course, the economic turbulence could rattle consumers' spending and prompt some to cancel credit cards that incur an annual fee. But that's not as likely as you might suspect.Aside from the fact that American Express cardholders really, really love their rewards programs -- in August, J.D. Power ranked American Express highest for customer satisfaction for a third year in a row -- credit cards aren't just for splurging anymore. They're increasingly being used as an alternative to cash to buy everyday goods. In this vein, American Express has collected nearly $38.7 billion in net revenue through the first three quarters of this year, up 30% from where it was at this time of year in pre-pandemic 2019. Analysts are calling for top-line growth of 11% next year, too, despite the brewing economic headwind. That's more than many other companies will be able to produce.You won't want to tarry if you agree with the bigger-picture bullish premise either. While the stock's deep in the red for the year, American Express and now both Mastercard and Visa all agreed in their most recent earnings reports that consumer spending is remaining surprisingly firm. The market hasn't been pricing these stocks accordingly, but may well do that beginning in November now that all three players are singing the same chorus.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986807658,"gmtCreate":1666919257775,"gmtModify":1676537830486,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986807658","repostId":"1100216928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100216928","pubTimestamp":1666929303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100216928?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-28 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100216928","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what&#39;s to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.</li><li>The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.</li><li>Yet, the company&#39;s earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.</li><li>While Apple stock&#39;s outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.</li></ul><p>Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business&#39;s strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.</p><p>Apple&#39;s September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family&#39;s base model equivalents.</p><p>We believe Apple&#39;s resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple&#39;s prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.</p><p>Meanwhile, management&#39;s allusion to &#34;strength of [Apple&#39;s] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high&#34; kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors&#39; concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.</p><p>But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple&#39;s sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services&#39; margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.</p><p>While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year&#39;s selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more &#34;vulnerable&#34; to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business&#39; robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple&#39;s valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock&#39;s$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple&#39;s upbeat F4Q22 results and management&#39;s positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.</p><p><b>Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For It</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple&#39;s Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company&#39;s long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.</p><p>This is also music to investors&#39; ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.</p><blockquote>In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple&#39;s services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.</blockquote><blockquote>Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple&#39;s sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p>We see Services&#39; critical role in safeguarding Apple&#39;s bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company&#39;s recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment&#39;s momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.</p><p><b>Apple TV+</b></p><p>Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a &#34;cheaper&#34; alternative.</p><p>We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+&#39;s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was &#34;introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.&#34; But now, it has grown into an extensive library of &#34;award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,&#34; which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.</p><p>Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as &#34;Friday Night Baseball&#34; - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+&#39;s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max&#39;s ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+&#39;s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.</p><p><b>Apple Music</b></p><p>The monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify&#39;s (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.</p><p>The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service&#39;s already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify&#39;s (&gt;30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.</p><p>Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment&#39;s bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.</p><p><b>Apple One Bundle</b></p><p>The Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.</p><p>The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple&#39;s service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.</p><p>The pricing advantage in Apple&#39;s Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment&#39;s profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple&#39;s free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.</p><p><b>Near-Term Investment Risks to Consider</b></p><p><b>China Risks:</b> This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple&#39;s most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company&#39;s consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.</p><p>In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.</p><p>Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple&#39;s importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple&#39;s power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant&#39;s &#34;size and importance to suppliers&#34; was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.</p><p><b>Macro Risks:</b> FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company&#39;s massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple&#39;s upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.</p><p>In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.</p><p>Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple&#39;s pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.</p><p><b>Lengthening Product Cycle Risks:</b> Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment&#39;s growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple&#39;s transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company&#39;s potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.</p><blockquote>Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple&#39;s services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple&#39;s iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Market sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for &#34;nearly a fifth&#34; of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).</p><p>While Apple&#39;s valuation remains lofty at &#34;23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,&#34; which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company&#39;s fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-28 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100216928","content_text":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.Yet, the company's earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.While Apple stock's outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business's strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.Apple's September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family's base model equivalents.We believe Apple's resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple's prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.Meanwhile, management's allusion to \"strength of [Apple's] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high\" kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors' concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple's sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple's earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services' margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year's selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more \"vulnerable\" to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business' robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple's valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock's$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple's upbeat F4Q22 results and management's positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For ItApple's Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple's Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company's long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.This is also music to investors' ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (\"CAGR\") of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple's services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple's sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"We see Services' critical role in safeguarding Apple's bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company's recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment's momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.Apple TV+Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a \"cheaper\" alternative.We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+'s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was \"introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.\" But now, it has grown into an extensive library of \"award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,\" which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as \"Friday Night Baseball\" - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+'s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max's ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+'s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.Apple MusicThe monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify's (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service's already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify's (>30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment's bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.Apple One BundleThe Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple's service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.The pricing advantage in Apple's Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment's profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple's free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.Near-Term Investment Risks to ConsiderChina Risks: This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple's most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company's consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple's importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple's power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant's \"size and importance to suppliers\" was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.Macro Risks: FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company's massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple's upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple's pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple's rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.Lengthening Product Cycle Risks: Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment's growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple's transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company's potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple's services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple's iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"Final ThoughtsMarket sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for \"nearly a fifth\" of the S&P 500's value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).While Apple's valuation remains lofty at \"23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,\" which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company's fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988721620,"gmtCreate":1666835550760,"gmtModify":1676537813737,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"He","listText":"He","text":"He","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988721620","repostId":"1191968759","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191968759","pubTimestamp":1666842903,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191968759?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-27 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 3 Hottest Stocks to Watch This Earnings Season","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191968759","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"These three earnings reports are among the most important for investors to pay attention to.Apple(AA","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>These three earnings reports are among the most important for investors to pay attention to.</li><li><b>Apple</b>(<b>AAPL</b>): All eyes will be on the company’s iPhone 14 sales.</li><li><b>Amazon</b>(<b>AMZN</b>): About 63% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck.</li><li><b>Exxon Mobil</b>(<b>XOM</b>): Oil giant in prime position to give more money back to shareholders.</li></ul><p>Much like the first half of the year, the second half started out just as rough. However, there are still top stocks to watch. As inflation remains stubbornly high, consumers are struggling. Nearly63% of Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck. Thus, there are clear recession fears brewing. This is based mainly on the fear that the Federal Reserve may be getting far too aggressive with interest rate hikes. That said, there are expectations the Fed may be backing off of its aggressive stance, as to avoid pushing the economy over the edge.</p><p>The world is still dealing with the Russia-Ukraine war. TheInternational Monetary Fundis warning of a global recession. Chinaimposed lockdownsto fight the coronavirus. In short, the world is dealing with a slow-motion train wreck that could get worse before it gets better.</p><p>Earnings season is also under way. While top stocks to watch, such as <b>Coca-Cola</b>(NYSE:<b><u>KO</u></b>), <b>Visa</b>(NYSE:<b><u>V</u></b>), <b>Chipotle</b>(NYSE:<b><u>CMG</u></b>), <b>General Electric</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GE</u></b>), <b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GM</u></b>) and dozens more beat earnings, some big names such as <b>Microsoft</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>MSFT</u></b>) dipped on its cloud growth miss and weak guidance. Even <b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>) just slipped on a disappointing earnings report.</p><p>We’ll also get earnings from these market-moving heavyweights, too.</p><p><b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p>One of the top stocks to watch is <b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AAPL</u></b>), which will post its fourth quarter earnings on Oct. 27. In this report, all eyes will be on its iPhone 14 sales.</p><p>Investors want to see if the latest release is on pace for a solid growth cycle, or if global macro issues have started to weigh down demand. At the moment, the Street is looking for earnings per share of $1.27 on sales of $88.79 million.</p><p><b>Deutsche Bank</b>(NYSE:<b>DB</b>) analyst Sidney Ho expects Apple earnings to be in line with expectations. In addition, as noted byTheFly.com, “Ho thinks [Apple’s] slower growth is already anticipated by the market, especially given recent media reports suggesting Apple is cutting iPhone orders and the stock pulling back 20% from the August peak. He also believes the company’s ‘strong balance sheet will shine in the current environment,’ supporting its dividend payments and share repurchases totaling $100B annually.”</p><p><b>Morgan Stanley</b>(NYSE:<b>MS</b>) analyst Eric Woodring sees Q4 revenue of $90.1 billion, and December quarter revenue of $133.7 billion. Both would be above analyst expectations. The analyst also says Apple is his top pick, reiterating an overweight rating, with a price target of $177.</p><p>After plummeting from $175 to $135, it appears most of the market’s negativity has been priced in. Unless something shocking is uncovered in the earnings report, I’d like to see the Apple stock challenge prior resistance around $162.50.</p><p><b>Amazon (AMZN)</b></p><p><b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) will also release earnings on Oct. 27, and is another one of the top stocks to watch. The Street expects the company to earn 22 cents per share on sales of $127.57 billion, as compared to earnings per share of 31 cents on sales of $110.81 billion year over year. There are also concerns that falling consumer demand could have a negative impact on the report, as well. Not helping matters, we have to remember that 63% of Americans are currently living paycheck to paycheck.</p><p>Indeed, many retailers, including Amazon have had to deal with inventory issues. That would explain why Amazon held a second Prime Day shopping event this year. “The good news is the consumer is still spending,”D.A. Davidson analyst Tom Forte told MarketWatch. “The bad news is they’re not spending on e-commerce.”</p><p>We should also note Amazon took a hit earlier this week on Microsoft’s cloud news. As reported byMarketWatch.com, Microsoft’s “Azure grew 35%, a marked slowdown from growth of 40% the previous quarter and 50% a year ago, and forecasts suggests it could fall toward 30% this quarter while overall revenue guidance misses Wall Street’s expectations by more than $2 billion.” Those cloud-growth concerns quickly spread to AMZN shares earlier this week.</p><p>There’s also plenty of news around the idea that Amazon is trying to tighten its operational spending. The company already said it would slow corporate hiring in retail. It also slowed down on opening new warehouses and distribution centers with the economy the way it is. We also have to consider that consumers are likely to tighten their belts this holiday season, with sky-high inflation.</p><p><b>Exxon Mobil (XOM)</b></p><p><b>Exxon Mobil</b>(NYSE:<b>XOM</b>) will post Q3 2022 earnings on Oct. 28. With the recent wild ride higher in the energy sector, companies like Exxon are generating record free cash flows, says analysts at<i>TipRanks.com</i>.They added, “Based on where oil and gas prices hovered during Q3, consensus earnings-per-share estimates point toward $3.81, implying a massive ~141% increase compared to last year, though slightly lower quarter-over-quarter as commodity prices did ease sequentially. Still, Q3 should be a massive quarter for Exxon.”</p><p>The company is also in a prime position to give more money back to shareholders. Exxon already increased its dividend to $15 billion, or $3.52 a share, which could rise further in the coming quarters. In addition, Exxon Mobil said its operating profit could come in around $11 billion from $6.7 billion year over year. Analysts also expect Exxon to pump out earnings per share of $3.80 on sales of $104.6 billion.</p><p>While that all sounds like great news, I do have to point out that XOM is technically overbought on RSI, MACD, and Williams’ %R. I’d wait to buy XOM stock on future pullbacks.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 3 Hottest Stocks to Watch This Earnings Season</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 3 Hottest Stocks to Watch This Earnings Season\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-27 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/10/the-3-hottest-stocks-to-watch-this-earnings-season/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These three earnings reports are among the most important for investors to pay attention to.Apple(AAPL): All eyes will be on the company’s iPhone 14 sales.Amazon(AMZN): About 63% of Americans are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/the-3-hottest-stocks-to-watch-this-earnings-season/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XOM":"埃克森美孚","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/the-3-hottest-stocks-to-watch-this-earnings-season/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191968759","content_text":"These three earnings reports are among the most important for investors to pay attention to.Apple(AAPL): All eyes will be on the company’s iPhone 14 sales.Amazon(AMZN): About 63% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck.Exxon Mobil(XOM): Oil giant in prime position to give more money back to shareholders.Much like the first half of the year, the second half started out just as rough. However, there are still top stocks to watch. As inflation remains stubbornly high, consumers are struggling. Nearly63% of Americans are now living paycheck to paycheck. Thus, there are clear recession fears brewing. This is based mainly on the fear that the Federal Reserve may be getting far too aggressive with interest rate hikes. That said, there are expectations the Fed may be backing off of its aggressive stance, as to avoid pushing the economy over the edge.The world is still dealing with the Russia-Ukraine war. TheInternational Monetary Fundis warning of a global recession. Chinaimposed lockdownsto fight the coronavirus. In short, the world is dealing with a slow-motion train wreck that could get worse before it gets better.Earnings season is also under way. While top stocks to watch, such as Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Visa(NYSE:V), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG), General Electric(NYSE:GE), General Motors(NYSE:GM) and dozens more beat earnings, some big names such as Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT) dipped on its cloud growth miss and weak guidance. Even Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL) just slipped on a disappointing earnings report.We’ll also get earnings from these market-moving heavyweights, too.Apple (AAPL)One of the top stocks to watch is Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), which will post its fourth quarter earnings on Oct. 27. In this report, all eyes will be on its iPhone 14 sales.Investors want to see if the latest release is on pace for a solid growth cycle, or if global macro issues have started to weigh down demand. At the moment, the Street is looking for earnings per share of $1.27 on sales of $88.79 million.Deutsche Bank(NYSE:DB) analyst Sidney Ho expects Apple earnings to be in line with expectations. In addition, as noted byTheFly.com, “Ho thinks [Apple’s] slower growth is already anticipated by the market, especially given recent media reports suggesting Apple is cutting iPhone orders and the stock pulling back 20% from the August peak. He also believes the company’s ‘strong balance sheet will shine in the current environment,’ supporting its dividend payments and share repurchases totaling $100B annually.”Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS) analyst Eric Woodring sees Q4 revenue of $90.1 billion, and December quarter revenue of $133.7 billion. Both would be above analyst expectations. The analyst also says Apple is his top pick, reiterating an overweight rating, with a price target of $177.After plummeting from $175 to $135, it appears most of the market’s negativity has been priced in. Unless something shocking is uncovered in the earnings report, I’d like to see the Apple stock challenge prior resistance around $162.50.Amazon (AMZN)Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) will also release earnings on Oct. 27, and is another one of the top stocks to watch. The Street expects the company to earn 22 cents per share on sales of $127.57 billion, as compared to earnings per share of 31 cents on sales of $110.81 billion year over year. There are also concerns that falling consumer demand could have a negative impact on the report, as well. Not helping matters, we have to remember that 63% of Americans are currently living paycheck to paycheck.Indeed, many retailers, including Amazon have had to deal with inventory issues. That would explain why Amazon held a second Prime Day shopping event this year. “The good news is the consumer is still spending,”D.A. Davidson analyst Tom Forte told MarketWatch. “The bad news is they’re not spending on e-commerce.”We should also note Amazon took a hit earlier this week on Microsoft’s cloud news. As reported byMarketWatch.com, Microsoft’s “Azure grew 35%, a marked slowdown from growth of 40% the previous quarter and 50% a year ago, and forecasts suggests it could fall toward 30% this quarter while overall revenue guidance misses Wall Street’s expectations by more than $2 billion.” Those cloud-growth concerns quickly spread to AMZN shares earlier this week.There’s also plenty of news around the idea that Amazon is trying to tighten its operational spending. The company already said it would slow corporate hiring in retail. It also slowed down on opening new warehouses and distribution centers with the economy the way it is. We also have to consider that consumers are likely to tighten their belts this holiday season, with sky-high inflation.Exxon Mobil (XOM)Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) will post Q3 2022 earnings on Oct. 28. With the recent wild ride higher in the energy sector, companies like Exxon are generating record free cash flows, says analysts atTipRanks.com.They added, “Based on where oil and gas prices hovered during Q3, consensus earnings-per-share estimates point toward $3.81, implying a massive ~141% increase compared to last year, though slightly lower quarter-over-quarter as commodity prices did ease sequentially. Still, Q3 should be a massive quarter for Exxon.”The company is also in a prime position to give more money back to shareholders. Exxon already increased its dividend to $15 billion, or $3.52 a share, which could rise further in the coming quarters. In addition, Exxon Mobil said its operating profit could come in around $11 billion from $6.7 billion year over year. Analysts also expect Exxon to pump out earnings per share of $3.80 on sales of $104.6 billion.While that all sounds like great news, I do have to point out that XOM is technically overbought on RSI, MACD, and Williams’ %R. I’d wait to buy XOM stock on future pullbacks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988646342,"gmtCreate":1666747672586,"gmtModify":1676537799638,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988646342","repostId":"1195117117","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195117117","pubTimestamp":1666744741,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195117117?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-26 08:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Analysts Are Doubling Down on Xpeng Stock After Technology Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195117117","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"XPeng(XPEV) recently held its 1024 Tech Day, highlighting new developments like XNet.After the event","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>XPeng</b>(<b><u>XPEV</u></b>) recently held its 1024 Tech Day, highlighting new developments like XNet.</li><li>After the event, <b>Bank of America</b> reiterated its $31 price target on shares.</li><li>XPEV stock is down more than 80% year-to-date (YTD).</li></ul><p><b>XPeng</b>(NYSE:<b><u>XPEV</u></b>) stock rose 10.89% today following the company’s 1024 Technology Day. At the event, the company unveiled several new advancements, such as XNet, an upgraded “equine robot prototype” and the latest version of its flying car.</p><p>XNet is XPeng’s “next-generation neural network-based software architecture.” The software will be equipped with in-house neural network visual recognition, an evolving data algorithm and decision-making abilities. It will also be powered by Fuyao, “China’s largest supercomputing center for autonomous driving.” Fuyao’s technology can achieve 600PFLOPS, which can increase autonomous driving (AD) model “training efficiency” by over 600 times.</p><p>XPeng Autonomous Driving Vice President Dr. Xinzhou Wu had the following to say about these developments:</p><blockquote>“Enhancing customer experience through innovation is our ultimate goal. We are implementing the most advanced driver assistance in mass-produced vehicles in complex urban driving environments, a huge leap forward as we work to build our autonomous driving capabilities.”</blockquote><p><b>XPEV Stock: Bank of America Reiterates $31 Price Target</b></p><p>XNet wasn’t the only development XPeng touted at its 1024 Technology Day. In addition, XPeng’s upgraded equine robot now comes with a new design, improving its multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) motion and locomotion capabilities. Better motion control will help the pony-like robot move in a range of environments, such as “stairs, steep slopes and gravel roads.” The robot is also equipped with a thermal management system and an advanced computing platform.</p><p>At the event, XPeng affiliate Aeroht also showed off the latest version of its electric vertical take-off and landing (eVToL) flying car, called the X2. The car was updated with a “new distributed multi-rotor configuration” and other changes to help increase its safety and reliability. Last week, the X2 took off for its maiden flight in Dubai, hovering for a total of 90 seconds. Chief aviation specialist Liu Xinyin noted that the X2 is almost sufficient enough for public use, although strict regulations may push its release date well into the future.</p><p>Following Technology Day, Bank of America reiterated its “buy” rating and price target of $31on XPeng. Analyst Ming Hsun Lee added:</p><blockquote>“With XPeng’s latest smart driving roadmap, it accomplishes single-scenario driving assistance in 2022, targets to complete full-scenario driver assistance in 2023-2025, and aims for full autonomous driving in and beyond 2025.”</blockquote><p>Across the board, XPEV stock has an average price target of $30.25 among 22 firms with coverage of shares.