LplMichelle personal page - To The Moon

LplMichelle

LplMichelle

No personal profile

576Follow

87Followers

3Topic

0Badge

06-28

Spotted

06-28

Spotted

06-28

Spotted

06-28

Finally got voucher to win

06-28

Finally got voucher to win

06-28

Come and win voucher

@TigerEvents:[10th Anniv] Discover exciting features & win a US$1,010 reward!

01-17

$Alphabet(GOOG)$

01-14

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [What] [What] [What]

01-12

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]

01-09

[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Speechless] [Miser] [Miser]

01-09

Come and join the fun to play and win coins to redeem vouchers

01-09

Come and join the fun to play and win voucher

01-08

Come and play the game to win the voucher

01-08

come and join in the fun to play and win voucher

@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅

01-08

Easy game to play and win voucher

01-08

$Alibaba(BABA)$ is the share that I recommend. This company got so much potential to increase revenue and profit.

01-07

Easy game to play and win coins

01-07

Come and join me to play the game to win voucher

01-06

Come and join in the fun to win voucher

01-05

Come and play the game to win voucher

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to dive","text":"🎉 Unlock Your Path to $1,010 voucher with Our Winning Guide! 🎉Our exclusive anniversary event is now LIVE, and we want YOU to join in the fun! Not only can you explore our unique tech-driven features, but you also stand a chance to win incredible rewards. Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to 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[Miser] [Miser] 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[Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Speechless] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260999411843304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260999586582728,"gmtCreate":1704730964716,"gmtModify":1704734168883,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come and join the fun to play and win coins to redeem vouchers&nbsp;","listText":"Come and join the fun to play and win coins to redeem vouchers&nbsp;","text":"Come and join the fun to play and win coins to redeem 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voucher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260998812365048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260645152432264,"gmtCreate":1704644420038,"gmtModify":1704644424320,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come and play the game to win the voucher&nbsp;","listText":"Come and play the game to win the voucher&nbsp;","text":"Come and play the game to win the voucher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260645152432264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260645002338440,"gmtCreate":1704644383394,"gmtModify":1704644387341,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"come and join in the fun to play and win voucher","listText":"come and join in the fun to play and win voucher","text":"come and join in the fun to play and win voucher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260645002338440","repostId":"248312805347464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":248312805347464,"gmtCreate":1701660745864,"gmtModify":1703059991513,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅","htmlText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260644834324720,"gmtCreate":1704644356831,"gmtModify":1704677871375,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Easy game to play and win voucher&nbsp;","listText":"Easy game to play and win voucher&nbsp;","text":"Easy game to play and win voucher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260644834324720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260644357902408,"gmtCreate":1704644339411,"gmtModify":1704644342247,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\"> $Alibaba(BABA)$ </a>is the share that I recommend. This company got so much potential to increase revenue and profit.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\"> $Alibaba(BABA)$ </a>is the share that I recommend. This company got so much potential to increase revenue and profit.","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ is the share that I recommend. This company got so much potential to increase revenue and profit.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260644357902408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260292316971248,"gmtCreate":1704558293024,"gmtModify":1704558297063,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Easy game to play and win coins&nbsp;","listText":"Easy game to play and win coins&nbsp;","text":"Easy game to play and win coins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260292316971248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260291597103352,"gmtCreate":1704558268830,"gmtModify":1704558273754,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come and join me to play the game to win voucher&nbsp;","listText":"Come and join me to play the game to win voucher&nbsp;","text":"Come and join me to play the game to win voucher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260291597103352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260096060088552,"gmtCreate":1704510502656,"gmtModify":1704510506583,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come and join in the fun to&nbsp;win voucher&nbsp;","listText":"Come and join in the fun to&nbsp;win voucher&nbsp;","text":"Come and join in the fun to win voucher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260096060088552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259595726623016,"gmtCreate":1704388227375,"gmtModify":1704388231340,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582025954833628","idStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come and play the game to win voucher&nbsp;","listText":"Come and play the game to win voucher&nbsp;","text":"Come and play the game to win voucher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259595726623016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9948658260,"gmtCreate":1680703457051,"gmtModify":1680703461989,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4095080752389310\">@sokoon0121</a>:DJxkxkxk//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575196385895354\">@Cedric77</a>: I hold PLTR shares and I want it to be bullish. But, this is what I read and Abstracted from Investor Wallet : Our site uses a custom algorithm based on Deep Learning that helps our users to decide if&nbsp;PLTR&nbsp;could be a&nbsp;bad&nbsp;portfolio addition. These predictions take several variables into account such as volume changes, price changes, market cycles, similar stocks. Future price of the stock is predicted at&nbsp;0.10246706105139$&nbsp;(-98.773%&nbsp;) after a year according to our prediction system. This means that if you invested $100 now, your current investment may be worth&nbsp;1.227$&nbsp;on&nbsp;2024 April 05, Friday.","listText":"great//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4095080752389310\">@sokoon0121</a>:DJxkxkxk//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575196385895354\">@Cedric77</a>: I hold PLTR shares and I want it to be bullish. But, this is what I read and Abstracted from Investor Wallet : Our site uses a custom algorithm based on Deep Learning that helps our users to decide if&nbsp;PLTR&nbsp;could be a&nbsp;bad&nbsp;portfolio addition. These predictions take several variables into account such as volume changes, price changes, market cycles, similar stocks. Future price of the stock is predicted at&nbsp;0.10246706105139$&nbsp;(-98.773%&nbsp;) after a year according to our prediction system. This means that if you invested $100 now, your current investment may be worth&nbsp;1.227$&nbsp;on&nbsp;2024 April 05, Friday.","text":"great//@sokoon0121:DJxkxkxk//@Cedric77: I hold PLTR shares and I want it to be bullish. But, this is what I read and Abstracted from Investor Wallet : Our site uses a custom algorithm based on Deep Learning that helps our users to decide if PLTR could be a bad portfolio addition. These predictions take several variables into account such as volume changes, price changes, market cycles, similar stocks. Future price of the stock is predicted at 0.10246706105139$ (-98.773% ) after a year according to our prediction system. This means that if you invested $100 now, your current investment may be worth 1.227$ on 2024 April 05, Friday.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":22,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948658260","repostId":"1130219766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130219766","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1680695447,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130219766?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-05 19:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir to Expand Strategic Cloud Partnership With Microsoft","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130219766","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strat","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strategic cloud partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to the public sector from the private sector.</p></li><li><p>The company said its unit Palantir Federal Cloud Service has achieved FedRAMP authorization and accreditation to support workloads at the U.S. Department of Defense Impact Level 4 and DOD IL5 on Microsoft Azure.</p></li></ul></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir to Expand Strategic Cloud Partnership With Microsoft</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir to Expand Strategic Cloud Partnership With Microsoft\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-05 19:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3954613-palantir-to-expand-strategic-cloud-partnership-with-microsoft><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strategic cloud partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to the public sector from the private sector.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3954613-palantir-to-expand-strategic-cloud-partnership-with-microsoft\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3954613-palantir-to-expand-strategic-cloud-partnership-with-microsoft","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1130219766","content_text":"Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strategic cloud partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to the public sector from the private sector.The company said its unit Palantir Federal Cloud Service has achieved FedRAMP authorization and accreditation to support workloads at the U.S. Department of Defense Impact Level 4 and DOD IL5 on Microsoft Azure.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948658962,"gmtCreate":1680703420156,"gmtModify":1680703424938,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"latest//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582015516749888\">@HH浩</a>:Will PLTR challenged by chatGPT? //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575196385895354\">@Cedric77</a>: I hold PLTR shares and I want it to be bullish. But, this is what I read and Abstracted from Investor Wallet : Our site uses a custom algorithm based on Deep Learning that helps our users to decide if&nbsp;PLTR&nbsp;could be a&nbsp;bad&nbsp;portfolio addition. These predictions take several variables into account such as volume changes, price changes, market cycles, similar stocks. Future price of the stock is predicted at&nbsp;0.10246706105139$&nbsp;(-98.773%&nbsp;) after a year according to our prediction system. This means that if you invested $100 now, your current investment may be worth&nbsp;1.227$&nbsp;on&nbsp;2024 April 0","listText":"latest//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582015516749888\">@HH浩</a>:Will PLTR challenged by chatGPT? //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575196385895354\">@Cedric77</a>: I hold PLTR shares and I want it to be bullish. But, this is what I read and Abstracted from Investor Wallet : Our site uses a custom algorithm based on Deep Learning that helps our users to decide if&nbsp;PLTR&nbsp;could be a&nbsp;bad&nbsp;portfolio addition. These predictions take several variables into account such as volume changes, price changes, market cycles, similar stocks. Future price of the stock is predicted at&nbsp;0.10246706105139$&nbsp;(-98.773%&nbsp;) after a year according to our prediction system. This means that if you invested $100 now, your current investment may be worth&nbsp;1.227$&nbsp;on&nbsp;2024 April 0","text":"latest//@HH浩:Will PLTR challenged by chatGPT? //@Cedric77: I hold PLTR shares and I want it to be bullish. But, this is what I read and Abstracted from Investor Wallet : Our site uses a custom algorithm based on Deep Learning that helps our users to decide if PLTR could be a bad portfolio addition. These predictions take several variables into account such as volume changes, price changes, market cycles, similar stocks. Future price of the stock is predicted at 0.10246706105139$ (-98.773% ) after a year according to our prediction system. This means that if you invested $100 now, your current investment may be worth 1.227$ on 2024 April 0","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":18,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948658962","repostId":"1130219766","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130219766","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1680695447,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130219766?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-05 19:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir to Expand Strategic Cloud Partnership With Microsoft","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130219766","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strat","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strategic cloud partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to the public sector from the private sector.</p></li><li><p>The company said its unit Palantir Federal Cloud Service has achieved FedRAMP authorization and accreditation to support workloads at the U.S. Department of Defense Impact Level 4 and DOD IL5 on Microsoft Azure.</p></li></ul></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir to Expand Strategic Cloud Partnership With Microsoft</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir to Expand Strategic Cloud Partnership With Microsoft\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-05 19:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3954613-palantir-to-expand-strategic-cloud-partnership-with-microsoft><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strategic cloud partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to the public sector from the private sector.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3954613-palantir-to-expand-strategic-cloud-partnership-with-microsoft\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3954613-palantir-to-expand-strategic-cloud-partnership-with-microsoft","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1130219766","content_text":"Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) said on Wednesday that the software company is expanding its strategic cloud partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to the public sector from the private sector.The company said its unit Palantir Federal Cloud Service has achieved FedRAMP authorization and accreditation to support workloads at the U.S. Department of Defense Impact Level 4 and DOD IL5 on Microsoft Azure.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943879823,"gmtCreate":1679374945162,"gmtModify":1679374947370,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"latest//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4140388454599512\">@POHSWEEGUAN</a>: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/02427\">$GUANZE MEDICAL(02427)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIS\">$ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIS\">$ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LIPO\">$Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc(LIPO)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"latest//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4140388454599512\">@POHSWEEGUAN</a>: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/02427\">$GUANZE MEDICAL(02427)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIS\">$ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIS\">$ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LIPO\">$Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc(LIPO)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"latest//@POHSWEEGUAN: $GUANZE MEDICAL(02427)$ $ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ $ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc(LIPO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943879823","repostId":"9943847216","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9943847216,"gmtCreate":1679373612835,"gmtModify":1679373616508,"author":{"id":"4140388454599512","authorId":"4140388454599512","name":"POHSWEEGUAN","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/84ca47540279e61404346b705a202bc0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4140388454599512","authorIdStr":"4140388454599512"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIS\">$ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999003503.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(SG9999003503.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999003503.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(SG9999003503.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999003503.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIS\">$ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999003503.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(SG9999003503.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999013478.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999003503.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(SG9999003503.USD)$ &nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUND/SG9999003503.USD\">$LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(</a>","text":"$ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology(BIS)$ $LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ $LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(SG9999003503.USD)$ $LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ $LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC(SG9999013478.USD)$ $LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(SG9999003503.USD)$ $LIONGLOBAL VIETNAM (USD) ACC(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943847216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987211387,"gmtCreate":1667917902963,"gmtModify":1676537984347,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987211387","repostId":"1147745884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147745884","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667921777,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147745884?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-08 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147745884","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong id","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It&#39;s midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate) suggest anything might happen.</p><p>Midterm elections typically go against the party of the president - and if that holds, and Republicans take over even just the House (let alone the currently split Senate), it effectively would mean a sidelining of the vast majority of President Biden&#39;s agenda for the remaining two years in his term.</p><p>That&#39;s not always bad for securities markets (NYSEARCA:SPY), where &#34;gridlock&#34; has often been received by investors as &#34;status quo&#34; - or, more specifically, the lack of any broad or shocking changes on tap that tend to spook investors and spur market declines.</p><p>&#34;History suggests the midterms are a big influence on markets as they always seem to rally once midterms (or presidential elections) are out of the way,&#34; Deutsche Bank&#39;s Jim Reid said. &#34;Our economists&#39; base case is that Republicans will take the House but Democrats will maintain their slim majority in the Senate,&#34; he added.</p><p>For what it&#39;s worth, the world&#39;s richest man Elon Musk is now Twitter&#39;s CEO and sole director, and urged his more than 100 million followers on the service to go GOP: &#34;I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the Presidency is Democratic.&#34;</p><p>While the issues at stake in the election&#39;s various races are numerous - including gun control, abortion and immigration - investors will be focused on a few that have risen to the fore as election season has rumbled on, notably the broader economic slowdown and this year&#39;s historic inflation.</p><p>And while party polarization seems to be at historic highs, when it comes to business and investing, there are areas where the two parties are closer together than others. For example, where the parties agree on infrastructure spending, real estate, construction and utilities could benefit.</p><p>ESG investing (Environmental, Social and Governance) is indirectly on the ballot, as Republicans increasingly tap the issue as a political talking point. If the GOP makes a strong showing, you can expect the pressure on ESG investing to increase. Some of the popular ESG-themed exchange-traded funds: Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF (ERTH), ALPS Clean Energy ETF (ACES), Fidelity Clean Energy ETF (FRNW), KraneShares MSCI China Environment Index (KGRN), Invesco MSCI Green Building ETF (GBLD), iShares S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index ETF (ICLN), Invesco Solar Portfolio ETF (TAN), Global X Wind Energy ETF (WNDY), CleanTech ETF (CTEC), Global X Solar ETF (RAYS), ProShares S&amp;P Kensho Cleantech ETF (CTEX), First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN), iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF (ESGU), Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV), and the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ESG ETF (EFIV).</p><p>And conversely, the &#34;anti-ESG&#34; fund God Bless America ETF (YALL) launched last month, with a focus on screening out companies it considers activist.</p><p>Still, clean energy subsidies aren&#39;t as contentious as other issues, so it may be unlikely that President Biden&#39;s signature achievement on climate legislation will be unwound. Oil may be another matter: The idea floated by Biden for a windfall tax on Big Oil will be essentially dead if Republicans gain power. (By the by, the U.S. oil rig count has more than doubled during the Biden administration.)</p><p>Technology is another area where the parties have diverged more in recent years, though perhaps more on style: Both parties have argued for more regulation on tech, for different reasons. The Biden administration has been concerned with concentrated power and antitrust action against the tech giants, including Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Amazon.com (AMZN), while Republicans have targeted social media on speech-related issues, and say they won&#39;t back some currently stalled antitrust bills - which could be a boon for those giants currently in the crosshairs.</p><p>Cannabis is on the ballot: Recreational marijuana use is a question in five states(Arkansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota), and outside of Maryland, whether the measures will get adopted is an open question. Watch multistate operators including Cresco Labs (OTCQX: CRLBF); Columbia Care (OTCQX: CCHWF); Trulieve Cannabis (OTCQX: TCNNF); Green Thumb Industries (OTCQX: GTBIF); Curaleaf Holdings (OTCPK: CURLF); MedMen Enterprises (OTCQB: MMNFF); Acreage Holdings (OTCQX: ACRHF); Ayr Wellness (OTCQX: AYRWF); Verano Holdings (OTCQX: VRNOF); and Jushi Holdings (OTCQX: JUSHF), as well as ETFs: AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF (YOLO), Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS), ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ), AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS), and Global X Cannabis ETF (POTX).</p><p>And of course, closely following on election night&#39;s news will be Thursday&#39;s CPI report, where new data on inflation might amplify the impact of any Tuesday ballot-related effect on markets.</p><p>One thing important for election observers to remember: It&#39;s extremely unlikely we&#39;ll know the results of every race during election night, as many states with more mail-in ballots will likely need more time or even much more time to count them (particularly in the number of states that disallow counting mail-in votes until Election Day arrives, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). And that means even knowing who controls part of Congress might still be in question on Wednesday or beyond.</p><p>Also, control of the extremely close Senate may depend on such factors as automatic recounts, or another Georgia run-off that could delay knowing the answer into December.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Midterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMidterm Elections: What to Watch in Markets As America Votes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-08 23:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate)...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3903249-election-day-what-to-watch-in-markets-as-america-votes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147745884","content_text":"It's midterm Election Day in the United States, and while the conventional wisdom has some strong ideas about how it will play out, increasing uncertainty around polling (and a contentious electorate) suggest anything might happen.Midterm elections typically go against the party of the president - and if that holds, and Republicans take over even just the House (let alone the currently split Senate), it effectively would mean a sidelining of the vast majority of President Biden's agenda for the remaining two years in his term.That's not always bad for securities markets (NYSEARCA:SPY), where \"gridlock\" has often been received by investors as \"status quo\" - or, more specifically, the lack of any broad or shocking changes on tap that tend to spook investors and spur market declines.\"History suggests the midterms are a big influence on markets as they always seem to rally once midterms (or presidential elections) are out of the way,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said. \"Our economists' base case is that Republicans will take the House but Democrats will maintain their slim majority in the Senate,\" he added.For what it's worth, the world's richest man Elon Musk is now Twitter's CEO and sole director, and urged his more than 100 million followers on the service to go GOP: \"I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the Presidency is Democratic.