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Miketee74

Miketee74

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11-05 15:43

loss about 870k on the amount of share sold just because can't wait for one more day before the Q3 result announcement! Smart ?

Cathie Wood's Latest Shake-up: Dumps Palantir And Jack Dorsey's Block Along With Tesla, Buys Amazon And Meta

11-01

Haha...it is the big shark that made the downturn of the price of Palantir!

Stock Track | Palantir Plunges 6.59% Pre-Market as Prominent Investors Trim Stakes

10-29

Could be higher! Not to worry.

@Samlunch:$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $NVDA WAS AT A 64/PE AT $15 IN 2021 $NVDA IS NOW AT A 64 P/E AT $142 IN 2024 This is why stocks can be expensive but not overvalued at the same. Now looking back, everyone can agree that Nvidia was NOT overvalued at $15 in 2021 given its up 10x since then, but at a 64 P/E, it was expensive. You needed some imagination to see past the numbers in 2021 to see what Nvidia could become and what GPUs would do for the world.

10-29

Timing!

@Sm3xy:$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ Just a small time retailer but it was a good run. Cheers :)

10-29

Go for it

@Pinkspider:Palantir to $64

10-28

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$

10-18

Personally I don't really agreed with the comment. First, the insider is selling their share based on the guideline. Second, as a successful person must also be successful in personal financial plan. Thus, selling at good price for more income is normal. Furthermore, the CEO is also an investor! So, the person who do the analysis/study has the tendency of always hoping people to help while they are not in good term (my personal analysis). The company decided to buy back at high price is showing they have confident with their performance.

Insiders Sell Stock. Their Companies Buy. It's Not a Good Sign

10-17

based on technical chart analysis, it may be the time to cash out. However, this writer's projection of 20-25/share has high potential of own agenda - always push for short! 😂😂 so, investor need to use your own wisdom. Just my personal view.

Palantir: Time To Cash Out

10-11

From the title, I have already able to know who write it! Someone that seems more on selling short. After Palantir, now Nvidia.

Blackwell Won't Save Nvidia's Share Price

08-27

haha.. another short trader!

Palantir: Time To Sell

01-30

Bank of America - technical chart has forming inverted head and shoulder! Time to go buy in!

2022-10-06

Thanks

Tesla, NIO, XPeng, Li Auto, And BYD Deliveries: Winners And Losers

2022-10-06

Noted

QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now

2022-10-06

Thanks

3 Warren Buffett Stocks Most Likely to Soar in Q4

2022-10-05

Ok

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-05

Yes

U.S. Stocks Rise As Investors Build on Monday’s Rally, Dow Jumps 400 Points

2022-09-30

Okay

Google Vs. Meta: Which Is More Attractive?

2022-09-26

ok

One Bitcoin Equals One Bitcoin Becomes the Narrative as the Drop Gets "Too Painful"

2022-09-25

It is just the game of Wall Street! Mostly small investor will follow the panic!

If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”