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Analysts Are Doubling Down on Xpeng Stock After Technology Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnalysts Are Doubling Down on Xpeng Stock After Technology Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-26 08:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/10/analysts-are-doubling-down-on-xpeng-xpev-stock-after-technology-day/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>XPeng(XPEV) recently held its 1024 Tech Day, highlighting new developments like XNet.After the event, Bank of America reiterated its $31 price target on shares.XPEV stock is down more than 80% year-to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/analysts-are-doubling-down-on-xpeng-xpev-stock-after-technology-day/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09868":"小鹏汽车-W"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/analysts-are-doubling-down-on-xpeng-xpev-stock-after-technology-day/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195117117","content_text":"XPeng(XPEV) recently held its 1024 Tech Day, highlighting new developments like XNet.After the event, Bank of America reiterated its $31 price target on shares.XPEV stock is down more than 80% year-to-date (YTD).XPeng(NYSE:XPEV) stock rose 10.89% today following the company’s 1024 Technology Day. At the event, the company unveiled several new advancements, such as XNet, an upgraded “equine robot prototype” and the latest version of its flying car.XNet is XPeng’s “next-generation neural network-based software architecture.” The software will be equipped with in-house neural network visual recognition, an evolving data algorithm and decision-making abilities. It will also be powered by Fuyao, “China’s largest supercomputing center for autonomous driving.” Fuyao’s technology can achieve 600PFLOPS, which can increase autonomous driving (AD) model “training efficiency” by over 600 times.XPeng Autonomous Driving Vice President Dr. Xinzhou Wu had the following to say about these developments:“Enhancing customer experience through innovation is our ultimate goal. We are implementing the most advanced driver assistance in mass-produced vehicles in complex urban driving environments, a huge leap forward as we work to build our autonomous driving capabilities.”XPEV Stock: Bank of America Reiterates $31 Price TargetXNet wasn’t the only development XPeng touted at its 1024 Technology Day. In addition, XPeng’s upgraded equine robot now comes with a new design, improving its multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) motion and locomotion capabilities. Better motion control will help the pony-like robot move in a range of environments, such as “stairs, steep slopes and gravel roads.” The robot is also equipped with a thermal management system and an advanced computing platform.At the event, XPeng affiliate Aeroht also showed off the latest version of its electric vertical take-off and landing (eVToL) flying car, called the X2. The car was updated with a “new distributed multi-rotor configuration” and other changes to help increase its safety and reliability. Last week, the X2 took off for its maiden flight in Dubai, hovering for a total of 90 seconds. Chief aviation specialist Liu Xinyin noted that the X2 is almost sufficient enough for public use, although strict regulations may push its release date well into the future.Following Technology Day, Bank of America reiterated its “buy” rating and price target of $31on XPeng. Analyst Ming Hsun Lee added:“With XPeng’s latest smart driving roadmap, it accomplishes single-scenario driving assistance in 2022, targets to complete full-scenario driver assistance in 2023-2025, and aims for full autonomous driving in and beyond 2025.”Across the board, XPEV stock has an average price target of $30.25 among 22 firms with coverage of shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988646027,"gmtCreate":1666747658169,"gmtModify":1676537799631,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581640085724727","authorIdStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988646027","repostId":"1172306005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172306005","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1666746747,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172306005?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-26 09:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Earnings Preview: Additional Prime Day and AWS Revenue Growth Rate May Be the Key Catalysts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172306005","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"SummaryWall Street is optimistic about Amazon stock,Jefferies expects additional Prime Daycouldadd a","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><blockquote>Wall Street is optimistic about Amazon stock,Jefferies expects additional Prime Daycouldadd anextra $4.1bn insales to Amazon’stopline. Also, keep an eye on whether AWS revenue growth rate will reach 30% and the development of its advertising market.</blockquote><p>Amazon(NASDAQ: AMZN) is scheduled to announce Q3 earnings results after the market closes on next Thursday, October 27. Analysts anticipate Amazon’s revenues to reach $127.938 billion, Amazon is expected to post earnings of $0.422 per share.</p><p>Overall, Wall Street is optimistic about Amazon stock, with a Buy consensus rating based on 55 Buys, 2 Holds, and 1 Sells. The average price target of $166.85 implies a 45% upside potential from current levels.</p><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b6997b9b0e9510eecb7b55664434fd3\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Latest Results</h2><p>It reported a net loss of 20 cents per share and net sales of $121.2 billion in Q2, up 7% year-over-year. Over 300 million items were sold in its Prime Day event held July 12 and 13, with members buying 100,000 items per minute.</p><h2>Q3 Guidance</h2><p>The company expects Q3 net sales to be in the range of $125 billion to $130 billion, up 13% to 17% year-over-year. Operating income for Q3 will be between $0 and $3.5 billion, compared with $4.9 billion in Q3 2021.</p><h2>3 Things To Watch Before Q3 Earnings Release</h2><p><b>1.</b> <b>Additional Prime Day Could Add an Extra $4.1bn in Sales to Amazon’s Topline</b></p><p>Amazon has announced an unprecedented second Prime Shopping Day, which will span over 2 days starting on October 11th.</p><p>Jefferies analyst Brent Thill has argued that the Prime Day event could add an extra $4.1bn in sales to Amazon’s topline, and thus help it to push the annual year-over-year revenue increase to about 14% -- but still the lowest growth rate on record.</p><p>Shopping events are shifting earlier this year because spending during the holidays is expected to be weaker due to inflation and other macroeconomic issues. Per Adobe Analytics, online sales are only expected to rise 2.5% in November and December this year, compared to 8.6% last year. This will be the slowest increase since 2015.</p><p><b>2.</b> <b>Whether AWS Revenue Growth Rate Will Reach 30% Is a Key Issue</b></p><p>AWS is the crown jewel. Just under 20% of Amazon&#39;s total revenues is AWS. Its market share in the $200 billion worldwide cloud infrastructure market amounted to 34% in Q2 2022, still exceeding the combined market share of its two largest competitors, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud.</p><p>According to Andreea &amp; Jamie’s view, they see Amazon shares achieving a CAGR through to 2026 of 2%, 16%, and 39% in bear, base, and bull case scenarios. For the bull case, it makes sense considering AWS has EBIT margins of 31% over the past 12 months, and it still has room to scale and expand these margins further.</p><p>For the bearish case, AWS will still perform better than retail, but not by enough to have a huge impact on margins, especially as retail loses steam.</p><p><b>3.</b> <b>Advertising Has a Long Runway to International Market</b></p><p>Management noted on its Q2 2022 earnings call that while the majority of advertising revenue is in North America, the company is making inroads into the international markets and expanding the array of advertising products from its consumer websites into video opportunities, e.g., its Prime Video, Thursday Night Football programming, FireTV, Freevee channels, Twitch, Amazon Music, among other areas.</p><p>Mizuho analyst James Lee said Amazon’s SSS-ad-spending growth accelerated 15 points in 3Q22 due to July’s Prime Day, and ad-pricing stabilized in CPG and several key discretionary categories after several quarters of consistent decline, indicating pricing has firmed, and Q4 should turn positive.</p><h2>Analyst Opinions</h2><p>JPMorgan analysts Nicholas Jones offer an Overweight rating and a $185 price target on it. Retail concerns were being driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around how Amazon would fare in a recessionary environment, it expected higher in-stock inventory levels and faster delivery speeds would be key drivers. Also, JPMorgan was anticipating 31% growth in AWS in Q3.</p><p>Jefferies analyst Brent Thill had a Buy rating and a $165 price target on it. It is facing $12B-$16B of cost headwinds in 2022, resulting from a combination of inflation, lower productivity and fixed cost deleverage. It realized a $2B sequential cost reduction in Q2. It is expected to continue reducing costs throughout 2022, which should help drive growth in operating income even if macro pressures cause a slowdown in sales.</p><p>Cowen analyst John Blackledge had an outperform rating and a $195price target on it. It estimated operating income was $4.5 billion, above guidance of $0-3.5 billion and the consensus of $3.1 billion on lower gas prices and better fulfillment utilization. It forecasted its annual revenue growth of 14.7% annually in 2023-2027 (vs. 14.9% prior) and annual operating income growth of 41% vs. (vs. 44% prior).</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Earnings Preview: Additional Prime Day and AWS Revenue Growth Rate May Be the Key Catalysts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Earnings Preview: Additional Prime Day and AWS Revenue Growth Rate May Be the Key Catalysts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-26 09:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><blockquote>Wall Street is optimistic about Amazon stock,Jefferies expects additional Prime Daycouldadd anextra $4.1bn insales to Amazon’stopline. Also, keep an eye on whether AWS revenue growth rate will reach 30% and the development of its advertising market.</blockquote><p>Amazon(NASDAQ: AMZN) is scheduled to announce Q3 earnings results after the market closes on next Thursday, October 27. Analysts anticipate Amazon’s revenues to reach $127.938 billion, Amazon is expected to post earnings of $0.422 per share.</p><p>Overall, Wall Street is optimistic about Amazon stock, with a Buy consensus rating based on 55 Buys, 2 Holds, and 1 Sells. The average price target of $166.85 implies a 45% upside potential from current levels.</p><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b6997b9b0e9510eecb7b55664434fd3\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Latest Results</h2><p>It reported a net loss of 20 cents per share and net sales of $121.2 billion in Q2, up 7% year-over-year. Over 300 million items were sold in its Prime Day event held July 12 and 13, with members buying 100,000 items per minute.</p><h2>Q3 Guidance</h2><p>The company expects Q3 net sales to be in the range of $125 billion to $130 billion, up 13% to 17% year-over-year. Operating income for Q3 will be between $0 and $3.5 billion, compared with $4.9 billion in Q3 2021.</p><h2>3 Things To Watch Before Q3 Earnings Release</h2><p><b>1.</b> <b>Additional Prime Day Could Add an Extra $4.1bn in Sales to Amazon’s Topline</b></p><p>Amazon has announced an unprecedented second Prime Shopping Day, which will span over 2 days starting on October 11th.</p><p>Jefferies analyst Brent Thill has argued that the Prime Day event could add an extra $4.1bn in sales to Amazon’s topline, and thus help it to push the annual year-over-year revenue increase to about 14% -- but still the lowest growth rate on record.</p><p>Shopping events are shifting earlier this year because spending during the holidays is expected to be weaker due to inflation and other macroeconomic issues. Per Adobe Analytics, online sales are only expected to rise 2.5% in November and December this year, compared to 8.6% last year. This will be the slowest increase since 2015.</p><p><b>2.</b> <b>Whether AWS Revenue Growth Rate Will Reach 30% Is a Key Issue</b></p><p>AWS is the crown jewel. Just under 20% of Amazon&#39;s total revenues is AWS. Its market share in the $200 billion worldwide cloud infrastructure market amounted to 34% in Q2 2022, still exceeding the combined market share of its two largest competitors, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud.</p><p>According to Andreea &amp; Jamie’s view, they see Amazon shares achieving a CAGR through to 2026 of 2%, 16%, and 39% in bear, base, and bull case scenarios. For the bull case, it makes sense considering AWS has EBIT margins of 31% over the past 12 months, and it still has room to scale and expand these margins further.</p><p>For the bearish case, AWS will still perform better than retail, but not by enough to have a huge impact on margins, especially as retail loses steam.</p><p><b>3.</b> <b>Advertising Has a Long Runway to International Market</b></p><p>Management noted on its Q2 2022 earnings call that while the majority of advertising revenue is in North America, the company is making inroads into the international markets and expanding the array of advertising products from its consumer websites into video opportunities, e.g., its Prime Video, Thursday Night Football programming, FireTV, Freevee channels, Twitch, Amazon Music, among other areas.</p><p>Mizuho analyst James Lee said Amazon’s SSS-ad-spending growth accelerated 15 points in 3Q22 due to July’s Prime Day, and ad-pricing stabilized in CPG and several key discretionary categories after several quarters of consistent decline, indicating pricing has firmed, and Q4 should turn positive.</p><h2>Analyst Opinions</h2><p>JPMorgan analysts Nicholas Jones offer an Overweight rating and a $185 price target on it. Retail concerns were being driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around how Amazon would fare in a recessionary environment, it expected higher in-stock inventory levels and faster delivery speeds would be key drivers. Also, JPMorgan was anticipating 31% growth in AWS in Q3.</p><p>Jefferies analyst Brent Thill had a Buy rating and a $165 price target on it. It is facing $12B-$16B of cost headwinds in 2022, resulting from a combination of inflation, lower productivity and fixed cost deleverage. It realized a $2B sequential cost reduction in Q2. It is expected to continue reducing costs throughout 2022, which should help drive growth in operating income even if macro pressures cause a slowdown in sales.</p><p>Cowen analyst John Blackledge had an outperform rating and a $195price target on it. It estimated operating income was $4.5 billion, above guidance of $0-3.5 billion and the consensus of $3.1 billion on lower gas prices and better fulfillment utilization. It forecasted its annual revenue growth of 14.7% annually in 2023-2027 (vs. 14.9% prior) and annual operating income growth of 41% vs. (vs. 44% prior).</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172306005","content_text":"SummaryWall Street is optimistic about Amazon stock,Jefferies expects additional Prime Daycouldadd anextra $4.1bn insales to Amazon’stopline. Also, keep an eye on whether AWS revenue growth rate will reach 30% and the development of its advertising market.Amazon(NASDAQ: AMZN) is scheduled to announce Q3 earnings results after the market closes on next Thursday, October 27. Analysts anticipate Amazon’s revenues to reach $127.938 billion, Amazon is expected to post earnings of $0.422 per share.Overall, Wall Street is optimistic about Amazon stock, with a Buy consensus rating based on 55 Buys, 2 Holds, and 1 Sells. The average price target of $166.85 implies a 45% upside potential from current levels.Latest ResultsIt reported a net loss of 20 cents per share and net sales of $121.2 billion in Q2, up 7% year-over-year. Over 300 million items were sold in its Prime Day event held July 12 and 13, with members buying 100,000 items per minute.Q3 GuidanceThe company expects Q3 net sales to be in the range of $125 billion to $130 billion, up 13% to 17% year-over-year. Operating income for Q3 will be between $0 and $3.5 billion, compared with $4.9 billion in Q3 2021.3 Things To Watch Before Q3 Earnings Release1. Additional Prime Day Could Add an Extra $4.1bn in Sales to Amazon’s ToplineAmazon has announced an unprecedented second Prime Shopping Day, which will span over 2 days starting on October 11th.Jefferies analyst Brent Thill has argued that the Prime Day event could add an extra $4.1bn in sales to Amazon’s topline, and thus help it to push the annual year-over-year revenue increase to about 14% -- but still the lowest growth rate on record.Shopping events are shifting earlier this year because spending during the holidays is expected to be weaker due to inflation and other macroeconomic issues. Per Adobe Analytics, online sales are only expected to rise 2.5% in November and December this year, compared to 8.6% last year. This will be the slowest increase since 2015.2. Whether AWS Revenue Growth Rate Will Reach 30% Is a Key IssueAWS is the crown jewel. Just under 20% of Amazon's total revenues is AWS. Its market share in the $200 billion worldwide cloud infrastructure market amounted to 34% in Q2 2022, still exceeding the combined market share of its two largest competitors, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud.According to Andreea & Jamie’s view, they see Amazon shares achieving a CAGR through to 2026 of 2%, 16%, and 39% in bear, base, and bull case scenarios. For the bull case, it makes sense considering AWS has EBIT margins of 31% over the past 12 months, and it still has room to scale and expand these margins further.For the bearish case, AWS will still perform better than retail, but not by enough to have a huge impact on margins, especially as retail loses steam.3. Advertising Has a Long Runway to International MarketManagement noted on its Q2 2022 earnings call that while the majority of advertising revenue is in North America, the company is making inroads into the international markets and expanding the array of advertising products from its consumer websites into video opportunities, e.g., its Prime Video, Thursday Night Football programming, FireTV, Freevee channels, Twitch, Amazon Music, among other areas.Mizuho analyst James Lee said Amazon’s SSS-ad-spending growth accelerated 15 points in 3Q22 due to July’s Prime Day, and ad-pricing stabilized in CPG and several key discretionary categories after several quarters of consistent decline, indicating pricing has firmed, and Q4 should turn positive.Analyst OpinionsJPMorgan analysts Nicholas Jones offer an Overweight rating and a $185 price target on it. Retail concerns were being driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around how Amazon would fare in a recessionary environment, it expected higher in-stock inventory levels and faster delivery speeds would be key drivers. Also, JPMorgan was anticipating 31% growth in AWS in Q3.Jefferies analyst Brent Thill had a Buy rating and a $165 price target on it. It is facing $12B-$16B of cost headwinds in 2022, resulting from a combination of inflation, lower productivity and fixed cost deleverage. It realized a $2B sequential cost reduction in Q2. It is expected to continue reducing costs throughout 2022, which should help drive growth in operating income even if macro pressures cause a slowdown in sales.Cowen analyst John Blackledge had an outperform rating and a $195price target on it. It estimated operating income was $4.5 billion, above guidance of $0-3.5 billion and the consensus of $3.1 billion on lower gas prices and better fulfillment utilization. It forecasted its annual revenue growth of 14.7% annually in 2023-2027 (vs. 14.9% prior) and annual operating income growth of 41% vs. (vs. 44% prior).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9990360327,"gmtCreate":1660289710971,"gmtModify":1676533445302,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"J//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3570103090255456\">@JC888</a>:To say&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>&nbsp;is unique is not far from the truth. It's assimilation of data and crunching of it to help its customer make sense of it is second to none.From the get go, everyone is aware that the bulk of its business is government slated. Is it a crime, dun think so. Is it a flaw certainly not!&nbsp;Let's say if PLTR does not have a solid value proposition would they have secure all these govt&nbsp;contracts? Reply is obvious.However tend to agree that indiscriminate issue to shares to staff has indeed dampened interests from retail investors. Tend to agree that the amount of shares bought into may be diluted in terms of percentage overtime due","listText":"J//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3570103090255456\">@JC888</a>:To say&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>&nbsp;is unique is not far from the truth. It's assimilation of data and crunching of it to help its customer make sense of it is second to none.From the get go, everyone is aware that the bulk of its business is government slated. Is it a crime, dun think so. Is it a flaw certainly not!&nbsp;Let's say if PLTR does not have a solid value proposition would they have secure all these govt&nbsp;contracts? Reply is obvious.However tend to agree that indiscriminate issue to shares to staff has indeed dampened interests from retail investors. Tend to agree that the amount of shares bought into may be diluted in terms of percentage overtime due","text":"J//@JC888:To say $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is unique is not far from the truth. It's assimilation of data and crunching of it to help its customer make sense of it is second to none.From the get go, everyone is aware that the bulk of its business is government slated. Is it a crime, dun think so. Is it a flaw certainly not! Let's say if PLTR does not have a solid value proposition would they have secure all these govt contracts? Reply is obvious.However tend to agree that indiscriminate issue to shares to staff has indeed dampened interests from retail investors. Tend to agree that the amount of shares bought into may be diluted in terms of percentage overtime due","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990360327","repostId":"1105994220","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105994220","pubTimestamp":1660271502,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105994220?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-12 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: The Good, The Bad And The Ugly","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105994220","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir is a leader in advanced software for organizations and military applications.The com","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir is a leader in advanced software for organizations and military applications.</li><li>The company missed EPS estimates for Q2, which sent the stock spiraling down.</li><li>Commercial Revenue generated strong growth, up 120% year over year.</li><li>Palantir has a fortress balance sheet with $2.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents with no debt.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3945f4b15bd9c432ba37b20f7fa6ef9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Andreas Rentz</span></p><p>Originally backed by the CIA, Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is a global software company that has created a suite of gold standard products for large organizations, governments and military customers. The company is poised to ride the growth in the &#34;BigData&#34; industry which is forecasted to be worth $273 billion by 2026. In addition, the recent Ukraine-Russia conflict has heightened geopolitical tensions and made the company&#39;s software even more appealing.</p><p>In my previous post on Palantir stock, I highlighted the stock as having a &#34;Fair value of $10 per share&#34; and stated at the time when the stock was trading at $7/share it was 32% undervalued. Since that post the stock price popped by ~42%, so congratulations to those who invested. However, the company has recently announced muted financials for the second quarter of 2022 and highlighted slowing revenue growth. Thus in this post I&#39;m going to breakdown the latest financials and revisit my valuation with the lower growth rates taken into account, let&#39;s dive in.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be20bcd04086540035b52475cede4661\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>PLTR data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Gold Standard Software</b></p><p>There is a lot of mystery around what exactly Palantir does and I personally believe many investors do not fully understand the business, as very few people have explained it simply. Therefore here is a quick overview of its main products;</p><p><b>Foundry</b></p><p>This is dubbed &#34;The Operating System for the Modern Enterprise &#39;&#39;. Enterprises (large Organizations) tend to have siloed data across multiple business units and require a system that can bring this data together in a safe, secure and intelligent way. Data is only as powerful as the ability to use it, but when siloed it cannot be used effectively for overall business intelligence. Foundry can also use this data to create &#34;Digital Twins&#34; of manufacturing and logistics setups, which is a great way to plan changes and capture data in real time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8eee9f6d33c2b22ac2626af77b9e16\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Foundry (Palantir)</span></p><p><b>Gotham</b></p><p>Gotham has been dubbed &#34;The Operating System for Global Decision Making&#34;. This platform enables complex situations with multiple reacting entities to be simulated with real time data feeds to enable faster decisions. A key example, is with the US Army and tracking Battleships around the coast. The Army generals can see the action in real time and setup automated scouting drones to fly to areas for surveillance, should there be any unusual activity in a region.</p><p>Given the Russia-Ukraine War and increased political uncertainty, the need for militaries from around the world to have software like this is becoming even more vital. Their tagline is &#34;Thousands of Users, Millions of Sensors, A Single Pane of Glass&#34;, basically this means a single dashboard to monitor real time operations.</p><p><b>Apollo</b></p><p>The Apollo platform is used for managing production software across major organizations across multiple industries from Airbus to Hyundai and even Rio Tinto, one of the largest mining companies in the world. The sheer range of industries automatically expands the total addressable market for Palantir&#39;s software and thus makes the future growth runway huge.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59da6851f565be219d049cbce43ad71f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Products (Q2 Earnings Report)</span></p><p><b>MetaConstellation</b></p><p>The MetaConstellation product enables the power of Satellite constellations to be harnessed on earth. This even enables Artificial Intelligence models to be leveraged in Orbit, which truly is the next frontier of business intelligence. Space is the next battleground for businesses from Elon Musk&#39;s Starlink to SpaceX and even Bezos Blue Origin. Palantir has recently scored a partnership with Satellogic a leader in Satellite Sub-Meter resolution imaging. &#34;Sub-Meter&#34; effectively means each pixel from a Satellite photograph is less than a meter in width and thus enables the monitoring and tracking of activities on earth. Applications include crop monitoring, disaster relief, military surveillance and even National Security. For all you traders, Satellite imagery has even been used to track oil reserves in containers and thus it can be used to calculate the supply/demand balance and then oil prices. Google also has a Satellite play called &#34;SkyBox&#34;, which it acquired for $500 million a few years back. Google&#39;s platform seems to be focused on improving it&#39;s mapping than for national security applications, like with the Palantir product.</p><p><b>High Retention Rate - Competitive Advantage</b></p><p>Palantir had a net dollar retention rate of 119% as of the second quarter. This means customers are staying with the company and spending more through upsells. In the second quarter conference call, Palantir Founder and CEO Alex Karp spoke in detail about the &#34;stickiness&#34; of Palantir&#39;s products with customers. He states that;</p><blockquote>&#34;In the end, all software products actually have to be measured by is this replaceable, how easy could it be replaced, is the underlying platform durable or fleeting, and could a third party highly technical with massive distribution disrupt these products?</blockquote><blockquote>It would take many, many years of the world&#39;s best engineers to build them -- and you would be building them as we&#39;ve improved them and as we capture the market.&#34; - Palantir CEO Alex Karp</blockquote><p><b>Slowing Second Quarter</b></p><p>Palantir released mixed financial results for the second quarter of 2022. Revenue increased by 26% year over year to $473 million. Now although growth rates were slower than prior quarters such as 30% YoY in Q1, they actually beat analyst estimates by $1.29 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53639040a30e10857c4d577d3acb4b58\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"280\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>US Revenue (Q2 earnings report)</span></p><p>US only revenue popped by 45% year over year to $290 million and commercial revenue also grew a rapid 46% year over year. US commercial revenue was the shining light, as this increased by a blistering 120% year over year. With US Commercial customer count increasing by 250% year over year. This is a big deal as the company had just 34 US commercial customers in Q2 2021 and grew this to 119 customers by Q2 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40e7b1b024186667b53b85e60ca74bde\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>US Commercial Customers (Q2 Report)</span></p><p>Palantir&#39;s Healthcare segment also showed rapid growth of 267% year over year, from $42 million to $153 million in revenue. The company has previous scored partnerships with the National Health Service (NHS) in the UK.</p><p>As a software company, Palantir has an extremely high adjusted gross margin of 81%, which has stayed fairly constant (only dipping by 1% percentage point year over year).</p><p>However, the company did produce a heavy loss of $42 million in Q2,22. Earnings Per Share (EPS) was -$0.01, which missed estimates by $0.04. This may seem terrible, but the company states it was driven primarily by losses in Marketable securities. This is a common trend I have seen across earnings reports for companies, as the rising interest rate environment is squeezing the multiples of growth stocks. The good news is Adjusted free cash flow was $61 million, which represents a 13% margin and the seventh consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5ece7c19769fe1edd7bfd16b12e3cdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Free Cash Flow (Palantir Q2)</span></p><p>The company also has a fortress balance sheet with $2.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents and no debt. In July the company expanded its revolving credit facility by adding $450 million in term loan facility and the option for an additional $950 million if required.</p><p><b>Revised Guidance</b></p><p>Management has revised its guidance down to $1.9 billion for FY22, this would represent just a 23% growth rate year over year. This is a far cry from the 41% growth rate achieved in the year FY21. CEO Alex Karp stated, this lower guidance was due to the &#34;uncertainty toward the end of the year&#34; and goes onto say;</p><blockquote>&#34;As organizations around the world face more pressure and experience more pain, there will be a slowdown in the rate of spending and lengthening of sales cycles, but it will also reveal gaps in enterprises operations, gaps our software can solve. In the short term, this means less revenue now. But on longer time horizons, it accelerates our business&#34; - Palantir CEO Alex Karp</blockquote><p>However, Karp remains &#34;very optimistic that the next three years will look a lot like the last three years&#34;.