\"While the issues at stake in the election's various races are numerous - including gun control, abortion and immigration - investors will be focused on a few that have risen to the fore as election season has rumbled on, notably the broader economic slowdown and this year's historic inflation.And while party polarization seems to be at historic highs, when it comes to business and investing, there are areas where the two parties are closer together than others. For example, where the parties agree on infrastructure spending, real estate, construction and utilities could benefit.ESG investing (Environmental, Social and Governance) is indirectly on the ballot, as Republicans increasingly tap the issue as a political talking point. If the GOP makes a strong showing, you can expect the pressure on ESG investing to increase. Some of the popular ESG-themed exchange-traded funds: Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF (ERTH), ALPS Clean Energy ETF (ACES), Fidelity Clean Energy ETF (FRNW), KraneShares MSCI China Environment Index (KGRN), Invesco MSCI Green Building ETF (GBLD), iShares S&P Global Clean Energy Index ETF (ICLN), Invesco Solar Portfolio ETF (TAN), Global X Wind Energy ETF (WNDY), CleanTech ETF (CTEC), Global X Solar ETF (RAYS), ProShares S&P Kensho Cleantech ETF (CTEX), First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF (FAN), iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF (ESGU), Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV), and the SPDR S&P 500 ESG ETF (EFIV).And conversely, the \"anti-ESG\" fund God Bless America ETF (YALL) launched last month, with a focus on screening out companies it considers activist.Still, clean energy subsidies aren't as contentious as other issues, so it may be unlikely that President Biden's signature achievement on climate legislation will be unwound. Oil may be another matter: The idea floated by Biden for a windfall tax on Big Oil will be essentially dead if Republicans gain power. (By the by, the U.S. oil rig count has more than doubled during the Biden administration.)Technology is another area where the parties have diverged more in recent years, though perhaps more on style: Both parties have argued for more regulation on tech, for different reasons. The Biden administration has been concerned with concentrated power and antitrust action against the tech giants, including Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) and Amazon.com (AMZN), while Republicans have targeted social media on speech-related issues, and say they won't back some currently stalled antitrust bills - which could be a boon for those giants currently in the crosshairs.Cannabis is on the ballot: Recreational marijuana use is a question in five states(Arkansas, Maryland, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota), and outside of Maryland, whether the measures will get adopted is an open question. Watch multistate operators including Cresco Labs (OTCQX: CRLBF); Columbia Care (OTCQX: CCHWF); Trulieve Cannabis (OTCQX: TCNNF); Green Thumb Industries (OTCQX: GTBIF); Curaleaf Holdings (OTCPK: CURLF); MedMen Enterprises (OTCQB: MMNFF); Acreage Holdings (OTCQX: ACRHF); Ayr Wellness (OTCQX: AYRWF); Verano Holdings (OTCQX: VRNOF); and Jushi Holdings (OTCQX: JUSHF), as well as ETFs: AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF (YOLO), Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS), ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ), AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS), and Global X Cannabis ETF (POTX).And of course, closely following on election night's news will be Thursday's CPI report, where new data on inflation might amplify the impact of any Tuesday ballot-related effect on markets.One thing important for election observers to remember: It's extremely unlikely we'll know the results of every race during election night, as many states with more mail-in ballots will likely need more time or even much more time to count them (particularly in the number of states that disallow counting mail-in votes until Election Day arrives, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). And that means even knowing who controls part of Congress might still be in question on Wednesday or beyond.Also, control of the extremely close Senate may depend on such factors as automatic recounts, or another Georgia run-off that could delay knowing the answer into December.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988132777,"gmtCreate":1666689515202,"gmtModify":1676537790327,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PlS like","listText":"PlS like","text":"PlS like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988132777","repostId":"1131328574","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131328574","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666685072,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131328574?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-25 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131328574","media":"Barron's","summary":"Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and Intel, with special guest appearances from SAP, Shopify, Spotify, Seagate, ServiceNow, and Corning. Every one of these companies reports results in a three-day span, from Tuesday to Thursday. At least 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s market value will be reporting during the stretch.</p><p>It will be the last full read on the sector’s fundamental performance before the end of the year, and the wave of reports could determine the next swing in stock prices. The tech sector continues to face fierce headwinds from the strong dollar, softening consumer spending, rising interest rates, stubbornly high inflation, and a potential recession. The market is yearning for some hint that the worst is over, but don’t hold your breath.</p><p>Paul Meeks, portfolio manager with Independent Solutions Wealth Management, has a long list of tech stocks he’d like to buy, but he’s not yet ready. He’s sitting on a pile of cash, waiting for lower lows. Meeks thinks earnings season could be grisly and is particularly worried about chip stocks, which he’s historically loved but is now shunning. Meeks sees downward revisions ahead and worries that conditions in the March and June quarters could be even worse than the last two quarters of 2022.</p><p>This past week, though, there were some glimmers of hope. Netflix shares (ticker: NFLX) spiked 13% on Wednesday after the streaming-video pioneer posted better-than-expected subscriber growth and sounded generally bullish about the coming launch of its ad-supported membership tier. One day later,IBMshares (IBM) gained 4.7% after posting revenue that was $500 million above Wall Street estimates, thanks to strong demand in all three of its primary business segments—mainframes, software, and consulting.</p><p>Neither report seemed to improve the market’s dour mood, though. And that was before Snap’s(SNAP) disappointing report late Thursday.</p><p>Here are five key questions investors will be asking in the days ahead:</p><p><b>Will the recession slow cloud computing?</b> Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL) own the three largest players in the public cloud—Amazon Web Services, Azure, and Google Cloud. In the June quarter, all three showed strong growth but modest deceleration from the March quarter. The public clouds use consumption-based business models, like utilities—the more computing resources you use, the more you pay. As the economy softens, it’s not unreasonable to expect that customers with weakening business won’t need quite as much computing power as they have in the past. Consensus Wall Street estimates forecast that growth for all three cloud giants will slow further this quarter: Misses from any—or worse, all three—would not be well received.</p><p><b>How bad is the online advertising outlook?</b> In recessions, ad spending erodes—and with two-thirds of ad dollars now spent on digital channels, there are considerable risks ahead for ad-supported tech businesses, in particular Alphabet, which owns Google and YouTube, and Meta Platforms (META), parent of Facebook and Instagram. Alphabet shares are down 30% this year, while Meta is off 60%—the disparity in part reflects the view that search ads should prove more resilient than display and direct-response ads. Meanwhile, there’s increasing competition. TikTok gets most of the attention, but both Amazon and Apple (AAPL) are building substantial ad businesses, while Netflix and Walt Disney (DIS) are adding ad-supported subscription streaming tiers. Even Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are building ad businesses.</p><p><b>When will PC demand rebound?</b> Personal computer demand is crashing. Gartner reports that PC shipments fell 19.5% in the third quarter, the sharpest decline ever and the fourth straight quarterly drop. That is bad for PC companies like Dell Technologies (DELL) and HP Inc. (HPQ), but the weakness has also triggered earnings warnings from PC-centric chip makers like Intel (INTC), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia (NVDA), and Micron Technology (MU). We’ll get fresh insights on the PC market’s future this week from Microsoft, Intel, and Apple.</p><p><b>Will the holiday shopping season be a bust?</b> Adobe projects online holiday spending will grow just 2.5%, the smallest increase ever. Amazon shares are down 31% this year, pressured by weakness in the company’s flagship online retailing arm, which has reported year-over-year declines in each of the past two quarters. Wall Street estimates call for a rebound to 9% growth in the September quarter, with 8% growth in the holiday quarter. But that might be optimistic—analysts think the company’s recent two-day sales event was a dud. Shopify’s (SHOP) results should provide additional color on the state of online shopping—and the outlook for the holidays.</p><p><b>Are enterprise IT budgets about to shrink?</b> IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said this past week that conditions remain strong in the U.S. and Asia, but he sees customers in Western Europe growing more cautious. A sharp falloff in PC sales at Dell, which has only modest exposure to the consumer market, points to budget tightening. Krishna says that technology tends to boost productivity—offsetting inflationary pressures on labor and the supply chain. Microsoft and SAP (SAP) will both provide clues on where IT spending goes from here.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 16:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","INTC":"英特尔","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131328574","content_text":"Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and Intel, with special guest appearances from SAP, Shopify, Spotify, Seagate, ServiceNow, and Corning. Every one of these companies reports results in a three-day span, from Tuesday to Thursday. At least 25% of the S&P 500’s market value will be reporting during the stretch.It will be the last full read on the sector’s fundamental performance before the end of the year, and the wave of reports could determine the next swing in stock prices. The tech sector continues to face fierce headwinds from the strong dollar, softening consumer spending, rising interest rates, stubbornly high inflation, and a potential recession. The market is yearning for some hint that the worst is over, but don’t hold your breath.Paul Meeks, portfolio manager with Independent Solutions Wealth Management, has a long list of tech stocks he’d like to buy, but he’s not yet ready. He’s sitting on a pile of cash, waiting for lower lows. Meeks thinks earnings season could be grisly and is particularly worried about chip stocks, which he’s historically loved but is now shunning. Meeks sees downward revisions ahead and worries that conditions in the March and June quarters could be even worse than the last two quarters of 2022.This past week, though, there were some glimmers of hope. Netflix shares (ticker: NFLX) spiked 13% on Wednesday after the streaming-video pioneer posted better-than-expected subscriber growth and sounded generally bullish about the coming launch of its ad-supported membership tier. One day later,IBMshares (IBM) gained 4.7% after posting revenue that was $500 million above Wall Street estimates, thanks to strong demand in all three of its primary business segments—mainframes, software, and consulting.Neither report seemed to improve the market’s dour mood, though. And that was before Snap’s(SNAP) disappointing report late Thursday.Here are five key questions investors will be asking in the days ahead:Will the recession slow cloud computing? Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL) own the three largest players in the public cloud—Amazon Web Services, Azure, and Google Cloud. In the June quarter, all three showed strong growth but modest deceleration from the March quarter. The public clouds use consumption-based business models, like utilities—the more computing resources you use, the more you pay. As the economy softens, it’s not unreasonable to expect that customers with weakening business won’t need quite as much computing power as they have in the past. Consensus Wall Street estimates forecast that growth for all three cloud giants will slow further this quarter: Misses from any—or worse, all three—would not be well received.How bad is the online advertising outlook? In recessions, ad spending erodes—and with two-thirds of ad dollars now spent on digital channels, there are considerable risks ahead for ad-supported tech businesses, in particular Alphabet, which owns Google and YouTube, and Meta Platforms (META), parent of Facebook and Instagram. Alphabet shares are down 30% this year, while Meta is off 60%—the disparity in part reflects the view that search ads should prove more resilient than display and direct-response ads. Meanwhile, there’s increasing competition. TikTok gets most of the attention, but both Amazon and Apple (AAPL) are building substantial ad businesses, while Netflix and Walt Disney (DIS) are adding ad-supported subscription streaming tiers. Even Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are building ad businesses.When will PC demand rebound? Personal computer demand is crashing. Gartner reports that PC shipments fell 19.5% in the third quarter, the sharpest decline ever and the fourth straight quarterly drop. That is bad for PC companies like Dell Technologies (DELL) and HP Inc. (HPQ), but the weakness has also triggered earnings warnings from PC-centric chip makers like Intel (INTC), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia (NVDA), and Micron Technology (MU). We’ll get fresh insights on the PC market’s future this week from Microsoft, Intel, and Apple.Will the holiday shopping season be a bust? Adobe projects online holiday spending will grow just 2.5%, the smallest increase ever. Amazon shares are down 31% this year, pressured by weakness in the company’s flagship online retailing arm, which has reported year-over-year declines in each of the past two quarters. Wall Street estimates call for a rebound to 9% growth in the September quarter, with 8% growth in the holiday quarter. But that might be optimistic—analysts think the company’s recent two-day sales event was a dud. Shopify’s (SHOP) results should provide additional color on the state of online shopping—and the outlook for the holidays.Are enterprise IT budgets about to shrink? IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said this past week that conditions remain strong in the U.S. and Asia, but he sees customers in Western Europe growing more cautious. A sharp falloff in PC sales at Dell, which has only modest exposure to the consumer market, points to budget tightening. Krishna says that technology tends to boost productivity—offsetting inflationary pressures on labor and the supply chain. Microsoft and SAP (SAP) will both provide clues on where IT spending goes from here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181110307,"gmtCreate":1623377893509,"gmtModify":1704202043932,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please help to comment and response,&nbsp; thks","listText":"Please help to comment and response,&nbsp; thks","text":"Please help to comment and response, thks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181110307","repostId":"1184070773","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184070773","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623367038,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184070773?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 climbs to a new record close, shrugging off inflation fears","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184070773","media":"cnbc","summary":"The S&P 500 rose to an all-time high on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.The broad equity benchmark climbed nearly 0.5% to a record closing high of 4,239.18. The S&P 500 also hit an intraday record of 4,249.74, overtaking its May 7 high after the market traded sideways for a month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 19.10 points, or less than 0.1%, to 34,466.24, while the Nasdaq Composite gained about ","content":"<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 rose to an all-time high on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.\nThe broad equity benchmark climbed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 climbs to a new record close, shrugging off inflation fears</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 climbs to a new record close, shrugging off inflation fears\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 07:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 rose to an all-time high on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.\nThe broad equity benchmark climbed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPS":"联合包裹"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/stock-market-open-to-close-news.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1184070773","content_text":"The S&P 500 rose to an all-time high on Thursday as investors shrugged off a key inflation report that showed a bigger-than-expected increase in price pressures.\nThe broad equity benchmark climbed nearly 0.5% to a record closing high of 4,239.18. The S&P 500 also hit an intraday record of 4,249.74, overtaking its May 7 high after the market traded sideways for a month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 19.10 points, or less than 0.1%, to 34,466.24, while the Nasdaq Composite gained about 0.8% to 14,020.33.\nConsumer prices for May accelerated at their fastest pace since the summer of 2008 amid the economic recovery from the pandemic-triggered recession,the Labor Department reported Thursday.\nThe consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries and prices across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.\n\"I think there were a lot of people who held back, who wanted to see the hotter inflation number,\" CNBC's Jim Cramer said on \"Squawk on the Street.\" \"Now they've said, 'OK, now that's over with. Let's do some buying.' Because they've been on the sideline and they want to get in. I don't think that's actually usual these days because there's still so much buying power out there. People want in.\"\nFears of spiking inflation have weighed on the stock market in the last month, with investors worried the jump in prices will raise costs for companies, spark a move higher in interest rates and cause the Federal Reserve to remove its easy money policies.\n\"This CPI isn't likely to change the narrative dramatically, and there are still indications that inflation momentum is set to abate in the coming months,\" Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, said in a note Thursday.\nMany economists also said the surge in used car costs for the month could have skewed the inflation reading. Used car and truck prices jumped more than 7%, accounting for one-third of the total increase for the month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The jump in used car prices likely reflects a temporary phenomenon related to the pandemic and auto supply.\nA separate report released Thursday showed that jobless claims for the week ended June 5 came in at 376,000, versus a Dow Jones estimate of 370,000. The total still marked the lowest of the pandemic era.\nUPS shares rose about 1% afteran upgrade from JPMorgan. Shares of Boeing were higher, but Delta Air Lines slipped.\nVideo-game retailer and meme stock GameStop fell 27% even after the company tapped former Amazon executive Matt Furlong to be its next CEO and said that sales rose 25% last quarter. The company also said it may sell up to 5 million additional shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"content":"done, reply pls","text":"done, reply pls","html":"done, reply pls"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985850981,"gmtCreate":1667356496543,"gmtModify":1676537904004,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985850981","repostId":"2280931319","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2280931319","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667355767,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2280931319?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-02 10:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How the US Midterm Elections Could Affect Companies' Profits","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280931319","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"End of one-party economic policy seen after midtermsUS House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Repub","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>End of one-party economic policy seen after midterms</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b606eb83fc2517176c9d70f090f70e1c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>US House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, center, during the America First Policy Institute&#39;s America First Agenda Summit in Washington.Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg</span></p><p>A Republican takeover of Congress would reshape the fiscal and regulatory landscape for a wide range of businesses that have grappled for nearly two years with Democratic efforts to boost taxes and tighten rules.</p><p>Next week’s midterm elections are expected to usher in a new era of divided government, with polls showing Democrats losing control of the House and possibly the Senate. That would spell the end of President Joe Biden’s agenda.</p><p>For businesses, the biggest impact of a GOP ascent would be the end of one-party economic policy. Democrats would no longer be able to use the partisan budget maneuvers to ram through tax increases, change Medicare drug policies, and pass pandemic relief spending that many economists say helped fuel inflation.</p><p>Even in a divided government, though, there may be room for compromises on border security and legal immigration that could address the labor shortages vexing US industries, along with possible agreements to streamline permitting and leasing for energy projects. Yet, GOP lawmakers are vowing to investigate Biden’s administration, reject his appointees to key jobs and wage a fight over the US debt limit that risks rattling markets — politically charged moves that could interfere with any bipartisan deal-making.</p><p>With a week until Election Day, here’s a look at what’s at stake for business:</p><h2>Republican Congress Would Put Brakes on Business Tax Increase</h2><p>Democrats came within one Senate vote of raising the corporate tax rate to 25% and imposing a global minimum profits tax. The risk of that being resurrected goes away if the GOP takes the House as expected, along with the chances of a windfall profit tax for oil companies. The midterm outcome will also likely shape December talks on renewing research and development tax breaks.</p><p>Republicans have said that in the majority they will push to extend expiring provisions of the 2017 tax cuts signed by former President Donald Trump tax cuts. Two provisions of that law are especially valuable to businesses: the 20% deduction on qualified income for many pass-through entities that expires in 2025 and bonus depreciation for qualified business purchases that phases down fully in 2027.</p><p>Anti-tax activist Grover Norquist predicts a GOP Congress would negotiate with the White House a two-year extension of those provisions before the end of 2024.</p><p>Former top Senate GOP aide Rohit Kumar, now at PWC, predicts the GOP would force tough votes on a reconciliation bill extending the Trump tax law to pressure moderate Democrats to agree to small business relief. “That would set the table for a final negotiation in 2025,” he said.</p><h2>Energy Production Could Get Boost, Climate Measures Pared</h2><p>Republicans plan to push for expanded domestic energy production if they take the majority and will try to use voter frustration over high gasoline prices to get the Biden administration to go along. The House Energy and Commerce Committee will look to boost development of hydrogen projects, streamline permitting and development of nuclear power plants, and accelerate approval for liquefied natural gas export facilities, Representative Bill Johnson, an Ohio Republican who serves on the committee, said.</p><p>Those measures, if enacted, would benefit companies such as nuclear operator Southern Co., small modular reactor maker NuScale Power Corp., and liquefied natural gas exporter Cheniere Energy, Inc. They could benefit drillers like Halliburton Co. and oil producers such as Exxon Mobil Corp. Johnson also plans to target a Biden administration rule phasing out some natural gas furnaces that drew the ire of the American Gas Association, which represents utilities such as Dominion Energy, Inc. and DTE Energy Co.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20f8410c8c7d0df16077f5b79746f01\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Wind turbines at the San Gorgonio Pass wind farm Palm Springs, Calif.Photographer: Bing Guan/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Republicans are already vowing strict oversight over hundreds of billions of dollars in lending authority that Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act gave to the Energy Department. Meanwhile, carmakers’ desire for an additional $7 billion in spending on electric-vehicle charging stations, favored by companies like General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co., is likely to go ignored by GOP lawmakers. Biden cut his request for $15 billion in EV charger money in half to win GOP support for his bipartisan infrastructure bill and a second Democrats-only climate bill focused on extending EV tax credits for consumers.</p><p>US Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President Neil Bradley said he doesn’t see the GOP being able to claw back money for renewable energy or reverse Biden’s past tax increases given the legislative hurdles in the Senate. “You are not un-ringing that bell in divided government,” he said.</p><h2>Financial Regulations Could be Delayed or Thwarted</h2><p>Trading firms including Robinhood Markets Inc. would benefit from a takeover by Republicans, who have sought to thwart planned regulations from the Securities and Exchange Commission under Gary Gensler. GOP lawmakers can delay rule-making with information requests to the SEC and language in annual funding bills directing the agency to hold off on regulating.</p><p>Meanwhile, one of the biggest targets for corporations is an SEC plan to require companies to disclose their greenhouse-gas emissions and in some cases from their suppliers and customers. Proposed in March, the rule has drawn the ire of industries from oil to farming. Exxon Mobil, Meta Platforms Inc. and Walmart Inc. have weighed in.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9fc48138aeac12603f4322e9333b15\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The SEC is also looking to add regulation on the crypto-currency industry.</p><p>Private equity firms and hedge funds could also benefit from any slowdown in SEC rulemaking. Gensler has proposed forcing them to disclose more about their fees and putting in place new restrictions, all of which have drawn the industry’s ire.</p><h2>Antitrust Bill Opposed by Tech Companies Unlikely to Pass</h2><p>Silicon Valley would likely be spared in a Republican Congress from sweeping legislation aimed at anti-competitive behavior by tech companies such as Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s Google. The bill has sponsors in both parties and has been cleared by key House and Senate committees, yet the tech industry has helped to stall the measure’s progress with lobbying campaign that has topped $100 million.</p><p>House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy and likely House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan oppose the antitrust bill, which would have to be reintroduced if it doesn’t get a vote in the current Congress by the end of the year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1eab8268ab3bcfbf3676453c804408\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Representative Jim Jordan, a Republican from Ohio, speaks during a House Judiciary Committee hearing in Washington.Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPA</span></p><p>GOP lawmakers plan instead to focus on ending what they see as censorship of conservative voices on social media platforms, including by removing legal liability protections under Section 230, giving users an avenue to appeal when their content is removed and requiring more transparency from tech companies. None of these content-focused proposals is likely to become law, owing to insufficient support in the Senate and the strong odds of a Biden veto.</p><h2>Tougher Regulations For Hospitals, Insurers</h2><p>Hospitals, insurers and pharmaceutical benefit managers face the prospect of tough new regulations pushed by a Republican Congress, with the possible support from Democrats and the Biden administration. GOP lawmakers have promised to beef up requirements that hospitals post their prices online and lower drug costs by targeting drug industry middlemen known as pharmaceutical benefit managers. Party leaders have tried to shift away from promises to tear down the Affordable Care Act — also known as Obamacare — or restrict abortion rights, focusing instead on Americans’ rising medical bills.