2022-09-12

OK

Amazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Service - CNBC

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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about 870k on the amount of share sold just because can't wait for one more day before the Q3 result announcement! Smart ?&nbsp;","listText":"loss about 870k on the amount of share sold just because can't wait for one more day before the Q3 result announcement! Smart ?&nbsp;","text":"loss about 870k on the amount of share sold just because can't wait for one more day before the Q3 result announcement! Smart ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367717740626000","repostId":"1180356560","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180356560","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1730788561,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180356560?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-05 14:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood's Latest Shake-up: Dumps Palantir And Jack Dorsey's Block Along With Tesla, Buys Amazon And Meta","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180356560","media":"Benzinga","summary":"On Monday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, with the most notable being the trades in Coinbase Global Inc, Meta Platforms Inc, Palantir Technologies Inc, Block Inc, Tesla Inc and Am","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>On Monday, Cathie Wood-led <strong>Ark Invest</strong> made significant trades, with the most notable being the trades in <strong>Coinbase Global Inc</strong>, <strong>Meta Platforms Inc</strong>, <strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong>, <strong>Block Inc</strong>, <strong>Tesla Inc</strong> and <strong>Amazon.com, Inc</strong>.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Block Inc. Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest sold a total of 232,063 shares of Block Inc across its <strong>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</strong> (ARKF), <strong>ARK Innovation ETF (</strong>ARKK), and <strong>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</strong> (ARKW) funds. This move comes despite the <strong>Bitcoin</strong>-focused company’s recent positive second-quarter results, which showcased growth in its Cash App and strategic innovations.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CEO <strong>Jack Dorsey</strong>, announced a new round of layoffs at Tidal, aiming to restructure the company like a startup with a smaller team focused on engineering and design. Block, which acquired Tidal in 2021, has faced challenges competing in the streaming market.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The value of the trade, based on the closing price of $72.69 per share on Monday, is approximately $16.9 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Palantir Trade:</strong> Ark Invest’s ARKK and ARKF ETF sold 158,457 shares of Palantir. Given Palantir’s closing price of $41.41 on Monday, the value of this trade amounts to approximately $6.7 million. This move came amid Palantir’s recent third-quarter earnings report, which exceeded expectations.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As reported by Benzinga, Palantir’s third-quarter earnings showcased a revenue of $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 million. The company’s total revenue was up 30% year-over-year, with U.S. revenue growing 44% year-over-year to $499 million. The U.S. Commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year, and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Despite these strong financial results, Ark Invest’s decision to offload Palantir shares aligns with their recent trend of reducing holdings in the company.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Coinbase Global Inc. Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest’s ARKF fund bought 24,474 shares of Coinbase. The transaction was valued at $4.6 million. On Monday Coinbase shares ended the day 1.85% higher at $186.27.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">At the end of October, the company reported third-quarter revenue of $1.21 billion and earnings of $0.28 per share, both missing analyst expectations. Trading volume and transaction revenue declined quarter-over-quarter, while the company saw continued growth in its Base Layer Two network. Coinbase expects increased sales and marketing expenses in Q4 and highlighted the 2024 U.S. election as a potential factor for market volatility.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Meta Platforms Inc Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest’s <strong>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</strong> ARKW fund bought 6,153 shares of Meta Platforms Inc. This purchase follows Meta’s third-quarter financial results, which beat analyst estimates for both revenue and earnings per share. The value of the trade, based on the closing price of $560.68 per share on Monday, is approximately $3.45 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Tesla Trade:</strong> Ark Invest’s ETFs, ARKK and ARKW, sold a total of 9,984 shares of Tesla. Based on Tesla’s closing price of $242.84 on Monday, the value of this trade is approximately $2.42 million. This move comes in the wake of a reported decline in Tesla’s China-made vehicle deliveries in October, which saw a 5.3% drop compared to the same period last year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">This decision to sell Tesla shares is not new. Ark Invest has been gradually reducing its Tesla holdings.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Amazon Trade:</strong> Ark Invest’s <strong>ARK Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</strong> (ARKQ) purchased 5,843 shares of Amazon. With Amazon’s closing price at $195.78 on Monday, the trade’s value stands at approximately $1.14 million. This acquisition follows Amazon’s strong Q3 performance, with net sales up 11% year-over-year, significantly outperforming market expectations.</p><p><strong>Other Key Trades:</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Ark Invest’s ARKF fund sold shares of <strong>Draftkings Inc</strong> (DKNG) and bought shares of <strong>Shopify Inc</strong> (SHOP).</p></li><li><p>Ark Invest’s ARKG fund bought shares of <strong>Illumina Inc</strong> (ILMN) and sold shares of <strong>Standard BioTools Inc</strong> (LAB). The firm purchased shares of <strong>Moderna Inc</strong> (MRNA) and shares of <strong>Nurix Therapeutics Inc</strong> (NRIX), as well as those of <strong>Senti Biosciences Inc</strong> (SNTI).</p></li><li><p>Ark Invest’s ARKK fund bought shares of <strong>Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc</strong> (RXRX). The firm also purchased shares of <strong>Twist Bioscience Corp</strong> (TWST), and shares of <strong>Beam Therapeutics Inc</strong> (BEAM).</p></li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood's Latest Shake-up: Dumps Palantir And Jack Dorsey's Block Along With Tesla, Buys Amazon And Meta</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood's Latest Shake-up: Dumps Palantir And Jack Dorsey's Block Along With Tesla, Buys Amazon And Meta\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-05 14:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>On Monday, Cathie Wood-led <strong>Ark Invest</strong> made significant trades, with the most notable being the trades in <strong>Coinbase Global Inc</strong>, <strong>Meta Platforms Inc</strong>, <strong>Palantir Technologies Inc</strong>, <strong>Block Inc</strong>, <strong>Tesla Inc</strong> and <strong>Amazon.com, Inc</strong>.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Block Inc. Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest sold a total of 232,063 shares of Block Inc across its <strong>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</strong> (ARKF), <strong>ARK Innovation ETF (</strong>ARKK), and <strong>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</strong> (ARKW) funds. This move comes despite the <strong>Bitcoin</strong>-focused company’s recent positive second-quarter results, which showcased growth in its Cash App and strategic innovations.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">CEO <strong>Jack Dorsey</strong>, announced a new round of layoffs at Tidal, aiming to restructure the company like a startup with a smaller team focused on engineering and design. Block, which acquired Tidal in 2021, has faced challenges competing in the streaming market.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The value of the trade, based on the closing price of $72.69 per share on Monday, is approximately $16.9 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Palantir Trade:</strong> Ark Invest’s ARKK and ARKF ETF sold 158,457 shares of Palantir. Given Palantir’s closing price of $41.41 on Monday, the value of this trade amounts to approximately $6.7 million. This move came amid Palantir’s recent third-quarter earnings report, which exceeded expectations.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As reported by Benzinga, Palantir’s third-quarter earnings showcased a revenue of $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 million. The company’s total revenue was up 30% year-over-year, with U.S. revenue growing 44% year-over-year to $499 million. The U.S. Commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year, and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Despite these strong financial results, Ark Invest’s decision to offload Palantir shares aligns with their recent trend of reducing holdings in the company.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Coinbase Global Inc. Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest’s ARKF fund bought 24,474 shares of Coinbase. The transaction was valued at $4.6 million. On Monday Coinbase shares ended the day 1.85% higher at $186.27.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">At the end of October, the company reported third-quarter revenue of $1.21 billion and earnings of $0.28 per share, both missing analyst expectations. Trading volume and transaction revenue declined quarter-over-quarter, while the company saw continued growth in its Base Layer Two network. Coinbase expects increased sales and marketing expenses in Q4 and highlighted the 2024 U.S. election as a potential factor for market volatility.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Meta Platforms Inc Trade</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Ark Invest’s <strong>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</strong> ARKW fund bought 6,153 shares of Meta Platforms Inc. This purchase follows Meta’s third-quarter financial results, which beat analyst estimates for both revenue and earnings per share. The value of the trade, based on the closing price of $560.68 per share on Monday, is approximately $3.45 million.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Tesla Trade:</strong> Ark Invest’s ETFs, ARKK and ARKW, sold a total of 9,984 shares of Tesla. Based on Tesla’s closing price of $242.84 on Monday, the value of this trade is approximately $2.42 million. This move comes in the wake of a reported decline in Tesla’s China-made vehicle deliveries in October, which saw a 5.3% drop compared to the same period last year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">This decision to sell Tesla shares is not new. Ark Invest has been gradually reducing its Tesla holdings.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>The Amazon Trade:</strong> Ark Invest’s <strong>ARK Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</strong> (ARKQ) purchased 5,843 shares of Amazon. With Amazon’s closing price at $195.78 on Monday, the trade’s value stands at approximately $1.14 million. This acquisition follows Amazon’s strong Q3 performance, with net sales up 11% year-over-year, significantly outperforming market expectations.</p><p><strong>Other Key Trades:</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Ark Invest’s ARKF fund sold shares of <strong>Draftkings Inc</strong> (DKNG) and bought shares of <strong>Shopify Inc</strong> (SHOP).</p></li><li><p>Ark Invest’s ARKG fund bought shares of <strong>Illumina Inc</strong> (ILMN) and sold shares of <strong>Standard BioTools Inc</strong> (LAB). The firm purchased shares of <strong>Moderna Inc</strong> (MRNA) and shares of <strong>Nurix Therapeutics Inc</strong> (NRIX), as well as those of <strong>Senti Biosciences Inc</strong> (SNTI).</p></li><li><p>Ark Invest’s ARKK fund bought shares of <strong>Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc</strong> (RXRX). The firm also purchased shares of <strong>Twist Bioscience Corp</strong> (TWST), and shares of <strong>Beam Therapeutics Inc</strong> (BEAM).</p></li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BEAM":"Beam Therapeutics, Inc.","SQ":"Block","AMZN":"亚马逊","ILMN":"Illumina","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internation ETF","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","LAB":"Standard BioTools Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","TWST":"Twist Bioscience Corp","SNTI":"Senti Biosciences, Inc.","RXRX":"Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","NRIX":"Nurix Therapeutics"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180356560","content_text":"On Monday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, with the most notable being the trades in Coinbase Global Inc, Meta Platforms Inc, Palantir Technologies Inc, Block Inc, Tesla Inc and Amazon.com, Inc.The Block Inc. TradeArk Invest sold a total of 232,063 shares of Block Inc across its Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF), ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), and ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) funds. This move comes despite the Bitcoin-focused company’s recent positive second-quarter results, which showcased growth in its Cash App and strategic innovations.CEO Jack Dorsey, announced a new round of layoffs at Tidal, aiming to restructure the company like a startup with a smaller team focused on engineering and design. Block, which acquired Tidal in 2021, has faced challenges competing in the streaming market.The value of the trade, based on the closing price of $72.69 per share on Monday, is approximately $16.9 million.The Palantir Trade: Ark Invest’s ARKK and ARKF ETF sold 158,457 shares of Palantir. Given Palantir’s closing price of $41.41 on Monday, the value of this trade amounts to approximately $6.7 million. This move came amid Palantir’s recent third-quarter earnings report, which exceeded expectations.As reported by Benzinga, Palantir’s third-quarter earnings showcased a revenue of $725.52 million, beating the consensus estimate of $701.13 million. The company’s total revenue was up 30% year-over-year, with U.S. revenue growing 44% year-over-year to $499 million. The U.S. Commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year, and U.S. Government revenue climbed 40% year-over-year.Despite these strong financial results, Ark Invest’s decision to offload Palantir shares aligns with their recent trend of reducing holdings in the company.The Coinbase Global Inc. TradeArk Invest’s ARKF fund bought 24,474 shares of Coinbase. The transaction was valued at $4.6 million. On Monday Coinbase shares ended the day 1.85% higher at $186.27.At the end of October, the company reported third-quarter revenue of $1.21 billion and earnings of $0.28 per share, both missing analyst expectations. Trading volume and transaction revenue declined quarter-over-quarter, while the company saw continued growth in its Base Layer Two network. Coinbase expects increased sales and marketing expenses in Q4 and highlighted the 2024 U.S. election as a potential factor for market volatility.The Meta Platforms Inc TradeArk Invest’s ARK Next Generation Internet ETF ARKW fund bought 6,153 shares of Meta Platforms Inc. This purchase follows Meta’s third-quarter financial results, which beat analyst estimates for both revenue and earnings per share. The value of the trade, based on the closing price of $560.68 per share on Monday, is approximately $3.45 million.The Tesla Trade: Ark Invest’s ETFs, ARKK and ARKW, sold a total of 9,984 shares of Tesla. Based on Tesla’s closing price of $242.84 on Monday, the value of this trade is approximately $2.42 million. This move comes in the wake of a reported decline in Tesla’s China-made vehicle deliveries in October, which saw a 5.3% drop compared to the same period last year.This decision to sell Tesla shares is not new. Ark Invest has been gradually reducing its Tesla holdings.The Amazon Trade: Ark Invest’s ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF (ARKQ) purchased 5,843 shares of Amazon. With Amazon’s closing price at $195.78 on Monday, the trade’s value stands at approximately $1.14 million. This acquisition follows Amazon’s strong Q3 performance, with net sales up 11% year-over-year, significantly outperforming market expectations.Other Key Trades:Ark Invest’s ARKF fund sold shares of Draftkings Inc (DKNG) and bought shares of Shopify Inc (SHOP).Ark Invest’s ARKG fund bought shares of Illumina Inc (ILMN) and sold shares of Standard BioTools Inc (LAB). The firm purchased shares of Moderna Inc (MRNA) and shares of Nurix Therapeutics Inc (NRIX), as well as those of Senti Biosciences Inc (SNTI).Ark Invest’s ARKK fund bought shares of Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX). The firm also purchased shares of Twist Bioscience Corp (TWST), and shares of Beam Therapeutics Inc (BEAM).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366284176023576,"gmtCreate":1730433157858,"gmtModify":1730433162721,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Haha...it is the big shark that made the downturn of the price of Palantir!&nbsp;","listText":"Haha...it is the big shark that made the downturn of the price of Palantir!&nbsp;","text":"Haha...it is the big shark that made the downturn of the price of Palantir!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366284176023576","repostId":"1168911905","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168911905","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Track stock‘s movements and relevant news","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Stock Track","id":"1086803395","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390"},"pubTimestamp":1730366791,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168911905?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-31 17:26","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Stock Track | Palantir Plunges 6.59% Pre-Market as Prominent Investors Trim Stakes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168911905","media":"Stock Track","summary":"Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc.  plunged 6.59% in pre-market trading on Wednesday, October 31, 2024, as prominent investors continued to trim their stakes in the data-mining specialist.Billionaire Philippe Laffont of Coatue Management, a technology-focused hedge fund, has been a significant seller of Palantir shares. During the June-ended quarter, Laffont and his team dumped their entire stake in the company, divesting 4,816,195 shares.Valuation concerns may have prompted Laffont's decision","content":"<p>Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) plunged 6.59% in pre-market trading on Wednesday, October 31, 2024, as prominent investors continued to trim their stakes in the data-mining specialist.</p>\n\n<p>Billionaire Philippe Laffont of Coatue Management, a technology-focused hedge fund, has been a significant seller of Palantir shares. During the June-ended quarter, Laffont and his team dumped their entire stake in the company, divesting 4,816,195 shares.</p>\n\n<p>Valuation concerns may have prompted Laffont's decision. Palantir is currently trading at a lofty valuation of 105 times forecast earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 29 times forecast revenue, a premium that some analysts consider excessive given the potential limitations of Palantir's Gotham platform. The platform is designed to work exclusively with the U.S. government and its allies, which could cap its long-term growth potential.</p>\n\n<p>Cathie Wood of ARK Invest has also been reducing her funds' exposure to Palantir. On Wednesday, ARK Invest sold a total of 372,730 shares across its various ETFs, despite Palantir's recent 52-week high and a strategic partnership with L3Harris Technologies Inc.</p>","source":"ai_movement_en","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Track | Palantir Plunges 6.59% Pre-Market as Prominent Investors Trim Stakes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Track | Palantir Plunges 6.59% Pre-Market as Prominent Investors Trim Stakes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086803395\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Stock Track </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-31 17:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) plunged 6.59% in pre-market trading on Wednesday, October 31, 2024, as prominent investors continued to trim their stakes in the data-mining specialist.</p>\n\n<p>Billionaire Philippe Laffont of Coatue Management, a technology-focused hedge fund, has been a significant seller of Palantir shares. During the June-ended quarter, Laffont and his team dumped their entire stake in the company, divesting 4,816,195 shares.</p>\n\n<p>Valuation concerns may have prompted Laffont's decision. Palantir is currently trading at a lofty valuation of 105 times forecast earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 29 times forecast revenue, a premium that some analysts consider excessive given the potential limitations of Palantir's Gotham platform. The platform is designed to work exclusively with the U.S. government and its allies, which could cap its long-term growth potential.</p>\n\n<p>Cathie Wood of ARK Invest has also been reducing her funds' exposure to Palantir. On Wednesday, ARK Invest sold a total of 372,730 shares across its various ETFs, despite Palantir's recent 52-week high and a strategic partnership with L3Harris Technologies Inc.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168911905","content_text":"Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) plunged 6.59% in pre-market trading on Wednesday, October 31, 2024, as prominent investors continued to trim their stakes in the data-mining specialist.\nBillionaire Philippe Laffont of Coatue Management, a technology-focused hedge fund, has been a significant seller of Palantir shares. During the June-ended quarter, Laffont and his team dumped their entire stake in the company, divesting 4,816,195 shares.\nValuation concerns may have prompted Laffont's decision. Palantir is currently trading at a lofty valuation of 105 times forecast earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 29 times forecast revenue, a premium that some analysts consider excessive given the potential limitations of Palantir's Gotham platform. The platform is designed to work exclusively with the U.S. government and its allies, which could cap its long-term growth potential.\nCathie Wood of ARK Invest has also been reducing her funds' exposure to Palantir. On Wednesday, ARK Invest sold a total of 372,730 shares across its various ETFs, despite Palantir's recent 52-week high and a strategic partnership with L3Harris Technologies Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365286934978592,"gmtCreate":1730191620764,"gmtModify":1730191624270,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Could be higher! Not to worry.&nbsp;","listText":"Could be higher! Not to worry.&nbsp;","text":"Could be higher! Not to worry.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365286934978592","repostId":"364900141125656","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":364900141125656,"gmtCreate":1730130554432,"gmtModify":1730171440982,"author":{"id":"3555293442593045","authorId":"3555293442593045","name":"Samlunch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17478579b111537e74aea4d338e8aef5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555293442593045","authorIdStr":"3555293442593045"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; $NVDA WAS AT A 64/PE AT $15 IN 2021 $NVDA IS NOW AT A 64 P/E AT $142 IN 2024 This is why stocks can be expensive but not overvalued at the same. Now looking back, everyone can agree that Nvidia was NOT overvalued at $15 in 2021 given its up 10x since then, but at a 64 P/E, it was expensive. You needed some imagination to see past the numbers in 2021 to see what Nvidia could become and what GPUs would do for the world.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; $NVDA WAS AT A 64/PE AT $15 IN 2021 $NVDA IS NOW AT A 64 P/E AT $142 IN 2024 This is why stocks can be expensive but not overvalued at the same. Now looking back, everyone can agree that Nvidia was NOT overvalued at $15 in 2021 given its up 10x since then, but at a 64 P/E, it was expensive. You needed some imagination to see past the numbers in 2021 to see what Nvidia could become and what GPUs would do for the world.","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $NVDA WAS AT A 64/PE AT $15 IN 2021 $NVDA IS NOW AT A 64 P/E AT $142 IN 2024 This is why stocks can be expensive but not overvalued at the same. Now looking back, everyone can agree that Nvidia was NOT overvalued at $15 in 2021 given its up 10x since then, but at a 64 P/E, it was expensive. You needed some imagination to see past the numbers in 2021 to see what Nvidia could become and what GPUs would do for the world.