</p><p><b>Advanced Valuation</b></p><p>In order to value Palantir I have plugged the latest financials into my valuation model, which uses the discounted cash flow method of valuation. I have revised down my prior Revenue estimates of 30% to a 23% growth rate for next year and 28% over the next two to five years. As I believe high inflation won&#39;t last forever and the macroeconomic situation will improve. In addition, I suspect management may be &#34;sandbagging&#34; slightly to lower expectations and then surpass them.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8d04beb678f88f509d0a855cb26660f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"233\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Stock Valuation 1 (created by author Ben at Motivation 2 invest)</span></p><p>I have also forecasted its operating margin to increase to 28% over the next 6 years, as the company benefits from high operating leverage from its software platform. In addition, to the high customer retention and upsells mentioned previously.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/411a99d5ee1786e88e1f18c60a8a4399\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"673\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Stock Valuation 2 (created by author Ben at Motivation 2 Invest)</span></p><p>Given these factors I get a fair value of $9.43 per share, the stock is trading at ~$9.62 and thus is fairly valued at the time of writing.</p><p>As an extra data point Palantir has seen its Price to Sales Ratio compress substantially from over 30 in 2021, to approximately 10 at the time of writing.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8c31ecac9f324df08a74f01ce45c826\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>PLTR PS Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p><b>Macroeconomic uncertainty</b></p><p>The high inflation and rising interest rate environment has caused many analysts to forecast a &#34;Recession&#34;. We have already seen multiple companies start to cut costs and although I believe a lot of this is fear driven, it can lengthen the sales cycle for Business to Business product adoption.</p><p><b>Stock Based Compensation</b></p><p>Palantir states a lot of their earnings are &#34;Adjusted&#34;. In fact the word &#34;Adjusted&#34; is used a staggering 35 times in their recent press release. This Adjustment excludes &#34;Stock Based Compensation&#34; which was a staggering $146 million in Q2,22 or a whopping 30% of its $473 million in revenue. Now although this is having improved since the $233 million in Q2, 2021, it is a substantial expense which is overlooked. On a positive note, recruiting high quality talent is extremely challenging these days and thus companies must offer lucrative stock compensation packages to attract the best. As long as the amount of stock based compensation relative to total revenue declines over time, then this can be an effective strategy and thus it&#39;s an indicator to watch.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d43f9f6458b1a630d0427473b23dca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Stock based Compensation (created by author Ben at Motivation 2 Invest)</span></p><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Palantir is a best in class leader in software for enterprises and national security applications. The founder led company is growing its commercial revenue strong and has a large TAM to attack. However, the slowing growth, &#34;fair&#34; valuation and monstrous stock compensation makes this stock speculative in the short term, therefore I have labeled the stock as a &#34;Hold&#34;.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: The Good, The Bad And The Ugly</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: The Good, The Bad And The Ugly\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-12 10:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532988-palantir-good-bad-ugly><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir is a leader in advanced software for organizations and military applications.The company missed EPS estimates for Q2, which sent the stock spiraling down.Commercial Revenue generated ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532988-palantir-good-bad-ugly\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532988-palantir-good-bad-ugly","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1105994220","content_text":"SummaryPalantir is a leader in advanced software for organizations and military applications.The company missed EPS estimates for Q2, which sent the stock spiraling down.Commercial Revenue generated strong growth, up 120% year over year.Palantir has a fortress balance sheet with $2.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents with no debt.Andreas RentzOriginally backed by the CIA, Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is a global software company that has created a suite of gold standard products for large organizations, governments and military customers. The company is poised to ride the growth in the \"BigData\" industry which is forecasted to be worth $273 billion by 2026. In addition, the recent Ukraine-Russia conflict has heightened geopolitical tensions and made the company's software even more appealing.In my previous post on Palantir stock, I highlighted the stock as having a \"Fair value of $10 per share\" and stated at the time when the stock was trading at $7/share it was 32% undervalued. Since that post the stock price popped by ~42%, so congratulations to those who invested. However, the company has recently announced muted financials for the second quarter of 2022 and highlighted slowing revenue growth. Thus in this post I'm going to breakdown the latest financials and revisit my valuation with the lower growth rates taken into account, let's dive in.PLTR data by YChartsGold Standard SoftwareThere is a lot of mystery around what exactly Palantir does and I personally believe many investors do not fully understand the business, as very few people have explained it simply. Therefore here is a quick overview of its main products;FoundryThis is dubbed \"The Operating System for the Modern Enterprise ''. Enterprises (large Organizations) tend to have siloed data across multiple business units and require a system that can bring this data together in a safe, secure and intelligent way. Data is only as powerful as the ability to use it, but when siloed it cannot be used effectively for overall business intelligence. Foundry can also use this data to create \"Digital Twins\" of manufacturing and logistics setups, which is a great way to plan changes and capture data in real time.Palantir Foundry (Palantir)GothamGotham has been dubbed \"The Operating System for Global Decision Making\". This platform enables complex situations with multiple reacting entities to be simulated with real time data feeds to enable faster decisions. A key example, is with the US Army and tracking Battleships around the coast. The Army generals can see the action in real time and setup automated scouting drones to fly to areas for surveillance, should there be any unusual activity in a region.Given the Russia-Ukraine War and increased political uncertainty, the need for militaries from around the world to have software like this is becoming even more vital. Their tagline is \"Thousands of Users, Millions of Sensors, A Single Pane of Glass\", basically this means a single dashboard to monitor real time operations.ApolloThe Apollo platform is used for managing production software across major organizations across multiple industries from Airbus to Hyundai and even Rio Tinto, one of the largest mining companies in the world. The sheer range of industries automatically expands the total addressable market for Palantir's software and thus makes the future growth runway huge.Palantir Products (Q2 Earnings Report)MetaConstellationThe MetaConstellation product enables the power of Satellite constellations to be harnessed on earth. This even enables Artificial Intelligence models to be leveraged in Orbit, which truly is the next frontier of business intelligence. Space is the next battleground for businesses from Elon Musk's Starlink to SpaceX and even Bezos Blue Origin. Palantir has recently scored a partnership with Satellogic a leader in Satellite Sub-Meter resolution imaging. \"Sub-Meter\" effectively means each pixel from a Satellite photograph is less than a meter in width and thus enables the monitoring and tracking of activities on earth. Applications include crop monitoring, disaster relief, military surveillance and even National Security. For all you traders, Satellite imagery has even been used to track oil reserves in containers and thus it can be used to calculate the supply/demand balance and then oil prices. Google also has a Satellite play called \"SkyBox\", which it acquired for $500 million a few years back. Google's platform seems to be focused on improving it's mapping than for national security applications, like with the Palantir product.High Retention Rate - Competitive AdvantagePalantir had a net dollar retention rate of 119% as of the second quarter. This means customers are staying with the company and spending more through upsells. In the second quarter conference call, Palantir Founder and CEO Alex Karp spoke in detail about the \"stickiness\" of Palantir's products with customers. He states that;\"In the end, all software products actually have to be measured by is this replaceable, how easy could it be replaced, is the underlying platform durable or fleeting, and could a third party highly technical with massive distribution disrupt these products?It would take many, many years of the world's best engineers to build them -- and you would be building them as we've improved them and as we capture the market.\" - Palantir CEO Alex KarpSlowing Second QuarterPalantir released mixed financial results for the second quarter of 2022. Revenue increased by 26% year over year to $473 million. Now although growth rates were slower than prior quarters such as 30% YoY in Q1, they actually beat analyst estimates by $1.29 million.US Revenue (Q2 earnings report)US only revenue popped by 45% year over year to $290 million and commercial revenue also grew a rapid 46% year over year. US commercial revenue was the shining light, as this increased by a blistering 120% year over year. With US Commercial customer count increasing by 250% year over year. This is a big deal as the company had just 34 US commercial customers in Q2 2021 and grew this to 119 customers by Q2 2022.US Commercial Customers (Q2 Report)Palantir's Healthcare segment also showed rapid growth of 267% year over year, from $42 million to $153 million in revenue. The company has previous scored partnerships with the National Health Service (NHS) in the UK.As a software company, Palantir has an extremely high adjusted gross margin of 81%, which has stayed fairly constant (only dipping by 1% percentage point year over year).However, the company did produce a heavy loss of $42 million in Q2,22. Earnings Per Share (EPS) was -$0.01, which missed estimates by $0.04. This may seem terrible, but the company states it was driven primarily by losses in Marketable securities. This is a common trend I have seen across earnings reports for companies, as the rising interest rate environment is squeezing the multiples of growth stocks. The good news is Adjusted free cash flow was $61 million, which represents a 13% margin and the seventh consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow.Free Cash Flow (Palantir Q2)The company also has a fortress balance sheet with $2.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents and no debt. In July the company expanded its revolving credit facility by adding $450 million in term loan facility and the option for an additional $950 million if required.Revised GuidanceManagement has revised its guidance down to $1.9 billion for FY22, this would represent just a 23% growth rate year over year. This is a far cry from the 41% growth rate achieved in the year FY21. CEO Alex Karp stated, this lower guidance was due to the \"uncertainty toward the end of the year\" and goes onto say;\"As organizations around the world face more pressure and experience more pain, there will be a slowdown in the rate of spending and lengthening of sales cycles, but it will also reveal gaps in enterprises operations, gaps our software can solve. In the short term, this means less revenue now. But on longer time horizons, it accelerates our business\" - Palantir CEO Alex KarpHowever, Karp remains \"very optimistic that the next three years will look a lot like the last three years\".Advanced ValuationIn order to value Palantir I have plugged the latest financials into my valuation model, which uses the discounted cash flow method of valuation. I have revised down my prior Revenue estimates of 30% to a 23% growth rate for next year and 28% over the next two to five years. As I believe high inflation won't last forever and the macroeconomic situation will improve. In addition, I suspect management may be \"sandbagging\" slightly to lower expectations and then surpass them.Palantir Stock Valuation 1 (created by author Ben at Motivation 2 invest)I have also forecasted its operating margin to increase to 28% over the next 6 years, as the company benefits from high operating leverage from its software platform. In addition, to the high customer retention and upsells mentioned previously.Palantir Stock Valuation 2 (created by author Ben at Motivation 2 Invest)Given these factors I get a fair value of $9.43 per share, the stock is trading at ~$9.62 and thus is fairly valued at the time of writing.As an extra data point Palantir has seen its Price to Sales Ratio compress substantially from over 30 in 2021, to approximately 10 at the time of writing.PLTR PS Ratio (Forward) data by YChartsRisksMacroeconomic uncertaintyThe high inflation and rising interest rate environment has caused many analysts to forecast a \"Recession\". We have already seen multiple companies start to cut costs and although I believe a lot of this is fear driven, it can lengthen the sales cycle for Business to Business product adoption.Stock Based CompensationPalantir states a lot of their earnings are \"Adjusted\". In fact the word \"Adjusted\" is used a staggering 35 times in their recent press release. This Adjustment excludes \"Stock Based Compensation\" which was a staggering $146 million in Q2,22 or a whopping 30% of its $473 million in revenue. Now although this is having improved since the $233 million in Q2, 2021, it is a substantial expense which is overlooked. On a positive note, recruiting high quality talent is extremely challenging these days and thus companies must offer lucrative stock compensation packages to attract the best. As long as the amount of stock based compensation relative to total revenue declines over time, then this can be an effective strategy and thus it's an indicator to watch.Palantir Stock based Compensation (created by author Ben at Motivation 2 Invest)Final ThoughtsPalantir is a best in class leader in software for enterprises and national security applications. The founder led company is growing its commercial revenue strong and has a large TAM to attack. However, the slowing growth, \"fair\" valuation and monstrous stock compensation makes this stock speculative in the short term, therefore I have labeled the stock as a \"Hold\".","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175308784,"gmtCreate":1627005226348,"gmtModify":1703482265524,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/175308784","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164478982","pubTimestamp":1626995319,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164478982?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-23 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ekes out gains, led by tech, growth stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164478982","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK  - Big tech helped Wall Street inch up to a higher close on Thursday, modestly building on a two-day rally as lackluster economic data and mixed corporate earnings prompted a pivot back to growth stocks.A pull-back in economically sensitive cyclicals kept the S&P 500’s and the blue-chip Dow’s gains muted, while small-caps underperformed their larger rivals.“The market is flip-flopping between the view that economic growth has almost peaked so you need to buy stocks that manufacture thei","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Big tech helped Wall Street inch up to a higher close on Thursday, modestly building on a two-day rally as lackluster economic data and mixed corporate earnings prompted a pivot back to growth stocks.</p>\n<p>A pull-back in economically sensitive cyclicals kept the S&amp;P 500’s and the blue-chip Dow’s gains muted, while small-caps underperformed their larger rivals.</p>\n<p>But megacap tech and tech-adjacent stocks, such as Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com, Apple Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc and Alphabet Inc, rose ahead of their quarterly results next week, putting the Nasdaq out front.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session within 1% of their record closing highs.</p>\n<p>Growth stocks, which outperformed throughout the health crisis, were back in favor, gaining 0.8%, while the value index slipped by 0.5%.</p>\n<p>“The market is flip-flopping between the view that economic growth has almost peaked so you need to buy stocks that manufacture their own growth like tech names, versus the view that economic growth will continue and you want to own cyclicals and value names,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York.</p>\n<p>The number of U.S. workers filing first-time applications for unemployment benefits spiked unexpectedly to 419,000 last week, a two-month high, according to the Labor Department.</p>\n<p>Market participants are closely watching labor market indicators for hints as to when the Federal Reserve, expected to convene next week for its two-day monetary policy meeting, will begin discussions about hiking key interest rates from near zero.</p>\n<p>“The jobless data today didn’t have a meaningful impact on markets or the economic outlook,” Carter added. “It’s now all about how much longer the Fed will tolerate low rates. The Fed seems to be favoring its full employment mandate more than its price stability mandate.”</p>\n<p>“Accordingly, the upcoming Fed meeting could be impactful,” Carter said.</p>\n<p>Benchmark Treasury yields eased after the bid at the largest-ever TIPS auction touched a record low, pressuring rate sensitive banks.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.35 points, or 0.07%, to 34,823.35, the S&amp;P 500 gained 8.79 points, or 0.20%, to 4,367.48 and the Nasdaq Composite added 52.64 points, or 0.36%, to 14,684.60.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, tech was shining brightest, gaining 0.7%. Energy stocks suffered the largest percentage drop.</p>\n<p>The second-quarter reporting season barreled ahead at full-throttle, with 104 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>Drugmaker Biogen Inc gained 1.1% after hiking its full-year revenue guidance, while Domino’s Pizza Inc surged 14.6% to an all-time high on the heels of its quarterly report.</p>\n<p>Southwest Airlines Co posted a bigger-than-expected quarterly loss, sending its stock down 3.5%, and American Airlines Group Inc dipped 1.1% even after reporting a quarterly profit.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 1500 Airlines index ended the session off 1.7%.</p>\n<p>Shares of Texas Instruments Inc slid 5.3% after its current-quarter revenue forecast cast concerns as to whether the company will be able to meet spiking demand in the face of a global semiconductor shortage.</p>\n<p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index ended the session down 0.9%.</p>\n<p>Chipmaker Intel Corp slipped more than 1% in extended trading after the chipmaker posted results and raised its annual revenue forecast.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.82-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 54 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.25 billion shares, compared with the 10.12 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ekes out gains, led by tech, growth stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ekes out gains, led by tech, growth stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-wall-street-ekes-out-gains-led-by-tech-growth-stocks-idUSL1N2OY2HH><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Big tech helped Wall Street inch up to a higher close on Thursday, modestly building on a two-day rally as lackluster economic data and mixed corporate earnings prompted a pivot ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-wall-street-ekes-out-gains-led-by-tech-growth-stocks-idUSL1N2OY2HH\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-wall-street-ekes-out-gains-led-by-tech-growth-stocks-idUSL1N2OY2HH","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164478982","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Big tech helped Wall Street inch up to a higher close on Thursday, modestly building on a two-day rally as lackluster economic data and mixed corporate earnings prompted a pivot back to growth stocks.\nA pull-back in economically sensitive cyclicals kept the S&P 500’s and the blue-chip Dow’s gains muted, while small-caps underperformed their larger rivals.\nBut megacap tech and tech-adjacent stocks, such as Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com, Apple Inc, Facebook Inc and Alphabet Inc, rose ahead of their quarterly results next week, putting the Nasdaq out front.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session within 1% of their record closing highs.\nGrowth stocks, which outperformed throughout the health crisis, were back in favor, gaining 0.8%, while the value index slipped by 0.5%.\n“The market is flip-flopping between the view that economic growth has almost peaked so you need to buy stocks that manufacture their own growth like tech names, versus the view that economic growth will continue and you want to own cyclicals and value names,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York.\nThe number of U.S. workers filing first-time applications for unemployment benefits spiked unexpectedly to 419,000 last week, a two-month high, according to the Labor Department.\nMarket participants are closely watching labor market indicators for hints as to when the Federal Reserve, expected to convene next week for its two-day monetary policy meeting, will begin discussions about hiking key interest rates from near zero.\n“The jobless data today didn’t have a meaningful impact on markets or the economic outlook,” Carter added. “It’s now all about how much longer the Fed will tolerate low rates. The Fed seems to be favoring its full employment mandate more than its price stability mandate.”\n“Accordingly, the upcoming Fed meeting could be impactful,” Carter said.\nBenchmark Treasury yields eased after the bid at the largest-ever TIPS auction touched a record low, pressuring rate sensitive banks.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.35 points, or 0.07%, to 34,823.35, the S&P 500 gained 8.79 points, or 0.20%, to 4,367.48 and the Nasdaq Composite added 52.64 points, or 0.36%, to 14,684.60.\nOf the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, tech was shining brightest, gaining 0.7%. Energy stocks suffered the largest percentage drop.\nThe second-quarter reporting season barreled ahead at full-throttle, with 104 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv.\nDrugmaker Biogen Inc gained 1.1% after hiking its full-year revenue guidance, while Domino’s Pizza Inc surged 14.6% to an all-time high on the heels of its quarterly report.\nSouthwest Airlines Co posted a bigger-than-expected quarterly loss, sending its stock down 3.5%, and American Airlines Group Inc dipped 1.1% even after reporting a quarterly profit.\nThe S&P 1500 Airlines index ended the session off 1.7%.\nShares of Texas Instruments Inc slid 5.3% after its current-quarter revenue forecast cast concerns as to whether the company will be able to meet spiking demand in the face of a global semiconductor shortage.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index ended the session down 0.9%.\nChipmaker Intel Corp slipped more than 1% in extended trading after the chipmaker posted results and raised its annual revenue forecast.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.82-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 54 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 8.25 billion shares, compared with the 10.12 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832052076,"gmtCreate":1629547910395,"gmtModify":1676530068974,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832052076","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151608193?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p>\n<p>In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p>\n<p>Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p>\n<p>A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p>\n<p>Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p>\n<p>You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p>\n<p><b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p>\n<p>“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p>\n<p>“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p>\n<p>He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p>\n<p>All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p>\n<p><b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p>\n<p>All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p>\n<p>In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p>\n<p>These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p>\n<p><b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p>\n<p>This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p>\n<p>This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p>\n<p><b>The stocks to buy</b></p>\n<p>Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p>\n<p><b>New management plays</b></p>\n<p>Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p>\n<p>Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p>\n<p><b>A data center and gaming play</b></p>\n<p>Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p>\n<p><b>Design tool companies</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p>\n<p>Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p>\n<p><b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p>\n<p>To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p>\n<p>In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p>\n<p><b>Oversupply</b></p>\n<p>Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p>\n<p>The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p>\n<p>Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p>\n<p>Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p>\n<p><b>A disturbing signal</b></p>\n<p>A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p>\n<p>Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p>\n<p>But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p>\n<p>Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p>\n<p>Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 22:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果","CDNS":"铿腾电子","GOOG":"谷歌","ON":"安森美半导体","SSNLF":"三星电子","TSM":"台积电","ASML":"阿斯麦","QCOM":"高通","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","SNPS":"新思科技"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3578969648963961","authorId":"3578969648963961","name":"Boo2bear","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/209ae746c8124fe2d5f79aee784d2fcc","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3578969648963961","idStr":"3578969648963961"},"content":"Done. Pls like back","text":"Done. Pls like back","html":"Done. Pls like back"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836303192,"gmtCreate":1629451498816,"gmtModify":1676530045633,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836303192","repostId":"1157072234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157072234","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1629451322,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157072234?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-20 17:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For August 20, 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157072234","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects & John Deere Company","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<b>&amp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> Company</b>&nbsp;to report quarterly earnings at $4.57 per share on revenue of $10.30 billion before the opening bell. Deere shares rose 0.1% to $359.40 in after-hours trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a>, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and issued strong forecast for the current quarter. Applied Materials shares, however, slipped 1.1% to $127.80 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a>, Inc.</b>&nbsp;to have earned $1.00 per share on revenue of $2.09 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Foot Locker shares rose 2.4% to $55.70 in after-hours trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> Stores, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported stronger-than-expected results for its second quarter. The company said its sees Q3 earnings of $0.61 to $0.69 per share. Ross Stores shares fell 4.7% to $120.60 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> Inc</b>&nbsp;to report quarterly earnings at $0.56 per share on revenue of $226.00 million before the opening bell. Buckle shares gained 3.1% to $44.38 in after-hours trading.</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For August 20, 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For August 20, 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-20 17:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<b>&amp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> Company</b>&nbsp;to report quarterly earnings at $4.57 per share on revenue of $10.30 billion before the opening bell. Deere shares rose 0.1% to $359.40 in after-hours trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a>, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and issued strong forecast for the current quarter. Applied Materials shares, however, slipped 1.1% to $127.80 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a>, Inc.</b>&nbsp;to have earned $1.00 per share on revenue of $2.09 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Foot Locker shares rose 2.4% to $55.70 in after-hours trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> Stores, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported stronger-than-expected results for its second quarter. The company said its sees Q3 earnings of $0.61 to $0.69 per share. Ross Stores shares fell 4.7% to $120.60 in the after-hours trading session.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> Inc</b>&nbsp;to report quarterly earnings at $0.56 per share on revenue of $226.00 million before the opening bell. Buckle shares gained 3.1% to $44.38 in after-hours trading.</li>\n</ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DE":"迪尔股份有限公司","BKE":"巴克尔","FL":"富乐客","ROST":"罗斯百货有限公司","AMAT":"应用材料"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157072234","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects & John Deere Company to report quarterly earnings at $4.57 per share on revenue of $10.30 billion before the opening bell. Deere shares rose 0.1% to $359.40 in after-hours trading.\nApplied Materials, Inc. reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and issued strong forecast for the current quarter. Applied Materials shares, however, slipped 1.1% to $127.80 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts are expecting Foot Locker, Inc. to have earned $1.00 per share on revenue of $2.09 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Foot Locker shares rose 2.4% to $55.70 in after-hours trading.