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/379f713489b433cd5b7609b13da5de8b\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"661\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A CVS pharmacy store in San Francisco.Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Cathy McMorris Rodgers, the top Republican on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, ran ads in her home state of Washington vowing to require hospitals, insurers and doctors to disclose prices so consumers can shop around. Three pharmaceutical managers make up more than two-thirds of the total US market: Express Scripts Inc., CVS Health Corp. and OptumRx Inc., HCA Healthcare Inc., Ascension Health and Tenet Healthcare Corp. are hospital companies that may be affected.</p><p>Many Democrats remain frustrated by the limited nature of the drug price negotiation provisions for Medicare in the Inflation Reduction Act, with just 10 drugs coming under negotiation in 2026. Expanding that power is unlikely under GOP control. Johnson &amp; Johnson, Merck &amp; Co. Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Eli Lilly &amp; Co. have products that Medicare spends heavily on.</p><h2>Five-Year, $428 Billion Farm Bill Up for Renewal</h2><p>The next Congress will need to pass another five-year Farm Bill governing direct agricultural subsidies, crop insurance, food stamps and conservation programs. The 2018 farm bill authorized $428 billion in spending over five years, with about three-quarters devoted to food assistance and a quarter to farm supports.</p><p>Renewing the farm bill, a pillar of domestic agribusiness, could be more difficult under GOP control. Some conservatives want to see farm subsidies cut, though there is broad support in both parties to maintain spending. The bigger issue will likely come on nutrition programs that the GOP has previously targeted over eligibility requirements and conservation programs. Food stamps help boost sales of groceries at retail chains such as Walmart and Kroger Co. by providing low-income recipients a way of buying more food.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c14d6bdab7767cbc4686de9832f6562e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A tree shaker removes walnuts from trees at Barton Ranch in Escalon, Calif. The state is the biggest global shipper of walnuts and second-largest grower after China.Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Direct federal government payments are a significant contributor to farm profits, accounting for between 18% and 48% of annual net US farm income since 2018, according to the US Agriculture Department. The extra income for farmers helps boost sales for seed, pesticide, fertilizer and equipment providers such as The Mosaic Co. and Deere &amp; Co. It also reduces costs for major grain buyers such as Cargill Inc. and Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. and meat and poultry processors such as Tyson Foods Inc. that purchase animal feed.</p><h2>Weapons Makers Could See Boost in Contracting</h2><p>A GOP-led Congress offers both opportunities and peril for he biggest US defense contractors including Lockheed Martin Corp., Raytheon Co., General Dynamics Corp. and Boeing Co.</p><p>Republicans have complained that the Biden administration under-funds weapons systems, and the party will be under pressure to ensure that the military’s budget keeps pace with inflation. Texas Representative  Kay Granger, the likely next chair of the House Appropriations Committee, said in an interview she will prioritize increased defense spending.</p><p>Yet the defense industry also risks getting caught in GOP brinkmanship on spending to force Biden to cut social programs and boost border security. Protracted battles over spending could force lawmakers to rely more on interim bills to fund the government that don’t allow for new contracts. It’s likely oversight of the Pentagon’s contracting processes for expediting arms contracts awards for Ukraine will likely receive more scrutiny in a Republican-controlled Congress.</p><p>Also Read: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1118726091\" target=\"_blank\">What Midterms Mean for the Stock Market’s &#34;Best 6 Months&#34; As Favorable Calendar Stretch Gets Under Way</a></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How the US Midterm Elections Could Affect Companies' Profits</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the US Midterm Elections Could Affect Companies' Profits\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-02 10:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-01/midterm-elections-2022-how-businesses-are-affected-by-who-controls-congress?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>End of one-party economic policy seen after midtermsUS House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, center, during the America First Policy Institute's America First Agenda ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-01/midterm-elections-2022-how-businesses-are-affected-by-who-controls-congress?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-01/midterm-elections-2022-how-businesses-are-affected-by-who-controls-congress?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280931319","content_text":"End of one-party economic policy seen after midtermsUS House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, a Republican from California, center, during the America First Policy Institute's America First Agenda Summit in Washington.Photographer: Al Drago/BloombergA Republican takeover of Congress would reshape the fiscal and regulatory landscape for a wide range of businesses that have grappled for nearly two years with Democratic efforts to boost taxes and tighten rules.Next week’s midterm elections are expected to usher in a new era of divided government, with polls showing Democrats losing control of the House and possibly the Senate. That would spell the end of President Joe Biden’s agenda.For businesses, the biggest impact of a GOP ascent would be the end of one-party economic policy. Democrats would no longer be able to use the partisan budget maneuvers to ram through tax increases, change Medicare drug policies, and pass pandemic relief spending that many economists say helped fuel inflation.Even in a divided government, though, there may be room for compromises on border security and legal immigration that could address the labor shortages vexing US industries, along with possible agreements to streamline permitting and leasing for energy projects. Yet, GOP lawmakers are vowing to investigate Biden’s administration, reject his appointees to key jobs and wage a fight over the US debt limit that risks rattling markets — politically charged moves that could interfere with any bipartisan deal-making.With a week until Election Day, here’s a look at what’s at stake for business:Republican Congress Would Put Brakes on Business Tax IncreaseDemocrats came within one Senate vote of raising the corporate tax rate to 25% and imposing a global minimum profits tax. The risk of that being resurrected goes away if the GOP takes the House as expected, along with the chances of a windfall profit tax for oil companies. The midterm outcome will also likely shape December talks on renewing research and development tax breaks.Republicans have said that in the majority they will push to extend expiring provisions of the 2017 tax cuts signed by former President Donald Trump tax cuts. Two provisions of that law are especially valuable to businesses: the 20% deduction on qualified income for many pass-through entities that expires in 2025 and bonus depreciation for qualified business purchases that phases down fully in 2027.Anti-tax activist Grover Norquist predicts a GOP Congress would negotiate with the White House a two-year extension of those provisions before the end of 2024.Former top Senate GOP aide Rohit Kumar, now at PWC, predicts the GOP would force tough votes on a reconciliation bill extending the Trump tax law to pressure moderate Democrats to agree to small business relief. “That would set the table for a final negotiation in 2025,” he said.Energy Production Could Get Boost, Climate Measures ParedRepublicans plan to push for expanded domestic energy production if they take the majority and will try to use voter frustration over high gasoline prices to get the Biden administration to go along. The House Energy and Commerce Committee will look to boost development of hydrogen projects, streamline permitting and development of nuclear power plants, and accelerate approval for liquefied natural gas export facilities, Representative Bill Johnson, an Ohio Republican who serves on the committee, said.Those measures, if enacted, would benefit companies such as nuclear operator Southern Co., small modular reactor maker NuScale Power Corp., and liquefied natural gas exporter Cheniere Energy, Inc. They could benefit drillers like Halliburton Co. and oil producers such as Exxon Mobil Corp. Johnson also plans to target a Biden administration rule phasing out some natural gas furnaces that drew the ire of the American Gas Association, which represents utilities such as Dominion Energy, Inc. and DTE Energy Co.Wind turbines at the San Gorgonio Pass wind farm Palm Springs, Calif.Photographer: Bing Guan/BloombergRepublicans are already vowing strict oversight over hundreds of billions of dollars in lending authority that Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act gave to the Energy Department. Meanwhile, carmakers’ desire for an additional $7 billion in spending on electric-vehicle charging stations, favored by companies like General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co., is likely to go ignored by GOP lawmakers. Biden cut his request for $15 billion in EV charger money in half to win GOP support for his bipartisan infrastructure bill and a second Democrats-only climate bill focused on extending EV tax credits for consumers.US Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President Neil Bradley said he doesn’t see the GOP being able to claw back money for renewable energy or reverse Biden’s past tax increases given the legislative hurdles in the Senate. “You are not un-ringing that bell in divided government,” he said.Financial Regulations Could be Delayed or ThwartedTrading firms including Robinhood Markets Inc. would benefit from a takeover by Republicans, who have sought to thwart planned regulations from the Securities and Exchange Commission under Gary Gensler. GOP lawmakers can delay rule-making with information requests to the SEC and language in annual funding bills directing the agency to hold off on regulating.Meanwhile, one of the biggest targets for corporations is an SEC plan to require companies to disclose their greenhouse-gas emissions and in some cases from their suppliers and customers. Proposed in March, the rule has drawn the ire of industries from oil to farming. Exxon Mobil, Meta Platforms Inc. and Walmart Inc. have weighed in.The SEC is also looking to add regulation on the crypto-currency industry.Private equity firms and hedge funds could also benefit from any slowdown in SEC rulemaking. Gensler has proposed forcing them to disclose more about their fees and putting in place new restrictions, all of which have drawn the industry’s ire.Antitrust Bill Opposed by Tech Companies Unlikely to PassSilicon Valley would likely be spared in a Republican Congress from sweeping legislation aimed at anti-competitive behavior by tech companies such as Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s Google. The bill has sponsors in both parties and has been cleared by key House and Senate committees, yet the tech industry has helped to stall the measure’s progress with lobbying campaign that has topped $100 million.House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy and likely House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan oppose the antitrust bill, which would have to be reintroduced if it doesn’t get a vote in the current Congress by the end of the year.Representative Jim Jordan, a Republican from Ohio, speaks during a House Judiciary Committee hearing in Washington.Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPAGOP lawmakers plan instead to focus on ending what they see as censorship of conservative voices on social media platforms, including by removing legal liability protections under Section 230, giving users an avenue to appeal when their content is removed and requiring more transparency from tech companies. None of these content-focused proposals is likely to become law, owing to insufficient support in the Senate and the strong odds of a Biden veto.Tougher Regulations For Hospitals, InsurersHospitals, insurers and pharmaceutical benefit managers face the prospect of tough new regulations pushed by a Republican Congress, with the possible support from Democrats and the Biden administration. GOP lawmakers have promised to beef up requirements that hospitals post their prices online and lower drug costs by targeting drug industry middlemen known as pharmaceutical benefit managers. Party leaders have tried to shift away from promises to tear down the Affordable Care Act — also known as Obamacare — or restrict abortion rights, focusing instead on Americans’ rising medical bills.A CVS pharmacy store in San Francisco.Photographer: David Paul Morris/BloombergCathy McMorris Rodgers, the top Republican on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, ran ads in her home state of Washington vowing to require hospitals, insurers and doctors to disclose prices so consumers can shop around. Three pharmaceutical managers make up more than two-thirds of the total US market: Express Scripts Inc., CVS Health Corp. and OptumRx Inc., HCA Healthcare Inc., Ascension Health and Tenet Healthcare Corp. are hospital companies that may be affected.Many Democrats remain frustrated by the limited nature of the drug price negotiation provisions for Medicare in the Inflation Reduction Act, with just 10 drugs coming under negotiation in 2026. Expanding that power is unlikely under GOP control. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co. Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Eli Lilly & Co. have products that Medicare spends heavily on.Five-Year, $428 Billion Farm Bill Up for RenewalThe next Congress will need to pass another five-year Farm Bill governing direct agricultural subsidies, crop insurance, food stamps and conservation programs. The 2018 farm bill authorized $428 billion in spending over five years, with about three-quarters devoted to food assistance and a quarter to farm supports.Renewing the farm bill, a pillar of domestic agribusiness, could be more difficult under GOP control. Some conservatives want to see farm subsidies cut, though there is broad support in both parties to maintain spending. The bigger issue will likely come on nutrition programs that the GOP has previously targeted over eligibility requirements and conservation programs. Food stamps help boost sales of groceries at retail chains such as Walmart and Kroger Co. by providing low-income recipients a way of buying more food.A tree shaker removes walnuts from trees at Barton Ranch in Escalon, Calif. The state is the biggest global shipper of walnuts and second-largest grower after China.Photographer: David Paul Morris/BloombergDirect federal government payments are a significant contributor to farm profits, accounting for between 18% and 48% of annual net US farm income since 2018, according to the US Agriculture Department. The extra income for farmers helps boost sales for seed, pesticide, fertilizer and equipment providers such as The Mosaic Co. and Deere & Co. It also reduces costs for major grain buyers such as Cargill Inc. and Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. and meat and poultry processors such as Tyson Foods Inc. that purchase animal feed.Weapons Makers Could See Boost in ContractingA GOP-led Congress offers both opportunities and peril for he biggest US defense contractors including Lockheed Martin Corp., Raytheon Co., General Dynamics Corp. and Boeing Co.Republicans have complained that the Biden administration under-funds weapons systems, and the party will be under pressure to ensure that the military’s budget keeps pace with inflation. Texas Representative  Kay Granger, the likely next chair of the House Appropriations Committee, said in an interview she will prioritize increased defense spending.Yet the defense industry also risks getting caught in GOP brinkmanship on spending to force Biden to cut social programs and boost border security. Protracted battles over spending could force lawmakers to rely more on interim bills to fund the government that don’t allow for new contracts. It’s likely oversight of the Pentagon’s contracting processes for expediting arms contracts awards for Ukraine will likely receive more scrutiny in a Republican-controlled Congress.Also Read: What Midterms Mean for the Stock Market’s \"Best 6 Months\" As Favorable Calendar Stretch Gets Under Way","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965500698,"gmtCreate":1669973103115,"gmtModify":1676538281088,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965500698","repostId":"1178901626","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178901626","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669971477,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178901626?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-02 16:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178901626","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>One of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.</li><li>This seems absurd on its face, but the cause is that traders are valuing Fed-driven liquidity more than growth.</li><li>This logic is somewhat reasonable over the short term, but it falls apart over longer periods of time because fundamentally unprofitable businesses have built their business models around loose money.</li><li>Despite high-profile tech layoffs by companies like Meta/Facebook, employers collectively are expected to have added 200,000 jobs in November.</li><li>Ironically, a decent nonfarm payroll report for stocks and inflation coming in as expected would be the worst thing for stocks in the short run.</li></ul><h3>When Good News Is Bad News</h3><p>A few times this year, strong employment reports have been met by panic selling from traders fearing more Fed hikes. This phenomenon is known to traders as &#34;good news is bad news.&#34; If it sounds like it&#39;s an unsound way to invest your money - it&#39;s because it is. But in a QE-addicted world post-pandemic, liquidity has taken the reins from economic growth as the most important driver of stock returns. This mirrors the trade in early 2021 when virus cases would jump and traders would go buy all the work-from-home stocks like Zoom (ZM), and sell oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM). In the end, the fundamentals won out, and despite Zoom briefly being valued for more than Exxon during the pandemic, they&#39;re no longer in the same ballpark. Profitable companies are almost all up from pre-pandemic levels, and many money-furnace work-from-home stocks are now down 80% or more. These weird trading patterns have now returned. With the end of QE and the start of QT as the Fed vacuums money out of the system, speculative junk gets a big bid anytime someone says the word &#34;pivot&#34; on television!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b18e24cd3c3a98ca912b5b75d5f8d21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>To this point, it probably hasn&#39;t mattered much to your performance in 2022 whether you found great businesses to invest in. Almost everything is down substantially because most starting valuations were irrationally high, and the Fed is now hiking rates to try to bring inflation down. Analysts for Morgan Stanley have estimated that the liquidity drain will pull stocks down another 8% by year-end and 15% by March. Bank of America analysts have pegged the liquidity drain as dropping stocks by 7%. And then, of course, you have people like Dr. Michael Burry from The Big Short, who recently tweeted &#34;you have no idea how short I am.&#34; I don&#39;t work for Morgan Stanley, and the closest I&#39;ve ever come to setting foot on Wall Street is going to some Lower East Side dive bars. But Burry and the bears undeniably have a point here. Anyone objectively looking at these weird day-to-day correlation trades and the idea of &#34;bad news is actually good news&#34; can see right through it.</p><p>This takes us to the nonfarm payroll report at 8:30 Eastern Time on Friday, which is expected to show that the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in November. That&#39;s a lot of jobs, and it&#39;s well in excess of US population growth. If the economy does indeed add 200,000 jobs in November, there will be about 153.5 million employees on payroll in the US, exceeding the high of 152.5 million employees pre-pandemic. Interestingly though, labor force participation is down below pre-pandemic levels, indicating that a lot of the &#34;job growth&#34; may be from self-employed people taking corporate jobs or people taking second jobs (to this point, I&#39;ve always wondered how common it was for people to take two full-time work-from-home jobs at the same time). How can the economy continue to add over twice as many jobs as the population growth would imply is sustainable? It can&#39;t, and it implies employment churn and inflation rather than actual economic growth. However, the fact that this has gone on as long as it has probably says something about whether the Fed can declare victory on inflation yet.</p><p>In some ways, the resilience of the labor market is a great thing. If somebody is a software engineer who was laid off after working 20 hours per week building the Metaverse (META) and gets hired by General Motors (GM) or Ford (F) to help with their electric car division, then the Fed is winning. Similarly, if restaurants are able to get staffing now because the balance between people who want to eat and people who are willing to cook has been restored with the end of free money, then that&#39;s part of the healing process after paying people $800 per week to not work. But in other ways, having two open jobs for every unemployed worker is a signal that inflation is not yet under control and probably won&#39;t be without the economy experiencing a hard landing. My feeling is that this jobs report actually won&#39;t be that bad because so much labor talent was being wasted in places like SPACs/altcoins/NFTs/metaverse that the real economy can easily absorb the first wave of layoffs. The recession is still very much coming, and we might already be in it from a technical perspective, but it won&#39;t come from tech workers getting laid off from Meta and getting hired by automakers or other big tech companies.</p><h3>A Critical Juncture For Stocks</h3><p>For QE-addicted stock markets, the worst thing that can happen Friday might be if the payroll report shows the economy added 250,000-plus jobs for the month. That would mean that the Fed is satisfied with the growth in the real economy and will have no issue tightening policy more and dropping the hammer on thousands of money-losing businesses that built their entire business models on zero-interest rates and QE. This would drive valuations down for stocks and force investor emphasis back to growth and profitability, where it belongs. But those who have built their business models around easy Fed policy are all likely praying for a weak nonfarm payroll report. These are the usual suspects, from thousands of money-losing businesses funded by Silicon Valley and meme stocks-to real estate speculators and builders that overpaid for land based on 3% mortgage rates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d647e22bd6745775d50b1736e035ee4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>After surging the so-so October CPI release, stocks had been eerily flat for about three weeks before the latest pivot mania post-Powell rally. Critical tests for bulls are ahead, with a slew of data about to come in.</p><ul><li>The nonfarm payroll report on Friday.</li><li>November Core CPI released Dec. 13. Watch out for this one. June core CPI fueled a huge rally in stocks when it came in better than expected, but then inflation shot right back up. July core CPI was a huge shock to stocks. PCE comes out also this week, so these will be placed in context. For core CPI, econometric models expect 0.51% inflation for November, which I think is about right given the dive in the dollar and the rally in risk assets.</li><li>The FOMC Meeting, Dec. 13 and 14. The Fed is expected to hike by 50 bps, but hot numbers for jobs and inflation may force their hand to hike by 75 bps. I did some modeling on what the Fed funds rate should be based on the Taylor Rule and best estimates of how much inflation is driven by supply and how much is driven by demand (by the way, it&#39;s about half and half). The prescribed Fed funds rate is about 5% at current numbers but will easily top 5.5% if we get a bad inflation print, especially from the PCE figures.</li></ul><p>I&#39;ve written that I like Treasury bills better than stocks here, and I continue to believe that T-bills will be your best hedge against both inflation and recession as the Fed&#39;s battle against inflation rages on. There are buyable stocks here, but paying nearly 19x earnings for the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) going into a probable stop-and-go recession is a very risky bet.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>All of these are individual data points, but the question you need to ask is how solid the economy really is underneath the hood. In some ways, the economy is healing from the pandemic. Bubbles are unwinding in housing and used cars, and people are getting back into the workforce. But in other ways, the economy is in a lot of trouble, with living standards falling month after month and inflation continuing to be far above target. Restoring price stability is crucially important for the Fed, but doing so is likely to pop asset bubbles, drain liquidity, and expose all of the fraud and waste that has built up in the economy over the last 10 years. If you&#39;re thinking about your portfolio for the long term here, then the good news is good news as long as you&#39;re invested in companies that turn a profit and have reasonable valuations. If your holdings are mostly speculative in nature like SPACs (SPAK), AMC Entertainment (AMC), or Beyond Meat (BYND), or have super high valuations like Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), or Nvidia (NVDA), then you&#39;re going to live and die by the sword of liquidity. Many stocks fall in between trash and treasure, but my guess is that there will be good opportunities to pick up shares in high-quality blue chips in the coming months as liquidity continues to drain. Of these, some of my favorites in the large-cap space are Microsoft (MSFT) around $210, Google (GOOGL) anywhere below $95, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) below $300.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Good News Bad News For Stocks? We'll See With Nonfarm Payrolls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-02 16:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.This seems ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561543-good-news-bad-news-for-stocks-nonfarm-payrolls","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1178901626","content_text":"SummaryOne of the stranger things about the post-pandemic stock market is the phenomenon where good economic news causes stocks to fall, while bad economic news causes stocks to rally.This seems absurd on its face, but the cause is that traders are valuing Fed-driven liquidity more than growth.This logic is somewhat reasonable over the short term, but it falls apart over longer periods of time because fundamentally unprofitable businesses have built their business models around loose money.Despite high-profile tech layoffs by companies like Meta/Facebook, employers collectively are expected to have added 200,000 jobs in November.Ironically, a decent nonfarm payroll report for stocks and inflation coming in as expected would be the worst thing for stocks in the short run.When Good News Is Bad NewsA few times this year, strong employment reports have been met by panic selling from traders fearing more Fed hikes. This phenomenon is known to traders as \"good news is bad news.