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4edb444b05016dfe034b57bd8ca44b02","width":"1125","height":"760"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/364900141125656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365286596874400,"gmtCreate":1730191538371,"gmtModify":1730191541869,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Timing!","listText":"Timing!","text":"Timing!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365286596874400","repostId":"365029458956536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":365029458956536,"gmtCreate":1730128855256,"gmtModify":1730174586759,"author":{"id":"3575375821852757","authorId":"3575375821852757","name":"Sm3xy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575375821852757","authorIdStr":"3575375821852757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DJT\">$Trump Media &amp; Technology(DJT)$&nbsp;</a> Just a small time retailer but it was a good run. Cheers :)","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DJT\">$Trump Media &amp; Technology(DJT)$&nbsp;</a> Just a small time retailer but it was a good run. Cheers :)","text":"$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ Just a small time retailer but it was a good run. Cheers :)","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8e4d02029628fb5312e22f5799402ad7","width":"1086","height":"1713"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365029458956536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365286372831424,"gmtCreate":1730191484236,"gmtModify":1730191487871,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go for it","listText":"Go for it","text":"Go for it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365286372831424","repostId":"365035666907304","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":365035666907304,"gmtCreate":1730130276458,"gmtModify":1730130283777,"author":{"id":"3563842318594455","authorId":"3563842318594455","name":"Pinkspider","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2643891549304031c32c05b207f0f2b6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563842318594455","authorIdStr":"3563842318594455"},"themes":[],"title":"Palantir to $64","htmlText":"$PLTR can go as high as $64.....but it needs to buy time. Revenue growth does not justify this valuation right now. $PLTR needs to allow Revenue to substantially grow before it can move higher and this requires a pull back first. Real $PLTR bulls want to add but not at this level.","listText":"$PLTR can go as high as $64.....but it needs to buy time. Revenue growth does not justify this valuation right now. $PLTR needs to allow Revenue to substantially grow before it can move higher and this requires a pull back first. Real $PLTR bulls want to add but not at this level.","text":"$PLTR can go as high as $64.....but it needs to buy time. Revenue growth does not justify this valuation right now. $PLTR needs to allow Revenue to substantially grow before it can move higher and this requires a pull back first. Real $PLTR bulls want to add but not at this level.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/67b623d927fe97c16e85471aa2746c70","width":"2048","height":"1075"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365035666907304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364803220066360,"gmtCreate":1730073624605,"gmtModify":1730073628765,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3fddf3784bb158a164dd4ad1c4d9cb75","width":"927","height":"1599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/364803220066360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361344537874672,"gmtCreate":1729252359795,"gmtModify":1729770879223,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Personally I don't really agreed with the comment. First, the insider is selling their share based on the guideline. Second, as a successful person must also be successful in personal financial plan. Thus, selling at good price for more income is normal. Furthermore, the CEO is also an investor! So, the person who do the analysis/study has the tendency of always hoping people to help while they are not in good term (my personal analysis). The company decided to buy back at high price is showing they have confident with their performance.&nbsp;","listText":"Personally I don't really agreed with the comment. First, the insider is selling their share based on the guideline. Second, as a successful person must also be successful in personal financial plan. Thus, selling at good price for more income is normal. Furthermore, the CEO is also an investor! So, the person who do the analysis/study has the tendency of always hoping people to help while they are not in good term (my personal analysis). The company decided to buy back at high price is showing they have confident with their performance.&nbsp;","text":"Personally I don't really agreed with the comment. First, the insider is selling their share based on the guideline. Second, as a successful person must also be successful in personal financial plan. Thus, selling at good price for more income is normal. Furthermore, the CEO is also an investor! So, the person who do the analysis/study has the tendency of always hoping people to help while they are not in good term (my personal analysis). The company decided to buy back at high price is showing they have confident with their performance.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":20,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/361344537874672","repostId":"2476471829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2476471829","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1729241637,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2476471829?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-18 16:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Insiders Sell Stock. Their Companies Buy. It's Not a Good Sign","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2476471829","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they're buying with their other.In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies' cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn't bode well for the market.Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That's the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns' analysis.In contrast to the insiders' stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies' shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron's that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations' announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that \"by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.\". In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies' repurchase decisions, in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they&#39;re buying with their other.</p><p>In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies&#39; cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn&#39;t bode well for the market.</p><p>Insiders&#39; stinginess when it comes to their own money is illustrated by data compiled by InsiderSentiment.com, a website maintained by Nejat and Jon Seyhun. The former is a finance professor at the University of Michigan and one of academia&#39;s leading experts on interpreting the behavior of insiders. The latter is an analyst at InsiderSentiment.</p><p>Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That&#39;s the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns&#39; analysis.</p><p>Consider Nvidia. Over the past three months, insiders have sold more than $700 million of the company&#39;s stock and bought none, according to Yahoo Finance data. Yet the company is in fifth place in a ranking of companies based on the greatest dollar amount of repurchase announcements this year, according to Jeffrey Yale Rubin, president of Birinyi Associates.</p><p>In contrast to the insiders&#39; stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies&#39; shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron&#39;s that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations&#39; announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that &#34;by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.&#34;</p><p>This contradictory behavior hasn&#39;t been the norm over the past decade. Since 2014, there has been a rough correlation between insiders&#39; behavior in their own portfolios and moves made with corporate cash. Their recent behavior is unusual and deserving of closer analysis.</p><p>The insiders&#39; implicit divergent messages can&#39;t both be right, needless to say. Winston Chua, a liquidity analyst at EPFR, a leading provider of fund flow data, says that &#34;if I had to bet which will prove to be correct -- the bullish message of corporate repurchases or the bearish message of the insiders -- I&#39;d bet with the insiders.&#34; Prof. Seyhun concurs.</p><p>There are several reasons to agree with their assessment. One is that corporations historically have been poor market timers with their repurchase decisions. &#34;Most buybacks are &#39;buy high&#39; situations,&#34; Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, said in an email. Even if we didn&#39;t know that insiders with their own money were such heavy net sellers, therefore, the record pace of recent buybacks would be a source of concern.</p><p>In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies&#39; repurchase decisions, insiders historically have been more right than wrong in the timing of their personal purchases of their companies&#39; shares. Prof. Seyhun has found from his research that the insider buy ratio has one of the best track records when forecasting the market&#39;s 12-month return -- superior to many better-known valuation indicators.</p><p>To be sure, the insiders as a group have been pessimistic for more than a year now and, at the same time, corporations have been aggressively buying back their shares -- and yet the stock market has continued ever higher. While that might incline you to bet on the bullish message from repurchases rather than the pessimistic message from insiders, such a bet extrapolates the recent past and ignores the much longer history that suggests the contrary.</p><p>The Seyhuns write that &#34;recent insider selling...is looking like the beginning of a larger pattern of indiscriminate insider selling.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Insiders Sell Stock. Their Companies Buy. It's Not a Good Sign</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInsiders Sell Stock. Their Companies Buy. It's Not a Good Sign\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-18 16:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they&#39;re buying with their other.</p><p>In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies&#39; cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn&#39;t bode well for the market.</p><p>Insiders&#39; stinginess when it comes to their own money is illustrated by data compiled by InsiderSentiment.com, a website maintained by Nejat and Jon Seyhun. The former is a finance professor at the University of Michigan and one of academia&#39;s leading experts on interpreting the behavior of insiders. The latter is an analyst at InsiderSentiment.</p><p>Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That&#39;s the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns&#39; analysis.</p><p>Consider Nvidia. Over the past three months, insiders have sold more than $700 million of the company&#39;s stock and bought none, according to Yahoo Finance data. Yet the company is in fifth place in a ranking of companies based on the greatest dollar amount of repurchase announcements this year, according to Jeffrey Yale Rubin, president of Birinyi Associates.</p><p>In contrast to the insiders&#39; stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies&#39; shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron&#39;s that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations&#39; announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that &#34;by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.&#34;</p><p>This contradictory behavior hasn&#39;t been the norm over the past decade. Since 2014, there has been a rough correlation between insiders&#39; behavior in their own portfolios and moves made with corporate cash. Their recent behavior is unusual and deserving of closer analysis.</p><p>The insiders&#39; implicit divergent messages can&#39;t both be right, needless to say. Winston Chua, a liquidity analyst at EPFR, a leading provider of fund flow data, says that &#34;if I had to bet which will prove to be correct -- the bullish message of corporate repurchases or the bearish message of the insiders -- I&#39;d bet with the insiders.&#34; Prof. Seyhun concurs.</p><p>There are several reasons to agree with their assessment. One is that corporations historically have been poor market timers with their repurchase decisions. &#34;Most buybacks are &#39;buy high&#39; situations,&#34; Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, said in an email. Even if we didn&#39;t know that insiders with their own money were such heavy net sellers, therefore, the record pace of recent buybacks would be a source of concern.</p><p>In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies&#39; repurchase decisions, insiders historically have been more right than wrong in the timing of their personal purchases of their companies&#39; shares. Prof. Seyhun has found from his research that the insider buy ratio has one of the best track records when forecasting the market&#39;s 12-month return -- superior to many better-known valuation indicators.</p><p>To be sure, the insiders as a group have been pessimistic for more than a year now and, at the same time, corporations have been aggressively buying back their shares -- and yet the stock market has continued ever higher. While that might incline you to bet on the bullish message from repurchases rather than the pessimistic message from insiders, such a bet extrapolates the recent past and ignores the much longer history that suggests the contrary.</p><p>The Seyhuns write that &#34;recent insider selling...is looking like the beginning of a larger pattern of indiscriminate insider selling.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","IE0034235295.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BN29S564.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A3\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","HK0000320264.USD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","IE00BDCRKT87.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC","IE00BHPRN162.USD":"BNY MELLON BLOCKCHAIN INNOVATION \"B\" (USD) ACC","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0048584097.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS  GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4141":"半导体产品","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","NVDA":"英伟达","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BYXW3230.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"AA\" (USD) ACC","IE00BDRTCR15.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC A","IE00B775H168.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A5M\" (HKD) INC","IE00BKPKM429.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0057025933.USD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0006306889.USD":"SCHRODER ISF US LARGE CAP \"A\" (USD) INC AV","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","HK0000320223.HKD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","BK4567":"ESG概念"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2476471829","content_text":"Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they're buying with their other.In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies' cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn't bode well for the market.Insiders' stinginess when it comes to their own money is illustrated by data compiled by InsiderSentiment.com, a website maintained by Nejat and Jon Seyhun. The former is a finance professor at the University of Michigan and one of academia's leading experts on interpreting the behavior of insiders. The latter is an analyst at InsiderSentiment.Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That's the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns' analysis.Consider Nvidia. Over the past three months, insiders have sold more than $700 million of the company's stock and bought none, according to Yahoo Finance data. Yet the company is in fifth place in a ranking of companies based on the greatest dollar amount of repurchase announcements this year, according to Jeffrey Yale Rubin, president of Birinyi Associates.In contrast to the insiders' stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies' shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron's that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations' announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that \"by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.\"This contradictory behavior hasn't been the norm over the past decade. Since 2014, there has been a rough correlation between insiders' behavior in their own portfolios and moves made with corporate cash. Their recent behavior is unusual and deserving of closer analysis.The insiders' implicit divergent messages can't both be right, needless to say. Winston Chua, a liquidity analyst at EPFR, a leading provider of fund flow data, says that \"if I had to bet which will prove to be correct -- the bullish message of corporate repurchases or the bearish message of the insiders -- I'd bet with the insiders.\" Prof. Seyhun concurs.There are several reasons to agree with their assessment. One is that corporations historically have been poor market timers with their repurchase decisions. \"Most buybacks are 'buy high' situations,\" Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, said in an email. Even if we didn't know that insiders with their own money were such heavy net sellers, therefore, the record pace of recent buybacks would be a source of concern.In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies' repurchase decisions, insiders historically have been more right than wrong in the timing of their personal purchases of their companies' shares. Prof. Seyhun has found from his research that the insider buy ratio has one of the best track records when forecasting the market's 12-month return -- superior to many better-known valuation indicators.To be sure, the insiders as a group have been pessimistic for more than a year now and, at the same time, corporations have been aggressively buying back their shares -- and yet the stock market has continued ever higher. While that might incline you to bet on the bullish message from repurchases rather than the pessimistic message from insiders, such a bet extrapolates the recent past and ignores the much longer history that suggests the contrary.The Seyhuns write that \"recent insider selling...is looking like the beginning of a larger pattern of indiscriminate insider selling.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361003880784032,"gmtCreate":1729171292869,"gmtModify":1729771687684,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"based on technical chart analysis, it may be the time to cash out. However, this writer's projection of 20-25/share has high potential of own agenda - always push for short! 😂😂 so, investor need to use your own wisdom. Just my personal view.&nbsp;","listText":"based on technical chart analysis, it may be the time to cash out. However, this writer's projection of 20-25/share has high potential of own agenda - always push for short! 😂😂 so, investor need to use your own wisdom. Just my personal view.&nbsp;","text":"based on technical chart analysis, it may be the time to cash out. However, this writer's projection of 20-25/share has high potential of own agenda - always push for short! 😂😂 so, investor need to use your own wisdom. Just my personal view.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/361003880784032","repostId":"1173195967","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1173195967","pubTimestamp":1729137443,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173195967?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-17 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Time To Cash Out","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173195967","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir Technologies Inc.'s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&P 500.The company benefits from government ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_2336349692\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir Technologies Inc.&#39;s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&amp;P 500.</p></li><li><p>The company benefits from government contracts and is expanding its commercial segment, which is critical for future growth.</p></li><li><p>Despite strong growth and improved profitability, Palantir&#39;s valuation poses risks, requiring significant future earnings growth to justify current stock prices.</p></li><li><p>Investors should be cautious of Palantir&#39;s valuation, as sky-high expectations could lead to capital loss if growth doesn&#39;t meet projections.</p></li><li><p>I recommend investors to cash out their significant gains with the objective to buy back around $20-25/share.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/554bfffe59edb9acf6bf12d15a231da8\" alt=\"Palantir Technologies\" title=\"Palantir Technologies\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>Palantir Technologies</span></p><p>Palantir Technologies Inc. officially joined the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) in September this year. This finally opened the door for institutional investors, mutual funds, and analysts to purchase the stock and increase the coverage, with the stock set to benefit from higher popularity and demand.</p><p>The data analytics software company has been red-hot this year, with its value increasing 2.86x from $15/share a year ago to $43/share today.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0667ad40c0a5aff56cd17c5943103bfa\" alt=\"Price\" title=\"Price\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"/><span>Price</span></p><p>On a year-to-date basis, Palantir&#39;s stock is up 153% alone and ranks third among the best-performing stocks in the S&amp;P 500:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Vistra Corp.</strong> (VST): 225.3% YTD Return</p></li><li><p><strong>NVIDIA Corp.</strong> (NVDA): 172.2% YTD Return</p></li><li><p><strong>Palantir Technologies</strong>: 153.4% YTD Return.</p></li></ul><p>Although this is my first coverage of the stock on Seeking Alpha, I&#39;ve followed Palantir since its IPO in 2020. Even though I currently do not have any exposure to the stock, I am keeping a close eye on the company, hoping to add its shares to a portfolio on a weakness, around $20-25/share.</p><p>With Palantir&#39;s stock on fire this year and its Q3 earnings just around the corner on November 4, let&#39;s take a closer look at whether it&#39;s still a good buy heading into the earnings. Bulls generally argue Palantir&#39;s improving profitability could drive more gains in the stock price. In contrast, bears point out potential revenue deceleration, particularly as Palantir&#39;s stock trades at 29x its estimated 2025 revenue, making it one of the most expensive stocks in the S&amp;P 500.</p><h2 id=\"id_4120428033\">Palantir&#39;s Business Keeps Benefiting From AI Integration</h2><p>As a first step, let&#39;s take a look at Palantir&#39;s business, given the business is relatively complex and much of its software&#39;s details are undisclosed due to the secrecy of dealing with government.</p><p>In fact, 60% of Palantir&#39;s revenue comes from government agencies, whereas the remaining 40% comes from the commercial sector, an area where the company aims to expand its operations further to drive growth.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s core business is based on three main segments:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Gotham</strong>: Designed for government and defense agencies, providing intelligence and data analysis tools for national security.</p></li><li><p><strong>Foundry</strong>: A data integration and analytics platform that helps manage, analyze, and visualize data. Commercial clients generally use Foundry across a wide range of industries.</p></li><li><p><strong>Apollo</strong>: A scalable platform for developers to build customer applications on top of Palantir&#39;s software.</p></li></ul><p>Palantir generates revenue through two main avenues. Like most other software businesses, it generates revenue via licensing, charging subscription, or usage-based fees for its Gotham and Foundry platforms. In addition to licenses, the company offers consulting services, helping clients implement and optimize the software to address their custom requirements.</p><p>The business model is based on a three-phase approach: Acquire, Expand and Scale its business. In the acquisition phase, Palantir targets new customers by offering initial implementations at a very low cost or no cost at all. During the second phase, Palantir aims to hook the customer by addressing the customer&#39;s specific pain points. In the last phase, Palantir fully implements and configures solutions, allowing customers to create a symbiotic environment by adding their own software atop Palantir&#39;s platform.</p><p>Like most other software businesses, Palantir has been introducing AI into its product mix via the Artificial Intelligence Platform (“AIP”) in the last quarters, harnessing the power of large language models (“LLM”) for decision-making.</p><p>The first few used cases for Palantir are the integration of AI for its government customers, particularly aimed at intelligence gathering, counterterrorism, and military operations. However, the company is now aiming to leverage generative AI to drive growth in the commercial part of its business.