\nRoss Stores, Inc. reported stronger-than-expected results for its second quarter. The company said its sees Q3 earnings of $0.61 to $0.69 per share. Ross Stores shares fell 4.7% to $120.60 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts expect Buckle Inc to report quarterly earnings at $0.56 per share on revenue of $226.00 million before the opening bell. Buckle shares gained 3.1% to $44.38 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918753254,"gmtCreate":1664461085778,"gmtModify":1676537459857,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kk","listText":"Kk","text":"Kk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918753254","repostId":"1126963246","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126963246","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664465003,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126963246?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-29 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Tumbles 500 Points and Erases Gains From Prior Day’s Rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126963246","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. T","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 2.18% and 3.03%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f435d3c49e11b611977e5c8d5307e0a9\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"185\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>A stronger-than-expected jobless claims report didn’t help sentiment, building on the notion that the Federal Reserve will keep doing aggressive rate hikes to fight inflation without concern it’s going to hurt the labor market.</p><p>The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to trade at about 3.79%. A day prior, it posted its biggest one-day drop since 2020 after briefly topping 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> shares fell 4.5% after Bank of America downgraded the tech stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target, citing a weak consumer.</p><p>The moves followed a broad rally for stocks Wednesday, as the Bank of England said it would purchase bonds in an effort to help steady its financial markets and the cratering British pound. Sterling has stooped to record lows against the U.S. dollar in recent days.</p><p>It marked a stark shift from the aggressive tightening campaign many global central banks have undertaken to cope with surging inflation.</p><p>The Dow on Wednesday gained more than 500 points, or 1.9%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose nearly 2% after hitting a new bear market low on Tuesday. Both indexes snapped six-day losing streaks.</p><p>“We are skeptical that the calmer mood in markets on Wednesday marks an end to the recent period of elevated volatility or risk-off sentiment. For a more sustained rally, investors will need to see convincing evidence that inflation is coming under control, allowing central banks to become less hawkish,” UBS’ Mark Haefele wrote in a Thursday note.</p><p>Wednesday’s rally put the major averages on pace for a losing week and their worst month since June. The Nasdaq Composite is leading the monthly losses, down about 8.4%, while the Dow and S&amp;P are on pace to close 7% and 7.5% lower, respectively.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Tumbles 500 Points and Erases Gains From Prior Day’s Rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Tumbles 500 Points and Erases Gains From Prior Day’s Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-29 23:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 2.18% and 3.03%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f435d3c49e11b611977e5c8d5307e0a9\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"185\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>A stronger-than-expected jobless claims report didn’t help sentiment, building on the notion that the Federal Reserve will keep doing aggressive rate hikes to fight inflation without concern it’s going to hurt the labor market.</p><p>The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to trade at about 3.79%. A day prior, it posted its biggest one-day drop since 2020 after briefly topping 4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> shares fell 4.5% after Bank of America downgraded the tech stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target, citing a weak consumer.</p><p>The moves followed a broad rally for stocks Wednesday, as the Bank of England said it would purchase bonds in an effort to help steady its financial markets and the cratering British pound. Sterling has stooped to record lows against the U.S. dollar in recent days.</p><p>It marked a stark shift from the aggressive tightening campaign many global central banks have undertaken to cope with surging inflation.</p><p>The Dow on Wednesday gained more than 500 points, or 1.9%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose nearly 2% after hitting a new bear market low on Tuesday. Both indexes snapped six-day losing streaks.</p><p>“We are skeptical that the calmer mood in markets on Wednesday marks an end to the recent period of elevated volatility or risk-off sentiment. For a more sustained rally, investors will need to see convincing evidence that inflation is coming under control, allowing central banks to become less hawkish,” UBS’ Mark Haefele wrote in a Thursday note.</p><p>Wednesday’s rally put the major averages on pace for a losing week and their worst month since June. The Nasdaq Composite is leading the monthly losses, down about 8.4%, while the Dow and S&amp;P are on pace to close 7% and 7.5% lower, respectively.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126963246","content_text":"Stocks slumped Thursday, giving back some of the sharp gains seen in the previous session, as bond yields resumed their upward march.The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 479.99 points, or 1.62%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 2.18% and 3.03%, respectively.A stronger-than-expected jobless claims report didn’t help sentiment, building on the notion that the Federal Reserve will keep doing aggressive rate hikes to fight inflation without concern it’s going to hurt the labor market.The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to trade at about 3.79%. A day prior, it posted its biggest one-day drop since 2020 after briefly topping 4%.Apple shares fell 4.5% after Bank of America downgraded the tech stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target, citing a weak consumer.The moves followed a broad rally for stocks Wednesday, as the Bank of England said it would purchase bonds in an effort to help steady its financial markets and the cratering British pound. Sterling has stooped to record lows against the U.S. dollar in recent days.It marked a stark shift from the aggressive tightening campaign many global central banks have undertaken to cope with surging inflation.The Dow on Wednesday gained more than 500 points, or 1.9%, while the S&P 500 rose nearly 2% after hitting a new bear market low on Tuesday. Both indexes snapped six-day losing streaks.“We are skeptical that the calmer mood in markets on Wednesday marks an end to the recent period of elevated volatility or risk-off sentiment. For a more sustained rally, investors will need to see convincing evidence that inflation is coming under control, allowing central banks to become less hawkish,” UBS’ Mark Haefele wrote in a Thursday note.Wednesday’s rally put the major averages on pace for a losing week and their worst month since June. The Nasdaq Composite is leading the monthly losses, down about 8.4%, while the Dow and S&P are on pace to close 7% and 7.5% lower, respectively.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895622756,"gmtCreate":1628741085475,"gmtModify":1676529838898,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895622756","repostId":"1143445979","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143445979","pubTimestamp":1628740791,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143445979?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-12 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US lawmakers introduce bill to rein in Apple, Google app stores","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143445979","media":"FOX Business","summary":"The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.\nA bipart","content":"<p><i>The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.</i></p>\n<p>A bipartisan trio of senators introduced a bill that would rein in app stores of companies they said exert too much market control, including&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc's Google.</p>\n<p>Democratic Senators Richard Blumenthal and Amy Klobuchar teamed up with Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn to sponsor the bill, which would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system. It would also prohibit them from punishing apps that offer different prices or conditions through another app store or payment system.</p>\n<p>\"I found this predatory abuse of Apple and Google so deeply offensive on so many levels,\" Blumenthal said in an interview Wednesday. \"Their power has reached a point where they are impacting the whole economy in stifling and strangling innovation.\"</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th>Ticker</th>\n   <th>Security</th>\n   <th>Last</th>\n   <th>Change</th>\n   <th>Change %</th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>GOOGL</td>\n   <td>ALPHABET, INC.</td>\n   <td>2,725.58</td>\n   <td>-10.56</td>\n   <td>-0.39%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>AAPL</td>\n   <td>APPLE, INC.</td>\n   <td>145.86</td>\n   <td>+0.26</td>\n   <td>+0.18%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Blumenthal said he expected companion legislation in the House of Representatives \"very soon.\"</p>\n<p>The stakes are high for Apple, whose App Store anchors its $53.8 billion services business as the smartphone market has matured.</p>\n<p>Apple said its app store was \"an unprecedented engine of economic growth and innovation, one that now supports more than 2.1 million jobs across all 50 states.\"</p>\n<p>Google declined to comment, but a spokeswoman cited previous company statements that Android devices often come preloaded with two or more app stores and that app sellers can allow downloads without using Google's Play Store.</p>\n<p>The bill won praise from Spotify, Epic and Tile. Tile, which makes tags to find lost objects, complained earlier this year about Apple launching a rival product.</p>\n<p>A similar law revision has been introduced in South Korea. Google said last year it would enforce certain in-app payment methods there and receive 30% commission fees from non-game digital content.</p>\n<p>Apple's control over apps on its Store, and 15% to 30% commissions on digital sales have come under regulatory scrutiny. A federal judge is reviewing testimony to rule on an antitrust lawsuit by \"Fortnite\" creator Epic Games.</p>\n<p>Epic also sued Google for its app store practices, as have a big group of state attorneys general alleging that it unlawfully worked to maintain a monopoly for its app store for Android phones.</p>","source":"lsy1602566126337","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US lawmakers introduce bill to rein in Apple, Google app stores</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS lawmakers introduce bill to rein in Apple, Google app stores\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-12 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/us-lawmakers-introduce-bill-to-rein-in-apple-google-app-stores><strong>FOX Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.\nA bipartisan trio of senators introduced a bill that would rein in app stores of companies they said exert ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/us-lawmakers-introduce-bill-to-rein-in-apple-google-app-stores\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/us-lawmakers-introduce-bill-to-rein-in-apple-google-app-stores","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143445979","content_text":"The bill would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system.\nA bipartisan trio of senators introduced a bill that would rein in app stores of companies they said exert too much market control, including Apple and Alphabet Inc's Google.\nDemocratic Senators Richard Blumenthal and Amy Klobuchar teamed up with Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn to sponsor the bill, which would bar big app stores from requiring app providers to use their payment system. It would also prohibit them from punishing apps that offer different prices or conditions through another app store or payment system.\n\"I found this predatory abuse of Apple and Google so deeply offensive on so many levels,\" Blumenthal said in an interview Wednesday. \"Their power has reached a point where they are impacting the whole economy in stifling and strangling innovation.\"\n\n\n\nTicker\nSecurity\nLast\nChange\nChange %\n\n\n\n\nGOOGL\nALPHABET, INC.\n2,725.58\n-10.56\n-0.39%\n\n\nAAPL\nAPPLE, INC.\n145.86\n+0.26\n+0.18%\n\n\n\n\nBlumenthal said he expected companion legislation in the House of Representatives \"very soon.\"\nThe stakes are high for Apple, whose App Store anchors its $53.8 billion services business as the smartphone market has matured.\nApple said its app store was \"an unprecedented engine of economic growth and innovation, one that now supports more than 2.1 million jobs across all 50 states.\"\nGoogle declined to comment, but a spokeswoman cited previous company statements that Android devices often come preloaded with two or more app stores and that app sellers can allow downloads without using Google's Play Store.\nThe bill won praise from Spotify, Epic and Tile. Tile, which makes tags to find lost objects, complained earlier this year about Apple launching a rival product.\nA similar law revision has been introduced in South Korea. Google said last year it would enforce certain in-app payment methods there and receive 30% commission fees from non-game digital content.\nApple's control over apps on its Store, and 15% to 30% commissions on digital sales have come under regulatory scrutiny. A federal judge is reviewing testimony to rule on an antitrust lawsuit by \"Fortnite\" creator Epic Games.\nEpic also sued Google for its app store practices, as have a big group of state attorneys general alleging that it unlawfully worked to maintain a monopoly for its app store for Android phones.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984653423,"gmtCreate":1667621248762,"gmtModify":1676537946073,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kk","listText":"Kk","text":"Kk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984653423","repostId":"2281633463","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2281633463","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1667611037,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281633463?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-05 09:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Strong New Evidence That a U.S. Stock-Market Rally Is Coming Soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281633463","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08fe901026b570575afe49651cc756c6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. stock-market rally. I&#39;m referring to an index that measures investors&#39; confidence that any market dip will be soon followed by a recovery. The index, called the &#34;U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index,&#34; was created two decades ago by Yale University&#39;s Robert Shiller. It is based on a monthly survey in which investors are asked to guess the market&#39;s direction the day after a 3% market decline.</p><p>My analysis of the data indicates that the index has contrarian significance. That is, high readings -- high confidence that any market drop will be followed by a quick recovery -- is a bad sign. Low readings, in contrast, are bullish.</p><p>This past summer the index got lower than 7% of all other monthly readings since Shiller began this survey in the 1990s. While that in itself is low enough to impress contrarians, it&#39;s also encouraging that the index hasn&#39;t jumped more since then. The normal pattern is for bullishness to jump whenever the market begins to rally. But the index currently stands at just the 20 percentile of the historical distribution.</p><p>In fact, the latest reading is even lower than the one registered in March 2020, at the bottom of the waterfall decline that accompanied the initial lockdowns of the COVID-19 pandemic. But as for the summer of 2022, you have to go back to late 2018 and early 2019 to find another time when the Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index was lower than where it stands now. Those months coincided with the bottom of the 19%+ correction (bear market) caused by the Fed&#39;s late 2018 rate-hike cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5618543e29ee918b96f35e6e7700d26\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This index&#39;s highest reading in recent years came in August 2021, when it rose to the 91 percentile of the historical distribution. As if we need any reminding, that came just two months before the top of the secondary market and four months before the broad market hit its top.</p><p>These two are just data points. A more comprehensive analysis is reflected in the table below, based on monthly data for the U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index over the last two decades.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2b9346868c3e0aeb995c523c87512ed\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Though these differences in average returns are statistically significant, it&#39;s important to emphasize that there are no guarantees. Sentiment is not the only factor that moves the market, after all.</p><p>Furthermore, even if a strong rally materializes, we can&#39;t know if it will be the beginning of a new bull market or just a bear-market rally. The answer will depend at least partly on how slowly or quickly investors regain their confidence that market dips will be quickly followed by a recovery. For the moment, contrarian analysis suggests that a strong rally is likely in coming weeks.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Strong New Evidence That a U.S. Stock-Market Rally Is Coming Soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Strong New Evidence That a U.S. Stock-Market Rally Is Coming Soon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-05 09:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08fe901026b570575afe49651cc756c6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. stock-market rally. I&#39;m referring to an index that measures investors&#39; confidence that any market dip will be soon followed by a recovery. The index, called the &#34;U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index,&#34; was created two decades ago by Yale University&#39;s Robert Shiller. It is based on a monthly survey in which investors are asked to guess the market&#39;s direction the day after a 3% market decline.</p><p>My analysis of the data indicates that the index has contrarian significance. That is, high readings -- high confidence that any market drop will be followed by a quick recovery -- is a bad sign. Low readings, in contrast, are bullish.</p><p>This past summer the index got lower than 7% of all other monthly readings since Shiller began this survey in the 1990s. While that in itself is low enough to impress contrarians, it&#39;s also encouraging that the index hasn&#39;t jumped more since then. The normal pattern is for bullishness to jump whenever the market begins to rally. But the index currently stands at just the 20 percentile of the historical distribution.</p><p>In fact, the latest reading is even lower than the one registered in March 2020, at the bottom of the waterfall decline that accompanied the initial lockdowns of the COVID-19 pandemic. But as for the summer of 2022, you have to go back to late 2018 and early 2019 to find another time when the Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index was lower than where it stands now. Those months coincided with the bottom of the 19%+ correction (bear market) caused by the Fed&#39;s late 2018 rate-hike cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5618543e29ee918b96f35e6e7700d26\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This index&#39;s highest reading in recent years came in August 2021, when it rose to the 91 percentile of the historical distribution. As if we need any reminding, that came just two months before the top of the secondary market and four months before the broad market hit its top.</p><p>These two are just data points. A more comprehensive analysis is reflected in the table below, based on monthly data for the U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index over the last two decades.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2b9346868c3e0aeb995c523c87512ed\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Though these differences in average returns are statistically significant, it&#39;s important to emphasize that there are no guarantees. Sentiment is not the only factor that moves the market, after all.</p><p>Furthermore, even if a strong rally materializes, we can&#39;t know if it will be the beginning of a new bull market or just a bear-market rally. The answer will depend at least partly on how slowly or quickly investors regain their confidence that market dips will be quickly followed by a recovery. For the moment, contrarian analysis suggests that a strong rally is likely in coming weeks.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281633463","content_text":"Yet another piece of the investor-sentiment puzzle is falling into place to support a sizeable U.S. stock-market rally. I'm referring to an index that measures investors' confidence that any market dip will be soon followed by a recovery. The index, called the \"U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index,\" was created two decades ago by Yale University's Robert Shiller. It is based on a monthly survey in which investors are asked to guess the market's direction the day after a 3% market decline.My analysis of the data indicates that the index has contrarian significance. That is, high readings -- high confidence that any market drop will be followed by a quick recovery -- is a bad sign. Low readings, in contrast, are bullish.This past summer the index got lower than 7% of all other monthly readings since Shiller began this survey in the 1990s. While that in itself is low enough to impress contrarians, it's also encouraging that the index hasn't jumped more since then. The normal pattern is for bullishness to jump whenever the market begins to rally. But the index currently stands at just the 20 percentile of the historical distribution.In fact, the latest reading is even lower than the one registered in March 2020, at the bottom of the waterfall decline that accompanied the initial lockdowns of the COVID-19 pandemic. But as for the summer of 2022, you have to go back to late 2018 and early 2019 to find another time when the Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index was lower than where it stands now. Those months coincided with the bottom of the 19%+ correction (bear market) caused by the Fed's late 2018 rate-hike cycle.This index's highest reading in recent years came in August 2021, when it rose to the 91 percentile of the historical distribution. As if we need any reminding, that came just two months before the top of the secondary market and four months before the broad market hit its top.These two are just data points. A more comprehensive analysis is reflected in the table below, based on monthly data for the U.S. Buy-on-Dips Confidence Index over the last two decades.Though these differences in average returns are statistically significant, it's important to emphasize that there are no guarantees. Sentiment is not the only factor that moves the market, after all.Furthermore, even if a strong rally materializes, we can't know if it will be the beginning of a new bull market or just a bear-market rally. The answer will depend at least partly on how slowly or quickly investors regain their confidence that market dips will be quickly followed by a recovery. For the moment, contrarian analysis suggests that a strong rally is likely in coming weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930767228,"gmtCreate":1662006428567,"gmtModify":1676536624129,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohhhh","listText":"Ohhhh","text":"Ohhhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930767228","repostId":"2264232068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264232068","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661990277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264232068?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264232068","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-01 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264232068","content_text":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.A \"superbubble\" appears dangerously near its \"final act\" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential \"tragedy,\" according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that \"superbubbles are events unlike any others\" and share some common features.\"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,\" said Grantham. \"This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.\"The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.\"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,\" Grantham said. \"But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.\"Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a \"superbubble\" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said \"the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.\"The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.First the bubble forms and then a \"setback\" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize \"perfection\" won't last, he said. \"Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,\" before finally \"fundamentals deteriorate\" and the market drops to a low.\"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,\" he said. \"Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.\"At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was \"eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.\"For example, \"from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,\" he said.He also highlighted  the \"speed and scale\" of other bear-market rallies.\"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high,\" he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that \"the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.\"U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.\"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,\" said Grantham. \"To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.\"\"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,\" he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have \"paused between the third and final act,\" according to Grantham.\"Prepare for an epic finale,\" he said. \"If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997550643,"gmtCreate":1661824765884,"gmtModify":1676536586314,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997550643","repostId":"2263109101","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263109101","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661814937,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263109101?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-30 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263109101","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn&#39;t presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&amp;P 500  might be enough to change his mind.</p><p>&#34;At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,&#34; Krinsky said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce469daebbdb715f6ef8c9f67b0682c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.</p><p>Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday&#39;s drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&amp;P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.</p><p>Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&amp;P 500 has been minus 0.4%.</p><p>&#34;The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday&#39;s rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, one of the market&#39;s most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.</p><p>According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock&#39;s 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.</p><p>Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc468dc195080754276338746d44c6b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical &#34;correction protection model&#34; has shifted to &#34;risk off&#34; territory, after spending a month in &#34;risk on.&#34;</p><p>As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f936b030d3c4a047fd0d3c9afe0015\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Since 2011, Asbury&#39;s defensive model has on average underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.</p><p>One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&amp;P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Investors likely won&#39;t see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-30 07:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn&#39;t presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&amp;P 500  might be enough to change his mind.</p><p>&#34;At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,&#34; Krinsky said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce469daebbdb715f6ef8c9f67b0682c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.</p><p>Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday&#39;s drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&amp;P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.</p><p>Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&amp;P 500 has been minus 0.4%.</p><p>&#34;The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday&#39;s rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, one of the market&#39;s most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.</p><p>According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock&#39;s 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.</p><p>Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc468dc195080754276338746d44c6b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical &#34;correction protection model&#34; has shifted to &#34;risk off&#34; territory, after spending a month in &#34;risk on.&#34;</p><p>As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f936b030d3c4a047fd0d3c9afe0015\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Since 2011, Asbury&#39;s defensive model has on average underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.</p><p>One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&amp;P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Investors likely won&#39;t see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","AAPL":"苹果","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263109101","content_text":"As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&P 500.Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn't presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&P 500  might be enough to change his mind.\"At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,\" Krinsky said.Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday's drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&P 500 has been minus 0.4%.\"The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday's rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,\" Colas said.Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. $(AAPL)$, one of the market's most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock's 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical \"correction protection model\" has shifted to \"risk off\" territory, after spending a month in \"risk on.\"As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.Since 2011, Asbury's defensive model has on average underperformed the S&P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.\"Investors likely won't see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,\" Colas said.The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813406670,"gmtCreate":1630223389290,"gmtModify":1676530246899,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/813406670","repostId":"1129129956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129129956","pubTimestamp":1630201285,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129129956?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-29 09:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129129956","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.Real estate iBuying company Opendoor Technologieshas been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company  merger. In a race to disrupt residential ","content":"<p>Key Points</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.</li>\n <li>The company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.</li>\n <li>The market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.</li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>\n<p>Real estate iBuying company&nbsp;<b>Opendoor Technologies</b>(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.</p>\n<p>Despite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.</p>\n<h3>1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle</h3>\n<p>The traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.</p>\n<p>Opendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.</p>\n<p>After seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.</p>\n<p>According to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.</p>\n<h3>2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule</h3>\n<p>When companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"</p>\n<p>In other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.</p>\n<h3>3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?</h3>\n<p>Investors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.</p>\n<p>Investors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.</p>\n<p>But if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.</p>\n<p>Competitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.</p>\n<h3>Here's the bottom line</h3>\n<p>Real estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"<b>Amazon</b>\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is&nbsp;poised to be a big player&nbsp;in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Unloved Tech Stock Could Make You Rich One Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-29 09:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/28/this-unloved-tech-stock-may-make-you-rich-one-day/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nThe iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.\nThe company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/28/this-unloved-tech-stock-may-make-you-rich-one-day/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OPEN":"Opendoor Technologies Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/28/this-unloved-tech-stock-may-make-you-rich-one-day/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129129956","content_text":"Key Points\n\nThe iBuying business is a race to grow larger, and Opendoor is winning.\nThe company is growing at a rate that is two years ahead of what management projected just a year earlier.\nThe market is bearish on virtually all SPACs, making Opendoor a bargain that could eventually bring huge returns.\n\n\nReal estate iBuying company Opendoor Technologies(NASDAQ:OPEN)has been executing at a high level in the three quarters since coming public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. In a race to disrupt residential real estate, one of the largest markets in the world, Opendoor's long-term potential could bring big returns for patient investors.\nDespite the upside, the market hasn't yet appreciated Opendoor's accomplishments; the stock is down more than 50% from its highs. There are three important clues that Opendoor could be a compelling investment idea for bold investors.\n1. Opendoor is winning the iBuying battle\nThe traditional home-buying process in the United States is slow and handled by multiple parties, including agents, lawyers, inspectors, and bankers. This creates a lot of back and forth paperwork and drags the process out to more than 30 days, on average.\nOpendoor pioneered the concept of \"iBuying,\" where the buying and selling of a house are digitized, and a company like Opendoor works directly with sellers to provide them with a cash offer and a digital closing process. The company then resells the house on the market. The iBuying process cuts out agents and some of the fees associated with traditional closings, such as agent commissions. Opendoor then resells the house on the market and charges a service fee of up to 5% on the transaction.\nAfter seeing Opendoor steadily grow with its iBuying concept, competitors have also begun to offer iBuying services, including Zillow Group and Offerpad. Because of how capital intensive the business is (a lot of money is needed to buy and sell thousands of houses) and how price competitive the housing market is, these companies are racing to get as big as possible. As the companies buy and sell more homes, they have the ability to become more profitable by leveraging outsourced contractors to save money, and its pricing algorithm improves as it sees more transactions.\nAccording to iBuyerStats, a website dedicated to tracking the competitors found in iBuying, Opendoor has consistently had the most housing inventory available for sale. It currently has roughly 3,300 houses for sale, 53% more than Zillow and more than four times as many as Offerpad.\n2. Revenue growth is ahead of schedule\nWhen companies go public viaSPACmerger, they lay out a public presentation of their business, often including long-term growth projections. Opendoor laid out its pre-merger investor presentation about a year ago, in September 2020.\nFast forward to the company's recent 2021 Q2 earnings call. CEO and founder Eric Wu said on the earnings call, \"... based on our current progress, our second half revenue run rate is on track to exceed our 2023 target, a full two years ahead of plan.\"\nIn other words, if Opendoor were to operate for 12 months at the level the business currently is, it would surpass the $9.8 billion in revenue it projected for 2023. This is an underlooked point because if Opendoor is already two years ahead of its original growth curve, where will it be by 2023? Sure, a dip in the housing market or other events could disrupt the company's speed of growth, but Opendoor is showing the world that the business is operating at a high level.\n3. SPACs are out of favor with the market... opportunity?\nInvestors have overlooked this strong performance, focusing instead on the fact that Opendoor joined the public market via SPAC merger. It has hardly mattered what operating results or earnings have looked like for former SPACs; the stock market has been selling off virtually all SPAC-based stocks for several months now.\nInvestors have been spooked by a handful of \"bad apple\" companies turning up fraudulent, and other companies have wildly missed on the projections they made before going public. These instances have burned those involved, and investors have taken a much more cautious attitude toward SPACs as a whole.\nBut if companies like Opendoor keep blowing away estimates, the market is likely to come around eventually. When it does, the stock price could move aggressively. If we take Eric Wu's comments about revenue and assume that Opendoor does sales of $10 billion in 2022 (in other words, Opendoor stops growing and maintains its current pace over the following year), the stock currently trades at aprice-to-sales(P/S) ratio of just 1.0. That's a bargain-bin valuation.\nCompetitor Zillow Group trades at a P/S ratio of more than 3, reflecting Opendoor's discount as a former SPAC.\nHere's the bottom line\nReal estate is a huge market, and it's a complicated industry because of the clash between traditional agents and the \"new kids\" on the block trying to bring technology into homebuying. It's too early to say that Opendoor will become the \"Amazon\" of home buying, but what seems certain is that the company is poised to be a big player in real estate's future if it keeps performing like this.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819348883,"gmtCreate":1630038096042,"gmtModify":1676530207624,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/819348883","repostId":"2162847016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2162847016","pubTimestamp":1630008724,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2162847016?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-27 04:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162847016","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closi","content":"<p>NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy prompted a broad but shallow sell-off the day before the Jackson Hole Symposium.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in the red, with the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq notching their first down day in six.</p>\n<p>The sell-off firmed after hawkish commentary from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and a blast outside the Kabul airport in Afghanistan helped strengthen the risk-off sentiment.</p>\n<p>Kaplan, who is not currently a voting member of the Federal Open Markets Committee, said he believes the progress of economic recovery warrants tapering of the Fed's asset purchases to commence in October or shortly thereafter.</p>\n<p>Kaplan's remarks followed earlier comments from the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said that the central bank is \"coalescing\" around a plan to begin tapering process.</p>\n<p>\"(Kaplan’s statements) caused a little confusion about the taper timeline, but in my opinion the equity markets are focused on geopolitical issues,\" said Megan Horneman, director of portfolio strategy at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland. \"There’s a flight to safety during geopolitical tensions.\"</p>\n<p>\"I am surprised the market the market hasn’t fallen more, given the fear that it could take focus away from (U.S. President Joe Biden's) domestic agenda,\" Horneman added.</p>\n<p>The economy grew at a slightly faster pace than originally reported in the second quarter, fully recovering its losses from the most abrupt downturn in U.S. history, according to the Commerce Department. But jobless claims, though still on a downward trajectory, ticked higher last week.</p>\n<p>The data did little to move the needle with respect to expectations that the Fed is unlikely tip its hand regarding the taper timeline when Chairman Jerome Powell unmutes and delivers his speech at Friday's virtual Jackson Hole Symposium.</p>\n<p>\"We’re going to see a lot of market participants analyze every word (Powell) uses, but at the end of the day, they will begin tapering,\" Horneman said. \"I’m more concerned about the speed at which they taper. What are they going to start with? That will give us a clearer indication as whether they’re getting more hawkish.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 192.38 points, or 0.54%, to 35,213.12, the S&amp;P 500 lost 26.19 points, or 0.58%, to 4,470 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 96.05 points, or 0.64%, to 14,945.81.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but real estate ended the session lower, with energy stocks suffering the steepest percentage loss.</p>\n<p>Discount retailers Dollar General Corp and Dollar Tree Inc slid 3.8% and 12.1%, respectively, after warning higher transportation costs will hurt their bottom lines.</p>\n<p>Coty Inc jumped 14.7% after the cosmetics firm said it expects to post full-year sales growth for the first time in three years.</p>\n<p>Salesforce.com Inc hiked its earnings forecast as the shift to a hybrid work model is expected to fuel strong demand. Its shares advanced 2.7%.</p>\n<p>NetApp Inc jumped 4.7% as brokerages raised their price targets in the wake of the cloud computing firm's better-than-expected 2022 earnings outlook.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.99-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.83-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 31 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 39 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.27 billion shares, compared with the 8.96 billion average over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Marguerita Choy)</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-27 04:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2162847016","content_text":"NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy prompted a broad but shallow sell-off the day before the Jackson Hole Symposium.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in the red, with the S&P and the Nasdaq notching their first down day in six.\nThe sell-off firmed after hawkish commentary from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and a blast outside the Kabul airport in Afghanistan helped strengthen the risk-off sentiment.\nKaplan, who is not currently a voting member of the Federal Open Markets Committee, said he believes the progress of economic recovery warrants tapering of the Fed's asset purchases to commence in October or shortly thereafter.\nKaplan's remarks followed earlier comments from the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said that the central bank is \"coalescing\" around a plan to begin tapering process.\n\"(Kaplan’s statements) caused a little confusion about the taper timeline, but in my opinion the equity markets are focused on geopolitical issues,\" said Megan Horneman, director of portfolio strategy at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland. \"There’s a flight to safety during geopolitical tensions.\"\n\"I am surprised the market the market hasn’t fallen more, given the fear that it could take focus away from (U.S. President Joe Biden's) domestic agenda,\" Horneman added.\nThe economy grew at a slightly faster pace than originally reported in the second quarter, fully recovering its losses from the most abrupt downturn in U.S. history, according to the Commerce Department. But jobless claims, though still on a downward trajectory, ticked higher last week.\nThe data did little to move the needle with respect to expectations that the Fed is unlikely tip its hand regarding the taper timeline when Chairman Jerome Powell unmutes and delivers his speech at Friday's virtual Jackson Hole Symposium.\n\"We’re going to see a lot of market participants analyze every word (Powell) uses, but at the end of the day, they will begin tapering,\" Horneman said. \"I’m more concerned about the speed at which they taper. What are they going to start with? That will give us a clearer indication as whether they’re getting more hawkish.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 192.38 points, or 0.54%, to 35,213.12, the S&P 500 lost 26.19 points, or 0.58%, to 4,470 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 96.05 points, or 0.64%, to 14,945.81.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but real estate ended the session lower, with energy stocks suffering the steepest percentage loss.\nDiscount retailers Dollar General Corp and Dollar Tree Inc slid 3.8% and 12.1%, respectively, after warning higher transportation costs will hurt their bottom lines.\nCoty Inc jumped 14.7% after the cosmetics firm said it expects to post full-year sales growth for the first time in three years.\nSalesforce.com Inc hiked its earnings forecast as the shift to a hybrid work model is expected to fuel strong demand. Its shares advanced 2.7%.\nNetApp Inc jumped 4.7% as brokerages raised their price targets in the wake of the cloud computing firm's better-than-expected 2022 earnings outlook.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.99-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.83-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 31 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 39 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 8.27 billion shares, compared with the 8.96 billion average over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Marguerita Choy)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801449749,"gmtCreate":1627530500481,"gmtModify":1703491797424,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/801449749","repostId":"1127264445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127264445","pubTimestamp":1627514621,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127264445?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-29 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127264445","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after th","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p>\n<p>In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p>\n<p>“It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p>\n<p>Right after the Fed statement, the S&amp;P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p>\n<p>The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p>\n<p>The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p>\n<p>“They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p>\n<p>In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 07:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome Powell said the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127264445","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.\nKeeping the market in check, shares of tech giant Apple Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.\nIn a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.\n“It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.\nRight after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.\nInvestors have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.\nThe central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.\nThe Nasdaq ended higher and shares of Google parent Alphabet Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.\nThe Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.\n“They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.\nIn other earnings news, Microsoft Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800139469,"gmtCreate":1627285228551,"gmtModify":1703486704858,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/800139469","repostId":"1100772026","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100772026","pubTimestamp":1627254622,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100772026?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-26 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100772026","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About $one$ third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, $Visa$, $AMD$, UPS, General Electric, $3M$, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.$Facebook$, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, $PayPal$ Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday.","content":"<p>It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> third of S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>, UPS, General Electric, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a>, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday. Finally, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHTR\">Charter Communications</a>, Chevron, and Procter &amp; Gamble close the week on Friday.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4564430f7fe9649d97a7a105615955e5\" tg-width=\"1562\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There will be plenty of action on the economic calendar this week too. The Federal Reserve’s policy committee wraps up a two-day meeting on Wednesday. A change in interest rates is off the table, but officials could reveal more information about their timeline for reducing bond purchases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference will be must-watch viewing.</p>\n<p>On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes its first official estimate of second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product. Economists are expecting a white-hot 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, up from 6.4% in the first quarter.</p>\n<p>Other data out this week include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July and the Commerce Department’s durable goods orders for June, both on Tuesday. The latter is often viewed as a decent proxy for business investment.</p>\n<p>Monday 7/26</p>\n<p>Cadence Design Systems, Hasbro, Lockheed Martin, Otis Worldwide, and Tesla report quarterly results.</p>\n<p>The Census Bureau reports new single-family home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 800,000 new homes sold, 4% more than May’s 769,000.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 7/27</p>\n<p>It’s a big day for megacap tech earnings. Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will release quarterly results. The three companies are among the five largest globally by market value, worth a combined $6.4 trillion.</p>\n<p>3M, Advanced Micro Devices, Chubb, Ecolab, General Electric, Invesco, Mondelez International, MSCI, Raytheon Technologies, Starbucks, United Parcel Service, and Visa announce earnings.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 124 reading, lower than June’s 127.3. The June figure was the highest for the index since the beginning of the pandemic.</p>\n<p>S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> releases its Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for May. Expectations are for a 16.4% year-over-year rise, after a 14.6% jump in April. The April spike was a record for the index going back to 1988, when data were first collected.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 7/28</p>\n<p>Automatic Data Processing, Boeing, Bristol Myers Squibb, Facebook, Ford Motor, Generac Holdings, McDonald’s, Moody’s, Norfolk Southern, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, Qualcomm, Shopify, and Thermo Fisher Scientific release quarterly results.</p>\n<p>The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. The FOMC is expected to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged near zero. Wall Street expects the central bank to announce a timeline for reducing its bond purchases, currently about $120 billion a month, at some time between now and the September meeting.</p>\n<p>Thursday 7/29</p>\n<p>Altria Group, Amazon.com, Comcast, Hershey, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Mastercard, Merck, Molson Coors Beverage, Northrop Grumman, and T-Mobile US hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p>\n<p>Robinhood Markets, the zero-commission investment app, is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker HOOD. Robinhood plans to offer 55 million shares at $38 to $42 a share, which would value the company at roughly $35 billion.</p>\n<p>The Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its preliminary estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, following a 6.4% increase in the first quarter. The Federal Reserve currently projects 7% GDP growth for 2021, which would be the fastest rate of growth since 1984.</p>\n<p>Friday 7/30</p>\n<p>AbbVie, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, Colgate-Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Procter &amp; Gamble, and Weyerhaeuser report quarterly results.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 07:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About one third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音","FORD":"福沃德工业","TSLA":"特斯拉","AAPL":"苹果","PYPL":"PayPal","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100772026","content_text":"It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About one third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, AMD, UPS, General Electric, 3M, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.\nFacebook, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday. Finally, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, and Procter & Gamble close the week on Friday.\nThere will be plenty of action on the economic calendar this week too. The Federal Reserve’s policy committee wraps up a two-day meeting on Wednesday. A change in interest rates is off the table, but officials could reveal more information about their timeline for reducing bond purchases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference will be must-watch viewing.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes its first official estimate of second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product. Economists are expecting a white-hot 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, up from 6.4% in the first quarter.\nOther data out this week include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July and the Commerce Department’s durable goods orders for June, both on Tuesday. The latter is often viewed as a decent proxy for business investment.\nMonday 7/26\nCadence Design Systems, Hasbro, Lockheed Martin, Otis Worldwide, and Tesla report quarterly results.\nThe Census Bureau reports new single-family home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 800,000 new homes sold, 4% more than May’s 769,000.\nTuesday 7/27\nIt’s a big day for megacap tech earnings. Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will release quarterly results. The three companies are among the five largest globally by market value, worth a combined $6.4 trillion.\n3M, Advanced Micro Devices, Chubb, Ecolab, General Electric, Invesco, Mondelez International, MSCI, Raytheon Technologies, Starbucks, United Parcel Service, and Visa announce earnings.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 124 reading, lower than June’s 127.3. The June figure was the highest for the index since the beginning of the pandemic.\nS&P CoreLogic releases its Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for May. Expectations are for a 16.4% year-over-year rise, after a 14.6% jump in April. The April spike was a record for the index going back to 1988, when data were first collected.\nWednesday 7/28\nAutomatic Data Processing, Boeing, Bristol Myers Squibb, Facebook, Ford Motor, Generac Holdings, McDonald’s, Moody’s, Norfolk Southern, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, Qualcomm, Shopify, and Thermo Fisher Scientific release quarterly results.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. The FOMC is expected to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged near zero. Wall Street expects the central bank to announce a timeline for reducing its bond purchases, currently about $120 billion a month, at some time between now and the September meeting.\nThursday 7/29\nAltria Group, Amazon.com, Comcast, Hershey, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Mastercard, Merck, Molson Coors Beverage, Northrop Grumman, and T-Mobile US hold conference calls to discuss earnings.\nRobinhood Markets, the zero-commission investment app, is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker HOOD. Robinhood plans to offer 55 million shares at $38 to $42 a share, which would value the company at roughly $35 billion.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its preliminary estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, following a 6.4% increase in the first quarter. The Federal Reserve currently projects 7% GDP growth for 2021, which would be the fastest rate of growth since 1984.\nFriday 7/30\nAbbVie, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, Colgate-Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Procter & Gamble, and Weyerhaeuser report quarterly results.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174851317,"gmtCreate":1627092051439,"gmtModify":1703484069920,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174851317","repostId":"2153980423","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153980423","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627081209,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2153980423?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street surges to all-time closing high on earnings, economic revival","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153980423","media":"Reuters","summary":"* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains\n* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever\n* Social media","content":"<p>* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains</p>\n<p>* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever</p>\n<p>* Social media stocks rally after upbeat results</p>\n<p>* Intel sales forecast implies rocky second half</p>\n<p>* Indexes up: Dow 0.68%, S&amp;P 1.01%, Nasdaq 1.04%</p>\n<p>Wall Street gained ground for the fourth straight session on Friday, extending a rally that pushed all three major U.S. stock indexes to record closing highs as upbeat earnings and signs of economic revival fueled investor risk appetite.</p>\n<p>The Dow closed above 35,000 for the first time ever.</p>\n<p>\"We see a continuation of the last couple days. It's roller coaster in reverse. We did the drop first, and we’ve been climbing back to the top ever since,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>Growth and value stocks seesawed for much of the week as market participants weighed spiking infections of the COVID-19 Delta variant against strong corporate results and signs of economic revival.</p>\n<p>\"There’s push and pull, there’s clearly conflict in the market,\" Zaccarelli added. \"There’s a strong difference of opinion as to whether the future’s bright or whether there are clouds on the horizon.\"</p>\n<p>Market participants now look toward next week with the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting and a series of high-profile earnings.</p>\n<p>The Fed's statement will be parsed for clues regarding the timeframe for tightening its accommodative policies, although Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said the economy still needs the central bank's full support.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.2 points, or 0.68%, to 35,061.55, the S&amp;P 500 gained 44.31 points, or 1.01%, to 4,411.79 and the Nasdaq Composite added 152.39 points, or 1.04%, to 14,836.99.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but energy&nbsp;closed green, with communications services enjoying the largest gain, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season is in full swing, with 120 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>\"We’re seeing companies, on average, beat on the top and on the bottom line,\" Zaccarelli said. \"We’re seeing the resilience of the consumer and that’s been the story of the earnings season so far.\"</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect aggregate year-on-year S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 78.1% for the April to June period, a sizeable increase from the 54% annual growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Chipmaker Intel Corp said late Thursday that it still faces supply constraints and provided disappointing guidance. Its stock fell 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Moderna Inc jumped 7.8% after the European Union approved its COVID-19 vaccine for 12- to 17-year-olds.</p>\n<p>American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a> Co gained 1.3% after posting second-quarter profit that handily beat expectations on the strength of a global recovery in consumer spending.