\" If it sounds like it's an unsound way to invest your money - it's because it is. But in a QE-addicted world post-pandemic, liquidity has taken the reins from economic growth as the most important driver of stock returns. This mirrors the trade in early 2021 when virus cases would jump and traders would go buy all the work-from-home stocks like Zoom (ZM), and sell oil stocks like Exxon Mobil (XOM). In the end, the fundamentals won out, and despite Zoom briefly being valued for more than Exxon during the pandemic, they're no longer in the same ballpark. Profitable companies are almost all up from pre-pandemic levels, and many money-furnace work-from-home stocks are now down 80% or more. These weird trading patterns have now returned. With the end of QE and the start of QT as the Fed vacuums money out of the system, speculative junk gets a big bid anytime someone says the word \"pivot\" on television!To this point, it probably hasn't mattered much to your performance in 2022 whether you found great businesses to invest in. Almost everything is down substantially because most starting valuations were irrationally high, and the Fed is now hiking rates to try to bring inflation down. Analysts for Morgan Stanley have estimated that the liquidity drain will pull stocks down another 8% by year-end and 15% by March. Bank of America analysts have pegged the liquidity drain as dropping stocks by 7%. And then, of course, you have people like Dr. Michael Burry from The Big Short, who recently tweeted \"you have no idea how short I am.\" I don't work for Morgan Stanley, and the closest I've ever come to setting foot on Wall Street is going to some Lower East Side dive bars. But Burry and the bears undeniably have a point here. Anyone objectively looking at these weird day-to-day correlation trades and the idea of \"bad news is actually good news\" can see right through it.This takes us to the nonfarm payroll report at 8:30 Eastern Time on Friday, which is expected to show that the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in November. That's a lot of jobs, and it's well in excess of US population growth. If the economy does indeed add 200,000 jobs in November, there will be about 153.5 million employees on payroll in the US, exceeding the high of 152.5 million employees pre-pandemic. Interestingly though, labor force participation is down below pre-pandemic levels, indicating that a lot of the \"job growth\" may be from self-employed people taking corporate jobs or people taking second jobs (to this point, I've always wondered how common it was for people to take two full-time work-from-home jobs at the same time). How can the economy continue to add over twice as many jobs as the population growth would imply is sustainable? It can't, and it implies employment churn and inflation rather than actual economic growth. However, the fact that this has gone on as long as it has probably says something about whether the Fed can declare victory on inflation yet.In some ways, the resilience of the labor market is a great thing. If somebody is a software engineer who was laid off after working 20 hours per week building the Metaverse (META) and gets hired by General Motors (GM) or Ford (F) to help with their electric car division, then the Fed is winning. Similarly, if restaurants are able to get staffing now because the balance between people who want to eat and people who are willing to cook has been restored with the end of free money, then that's part of the healing process after paying people $800 per week to not work. But in other ways, having two open jobs for every unemployed worker is a signal that inflation is not yet under control and probably won't be without the economy experiencing a hard landing. My feeling is that this jobs report actually won't be that bad because so much labor talent was being wasted in places like SPACs/altcoins/NFTs/metaverse that the real economy can easily absorb the first wave of layoffs. The recession is still very much coming, and we might already be in it from a technical perspective, but it won't come from tech workers getting laid off from Meta and getting hired by automakers or other big tech companies.A Critical Juncture For StocksFor QE-addicted stock markets, the worst thing that can happen Friday might be if the payroll report shows the economy added 250,000-plus jobs for the month. That would mean that the Fed is satisfied with the growth in the real economy and will have no issue tightening policy more and dropping the hammer on thousands of money-losing businesses that built their entire business models on zero-interest rates and QE. This would drive valuations down for stocks and force investor emphasis back to growth and profitability, where it belongs. But those who have built their business models around easy Fed policy are all likely praying for a weak nonfarm payroll report. These are the usual suspects, from thousands of money-losing businesses funded by Silicon Valley and meme stocks-to real estate speculators and builders that overpaid for land based on 3% mortgage rates.After surging the so-so October CPI release, stocks had been eerily flat for about three weeks before the latest pivot mania post-Powell rally. Critical tests for bulls are ahead, with a slew of data about to come in.The nonfarm payroll report on Friday.November Core CPI released Dec. 13. Watch out for this one. June core CPI fueled a huge rally in stocks when it came in better than expected, but then inflation shot right back up. July core CPI was a huge shock to stocks. PCE comes out also this week, so these will be placed in context. For core CPI, econometric models expect 0.51% inflation for November, which I think is about right given the dive in the dollar and the rally in risk assets.The FOMC Meeting, Dec. 13 and 14. The Fed is expected to hike by 50 bps, but hot numbers for jobs and inflation may force their hand to hike by 75 bps. I did some modeling on what the Fed funds rate should be based on the Taylor Rule and best estimates of how much inflation is driven by supply and how much is driven by demand (by the way, it's about half and half). The prescribed Fed funds rate is about 5% at current numbers but will easily top 5.5% if we get a bad inflation print, especially from the PCE figures.I've written that I like Treasury bills better than stocks here, and I continue to believe that T-bills will be your best hedge against both inflation and recession as the Fed's battle against inflation rages on. There are buyable stocks here, but paying nearly 19x earnings for the S&P 500 (SPY) going into a probable stop-and-go recession is a very risky bet.ConclusionAll of these are individual data points, but the question you need to ask is how solid the economy really is underneath the hood. In some ways, the economy is healing from the pandemic. Bubbles are unwinding in housing and used cars, and people are getting back into the workforce. But in other ways, the economy is in a lot of trouble, with living standards falling month after month and inflation continuing to be far above target. Restoring price stability is crucially important for the Fed, but doing so is likely to pop asset bubbles, drain liquidity, and expose all of the fraud and waste that has built up in the economy over the last 10 years. If you're thinking about your portfolio for the long term here, then the good news is good news as long as you're invested in companies that turn a profit and have reasonable valuations. If your holdings are mostly speculative in nature like SPACs (SPAK), AMC Entertainment (AMC), or Beyond Meat (BYND), or have super high valuations like Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), or Nvidia (NVDA), then you're going to live and die by the sword of liquidity. Many stocks fall in between trash and treasure, but my guess is that there will be good opportunities to pick up shares in high-quality blue chips in the coming months as liquidity continues to drain. Of these, some of my favorites in the large-cap space are Microsoft (MSFT) around $210, Google (GOOGL) anywhere below $95, and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) below $300.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961668183,"gmtCreate":1668941380343,"gmtModify":1676538130611,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961668183","repostId":"1178738535","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178738535","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668917402,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178738535?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-20 12:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beyond the Crypto Crash, a Big Squeeze Jolts Stock Markets Anew","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178738535","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Hedge funds cover short wagers at the fastest rate since 2021Thinly positioned investors play catch-","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Hedge funds cover short wagers at the fastest rate since 2021</li><li>Thinly positioned investors play catch-up via call options</li></ul><p>Being glued to crypto news this week meant missing adventures in regular markets that while lacking the same high drama, made up for it in terms of money at stake.</p><p>In case you missed it, stock and bond traders spent the last five days still caught in the thrall of an event that may be hard to recall for people mesmerized by the FTX.com collapse: Nov. 10’s inflation report, which ignited a short squeeze among traders expecting a worse number. Reverberations continued to be felt in terms of positioning, trading in derivatives and probably also in wrongly prepared portfolios.</p><p>As usual in 2022, the biggest venue of impact was the US stock options market, where trading volumes are smashing records as investors of all stripes rush into short-dated contracts to catch up. It’s creating snags for what had been billed as the great inflation trade, with the mighty dollar losing luster and technology shares reclaiming their long-lost leadership, at least briefly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4f48b0cd9e065b443fdcd036d7d2aea\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The recalibration was prompted when a soft print on consumer prices triggered a reset of the perceived path for Federal Reserve monetary policy. Exacerbating it are money managers who had cut equity exposure to the bone during the bear market and found themselves caught out. With almost everyone sitting on the same side of the trade and exiting at once, an already-turbulent market got weirder.</p><p>“Crypto is just part of a broader mosaic of an almost dysfunctional market,” Doug Fincher, hedge fund manager of Ionic Capital Management, said by phone. “Not to be cynical, but look at CPI last Thursday. It was two basis points better than expected, and the market exploded. There’s a massive amount of technical factor rotation. There’s just a lot of crosscurrents in a really volatile, strange market.”</p><p>The trend abated some during the week, with the S&amp;P 500 closing lower over the period. Short-term Treasury yields regained some ground and the dollar edged higher as Fed officials reiterated their intention to keep raising rates.</p><p>Still, whether inflation has peaked is up for debate. There won’t be another reading for more than three weeks, and investors and policy makers alike have misjudged price trends since the pandemic hit. With data mostly coming in ahead of expectations this year, everyone from currency traders to bond investors were bracing for another big inflation number last week.</p><p>When it didn’t pan out, a cascade of unwinding ensued. The dollar, darling asset of the inflation trade, is losing momentum. Down more than 4% in November, the US currency is poised for its worst month in two years. Two-year Treasuries, where large speculators built up record short positions before the CPI report, saw a rally that pushed yields down 25 basis points when it was released, the most in more than a decade.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb44ae869a907655851e60d27113dae\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Tech stocks, among the biggest casualties during the Fed’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign, got a respite. Up more than 9% since the day before the CPI data, the industry has beaten all other major groups in the S&amp;P 500, in a partial reversal of dismal returns earlier this year.</p><p>“These things are certainly bound to happen at around key critical junctures in economic and monetary policy, which is where we’re at -- the Fed shifting from raising rates toward more of a deceleration in terms of hikes,” said Layla Royer, a senior equity derivatives salesperson at Citadel Securities. “It is a significant shift.”</p><p>A basket of the most-shorted stocks soared 18% over the four days through Tuesday, dealing a fresh blow to hedge funds who boosted bearish wagers during a 10-month rout and turning them into forced buyers. Their total short covering over the stretch hit levels not seen since the retail-driven squeeze in January 2021, data compiled by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.’s prime broker show.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/295264055c5003bcb86eb4f7fe4f15e8\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"301\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>For a third time this year, the S&amp;P 500 mounted a recovery of more than 10%. Such counter-trend rallies have spurred demand for bullish call options from those who have been defensively positioned in the market. As a result, the index’s skew -- the relative cost of puts versus calls -- this month fell to the lowest level in more than a decade.</p><p>“Market screams back up. You’re at risk of losing your job because you’re going to underperform everybody,” said Dennis Davitt, founder of Millbank Dartmoor Portsmouth LLC, an investment firm that specializes in volatility strategies. “So the remedy for that is just by turning some of your equities into cash and then buying upside calls as a stock replacement.”</p><p>The Fed-induced market gyrations are encouraging investors to go all-in on options to place bullish and bearish bets alike. About 46 million contracts have changed hands each day in November, on course for the busiest month on record, data compiled by Bloomberg show.</p><p>Helping drive the boom is the frenzy trading in derivatives maturing within 24 hours. Such contracts made up a whopping 44% of S&amp;P 500 options volume in the past month, according to an estimate by Goldman Sachs Group Inc.</p><p>For now, the fireworks following the CPI shock appeared to be dying down. The S&amp;P 500 has moved less than 1% for six straight sessions on a closing basis, the longest stretch of calm since January.</p><p>To Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners, the tranquility may not last. For one, the cross-asset rally has contributed to easing financial conditions that’s working against Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s goal to slow the economy.</p><p>“We may get some buyer’s remorse over the next few weeks as investors fret over a potentially hot jobs number and any whiff of hawkishness from Powell and the Fed,” said Bailey. “Investors are coming up for air after a nice run since mid-October. The next question is, are we pricing in too much good news?”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beyond the Crypto Crash, a Big Squeeze Jolts Stock Markets Anew</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeyond the Crypto Crash, a Big Squeeze Jolts Stock Markets Anew\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-20 12:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-18/beyond-the-crypto-crash-a-big-squeeze-jolts-stock-markets-anew?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hedge funds cover short wagers at the fastest rate since 2021Thinly positioned investors play catch-up via call optionsBeing glued to crypto news this week meant missing adventures in regular markets ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-18/beyond-the-crypto-crash-a-big-squeeze-jolts-stock-markets-anew?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-18/beyond-the-crypto-crash-a-big-squeeze-jolts-stock-markets-anew?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178738535","content_text":"Hedge funds cover short wagers at the fastest rate since 2021Thinly positioned investors play catch-up via call optionsBeing glued to crypto news this week meant missing adventures in regular markets that while lacking the same high drama, made up for it in terms of money at stake.In case you missed it, stock and bond traders spent the last five days still caught in the thrall of an event that may be hard to recall for people mesmerized by the FTX.com collapse: Nov. 10’s inflation report, which ignited a short squeeze among traders expecting a worse number. Reverberations continued to be felt in terms of positioning, trading in derivatives and probably also in wrongly prepared portfolios.As usual in 2022, the biggest venue of impact was the US stock options market, where trading volumes are smashing records as investors of all stripes rush into short-dated contracts to catch up. It’s creating snags for what had been billed as the great inflation trade, with the mighty dollar losing luster and technology shares reclaiming their long-lost leadership, at least briefly.The recalibration was prompted when a soft print on consumer prices triggered a reset of the perceived path for Federal Reserve monetary policy. Exacerbating it are money managers who had cut equity exposure to the bone during the bear market and found themselves caught out. With almost everyone sitting on the same side of the trade and exiting at once, an already-turbulent market got weirder.“Crypto is just part of a broader mosaic of an almost dysfunctional market,” Doug Fincher, hedge fund manager of Ionic Capital Management, said by phone. “Not to be cynical, but look at CPI last Thursday. It was two basis points better than expected, and the market exploded. There’s a massive amount of technical factor rotation. There’s just a lot of crosscurrents in a really volatile, strange market.”The trend abated some during the week, with the S&P 500 closing lower over the period. Short-term Treasury yields regained some ground and the dollar edged higher as Fed officials reiterated their intention to keep raising rates.Still, whether inflation has peaked is up for debate. There won’t be another reading for more than three weeks, and investors and policy makers alike have misjudged price trends since the pandemic hit. With data mostly coming in ahead of expectations this year, everyone from currency traders to bond investors were bracing for another big inflation number last week.When it didn’t pan out, a cascade of unwinding ensued. The dollar, darling asset of the inflation trade, is losing momentum. Down more than 4% in November, the US currency is poised for its worst month in two years. Two-year Treasuries, where large speculators built up record short positions before the CPI report, saw a rally that pushed yields down 25 basis points when it was released, the most in more than a decade.Tech stocks, among the biggest casualties during the Fed’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign, got a respite. Up more than 9% since the day before the CPI data, the industry has beaten all other major groups in the S&P 500, in a partial reversal of dismal returns earlier this year.“These things are certainly bound to happen at around key critical junctures in economic and monetary policy, which is where we’re at -- the Fed shifting from raising rates toward more of a deceleration in terms of hikes,” said Layla Royer, a senior equity derivatives salesperson at Citadel Securities. “It is a significant shift.”A basket of the most-shorted stocks soared 18% over the four days through Tuesday, dealing a fresh blow to hedge funds who boosted bearish wagers during a 10-month rout and turning them into forced buyers. Their total short covering over the stretch hit levels not seen since the retail-driven squeeze in January 2021, data compiled by JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s prime broker show.For a third time this year, the S&P 500 mounted a recovery of more than 10%. Such counter-trend rallies have spurred demand for bullish call options from those who have been defensively positioned in the market. As a result, the index’s skew -- the relative cost of puts versus calls -- this month fell to the lowest level in more than a decade.“Market screams back up. You’re at risk of losing your job because you’re going to underperform everybody,” said Dennis Davitt, founder of Millbank Dartmoor Portsmouth LLC, an investment firm that specializes in volatility strategies. “So the remedy for that is just by turning some of your equities into cash and then buying upside calls as a stock replacement.”The Fed-induced market gyrations are encouraging investors to go all-in on options to place bullish and bearish bets alike. About 46 million contracts have changed hands each day in November, on course for the busiest month on record, data compiled by Bloomberg show.Helping drive the boom is the frenzy trading in derivatives maturing within 24 hours. Such contracts made up a whopping 44% of S&P 500 options volume in the past month, according to an estimate by Goldman Sachs Group Inc.For now, the fireworks following the CPI shock appeared to be dying down. The S&P 500 has moved less than 1% for six straight sessions on a closing basis, the longest stretch of calm since January.To Mike Bailey, director of research at FBB Capital Partners, the tranquility may not last. For one, the cross-asset rally has contributed to easing financial conditions that’s working against Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s goal to slow the economy.“We may get some buyer’s remorse over the next few weeks as investors fret over a potentially hot jobs number and any whiff of hawkishness from Powell and the Fed,” said Bailey. “Investors are coming up for air after a nice run since mid-October. The next question is, are we pricing in too much good news?”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969593858,"gmtCreate":1668471178675,"gmtModify":1676538060948,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969593858","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194306738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668468992,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194306738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-15 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194306738","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg eve","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: Brainard</li><li>Fed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in Washington</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.</p><p>“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”</p><p>The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.</p><p>“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”</p><p>At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.</p><p>Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.</p><p>“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a914d734b43a247afac724dfa23589\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.</p><p>That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.</p><p>But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.</p><p>“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”</p><p>The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.</p><p>“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.</p><p>“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”</p><p>The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.</p><p>“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”</p><p>Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.</p><p>Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.</p><p>“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194306738","content_text":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935065610,"gmtCreate":1663021667930,"gmtModify":1676537181598,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>great","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>great","text":"$BlackBerry(BB)$great","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e268c4750ce7555d14bba2b8073d1a3f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935065610","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897779355,"gmtCreate":1628990576077,"gmtModify":1676529904138,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment","listText":"Please like and comment","text":"Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897779355","repostId":"1183084208","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183084208","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628990015,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183084208?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-15 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Home Depot and Lowe’s Will Report Earnings Soon. What Could Lift the Stocks.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183084208","media":"Barrons","summary":"Home Depot and Lowe’s will report their second-quarter earnings on Tuesday and Wednesday, respective","content":"<p>Home Depot&nbsp;and Lowe’s will report their second-quarter earnings on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively, a chance for the home-improvement retailers to extend their year-to-date gains amid a robust housing market.</p>\n<p>The pandemic has been a boon for the industry, as Americans spend more on new houses and home improvements, and the stocks have moved from strength to strength. Although investors have gotten used to big beats from the companies given the&nbsp;white-hot housing market, comments from management about continuing strength would likely bolster the stocks.</p>\n<p>Home Depot (HD) is up 25% year to date, and more than 18% in the past 12 months. Lowe’s has risen more than 18% in 2021 and 23% in the past year.<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;named Lowe’s Marvin Ellison to its&nbsp;Best CEOs list&nbsp;earlier this summer. The stock is up a market-beating 24% since&nbsp;we recommended it in March.</p>\n<p>Both companies delivered better-than-expected first-quarter results in May, although&nbsp;Home Depot shares&nbsp;got a boost while&nbsp;Lowe’s stock slipped.</p>\n<p>For the second quarter, analysts expect Home Depot to earn $4.43 a share from revenue of $40.57 billion, up from earnings of $3.86 a share in the prior quarter and $4.02 in the year-earlier period. For Lowe’s, the consensus calls for EPS of $4 and revenue of $26.79 billion, up from EPS of $3.21 in the previous quarter and $3.75 a year earlier.</p>\n<p>The Street is upbeat about the home-improvement retailers in general. More than two-thirds of the 34 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Home Depot rate it at Buy or the equivalent, while 29% are sidelined. There is one Sell rating.</p>\n<p>Lowe’s is even more popular, with 79% of 33 analyst bullish, 18% rating it at Hold, and a single bearish call.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Home Depot and Lowe’s Will Report Earnings Soon. What Could Lift the Stocks.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHome Depot and Lowe’s Will Report Earnings Soon. What Could Lift the Stocks.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-15 09:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/southwest-delta-coronavirus-covid-earnings-51628708280><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Home Depot and Lowe’s will report their second-quarter earnings on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively, a chance for the home-improvement retailers to extend their year-to-date gains amid a robust ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/southwest-delta-coronavirus-covid-earnings-51628708280\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HD":"家得宝","LOW":"劳氏"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/southwest-delta-coronavirus-covid-earnings-51628708280","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183084208","content_text":"Home Depot and Lowe’s will report their second-quarter earnings on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively, a chance for the home-improvement retailers to extend their year-to-date gains amid a robust housing market.\nThe pandemic has been a boon for the industry, as Americans spend more on new houses and home improvements, and the stocks have moved from strength to strength. Although investors have gotten used to big beats from the companies given the white-hot housing market, comments from management about continuing strength would likely bolster the stocks.