</p><p>In my view, Palantir might be one of the key potential beneficiaries of generative AI. Its core strength lies in its ability to integrate and analyze large volumes of data to train models and decision-making, aligning perfectly with AI&#39;s need for high-quality, well-structured data for efficient model training.</p><p>To showcase a few successes, Palantir announced the extension of the government contract Maven Smart System for an additional five years. Palantir was an early contractor for the project launched in 2017, which aimed to bring AI to the battlefield. The estimated contract value is for it to be worth around $90M annually, or roughly 3.6% of Palantir&#39;s trailing-twelve-month revenue.</p><p>Likewise, Palantir was awarded a Department of Defense contract through the Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office valued at up to $480M over the next five years and a $178M contract for project TITAN, a battlefield AI system.</p><p>From what we can see so far, Palantir&#39;s AI strategy is paying off, as it has won over major defense contracts. However, the key to unlocking future growth will be a successful execution in the more significant commercial segment.</p><p>We can see a few of such successes with customers such as Aramark, Mount Sinai, and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. These showcase how Palantir&#39;s AI has helped to improve supply chain management, operational efficiency, and patient care in healthcare, as presented during the AIPCon 5 back in September.</p><p>Yet, more will need to come to justify its ballooning valuation.</p><h2 id=\"id_4290965249\">Commercial Segment Gaining Momentum</h2><p>As we are just three weeks away from Palantir reporting its Q3 2024 earnings, let&#39;s just briefly look under the hood of Q2.</p><p>In the second-quarter earnings report, Palantir exceeded Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines and issued better-than-expected Q3 guidance, with the strong performance responsible for the red-hot year-to-date price performance.</p><p>For Q2, Palantir reported GAAP earnings of $0.09/share, roughly an 80% YoY increase. Revenue rose 27% to $678M, beating analysts&#39; estimates of $0.08 per share and $653M in revenue.</p><p>Both the government and commercial businesses performed very well during the quarter. The government business generated $371M in revenue, up 23% from the analyst&#39;s estimates of $349M. Its commercial business has delivered even better performance, with 33% revenue growth and revenue at $307M, ahead of the forecast by $1M.</p><p>Commercial revenue was significantly helped by a substantial 55% growth in US Commercial revenue, which reached $159M.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s future depends on its success in growing its commercial segment, which is gaining momentum as the company strengthens its expansion into financial, healthcare, and energy, moving away from a government-dependent revenue structure.</p><p>Even though government-based contracts are more guaranteed and less cyclical, most of the money is to be made in the commercial segment.</p><p>In fact, CEO Alex Karp, in a letter to shareholders, highlighted that Palantir&#39;s US commercial customer base increased 83% year over year, from 161 customers in Q2 2023 to 295 as of Q2 2024, now making up half of the company&#39;s total customer base.</p><h2 id=\"id_3456821639\">Top &amp; Bottom-Line Growth Do Not Disappoint</h2><p>Looking forward, Palantir appears to be on a solid footing to continue delivering, with the firm&#39;s billing and remaining performance obligations (“RPO”) increasing 19% and 42% YoY, respectively.</p><p>These two metrics serve for us as evidence of the strong demand for the underlying Palantir&#39;s software solutions. This is particularly as Palantir is facing higher demand than it can immediately serve, with customers very likely to stick around given Palantir&#39;s software&#39;s high switching costs.</p><p>Thanks to the strong demand, Palantir&#39;s management has raised its outlook for FY24 with estimated 2024 sales of $2.75B and $970M in operating income, an increase from the previous expectations of $2.68B of revenue and $874M of operating income.</p><p>Compared to full-FY23 revenue of $2.23B, this would represent a revenue growth of 23.3% with operating income expected to expand as much as 8x.</p><p>Nonetheless, given the strong tailwinds the business is experiencing, particularly in the US commercial segment, I expect the company to beat even its revised guidance by the end of this year. I further expect another 20-23% annual revenue growth on tap in the subsequent years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4658355aff9e91d5e54888531dde5455\" alt=\"Revenue Growth Expectations\" title=\"Revenue Growth Expectations\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"103\"/><span>Revenue Growth Expectations</span></p><p>Even as many growth companies prioritize revenue growth, leaving profitability in the back seat or straight out failing to convert revenue into earnings, that&#39;s undoubtedly not Palantir&#39;s case.</p><p>From what we can see below, Palantir&#39;s business became profitable on the operating level only in 2023, but operating income has continuously expanded, driven by higher revenue and margins.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/27cc1c87366fd09a88cad60da4721051\" alt=\"Revenue &amp; Operating Income\" title=\"Revenue &amp; Operating Income\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"446\"/><span>Revenue &amp; Operating Income</span></p><p>Palantir&#39;s operating margins have been continuously improving. Thanks to the attractive unit economics the business can generate from the existing user base by upselling new products, I see margin expansion as the likely path for the company as it grows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ceac961d317d73a4dbda867285409e6a\" alt=\"Operating Margin\" title=\"Operating Margin\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"436\"/><span>Operating Margin</span></p><h2 id=\"id_1073175068\">Valuation Might Act As An Anchor On Future Returns</h2><p>The issue with Palantir&#39;s business is not the business itself, but the valuation—an issue we face as investors with most other high-quality companies.</p><p><strong>Let&#39;s first take a look at Palantir&#39;s Price-to-Sales valuation:</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir&#39;s management expects the FY24 sales to land at $2.75B, which would imply a P/S ratio of 35x, given the $97B market cap.</p></li><li><p>Analysts are expecting forward FY25 sales to land at $3.32B, a YoY growth of 22%, implying a 14-month forward P/S valuation of 29x.</p></li></ul><p>Now, the rich valuation, even for large-cap stock such as Palantir, would be justifiable if the company exhibited massive EPS expansion over the coming years.</p><p>As per FactSet, analysts are forecasting Palantir&#39;s EPS to grow at the following rate:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>FY24 EPS:</strong> $0.35E, YoY growth: 42%</p></li><li><p><strong>FY25 EPS:</strong> $0.42E, YoY growth: 19%</p></li><li><p><strong>FY26 EPS:</strong> $0.51E, YoY growth: 21%.</p></li></ul><p>The growth we see above indeed categorizes Palantir&#39;s stock as a genuine growth company. Still, the 20% EPS growth expectations beyond FY24 are, from my perspective, not enough to justify the exuberant valuation the stock carries.</p><p>Let&#39;s look at the following scenarios. How much does Palantir&#39;s bottom-line need to expand for the remainder of the decade to justify buying the shares at today&#39;s prices?</p><p>In Scenario 1, if we assume the projected FY24, FY25, and FY26 growth materializes as expected by the analysts and the company grows its EPS at 30% annually for the remainder of the decade, Palantir would need to trade at least at 40x its P/E by the end of 2029 to just break-even on your money or negative real return, if adjusted per inflation.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/be6e6618a303fdac09973c9f5ec5ed4e\" alt=\"Scenario 1\" title=\"Scenario 1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\"/><span>Scenario 1</span></p><p>Given the non-existent margin of safety and uncertain future growth, I would aim for at least 20% ROR to justify buying Palantir&#39;s shares at today&#39;s valuation. If we stick to the same growth assumptions as above, Palantir&#39;s shares would need to trade at 100x its earnings by the end of 2029 if I required the stock to deliver at 20% annualized ROR.</p><p>I am not saying Scenario 2 is impossible to materialize, but hoping for a 100x P/E valuation in 5.5 years is inherently uncertain and risky, and I do not like to bet allocate my heard-earned cash into uncertain promises.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/96b437c2ac27681308df66efd9578a5c\" alt=\"Scenario 2\" title=\"Scenario 2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\"/><span>Scenario 2</span></p><p>Naturally, it&#39;s possible that Palantir will beat expectations and grow its bottom line much quicker than expected. In Scenario 3, I am assuming 40% EPS growth between today and the end of 2029, a truly hyper-scaler if this growth materializes. However, even in that case, we would need to see the stock trading at around 50x its earnings if we aimed to achieve at least 16% annualized ROR.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0281c7b32de55039a645f1148aa7918e\" alt=\"Scenario 3\" title=\"Scenario 3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\"/><span>Scenario 3</span></p><p>This indicates that it is critical to consider the perspective from which we examine Palantir&#39;s growth and valuation before making an investment decision.</p><p>Forecasting Palantir&#39;s future growth is inherently uncertain, given its relatively short life as a public company.</p><p>That&#39;s perhaps one reason why analysts&#39; opinions on a short-term price target differ widely. However, the average price target is $27.7/share, implying a more than 30% downside from today&#39;s share price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f2686ef7fab1d3f7ed87c985fc7492d1\" alt=\"Price Target\" title=\"Price Target\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"218\"/><span>Price Target</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3079454860\">Investor&#39;s Takeaway</h2><p>I believe Palantir is well-positioned for long-term success in the software industry, particularly in establishing itself as a leader in AI platforms. Its access to enterprise data is an excellent start for efficient AI data model learning, eventually building a competitive advantage.</p><p>The company is helping government and commercial companies worldwide convert data into decisions, and Palantir is set to materially benefit from organizations&#39; thirst for data-driven decision-making.</p><p>I also expect Palantir&#39;s consumer footprint to materially increase over the coming years while the business benefits from unit economics, upselling its new product offerings to existing customers and improving profitability.</p><p>Nevertheless, investors should be cautious about Palantir&#39;s valuation. The sky-high expectations are exposing investors to significant risks of permanent capital loss if the growth does not pan out as expected.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Time To Cash Out</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Time To Cash Out\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-17 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726961-palantir-time-to-cash-out><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir Technologies Inc.'s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&P 500.The company benefits from government ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726961-palantir-time-to-cash-out\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726961-palantir-time-to-cash-out","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1173195967","content_text":"SummaryPalantir Technologies Inc.'s stock has surged 153% YTD, driven by strong performance and AI integration, making it one of the top performers in the S&P 500.The company benefits from government contracts and is expanding its commercial segment, which is critical for future growth.Despite strong growth and improved profitability, Palantir's valuation poses risks, requiring significant future earnings growth to justify current stock prices.Investors should be cautious of Palantir's valuation, as sky-high expectations could lead to capital loss if growth doesn't meet projections.I recommend investors to cash out their significant gains with the objective to buy back around $20-25/share.Palantir TechnologiesPalantir Technologies Inc. officially joined the S&P 500 (SP500) in September this year. This finally opened the door for institutional investors, mutual funds, and analysts to purchase the stock and increase the coverage, with the stock set to benefit from higher popularity and demand.The data analytics software company has been red-hot this year, with its value increasing 2.86x from $15/share a year ago to $43/share today.PriceOn a year-to-date basis, Palantir's stock is up 153% alone and ranks third among the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500:Vistra Corp. (VST): 225.3% YTD ReturnNVIDIA Corp. (NVDA): 172.2% YTD ReturnPalantir Technologies: 153.4% YTD Return.Although this is my first coverage of the stock on Seeking Alpha, I've followed Palantir since its IPO in 2020. Even though I currently do not have any exposure to the stock, I am keeping a close eye on the company, hoping to add its shares to a portfolio on a weakness, around $20-25/share.With Palantir's stock on fire this year and its Q3 earnings just around the corner on November 4, let's take a closer look at whether it's still a good buy heading into the earnings. Bulls generally argue Palantir's improving profitability could drive more gains in the stock price. In contrast, bears point out potential revenue deceleration, particularly as Palantir's stock trades at 29x its estimated 2025 revenue, making it one of the most expensive stocks in the S&P 500.Palantir's Business Keeps Benefiting From AI IntegrationAs a first step, let's take a look at Palantir's business, given the business is relatively complex and much of its software's details are undisclosed due to the secrecy of dealing with government.In fact, 60% of Palantir's revenue comes from government agencies, whereas the remaining 40% comes from the commercial sector, an area where the company aims to expand its operations further to drive growth.Palantir's core business is based on three main segments:Gotham: Designed for government and defense agencies, providing intelligence and data analysis tools for national security.Foundry: A data integration and analytics platform that helps manage, analyze, and visualize data. Commercial clients generally use Foundry across a wide range of industries.Apollo: A scalable platform for developers to build customer applications on top of Palantir's software.Palantir generates revenue through two main avenues. Like most other software businesses, it generates revenue via licensing, charging subscription, or usage-based fees for its Gotham and Foundry platforms. In addition to licenses, the company offers consulting services, helping clients implement and optimize the software to address their custom requirements.The business model is based on a three-phase approach: Acquire, Expand and Scale its business. In the acquisition phase, Palantir targets new customers by offering initial implementations at a very low cost or no cost at all. During the second phase, Palantir aims to hook the customer by addressing the customer's specific pain points. In the last phase, Palantir fully implements and configures solutions, allowing customers to create a symbiotic environment by adding their own software atop Palantir's platform.Like most other software businesses, Palantir has been introducing AI into its product mix via the Artificial Intelligence Platform (“AIP”) in the last quarters, harnessing the power of large language models (“LLM”) for decision-making.The first few used cases for Palantir are the integration of AI for its government customers, particularly aimed at intelligence gathering, counterterrorism, and military operations. However, the company is now aiming to leverage generative AI to drive growth in the commercial part of its business.In my view, Palantir might be one of the key potential beneficiaries of generative AI. Its core strength lies in its ability to integrate and analyze large volumes of data to train models and decision-making, aligning perfectly with AI's need for high-quality, well-structured data for efficient model training.To showcase a few successes, Palantir announced the extension of the government contract Maven Smart System for an additional five years. Palantir was an early contractor for the project launched in 2017, which aimed to bring AI to the battlefield. The estimated contract value is for it to be worth around $90M annually, or roughly 3.6% of Palantir's trailing-twelve-month revenue.Likewise, Palantir was awarded a Department of Defense contract through the Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office valued at up to $480M over the next five years and a $178M contract for project TITAN, a battlefield AI system.From what we can see so far, Palantir's AI strategy is paying off, as it has won over major defense contracts. However, the key to unlocking future growth will be a successful execution in the more significant commercial segment.We can see a few of such successes with customers such as Aramark, Mount Sinai, and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. These showcase how Palantir's AI has helped to improve supply chain management, operational efficiency, and patient care in healthcare, as presented during the AIPCon 5 back in September.Yet, more will need to come to justify its ballooning valuation.Commercial Segment Gaining MomentumAs we are just three weeks away from Palantir reporting its Q3 2024 earnings, let's just briefly look under the hood of Q2.In the second-quarter earnings report, Palantir exceeded Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines and issued better-than-expected Q3 guidance, with the strong performance responsible for the red-hot year-to-date price performance.For Q2, Palantir reported GAAP earnings of $0.09/share, roughly an 80% YoY increase. Revenue rose 27% to $678M, beating analysts' estimates of $0.08 per share and $653M in revenue.Both the government and commercial businesses performed very well during the quarter. The government business generated $371M in revenue, up 23% from the analyst's estimates of $349M. Its commercial business has delivered even better performance, with 33% revenue growth and revenue at $307M, ahead of the forecast by $1M.Commercial revenue was significantly helped by a substantial 55% growth in US Commercial revenue, which reached $159M.Palantir's future depends on its success in growing its commercial segment, which is gaining momentum as the company strengthens its expansion into financial, healthcare, and energy, moving away from a government-dependent revenue structure.Even though government-based contracts are more guaranteed and less cyclical, most of the money is to be made in the commercial segment.In fact, CEO Alex Karp, in a letter to shareholders, highlighted that Palantir's US commercial customer base increased 83% year over year, from 161 customers in Q2 2023 to 295 as of Q2 2024, now making up half of the company's total customer base.Top & Bottom-Line Growth Do Not DisappointLooking forward, Palantir appears to be on a solid footing to continue delivering, with the firm's billing and remaining performance obligations (“RPO”) increasing 19% and 42% YoY, respectively.These two metrics serve for us as evidence of the strong demand for the underlying Palantir's software solutions. This is particularly as Palantir is facing higher demand than it can immediately serve, with customers very likely to stick around given Palantir's software's high switching costs.Thanks to the strong demand, Palantir's management has raised its outlook for FY24 with estimated 2024 sales of $2.75B and $970M in operating income, an increase from the previous expectations of $2.68B of revenue and $874M of operating income.Compared to full-FY23 revenue of $2.23B, this would represent a revenue growth of 23.3% with operating income expected to expand as much as 8x.Nonetheless, given the strong tailwinds the business is experiencing, particularly in the US commercial segment, I expect the company to beat even its revised guidance by the end of this year. I further expect another 20-23% annual revenue growth on tap in the subsequent years.Revenue Growth ExpectationsEven as many growth companies prioritize revenue growth, leaving profitability in the back seat or straight out failing to convert revenue into earnings, that's undoubtedly not Palantir's case.From what we can see below, Palantir's business became profitable on the operating level only in 2023, but operating income has continuously expanded, driven by higher revenue and margins.Revenue & Operating IncomePalantir's operating margins have been continuously improving. Thanks to the attractive unit economics the business can generate from the existing user base by upselling new products, I see margin expansion as the likely path for the company as it grows.Operating MarginValuation Might Act As An Anchor On Future ReturnsThe issue with Palantir's business is not the business itself, but the valuation—an issue we face as investors with most other high-quality companies.Let's first take a look at Palantir's Price-to-Sales valuation:Palantir's management expects the FY24 sales to land at $2.75B, which would imply a P/S ratio of 35x, given the $97B market cap.Analysts are expecting forward FY25 sales to land at $3.32B, a YoY growth of 22%, implying a 14-month forward P/S valuation of 29x.Now, the rich valuation, even for large-cap stock such as Palantir, would be justifiable if the company exhibited massive EPS expansion over the coming years.As per FactSet, analysts are forecasting Palantir's EPS to grow at the following rate:FY24 EPS: $0.35E, YoY growth: 42%FY25 EPS: $0.42E, YoY growth: 19%FY26 EPS: $0.51E, YoY growth: 21%.The growth we see above indeed categorizes Palantir's stock as a genuine growth company. Still, the 20% EPS growth expectations beyond FY24 are, from my perspective, not enough to justify the exuberant valuation the stock carries.Let's look at the following scenarios. How much does Palantir's bottom-line need to expand for the remainder of the decade to justify buying the shares at today's prices?In Scenario 1, if we assume the projected FY24, FY25, and FY26 growth materializes as expected by the analysts and the company grows its EPS at 30% annually for the remainder of the decade, Palantir would need to trade at least at 40x its P/E by the end of 2029 to just break-even on your money or negative real return, if adjusted per inflation.Scenario 1Given the non-existent margin of safety and uncertain future growth, I would aim for at least 20% ROR to justify buying Palantir's shares at today's valuation. If we stick to the same growth assumptions as above, Palantir's shares would need to trade at 100x its earnings by the end of 2029 if I required the stock to deliver at 20% annualized ROR.I am not saying Scenario 2 is impossible to materialize, but hoping for a 100x P/E valuation in 5.5 years is inherently uncertain and risky, and I do not like to bet allocate my heard-earned cash into uncertain promises.Scenario 2Naturally, it's possible that Palantir will beat expectations and grow its bottom line much quicker than expected. In Scenario 3, I am assuming 40% EPS growth between today and the end of 2029, a truly hyper-scaler if this growth materializes. However, even in that case, we would need to see the stock trading at around 50x its earnings if we aimed to achieve at least 16% annualized ROR.Scenario 3This indicates that it is critical to consider the perspective from which we examine Palantir's growth and valuation before making an investment decision.Forecasting Palantir's future growth is inherently uncertain, given its relatively short life as a public company.That's perhaps one reason why analysts' opinions on a short-term price target differ widely. However, the average price target is $27.7/share, implying a more than 30% downside from today's share price.Price TargetInvestor's TakeawayI believe Palantir is well-positioned for long-term success in the software industry, particularly in establishing itself as a leader in AI platforms. Its access to enterprise data is an excellent start for efficient AI data model learning, eventually building a competitive advantage.The company is helping government and commercial companies worldwide convert data into decisions, and Palantir is set to materially benefit from organizations' thirst for data-driven decision-making.I also expect Palantir's consumer footprint to materially increase over the coming years while the business benefits from unit economics, upselling its new product offerings to existing customers and improving profitability.Nevertheless, investors should be cautious about Palantir's valuation. The sky-high expectations are exposing investors to significant risks of permanent capital loss if the growth does not pan out as expected.