</p>\n<p>Social media firms <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>&nbsp;advanced 3.0% and 23.8%, respectively, on the back of their upbeat results.</p>\n<p>Those results bode well for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc, which is due to post second-quarter results next week. Its stock surged 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Other high-profile earnings expected next week include Tesla Inc, Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com.</p>\n<p>Industrials Lockheed Martin Corp, Boeing Co, Ford Motor Co, General Dynamics Corp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co Caterpillar Inc, Chevron Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp, along with a host of healthcare, consumer goods and others, are also on deck.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 82 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 136 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.72 billion shares, compared with the 10.14 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street surges to all-time closing high on earnings, economic revival</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street surges to all-time closing high on earnings, economic revival\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-24 07:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains</p>\n<p>* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever</p>\n<p>* Social media stocks rally after upbeat results</p>\n<p>* Intel sales forecast implies rocky second half</p>\n<p>* Indexes up: Dow 0.68%, S&amp;P 1.01%, Nasdaq 1.04%</p>\n<p>Wall Street gained ground for the fourth straight session on Friday, extending a rally that pushed all three major U.S. stock indexes to record closing highs as upbeat earnings and signs of economic revival fueled investor risk appetite.</p>\n<p>The Dow closed above 35,000 for the first time ever.</p>\n<p>\"We see a continuation of the last couple days. It's roller coaster in reverse. We did the drop first, and we’ve been climbing back to the top ever since,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>Growth and value stocks seesawed for much of the week as market participants weighed spiking infections of the COVID-19 Delta variant against strong corporate results and signs of economic revival.</p>\n<p>\"There’s push and pull, there’s clearly conflict in the market,\" Zaccarelli added. \"There’s a strong difference of opinion as to whether the future’s bright or whether there are clouds on the horizon.\"</p>\n<p>Market participants now look toward next week with the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting and a series of high-profile earnings.</p>\n<p>The Fed's statement will be parsed for clues regarding the timeframe for tightening its accommodative policies, although Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said the economy still needs the central bank's full support.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.2 points, or 0.68%, to 35,061.55, the S&amp;P 500 gained 44.31 points, or 1.01%, to 4,411.79 and the Nasdaq Composite added 152.39 points, or 1.04%, to 14,836.99.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but energy&nbsp;closed green, with communications services enjoying the largest gain, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season is in full swing, with 120 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>\"We’re seeing companies, on average, beat on the top and on the bottom line,\" Zaccarelli said. \"We’re seeing the resilience of the consumer and that’s been the story of the earnings season so far.\"</p>\n<p>Analysts now expect aggregate year-on-year S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 78.1% for the April to June period, a sizeable increase from the 54% annual growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Chipmaker Intel Corp said late Thursday that it still faces supply constraints and provided disappointing guidance. Its stock fell 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Moderna Inc jumped 7.8% after the European Union approved its COVID-19 vaccine for 12- to 17-year-olds.</p>\n<p>American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a> Co gained 1.3% after posting second-quarter profit that handily beat expectations on the strength of a global recovery in consumer spending.</p>\n<p>Social media firms <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> Inc and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>&nbsp;advanced 3.0% and 23.8%, respectively, on the back of their upbeat results.</p>\n<p>Those results bode well for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc, which is due to post second-quarter results next week. Its stock surged 5.3%.</p>\n<p>Other high-profile earnings expected next week include Tesla Inc, Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com.</p>\n<p>Industrials Lockheed Martin Corp, Boeing Co, Ford Motor Co, General Dynamics Corp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a> Co Caterpillar Inc, Chevron Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp, along with a host of healthcare, consumer goods and others, are also on deck.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 82 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 136 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.72 billion shares, compared with the 10.14 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TWTR":"Twitter",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","EXPR":"Express, Inc.","SNAP":"Snap Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153980423","content_text":"* All 3 major indexes post weekly gains\n* Dow closes above 35,000 for first time ever\n* Social media stocks rally after upbeat results\n* Intel sales forecast implies rocky second half\n* Indexes up: Dow 0.68%, S&P 1.01%, Nasdaq 1.04%\nWall Street gained ground for the fourth straight session on Friday, extending a rally that pushed all three major U.S. stock indexes to record closing highs as upbeat earnings and signs of economic revival fueled investor risk appetite.\nThe Dow closed above 35,000 for the first time ever.\n\"We see a continuation of the last couple days. It's roller coaster in reverse. We did the drop first, and we’ve been climbing back to the top ever since,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance in Charlotte, North Carolina.\nGrowth and value stocks seesawed for much of the week as market participants weighed spiking infections of the COVID-19 Delta variant against strong corporate results and signs of economic revival.\n\"There’s push and pull, there’s clearly conflict in the market,\" Zaccarelli added. \"There’s a strong difference of opinion as to whether the future’s bright or whether there are clouds on the horizon.\"\nMarket participants now look toward next week with the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting and a series of high-profile earnings.\nThe Fed's statement will be parsed for clues regarding the timeframe for tightening its accommodative policies, although Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said the economy still needs the central bank's full support.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 238.2 points, or 0.68%, to 35,061.55, the S&P 500 gained 44.31 points, or 1.01%, to 4,411.79 and the Nasdaq Composite added 152.39 points, or 1.04%, to 14,836.99.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but energy closed green, with communications services enjoying the largest gain, rising 2.7%.\nSecond-quarter reporting season is in full swing, with 120 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.\n\"We’re seeing companies, on average, beat on the top and on the bottom line,\" Zaccarelli said. \"We’re seeing the resilience of the consumer and that’s been the story of the earnings season so far.\"\nAnalysts now expect aggregate year-on-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 78.1% for the April to June period, a sizeable increase from the 54% annual growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.\nChipmaker Intel Corp said late Thursday that it still faces supply constraints and provided disappointing guidance. Its stock fell 5.3%.\nModerna Inc jumped 7.8% after the European Union approved its COVID-19 vaccine for 12- to 17-year-olds.\nAmerican Express Co gained 1.3% after posting second-quarter profit that handily beat expectations on the strength of a global recovery in consumer spending.\nSocial media firms Twitter Inc and Snap Inc advanced 3.0% and 23.8%, respectively, on the back of their upbeat results.\nThose results bode well for Facebook Inc, which is due to post second-quarter results next week. Its stock surged 5.3%.\nOther high-profile earnings expected next week include Tesla Inc, Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com.\nIndustrials Lockheed Martin Corp, Boeing Co, Ford Motor Co, General Dynamics Corp, 3M Co Caterpillar Inc, Chevron Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp, along with a host of healthcare, consumer goods and others, are also on deck.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 82 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 81 new highs and 136 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.72 billion shares, compared with the 10.14 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173233073,"gmtCreate":1626661198592,"gmtModify":1703762886856,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/173233073","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111084715","pubTimestamp":1626649255,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111084715?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix, AT&T, Snap, Chipotle, Twitter, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111084715","media":"Barrons","summary":"Second-quarter earnings season picks up this week, as 76 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. ","content":"<p>Second-quarter earnings season picks up this week, as 76 S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> and J.B. Hunt Transport Services will be Monday’s highlights, followed by Netflix, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Halliburton, Intuitive Surgical, and United Airlines Holdings on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Wednesday will be busy, with SAP, Coca-Cola, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Texas Instruments, and Verizon Communications all releasing results. AT&amp;T, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>, Biogen, Snap, American Airlines Group, Intel, and Southwest Airlines go next on Thursday, before American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>, Honeywell International, and Schlumberger close the week on Friday.</p>\n<p>The economic calendar this week will bring plenty of data on the state of the U.S. housing market. On Monday, the National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/ Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for July, followed by the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for June on Tuesday. Then, on Thursday, the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for June. Economists on average expect a still robust housing market, but one that’s less explosively growing than earlier this year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e83f1e4a91566400a5dd6174a1f8ecc\" tg-width=\"1564\" tg-height=\"662\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Monday 7/19</p>\n<p>IBM, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, PPG Industries, Prologis, Tractor Supply, and Zions Bancorp report quarterly results.</p>\n<p>L Brands holds a conference call to discuss the spinoff of its Victoria’s Secret brand. The new company, to be called Victoria’s Secret, is expected to trade under the ticker VSCO on the New York Stock Exchange in early August. The remaining company will be renamed Bath &amp; Body Works, and also have a new stock symbol, BBWI.</p>\n<p>The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for July. Consensus estimate is for an 82 reading, slightly higher than the June data. Home builders remain quite bullish on the housing market, but the June figure was the lowest since August 2020, amid rising materials prices and supply-chain shortages.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 7/20</p>\n<p>Chipotle Mexican Grill, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFG\">Citizens Financial Group</a>, Halliburton, HCA Healthcare, Intuitive Surgical, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KEY\">KeyCorp</a>, Netflix, Philip Morris International, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">Synchrony Financial</a>, Travelers, and United Airlines Holdings announce earnings.</p>\n<p>The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.6 million housing starts, slightly more than the June figure.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 7/21</p>\n<p>Anthem, ASML Holding, Baker Hughes, Coca-Cola, Crown Castle International, CSX, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Nasdaq, Northern Trust, Novartis, SAP, Seagate Technology Holdings, Texas Instruments, and Verizon Communications release quarterly results.</p>\n<p>Thursday 7/22</p>\n<p>The NAR reports existing-home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.8 million, matching the May figure. Existing-home sales have declined for four consecutive months.</p>\n<p>Abbott Laboratories, American Airlines Group, AT&amp;T, Biogen, Capital One Financial, D.R. Horton, Danaher, Intel, Marsh &amp; McLennan, Newmont, Nucor, Snap, Southwest Airlines, Twitter, and Union Pacific hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 1.1% month-over-month increase, after a 1.3% rise in May. The LEI has now surpassed its previous peak from January 2020.</p>\n<p>The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.5%. The ECB recently changed its inflation goal to 2% over the medium term instead of targeting inflation of close to, but below, 2%.</p>\n<p>Friday 7/23</p>\n<p>American Express, Honeywell International, Kimberly-Clark, NextEra Energy, and Schlumberger report quarterly results.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix, AT&T, Snap, Chipotle, Twitter, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix, AT&T, Snap, Chipotle, Twitter, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-at-t-snap-chipotle-twitter-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51626634814?mod=hp_LEAD_3><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Second-quarter earnings season picks up this week, as 76 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. IBM and J.B. Hunt Transport Services will be Monday’s highlights, followed by Netflix, Chipotle ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-at-t-snap-chipotle-twitter-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51626634814?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","ISBC":"投资者银行",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-at-t-snap-chipotle-twitter-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51626634814?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111084715","content_text":"Second-quarter earnings season picks up this week, as 76 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. IBM and J.B. Hunt Transport Services will be Monday’s highlights, followed by Netflix, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Halliburton, Intuitive Surgical, and United Airlines Holdings on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be busy, with SAP, Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, Texas Instruments, and Verizon Communications all releasing results. AT&T, Twitter, Biogen, Snap, American Airlines Group, Intel, and Southwest Airlines go next on Thursday, before American Express, Honeywell International, and Schlumberger close the week on Friday.\nThe economic calendar this week will bring plenty of data on the state of the U.S. housing market. On Monday, the National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/ Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for July, followed by the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for June on Tuesday. Then, on Thursday, the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for June. Economists on average expect a still robust housing market, but one that’s less explosively growing than earlier this year.\n\nMonday 7/19\nIBM, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, PPG Industries, Prologis, Tractor Supply, and Zions Bancorp report quarterly results.\nL Brands holds a conference call to discuss the spinoff of its Victoria’s Secret brand. The new company, to be called Victoria’s Secret, is expected to trade under the ticker VSCO on the New York Stock Exchange in early August. The remaining company will be renamed Bath & Body Works, and also have a new stock symbol, BBWI.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for July. Consensus estimate is for an 82 reading, slightly higher than the June data. Home builders remain quite bullish on the housing market, but the June figure was the lowest since August 2020, amid rising materials prices and supply-chain shortages.\nTuesday 7/20\nChipotle Mexican Grill, Citizens Financial Group, Halliburton, HCA Healthcare, Intuitive Surgical, KeyCorp, Netflix, Philip Morris International, Synchrony Financial, Travelers, and United Airlines Holdings announce earnings.\nThe Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.6 million housing starts, slightly more than the June figure.\nWednesday 7/21\nAnthem, ASML Holding, Baker Hughes, Coca-Cola, Crown Castle International, CSX, Johnson & Johnson, Nasdaq, Northern Trust, Novartis, SAP, Seagate Technology Holdings, Texas Instruments, and Verizon Communications release quarterly results.\nThursday 7/22\nThe NAR reports existing-home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.8 million, matching the May figure. Existing-home sales have declined for four consecutive months.\nAbbott Laboratories, American Airlines Group, AT&T, Biogen, Capital One Financial, D.R. Horton, Danaher, Intel, Marsh & McLennan, Newmont, Nucor, Snap, Southwest Airlines, Twitter, and Union Pacific hold conference calls to discuss earnings.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 1.1% month-over-month increase, after a 1.3% rise in May. The LEI has now surpassed its previous peak from January 2020.\nThe European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.5%. The ECB recently changed its inflation goal to 2% over the medium term instead of targeting inflation of close to, but below, 2%.\nFriday 7/23\nAmerican Express, Honeywell International, Kimberly-Clark, NextEra Energy, and Schlumberger report quarterly results.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179456924,"gmtCreate":1626573536068,"gmtModify":1703761847408,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179456924","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183956332","pubTimestamp":1626568120,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183956332?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-18 08:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Software, soft drinks, specialty insurance, and more debut in a 17 IPO week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183956332","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market’s breakneck pace is expected to continue in the week ahead, with a whopping 17 IPOs slated to raise $4.7 billion.The largest deal of the week, specialty insurance brokerage Ryan Specialty Group plans to raise $1.3 billion at a $6.1 billion market cap. The company assists in the placement of hard-to-place risks for retail insurance brokers, and the sourcing, onboarding, underwriting, and servicing of those hard-to-place risks for insurance carriers. Profitable on an EBIT basis in t","content":"<p>The IPO market’s breakneck pace is expected to continue in the week ahead, with a whopping 17 IPOs slated to raise $4.7 billion.</p>\n<p>The largest deal of the week, specialty insurance brokerage&nbsp;<b>Ryan Specialty Group</b>(RYAN) plans to raise $1.3 billion at a $6.1 billion market cap. The company assists in the placement of hard-to-place risks for retail insurance brokers, and the sourcing, onboarding, underwriting, and servicing of those hard-to-place risks for insurance carriers. Profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1Q21, the company will be leveraged post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Water infrastructure company&nbsp;<b>Core &amp; Main</b>(CNM) plans to raise $750 million at a $5.2 billion market cap in a 100% synthetic secondary offering. Profitable with solid growth, the company distributes water infrastructure products that connect 4,500 suppliers to over 60,000 municipal, non-residential, and residential customers.</p>\n<p>HR software provider&nbsp;<b>Paycor HCM</b>(PYCR) plans to raise $361 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. Paycor provides human capital management software to small and mid-sized businesses, covering the payroll process and key HR functionality. While net revenue retention fell in the FY20, the company is targeting a large addressable market and has a track record of profitability.</p>\n<p>Latin <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VTEX\">VTEX</a></b>(VTEX) plans to raise $304 million at a $3.2 billion market cap. VTEX operates a business-to-consumer e-commerce platform to enterprise customers that natively combines commerce, order management, and marketplace functionality. The company has demonstrated growth, though investments in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D have weighed on profits.</p>\n<p>Learning management platform&nbsp;<b>Instructure Holdings</b>(INST) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.9 billion market cap. The company provides a next-generation Learning Management System (LMS), assessments for learning, actionable analytics, and dynamic content. Instructure states that it is the LMS market leader in both Higher Education and paid K-12, with over 6,000 global customers across 90 countries.</p>\n<p>Protein discovery and development platform&nbsp;<b>AbSci</b>(ABSI) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.6 billion market cap. AbSci currently has nine active programs across seven partners, which include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">Merck</a> and Astellas, for which it has either negotiated or plans to negotiate license agreements. The company is highly unprofitable, and 90% of its tech development revenue came from a single partner in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Organic beverage brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZVIA\">Zevia PBC</a></b>(ZVIA) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.0 billion market cap. Zevia provides six product lines of zero calorie, zero sugar, naturally sweetened beverages in the US and Canada. The company has demonstrated growth and achieved profitability in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Content marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Outbrain</b>(OB) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Outbrain’s platform enables over 7,000 online properties, helping them engage their users and monetize their visits by gathering over 1 billion data events each minute. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 20,000 advertisers using its platform in 2020.</p>\n<p>Fitness franchisor&nbsp;<b>Xponential Fitness</b>(XPOF) plans to raise $200 million at a $711 million market cap. Xponential Fitness is the largest boutique fitness franchisor in the US with over 1,750 studios operating across nine distinct brands. While the company’s business was impacted by the pandemic in 2020, preliminary results for the 2Q21 show 60%+ revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA swinging positive.</p>\n<p>Legal software provider&nbsp;<b>CS Disco</b>(LAW) plans to raise $193 million at a $1.6 billion market cap. Fast growing and unprofitable, DISCO provides a cloud-native, AI-powered legal solution that simplifies ediscovery, legal document review, and case management for enterprises, law firms, legal services providers, and governments.</p>\n<p>Following its postponement in May, Brazil’s&nbsp;<b>Zenvia</b>(ZENV) plans to raise $162 million at a $548 million market cap. The company’s software platform facilitated the flow of communication for more than 10,190 customers throughout Latin America as of March 31, 2021. While it achieved a net revenue expansion rate of nearly 110%, Zenvia’s EBITDA turned negative in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p><b>Couchbase</b>(BASE) plans to raise $151 million at a $992 million market cap. Couchbase provides a NoSQL database that enables enterprises and developers to build and run applications across the cloud, on-premise, hybrid, or mobile and edge environments. The company has a sticky customer base that includes 30% of the Fortune 100, though it remains unprofitable due to high S&amp;M costs.</p>\n<p>Following its postponement in April,<b>Kaltura</b>(KLTR) plans to raise $150 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. Kaltura provides live, real-time, and on-demand video products to a wide range of businesses including educational institutions, and media and telecom companies. Thanks to the growing adoption of virtual events, the company saw revenue expand in the 1Q21, though gross margin contracted.</p>\n<p><b>Gambling.com Group</b>(GAMB) plans to raise $90 million at a $435 million market cap. Gambling.com Group is a performance marketing company and a digital marketing services provider active exclusively in the online gambling industry, with a principal focus on iGaming and sports betting. Profitable and fast growing, the company has increased its customer base from 131 in 2017 to over 200 in 2020.</p>\n<p>Three biotechs are expected to round out the week: cancer biotech&nbsp;<b>Candel Therapeutics</b>(CADL), which plans to raise $85 million at a $398 million market cap; preclinical biotech&nbsp;<b>Ocean Biomedical</b>(OCEA), which plans to raise $50 million at a $506 million market cap; and cancer biotech&nbsp;<b>Elicio Therapeutics</b>(ELTX), which plans to raise $40 million at a $201 million market cap.</p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, soft drinks, specialty insurance, and more debut in a 17 IPO week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, soft drinks, specialty insurance, and more debut in a 17 IPO week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-18 08:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84265/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-soft-drinks-specialty-insurance-and-more-debut-i><strong>renaissancecap...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The IPO market’s breakneck pace is expected to continue in the week ahead, with a whopping 17 IPOs slated to raise $4.7 billion.\nThe largest deal of the week, specialty insurance brokerage Ryan ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84265/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-soft-drinks-specialty-insurance-and-more-debut-i\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BASE":"Couchbase, Inc.","ZVIA":"Zevia PBC","RYAN":"Ryan Specialty Group Holdings, Inc.","PYCR":"Paycor HCM, Inc.","ABSI":"Absci Corporation.","OB":"Outbrain Inc.","CNM":"Core & Main, Inc.","ELTX":"Elicio Therapeutics","INST":"Instructure Holdings, Inc.","LAW":"CS Disco, Inc.","OCEA":"Ocean Biomedical","CADL":"Candel Therapeutics, Inc.","VTEX":"VTEX","GAMB":"Gambling.com Group Limited"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84265/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-soft-drinks-specialty-insurance-and-more-debut-i","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183956332","content_text":"The IPO market’s breakneck pace is expected to continue in the week ahead, with a whopping 17 IPOs slated to raise $4.7 billion.\nThe largest deal of the week, specialty insurance brokerage Ryan Specialty Group(RYAN) plans to raise $1.3 billion at a $6.1 billion market cap. The company assists in the placement of hard-to-place risks for retail insurance brokers, and the sourcing, onboarding, underwriting, and servicing of those hard-to-place risks for insurance carriers. Profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1Q21, the company will be leveraged post-IPO.\nWater infrastructure company Core & Main(CNM) plans to raise $750 million at a $5.2 billion market cap in a 100% synthetic secondary offering. Profitable with solid growth, the company distributes water infrastructure products that connect 4,500 suppliers to over 60,000 municipal, non-residential, and residential customers.\nHR software provider Paycor HCM(PYCR) plans to raise $361 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. Paycor provides human capital management software to small and mid-sized businesses, covering the payroll process and key HR functionality. While net revenue retention fell in the FY20, the company is targeting a large addressable market and has a track record of profitability.\nLatin American e-commerce platform VTEX(VTEX) plans to raise $304 million at a $3.2 billion market cap. VTEX operates a business-to-consumer e-commerce platform to enterprise customers that natively combines commerce, order management, and marketplace functionality. The company has demonstrated growth, though investments in SG&A and R&D have weighed on profits.\nLearning management platform Instructure Holdings(INST) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.9 billion market cap. The company provides a next-generation Learning Management System (LMS), assessments for learning, actionable analytics, and dynamic content. Instructure states that it is the LMS market leader in both Higher Education and paid K-12, with over 6,000 global customers across 90 countries.\nProtein discovery and development platform AbSci(ABSI) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.6 billion market cap. AbSci currently has nine active programs across seven partners, which include Merck and Astellas, for which it has either negotiated or plans to negotiate license agreements. The company is highly unprofitable, and 90% of its tech development revenue came from a single partner in the 1Q21.\nOrganic beverage brand Zevia PBC(ZVIA) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.0 billion market cap. Zevia provides six product lines of zero calorie, zero sugar, naturally sweetened beverages in the US and Canada. The company has demonstrated growth and achieved profitability in the 1Q21.\nContent marketing platform Outbrain(OB) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Outbrain’s platform enables over 7,000 online properties, helping them engage their users and monetize their visits by gathering over 1 billion data events each minute. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 20,000 advertisers using its platform in 2020.\nFitness franchisor Xponential Fitness(XPOF) plans to raise $200 million at a $711 million market cap. Xponential Fitness is the largest boutique fitness franchisor in the US with over 1,750 studios operating across nine distinct brands. While the company’s business was impacted by the pandemic in 2020, preliminary results for the 2Q21 show 60%+ revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA swinging positive.\nLegal software provider CS Disco(LAW) plans to raise $193 million at a $1.6 billion market cap. Fast growing and unprofitable, DISCO provides a cloud-native, AI-powered legal solution that simplifies ediscovery, legal document review, and case management for enterprises, law firms, legal services providers, and governments.\nFollowing its postponement in May, Brazil’s Zenvia(ZENV) plans to raise $162 million at a $548 million market cap. The company’s software platform facilitated the flow of communication for more than 10,190 customers throughout Latin America as of March 31, 2021. While it achieved a net revenue expansion rate of nearly 110%, Zenvia’s EBITDA turned negative in the 1Q21.