\nHome Depot (HD) is up 25% year to date, and more than 18% in the past 12 months. Lowe’s has risen more than 18% in 2021 and 23% in the past year.Barron’s named Lowe’s Marvin Ellison to its Best CEOs list earlier this summer. The stock is up a market-beating 24% since we recommended it in March.\nBoth companies delivered better-than-expected first-quarter results in May, although Home Depot shares got a boost while Lowe’s stock slipped.\nFor the second quarter, analysts expect Home Depot to earn $4.43 a share from revenue of $40.57 billion, up from earnings of $3.86 a share in the prior quarter and $4.02 in the year-earlier period. For Lowe’s, the consensus calls for EPS of $4 and revenue of $26.79 billion, up from EPS of $3.21 in the previous quarter and $3.75 a year earlier.\nThe Street is upbeat about the home-improvement retailers in general. More than two-thirds of the 34 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Home Depot rate it at Buy or the equivalent, while 29% are sidelined. There is one Sell rating.\nLowe’s is even more popular, with 79% of 33 analyst bullish, 18% rating it at Hold, and a single bearish call.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174432543,"gmtCreate":1627123518982,"gmtModify":1703484564377,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please help to comment and response and like&nbsp;","listText":"Please help to comment and response and like&nbsp;","text":"Please help to comment and response and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174432543","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191636755?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p>\n<p>There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p>\n<p>The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p>\n<p>There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p>\n<p>The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p>\n<p>After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p>\n<p>There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p>\n<p>Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p>\n<p>All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-24 07:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574248655626938","authorId":"3574248655626938","name":"Goldox","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/863110a9408a00f21e04f570ea1c03f2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574248655626938","authorIdStr":"3574248655626938"},"content":"Please like too. Thanks.","text":"Please like too. Thanks.","html":"Please like too. Thanks."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981480325,"gmtCreate":1666580277867,"gmtModify":1676537771219,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981480325","repostId":"1133583383","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133583383","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666582585,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133583383?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-24 11:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Accounting And Valuation Concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133583383","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIn this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets fo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>In this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets for Tesla stock since the release of Q3 results.</li><li>BofA and Morgan Stanley are overly optimistic, in my view, while JPMorgan seems closest to reality.</li><li>GLJ Research&#39;s analysts give you 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers.</li><li>Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.</li><li>This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.</li></ul><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p>In late June 2022, I posted a pair trade idea in which I recommended buying Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) and selling Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) stock short (in equal dollar amounts). My pitch was simple enough. Both companies look overvalued in terms of absolute multiples. Still, due to more efficient operational growth, Tesla should have experienced a much less noticeable multiple contraction than Lucid while receiving much more support from retail investors.</p><p>A few months have passed since then. The S&amp;P 500 (SPX) fell even lower, dragging the rest of the market with it, including the companies mentioned above. But my thesis was justified - the difference in the magnitude of the declines in TSLA and LCID would bring a potential investor +22.9% (gross, before deducting brokerage commissions for shorting LCID):</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876778b7ede509db5346250fe56fec97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Ycharts, author&#39;s notes</p><p>At the time, I recommended holding this deal until the end of the year. However, in my article today, I want to look at the recent banks&#39; equity research reports on Tesla&#39;s financial results. Let us take a look at them and try to assess how logical their forecasts and conclusions are and whether they should be trusted.</p><p>Bank of America - 3Q results look pretty good to us – first take [October 19]</p><p>Analysts John Murphy, CFA, John P. Babcock, and Federico Merendi reiterated a Neutral rating on Tesla with a price objective (PO) of $325 per share - that&#39;s 3.17% higher than their previous PO of $315.</p><p>Moreover, BofA said much the same thing as I did when I put forward my thesis in June - TSLA&#39;s self-funding status is a notable advantage over some startup competitors in the electric car space, but because its valuation is the result of optimistic projections for a long future (recall the 50% growth target), it will be quite difficult for the quotes to grow strongly in the near future.</p><p>However, why did the bank raise its TSLA price target anyway? The issue is how the actual results differed from what analysts had expected from the company:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4dc14a81b28e60a2032d559c526278\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BofA, TSLA report, October 19</p><p>I can understand why the analysts were wrong in forecasting gross profit - the variance seems negligible. But to be wrong on operating expenses (OPEX) by 15% and on taxes by 38.8%? If Tesla really is not just faking its books - we will get into that later - but is working as we see in the statements, then the company&#39;s operating efficiency makes one sit up and take notice because even top analysts could not imagine how Elon Musk could save so much on OPEX this quarter.</p><p>BofA values the company using EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiples, but $325/share is too optimistic a target in my opinion. Let us look at their logic. BofA analysts expect EV/EBITDA to be 41x in 2022, down 37.1% from 2021. At the same time, EBITDA growth will be 59.2% in 2022. This is such a sharp decline in the multiple against the backdrop of such a high growth rate in the underlying financial metric. In 2023, however, EBITDA is expected to grow by only 7% - many times less than in the previous year. However, the analysts&#39; forecast includes a much less modest contraction of 6.6% in 2023, which is not in line with the trend of recent years:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/146388aab7013b33a9f50032c16ec0f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BofA, TSLA report, with author&#39;s calculations and notes</p><p>In my view, the EV/EBITDA multiple in 2023 should be at least 30x, if not lower, if the multiple contraction continues - and it should, given lower growth forecasts and a generally higher interest rate environment - implying a 27% reduction in the multiple from 2022 to 2023. At EBITDA of $19.916 billion in 2023 (BofA&#39;s estimate), enterprise value should be about $600 billion - that&#39;s 5.5% below the current one.</p><p>Morgan Stanley - 3Q Margins Beat, But FY23 Outlook Still at Risk [October 19]</p><p>AnalystsAdam Jonas, CFA, Evan Silverberg, CFA, CPA, et al. released an update of their Overweight rating, having $350 per share as a new price objective - below its pre-split target of $1300(about $433 per share).</p><p>Morgan Stanley, like BofA, was wrong about growth in OPEX, interest expense, and stock-based compensation. The company&#39;s lower-than-expected CAPEX coupled with stronger EPS growth resulted in a 153.6% undervaluation of FCF:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d31a9c6b04a11e6fa0bfb86d24468c71\" tg-width=\"492\" tg-height=\"730\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>MS, TSLA report, October 19</p><p>The key takeaways from their analysis of TSLA&#39;s report:</p><ul><li>expected cost inflation related to logistics/shipping as well as adverse timing differences related to supplier payments given significant input cost inflation on the battery and non-battery side. That didn&#39;t happen;</li><li>If one were to inflation adjust the YoY moves in CAPEX and OPEX, Tesla&#39;s clearly doing more with less;</li><li>Supercharging revenue will most likely get above 10% of Tesla&#39;s total revenue within the next 12 to 18 months;</li><li>Production is ramping up at the 40-GWh Megapack factory in California - a solid win for the company, demonstrating its strength and focus on the battery front.</li></ul><p><b>Okay, but why did analysts lower their TSLA price target?</b></p><p>Here you have to look at the input data for their SOTP 6-component model:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182723ae2d8888a7435a237b5408867c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>MS, TSLA report, October 19</p><blockquote>Our PT of $433 is comprised of 6 components:<b>(1)</b>$203/share for core Tesla Auto business on 8.6mm units in 2030, 8.5% WACC, 15x 2030 exit EBITDA multiple, exit EBITDA margin of 20%.<b>(2)</b>Tesla Mobility at $25 on DCF with ~500k cars at $1.7/mile by 2030.<b>(3)</b>Tesla as a 3rd party supplier at $44/share.<b>4)</b>Energy at $37/share,<b>5)</b>Insurance at $12/share, &amp;<b>6)</b>Network Services at $113, 25mm MAUs, $100 ARPU by 2030, 20% discount.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: Investing.com, author&#39;s adjustment for the split (3:1)</blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Segment / Date</b></td><td><p><b>Jun 16, 2022(rounded)</b></p></td><td><b>Now</b></td><td><b>Change</b></td></tr><tr><td>Core Tesla Auto business</td><td>$203</td><td>$287</td></tr><tr><td>Tesla Mobility</td><td>$25</td><td>$22</td><td>1.4%</td></tr><tr><td>3rd party supplier</td><td>$44</td><td>$27</td><td>-38.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Energy</td><td>$37</td><td>$31</td><td>-16.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Insurance</td><td>$12</td><td>$8</td><td>-35.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Network Services</td><td>$113</td><td>$75</td><td>-33.4%</td></tr><tr><td><b>Sum Of The Parts</b></td><td><b>$433</b></td><td><b>$450</b></td><td><b>4.6%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Author&#39;s compilation</p><p>If you add up all the parts of the analysts&#39; outputs, it shows that their SOTP model does indeed show a price target of $453 per share - I suspect that the Morgan Stanley analysts mistyped their report and wrote $287 instead of $187 because the difference is exactly $100 while the WACC is higher and the sales volume is lower than before. Here&#39;s how the above table should most likely look like:</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Segment / Date</b></td><td><b>Jun 16, 2022 (rounded)</b></td><td><b>Now</b></td><td><b>Change</b></td></tr><tr><td>Core Tesla Auto business</td><td>$203</td><td>$187</td><td>-7.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Tesla Mobility</td><td>$25</td><td>$22</td><td>1.4%</td></tr><tr><td>3rd party supplier</td><td>$45</td><td>$27</td><td>-38.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Energy</td><td>$37</td><td>$31</td><td>-16.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Insurance</td><td>$12</td><td>$8</td><td>-35.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Network Services</td><td>$113</td><td>$75</td><td>-33.4%</td></tr><tr><td><b>Sum Of The Parts</b></td><td><b>$433</b></td><td><b>$350</b></td><td><b>-18.5%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Author&#39;s compilation</p><p>If you look at how the analysts&#39; assumptions have changed, we see only 3 concrete changes here: 1) the number of vehicles produced in 2030 is now reduced by 0.9 million units (-10.5%); 2) the WACC is increased by 0.2% (8.7% vs. 8.5%); and 3) the exit EBITDA margin is increased from 20% to 21%. This applies directly to the main revenue stream (Core Tesla Auto business) - the assumptions for the other parts are not disclosed (I assume the WACC has been applied to them as well, considering that Tesla Mobility&#39;s DCF has decreased by 12.5% without any visible adjustments in inputs).</p><p>That is, broadly speaking, the entire decline in the target price (the top rightmost column above) is due to A) a slight slowdown in operations, and B) a slight 0.2% increase in WACC. At the same time, a new, more positive improvement in business margins has by no means kept the target price for TSLA from correcting. In my opinion, the WACC was not raised high enough by analysts and should have been raised by more than 1% instead of 0.2%. Why do I think so?</p><p><b>First,</b> the analysts had to account for higher betas, that mostly increased since their previous call (June 16, 2022):</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2a07a7f6dd7206ed566e9dcc98a2649\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Higher beta - higher WACC. Of course, it is possible that they took a 3-year coefficient, but then it would be cherry-picking. It is unlikely that the Morgan Stanley analysts did this (I really hope so).</p><p><b>The second</b> is the rising risk-free rate, which mostly corresponds to 10-year Treasuries yield, which (theoretically) have no credit risk. The rate has risen since June 15, 2022, from 3.292% to 4.274% at the time of writing. Effective 7-10 year yields on corporate bonds have jumped even higher since then:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63df41aa9b262fde5ad07913778940a5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>The third point</b> that analysts may not have taken into account in their WACC calculation is the slowdown in economic growth in China and globally, which should have been reflected in the discount rate in the form of an additional premium. Since mid-June 2022, the geopolitical situation in the world has only gotten worse (in my opinion), and the forecast for global economic growth was just recently lowered by the IMF. Therefore, this premium should have been larger, if it was included in their calculations at all.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8ea24a9cde929b8b6ba9278044bd269\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>IMF, author&#39;s notes</p><p>If a minor 0.2% increase in WACC has led to such severe corrections in price targets for the company&#39;s various businesses, imagine how long the analysts&#39; model should run - apparently they predict all segments to 2030, using huge growth rates in their models. Even a slight deviation from these rates will cause the model to collapse. In my opinion, this is a serious risk for those who want to rely on the DCF calculations of Morgan Stanley&#39;s analysts.</p><p>JPMorgan - Trim Estimates and Price Target After Softer Trend in 3Q Volume &amp; Pricing [October 20]</p><p>AnalystsRyan Brinkman, Rajat Gupta, CFA, Manasvi Garg, et al. stick to an oppositional opinion concerning the other two banks above. They are Underweight Tesla with a price target of $150/share, revised down from $153/share, having the following reasoning:</p><blockquote>We are lowering our estimates and price target after Tesla reported modestly softer than expected 3Q22 results Wednesday after the close, featuring lower-than-consensus margin on lower-than-expected revenue. Average transaction prices rose strongly y/y, but to a level that was lower than expected, driving a -3% revenue miss given that deliveries were previously disclosed. The results will likely add to debates about demand destruction that ensued after 3Q deliveries tracked -5% below company-compiled consensus. Management itself reined in near-term growth expectations, now looking for just less than its original target of more than +50% unit growth this year vs. previous indication only that the target would be more difficult to achieve. We continue to see risk to guidance for +50% annual unit volume growth over time (in some years more, in some years less), including given higher prices, higher interest rates, an increasingly tapped-out consumer, and given the paucity of new model introductions, with Tesla&#39;s lineup essentially the same as at the start of 2021 after the last Model S &amp; X refresh, with the Cybertruck (originally slated for 2021) still on tap. Automotive gross margin of 26.8% missed Bloomberg consensus of 27.7%, with management citing persistent inflationary pressures, including higher logistics costs. We remain cautious on valuation, particularly in the context of lofty unit volume growth expectations, and continue to see material downside risk to our December 2023 price target, which declines today to $150 from $153, on account of unchanged target multiples applied to our slightly lower estimates, which decline primarily on flow-through of 3Q&#39;s softer-than-expected trend in demand expressed in the form of lower transaction prices.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: JPMorgan&#39;s TSLA report, October 20</blockquote><p>Their price target methodology is less sophisticated than Morgan Stanley&#39;s one (and more reasonable, in my opinion, than that of BofA) and is predicated upon a 50/50 blend of DCF and 2025E-based multiples analysis (itself a blend of P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales).</p><p>And if you take a look at JPM&#39;s Key Figures table, theirs seem much more realistic - at least the analysts take into account a more reasonable multiple and margin contractions as Tesla expands its business and matures:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6bc5018373d282566815bd6816da0b6\" tg-width=\"581\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>JPMorgan, TSLA report, October 20</p><p>They propose to focus on equal weighting of 3 coefficients to find fair value (50% of the model) and DCF calculations for the remaining half. If they had focused solely on DCF, they would have received $129 per share on exit - and against a backdrop of rapidly growing FCF. However, FCF-based valuation has shown in practice how indifferent the market is to it concerning Tesla - just take a look at the stock rating history from Ryan Brinkman, the lead author of the above JPM report:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58a254263a2a3a5480f2c67ead96566c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TipRanks, Ryan Brinkman, October 21</p><p>I am not saying Ryan is wrong this time either - &#34;past performance is no guarantee of future performance&#34; applies in reverse as well, let us not forget that. However, I am skeptical about FCF as a driver for determining Tesla&#39;s intrinsic value - it is much more correct to look at multiples and their compression over time. The current state of the company&#39;s valuation is more in line with JPMorgan than BofA or MS - given the increasing risks of Tesla losing its 50% growth rate in 2023 and 2024, I think we are in for a bumpy ride, and the only opportunity for buy-and-hold investors, if you consider yourself one, is to hedge.</p><p>GLJ Research - the numbers TSLA reports are LIKELY NOT REAL [October 20]</p><p>One risk that has long been talked about and is unlikely to be taken seriously by experts is the possibility of falsified reporting. More and more people keep doubting that Tesla can grow such volumes based on sub-ten percent OPEX and CAPEX growth (you may have noticed that this was one of Morgan Stanley&#39;s bullish arguments).</p><p>Gordon Johnson from GLJ Research - ranked by Bloomberg among the top stock pickers in the steel, iron ore, graphite electrode, electric vehicle, and solar spaces since initiating coverage in 2008 - writes, that with 2 of its 4 plants operating at just ~10% capacity, TSLA&#39;s gross margins expansion from 25.0% to 26.61% (per Bloomberg) is not possible.</p><blockquote>In short, we believe the numbers TSLA reports are largely &#34;fiction,&#34; resulting from aggressive accounting applied via the Shanghai plant, among other &#34;tricks&#34; used. And, given modeling numbers that are &#34;fiction&#34; is impossible, this time (i.e., for 3Q22), we aren’t going to even try (we see LARGE incentive for E. Musk to be as aggressive as possible, from an accounting perspective, given he has ~$15B-$20B worth of shares still left to sell to close the Twitter buyout... by our calculation). That is, using one example of TSLA&#39;s many accounting shenanigans, while pretty much every other automaker includes R&amp;D in the gross profit they report, TSLA pushes this metric below the gross profit line, allowing it to claim industry leading margins; yet, when adjusting R&amp;D out of COGS for TSLA, TSLA’s margins rank 11th among global automakers according to Bloomberg.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: Gordon Johnson from GLJ Research</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88b14d65af952a9e91fd7bf618a44557\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg, GLJ Research</p><p>Mr. Johnson warns us - demand today is quite meager on all fronts, as evidenced by the company&#39;s own preliminary statistics and official government sources:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdab92dd02be42cc98d2eea0f9b03473\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"115\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>GLJ Research LLC</p><p>GLJ Research&#39;s analysts give 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers:</p><ol><li>Revenues up 56% (YoY) amid expenses up only 2% (YoY);</li><li>CAPEX is flat (YoY) when construction of Berlin and Austin is done, which seems impossible. TSLA may be capitalizing more expenses than it should on the balance sheet, thus possibly overstating margins;</li><li>TSLA&#39;s SG&amp;A is still running at $1B/qtr, roughly the same as two years ago, despite selling 2x as many cars;</li><li>Gross margins staying up with 2 new factories open, making just a fraction of their vehicle capacity;</li><li>Inventory is up 98% (YoY) while sales up 56%. Inventory should keep pace with sales, not outpace it - unless you capitalize raw materials for inventory which you can&#39;t move and don&#39;t impair so as not to take a profit hit.</li></ol><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0ba728f76aeae0a3d1f51a7d7769e2e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"124\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>GLJ Research LLC</p><p>All this looks strange, but it looks even stranger that no one can clearly refute these arguments that support TSLA&#39;s balance sheet fraud. If you can - I am really interested, please share your take in the comments.</p><p><b>Bottom Line</b></p><p>In this article, I took a closer look at the banks&#39; recent analysis and reaction to Tesla&#39;s latest quarterly report. After reading and analyzing everything I had on hands, and also examining the banks&#39; methods of calculating their price targets, I conclude that JPM has come closest to the truth with a reasonable estimate of the multiple and margin contractions over the next 5 years.</p><p>Yes, JPM&#39;s history of &#34;sell&#34; ratings looks depressing - but what if they are right this time? What if Tesla is actually fudging its books to inflate margins and boost net income above consensus?</p><p>The risks to the company are increasing, and while I do not think Tesla is going to repeat Enron&#39;s story, I understand those who think Tesla is an overvalued company. However, it is far from the only company in the market, nor is it the most overvalued. Given the support from retail investors, and assuming that the company&#39;s operational growth continues (if it is a reality), I believe that long-term investors need to hedge against growing risks anyway. Methods can vary - selling puts, pair trading ideas like the one I wrote about earlier, tactical positioning, etc. Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.</p><p><i>This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Accounting And Valuation Concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Accounting And Valuation Concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-24 11:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548158-tesla-accounting-and-valuation-concerns><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIn this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets for Tesla stock since the release of Q3 results.BofA and Morgan Stanley are overly optimistic, in my ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548158-tesla-accounting-and-valuation-concerns\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548158-tesla-accounting-and-valuation-concerns","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133583383","content_text":"SummaryIn this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets for Tesla stock since the release of Q3 results.BofA and Morgan Stanley are overly optimistic, in my view, while JPMorgan seems closest to reality.GLJ Research's analysts give you 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers.Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.IntroductionIn late June 2022, I posted a pair trade idea in which I recommended buying Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) and selling Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) stock short (in equal dollar amounts). My pitch was simple enough. Both companies look overvalued in terms of absolute multiples. Still, due to more efficient operational growth, Tesla should have experienced a much less noticeable multiple contraction than Lucid while receiving much more support from retail investors.A few months have passed since then. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell even lower, dragging the rest of the market with it, including the companies mentioned above. But my thesis was justified - the difference in the magnitude of the declines in TSLA and LCID would bring a potential investor +22.9% (gross, before deducting brokerage commissions for shorting LCID):Seeking Alpha, Ycharts, author's notesAt the time, I recommended holding this deal until the end of the year. However, in my article today, I want to look at the recent banks' equity research reports on Tesla's financial results. Let us take a look at them and try to assess how logical their forecasts and conclusions are and whether they should be trusted.Bank of America - 3Q results look pretty good to us – first take [October 19]Analysts John Murphy, CFA, John P. Babcock, and Federico Merendi reiterated a Neutral rating on Tesla with a price objective (PO) of $325 per share - that's 3.17% higher than their previous PO of $315.Moreover, BofA said much the same thing as I did when I put forward my thesis in June - TSLA's self-funding status is a notable advantage over some startup competitors in the electric car space, but because its valuation is the result of optimistic projections for a long future (recall the 50% growth target), it will be quite difficult for the quotes to grow strongly in the near future.However, why did the bank raise its TSLA price target anyway? The issue is how the actual results differed from what analysts had expected from the company:BofA, TSLA report, October 19I can understand why the analysts were wrong in forecasting gross profit - the variance seems negligible. But to be wrong on operating expenses (OPEX) by 15% and on taxes by 38.8%? If Tesla really is not just faking its books - we will get into that later - but is working as we see in the statements, then the company's operating efficiency makes one sit up and take notice because even top analysts could not imagine how Elon Musk could save so much on OPEX this quarter.BofA values the company using EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiples, but $325/share is too optimistic a target in my opinion. Let us look at their logic. BofA analysts expect EV/EBITDA to be 41x in 2022, down 37.1% from 2021. At the same time, EBITDA growth will be 59.2% in 2022. This is such a sharp decline in the multiple against the backdrop of such a high growth rate in the underlying financial metric. In 2023, however, EBITDA is expected to grow by only 7% - many times less than in the previous year. However, the analysts' forecast includes a much less modest contraction of 6.6% in 2023, which is not in line with the trend of recent years:BofA, TSLA report, with author's calculations and notesIn my view, the EV/EBITDA multiple in 2023 should be at least 30x, if not lower, if the multiple contraction continues - and it should, given lower growth forecasts and a generally higher interest rate environment - implying a 27% reduction in the multiple from 2022 to 2023. At EBITDA of $19.916 billion in 2023 (BofA's estimate), enterprise value should be about $600 billion - that's 5.5% below the current one.Morgan Stanley - 3Q Margins Beat, But FY23 Outlook Still at Risk [October 19]AnalystsAdam Jonas, CFA, Evan Silverberg, CFA, CPA, et al. released an update of their Overweight rating, having $350 per share as a new price objective - below its pre-split target of $1300(about $433 per share).Morgan Stanley, like BofA, was wrong about growth in OPEX, interest expense, and stock-based compensation. The company's lower-than-expected CAPEX coupled with stronger EPS growth resulted in a 153.6% undervaluation of FCF:MS, TSLA report, October 19The key takeaways from their analysis of TSLA's report:expected cost inflation related to logistics/shipping as well as adverse timing differences related to supplier payments given significant input cost inflation on the battery and non-battery side. That didn't happen;If one were to inflation adjust the YoY moves in CAPEX and OPEX, Tesla's clearly doing more with less;Supercharging revenue will most likely get above 10% of Tesla's total revenue within the next 12 to 18 months;Production is ramping up at the 40-GWh Megapack factory in California - a solid win for the company, demonstrating its strength and focus on the battery front.Okay, but why did analysts lower their TSLA price target?Here you have to look at the input data for their SOTP 6-component model:MS, TSLA report, October 19Our PT of $433 is comprised of 6 components:(1)$203/share for core Tesla Auto business on 8.6mm units in 2030, 8.5% WACC, 15x 2030 exit EBITDA multiple, exit EBITDA margin of 20%.