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358682987421968,"gmtCreate":1728609975375,"gmtModify":1728609979690,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"From the title, I have already able to know who write it! Someone that seems more on selling short. After Palantir, now Nvidia.&nbsp;","listText":"From the title, I have already able to know who write it! Someone that seems more on selling short. After Palantir, now Nvidia.&nbsp;","text":"From the title, I have already able to know who write it! Someone that seems more on selling short. After Palantir, now Nvidia.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/358682987421968","repostId":"2474705804","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2474705804","pubTimestamp":1728577029,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2474705804?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-11 00:17","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Blackwell Won't Save Nvidia's Share Price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2474705804","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Blackwell GPU, priced at $30-$40k, could drive annual revenue of more than $50 billion, pushing computing boundaries with advanced tech.Despite strong financial performance, Nvidia's slowing revenue g","content":"<html><body><ul><li>Blackwell GPU, priced at $30-$40k, could drive annual revenue of more than $50 billion, pushing computing boundaries with advanced tech.</li><li>Despite strong financial performance, Nvidia's slowing revenue growth and declining margins indicate substantial profit growth risks.</li><li>Nvidia's valuation demands doubling past five-year growth in the next eight years to match S&amp;P 500 returns, posing a high growth bar.</li><li>Nvidia has incredibly concentrated customers given the cost of its GPUs, which presents a massive risk to its ability to continue future growth.</li></ul><p><figure><picture><img fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"1024px\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 36px), (max-width: 1024px) calc(100vw - 132px), (max-width: 1200px) calc(66.6vw - 72px), 600px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"1536px\"/></picture><figcaption><p>JHVEPhoto</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>Nvidia (<span>NASDAQ:NVDA</span>) share price went up mid-single digits last week after the CEO announced strong demand for Blackwell. Despite that, as we'll see throughout this article, strong immediate demand doesn't give the company a path to justifying its valuations, making it a<span> poor investment today.</span></p> <h2>Blackwell Demand</h2> <p>Nvidia has announced \"insane\" demand for Blackwell, its next-generation GPU that's expected to cost $30-40k per unit.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/10/5/34591885-1728167233314997.png\"/></picture><figcaption><p>Blackwell Nvidia</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>Blackwell is expected to allow multi-trillion parameter models to be created. For perspective, Chat GPTs latest models have potentially 1.8 trillion parameters. Blackwell has more than 200 billion transistors, with 2 GPU dies tied together through a 10 TB/s link. It's indicated that the design issue with Blackwell GPUs have been fixed and 4Q production could be 450k.</p> <p>This indicates annualized revenue potentially topping $50 billion (1.8 million annual units x 30k min price). The GPU is significant and Nvidia has indicated an interest in an annual GPU cadence each several times as good as the last as it continues to push the boundaries of computing. One other note that we want to highlight here is that Nvidia GPUs are being built on TSMC's n4p process, the latest iteration of its 5 nm process.</p> <h2>Nvidia Valuation</h2> <p>Nvidia has a lofty valuation backed up by the company's continued growth levels.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/10/6/34591885-1728246976901673.png\"/></span><figcaption><p>Nvidia Valuation</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>The company crossed $30 billion in revenue in the most recent quarter. That was $4 billion in revenue growth vs. the prior quarter, and for the last four quarters, the company has seen more than $4 billion revenue growth each quarter vs. the prior quarter. The company had a more than 75% gross margin, down more than 3% QoQ.</p> <p>The company's diluted EPS of $0.67 saw 12% QoQ growth, down from 15% QoQ revenue growth, as the company's margins have slowed down. The company's annualized EPS is $2.6 / share, which puts the company's P/E at just under 50x, a valuation that expects substantial future growth. That combines with the need to match S&amp;P 500 growth at minimum.</p> <p>That's the floor to be a worthwhile investment going forward, given the concentration risk vs. the S&amp;P 500. The company's outlook for the current quarter is $32.5 billion, the first quarter in the last four that the company is not seeing $4+ billion in QoQ revenue growth. The company expects 74.4% gross GAAP margins, another decrease QoQ.</p> <p>Declining margins combined with slowing down revenue growth is a strong indication that the company's profit growth will be slowing down substantially. The company has Blackwell, which is impressive, and will help in the fourth quarter, and it's tough to predict those numbers. However, that's still a substantial risk.</p> <h2>Nvidia Financial Performance</h2> <p>Nvidia has had incredibly strong financial performance, with 26x returns over the last five years.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/10/6/34591885-17282470752392054.png\"/></span><figcaption><p>Nvidia Stock</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>The company's returns have taken it from a company with a market capitalization of less than $120 billion to one worth almost $3.1 trillion. That financial performance is incredibly impressive, and the company has built up a loyal portfolio of investors as a result.</p> <p>However, when we invest, we're looking at the question about evaluating the company as an investment today. Despite the company's strong recent strength, the question is whether it can outperform the S&amp;P 500 going forward. Average S&amp;P 500 annual returns are more than 10%, so our benchmark is whether Nvidia can continue driving 10% returns going forward.</p> <p>To hit that benchmark, given compounding, the company needs to double in size over the next eight years. That means all of the massive success the company has had recently, it needs to double that. That's a high bar of growth that the company needs to achieve to justify its valuation.</p> <p>Eight years from now, assuming a halted growth scenario, the company needs to be earning $500-plus billion in annual profit to justify its valuation versus the market. That's because the S&amp;P 500 generates 10% annual returns, and if you're no longer growing, you need 10% annual profit to generate 10% annual shareholder returns.</p> <h2>Nvidia Concentrated Customers</h2> <p>Nvidia continues to have the risk that its customers are heavily concentrated among a few mega caps chasing artificial intelligence.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/8/29/saupload_9sjks315wu3c1.jpg\"/></picture><figcaption><p>Nvidia GPU Shipments</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>The company's largest customers are Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT), which each bought ~150K H100s. That's billions of dollars spent on the next generation GPUs. Oracle (ORCL), Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Amazon (AMZN), and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) were the next four largest customers with roughly 50k units each. Putting this all together, and the vast majority of Nvidia GPUs are sold to a handful of mega cap tech companies.</p> <p>This is a concentrated risk because, as we discussed above, Nvidia needs to continue its growth in order to justify its valuation. If you have five customers driving your business, and you need 4x the revenue to justify your valuation and match the S&amp;P 500, unless new mega cap tech companies show up with the same opinion, those customers need to order 4x as much.</p> <p>Whether that happens remains to be seen.</p> <h2>Nvidia Wealthy Competition</h2> <p>Nvidia has incredibly wealthy competition, competitors that are well versed in the GPU industry. At the same time as these companies are buying Nvidia GPUs, they'd prefer not to pay Nvidia 75% margins and billions in profits, and they have the assets to counteract that.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" height=\"374\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/10/7/34591885-17283376103237152.png\" width=\"640\"/></span><figcaption><p>GPU Inference</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>(Oracle bM GPU v2.8 instance uses a A100 vs Google G2 using a Google TPU)</p> <p>There's no denying that Nvidia has strong GPUs and a strong market it has built with CUDA. However, when your customers are massive, buying hundreds of thousands of GPUs, they have the ability to build their own GPUs. That's exactly what Google has done with the TPUs, building them to a high enough quality that Apple (AAPL) used them for Apple Intelligence.</p> <p><figure contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/10/6/34591885-17282593548197813.png\"/></span><figcaption><p>GPU Performance IEEE</p></figcaption></figure></p> <p>Some benchmarks submitted with these TPUs are indicated in the chart above. Of course, Google benchmarks haven't been universally submitted, but where the gray TPU v6e exists, i.e. for image generation, it's worth noting it's roughly half the speed of an Nvidia GPU. That might sound far behind, but at a 75% margin, that means it's cheaper for Google to use TPUs.</p> <p>It's worth noting that Google is also a leader in AI software, having created software such as Tensorflow. The company also operates its own cloud infrastructure, two moats that Nvidia doesn't have, that could enable it to lift up TPUs. There are other risks from wealthy customers. For example, as we discussed above, Nvidia's Blackwell is being released on TSMC's n4p node.</p> <p>Meanwhile, it's already been five months since Apple introduced its M4 chip, on TSMCs 3nm node, not surprising given earlier rumors that Apple had booked out TSMC's entire 3nm node. Nvidia can have cutting-edge silicon, but if it can't afford to compete with companies like Apple for cutting-edge nodes, it's going to be starting 10% behind on performance, which is a big risk as competitors catch up.</p> <p>Major customers Microsoft and Meta are also building their own AI accelerator chips. Microsoft recently had a standby on Nvidia attempting to have customers use its server racks, something that Nvidia backed down on. We expect this to continue.</p> <h3><strong>Thesis Risk</strong></h3> <p>The largest risk to our thesis is that Nvidia is currently producing the shovels in a global economy that's being disrupted by mining. The largest companies in the world are chasing the company's metaphorical shovels and willing to pay $10s of billions for them. As artificial intelligence grows, that could enable Nvidia to outperform the market.</p> <h2>Our View</h2> <p>When we recommend against investing in Nvidia, we're not saying that Nvidia isn't a great company that hasn't changed the face of the world, and we're not saying that the company will fail to make money.</p> <p>However, we're saying that the company can't just rest at its present size, and it needs to continue generating annual returns matching the S&amp;P 500 to be worthy of an investment. That's especially true given the concentration risk of such an investment. We see a number of catalysts that could hurt the company going forward.</p> <p>(1) Lack of returns. Major financial analysts such as Goldman Sachs are saying the return for AI likely won't justify the GPU cost, and we agree. LLMs are impressive but they aren't true AI, and as that lack of returns becomes more clear, we expect companies to cut investments.</p> <p>(2) AI is expensive. ChatGPT is expected to spend more than $1 billion on GPT5. There are only a handful of companies that can build these models, and this explains the concentration of Nvidia's customers.</p> <p>(3) The side effect of 1/2 is that companies will look to cut Nvidia's 75% margins, either through cutting orders without negotiations, as they question the costs. Even executives at Meta and Alphabet have admitted they might be spending too much, but are concerned about being left out of the arms race. These companies are building their own silicon to save on costs as well.</p> <p>Blackwell demand is high, which is expected, it's a hefty benchmark improvement, and GPU demand remains high. However, Nvidia needs strong growth to justify its valuation, and Blackwell can't provide it forever. As the tech of customers catches up, and they realize returns are lower than expected, Nvidia too will suffer, making it a poor investment.</p> <div></div> <p>Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Blackwell Won't Save Nvidia's Share Price</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlackwell Won't Save Nvidia's Share Price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-11 00:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726030-blackwell-wont-save-nvidias-share-price><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Blackwell GPU, priced at $30-$40k, could drive annual revenue of more than $50 billion, pushing computing boundaries with advanced tech.Despite strong financial performance, Nvidia's slowing revenue ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726030-blackwell-wont-save-nvidias-share-price\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1547214730/image_1547214730.jpg","relate_stocks":{"IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","3NVD.UK":"LS 3X NVIDIA","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4567":"ESG概念","IE00B4JS1V06.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","IE00BN29S564.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A3\" (USD) INC","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE0034235295.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","HK0000306685.HKD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (HKD) INC","IE0004091025.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"B\" (USD) ACC","NVDA":"英伟达","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson 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RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE00B775H168.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A5M\" (HKD) INC","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE0005OL40V9.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A6M\" (USD) INC","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","HK0000320264.USD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4529":"IDC概念","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","2NVD.UK":"2X NVIDIA ETP","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4726030-blackwell-wont-save-nvidias-share-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2474705804","content_text":"Blackwell GPU, priced at $30-$40k, could drive annual revenue of more than $50 billion, pushing computing boundaries with advanced tech.Despite strong financial performance, Nvidia's slowing revenue growth and declining margins indicate substantial profit growth risks.Nvidia's valuation demands doubling past five-year growth in the next eight years to match S&P 500 returns, posing a high growth bar.Nvidia has incredibly concentrated customers given the cost of its GPUs, which presents a massive risk to its ability to continue future growth.JHVEPhoto Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) share price went up mid-single digits last week after the CEO announced strong demand for Blackwell. Despite that, as we'll see throughout this article, strong immediate demand doesn't give the company a path to justifying its valuations, making it a poor investment today. Blackwell Demand Nvidia has announced \"insane\" demand for Blackwell, its next-generation GPU that's expected to cost $30-40k per unit. Blackwell Nvidia Blackwell is expected to allow multi-trillion parameter models to be created. For perspective, Chat GPTs latest models have potentially 1.8 trillion parameters. Blackwell has more than 200 billion transistors, with 2 GPU dies tied together through a 10 TB/s link. It's indicated that the design issue with Blackwell GPUs have been fixed and 4Q production could be 450k. This indicates annualized revenue potentially topping $50 billion (1.8 million annual units x 30k min price). The GPU is significant and Nvidia has indicated an interest in an annual GPU cadence each several times as good as the last as it continues to push the boundaries of computing. One other note that we want to highlight here is that Nvidia GPUs are being built on TSMC's n4p process, the latest iteration of its 5 nm process. Nvidia Valuation Nvidia has a lofty valuation backed up by the company's continued growth levels. Nvidia Valuation The company crossed $30 billion in revenue in the most recent quarter. That was $4 billion in revenue growth vs. the prior quarter, and for the last four quarters, the company has seen more than $4 billion revenue growth each quarter vs. the prior quarter. The company had a more than 75% gross margin, down more than 3% QoQ. The company's diluted EPS of $0.67 saw 12% QoQ growth, down from 15% QoQ revenue growth, as the company's margins have slowed down. The company's annualized EPS is $2.6 / share, which puts the company's P/E at just under 50x, a valuation that expects substantial future growth. That combines with the need to match S&P 500 growth at minimum. That's the floor to be a worthwhile investment going forward, given the concentration risk vs. the S&P 500. The company's outlook for the current quarter is $32.5 billion, the first quarter in the last four that the company is not seeing $4+ billion in QoQ revenue growth. The company expects 74.4% gross GAAP margins, another decrease QoQ. Declining margins combined with slowing down revenue growth is a strong indication that the company's profit growth will be slowing down substantially. The company has Blackwell, which is impressive, and will help in the fourth quarter, and it's tough to predict those numbers. However, that's still a substantial risk. Nvidia Financial Performance Nvidia has had incredibly strong financial performance, with 26x returns over the last five years. Nvidia Stock The company's returns have taken it from a company with a market capitalization of less than $120 billion to one worth almost $3.1 trillion. That financial performance is incredibly impressive, and the company has built up a loyal portfolio of investors as a result. However, when we invest, we're looking at the question about evaluating the company as an investment today. Despite the company's strong recent strength, the question is whether it can outperform the S&P 500 going forward. Average S&P 500 annual returns are more than 10%, so our benchmark is whether Nvidia can continue driving 10% returns going forward. To hit that benchmark, given compounding, the company needs to double in size over the next eight years. That means all of the massive success the company has had recently, it needs to double that. That's a high bar of growth that the company needs to achieve to justify its valuation. Eight years from now, assuming a halted growth scenario, the company needs to be earning $500-plus billion in annual profit to justify its valuation versus the market. That's because the S&P 500 generates 10% annual returns, and if you're no longer growing, you need 10% annual profit to generate 10% annual shareholder returns. Nvidia Concentrated Customers Nvidia continues to have the risk that its customers are heavily concentrated among a few mega caps chasing artificial intelligence. Nvidia GPU Shipments The company's largest customers are Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT), which each bought ~150K H100s. That's billions of dollars spent on the next generation GPUs. Oracle (ORCL), Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Amazon (AMZN), and Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) were the next four largest customers with roughly 50k units each. Putting this all together, and the vast majority of Nvidia GPUs are sold to a handful of mega cap tech companies. This is a concentrated risk because, as we discussed above, Nvidia needs to continue its growth in order to justify its valuation. If you have five customers driving your business, and you need 4x the revenue to justify your valuation and match the S&P 500, unless new mega cap tech companies show up with the same opinion, those customers need to order 4x as much. Whether that happens remains to be seen. Nvidia Wealthy Competition Nvidia has incredibly wealthy competition, competitors that are well versed in the GPU industry. At the same time as these companies are buying Nvidia GPUs, they'd prefer not to pay Nvidia 75% margins and billions in profits, and they have the assets to counteract that. GPU Inference (Oracle bM GPU v2.8 instance uses a A100 vs Google G2 using a Google TPU) There's no denying that Nvidia has strong GPUs and a strong market it has built with CUDA. However, when your customers are massive, buying hundreds of thousands of GPUs, they have the ability to build their own GPUs. That's exactly what Google has done with the TPUs, building them to a high enough quality that Apple (AAPL) used them for Apple Intelligence. GPU Performance IEEE Some benchmarks submitted with these TPUs are indicated in the chart above. Of course, Google benchmarks haven't been universally submitted, but where the gray TPU v6e exists, i.e. for image generation, it's worth noting it's roughly half the speed of an Nvidia GPU. That might sound far behind, but at a 75% margin, that means it's cheaper for Google to use TPUs. It's worth noting that Google is also a leader in AI software, having created software such as Tensorflow. The company also operates its own cloud infrastructure, two moats that Nvidia doesn't have, that could enable it to lift up TPUs. There are other risks from wealthy customers. For example, as we discussed above, Nvidia's Blackwell is being released on TSMC's n4p node. Meanwhile, it's already been five months since Apple introduced its M4 chip, on TSMCs 3nm node, not surprising given earlier rumors that Apple had booked out TSMC's entire 3nm node. Nvidia can have cutting-edge silicon, but if it can't afford to compete with companies like Apple for cutting-edge nodes, it's going to be starting 10% behind on performance, which is a big risk as competitors catch up. Major customers Microsoft and Meta are also building their own AI accelerator chips. Microsoft recently had a standby on Nvidia attempting to have customers use its server racks, something that Nvidia backed down on. We expect this to continue. Thesis Risk The largest risk to our thesis is that Nvidia is currently producing the shovels in a global economy that's being disrupted by mining. The largest companies in the world are chasing the company's metaphorical shovels and willing to pay $10s of billions for them. As artificial intelligence grows, that could enable Nvidia to outperform the market. Our View When we recommend against investing in Nvidia, we're not saying that Nvidia isn't a great company that hasn't changed the face of the world, and we're not saying that the company will fail to make money. However, we're saying that the company can't just rest at its present size, and it needs to continue generating annual returns matching the S&P 500 to be worthy of an investment. That's especially true given the concentration risk of such an investment. We see a number of catalysts that could hurt the company going forward. (1) Lack of returns. Major financial analysts such as Goldman Sachs are saying the return for AI likely won't justify the GPU cost, and we agree. LLMs are impressive but they aren't true AI, and as that lack of returns becomes more clear, we expect companies to cut investments. (2) AI is expensive. ChatGPT is expected to spend more than $1 billion on GPT5. There are only a handful of companies that can build these models, and this explains the concentration of Nvidia's customers. (3) The side effect of 1/2 is that companies will look to cut Nvidia's 75% margins, either through cutting orders without negotiations, as they question the costs. Even executives at Meta and Alphabet have admitted they might be spending too much, but are concerned about being left out of the arms race. These companies are building their own silicon to save on costs as well. Blackwell demand is high, which is expected, it's a hefty benchmark improvement, and GPU demand remains high. However, Nvidia needs strong growth to justify its valuation, and Blackwell can't provide it forever. As the tech of customers catches up, and they realize returns are lower than expected, Nvidia too will suffer, making it a poor investment.  Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343027647406280,"gmtCreate":1724765431374,"gmtModify":1724765435172,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"haha.. another short trader!&nbsp;","listText":"haha.. another short trader!&nbsp;","text":"haha.. another short trader!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/343027647406280","repostId":"2462128699","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2462128699","pubTimestamp":1724742004,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2462128699?