\nCouchbase(BASE) plans to raise $151 million at a $992 million market cap. Couchbase provides a NoSQL database that enables enterprises and developers to build and run applications across the cloud, on-premise, hybrid, or mobile and edge environments. The company has a sticky customer base that includes 30% of the Fortune 100, though it remains unprofitable due to high S&M costs.\nFollowing its postponement in April,Kaltura(KLTR) plans to raise $150 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. Kaltura provides live, real-time, and on-demand video products to a wide range of businesses including educational institutions, and media and telecom companies. Thanks to the growing adoption of virtual events, the company saw revenue expand in the 1Q21, though gross margin contracted.\nGambling.com Group(GAMB) plans to raise $90 million at a $435 million market cap. Gambling.com Group is a performance marketing company and a digital marketing services provider active exclusively in the online gambling industry, with a principal focus on iGaming and sports betting. Profitable and fast growing, the company has increased its customer base from 131 in 2017 to over 200 in 2020.\nThree biotechs are expected to round out the week: cancer biotech Candel Therapeutics(CADL), which plans to raise $85 million at a $398 million market cap; preclinical biotech Ocean Biomedical(OCEA), which plans to raise $50 million at a $506 million market cap; and cancer biotech Elicio Therapeutics(ELTX), which plans to raise $40 million at a $201 million market cap.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986807658,"gmtCreate":1666919257775,"gmtModify":1676537830486,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jj","listText":"Jj","text":"Jj","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986807658","repostId":"1100216928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100216928","pubTimestamp":1666929303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100216928?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-28 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100216928","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what&#39;s to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.</li><li>The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.</li><li>Yet, the company&#39;s earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.</li><li>While Apple stock&#39;s outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.</li></ul><p>Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business&#39;s strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.</p><p>Apple&#39;s September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family&#39;s base model equivalents.</p><p>We believe Apple&#39;s resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple&#39;s prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.</p><p>Meanwhile, management&#39;s allusion to &#34;strength of [Apple&#39;s] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high&#34; kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors&#39; concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.</p><p>But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple&#39;s sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services&#39; margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.</p><p>While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year&#39;s selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more &#34;vulnerable&#34; to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business&#39; robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple&#39;s valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock&#39;s$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple&#39;s upbeat F4Q22 results and management&#39;s positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.</p><p><b>Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For It</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple&#39;s Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company&#39;s long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.</p><p>This is also music to investors&#39; ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.</p><blockquote>In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple&#39;s services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.</blockquote><blockquote>Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple&#39;s sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p>We see Services&#39; critical role in safeguarding Apple&#39;s bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company&#39;s recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment&#39;s momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.</p><p><b>Apple TV+</b></p><p>Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a &#34;cheaper&#34; alternative.</p><p>We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+&#39;s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was &#34;introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.&#34; But now, it has grown into an extensive library of &#34;award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,&#34; which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.</p><p>Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as &#34;Friday Night Baseball&#34; - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+&#39;s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max&#39;s ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+&#39;s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.</p><p><b>Apple Music</b></p><p>The monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify&#39;s (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.</p><p>The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service&#39;s already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify&#39;s (&gt;30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.</p><p>Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment&#39;s bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.</p><p><b>Apple One Bundle</b></p><p>The Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.</p><p>The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple&#39;s service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.</p><p>The pricing advantage in Apple&#39;s Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment&#39;s profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple&#39;s free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.</p><p><b>Near-Term Investment Risks to Consider</b></p><p><b>China Risks:</b> This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple&#39;s most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company&#39;s consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.</p><p>In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.</p><p>Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple&#39;s importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple&#39;s power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant&#39;s &#34;size and importance to suppliers&#34; was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.</p><p><b>Macro Risks:</b> FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company&#39;s massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple&#39;s upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.</p><p>In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.</p><p>Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple&#39;s pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.</p><p><b>Lengthening Product Cycle Risks:</b> Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment&#39;s growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple&#39;s transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company&#39;s potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.</p><blockquote>Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple&#39;s services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple&#39;s iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Market sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for &#34;nearly a fifth&#34; of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).</p><p>While Apple&#39;s valuation remains lofty at &#34;23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,&#34; which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company&#39;s fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-28 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100216928","content_text":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.Yet, the company's earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.While Apple stock's outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business's strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.Apple's September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family's base model equivalents.We believe Apple's resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple's prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.Meanwhile, management's allusion to \"strength of [Apple's] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high\" kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors' concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple's sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple's earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services' margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year's selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more \"vulnerable\" to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business' robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple's valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock's$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple's upbeat F4Q22 results and management's positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For ItApple's Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple's Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company's long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.This is also music to investors' ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (\"CAGR\") of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple's services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple's sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"We see Services' critical role in safeguarding Apple's bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company's recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment's momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.Apple TV+Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a \"cheaper\" alternative.We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+'s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was \"introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.\" But now, it has grown into an extensive library of \"award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,\" which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as \"Friday Night Baseball\" - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+'s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max's ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+'s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.Apple MusicThe monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify's (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service's already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify's (>30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment's bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.Apple One BundleThe Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple's service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.The pricing advantage in Apple's Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment's profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple's free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.Near-Term Investment Risks to ConsiderChina Risks: This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple's most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company's consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple's importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple's power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant's \"size and importance to suppliers\" was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.Macro Risks: FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company's massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple's upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple's pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple's rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.Lengthening Product Cycle Risks: Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment's growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple's transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company's potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple's services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple's iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"Final ThoughtsMarket sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for \"nearly a fifth\" of the S&P 500's value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).While Apple's valuation remains lofty at \"23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,\" which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company's fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990544084,"gmtCreate":1660377564550,"gmtModify":1676533462116,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990544084","repostId":"1129150866","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129150866","pubTimestamp":1660352614,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129150866?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-13 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129150866","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e150d7de731c2e2e0ebee4395029900d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The S&amp;P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned that it might not be a signal to go all in on equities.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 on Friday rose 1.7% to close at 4,280.15. The finish above 4,231 would mean the large-cap benchmark has recovered — or retraced — more than 50% of its fall from a Jan. 3 record finish at 4796.56.</p><p>“Since 1950 there has never been a bear market rally that exceeded the 50% retracement and then gone on to make new cycle lows,” said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, in a note earlier this month.</p><p>Stocks rose across the board Friday, with the S&amp;P 500 booking a fourth straight weekly gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced more than 420 points, or 1.3%, on Friday and the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.1%. The S&amp;P 500 attempted to complete the retracement in Thursday’s session, when it traded as high as 4,257.91, but gave up gains to end at 4,207.27.</p><p>Krinsky, in a Thursday update, had noted that an intraday breach of the level doesn’t cut it, but had cautioned that a close above 4,231 would still leave him cautious about the near-term outlook.</p><p>“Because the retracement is based on a closing basis, we would want to see a close above 4,231 to trigger that signal. Whether or not that happens, however, the tactical risk/reward looks poor to us here,” he wrote.</p><p>What’s so special about a 50% retracement? Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…).</p><p>If a number in the sequence is divided by the next number, for example 8 divided by 13, the result is near 0.618, a ratio that’s been dubbed the Golden Mean due to its prevalence in nature in everything from seashells to ocean waves to proportions of the human body. Back on Wall Street, technical analysts see key retracement targets for a rally from a significant low to a significant peak at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, while retracements of 23.6% and 76.4% are seen as secondary targets.</p><p>The push above the 50% retracement level during Thursday’s recession may have contributed to a round of selling itself, said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Friday note.</p><p>He observed that the retracement corresponded to a 65-day high for the S&amp;P 500, offering another indication of an improving trend in a bear market as it represents the highest level of the last rolling quarter. A 65-day high is often seen as a default signal for commodity trading advisers, not just in the S&amp;P 500 but in commodity, bond and forex markets as well.</p><p>“That level coincidentally corresponded with the 50% retracement level of the bear market,” he wrote. “In essence, it forced the hand of one group to cover shorts (CTAs) while simultaneously giving another group (Fibonacci followers) an excuse to sell” on Thursday.</p><p>Krinsky, meanwhile, cautioned that previous 50% retracements in 1974, 2004, and 2009 all saw decent shakeouts shortly after clearing that threshold.</p><p>“Further, as the market has cheered ‘peak inflation’, we are now seeing a quiet resurgence in many commodities, and bonds continue to weaken,” he wrote Thursday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-13 09:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129150866","content_text":"The S&P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned that it might not be a signal to go all in on equities.The S&P 500 on Friday rose 1.7% to close at 4,280.15. The finish above 4,231 would mean the large-cap benchmark has recovered — or retraced — more than 50% of its fall from a Jan. 3 record finish at 4796.56.“Since 1950 there has never been a bear market rally that exceeded the 50% retracement and then gone on to make new cycle lows,” said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, in a note earlier this month.Stocks rose across the board Friday, with the S&P 500 booking a fourth straight weekly gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced more than 420 points, or 1.3%, on Friday and the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.1%. The S&P 500 attempted to complete the retracement in Thursday’s session, when it traded as high as 4,257.91, but gave up gains to end at 4,207.27.Krinsky, in a Thursday update, had noted that an intraday breach of the level doesn’t cut it, but had cautioned that a close above 4,231 would still leave him cautious about the near-term outlook.“Because the retracement is based on a closing basis, we would want to see a close above 4,231 to trigger that signal. Whether or not that happens, however, the tactical risk/reward looks poor to us here,” he wrote.What’s so special about a 50% retracement? Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…).If a number in the sequence is divided by the next number, for example 8 divided by 13, the result is near 0.618, a ratio that’s been dubbed the Golden Mean due to its prevalence in nature in everything from seashells to ocean waves to proportions of the human body. Back on Wall Street, technical analysts see key retracement targets for a rally from a significant low to a significant peak at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, while retracements of 23.6% and 76.4% are seen as secondary targets.The push above the 50% retracement level during Thursday’s recession may have contributed to a round of selling itself, said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Friday note.He observed that the retracement corresponded to a 65-day high for the S&P 500, offering another indication of an improving trend in a bear market as it represents the highest level of the last rolling quarter. A 65-day high is often seen as a default signal for commodity trading advisers, not just in the S&P 500 but in commodity, bond and forex markets as well.“That level coincidentally corresponded with the 50% retracement level of the bear market,” he wrote. “In essence, it forced the hand of one group to cover shorts (CTAs) while simultaneously giving another group (Fibonacci followers) an excuse to sell” on Thursday.Krinsky, meanwhile, cautioned that previous 50% retracements in 1974, 2004, and 2009 all saw decent shakeouts shortly after clearing that threshold.“Further, as the market has cheered ‘peak inflation’, we are now seeing a quiet resurgence in many commodities, and bonds continue to weaken,” he wrote Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907287484,"gmtCreate":1660198391150,"gmtModify":1703479024138,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907287484","repostId":"1154022243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154022243","pubTimestamp":1660187105,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154022243?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-11 11:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Nasdaq’s New Bull Market Could Be a Head Fake","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154022243","media":"Barrons","summary":"After lagging behind the other major indexes for much of the first half of the year, the tech-heavy ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After lagging behind the other major indexes for much of the first half of the year, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has staged a robust comeback over the past weeks, officially entering a new bull market on Wednesday.</p><p>The Nasdaq had tumbled into a bear market in March, defined as a 20% drop from a recent high, and reached a recent low on June 16. After a 2.9% jump on Wednesday spurred by news that the annual rate of inflation declined more than expected in July, the index closed at 12,854.80.That leaves it 20.7% above its mid-June low.</p><p>The Dow Jones Market Data team defines a bull market’s start as a 20% move higher from a recent low. The S&amp;P 500 index, which tracks a broad range of stocks beyond tech, is up 14.8% from its mid-June low.</p><p>The Nasdaq’s rebound is just one of the many signs that investors’ appetite for risk is creeping back.</p><p>Solid corporate earnings and positive economic data, such as the stronger than expected July jobs report, have ignited hopes that a recession is still far away. Riskier assets—from growth stocks like those found in the Nasdaq to high-yield bonds—are on the rise.</p><p>Many of the best-performing stocks in the S&amp;P 500 since mid-June have been technology and consumer discretionary names such as Etsy (ETSY), Amazon.com (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), Ford Motor (F), and PayPal (PYPL). Those sectors tumbled the most in the first half of 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4988e6bff2ab22502a2ce803b991cc08\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>But investors aren’t out of the woods yet, and the Nasdaq’s rebound isn’t as significant as it seems. Since the index is rising off a much lower base, a 20% gain doesn’t put the Nasdaq back near its peak set back in November. In fact, it is still a bit less than 20% below that level.</p><p>Historically, the start of a new bull market hasn’t always meant a long-lasting bull market had arrived.From 2000 to 2002, for example, the Nasdaq had multiple upswings of more than 20% that were followed by deeper falls a few months later. It wasn’t until October 2002 that the index entered a bull market that lasted for a few years.</p><p>A similar pattern was seen during the 2008-09 financial crisis. The Nasdaq gained 25% from November 2008 to January 2009, but fell 23% from January to March that year before it hit its lowest point during the crisis. It is possible this bull market is another one of those short-lived bounces.</p><p>The Nasdaq also tends to be more volatile than the broader market, which makes its swings less meaningful for most investors. Since 1971, the Nasdaq has experienced 19 bull and 18 bear markets. The more closely watched S&amp;P 500 has seen eight bull and nine bear markets.</p><p>Still, if tech stocks’ recent momentum continues, it might be a sign that investors are becoming more confident about the Federal Reserve’s ability to avert a recession while keeping inflation under control.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Nasdaq’s New Bull Market Could Be a Head Fake</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Nasdaq’s New Bull Market Could Be a Head Fake\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-11 11:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/nasdaq-bull-market-stocks-51660162739?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After lagging behind the other major indexes for much of the first half of the year, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has staged a robust comeback over the past weeks, officially entering a new bull ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nasdaq-bull-market-stocks-51660162739?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nasdaq-bull-market-stocks-51660162739?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154022243","content_text":"After lagging behind the other major indexes for much of the first half of the year, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has staged a robust comeback over the past weeks, officially entering a new bull market on Wednesday.The Nasdaq had tumbled into a bear market in March, defined as a 20% drop from a recent high, and reached a recent low on June 16. After a 2.9% jump on Wednesday spurred by news that the annual rate of inflation declined more than expected in July, the index closed at 12,854.80.That leaves it 20.7% above its mid-June low.The Dow Jones Market Data team defines a bull market’s start as a 20% move higher from a recent low. The S&P 500 index, which tracks a broad range of stocks beyond tech, is up 14.8% from its mid-June low.The Nasdaq’s rebound is just one of the many signs that investors’ appetite for risk is creeping back.Solid corporate earnings and positive economic data, such as the stronger than expected July jobs report, have ignited hopes that a recession is still far away. Riskier assets—from growth stocks like those found in the Nasdaq to high-yield bonds—are on the rise.Many of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 since mid-June have been technology and consumer discretionary names such as Etsy (ETSY), Amazon.com (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), Ford Motor (F), and PayPal (PYPL). Those sectors tumbled the most in the first half of 2022.But investors aren’t out of the woods yet, and the Nasdaq’s rebound isn’t as significant as it seems. Since the index is rising off a much lower base, a 20% gain doesn’t put the Nasdaq back near its peak set back in November. In fact, it is still a bit less than 20% below that level.Historically, the start of a new bull market hasn’t always meant a long-lasting bull market had arrived.From 2000 to 2002, for example, the Nasdaq had multiple upswings of more than 20% that were followed by deeper falls a few months later. It wasn’t until October 2002 that the index entered a bull market that lasted for a few years.A similar pattern was seen during the 2008-09 financial crisis. The Nasdaq gained 25% from November 2008 to January 2009, but fell 23% from January to March that year before it hit its lowest point during the crisis. It is possible this bull market is another one of those short-lived bounces.The Nasdaq also tends to be more volatile than the broader market, which makes its swings less meaningful for most investors. Since 1971, the Nasdaq has experienced 19 bull and 18 bear markets. The more closely watched S&P 500 has seen eight bull and nine bear markets.Still, if tech stocks’ recent momentum continues, it might be a sign that investors are becoming more confident about the Federal Reserve’s ability to avert a recession while keeping inflation under control.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831473683,"gmtCreate":1629344360642,"gmtModify":1676530009792,"author":{"id":"3581640085724727","authorId":"3581640085724727","name":"cryptous","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66c79b1c0f576bf4133fe7ceb3916ae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581640085724727","idStr":"3581640085724727"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831473683","repostId":"1165430007","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165430007","pubTimestamp":1629344293,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165430007?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-19 11:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Tesla Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued? Expect Further Volatility With The NHTSA Probe","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165430007","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTesla continues to lead global electric vehicle sales, with more than 386,000 units deliver","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla continues to lead global electric vehicle sales, with more than 386,000 units delivered in the first half of the year.</li>\n <li>With its valuation currently close to the total size of the most reputable legacy automakers in the U.S. and Europe combined, it is likely Tesla's growth prospects are already priced in.</li>\n <li>Yet, headwinds ranging from supply chain disruptions and production delays to the most recent NHTSA probe on Tesla's autopilot system have put pressure on its valuation time and time again.</li>\n <li>Further volatility is expected in the near term as investors continue to mull on the outcome of the ongoing NHTSA investigation on Tesla's autopilot system, as any regulatory limits on the feature could lead to adverse repercussions to the EV maker's outlook.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d224f361e446270181483dd4b0064fe\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA) continues to lead global electric vehicle (“EV”) sales this quarter, with record production and deliveries of 206,421 and 201,250 units, respectively, during the second quarter alone. Combined with the 180,338 and 184,800 units produced and delivered during the first quarter, Tesla is steadily progressing towards its current year guidance of growing deliveries by 50% year-over-year, which translates to approximately 750,000 vehicles, following the 36% annual growth observed in 2020. Deliveries during the first half of 2021 were already up by more than 115% from last year, leading to year-to-date profits of more than $1.6 billion already, which is a first in Tesla history.</p>\n<p>While the first profitable year for Tesla in 2020 was scrutinized by investors for being generated primarily from the sale of automotive regulatory credits instead of actual EV sales, the narrative has largely improved in recent quarters with significant expansion of auto gross profit margins excluding the impact from credit sales. Management had attributed the improvements realized to date to better cost optimization across the production line, coupled with strong production and delivery volumes which continue to be a strong indicator of progress towards scale.</p>\n<p>Yet, the industry leader, like many of its peers, has warned of the increasing pressures that the ongoing chip supply shortage is placing on its efforts to address the massive backlog of demand observed across its business, including both EV and energy generation and storage sales. The ongoing delays related to the deployment of its 4680 battery cells have also inadvertently increased uncertainty over the production and delivery timelines pertaining to the Semis and Cybertruck. And most recently, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration’s (“NHTSA”) formal probe into Tesla’s Autopilot system following almost a dozen collisions that have resulted in serious injuries and even fatality has also sent Tesla shares on the&nbsp;largest intraday landslide&nbsp;in more than three months on Monday.