(2)Tesla Mobility at $25 on DCF with ~500k cars at $1.7/mile by 2030.(3)Tesla as a 3rd party supplier at $44/share.4)Energy at $37/share,5)Insurance at $12/share, &6)Network Services at $113, 25mm MAUs, $100 ARPU by 2030, 20% discount.Source: Investing.com, author's adjustment for the split (3:1)Segment / DateJun 16, 2022(rounded)NowChangeCore Tesla Auto business$203$287Tesla Mobility$25$221.4%3rd party supplier$44$27-38.2%Energy$37$31-16.2%Insurance$12$8-35.1%Network Services$113$75-33.4%Sum Of The Parts$433$4504.6%Source: Author's compilationIf you add up all the parts of the analysts' outputs, it shows that their SOTP model does indeed show a price target of $453 per share - I suspect that the Morgan Stanley analysts mistyped their report and wrote $287 instead of $187 because the difference is exactly $100 while the WACC is higher and the sales volume is lower than before. Here's how the above table should most likely look like:Segment / DateJun 16, 2022 (rounded)NowChangeCore Tesla Auto business$203$187-7.7%Tesla Mobility$25$221.4%3rd party supplier$45$27-38.2%Energy$37$31-16.2%Insurance$12$8-35.1%Network Services$113$75-33.4%Sum Of The Parts$433$350-18.5%Source: Author's compilationIf you look at how the analysts' assumptions have changed, we see only 3 concrete changes here: 1) the number of vehicles produced in 2030 is now reduced by 0.9 million units (-10.5%); 2) the WACC is increased by 0.2% (8.7% vs. 8.5%); and 3) the exit EBITDA margin is increased from 20% to 21%. This applies directly to the main revenue stream (Core Tesla Auto business) - the assumptions for the other parts are not disclosed (I assume the WACC has been applied to them as well, considering that Tesla Mobility's DCF has decreased by 12.5% without any visible adjustments in inputs).That is, broadly speaking, the entire decline in the target price (the top rightmost column above) is due to A) a slight slowdown in operations, and B) a slight 0.2% increase in WACC. At the same time, a new, more positive improvement in business margins has by no means kept the target price for TSLA from correcting. In my opinion, the WACC was not raised high enough by analysts and should have been raised by more than 1% instead of 0.2%. Why do I think so?First, the analysts had to account for higher betas, that mostly increased since their previous call (June 16, 2022):Data by YChartsHigher beta - higher WACC. Of course, it is possible that they took a 3-year coefficient, but then it would be cherry-picking. It is unlikely that the Morgan Stanley analysts did this (I really hope so).The second is the rising risk-free rate, which mostly corresponds to 10-year Treasuries yield, which (theoretically) have no credit risk. The rate has risen since June 15, 2022, from 3.292% to 4.274% at the time of writing. Effective 7-10 year yields on corporate bonds have jumped even higher since then:Data by YChartsThe third point that analysts may not have taken into account in their WACC calculation is the slowdown in economic growth in China and globally, which should have been reflected in the discount rate in the form of an additional premium. Since mid-June 2022, the geopolitical situation in the world has only gotten worse (in my opinion), and the forecast for global economic growth was just recently lowered by the IMF. Therefore, this premium should have been larger, if it was included in their calculations at all.IMF, author's notesIf a minor 0.2% increase in WACC has led to such severe corrections in price targets for the company's various businesses, imagine how long the analysts' model should run - apparently they predict all segments to 2030, using huge growth rates in their models. Even a slight deviation from these rates will cause the model to collapse. In my opinion, this is a serious risk for those who want to rely on the DCF calculations of Morgan Stanley's analysts.JPMorgan - Trim Estimates and Price Target After Softer Trend in 3Q Volume & Pricing [October 20]AnalystsRyan Brinkman, Rajat Gupta, CFA, Manasvi Garg, et al. stick to an oppositional opinion concerning the other two banks above. They are Underweight Tesla with a price target of $150/share, revised down from $153/share, having the following reasoning:We are lowering our estimates and price target after Tesla reported modestly softer than expected 3Q22 results Wednesday after the close, featuring lower-than-consensus margin on lower-than-expected revenue. Average transaction prices rose strongly y/y, but to a level that was lower than expected, driving a -3% revenue miss given that deliveries were previously disclosed. The results will likely add to debates about demand destruction that ensued after 3Q deliveries tracked -5% below company-compiled consensus. Management itself reined in near-term growth expectations, now looking for just less than its original target of more than +50% unit growth this year vs. previous indication only that the target would be more difficult to achieve. We continue to see risk to guidance for +50% annual unit volume growth over time (in some years more, in some years less), including given higher prices, higher interest rates, an increasingly tapped-out consumer, and given the paucity of new model introductions, with Tesla's lineup essentially the same as at the start of 2021 after the last Model S & X refresh, with the Cybertruck (originally slated for 2021) still on tap. Automotive gross margin of 26.8% missed Bloomberg consensus of 27.7%, with management citing persistent inflationary pressures, including higher logistics costs. We remain cautious on valuation, particularly in the context of lofty unit volume growth expectations, and continue to see material downside risk to our December 2023 price target, which declines today to $150 from $153, on account of unchanged target multiples applied to our slightly lower estimates, which decline primarily on flow-through of 3Q's softer-than-expected trend in demand expressed in the form of lower transaction prices.Source: JPMorgan's TSLA report, October 20Their price target methodology is less sophisticated than Morgan Stanley's one (and more reasonable, in my opinion, than that of BofA) and is predicated upon a 50/50 blend of DCF and 2025E-based multiples analysis (itself a blend of P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales).And if you take a look at JPM's Key Figures table, theirs seem much more realistic - at least the analysts take into account a more reasonable multiple and margin contractions as Tesla expands its business and matures:JPMorgan, TSLA report, October 20They propose to focus on equal weighting of 3 coefficients to find fair value (50% of the model) and DCF calculations for the remaining half. If they had focused solely on DCF, they would have received $129 per share on exit - and against a backdrop of rapidly growing FCF. However, FCF-based valuation has shown in practice how indifferent the market is to it concerning Tesla - just take a look at the stock rating history from Ryan Brinkman, the lead author of the above JPM report:TipRanks, Ryan Brinkman, October 21I am not saying Ryan is wrong this time either - \"past performance is no guarantee of future performance\" applies in reverse as well, let us not forget that. However, I am skeptical about FCF as a driver for determining Tesla's intrinsic value - it is much more correct to look at multiples and their compression over time. The current state of the company's valuation is more in line with JPMorgan than BofA or MS - given the increasing risks of Tesla losing its 50% growth rate in 2023 and 2024, I think we are in for a bumpy ride, and the only opportunity for buy-and-hold investors, if you consider yourself one, is to hedge.GLJ Research - the numbers TSLA reports are LIKELY NOT REAL [October 20]One risk that has long been talked about and is unlikely to be taken seriously by experts is the possibility of falsified reporting. More and more people keep doubting that Tesla can grow such volumes based on sub-ten percent OPEX and CAPEX growth (you may have noticed that this was one of Morgan Stanley's bullish arguments).Gordon Johnson from GLJ Research - ranked by Bloomberg among the top stock pickers in the steel, iron ore, graphite electrode, electric vehicle, and solar spaces since initiating coverage in 2008 - writes, that with 2 of its 4 plants operating at just ~10% capacity, TSLA's gross margins expansion from 25.0% to 26.61% (per Bloomberg) is not possible.In short, we believe the numbers TSLA reports are largely \"fiction,\" resulting from aggressive accounting applied via the Shanghai plant, among other \"tricks\" used. And, given modeling numbers that are \"fiction\" is impossible, this time (i.e., for 3Q22), we aren’t going to even try (we see LARGE incentive for E. Musk to be as aggressive as possible, from an accounting perspective, given he has ~$15B-$20B worth of shares still left to sell to close the Twitter buyout... by our calculation). That is, using one example of TSLA's many accounting shenanigans, while pretty much every other automaker includes R&D in the gross profit they report, TSLA pushes this metric below the gross profit line, allowing it to claim industry leading margins; yet, when adjusting R&D out of COGS for TSLA, TSLA’s margins rank 11th among global automakers according to Bloomberg.Source: Gordon Johnson from GLJ ResearchBloomberg, GLJ ResearchMr. Johnson warns us - demand today is quite meager on all fronts, as evidenced by the company's own preliminary statistics and official government sources:GLJ Research LLCGLJ Research's analysts give 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers:Revenues up 56% (YoY) amid expenses up only 2% (YoY);CAPEX is flat (YoY) when construction of Berlin and Austin is done, which seems impossible. TSLA may be capitalizing more expenses than it should on the balance sheet, thus possibly overstating margins;TSLA's SG&A is still running at $1B/qtr, roughly the same as two years ago, despite selling 2x as many cars;Gross margins staying up with 2 new factories open, making just a fraction of their vehicle capacity;Inventory is up 98% (YoY) while sales up 56%. Inventory should keep pace with sales, not outpace it - unless you capitalize raw materials for inventory which you can't move and don't impair so as not to take a profit hit.GLJ Research LLCAll this looks strange, but it looks even stranger that no one can clearly refute these arguments that support TSLA's balance sheet fraud. If you can - I am really interested, please share your take in the comments.Bottom LineIn this article, I took a closer look at the banks' recent analysis and reaction to Tesla's latest quarterly report. After reading and analyzing everything I had on hands, and also examining the banks' methods of calculating their price targets, I conclude that JPM has come closest to the truth with a reasonable estimate of the multiple and margin contractions over the next 5 years.Yes, JPM's history of \"sell\" ratings looks depressing - but what if they are right this time? What if Tesla is actually fudging its books to inflate margins and boost net income above consensus?The risks to the company are increasing, and while I do not think Tesla is going to repeat Enron's story, I understand those who think Tesla is an overvalued company. However, it is far from the only company in the market, nor is it the most overvalued. Given the support from retail investors, and assuming that the company's operational growth continues (if it is a reality), I believe that long-term investors need to hedge against growing risks anyway. Methods can vary - selling puts, pair trading ideas like the one I wrote about earlier, tactical positioning, etc. Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982267665,"gmtCreate":1667188847457,"gmtModify":1676537874109,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982267665","repostId":"2279823208","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2279823208","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1667172399,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2279823208?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-31 07:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Federal Reserve Meeting, October Jobs Data, Uber and PayPal Earnings, and More for Investors to Watch this Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2279823208","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected inte","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve. The central bank's policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely projected to lift its target rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth-straight time, to 3.75%-4%. The week closes with the October jobs report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Some 160 S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report this week. Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, and Stryker kick things off on Monday, followed by a busy Tuesday: Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Marathon Petroleum, Newmont, Pfizer, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies all report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday's earnings highlights will include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a>, CVS Health, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a>, and Qualcomm. ConocoPhillips, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>, Moderna, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Starbucks, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> report on Thursday, then Cardinal Health and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DEX.AU\">Duke</a> Energy, close the week on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Economic data to watch this week will include October employment figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On average, economists are forecasting a gain of 225,00 nonfarm payrolls, following growth of 263,000 in September. The unemployment rate is seen ticking up to 3.6%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will provide additional insight into the state of the U.S. labor market. Economist consensus calls for 9.75 million job openings on the last business day of September, which would be down by 300,000 from a month earlier. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic data out this week includes th e Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 10/31 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Aflac, Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, Stryker, and Williams Cos. release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Chicago Business Barometer for October. Consensus estimate is for a 47.1 reading, about two points more than September's 45.7. The September figure was the lowest and the first reading below 50 since June 2020, indicating a contracting economy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 11/1 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Clorox, Devon Energy, Eaton, Electronic Arts, Eli Lilly, Marathon Petroleum, Mondelez International, Newmont, Pfizer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a>, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of September, 53,000 fewer than in August. Job openings fell by 1.1 million in August, the largest decline since the onset of the pandemic, suggesting that a historically tight job market might be loosening. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October. Expectations are for a 50 reading, one point less than in September. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 11/2 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street expects a three-quarters of a percentage point increase, bringing the federal-funds rate to 3.75%-4%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Allstate, APA, Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Emerson Electric, Equinix, Estée Lauder, Humana, MetLife, Novo Nordisk, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARAA\">Paramount Global</a>, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for October. The consensus call is for private-sector employment to increase by 199,000, slightly below the 208,000 gain in September. Job growth has moderated somewhat following a torrid 18-month stretch. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 11/3 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Amgen, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, Exelon, Illumina, Intercontinental Exchange, Kellogg, Marriott International, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Starbucks, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Zoetis hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 55.3 reading, which would be slightly less than the September data. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 11/4 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, and Hershey release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for October. The economy is expected to add 200,000 nonfarm payrolls after a 263,000 increase in September. The unemployment rate is seen edging up to 3.6% from 3.5%, near half-century lows. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  October 30, 2022 18:09 ET (22:09 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve Meeting, October Jobs Data, Uber and PayPal Earnings, and More for Investors to Watch this Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve Meeting, October Jobs Data, Uber and PayPal Earnings, and More for Investors to Watch this Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-31 07:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve. The central bank's policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely projected to lift its target rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth-straight time, to 3.75%-4%. The week closes with the October jobs report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Some 160 S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report this week. Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, and Stryker kick things off on Monday, followed by a busy Tuesday: Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Marathon Petroleum, Newmont, Pfizer, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies all report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday's earnings highlights will include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a>, CVS Health, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a>, and Qualcomm. ConocoPhillips, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>, Moderna, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Starbucks, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> report on Thursday, then Cardinal Health and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DEX.AU\">Duke</a> Energy, close the week on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Economic data to watch this week will include October employment figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On average, economists are forecasting a gain of 225,00 nonfarm payrolls, following growth of 263,000 in September. The unemployment rate is seen ticking up to 3.6%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will provide additional insight into the state of the U.S. labor market. Economist consensus calls for 9.75 million job openings on the last business day of September, which would be down by 300,000 from a month earlier. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic data out this week includes th e Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 10/31 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Aflac, Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, Stryker, and Williams Cos. release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Chicago Business Barometer for October. Consensus estimate is for a 47.1 reading, about two points more than September's 45.7. The September figure was the lowest and the first reading below 50 since June 2020, indicating a contracting economy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 11/1 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Clorox, Devon Energy, Eaton, Electronic Arts, Eli Lilly, Marathon Petroleum, Mondelez International, Newmont, Pfizer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a>, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of September, 53,000 fewer than in August. Job openings fell by 1.1 million in August, the largest decline since the onset of the pandemic, suggesting that a historically tight job market might be loosening. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October. Expectations are for a 50 reading, one point less than in September. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 11/2 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street expects a three-quarters of a percentage point increase, bringing the federal-funds rate to 3.75%-4%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Allstate, APA, Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Emerson Electric, Equinix, Estée Lauder, Humana, MetLife, Novo Nordisk, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARAA\">Paramount Global</a>, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for October. The consensus call is for private-sector employment to increase by 199,000, slightly below the 208,000 gain in September. Job growth has moderated somewhat following a torrid 18-month stretch. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 11/3 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Amgen, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, Exelon, Illumina, Intercontinental Exchange, Kellogg, Marriott International, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Starbucks, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Zoetis hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 55.3 reading, which would be slightly less than the September data. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 11/4 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, and Hershey release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for October. The economy is expected to add 200,000 nonfarm payrolls after a 263,000 increase in September. The unemployment rate is seen edging up to 3.6% from 3.5%, near half-century lows. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  October 30, 2022 18:09 ET (22:09 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ISBC":"投资者银行","CAH":"卡地纳健康","MPC":"马拉松原油","PYPL":"PayPal","UBER":"优步",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","WBD":"Warner Bros. Discovery","AMD":"美国超微公司",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2279823208","content_text":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve. The central bank's policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely projected to lift its target rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth-straight time, to 3.75%-4%. The week closes with the October jobs report. \n\n\n     Some 160 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report this week. Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, and Stryker kick things off on Monday, followed by a busy Tuesday: Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Marathon Petroleum, Newmont, Pfizer, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies all report. \n\n\n     Wednesday's earnings highlights will include Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Paramount Global, and Qualcomm. ConocoPhillips, Illumina, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Starbucks, and Warner Bros. Discovery report on Thursday, then Cardinal Health and Duke Energy, close the week on Friday. \n\n\n     Economic data to watch this week will include October employment figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On average, economists are forecasting a gain of 225,00 nonfarm payrolls, following growth of 263,000 in September. The unemployment rate is seen ticking up to 3.6%. \n\n\n     Tuesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will provide additional insight into the state of the U.S. labor market. Economist consensus calls for 9.75 million job openings on the last business day of September, which would be down by 300,000 from a month earlier. \n\n\n     Other economic data out this week includes th e Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. \n\n\n     Monday 10/31 \n\n\n     Aflac, Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, Stryker, and Williams Cos. release earnings. \n\n\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Chicago Business Barometer for October. Consensus estimate is for a 47.1 reading, about two points more than September's 45.7. The September figure was the lowest and the first reading below 50 since June 2020, indicating a contracting economy. \n\n\n     Tuesday 11/1 \n\n\n     Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Clorox, Devon Energy, Eaton, Electronic Arts, Eli Lilly, Marathon Petroleum, Mondelez International, Newmont, Pfizer, Phillips 66, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies report quarterly results. \n\n\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of September, 53,000 fewer than in August. Job openings fell by 1.1 million in August, the largest decline since the onset of the pandemic, suggesting that a historically tight job market might be loosening. \n\n\n     The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October. Expectations are for a 50 reading, one point less than in September. \n\n\n     Wednesday 11/2 \n\n\n     The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street expects a three-quarters of a percentage point increase, bringing the federal-funds rate to 3.75%-4%. \n\n\n     Allstate, APA, Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Emerson Electric, Equinix, Estée Lauder, Humana, MetLife, Novo Nordisk, Paramount Global, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands announce earnings. \n\n\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for October. The consensus call is for private-sector employment to increase by 199,000, slightly below the 208,000 gain in September. Job growth has moderated somewhat following a torrid 18-month stretch. \n\n\n     Thursday 11/3 \n\n\n     Amgen, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, Exelon, Illumina, Intercontinental Exchange, Kellogg, Marriott International, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Starbucks, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Zoetis hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n\n\n     ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 55.3 reading, which would be slightly less than the September data. \n\n\n     Friday 11/4 \n\n\n     Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, and Hershey release earnings. \n\n\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for October. The economy is expected to add 200,000 nonfarm payrolls after a 263,000 increase in September. The unemployment rate is seen edging up to 3.6% from 3.5%, near half-century lows. \n\n\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  October 30, 2022 18:09 ET (22:09 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988135910,"gmtCreate":1666689544732,"gmtModify":1676537790332,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ls like","listText":"Ls like","text":"Ls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988135910","repostId":"1131328574","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131328574","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666685072,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131328574?