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-08-27 15:00","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Time To Sell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2462128699","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"In our opinion, Palantir is extremely overvalued at the current price.Our valuation model shows that the downside could be nearly 50%.We believe that Palantir is a STRONG SELL right now.nhill After we","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>In our opinion, Palantir is extremely overvalued at the current price.</p></li><li><p>Our valuation model shows that the downside could be nearly 50%.</p></li><li><p>We believe that Palantir is a STRONG SELL right now.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b043dcc871aa0570aa5a295e07696dce\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>nhill</p><p></p><p>After we released our update on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:PLTR) last month, the company published its earnings report for Q2 in which it reported a major boost in sales and increased the guidance. This has led to the growth of Palantir&#39;s stock, which is now over 10% up since our update was released in July. While our bearish thesis hasn&#39;t played out yet, we continue to believe that the company&#39;s stock trades at irrational levels and represents a significant downside.</p><h2 id=\"id_3734143006\">The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly</h2><p>Our recent bearish idea hasn&#39;t materialized yet since Palantir&#39;s share price has grown by over 10% thanks to the positive earnings report which showed that the company&#39;s revenues in Q2 increased by 27.2% Y/Y to $678.13 million, above the expectations by $25.71 million. The increased guidance by the management has also reignited investors&#39; confidence.</p><p>However, we still believe that the company&#39;s growth will slow down, which could prompt the share price to depreciate. If we look closely at the earnings presentation, we will see that while Palantir&#39;s US commercial revenue increased by 55% Y/Y, it increased only by 6% Q/Q. At the same time, while the US commercial count was up 83% Y/Y, it was up only 13% Q/Q.</p><p>The big annual increase could be attributed to the fact that Palantir&#39;s flagship product AIP was launched only in April 2023, so the Q2&#39;23 numbers that served as a base for comparison for the current year were not that impressive in the first place. That&#39;s why the company was able to deliver solid Y/Y growth in Q2&#39;24. We believe that a growth rate won&#39;t be as impressive going forward since the main cohort of clients has already started to use AIP in recent quarters, and we would make the case that the Q/Q numbers support our standpoint.</p><p>In addition, we believe that no matter how useful AIP is for enterprises, with a market cap of over $70 billion Palantir can&#39;t realistically be worth more than half of the entire generative AI market, which is expected to be worth $128 billion this year.</p><h2 id=\"id_552290772\">The Stock Price Continues To Make No Sense</h2><p>When we published our update on Palantir last month, we also added our valuation model, the goal of which was to figure out what is the real value of the company. That model revealed that Palantir&#39;s intrinsic value is only $13.55 per share. Since Palantir reported good numbers for Q2 last week and prompted the management to increase the guidance for the fiscal year, we decided to make some changes to our model as well to better reflect the company&#39;s opportunities and risks.</p><p>On the left side of the table below, some data has been changed, while some has remained the same as before. The tax rate and the perpetual growth rate are the same as they were in our previous valuation model. The share price at the moment of the valuation is $32.12 per share, and the cash reserves data now includes the data from Q2. The forecasted period remained the same as before as well.</p><p>The discount rate in our valuation model is 7.68%. The calculation of the discount rate is presented in the middle and the right side of the table below. To calculate the cost of debt, Palantir&#39;s TTM financial data was used. When calculating the cost of equity, we used the beta of 1, which is similar to the market&#39;s beta; the risk-free rate of 3.87%, which is the current yield of the 10-year treasury note; and the market return of 7.70%, which is the inflation-adjusted return of the S&amp;P 500 since 1950. In the end, we got a discount rate of 7.68%, which is similar to the cost of equity simply because Palantir has a relatively clean balance sheet with little total debt. This is why the cost of equity has a greater weight when figuring out the discount rate.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6689a5abc7731ae238c621be3acf0a42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"188\"/></p><p>Valuation Model (Bears of Wall Street)</p><p></p><p>When it comes to the forecast of Palantir&#39;s sales and earnings, we&#39;ve changed several things. First, we have increased Palantir&#39;s sales expectations for the fiscal year 2024 to $2.75 billion, which is on the higher end of the management&#39;s latest guidance. We also assumed a sales growth rate of 25% in the following period, which is higher than the current expectations. It is done to simply ensure that our model covers a potential increase in guidance as it happened recently when the Q2 report came in and the analysts started to revise their estimates.</p><p>We have also aggressively increased the EBIT assumptions for the upcoming years from the 35% rate that was used in the previous model to 43.1% in the current model. The explanation for it is simple. As generative AI tools and platforms become more popular and able to improve the companies&#39; margins, it makes sense to assume that the earnings are going to improve as well.</p><p>If we look at Microsoft Corporation&#39;s (MSFT) financial statement, we will see that the company has greatly improved its sales and earnings in recent quarters in large thanks to the launch of its generative AI assistant Copilot. Microsoft&#39;s CEO Satya Nadella in the latest conference call also called Palantir one of the leaders of the Models as a Service business, which is experiencing an increase in usage of its products. This indicates that AIP&#39;s and Copilot&#39;s enterprise clients likely have a lot in common. That&#39;s why after we divided Microsoft&#39;s EBIT of $27.93 billion for the recent quarter by its revenues of $64.73 billion, we found out that Microsoft&#39;s EBIT accounts for 43.1% of its revenues and decided to apply the same rate to Palantir as well. By doing so, we could once again ensure that the model properly covers a potential increase in guidance. The forecast for other things remained the same as before.</p><p>Once found the present value of FCF under our new forecast, we can calculate the cumulative present value of FCF, apply the discount rate and the perpetual growth rate from before, and figure out Palantir&#39;s terminal value, the present value of the terminal value, and the enterprise value, which in our case is $36.75 billion. After that, we add the cash resources to the enterprise value and don&#39;t subtract any long-term debt because there isn&#39;t any to calculate Palantir&#39;s equity value, which in our case is $40.75 billion. We then divide the equity value by the number of shares at the end of Q2 and find out that Palantir&#39;s intrinsic value is $16.88 per share. This means that the company is currently overvalued by nearly 50%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e10fa981f83bbf684a18e8fdf42ab864\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\"/></p><p>Valuation Model (Bears of Wall Street)</p><p></p><p>While Palantir&#39;s intrinsic value in this model increased by over 300 basis points in comparison to our latest model from July, it nevertheless helped us figure out an important thing. By applying optimistic assumptions for the sales and EBIT, we can figure out what is Palantir&#39;s ceiling in terms of its performance and why even under the optimistic assumptions the company remains significantly overvalued. That&#39;s why giving Palantir a STRONG SELL recommendation is the only viable option in our opinion as the current stock price continues to make no sense for us.</p><h2 id=\"id_1667534137\">Major Downside to Our Bearish Thesis</h2><p>One thing that seasoned investors know for a fact is that the market can stay irrational longer than they could remain solvent. The story of Palantir&#39;s price action proves this point. Fundamentally, Palantir is extremely overvalued as it has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 100x. However, the stock could continue to trade above the technical support level of $30 per share.</p><p>In our opinion, two things can undermine Palantir&#39;s current momentum. The first thing is the worsening of macro conditions, which could result in the overall market selloff and push Palantir&#39;s price lower closer to its intrinsic value. The second thing is a much lower Y/Y growth of revenues and customer count, which could undermine investors&#39; confidence. Given a much weaker Q/Q growth, this could happen later this year or at the beginning of next year. That is why we believe that Palantir continues to be a STRONG SELL, but it can take a while before the fundamentals begin to matter again.</p><h2 id=\"id_2601506736\">Our Short Strategy</h2><p>In our latest article from July, we disclosed that we are short on Palantir. Back then we saw that the stock was losing its momentum and has hit an important technical resistance level. We opened that position around the time that article was published in the range between $28 and $29 per share and continue to hold it to this day. The position is shares-only, and no put options are involved.</p><p>The chart below shows that after more than a year of depreciation, Palantir&#39;s shares began to rebound in the spring of 2023 primarily thanks to the entrance of the company into the generative AI field with the launch of AIP. However, in 2024, the performance was mixed, as the shares were unable to breach an important technical resistance level of $30 per share first at the start of the year and later earlier this summer, and were trading within a closed range.</p><p>A week after our article was published, the shares depreciated to below $23 per share but were still within the closed range that&#39;s shown between the dotted lines on the chart below. Our thinking was that without a major catalyst, the share price could collapse below that range and depreciate closer to the company&#39;s fair value. However, the earnings results in early August came better than expected and the guidance was improved, which pushed the shares higher to above the $30 per share level at which Palantir currently trades.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9c42bba412da79901ef930159ff44c1d\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"358\"/></p><p>Stock Performance (Seeking Alpha)</p><p></p><p>There are several ways to go from here now. If Palantir fails to hold above $30 per share for longer and fails to go above the closed dotted range, then we have a good chance of the stock depreciating to its previous technical support levels which would be much harder to hold without another major catalyst. If the stock price goes higher, then the next major resistance level would be close to the company&#39;s all-time high level of $39 per share.</p><p>In the first scenario, our goal would be to start taking profits at around $20 per share and possibly below, which is relatively close to the intrinsic value of the company in our model. In the second scenario, we plan to exit the position at a loss above $39 per share, wait for the establishment of new support and resistance levels, and only then reenter the short trade since we believe that the growth of Palantir&#39;s stock can&#39;t last forever.</p><p>Since shorting is always risky, we decided to deploy less than 5% of our portfolio capital for this trade as there&#39;s always a possibility that the share price will remain irrational for a while.</p><p>If the stock continues to trade around $30 per share, then we will continue to hold our short position until the price goes significantly up or down. The annual percentage rate of borrowing is less than 1%, so we believe that the risks associated with shorting Palantir are worth it for us right now, as the potential reward could be significant.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Time To Sell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Time To Sell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-08-27 15:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717101-palantir-time-to-sell><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In our opinion, Palantir is extremely overvalued at the current price.Our valuation model shows that the downside could be nearly 50%.We believe that Palantir is a STRONG SELL right now.nhillAfter we ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717101-palantir-time-to-sell\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE0009G5SDU7.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (USD) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","IE000ITXATA3.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (USD) ACC","IE00B775H168.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A5M\" (HKD) INC","IE00BDRTCR15.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC A","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","IE000YTNTUN2.SGD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (SGDHDG)INC","BK4528":"SaaS概念","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4023":"应用软件","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","BK4567":"ESG概念","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","BK4576":"AR","IE0004086264.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE00B4YYXB79.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"E\" (USD) ACC","IE00BHPRN162.USD":"BNY MELLON BLOCKCHAIN INNOVATION \"B\" (USD) ACC","BK4577":"网络游戏","BK4538":"云计算","BK4543":"AI","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","GB00B4LPDJ14.GBP":"FUNDSMITH EQUITY \"R\" (GBP) ACC","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE000W1ABFV2.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"R\" (USD) INC","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717101-palantir-time-to-sell","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2462128699","content_text":"In our opinion, Palantir is extremely overvalued at the current price.Our valuation model shows that the downside could be nearly 50%.We believe that Palantir is a STRONG SELL right now.nhillAfter we released our update on Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) last month, the company published its earnings report for Q2 in which it reported a major boost in sales and increased the guidance. This has led to the growth of Palantir's stock, which is now over 10% up since our update was released in July. While our bearish thesis hasn't played out yet, we continue to believe that the company's stock trades at irrational levels and represents a significant downside.The Good, The Bad, and the UglyOur recent bearish idea hasn't materialized yet since Palantir's share price has grown by over 10% thanks to the positive earnings report which showed that the company's revenues in Q2 increased by 27.2% Y/Y to $678.13 million, above the expectations by $25.71 million. The increased guidance by the management has also reignited investors' confidence.However, we still believe that the company's growth will slow down, which could prompt the share price to depreciate. If we look closely at the earnings presentation, we will see that while Palantir's US commercial revenue increased by 55% Y/Y, it increased only by 6% Q/Q. At the same time, while the US commercial count was up 83% Y/Y, it was up only 13% Q/Q.The big annual increase could be attributed to the fact that Palantir's flagship product AIP was launched only in April 2023, so the Q2'23 numbers that served as a base for comparison for the current year were not that impressive in the first place. That's why the company was able to deliver solid Y/Y growth in Q2'24. We believe that a growth rate won't be as impressive going forward since the main cohort of clients has already started to use AIP in recent quarters, and we would make the case that the Q/Q numbers support our standpoint.In addition, we believe that no matter how useful AIP is for enterprises, with a market cap of over $70 billion Palantir can't realistically be worth more than half of the entire generative AI market, which is expected to be worth $128 billion this year.The Stock Price Continues To Make No SenseWhen we published our update on Palantir last month, we also added our valuation model, the goal of which was to figure out what is the real value of the company. That model revealed that Palantir's intrinsic value is only $13.55 per share. Since Palantir reported good numbers for Q2 last week and prompted the management to increase the guidance for the fiscal year, we decided to make some changes to our model as well to better reflect the company's opportunities and risks.On the left side of the table below, some data has been changed, while some has remained the same as before. The tax rate and the perpetual growth rate are the same as they were in our previous valuation model. The share price at the moment of the valuation is $32.12 per share, and the cash reserves data now includes the data from Q2. The forecasted period remained the same as before as well.The discount rate in our valuation model is 7.68%. The calculation of the discount rate is presented in the middle and the right side of the table below. To calculate the cost of debt, Palantir's TTM financial data was used. When calculating the cost of equity, we used the beta of 1, which is similar to the market's beta; the risk-free rate of 3.87%, which is the current yield of the 10-year treasury note; and the market return of 7.70%, which is the inflation-adjusted return of the S&P 500 since 1950. In the end, we got a discount rate of 7.68%, which is similar to the cost of equity simply because Palantir has a relatively clean balance sheet with little total debt. This is why the cost of equity has a greater weight when figuring out the discount rate.Valuation Model (Bears of Wall Street)When it comes to the forecast of Palantir's sales and earnings, we've changed several things. First, we have increased Palantir's sales expectations for the fiscal year 2024 to $2.75 billion, which is on the higher end of the management's latest guidance. We also assumed a sales growth rate of 25% in the following period, which is higher than the current expectations. It is done to simply ensure that our model covers a potential increase in guidance as it happened recently when the Q2 report came in and the analysts started to revise their estimates.We have also aggressively increased the EBIT assumptions for the upcoming years from the 35% rate that was used in the previous model to 43.1% in the current model. The explanation for it is simple. As generative AI tools and platforms become more popular and able to improve the companies' margins, it makes sense to assume that the earnings are going to improve as well.If we look at Microsoft Corporation's (MSFT) financial statement, we will see that the company has greatly improved its sales and earnings in recent quarters in large thanks to the launch of its generative AI assistant Copilot. Microsoft's CEO Satya Nadella in the latest conference call also called Palantir one of the leaders of the Models as a Service business, which is experiencing an increase in usage of its products. This indicates that AIP's and Copilot's enterprise clients likely have a lot in common. That's why after we divided Microsoft's EBIT of $27.93 billion for the recent quarter by its revenues of $64.73 billion, we found out that Microsoft's EBIT accounts for 43.1% of its revenues and decided to apply the same rate to Palantir as well. By doing so, we could once again ensure that the model properly covers a potential increase in guidance. The forecast for other things remained the same as before.Once found the present value of FCF under our new forecast, we can calculate the cumulative present value of FCF, apply the discount rate and the perpetual growth rate from before, and figure out Palantir's terminal value, the present value of the terminal value, and the enterprise value, which in our case is $36.75 billion. After that, we add the cash resources to the enterprise value and don't subtract any long-term debt because there isn't any to calculate Palantir's equity value, which in our case is $40.75 billion. We then divide the equity value by the number of shares at the end of Q2 and find out that Palantir's intrinsic value is $16.88 per share. This means that the company is currently overvalued by nearly 50%.Valuation Model (Bears of Wall Street)While Palantir's intrinsic value in this model increased by over 300 basis points in comparison to our latest model from July, it nevertheless helped us figure out an important thing. By applying optimistic assumptions for the sales and EBIT, we can figure out what is Palantir's ceiling in terms of its performance and why even under the optimistic assumptions the company remains significantly overvalued. That's why giving Palantir a STRONG SELL recommendation is the only viable option in our opinion as the current stock price continues to make no sense for us.Major Downside to Our Bearish ThesisOne thing that seasoned investors know for a fact is that the market can stay irrational longer than they could remain solvent. The story of Palantir's price action proves this point. Fundamentally, Palantir is extremely overvalued as it has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 100x. However, the stock could continue to trade above the technical support level of $30 per share.In our opinion, two things can undermine Palantir's current momentum. The first thing is the worsening of macro conditions, which could result in the overall market selloff and push Palantir's price lower closer to its intrinsic value. The second thing is a much lower Y/Y growth of revenues and customer count, which could undermine investors' confidence. Given a much weaker Q/Q growth, this could happen later this year or at the beginning of next year. That is why we believe that Palantir continues to be a STRONG SELL, but it can take a while before the fundamentals begin to matter again.Our Short StrategyIn our latest article from July, we disclosed that we are short on Palantir. Back then we saw that the stock was losing its momentum and has hit an important technical resistance level. We opened that position around the time that article was published in the range between $28 and $29 per share and continue to hold it to this day. The position is shares-only, and no put options are involved.The chart below shows that after more than a year of depreciation, Palantir's shares began to rebound in the spring of 2023 primarily thanks to the entrance of the company into the generative AI field with the launch of AIP. However, in 2024, the performance was mixed, as the shares were unable to breach an important technical resistance level of $30 per share first at the start of the year and later earlier this summer, and were trading within a closed range.A week after our article was published, the shares depreciated to below $23 per share but were still within the closed range that's shown between the dotted lines on the chart below. Our thinking was that without a major catalyst, the share price could collapse below that range and depreciate closer to the company's fair value. However, the earnings results in early August came better than expected and the guidance was improved, which pushed the shares higher to above the $30 per share level at which Palantir currently trades.Stock Performance (Seeking Alpha)There are several ways to go from here now. If Palantir fails to hold above $30 per share for longer and fails to go above the closed dotted range, then we have a good chance of the stock depreciating to its previous technical support levels which would be much harder to hold without another major catalyst. If the stock price goes higher, then the next major resistance level would be close to the company's all-time high level of $39 per share.In the first scenario, our goal would be to start taking profits at around $20 per share and possibly below, which is relatively close to the intrinsic value of the company in our model. In the second scenario, we plan to exit the position at a loss above $39 per share, wait for the establishment of new support and resistance levels, and only then reenter the short trade since we believe that the growth of Palantir's stock can't last forever.Since shorting is always risky, we decided to deploy less than 5% of our portfolio capital for this trade as there's always a possibility that the share price will remain irrational for a while.If the stock continues to trade around $30 per share, then we will continue to hold our short position until the price goes significantly up or down. The annual percentage rate of borrowing is less than 1%, so we believe that the risks associated with shorting Palantir are worth it for us right now, as the potential reward could be significant.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":268662255505704,"gmtCreate":1706625904023,"gmtModify":1706625908838,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bank of America - technical chart has forming inverted head and shoulder! Time to go buy in!&nbsp;","listText":"Bank of America - technical chart has forming inverted head and shoulder! Time to go buy in!&nbsp;","text":"Bank of America - technical chart has forming inverted head and shoulder! Time to go buy in!