</p>\n<p>As Elon Musk had said at the recent earnings call, Tesla continues to benefit from the&nbsp;inflection point of public sentiment towards EVs, and this has been proven through the EV maker’s strength in delivery volumes achieved to date. However, Tesla’s strong financial prospects are likely to have been priced in by investors long ago based on the stock’s sky-high valuation. And what awaits is more volatility in the near term as investors mull for more insight on the ongoing supply chain disruptions and regulatory limits on Tesla’s Autopilot or Full Self-Driving (“FSD”) system, its most prized marketing feature.</p>\n<p><b>A Recap on Tesla’s Financial Prospects</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s second quarter results remain in line with consensus expectations, as well as our base case forecast outlined in our&nbsp;recent coverage&nbsp;on the stock. And further opportunities are in store for Tesla to grow both its top and bottom lines, as global demand for EVs and green energy solutions continue to accelerate as we embark on a decade charged with mandates to combat climate change.</p>\n<p>With the transportation sector currently accounting for one of the largest portions of global greenhouse gas emissions (“GHG”), global EV adoption continues to play a critical role in decarbonizing the economy. And this is reflected through the stringent emissions standards and favorable financial incentives on EV and green energy solution purchases implemented by governments across large economies, including the U.S., China, and Europe, in recent years. Combined with continuous improvements made to battery cell technology to elongate range and lower related manufacturing costs to achieve price parity with traditional ICE vehicles, EVs have become a viable choice for consideration amongst car buyers.</p>\n<p>The change in public sentiment towards EVs has accelerated its adoption by at least five years compared to earlier projections, with global EV sales expected to&nbsp;outpace gasoline engines&nbsp;by the end of the decade. Global EV sales are forecasted to jump from 3.1 million units in 2020 towards&nbsp;14 million units by 2025&nbsp;and up to145 million units by the end of the decade, representing significant additional growth opportunities for Tesla. And&nbsp;China and Europe&nbsp;are expected to lead global EV adoption in the first half of the decade, with the&nbsp;U.S.– Tesla’s strongest market – to pick up and lead in the latter half of the decade.</p>\n<p>Taking into consideration the above industry trends and Tesla’s growth trajectory with continued expansion of its product and service offerings across some of the largest and fastest-growing EV markets, our base case forecast projects total automotive revenues of $41.4 billion by the end of the year, with growth at a CAGR of approximately 20% towards $158.3 billion by 2030. Service revenues are expected to grow accordingly as well, as they are primarily generated from after-sales vehicle services; our base case forecast projects $3.7 billion by the end of the year, with growth towards $14.0 billion by the end of the decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b0fd06a72dda831c5075fcebc8f9a94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts</span></p>\n<p>Tesla has also been experiencing pent-up demand for its energy generation and storage solutions in recent quarters. The&nbsp;Megapack&nbsp;is already sold out until next year, while the&nbsp;Powerwall&nbsp;is already accumulating a backlog of orders. This is consistent with market expectations on the broader growth across the green energy storage sector, which is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.3% through to 2030. The storage solutions sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of at least 20% through to 2026. Based on Tesla’s current production capacity on the two leading products in its energy generation and storage solutions business, combined with the market outlook on global demand, our base case forecast projects energy generation and storage solutions revenues of $3.1 billion by the end of the year, with growth at a CAGR of 9% towards $4.7 billion by the end of the decade. The growth assumption applied is consistent with market trends predicted for both the green energy generation and storage sectors, discounted for the ongoing supply chain impacts related to the global semiconductor shortage, which may require a reallocation of resources to prioritize vehicle production instead.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d485578bc99838455b9aa0b4872890\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Cost of revenues as a percentage of total revenues are expected to improve overtime as well due to cost efficiencies achieved through economies of scale as Tesla’s vehicle and energy generation and storage solutions sales continue to ramp up. Specifically, auto gross profit margins are expected to gradually climb towards 25%, excluding credit sales, in the long run as battery costs continue to lower over time with technological enhancements, and overall production costs improve with scale. Our forecast projects total cost of sales of $37.0 billion by the end of the year, with growth at a CAGR of 18.4% towards $134.4 billion by 2030, which is consistent with expectations of further margin expansion in the long run.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c020719512f5ba9f58ec93c13cfc9cb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"223\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Operating expenses are also expected to see meaningful decline over the forecasted period, especially selling, general and administrative (“SG&amp;A”) expenses as operations become more efficient with scale, even with additional headcount that may be needed in the long run to support further expansion in the Asia Pacific region like&nbsp;India. Meanwhile, research and development (“R&amp;D”) spending are expected to remain elevated at current levels in proportion to total revenues to support ongoing technological improvements required for sustainable growth across its automotive and energy generation and storage solutions businesses. As a result, total operating expenses of $6.7 billion are projected for 2021, with growth at a CAGR of 18.2% towards $24.7 billion by 2030.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257781f38934090ec17fe0c9a6741e58\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Combined with other nominal expenses related to financing and other ancillary activities, our forecast projects net income of $3.4 billion for 2021, which is approximatelytriple2020’s net income and consistent with Tesla’s strong sales momentum observed in the first half of the year. The bottom line is expected to further grow towards $13.2 billion by the end of the decade as production and deliveries continue to ramp up for both its EVs and energy generation and storage systems.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fffa7c8bd115bdc41dfb1ce06c5be8d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"217\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11327582fa264fd0fb4536a9feeda72d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><b>Recurring Volatility Due to Regulatory Probes and Supply Chain Disruptions</b></p>\n<p>Yet, recent headwinds related to ongoing supply chain disruptions, production delays, international expansion woes, and the NHTSA’s formal probe into Tesla’s FSD system have triggered a drop in Tesla’s share price to the sub-$700 level almost immediately following the respective announcements every time. And the trend may indicate that the EV maker’s promising financial outlook from a fundamental point of view had already been priced into its share performance by investors long ago, as its recent price appreciations have been unable to retain momentum, showing almost no resistance to any news.</p>\n<p><b>NHTSA Probe</b></p>\n<p>Musk may have spoken too soon with his recent claim that U.S. regulation is likely not a “fundamental limiter” for Tesla. Following the NHTSA’s announcement of a formal investigation into Tesla’s autopilot system on Monday, the stock immediately retracted by as much as 5.7%. This was the biggest intraday decline&nbsp;since June, when more than 285,000 Tesla’s sold in China were recalled to address safety issue related to the vehicles’ autopilot systems. The NHTSA’s investigation covers about 765,000 Tesla vehicles from model years 2014 to 2021, and could potentially lead to mass recalls. With FSD and autopilot being Tesla’s most-prized features, any&nbsp;formal regulatory limits&nbsp;on them could result in large setbacks for the EV maker.</p>\n<p><b>China Sales Decline</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s shares also&nbsp;plunged by more than 5%&nbsp;in May following reports that vehicle orders in China declined by almost 30% compared to April. The drop in sales of China-made Teslas to the local market continued into July with a&nbsp;69% plunge&nbsp;from June’s sales – only 8,621 Tesla vehicles produced in Shanghai were sold to the local market, while units exported to Europe increased by almost four times to 24,347. Tesla is also starting to feel the heat of competition in the Chinese market, with domestic peers like Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI), NIO(NYSE:NIO), and XPeng(NYSE:XPEV)delivering similar volumes to the domestic market in July, compared to previous months where Tesla’s China sales outperformed by multiple times. In response to the falling sales volumes in the world’s largest and fastest-growing EV market, Tesla China has released a statement indicating hopes to recuperate its lost sales from the first half of the year with the recently launched Model Y, which comes with an affordable price tag to “attract more internal combustion engine car owners to embrace the electric vehicles”. But with the ongoing regulatory crackdown in China and a government that is favoring the growth of home-bred EV makers, combined with the run of negative press ranging from the&nbsp;April protest&nbsp;at the Shanghai Auto Show to the June recall of almost every Tesla vehicle sold in China, Tesla may continue to face some headwinds in its second-biggest market outside of the U.S., subjecting the EV maker’s stock to further volatility in the near-term.</p>\n<p><b>Supply Chain Disruptions and Production Delays</b></p>\n<p>The ongoing global chip supply shortage that has sent the shares of every automaker on a plunge-spree following warnings by management at their respective earnings calls may also be coming for Tesla. Although the EV maker has, in previous quarters, been able to manage the supply chain bottleneck and maintain production by diligently updating its software to be compatible with new chips sourced from different suppliers, Musk has warned of more extreme pressures ahead during the second quarter earnings call, and more recently, on Twitter while calling out its suppliers&nbsp;Renesas and Bosch. In addition to&nbsp;price hikes&nbsp;on some Tesla vehicle models announced in May due to the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the energy generation, and storage solutions arm of the business is also starting to experience difficulties in securing the semiconductors needed to manufacture the Powerwall, which is currently accumulating a significant backlog as the company continues to prioritize allocation of available chips to manufacturing cars. The continuous delay in volume production of the 4680 battery cells due to cell supply bottlenecks and engineering problems, which have inadvertently pushed back the production of Tesla Semis and the Cybertruck to at least the end of 2022, has also left a sour taste in investors’ mouths. Some analysts have even lowered their price targets and downgraded ratings on the stock following the delays that have rolled on from one quarter to another.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f4a3a7f437eac9e91a5e7323a60155\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>Our outlook on Tesla remains neutral, with a price target range of $657.60 to $691.45 based on an estimated equity value of $651.0 billion to $684.5 billion. This compares to Tesla’s share price of approximately $651 at the time of writing.</p>\n<p>Our valuation is derived from a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a 10-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections for Tesla as discussed in earlier sections. A WACC of 10.1% is applied to discount Tesla’s projected free cash flows in our valuation analysis, which is consistent with the company’s current risk profile given its continued reduction of leverage with growing cash flows generated from operations, offset by the recent volatility observed on the company’s share performance.</p>\n<p>Our analysis also assumes an EV/EBITDA multiple of 69.3x to 73.2x. As the industry leader in terms of revenues and EV sales, Tesla’s forward-looking EV/EBITDA multiple continues to lead its peers’. However, the EV maker’s valuation has experienced significant volatility in the past year, with the multiple ranging from a&nbsp;low of 39.7x to a high of beyond 100x. The exit multiple used in computing our price target range is based on the average observed in the last three months, which is reflective of Tesla’s recent financial performance, its growth prospects compared to industry peers, as well as the stock’s volatility in response to recent news developments.</p>\n<p><i>i. Valuation Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07d856bb74f8d9f4b1d3bbee983955cd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da9215b39b7df35ddd7a00a7e5d96716\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>With its valuation close to the&nbsp;total size of the most reputable legacy automakers&nbsp;in the U.S. and Europe combined, it is evident that Tesla’s promising prospects related to continued sales growth, global expansion, and the deployment of cutting-edge battery cell and autonomous driving technology have already been priced in. What awaits is whether its current share price of nearly $700 is sustainable in the long run, which depends significantly on materialization of its growth prospects outlined above. But with recent headwinds related to supply chain bottlenecks and regulatory probes, which have caused Tesla’s share price to tumble time and time again, further volatility is expected in the near term. This holds especially true as investors continue to mull on the outcome of the ongoing global chip supply shortage, production delays on the 4680 battery cells and related new vehicle programs, and more recently, the NHTSA’s investigation on Tesla’s autopilot system, which could lead to significant impacts to its EV sales in the U.S. – its largest market.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Tesla Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued? Expect Further Volatility With The NHTSA Probe</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Tesla Stock Overvalued Or Undervalued? Expect Further Volatility With The NHTSA Probe\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-19 11:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450426-tesla-stock-overvalued-undervalued><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla continues to lead global electric vehicle sales, with more than 386,000 units delivered in the first half of the year.\nWith its valuation currently close to the total size of the most ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450426-tesla-stock-overvalued-undervalued\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450426-tesla-stock-overvalued-undervalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165430007","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla continues to lead global electric vehicle sales, with more than 386,000 units delivered in the first half of the year.\nWith its valuation currently close to the total size of the most reputable legacy automakers in the U.S. and Europe combined, it is likely Tesla's growth prospects are already priced in.\nYet, headwinds ranging from supply chain disruptions and production delays to the most recent NHTSA probe on Tesla's autopilot system have put pressure on its valuation time and time again.\nFurther volatility is expected in the near term as investors continue to mull on the outcome of the ongoing NHTSA investigation on Tesla's autopilot system, as any regulatory limits on the feature could lead to adverse repercussions to the EV maker's outlook.\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nTesla (TSLA) continues to lead global electric vehicle (“EV”) sales this quarter, with record production and deliveries of 206,421 and 201,250 units, respectively, during the second quarter alone. Combined with the 180,338 and 184,800 units produced and delivered during the first quarter, Tesla is steadily progressing towards its current year guidance of growing deliveries by 50% year-over-year, which translates to approximately 750,000 vehicles, following the 36% annual growth observed in 2020. Deliveries during the first half of 2021 were already up by more than 115% from last year, leading to year-to-date profits of more than $1.6 billion already, which is a first in Tesla history.\nWhile the first profitable year for Tesla in 2020 was scrutinized by investors for being generated primarily from the sale of automotive regulatory credits instead of actual EV sales, the narrative has largely improved in recent quarters with significant expansion of auto gross profit margins excluding the impact from credit sales. Management had attributed the improvements realized to date to better cost optimization across the production line, coupled with strong production and delivery volumes which continue to be a strong indicator of progress towards scale.\nYet, the industry leader, like many of its peers, has warned of the increasing pressures that the ongoing chip supply shortage is placing on its efforts to address the massive backlog of demand observed across its business, including both EV and energy generation and storage sales. The ongoing delays related to the deployment of its 4680 battery cells have also inadvertently increased uncertainty over the production and delivery timelines pertaining to the Semis and Cybertruck. And most recently, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration’s (“NHTSA”) formal probe into Tesla’s Autopilot system following almost a dozen collisions that have resulted in serious injuries and even fatality has also sent Tesla shares on the largest intraday landslide in more than three months on Monday.\nAs Elon Musk had said at the recent earnings call, Tesla continues to benefit from the inflection point of public sentiment towards EVs, and this has been proven through the EV maker’s strength in delivery volumes achieved to date. However, Tesla’s strong financial prospects are likely to have been priced in by investors long ago based on the stock’s sky-high valuation. And what awaits is more volatility in the near term as investors mull for more insight on the ongoing supply chain disruptions and regulatory limits on Tesla’s Autopilot or Full Self-Driving (“FSD”) system, its most prized marketing feature.\nA Recap on Tesla’s Financial Prospects\nTesla’s second quarter results remain in line with consensus expectations, as well as our base case forecast outlined in our recent coverage on the stock. And further opportunities are in store for Tesla to grow both its top and bottom lines, as global demand for EVs and green energy solutions continue to accelerate as we embark on a decade charged with mandates to combat climate change.\nWith the transportation sector currently accounting for one of the largest portions of global greenhouse gas emissions (“GHG”), global EV adoption continues to play a critical role in decarbonizing the economy. And this is reflected through the stringent emissions standards and favorable financial incentives on EV and green energy solution purchases implemented by governments across large economies, including the U.S., China, and Europe, in recent years. Combined with continuous improvements made to battery cell technology to elongate range and lower related manufacturing costs to achieve price parity with traditional ICE vehicles, EVs have become a viable choice for consideration amongst car buyers.\nThe change in public sentiment towards EVs has accelerated its adoption by at least five years compared to earlier projections, with global EV sales expected to outpace gasoline engines by the end of the decade. Global EV sales are forecasted to jump from 3.1 million units in 2020 towards 14 million units by 2025 and up to145 million units by the end of the decade, representing significant additional growth opportunities for Tesla. And China and Europe are expected to lead global EV adoption in the first half of the decade, with the U.S.– Tesla’s strongest market – to pick up and lead in the latter half of the decade.\nTaking into consideration the above industry trends and Tesla’s growth trajectory with continued expansion of its product and service offerings across some of the largest and fastest-growing EV markets, our base case forecast projects total automotive revenues of $41.4 billion by the end of the year, with growth at a CAGR of approximately 20% towards $158.3 billion by 2030. Service revenues are expected to grow accordingly as well, as they are primarily generated from after-sales vehicle services; our base case forecast projects $3.7 billion by the end of the year, with growth towards $14.0 billion by the end of the decade.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts\nTesla has also been experiencing pent-up demand for its energy generation and storage solutions in recent quarters. The Megapack is already sold out until next year, while the Powerwall is already accumulating a backlog of orders. This is consistent with market expectations on the broader growth across the green energy storage sector, which is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.3% through to 2030. The storage solutions sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of at least 20% through to 2026. Based on Tesla’s current production capacity on the two leading products in its energy generation and storage solutions business, combined with the market outlook on global demand, our base case forecast projects energy generation and storage solutions revenues of $3.1 billion by the end of the year, with growth at a CAGR of 9% towards $4.7 billion by the end of the decade. The growth assumption applied is consistent with market trends predicted for both the green energy generation and storage sectors, discounted for the ongoing supply chain impacts related to the global semiconductor shortage, which may require a reallocation of resources to prioritize vehicle production instead.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nCost of revenues as a percentage of total revenues are expected to improve overtime as well due to cost efficiencies achieved through economies of scale as Tesla’s vehicle and energy generation and storage solutions sales continue to ramp up. Specifically, auto gross profit margins are expected to gradually climb towards 25%, excluding credit sales, in the long run as battery costs continue to lower over time with technological enhancements, and overall production costs improve with scale. Our forecast projects total cost of sales of $37.0 billion by the end of the year, with growth at a CAGR of 18.4% towards $134.4 billion by 2030, which is consistent with expectations of further margin expansion in the long run.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nOperating expenses are also expected to see meaningful decline over the forecasted period, especially selling, general and administrative (“SG&A”) expenses as operations become more efficient with scale, even with additional headcount that may be needed in the long run to support further expansion in the Asia Pacific region like India. Meanwhile, research and development (“R&D”) spending are expected to remain elevated at current levels in proportion to total revenues to support ongoing technological improvements required for sustainable growth across its automotive and energy generation and storage solutions businesses. As a result, total operating expenses of $6.7 billion are projected for 2021, with growth at a CAGR of 18.2% towards $24.7 billion by 2030.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nCombined with other nominal expenses related to financing and other ancillary activities, our forecast projects net income of $3.4 billion for 2021, which is approximatelytriple2020’s net income and consistent with Tesla’s strong sales momentum observed in the first half of the year. The bottom line is expected to further grow towards $13.2 billion by the end of the decade as production and deliveries continue to ramp up for both its EVs and energy generation and storage systems.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nRecurring Volatility Due to Regulatory Probes and Supply Chain Disruptions\nYet, recent headwinds related to ongoing supply chain disruptions, production delays, international expansion woes, and the NHTSA’s formal probe into Tesla’s FSD system have triggered a drop in Tesla’s share price to the sub-$700 level almost immediately following the respective announcements every time. And the trend may indicate that the EV maker’s promising financial outlook from a fundamental point of view had already been priced into its share performance by investors long ago, as its recent price appreciations have been unable to retain momentum, showing almost no resistance to any news.\nNHTSA Probe\nMusk may have spoken too soon with his recent claim that U.S. regulation is likely not a “fundamental limiter” for Tesla. Following the NHTSA’s announcement of a formal investigation into Tesla’s autopilot system on Monday, the stock immediately retracted by as much as 5.7%. This was the biggest intraday decline since June, when more than 285,000 Tesla’s sold in China were recalled to address safety issue related to the vehicles’ autopilot systems. The NHTSA’s investigation covers about 765,000 Tesla vehicles from model years 2014 to 2021, and could potentially lead to mass recalls. With FSD and autopilot being Tesla’s most-prized features, any formal regulatory limits on them could result in large setbacks for the EV maker.\nChina Sales Decline\nTesla’s shares also plunged by more than 5% in May following reports that vehicle orders in China declined by almost 30% compared to April. The drop in sales of China-made Teslas to the local market continued into July with a 69% plunge from June’s sales – only 8,621 Tesla vehicles produced in Shanghai were sold to the local market, while units exported to Europe increased by almost four times to 24,347. Tesla is also starting to feel the heat of competition in the Chinese market, with domestic peers like Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI), NIO(NYSE:NIO), and XPeng(NYSE:XPEV)delivering similar volumes to the domestic market in July, compared to previous months where Tesla’s China sales outperformed by multiple times. In response to the falling sales volumes in the world’s largest and fastest-growing EV market, Tesla China has released a statement indicating hopes to recuperate its lost sales from the first half of the year with the recently launched Model Y, which comes with an affordable price tag to “attract more internal combustion engine car owners to embrace the electric vehicles”. But with the ongoing regulatory crackdown in China and a government that is favoring the growth of home-bred EV makers, combined with the run of negative press ranging from the April protest at the Shanghai Auto Show to the June recall of almost every Tesla vehicle sold in China, Tesla may continue to face some headwinds in its second-biggest market outside of the U.S., subjecting the EV maker’s stock to further volatility in the near-term.\nSupply Chain Disruptions and Production Delays\nThe ongoing global chip supply shortage that has sent the shares of every automaker on a plunge-spree following warnings by management at their respective earnings calls may also be coming for Tesla. Although the EV maker has, in previous quarters, been able to manage the supply chain bottleneck and maintain production by diligently updating its software to be compatible with new chips sourced from different suppliers, Musk has warned of more extreme pressures ahead during the second quarter earnings call, and more recently, on Twitter while calling out its suppliers Renesas and Bosch. In addition to price hikes on some Tesla vehicle models announced in May due to the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the energy generation, and storage solutions arm of the business is also starting to experience difficulties in securing the semiconductors needed to manufacture the Powerwall, which is currently accumulating a significant backlog as the company continues to prioritize allocation of available chips to manufacturing cars. The continuous delay in volume production of the 4680 battery cells due to cell supply bottlenecks and engineering problems, which have inadvertently pushed back the production of Tesla Semis and the Cybertruck to at least the end of 2022, has also left a sour taste in investors’ mouths. Some analysts have even lowered their price targets and downgraded ratings on the stock following the delays that have rolled on from one quarter to another.\nValuation\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nOur outlook on Tesla remains neutral, with a price target range of $657.60 to $691.45 based on an estimated equity value of $651.0 billion to $684.5 billion. This compares to Tesla’s share price of approximately $651 at the time of writing.\nOur valuation is derived from a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a 10-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections for Tesla as discussed in earlier sections. A WACC of 10.1% is applied to discount Tesla’s projected free cash flows in our valuation analysis, which is consistent with the company’s current risk profile given its continued reduction of leverage with growing cash flows generated from operations, offset by the recent volatility observed on the company’s share performance.\nOur analysis also assumes an EV/EBITDA multiple of 69.3x to 73.2x. As the industry leader in terms of revenues and EV sales, Tesla’s forward-looking EV/EBITDA multiple continues to lead its peers’. However, the EV maker’s valuation has experienced significant volatility in the past year, with the multiple ranging from a low of 39.7x to a high of beyond 100x. The exit multiple used in computing our price target range is based on the average observed in the last three months, which is reflective of Tesla’s recent financial performance, its growth prospects compared to industry peers, as well as the stock’s volatility in response to recent news developments.\ni. Valuation Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nWith its valuation close to the total size of the most reputable legacy automakers in the U.S. and Europe combined, it is evident that Tesla’s promising prospects related to continued sales growth, global expansion, and the deployment of cutting-edge battery cell and autonomous driving technology have already been priced in. What awaits is whether its current share price of nearly $700 is sustainable in the long run, which depends significantly on materialization of its growth prospects outlined above. But with recent headwinds related to supply chain bottlenecks and regulatory probes, which have caused Tesla’s share price to tumble time and time again, further volatility is expected in the near term. This holds especially true as investors continue to mull on the outcome of the ongoing global chip supply shortage, production delays on the 4680 battery cells and related new vehicle programs, and more recently, the NHTSA’s investigation on Tesla’s autopilot system, which could lead to significant impacts to its EV sales in the U.S. – its largest market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}