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-25 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131328574","media":"Barron's","summary":"Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and Intel, with special guest appearances from SAP, Shopify, Spotify, Seagate, ServiceNow, and Corning. Every one of these companies reports results in a three-day span, from Tuesday to Thursday. At least 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s market value will be reporting during the stretch.</p><p>It will be the last full read on the sector’s fundamental performance before the end of the year, and the wave of reports could determine the next swing in stock prices. The tech sector continues to face fierce headwinds from the strong dollar, softening consumer spending, rising interest rates, stubbornly high inflation, and a potential recession. The market is yearning for some hint that the worst is over, but don’t hold your breath.</p><p>Paul Meeks, portfolio manager with Independent Solutions Wealth Management, has a long list of tech stocks he’d like to buy, but he’s not yet ready. He’s sitting on a pile of cash, waiting for lower lows. Meeks thinks earnings season could be grisly and is particularly worried about chip stocks, which he’s historically loved but is now shunning. Meeks sees downward revisions ahead and worries that conditions in the March and June quarters could be even worse than the last two quarters of 2022.</p><p>This past week, though, there were some glimmers of hope. Netflix shares (ticker: NFLX) spiked 13% on Wednesday after the streaming-video pioneer posted better-than-expected subscriber growth and sounded generally bullish about the coming launch of its ad-supported membership tier. One day later,IBMshares (IBM) gained 4.7% after posting revenue that was $500 million above Wall Street estimates, thanks to strong demand in all three of its primary business segments—mainframes, software, and consulting.</p><p>Neither report seemed to improve the market’s dour mood, though. And that was before Snap’s(SNAP) disappointing report late Thursday.</p><p>Here are five key questions investors will be asking in the days ahead:</p><p><b>Will the recession slow cloud computing?</b> Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL) own the three largest players in the public cloud—Amazon Web Services, Azure, and Google Cloud. In the June quarter, all three showed strong growth but modest deceleration from the March quarter. The public clouds use consumption-based business models, like utilities—the more computing resources you use, the more you pay. As the economy softens, it’s not unreasonable to expect that customers with weakening business won’t need quite as much computing power as they have in the past. Consensus Wall Street estimates forecast that growth for all three cloud giants will slow further this quarter: Misses from any—or worse, all three—would not be well received.</p><p><b>How bad is the online advertising outlook?</b> In recessions, ad spending erodes—and with two-thirds of ad dollars now spent on digital channels, there are considerable risks ahead for ad-supported tech businesses, in particular Alphabet, which owns Google and YouTube, and Meta Platforms (META), parent of Facebook and Instagram. Alphabet shares are down 30% this year, while Meta is off 60%—the disparity in part reflects the view that search ads should prove more resilient than display and direct-response ads. Meanwhile, there’s increasing competition. TikTok gets most of the attention, but both Amazon and Apple (AAPL) are building substantial ad businesses, while Netflix and Walt Disney (DIS) are adding ad-supported subscription streaming tiers. Even Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are building ad businesses.</p><p><b>When will PC demand rebound?</b> Personal computer demand is crashing. Gartner reports that PC shipments fell 19.5% in the third quarter, the sharpest decline ever and the fourth straight quarterly drop. That is bad for PC companies like Dell Technologies (DELL) and HP Inc. (HPQ), but the weakness has also triggered earnings warnings from PC-centric chip makers like Intel (INTC), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia (NVDA), and Micron Technology (MU). We’ll get fresh insights on the PC market’s future this week from Microsoft, Intel, and Apple.</p><p><b>Will the holiday shopping season be a bust?</b> Adobe projects online holiday spending will grow just 2.5%, the smallest increase ever. Amazon shares are down 31% this year, pressured by weakness in the company’s flagship online retailing arm, which has reported year-over-year declines in each of the past two quarters. Wall Street estimates call for a rebound to 9% growth in the September quarter, with 8% growth in the holiday quarter. But that might be optimistic—analysts think the company’s recent two-day sales event was a dud. Shopify’s (SHOP) results should provide additional color on the state of online shopping—and the outlook for the holidays.</p><p><b>Are enterprise IT budgets about to shrink?</b> IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said this past week that conditions remain strong in the U.S. and Asia, but he sees customers in Western Europe growing more cautious. A sharp falloff in PC sales at Dell, which has only modest exposure to the consumer market, points to budget tightening. Krishna says that technology tends to boost productivity—offsetting inflationary pressures on labor and the supply chain. Microsoft and SAP (SAP) will both provide clues on where IT spending goes from here.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Tech Earnings Are Coming. 5 Questions Hang Over the Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-25 16:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","INTC":"英特尔","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-tech-apple-microsoft-alphabet-amazon-earnings-stocks-51666311206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131328574","content_text":"Brace yourself. This week, the world’s largest tech companies all report their September-quarter financial results. And I mean all of them—Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon.com, and Intel, with special guest appearances from SAP, Shopify, Spotify, Seagate, ServiceNow, and Corning. Every one of these companies reports results in a three-day span, from Tuesday to Thursday. At least 25% of the S&P 500’s market value will be reporting during the stretch.It will be the last full read on the sector’s fundamental performance before the end of the year, and the wave of reports could determine the next swing in stock prices. The tech sector continues to face fierce headwinds from the strong dollar, softening consumer spending, rising interest rates, stubbornly high inflation, and a potential recession. The market is yearning for some hint that the worst is over, but don’t hold your breath.Paul Meeks, portfolio manager with Independent Solutions Wealth Management, has a long list of tech stocks he’d like to buy, but he’s not yet ready. He’s sitting on a pile of cash, waiting for lower lows. Meeks thinks earnings season could be grisly and is particularly worried about chip stocks, which he’s historically loved but is now shunning. Meeks sees downward revisions ahead and worries that conditions in the March and June quarters could be even worse than the last two quarters of 2022.This past week, though, there were some glimmers of hope. Netflix shares (ticker: NFLX) spiked 13% on Wednesday after the streaming-video pioneer posted better-than-expected subscriber growth and sounded generally bullish about the coming launch of its ad-supported membership tier. One day later,IBMshares (IBM) gained 4.7% after posting revenue that was $500 million above Wall Street estimates, thanks to strong demand in all three of its primary business segments—mainframes, software, and consulting.Neither report seemed to improve the market’s dour mood, though. And that was before Snap’s(SNAP) disappointing report late Thursday.Here are five key questions investors will be asking in the days ahead:Will the recession slow cloud computing? Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL) own the three largest players in the public cloud—Amazon Web Services, Azure, and Google Cloud. In the June quarter, all three showed strong growth but modest deceleration from the March quarter. The public clouds use consumption-based business models, like utilities—the more computing resources you use, the more you pay. As the economy softens, it’s not unreasonable to expect that customers with weakening business won’t need quite as much computing power as they have in the past. Consensus Wall Street estimates forecast that growth for all three cloud giants will slow further this quarter: Misses from any—or worse, all three—would not be well received.How bad is the online advertising outlook? In recessions, ad spending erodes—and with two-thirds of ad dollars now spent on digital channels, there are considerable risks ahead for ad-supported tech businesses, in particular Alphabet, which owns Google and YouTube, and Meta Platforms (META), parent of Facebook and Instagram. Alphabet shares are down 30% this year, while Meta is off 60%—the disparity in part reflects the view that search ads should prove more resilient than display and direct-response ads. Meanwhile, there’s increasing competition. TikTok gets most of the attention, but both Amazon and Apple (AAPL) are building substantial ad businesses, while Netflix and Walt Disney (DIS) are adding ad-supported subscription streaming tiers. Even Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are building ad businesses.When will PC demand rebound? Personal computer demand is crashing. Gartner reports that PC shipments fell 19.5% in the third quarter, the sharpest decline ever and the fourth straight quarterly drop. That is bad for PC companies like Dell Technologies (DELL) and HP Inc. (HPQ), but the weakness has also triggered earnings warnings from PC-centric chip makers like Intel (INTC), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Nvidia (NVDA), and Micron Technology (MU). We’ll get fresh insights on the PC market’s future this week from Microsoft, Intel, and Apple.Will the holiday shopping season be a bust? Adobe projects online holiday spending will grow just 2.5%, the smallest increase ever. Amazon shares are down 31% this year, pressured by weakness in the company’s flagship online retailing arm, which has reported year-over-year declines in each of the past two quarters. Wall Street estimates call for a rebound to 9% growth in the September quarter, with 8% growth in the holiday quarter. But that might be optimistic—analysts think the company’s recent two-day sales event was a dud. Shopify’s (SHOP) results should provide additional color on the state of online shopping—and the outlook for the holidays.Are enterprise IT budgets about to shrink? IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said this past week that conditions remain strong in the U.S. and Asia, but he sees customers in Western Europe growing more cautious. A sharp falloff in PC sales at Dell, which has only modest exposure to the consumer market, points to budget tightening. Krishna says that technology tends to boost productivity—offsetting inflationary pressures on labor and the supply chain. Microsoft and SAP (SAP) will both provide clues on where IT spending goes from here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917297025,"gmtCreate":1665528552967,"gmtModify":1676537619853,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917297025","repostId":"1129059427","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129059427","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665528392,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129059427?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-12 06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel Plans Thousands of Job Cuts in Face of PC Slowdown","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129059427","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Chipmaker may announce move around time of its earnings reportCompanywide cuts will hit sales and ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Chipmaker may announce move around time of its earnings report</li><li>Companywide cuts will hit sales and marketing especially hard</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84ee4108811e9a17ef7b48428037a9f2\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Intel headquarters in Santa Clara, California.Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg</span></p><p>Intel Corp. is planning a major reduction in headcount, likely numbering in the thousands, to cut costs and cope with a sputtering personal-computer market, according to people with knowledge of the situation.</p><p>The layoffs will be announced as early as this month, with the company planning to make the move around the same time as its third-quarter earnings report on Oct. 27, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private. The chipmaker had 113,700 employees as of July.</p><p>Some divisions, including Intel’s sales and marketing group, could see cuts affecting about 20% of staff, according to the people familiar with the situation.</p><p>Intel is facing a steep decline in demand for PC processors, its main business, and has struggled to win back market share lost to rivals like Advanced Micro Devices Inc. In July, the company warned that 2022 sales would be about $11 billion lower than it previously expected. Analysts are predicting a third-quarter revenue drop of nearly 20%. And Intel’s once-enviable margins have shriveled: They’re about 15 percentage points narrower than historical numbers of around 60%.</p><p>During its second-quarter earnings call, Intel acknowledged that it could make changes in its business to improve profits. “We are also lowering core expenses in calendar year 2022 and will look to take additional actions in the second half of the year,” Chief Executive Officer Pat Gelsinger said at the time.</p><p>Intel, based in Santa Clara, California, declined to comment on the layoffs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6217b556d0ed13e68b239809b91eaf98\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Intel’s last big wave of layoffs occurred in 2016, when it trimmed about 12,000 jobs, or 11% of its total. The company has made smaller cuts since then and shuttered several divisions, including its cellular modem and drone units. Like many companies in the technology industry, Intel also froze hiring earlier this year, when market conditions soured and fears of a recession grew.</p><p>Gelsinger took the helm at Intel last year and has been working to restore the company’s reputation as a Silicon Valley legend. But even before the PC slump, it was an uphill fight. Intel lost its long-held technological edge, and its own executives acknowledge that the company’s culture of innovation withered in recent years.</p><p>Now a broader slump is adding to those challenges. Intel’s PC, data center and artificial intelligence groups are contending with a tech spending slowdown, weighing on revenue and profit.</p><p>PC sales tumbled 15% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to IDC. HP Inc., Dell Technologies Inc, and Lenovo Group Ltd., which use Intel’s processors in their laptops and desktop PCs, all suffered steep declines.</p><p>It’s a particularly awkward moment for Intel to be making cutbacks. The company lobbied heavily for a $52 billion chip-stimulus bill this year, vowing to expand its manufacturing in the US. Gelsinger is planning a building boom that includes bringing the world’s biggest chipmaking hub to Ohio.</p><p>At the same time, the company is under intense pressure from investors to shore up its profits. The company’s shares have fallen more than 50% in 2022, with a 20% plunge occurring in the last month alone.</p><p>US tensions with China also have clouded the chip industry’s future. The Biden administration announced new export curbs on Friday, restricting what US technologies companies can sell to the Asian nation.</p><p>David Zinsner, Intel’s chief financial officer, said after the company’s latest quarterly report that “there are large opportunities for Intel to improve and deliver maximum output per dollar.” The chipmaker expected to see restructuring charges in the third quarter, he said, signaling that cuts were looming.</p><p>Some chipmakers, including Nvidia Corp. and Micron Technology Inc., have said they’re steering clear of layoffs for now. But other tech companies, such as Oracle Corp. and Arm Ltd., have already been cutting jobs.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel Plans Thousands of Job Cuts in Face of PC Slowdown</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel Plans Thousands of Job Cuts in Face of PC Slowdown\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-12 06:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-11/intel-is-planning-thousands-of-job-cuts-in-face-of-pc-slowdown?srnd=technology-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Chipmaker may announce move around time of its earnings reportCompanywide cuts will hit sales and marketing especially hardIntel headquarters in Santa Clara, California.Photographer: David Paul Morris...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-11/intel-is-planning-thousands-of-job-cuts-in-face-of-pc-slowdown?srnd=technology-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-11/intel-is-planning-thousands-of-job-cuts-in-face-of-pc-slowdown?srnd=technology-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129059427","content_text":"Chipmaker may announce move around time of its earnings reportCompanywide cuts will hit sales and marketing especially hardIntel headquarters in Santa Clara, California.Photographer: David Paul Morris/BloombergIntel Corp. is planning a major reduction in headcount, likely numbering in the thousands, to cut costs and cope with a sputtering personal-computer market, according to people with knowledge of the situation.The layoffs will be announced as early as this month, with the company planning to make the move around the same time as its third-quarter earnings report on Oct. 27, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private. The chipmaker had 113,700 employees as of July.Some divisions, including Intel’s sales and marketing group, could see cuts affecting about 20% of staff, according to the people familiar with the situation.Intel is facing a steep decline in demand for PC processors, its main business, and has struggled to win back market share lost to rivals like Advanced Micro Devices Inc. In July, the company warned that 2022 sales would be about $11 billion lower than it previously expected. Analysts are predicting a third-quarter revenue drop of nearly 20%. And Intel’s once-enviable margins have shriveled: They’re about 15 percentage points narrower than historical numbers of around 60%.During its second-quarter earnings call, Intel acknowledged that it could make changes in its business to improve profits. “We are also lowering core expenses in calendar year 2022 and will look to take additional actions in the second half of the year,” Chief Executive Officer Pat Gelsinger said at the time.Intel, based in Santa Clara, California, declined to comment on the layoffs.Intel’s last big wave of layoffs occurred in 2016, when it trimmed about 12,000 jobs, or 11% of its total. The company has made smaller cuts since then and shuttered several divisions, including its cellular modem and drone units. Like many companies in the technology industry, Intel also froze hiring earlier this year, when market conditions soured and fears of a recession grew.Gelsinger took the helm at Intel last year and has been working to restore the company’s reputation as a Silicon Valley legend. But even before the PC slump, it was an uphill fight. Intel lost its long-held technological edge, and its own executives acknowledge that the company’s culture of innovation withered in recent years.Now a broader slump is adding to those challenges. Intel’s PC, data center and artificial intelligence groups are contending with a tech spending slowdown, weighing on revenue and profit.PC sales tumbled 15% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to IDC. HP Inc., Dell Technologies Inc, and Lenovo Group Ltd., which use Intel’s processors in their laptops and desktop PCs, all suffered steep declines.It’s a particularly awkward moment for Intel to be making cutbacks. The company lobbied heavily for a $52 billion chip-stimulus bill this year, vowing to expand its manufacturing in the US. Gelsinger is planning a building boom that includes bringing the world’s biggest chipmaking hub to Ohio.At the same time, the company is under intense pressure from investors to shore up its profits. The company’s shares have fallen more than 50% in 2022, with a 20% plunge occurring in the last month alone.US tensions with China also have clouded the chip industry’s future. The Biden administration announced new export curbs on Friday, restricting what US technologies companies can sell to the Asian nation.David Zinsner, Intel’s chief financial officer, said after the company’s latest quarterly report that “there are large opportunities for Intel to improve and deliver maximum output per dollar.” The chipmaker expected to see restructuring charges in the third quarter, he said, signaling that cuts were looming.Some chipmakers, including Nvidia Corp. and Micron Technology Inc., have said they’re steering clear of layoffs for now. But other tech companies, such as Oracle Corp. and Arm Ltd., have already been cutting jobs.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916154548,"gmtCreate":1664543143184,"gmtModify":1676537474550,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916154548","repostId":"1153038118","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153038118","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664549928,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1153038118?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-30 22:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: \"Fear\" Seems More Appropriate Than \"Greed\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153038118","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple is exposed to a recession. Orders are not as high as the company thought they would be,","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Apple is exposed to a recession. Orders are not as high as the company thought they would be, and weak consumer sentiment is a headwind.</li><li>Apple is still historically expensive, despite the fact that rising rates should lead to equity multiple compression.</li><li>AAPL has so far not dropped a lot. This is not really a good buy-the-dip opportunity. Being fearful makes more sense than being greedy right now.</li></ul><h3>Article Thesis</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> has undoubtedly been a strong investment over the last couple of years. But in the current environment, the downside risk could be larger than the upside potential, due to several reasons we&#39;ll lay out in this article. Despite the recent share price decline, investors thus shouldn&#39;t be &#34;greedy&#34; in the current environment. Instead, being &#34;fearful&#34; and staying away could be the better choice.</p><h3>Why Apple Could Underperform Going Forward</h3><p>Apple is up by a hefty 280% over the last five years. Clearly, everyone that bought it years ago has made a great choice. But that does not mean that buying today will be a similarly good investment. There are several reasons to believe that things will be different going forward.</p><h3>Recession And Business Risks</h3><p>The first reason is that Apple faces considerable risks to its business stemming from both an economic downturn and high inflation. Apple is primarily a consumer hardware company, clearly making it a discretionary consumer goods player. During harsh times, consumers are not saving money by buying less food, fewer cigarettes, or less toothpaste. Instead, they cut back on items that are nice but not necessary - such as a new car, holiday travel, dining at restaurants, or new phones. Many people buy new phones regularly even though their old ones still work - during a recession, that could change. After all, cash-strapped consumers might decide to keep their old phones for a little longer, or they might opt for a cheaper new phone.</p><p>To some degree, Apple is protected by the fact that many of its customers have above-average incomes. But that does not hold true for all of Apple&#39;s customers, and even those with solid incomes are feeling the pinch of inflation and an economic downturn today. This summer, it was reported that two out of three Americans are spending their savings, thus even some people with above-average incomes are coming under pressure from a financial perspective. Combine this with increasing interest rates and a worsening macroeconomic picture, and it would not be surprising to see more consumers opt for fewer or cheaper purchases when it comes to discretionary items, which include Apple&#39;s phones, tablets, PCs, etc. Apple&#39;s service business could be better-protected from this trend, as consumers don&#39;t make big single purchases when they opt for a subscription, but in essence, these items are discretionary (not needed) as well, and even though the service business could fare better, the vast majority of Apple&#39;s revenue and profit is generated by the more vulnerable hardware business.</p><p>Apple is already forecasted to see its revenue growth drop to a low-single-digit rate over the next couple of quarters, according to the analyst consensus. In real terms, this means a significant revenue decline due to inflation running at a high-single-digit rate. Apple has just announced that it would not add to its iPhone orders, as demand is lower than expected. This makes it likely that Wall Street analysts will revise their estimates downward for the next couple of quarters, as Apple looks like it could underperform current expectations, where lower orders than previously thought were not yet accounted for.</p><p>That&#39;s not the only macro issue, however. Apple could also come under pressure from inflation, as expenses rise. This holds true for employee compensation expenses in the United States, where major tech companies such as Apple, Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN) are battling over engineers. Earlier this year, Bloomberg reported that Apple was giving out bonuses of up to $200,000 for engineers in order to retain talent. Pay increases for employees naturally increase expenses for Apple. When that goes hand in hand with low or no revenue growth, profits might come under pressure.</p><p>Other expenses are climbing as well, including for manufacturing, e.g. due to rising energy costs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), one of Apple&#39;s largest suppliers, is asking for higher payments per chip in the future. So far, Apple doesn&#39;t want to pay that. But since both companies rely on each other to some degree, it would not be surprising if they eventually agree on some price increase, although possibly less than what TSM is seeking.</p><p>No matter what, it seems pretty clear to me that Apple is exposed to these macro headwinds. Profits will not fall off a cliff, of course. But even stagnant profits would be an issue when we account for high inflation, and it would also not fit well versus the current rather high valuation Apple is trading at, which gets us to the next point.