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/268662255505704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915891389,"gmtCreate":1665009892142,"gmtModify":1676537541552,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915891389","repostId":"1151233215","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151233215","pubTimestamp":1664974310,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151233215?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, NIO, XPeng, Li Auto, And BYD Deliveries: Winners And Losers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151233215","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEV companies have recently announced their deliveries for September and the third quarter.The","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>EV companies have recently announced their deliveries for September and the third quarter.</li><li>There were some surprises, such as Tesla&#39;s estimate miss.</li><li>BYD is growing at an extraordinary pace and has a massive backlog.</li><li>Which companies look good, and which ones look bad based on these recent results?</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cbcd5d8ea6c9b6f93fd38dd1b8499d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>adventtr</span></p><p>Article Thesis</p><p>Many of the major auto companies have released their sales (deliveries) numbers for September and their respective third quarters. In this article, we&#39;ll look at how Tesla (TSLA) and its major competitors among the ChineseEV players -- NIO (NIO), XPeng (XPEV), Li Auto (LI), and BYD (OTCPK:BYDDY)(OTCPK:BYDDF) -- have performed during the period and what it means for investors.</p><p>The Market Is Growing Fast, But So Is Competition</p><p>Taking a quick look at the overall electric vehicle market, it is pretty clear that growth remains at a very high level. In China, the world&#39;s biggest EV market, EVs had a market share of more than 30% in August, the highest level on record. In a single month, more than 600,000 new energy vehicles were sold, up more than 100% year over year. The same holds true for the year-to-date number. This includes plug-in hybrids, which are responsible for around one-third of overall NEV sales. But even if we exclude those and focus on BEVs alone, growth has been very strong and the market share of these vehicles in China has risen to a pretty high 20% already. Considering where EVs stood a couple of years ago, that&#39;s a lot of progress.</p><p>That is good news for EV manufacturers such as the ones mentioned above, but it is also pretty clear that competition is growing further and further, as new startups are introducing their first models, while legacy players expand their EV lineups as well. On top of that, there&#39;s also a third type of new competitor: Tech companies that are moving into the automobile space, which includes Apple (AAPL) via its Titan project, but also others such as Foxconn.</p><p>What this means is that even though the market for EVs more than doubled in China in recent months, many EV manufacturers are not generating sales growth in the 100%+ range. Instead, quite a couple of them are struggling to grow at half the market rate, with BYD being a noteworthy outlier.</p><p>Delivery Numbers For September And Q3</p><p>Going with these five EV players in alphabetical order, let&#39;s start with BYD.</p><p>BYD reported sales of 201,000 new energy vehicles for September, representing an increase of more than 180% year over year and close to 20% month-to-month. That&#39;s the highest monthly total for the company ever. For the third quarter, BYD reported 539,000 NEVs being sold, which represents a gigantic 194% increase year over year. Clearly, BYD is growing faster than the overall EV market in China and also on a global scale, even though deliveries are mostly centered on its home market so far. That at least partially explains why many other EVs are struggling to grow at the market rate -- BYD is gaining market share quickly, which means that others must be losing market share.</p><p>Li Auto reported 11,500 deliveries for September, up by a compelling 63% year over year. Of course, that&#39;s just one-third of BYD&#39;s relative growth rate despite a smaller absolute basis, but we&#39;ll see that 60%+ growth is still better than what many of its peers are generating. For the third quarter, Li has delivered 26,500 vehicles, unfortunately only up by 6% year over year. Deliveries for July and August were pretty weak, partially due to lockdowns in place across China.</p><p>NIO reported 10,900 vehicles delivered in September, which represents an increase of just 2% year over year. Overall, NIO delivered 32,000 vehicles in the third quarter, which was a new record high for the company. Year-over-year growth for the whole quarter was not too impressive, however, at 29%, with supply chain issues caused by lockdowns being an important headwind, according to management.</p><p>Tesla does not break out deliveries on a monthly basis but reported its Q3 deliveries a couple of days ago. These numbers got a lot of attention, as Tesla is the most-watched EV company, and since it missed estimates. The company delivered 344,000 vehicles during the third quarter, representing growth of 43% year over year.</p><p>Finally, XPeng reported that its deliveries totaled 8,500 during September, and 29,500 during the third quarter, which was up 15% year over year, missing previous guidance and analyst expectations.</p><p>There are thus very large differences when it comes to the growth these companies were able to deliver during the last couple of months. To me, it looks like BYD is the clear winner: Not only did it by far hit the highest relative growth rate for both September and Q3 overall, almost tripling its sales, but the company has also become the largest NEV company in the world, with its sales volumes roughly 60% higher than those of Tesla. It should be noted that BYD sells PHEVs on top of BEVs, thus Tesla still holds the crown in the BEV segment of the overall EV market. But with BYD&#39;s growth rate being around 4.5x as high as Tesla&#39;s growth rate, it would not be surprising to see BYD overtake Tesla in the BEV space in the near term, on top of holding the EV crown already.</p><p>BYD looks like the clear winner from a sales performance perspective, while the other four don&#39;t look as strong by far. In fact, Li, NIO, Tesla, and XPeng all grew less than the market during the third quarter, meaning all of them have been losing market share. As long as the market continues to grow at a fast pace, market share losses are not necessarily a disaster. But a company that grows its market share in a growth market is of course preferably compared to a company that loses market share in a growth market.</p><p>Tesla delivered the second-best relative growth rate and is also one of the leaders in absolute terms, which is why I&#39;d rate it the second-best performer during the period. The other three smaller Chinese EV players did not deliver an especially convincing performance, delivering year-over-year growth of 6%-29% for the third quarter. Lockdowns in China had a large impact on them, which is why investors can expect that growth rates will improve somewhat going forward. But still, growing a relatively small absolute sales number at a growth rate that is way lower than that of BYD or Tesla is far from a great look.</p><p>What Can Investors Expect From Their Earnings Announcements?</p><p>Sales volume growth does not 100% translate into revenue growth, of course. Different mix between higher-priced and lower-priced models can have an impact, while this also holds true for price increases and rebates that automobile companies offer sometimes. Tesla has notably increased its pricing over the last year, and the product mix has also improved, as its sales of high-end models such as the S and X have risen more than the overall sales number. It&#39;s thus not surprising to see that analysts are expecting revenues for the third quarter to grow more than its deliveries. Right now, analysts are forecasting a 62% revenue gain, which would be pretty strong.</p><p>Likewise, revenue growth at BYD will not be equal to its deliveries growth during the third quarter. BYD is a major battery manufacturer and supplier to other automobile companies, thus selling its own vehicles is not the sole source of revenue for the company. BYD is forecasted to grow its sales by 60% year over year, as growth in its non-auto business will be lower compared to the growth in its auto business. On top of that, the introduction of lower-priced vehicles might have lowered its average sales price compared to a year ago. That being said, BYD&#39;s ultra-fast growth in its vehicles business should push up the company-wide growth rate going forward, which is why revenue growth could accelerate over the next couple of quarters as long as deliveries continue to set new records.</p><p>NIO, XPeng, and Li are forecasted to grow their revenues by 22%, 10%, and 28%, respectively, on a year-over-year basis. This means that the market is anticipating that NIO&#39;s and XPeng&#39;s revenue per vehicle will decline slightly, while Li Auto is forecasted to grow its revenue more than its deliveries. Since the discrepancy is pretty wide in Li&#39;s case, I believe that it is likely that revenue estimates will get adjusted downwards over the next couple of days. After all, deliveries came in below expectations, and some Wall Street firms may not have adjusted their models to incorporate these lower-than-expected deliveries yet. In that case, downside share price risk seems more pronounced for Li compared to the others as it seems more likely that price targets and ratings will get cut.</p><p>The slightly lower revenue growth rate that is forecasted for NIO and XPeng, relative to their respective deliveries, makes sense, as both companies have been expanding their product lineups with lower-priced models. On top of that, they didn&#39;t hike their prices as aggressively as Tesla did, for example.</p><p>Which Of These Could Be A Good Investment?</p><p>Tesla is the most profitable one, while the other four companies are not or only barely profitable. Of course, for a fast-growing company in a growth market, current profits are not necessarily the most important thing. BYD with its excellent growth looks compelling to me. This does especially hold true when we consider that its current order backlog stands at more than 700,000 vehicles, and current wait times are, on average, more than four months. Clearly, demand is very large, even in a very uncertain macro environment. Tesla&#39;s delivery times have declined in the recent past, which suggests that its order backlog is shrinking.</p><p>Looking at the sales multiples of these companies, we see the following:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30e15674211fd4b3fc00734dc1b6acd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><i>Note: No forward sales multiple available on YCharts for BYD, but according to Seeking Alpha&#39;sdata, the sales multiple for the company for the current year is 1.39.</i></p><p>Tesla is, by far, the most expensive among these five companies from a sales multiple perspective. Due to its above-average margins and strong brand, a premium valuation makes sense. It can be argued, however, whether that premium should be as large as it is.</p><p>BYD looks like an attractive value -- not only is it growing ultra-fast, but it also is the cheapest among these five by far. Add its excellent battery technology (that is sold to, among others, Tesla) and the fact that Warren Buffett believes in the company (Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(BRK.B) owns a major stake), and BYD seems like the best pick among these five to me -- from a deliveries in Q3 perspective, but also considering other factors.</p><p><i>This article was written by Jonathan Weber.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, NIO, XPeng, Li Auto, And BYD Deliveries: Winners And Losers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, NIO, XPeng, Li Auto, And BYD Deliveries: Winners And Losers\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-05 20:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544678-tesla-nio-xpeng-li-auto-byd-deliveries-winners-losers><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEV companies have recently announced their deliveries for September and the third quarter.There were some surprises, such as Tesla's estimate miss.BYD is growing at an extraordinary pace and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544678-tesla-nio-xpeng-li-auto-byd-deliveries-winners-losers\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR","NIO":"蔚来","01211":"比亚迪股份","TSLA":"特斯拉","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544678-tesla-nio-xpeng-li-auto-byd-deliveries-winners-losers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151233215","content_text":"SummaryEV companies have recently announced their deliveries for September and the third quarter.There were some surprises, such as Tesla's estimate miss.BYD is growing at an extraordinary pace and has a massive backlog.Which companies look good, and which ones look bad based on these recent results?adventtrArticle ThesisMany of the major auto companies have released their sales (deliveries) numbers for September and their respective third quarters. In this article, we'll look at how Tesla (TSLA) and its major competitors among the ChineseEV players -- NIO (NIO), XPeng (XPEV), Li Auto (LI), and BYD (OTCPK:BYDDY)(OTCPK:BYDDF) -- have performed during the period and what it means for investors.The Market Is Growing Fast, But So Is CompetitionTaking a quick look at the overall electric vehicle market, it is pretty clear that growth remains at a very high level. In China, the world's biggest EV market, EVs had a market share of more than 30% in August, the highest level on record. In a single month, more than 600,000 new energy vehicles were sold, up more than 100% year over year. The same holds true for the year-to-date number. This includes plug-in hybrids, which are responsible for around one-third of overall NEV sales. But even if we exclude those and focus on BEVs alone, growth has been very strong and the market share of these vehicles in China has risen to a pretty high 20% already. Considering where EVs stood a couple of years ago, that's a lot of progress.That is good news for EV manufacturers such as the ones mentioned above, but it is also pretty clear that competition is growing further and further, as new startups are introducing their first models, while legacy players expand their EV lineups as well. On top of that, there's also a third type of new competitor: Tech companies that are moving into the automobile space, which includes Apple (AAPL) via its Titan project, but also others such as Foxconn.What this means is that even though the market for EVs more than doubled in China in recent months, many EV manufacturers are not generating sales growth in the 100%+ range. Instead, quite a couple of them are struggling to grow at half the market rate, with BYD being a noteworthy outlier.Delivery Numbers For September And Q3Going with these five EV players in alphabetical order, let's start with BYD.BYD reported sales of 201,000 new energy vehicles for September, representing an increase of more than 180% year over year and close to 20% month-to-month. That's the highest monthly total for the company ever. For the third quarter, BYD reported 539,000 NEVs being sold, which represents a gigantic 194% increase year over year. Clearly, BYD is growing faster than the overall EV market in China and also on a global scale, even though deliveries are mostly centered on its home market so far. That at least partially explains why many other EVs are struggling to grow at the market rate -- BYD is gaining market share quickly, which means that others must be losing market share.Li Auto reported 11,500 deliveries for September, up by a compelling 63% year over year. Of course, that's just one-third of BYD's relative growth rate despite a smaller absolute basis, but we'll see that 60%+ growth is still better than what many of its peers are generating. For the third quarter, Li has delivered 26,500 vehicles, unfortunately only up by 6% year over year. Deliveries for July and August were pretty weak, partially due to lockdowns in place across China.NIO reported 10,900 vehicles delivered in September, which represents an increase of just 2% year over year. Overall, NIO delivered 32,000 vehicles in the third quarter, which was a new record high for the company. Year-over-year growth for the whole quarter was not too impressive, however, at 29%, with supply chain issues caused by lockdowns being an important headwind, according to management.Tesla does not break out deliveries on a monthly basis but reported its Q3 deliveries a couple of days ago. These numbers got a lot of attention, as Tesla is the most-watched EV company, and since it missed estimates. The company delivered 344,000 vehicles during the third quarter, representing growth of 43% year over year.Finally, XPeng reported that its deliveries totaled 8,500 during September, and 29,500 during the third quarter, which was up 15% year over year, missing previous guidance and analyst expectations.There are thus very large differences when it comes to the growth these companies were able to deliver during the last couple of months. To me, it looks like BYD is the clear winner: Not only did it by far hit the highest relative growth rate for both September and Q3 overall, almost tripling its sales, but the company has also become the largest NEV company in the world, with its sales volumes roughly 60% higher than those of Tesla. It should be noted that BYD sells PHEVs on top of BEVs, thus Tesla still holds the crown in the BEV segment of the overall EV market. But with BYD's growth rate being around 4.5x as high as Tesla's growth rate, it would not be surprising to see BYD overtake Tesla in the BEV space in the near term, on top of holding the EV crown already.BYD looks like the clear winner from a sales performance perspective, while the other four don't look as strong by far. In fact, Li, NIO, Tesla, and XPeng all grew less than the market during the third quarter, meaning all of them have been losing market share. As long as the market continues to grow at a fast pace, market share losses are not necessarily a disaster. But a company that grows its market share in a growth market is of course preferably compared to a company that loses market share in a growth market.Tesla delivered the second-best relative growth rate and is also one of the leaders in absolute terms, which is why I'd rate it the second-best performer during the period. The other three smaller Chinese EV players did not deliver an especially convincing performance, delivering year-over-year growth of 6%-29% for the third quarter. Lockdowns in China had a large impact on them, which is why investors can expect that growth rates will improve somewhat going forward. But still, growing a relatively small absolute sales number at a growth rate that is way lower than that of BYD or Tesla is far from a great look.What Can Investors Expect From Their Earnings Announcements?Sales volume growth does not 100% translate into revenue growth, of course. Different mix between higher-priced and lower-priced models can have an impact, while this also holds true for price increases and rebates that automobile companies offer sometimes. Tesla has notably increased its pricing over the last year, and the product mix has also improved, as its sales of high-end models such as the S and X have risen more than the overall sales number. It's thus not surprising to see that analysts are expecting revenues for the third quarter to grow more than its deliveries. Right now, analysts are forecasting a 62% revenue gain, which would be pretty strong.Likewise, revenue growth at BYD will not be equal to its deliveries growth during the third quarter. BYD is a major battery manufacturer and supplier to other automobile companies, thus selling its own vehicles is not the sole source of revenue for the company. BYD is forecasted to grow its sales by 60% year over year, as growth in its non-auto business will be lower compared to the growth in its auto business. On top of that, the introduction of lower-priced vehicles might have lowered its average sales price compared to a year ago. That being said, BYD's ultra-fast growth in its vehicles business should push up the company-wide growth rate going forward, which is why revenue growth could accelerate over the next couple of quarters as long as deliveries continue to set new records.NIO, XPeng, and Li are forecasted to grow their revenues by 22%, 10%, and 28%, respectively, on a year-over-year basis. This means that the market is anticipating that NIO's and XPeng's revenue per vehicle will decline slightly, while Li Auto is forecasted to grow its revenue more than its deliveries. Since the discrepancy is pretty wide in Li's case, I believe that it is likely that revenue estimates will get adjusted downwards over the next couple of days. After all, deliveries came in below expectations, and some Wall Street firms may not have adjusted their models to incorporate these lower-than-expected deliveries yet. In that case, downside share price risk seems more pronounced for Li compared to the others as it seems more likely that price targets and ratings will get cut.The slightly lower revenue growth rate that is forecasted for NIO and XPeng, relative to their respective deliveries, makes sense, as both companies have been expanding their product lineups with lower-priced models. On top of that, they didn't hike their prices as aggressively as Tesla did, for example.Which Of These Could Be A Good Investment?Tesla is the most profitable one, while the other four companies are not or only barely profitable. Of course, for a fast-growing company in a growth market, current profits are not necessarily the most important thing. BYD with its excellent growth looks compelling to me. This does especially hold true when we consider that its current order backlog stands at more than 700,000 vehicles, and current wait times are, on average, more than four months. Clearly, demand is very large, even in a very uncertain macro environment. Tesla's delivery times have declined in the recent past, which suggests that its order backlog is shrinking.Looking at the sales multiples of these companies, we see the following:Data by YChartsNote: No forward sales multiple available on YCharts for BYD, but according to Seeking Alpha'sdata, the sales multiple for the company for the current year is 1.39.Tesla is, by far, the most expensive among these five companies from a sales multiple perspective. Due to its above-average margins and strong brand, a premium valuation makes sense. It can be argued, however, whether that premium should be as large as it is.BYD looks like an attractive value -- not only is it growing ultra-fast, but it also is the cheapest among these five by far. Add its excellent battery technology (that is sold to, among others, Tesla) and the fact that Warren Buffett believes in the company (Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(BRK.B) owns a major stake), and BYD seems like the best pick among these five to me -- from a deliveries in Q3 perspective, but also considering other factors.This article was written by Jonathan Weber.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915893591,"gmtCreate":1665009849913,"gmtModify":1676537541545,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915893591","repostId":"1137334453","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137334453","pubTimestamp":1664982019,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137334453?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137334453","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>The market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.</li><li>Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media&#39;s bearish calls.</li><li>We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.</li><li>We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.</li><li>This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac443e0ce1bd43b0a4d2729fe65b6d7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>24K-Production</span></p><p>Thesis</p><p>This is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.</p><p>Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June&#39;s lows, creating massive panic.</p><p>As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week&#39;s re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.</p><p>Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.</p><p>While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.</p><p>We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.</p><p>Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their Conviction</p><p>In our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:</p><blockquote>[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it&#39;s even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It&#39;s incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)</blockquote><p>Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan&#39;s (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been &#34;a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market&#39;s more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can&#39;t ignore.&#34; He highlighted:</p><blockquote>Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - Insider</blockquote><p>Even market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a &#34;rolling/growth recession&#34; instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been &#34;too optimistic.