</p><h3>Apple Is Historically Expensive</h3><p>Total returns are driven by underlying growth and shareholder returns. But valuation plays a role as well, due to the potential for multiple expansion and multiple compression. Buying companies when they trade below the normal range is thus a good idea, as it increases the upside potential for investors and as it reduces downside risk. On the other hand, buying at historically high valuations reduces the share price upside, as multiple compression is more likely than further multiple expansion. When shares are bought at a historically high valuation, the downside risk is more pronounced as well, making this a risky choice.</p><p>Apple is a company that is currently trading well above the historic norm:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13dc74788f8d171077e230ec95c47ca6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Apple currently is valued at more than 13x forward EBITDA. That&#39;s a pretty high valuation in absolute terms, considering Apple is an established company that&#39;s not growing fast any longer. Even worse, the current valuation is way higher than it used to be in the past. Apple is trading at a 79% premium versus the 10-year average valuation. Even relative to the 5-year median, Apple is currently expensive. Interest rates have risen considerably in recent months, which should, in theory, lead to lower valuations for equities due to higher discount rates. Apple is thus historically expensive at a time when equities should become less expensive than they used to be in a zero-interest-rate-environment.</p><p>I believe that this means two things: First, Apple is at risk of seeing its valuation compress substantially. A reversal toward the historic norm would result in steep losses for investors. Even if that does not happen, it seems likely that future returns will be limited. Secondly, a stock&#39;s valuation can&#39;t increase forever, especially not in a recessionary environment where interest rates are climbing. Multiple normalization should offset some of the underlying growth Apple will generate in the future. In the past, buying Apple at or below the historic valuation norm worked very well. Buying it at historic highs will not work as fine, I believe. Five years ago, Apple was trading for 11x EBITDA - it was inexpensive in absolute terms and not historically expensive. Those that bought back then have benefitted from massive multiple expansion tailwinds. But the same will most likely not happen for those that buy here, as Apple is trading well above the historic norm right now, making further multiple expansion rather unlikely, I think.</p><p>It&#39;s also important to note that the high valuation works against investors when it comes to share repurchases. Those were very effective at creating shareholder value when Apple was trading at half the current valuation. Today, shares have to be bought back at a pretty high multiple, meaning buybacks are less efficient and the positive impact on earnings per share growth will be diminished.</p><h3>Apple Has So Far Not Fallen As Much As The Market</h3><p>I believe that there&#39;s a third reason to not be too optimistic when it comes to Apple&#39;s near-term share price potential. The stock has declined versus recent highs, but not too much. In fact, Apple has outperformed the broad market:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/284ac596a251c5e7af4121a1525060f7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>From this year&#39;s highs, Apple has declined by 16% so far. The broad market has dropped by 23%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq index (QQQ) has dropped by a hefty 31%. Apple&#39;s outperformance is positive for current holders, especially for those that are looking toward locking in gains. But I do believe that the less pronounced fall in AAPL&#39;s stock, relative to the broad market, makes it less appealing for new buyers. After all, the best deals are made when stocks have dropped a lot. That is the case for a wide range of other equities, including many tech stocks. But since Apple has not dropped much, we don&#39;t really have a pronounced buying opportunity here. Apple&#39;s valuation also has declined less than that of the broad market, which could mean that it has further to fall in the coming weeks.</p><p>Apple repeatedly dropped by 30%, 40%, or even more from its highs over the last decade. Following these drops, it was always a great buy. But such a drop has not yet materialized here. In case it does, current holders would see significant share price declines - and those not buying today, when AAPL is still trading at a historically high valuation, could get a much better buying opportunity down the road.</p><h3>Final Thoughts</h3><p>Apple is a quality company, that is pretty clear. But even quality companies can be bad investments when bought at the wrong price/valuation. Microsoft during the dot.com bubble is a great example of that - despite great margins, great returns on capital, strong growth, and a clean balance sheet, MSFT saw its shares drop massively when the bubble burst.</p><p>Apple is not as overvalued as MSFT was back then, but Apple undoubtedly is expensive. Despite weak expected growth, Apple trades at a premium to the market. And even more telling, it is way more expensive than it used to be.</p><p>Since Apple is not immune to a recession and inflation, I do believe that it is not a good investment at current prices. Shares have not dropped a lot yet and are not at all a bargain at current prices, which is why &#34;fear&#34; seems more appropriate than &#34;greed&#34;.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: \"Fear\" Seems More Appropriate Than \"Greed\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: \"Fear\" Seems More Appropriate Than \"Greed\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-30 22:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543687-apple-be-fearful><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple is exposed to a recession. Orders are not as high as the company thought they would be, and weak consumer sentiment is a headwind.Apple is still historically expensive, despite the fact ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543687-apple-be-fearful\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543687-apple-be-fearful","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153038118","content_text":"SummaryApple is exposed to a recession. Orders are not as high as the company thought they would be, and weak consumer sentiment is a headwind.Apple is still historically expensive, despite the fact that rising rates should lead to equity multiple compression.AAPL has so far not dropped a lot. This is not really a good buy-the-dip opportunity. Being fearful makes more sense than being greedy right now.Article ThesisApple has undoubtedly been a strong investment over the last couple of years. But in the current environment, the downside risk could be larger than the upside potential, due to several reasons we'll lay out in this article. Despite the recent share price decline, investors thus shouldn't be \"greedy\" in the current environment. Instead, being \"fearful\" and staying away could be the better choice.Why Apple Could Underperform Going ForwardApple is up by a hefty 280% over the last five years. Clearly, everyone that bought it years ago has made a great choice. But that does not mean that buying today will be a similarly good investment. There are several reasons to believe that things will be different going forward.Recession And Business RisksThe first reason is that Apple faces considerable risks to its business stemming from both an economic downturn and high inflation. Apple is primarily a consumer hardware company, clearly making it a discretionary consumer goods player. During harsh times, consumers are not saving money by buying less food, fewer cigarettes, or less toothpaste. Instead, they cut back on items that are nice but not necessary - such as a new car, holiday travel, dining at restaurants, or new phones. Many people buy new phones regularly even though their old ones still work - during a recession, that could change. After all, cash-strapped consumers might decide to keep their old phones for a little longer, or they might opt for a cheaper new phone.To some degree, Apple is protected by the fact that many of its customers have above-average incomes. But that does not hold true for all of Apple's customers, and even those with solid incomes are feeling the pinch of inflation and an economic downturn today. This summer, it was reported that two out of three Americans are spending their savings, thus even some people with above-average incomes are coming under pressure from a financial perspective. Combine this with increasing interest rates and a worsening macroeconomic picture, and it would not be surprising to see more consumers opt for fewer or cheaper purchases when it comes to discretionary items, which include Apple's phones, tablets, PCs, etc. Apple's service business could be better-protected from this trend, as consumers don't make big single purchases when they opt for a subscription, but in essence, these items are discretionary (not needed) as well, and even though the service business could fare better, the vast majority of Apple's revenue and profit is generated by the more vulnerable hardware business.Apple is already forecasted to see its revenue growth drop to a low-single-digit rate over the next couple of quarters, according to the analyst consensus. In real terms, this means a significant revenue decline due to inflation running at a high-single-digit rate. Apple has just announced that it would not add to its iPhone orders, as demand is lower than expected. This makes it likely that Wall Street analysts will revise their estimates downward for the next couple of quarters, as Apple looks like it could underperform current expectations, where lower orders than previously thought were not yet accounted for.That's not the only macro issue, however. Apple could also come under pressure from inflation, as expenses rise. This holds true for employee compensation expenses in the United States, where major tech companies such as Apple, Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN) are battling over engineers. Earlier this year, Bloomberg reported that Apple was giving out bonuses of up to $200,000 for engineers in order to retain talent. Pay increases for employees naturally increase expenses for Apple. When that goes hand in hand with low or no revenue growth, profits might come under pressure.Other expenses are climbing as well, including for manufacturing, e.g. due to rising energy costs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), one of Apple's largest suppliers, is asking for higher payments per chip in the future. So far, Apple doesn't want to pay that. But since both companies rely on each other to some degree, it would not be surprising if they eventually agree on some price increase, although possibly less than what TSM is seeking.No matter what, it seems pretty clear to me that Apple is exposed to these macro headwinds. Profits will not fall off a cliff, of course. But even stagnant profits would be an issue when we account for high inflation, and it would also not fit well versus the current rather high valuation Apple is trading at, which gets us to the next point.Apple Is Historically ExpensiveTotal returns are driven by underlying growth and shareholder returns. But valuation plays a role as well, due to the potential for multiple expansion and multiple compression. Buying companies when they trade below the normal range is thus a good idea, as it increases the upside potential for investors and as it reduces downside risk. On the other hand, buying at historically high valuations reduces the share price upside, as multiple compression is more likely than further multiple expansion. When shares are bought at a historically high valuation, the downside risk is more pronounced as well, making this a risky choice.Apple is a company that is currently trading well above the historic norm:Apple currently is valued at more than 13x forward EBITDA. That's a pretty high valuation in absolute terms, considering Apple is an established company that's not growing fast any longer. Even worse, the current valuation is way higher than it used to be in the past. Apple is trading at a 79% premium versus the 10-year average valuation. Even relative to the 5-year median, Apple is currently expensive. Interest rates have risen considerably in recent months, which should, in theory, lead to lower valuations for equities due to higher discount rates. Apple is thus historically expensive at a time when equities should become less expensive than they used to be in a zero-interest-rate-environment.I believe that this means two things: First, Apple is at risk of seeing its valuation compress substantially. A reversal toward the historic norm would result in steep losses for investors. Even if that does not happen, it seems likely that future returns will be limited. Secondly, a stock's valuation can't increase forever, especially not in a recessionary environment where interest rates are climbing. Multiple normalization should offset some of the underlying growth Apple will generate in the future. In the past, buying Apple at or below the historic valuation norm worked very well. Buying it at historic highs will not work as fine, I believe. Five years ago, Apple was trading for 11x EBITDA - it was inexpensive in absolute terms and not historically expensive. Those that bought back then have benefitted from massive multiple expansion tailwinds. But the same will most likely not happen for those that buy here, as Apple is trading well above the historic norm right now, making further multiple expansion rather unlikely, I think.It's also important to note that the high valuation works against investors when it comes to share repurchases. Those were very effective at creating shareholder value when Apple was trading at half the current valuation. Today, shares have to be bought back at a pretty high multiple, meaning buybacks are less efficient and the positive impact on earnings per share growth will be diminished.Apple Has So Far Not Fallen As Much As The MarketI believe that there's a third reason to not be too optimistic when it comes to Apple's near-term share price potential. The stock has declined versus recent highs, but not too much. In fact, Apple has outperformed the broad market:From this year's highs, Apple has declined by 16% so far. The broad market has dropped by 23%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq index (QQQ) has dropped by a hefty 31%. Apple's outperformance is positive for current holders, especially for those that are looking toward locking in gains. But I do believe that the less pronounced fall in AAPL's stock, relative to the broad market, makes it less appealing for new buyers. After all, the best deals are made when stocks have dropped a lot. That is the case for a wide range of other equities, including many tech stocks. But since Apple has not dropped much, we don't really have a pronounced buying opportunity here. Apple's valuation also has declined less than that of the broad market, which could mean that it has further to fall in the coming weeks.Apple repeatedly dropped by 30%, 40%, or even more from its highs over the last decade. Following these drops, it was always a great buy. But such a drop has not yet materialized here. In case it does, current holders would see significant share price declines - and those not buying today, when AAPL is still trading at a historically high valuation, could get a much better buying opportunity down the road.Final ThoughtsApple is a quality company, that is pretty clear. But even quality companies can be bad investments when bought at the wrong price/valuation. Microsoft during the dot.com bubble is a great example of that - despite great margins, great returns on capital, strong growth, and a clean balance sheet, MSFT saw its shares drop massively when the bubble burst.Apple is not as overvalued as MSFT was back then, but Apple undoubtedly is expensive. Despite weak expected growth, Apple trades at a premium to the market. And even more telling, it is way more expensive than it used to be.Since Apple is not immune to a recession and inflation, I do believe that it is not a good investment at current prices. Shares have not dropped a lot yet and are not at all a bargain at current prices, which is why \"fear\" seems more appropriate than \"greed\".","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086977557,"gmtCreate":1650413420769,"gmtModify":1676534717316,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>oop","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>oop","text":"$SOS Limited(SOS)$oop","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4f35c0ac92e8a7341a6871c37b6931c2","width":"1080","height":"3237"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086977557","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815347633,"gmtCreate":1630650386922,"gmtModify":1676530366078,"author":{"id":"3582025954833628","authorId":"3582025954833628","name":"LplMichelle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f2fe5070ffb7507fcc119e4bce015e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582025954833628","authorIdStr":"3582025954833628"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment","listText":"Please like and comment","text":"Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/815347633","repostId":"2164829818","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2164829818","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1630615505,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2164829818?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-03 04:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P, Nasdaq edge to record closes, energy stocks buoyant","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2164829818","media":"Reuters","summary":"Energy stocks rally on oil price gains\nWeekly jobless claims fall\nIndexes up: Dow 0.37%, S&P 0.28%, ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Energy stocks rally on oil price gains</li>\n <li>Weekly jobless claims fall</li>\n <li>Indexes up: Dow 0.37%, S&amp;P 0.28%, Nasdaq 0.14%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sept 2 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq eked out record finishes on Thursday, while the Dow also posted a modest gain, as higher commodity prices helped energy names recover ground and the latest jobs data left investors unfazed about existing positions.</p>\n<p>The energy sector rose 2.5%, reversing much of the loss suffered during the first three days of the week. Thursday's performance was fueled by U.S. crude prices jumping 2% on a sharp decline in U.S. inventories and a weaker dollar.</p>\n<p>Cabot Oil &amp; Gas Corp and Occidental Petroleum Corp&nbsp;were the largest risers, up 6.7% and 6% respectively, with oil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp both advancing more than 2%.</p>\n<p>The technology index slipped into negative territory, as some of the industry's largest companies saw their recent upward momentum stall.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc and Google-owner Alphabet Inc all fell between 0.2% and 1.8%. A notable exception was Netflix Inc, which advanced 1.1% to close at an all-time high.</p>\n<p>U.S. stocks have regularly hit record highs over the past few weeks as a solid corporate earnings season and hopes of continued central bank support underpinned confidence.</p>\n<p>Still, each new data set is viewed through the prism of whether the numbers might influence the Federal Reserve's tapering timetable.</p>\n<p>\"I feel like sometimes we end up trying to read the tea-leaves too hard, and the Fed has been pretty good on communicating on (tapering),\" said Jason Pride, chief investment officer of private wealth at Glenmede, noting the Fed remains on the path to begin tapering around year-end.</p>\n<p>Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week, although the focus will be on the Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday to set the stage for the Fed's policy meeting later this month.</p>\n<p>\"You have to see very wide beats or misses in this data to really change people's minds,\" said Greg Boutle, U.S. head of equity and derivative strategy at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>.</p>\n<p>\"Investors are either in this renormalization camp that thinks inflation will not happen, or they believe there will be some persistence to inflation. Really, it will be a collection of beats or misses that will move the needle for investors and the Fed, rather than a single data point.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.29 points, or 0.37%, to 35,443.82, the S&amp;P 500 gained 12.86 points, or 0.28%, to 4,536.95 and the Nasdaq Composite added 21.80 points, or 0.14%, to 15,331.18.</p>\n<p>Despite deadly flash floods in New York City, trading on Wall Street was operating normally.</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo rose 2.6% after three straight sessions of losses. The lender had been weighed by a report it could face further regulatory sanctions over the pace of compensating victims of a years-long sales practice scandal.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.23 billion shares, compared with the 9.01 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 78 new 52-week highs and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 154 new highs and 14 new lows.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Shashank Nayar in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Aditya Soni and Lisa Shumaker)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P, Nasdaq edge to record closes, energy stocks buoyant</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P, Nasdaq edge to record closes, energy stocks buoyant\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-03 04:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Energy stocks rally on oil price gains</li>\n <li>Weekly jobless claims fall</li>\n <li>Indexes up: Dow 0.37%, S&amp;P 0.28%, Nasdaq 0.14%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sept 2 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq eked out record finishes on Thursday, while the Dow also posted a modest gain, as higher commodity prices helped energy names recover ground and the latest jobs data left investors unfazed about existing positions.</p>\n<p>The energy sector rose 2.5%, reversing much of the loss suffered during the first three days of the week. Thursday's performance was fueled by U.S. crude prices jumping 2% on a sharp decline in U.S. inventories and a weaker dollar.</p>\n<p>Cabot Oil &amp; Gas Corp and Occidental Petroleum Corp&nbsp;were the largest risers, up 6.7% and 6% respectively, with oil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp both advancing more than 2%.</p>\n<p>The technology index slipped into negative territory, as some of the industry's largest companies saw their recent upward momentum stall.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc and Google-owner Alphabet Inc all fell between 0.2% and 1.8%. A notable exception was Netflix Inc, which advanced 1.1% to close at an all-time high.</p>\n<p>U.S. stocks have regularly hit record highs over the past few weeks as a solid corporate earnings season and hopes of continued central bank support underpinned confidence.</p>\n<p>Still, each new data set is viewed through the prism of whether the numbers might influence the Federal Reserve's tapering timetable.</p>\n<p>\"I feel like sometimes we end up trying to read the tea-leaves too hard, and the Fed has been pretty good on communicating on (tapering),\" said Jason Pride, chief investment officer of private wealth at Glenmede, noting the Fed remains on the path to begin tapering around year-end.</p>\n<p>Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week, although the focus will be on the Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday to set the stage for the Fed's policy meeting later this month.</p>\n<p>\"You have to see very wide beats or misses in this data to really change people's minds,\" said Greg Boutle, U.S. head of equity and derivative strategy at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>.</p>\n<p>\"Investors are either in this renormalization camp that thinks inflation will not happen, or they believe there will be some persistence to inflation. Really, it will be a collection of beats or misses that will move the needle for investors and the Fed, rather than a single data point.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.29 points, or 0.37%, to 35,443.82, the S&amp;P 500 gained 12.86 points, or 0.28%, to 4,536.95 and the Nasdaq Composite added 21.80 points, or 0.14%, to 15,331.18.</p>\n<p>Despite deadly flash floods in New York City, trading on Wall Street was operating normally.</p>\n<p>Wells Fargo rose 2.6% after three straight sessions of losses. The lender had been weighed by a report it could face further regulatory sanctions over the pace of compensating victims of a years-long sales practice scandal.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.23 billion shares, compared with the 9.01 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 78 new 52-week highs and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 154 new highs and 14 new lows.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Shashank Nayar in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Aditya Soni and Lisa Shumaker)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2164829818","content_text":"Energy stocks rally on oil price gains\nWeekly jobless claims fall\nIndexes up: Dow 0.37%, S&P 0.28%, Nasdaq 0.14%\n\nSept 2 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq eked out record finishes on Thursday, while the Dow also posted a modest gain, as higher commodity prices helped energy names recover ground and the latest jobs data left investors unfazed about existing positions.\nThe energy sector rose 2.5%, reversing much of the loss suffered during the first three days of the week. Thursday's performance was fueled by U.S. crude prices jumping 2% on a sharp decline in U.S. inventories and a weaker dollar.\nCabot Oil & Gas Corp and Occidental Petroleum Corp were the largest risers, up 6.7% and 6% respectively, with oil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp both advancing more than 2%.\nThe technology index slipped into negative territory, as some of the industry's largest companies saw their recent upward momentum stall.\nAmazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp, Facebook Inc and Google-owner Alphabet Inc all fell between 0.2% and 1.8%. A notable exception was Netflix Inc, which advanced 1.1% to close at an all-time high.\nU.S. stocks have regularly hit record highs over the past few weeks as a solid corporate earnings season and hopes of continued central bank support underpinned confidence.\nStill, each new data set is viewed through the prism of whether the numbers might influence the Federal Reserve's tapering timetable.\n\"I feel like sometimes we end up trying to read the tea-leaves too hard, and the Fed has been pretty good on communicating on (tapering),\" said Jason Pride, chief investment officer of private wealth at Glenmede, noting the Fed remains on the path to begin tapering around year-end.\nData on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week, although the focus will be on the Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday to set the stage for the Fed's policy meeting later this month.\n\"You have to see very wide beats or misses in this data to really change people's minds,\" said Greg Boutle, U.S. head of equity and derivative strategy at BNP Paribas.\n\"Investors are either in this renormalization camp that thinks inflation will not happen, or they believe there will be some persistence to inflation. Really, it will be a collection of beats or misses that will move the needle for investors and the Fed, rather than a single data point.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.29 points, or 0.37%, to 35,443.82, the S&P 500 gained 12.86 points, or 0.28%, to 4,536.95 and the Nasdaq Composite added 21.80 points, or 0.14%, to 15,331.18.\nDespite deadly flash floods in New York City, trading on Wall Street was operating normally.\nWells Fargo rose 2.6% after three straight sessions of losses. The lender had been weighed by a report it could face further regulatory sanctions over the pace of compensating victims of a years-long sales practice scandal.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.23 billion shares, compared with the 9.01 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nThe S&P 500 posted 78 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 154 new highs and 14 new lows.\n(Reporting by Shashank Nayar in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Aditya Soni and Lisa Shumaker)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}