&#34; He articulated:</p><blockquote>The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn&#39;t currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&amp;P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)</blockquote><p>The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it&#39;s necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.</p><p>Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be Forming</p><p>Investors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.</p><p>But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don&#39;t think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let&#39;s see.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35c4858ac6a8891490febd96e54cbbd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.</p><p>We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May&#39;s highs. As a result, it created a &#34;higher-high&#34; structure, giving these investors&#39; confidence that June&#39;s bottom could have marked the market&#39;s ultimate lows.</p><p>Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20ea4352b6cd926d55d0a59dbcf6ad4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.</p><p>Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers&#39; resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.</p><p>Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.</p><p>However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.</p><p>Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate Bottom</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cafca6b8573804703e65bdffc2141e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market&#39;s bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet&#39;s famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:</p><blockquote>What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYT</blockquote><p>Actually, Buffett&#39;s timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.</p><p>As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/012ad6c1d1f14aef4b8fc52f68592736\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.</p><p>Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August&#39;s bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.</p><p>Takeaway</p><p>We have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.</p><p>Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.</p><p>The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.</p><p>We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we <i>reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.</i></p><p><i>This article was written by JR Research.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ And SPY: Major Market Bottoming Signals Forming Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-05 23:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544587-qqq-and-spy-major-market-bottoming-signals-forming-now-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137334453","content_text":"SummaryThe market is entering a critical phase with the potential to force a major bear market bottoming process seen in the most significant bear markets: the double bottom.Even previously bullish market strategists have been shaken by the recent wave of market pessimism, accentuated by the media's bearish calls.We discuss why we could have reached peak pessimism last week, at heights unseen over the past fifteen years.We also explain the critical levels investors need to watch to analyze the price action over the next four to five weeks to validate our thesis.This is the moment investors need to be brave and not fall into the bearish camp.24K-ProductionThesisThis is the moment that we have been waiting for, the ultimate trap to ensnare the bearish investors/short-sellers/hedgers. We gleaned that the market had set up the bearish conditions to form the most potent bear trap (indicating the market denied furtherselling downside decisively) in our arsenal last Friday (September 30), when the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) re-tested its June lows.Accordingly, it joined the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) in its quest to attract sellers into their June bottom by breaking below it. Therefore, it created the optimal conditions for sellers to be drawn deep into peak bear market pessimism, taking out the stop losses from buyers who picked June's lows, creating massive panic.As discussed below, we also observed critical observations from Wall Street strategists who maintained their bullish views until last week's re-tests. Hence, even the most resilient bullish equity strategists are now unsure of their posture, adding to the score of already pessimistic Wall Street strategists.Notwithstanding, our analysis suggests that the market has set up such re-test conditions several times to form significant bear market bottoms before. These are conditions designed to force weak buyers who thought they picked the lows in June to abandon their thesis entirely at the worst possible moment. They are also intended to fan the flames in the media, who have been touting bearish ideas during these volatile times to attract eyeballs.While we have yet to glean a validated bullish reversal signal that could confirm that this is the ultimate bottom, we are cautiously optimistic. Notwithstanding, no one can predict precisely how the market will move in the next four to five weeks, which is critical to our thesis. However, even if you really want to cut exposure, we urge you not to jump ship now at the worst possible time of peak pessimism. Sell at the next relief rally if you desire, but not here and not now.We reiterate our Buy rating on the SPY and QQQ.Bullish Strategists Are Now Uncertain With Their ConvictionIn our daily update for our members, we observed several indicators that highlighted peak pessimism in the market last week. We noted that the put/call premium reached a record high that was unseen over the past fifteen years. We accentuated:[The put/call premium] reached an extreme [level] well above the highs in June [2022] and at levels not seen over the past 15 years. That means it's even higher than the levels last seen in the 2008/09 financial crisis. The fear and panic have reached a crescendo. Note that this contrarian indicator is very consistent in its predictive potency of a significant bottoming process when it reaches extreme levels. It's incredible; markets have finally turned extremely panicky, much more than in June, and at the highest levels over the past 15! (Ultimate Growth Investing 28 September 2022 Daily Market Analysis)Furthermore, we also gleaned that previously bullish strategists have started questioning their conviction levels. For instance, JPMorgan's (JPM) Marko Kolanovic, who is noted to have been \"a steadfast bullthroughout the stock market's more than 20% decline this year, but now some big risks are forming that he can't ignore.\" He highlighted:Most of the risks in 2022 are a result of policies: escalation of geopolitical tensions and violence, mismanagement of the energy crisis, damaging (instead of nurturing) of global trade relationships and supply chains, fanning internal political divisions, and more. It all amounts to throwing rocks in glass house. While we remain above-consensus positive, these [year-end] targets may not be realized until 2023 or when the risks ease. - InsiderEven market strategist Edward Yardeni, who has been calling for a \"rolling/growth recession\" instead of a full-blown one, is also considering revisiting his thesis, as it could have been \"too optimistic.\" He articulated:The latest economic indicators suggest that the economy is doing better than expected but also that inflation remains too high. That alignment increases the odds of more Fed tightening than previously expected, a higher terminal fed funds rate, and a Fed-induced hard landing. A hard landing isn't currently our economic forecast-we see the growth recession continuing through year-end. But fears of a Fed-induced hard landing are increasing bearishness in both bond and stock markets. We are assessing whether our forecasts for both S&P 500 earnings and valuation might be too optimistic. (Yardeni Research October 3 morning briefing)The point we are trying to make is not to call out these two well-respected strategists. But, we believe it's necessary to point out that even some of the most optimistic market strategists are now questioning their conviction levels. It corroborates our indicators that suggest that the market could have reached peak pessimism, as we suggested.Significant Market Bottoming Process Could Be FormingInvestors need to understand that the market is a complex machinery. But, we believe experienced investors generally concur that the most significant market bottoms are formed at levels of peak pessimism. That includes the depths seen in the dotcom bust in the early 2000s or the global financial crisis of 2007-09.But is the current bear market bottoming process any different? We don't think anyone can tell you exactly how the current bottom would pan out. Notwithstanding, they often demonstrate similar price structures that unveil significant clues about their bottoming process. Let's see.QQQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)As seen above, the market forced the QQQ down rapidly to its June lows through September after posting its August highs, forming the re-test.We believe the summer rally from the initial June bottom cajoled investors into covering their hedges and investors waiting on the sideline to join the momentum surge, as it broke above May's highs. As a result, it created a \"higher-high\" structure, giving these investors' confidence that June's bottom could have marked the market's ultimate lows.Of course, the market had other ideas, as the steep selling through September helped create another opportunity to draw in sellers rapidly, as market pessimism reached feverish levels.Notwithstanding, the re-test also created a potential double bottom opportunity, predicated on the lows in June. So, June lows are still valid, but the market needed to force another round of massive panic by taking out the summer gains before reversing the momentum.SPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned similar price action in the SPY, which re-tested its June bottom ahead of the QQQ last week.Hence, the stage is set for the double bottom to be validated over the next four to five weeks. Therefore, we believe price-action-based investors will be carefully poring over the market dynamics over this period to discern buyers' resilience to create the potential bullish reversal price action, leading to the next sustained uptrend.Investors could also ask whether the price action in March was considered a double bottom. The answer is no. Because the market was not in a prior downtrend, market conditions are not considered bearish enough to validate a double bottom.However, the length and extent of the bear market since its November 2021 highs have formed a medium-term downtrend in the current re-test. Therefore, we have the critical condition of a downtrending market to validate the double bottom in our arsenal.Previous Double Bottoms Marked The Ultimate BottomSPY price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We bring you back to the global financial crisis of 2007-09 to help investors glean the market's bottoming process, which also formed a double bottom.As seen above, the rapid capitulation from August to September 2008 led to an initial bear trap in November 2008, not long after Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffet's famous op-ed in The New York Times (NYT), accentuating:What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over. -NYTActually, Buffett's timing of his commentary was logical and spot on. However, the market had other ideas, as it needed to create another massive panic wave to force the ultimate lows: the double bottom.As seen above, the market then went on another selling overdrive over the next four months forcing investors to flee to the hills and drawing in sellers on peak pessimism. Alas, the double bottom formed and was validated at the lows in March 2009.NASDAQ price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We also gleaned another double bottom in the significant market bottoming process at the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. As seen above, the NASDAQ (NDX) formed its initial lows in September 2001, coming right after the WTC terrorist attacks. However, the bear trap only occurred in August 2002.Notwithstanding, the market needed to force another low to create massive panic by forming a double bottom in October 2002, effectively taking out the lows from August's bear trap. Subsequently, the index never looked back until the Great Financial Crisis in 2007.TakeawayWe have discussed critical market turning points that often culminated in double bottoms in the most significant bear markets over the past twenty years.Therefore, the SPY and the QQQ are given the opportunity to demonstrate that we are on the cusp of another double bottom, trapping bearish investors/short sellers at the worst possible moments.The market action over the next four to five weeks will be critical to validating our thesis.We remain cautiously optimistic given the massive pessimism seen in the market, coupled with constructive price action. Accordingly, we reiterate our Buy rating on the QQQ and the SPY.This article was written by JR Research.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915893828,"gmtCreate":1665009825464,"gmtModify":1676537541537,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915893828","repostId":"2272834099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272834099","pubTimestamp":1664983956,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272834099?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Warren Buffett Stocks Most Likely to Soar in Q4","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272834099","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There's no guarantee these Buffett stocks will take off. But the chances appear to be pretty good.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett would probably be the last person on the planet to predict how stocks will perform over the short term. The legendary investor is much more focused on the long-term business prospects for the stocks he buys for <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>.</p><p>That is absolutely the correct mindset to have. However, if I had to pick the stocks in Berkshire&#39;s portfolio that would probably deliver strong gains over the near term, the decision wouldn&#39;t be that difficult. Here are the three Buffett stocks I think are most likely to soar in Q4.</p><h2>1. Chevron</h2><p><b>Chevron</b> now ranks as the fourth-largest position in Buffett&#39;s portfolio. It&#39;s one of the few stocks that the Berkshire Hathaway CEO has been consistently buying for several consecutive quarters.</p><p>The oil and gas giant also stands as one of the few big winners for Buffett so far in 2022. Chevron&#39;s share price has jumped close to 30% year to date. This gain stemmed in large part from Ukraine war, a move that disrupted the global energy market.</p><p>I think that Chevron stock will probably move even higher in Q4. Any hopes that the Russia-Ukraine conflict would end quickly have evaporated. European Union leaders agreed to ban 90% of most Russian oil imports by the end of this year. OPEC+ members are meeting this week to consider cutting oil production.</p><p>All of this could translate to higher oil prices, which would be bad news for the public but good news for Chevron. With shares trading at around nine times expected earnings, Chevron&#39;s valuation isn&#39;t so great that the stock wouldn&#39;t benefit from further global supply tightening.</p><h2>2. Occidental Petroleum</h2><p>Buffett has become a huge fan of <b>Occidental Petroleum</b>. After months of aggressive buying, Berkshire now owns nearly 21% of the oil and gas company.</p><p>Occidental has been the best-performing stock in Berkshire&#39;s entire portfolio so far this year. Its shares have skyrocketed by more than 120%. At one point, Oxy was up over 150% year to date.</p><p>Can Occidental keep its momentum going in Q4? I think so. Importantly, the company benefits from the same global dynamics that should help Chevron. The two stocks also share nearly identical forward earnings multiples.</p><p>But there&#39;s another factor that could boost Occidental stock even more this year. In August, Berkshire won regulatory authorization to acquire up to 50% of Occidental. If Buffett keeps buying shares, it&#39;s almost a certainty that Occidental stock will keep rising.</p><h2>3. Apple</h2><p>You could make a good case that <b>Apple</b> ranks as Buffett&#39;s favorite stock after Berkshire itself. Apple is by far the biggest holding in Berkshire&#39;s portfolio. Buffett has referred to it as one of Berkshire&#39;s &#34;four giants.&#34; The other three &#34;giants&#34; -- the insurance business, BNSF Railway, and Berkshire Hathaway Energy -- are Berkshire subsidiaries.</p><p>Unlike Chevron and Occidental, Apple has been a loser for Buffett in 2022. Shares of the tech giant have plunged around 20% year to date.</p><p>Don&#39;t think for a second that Apple can&#39;t rebound strongly in Q4, though. One key reason behind the stock&#39;s recent slide is a Bloomberg report that Apple asked certain suppliers to scale back production of the new iPhone 14. But stories based on anonymous sources don&#39;t always pan out.</p><p>At least one Wall Street analyst, Rosenblatt Securities, thinks that consumers in the U.S. and in other countries could enthusiastically buy Apple&#39;s new products. All it would take for Apple stock to soar from current levels is for the company to beat sales expectations during the holiday season.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Warren Buffett Stocks Most Likely to Soar in Q4</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Warren Buffett Stocks Most Likely to Soar in Q4\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-05 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/04/3-warren-buffett-stocks-most-likely-to-soar-in-q4/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett would probably be the last person on the planet to predict how stocks will perform over the short term. The legendary investor is much more focused on the long-term business prospects ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/04/3-warren-buffett-stocks-most-likely-to-soar-in-q4/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","CVX":"雪佛龙","OXY":"西方石油"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/04/3-warren-buffett-stocks-most-likely-to-soar-in-q4/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272834099","content_text":"Warren Buffett would probably be the last person on the planet to predict how stocks will perform over the short term. The legendary investor is much more focused on the long-term business prospects for the stocks he buys for Berkshire Hathaway.That is absolutely the correct mindset to have. However, if I had to pick the stocks in Berkshire's portfolio that would probably deliver strong gains over the near term, the decision wouldn't be that difficult. Here are the three Buffett stocks I think are most likely to soar in Q4.1. ChevronChevron now ranks as the fourth-largest position in Buffett's portfolio. It's one of the few stocks that the Berkshire Hathaway CEO has been consistently buying for several consecutive quarters.The oil and gas giant also stands as one of the few big winners for Buffett so far in 2022. Chevron's share price has jumped close to 30% year to date. This gain stemmed in large part from Ukraine war, a move that disrupted the global energy market.I think that Chevron stock will probably move even higher in Q4. Any hopes that the Russia-Ukraine conflict would end quickly have evaporated. European Union leaders agreed to ban 90% of most Russian oil imports by the end of this year. OPEC+ members are meeting this week to consider cutting oil production.All of this could translate to higher oil prices, which would be bad news for the public but good news for Chevron. With shares trading at around nine times expected earnings, Chevron's valuation isn't so great that the stock wouldn't benefit from further global supply tightening.2. Occidental PetroleumBuffett has become a huge fan of Occidental Petroleum. After months of aggressive buying, Berkshire now owns nearly 21% of the oil and gas company.Occidental has been the best-performing stock in Berkshire's entire portfolio so far this year. Its shares have skyrocketed by more than 120%. At one point, Oxy was up over 150% year to date.Can Occidental keep its momentum going in Q4? I think so. Importantly, the company benefits from the same global dynamics that should help Chevron. The two stocks also share nearly identical forward earnings multiples.But there's another factor that could boost Occidental stock even more this year. In August, Berkshire won regulatory authorization to acquire up to 50% of Occidental. If Buffett keeps buying shares, it's almost a certainty that Occidental stock will keep rising.3. AppleYou could make a good case that Apple ranks as Buffett's favorite stock after Berkshire itself. Apple is by far the biggest holding in Berkshire's portfolio. Buffett has referred to it as one of Berkshire's \"four giants.\" The other three \"giants\" -- the insurance business, BNSF Railway, and Berkshire Hathaway Energy -- are Berkshire subsidiaries.Unlike Chevron and Occidental, Apple has been a loser for Buffett in 2022. Shares of the tech giant have plunged around 20% year to date.Don't think for a second that Apple can't rebound strongly in Q4, though. One key reason behind the stock's recent slide is a Bloomberg report that Apple asked certain suppliers to scale back production of the new iPhone 14. But stories based on anonymous sources don't always pan out.At least one Wall Street analyst, Rosenblatt Securities, thinks that consumers in the U.S. and in other countries could enthusiastically buy Apple's new products. All it would take for Apple stock to soar from current levels is for the company to beat sales expectations during the holiday season.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915010894,"gmtCreate":1664926579918,"gmtModify":1676537528806,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915010894","repostId":"2273862431","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915038960,"gmtCreate":1664926167050,"gmtModify":1676537528610,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915038960","repostId":"1154684404","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154684404","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664890433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154684404?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 21:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Rise As Investors Build on Monday’s Rally, Dow Jumps 400 Points","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154684404","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. Stocks surged to start the day Tuesday as Wall Street aimed to build on a sharp rally seen in t","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stocks surged to start the day Tuesday as Wall Street aimed to build on a sharp rally seen in the previous session.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average were up 388 points, or 1.3%. The S&amp;P 500 increased 1.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 2%.</p><p>Monday brought a respite from slides seen throughout September and the prior quarter. The Dow jumped nearly 2.7%, or about 765 points. It was its best day since June 24. The S&amp;P 500 advanced about 2.6% in its best day since July 27. The Nasdaq Composite increased roughly 2.3%.</p><p>Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note extended its decline and was trading at about 3.583%, down from more than 4% at one point last week.</p><p>“After falling more than 9% in September and extending its year-to-date decline to nearly 25% as of Friday’s close, we think the S&amp;P 500 was looking oversold,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management. “In addition, some of last week’s selling pressure may have been driven by quarter-end rebalancing, which has now ended.”</p><p>“With sentiment toward equities already very weak, periodic rebounds are to be expected,” he added. “But markets are likely to stay volatile in the near term, driven primarily by expectations around inflation and policy rates.”</p><p>Investors will watch for new data Tuesday from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey administered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Rise As Investors Build on Monday’s Rally, Dow Jumps 400 Points</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Rise As Investors Build on Monday’s Rally, Dow Jumps 400 Points\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-04 21:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stocks surged to start the day Tuesday as Wall Street aimed to build on a sharp rally seen in the previous session.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average were up 388 points, or 1.3%. The S&amp;P 500 increased 1.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 2%.</p><p>Monday brought a respite from slides seen throughout September and the prior quarter. The Dow jumped nearly 2.7%, or about 765 points. It was its best day since June 24. The S&amp;P 500 advanced about 2.6% in its best day since July 27. The Nasdaq Composite increased roughly 2.3%.</p><p>Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note extended its decline and was trading at about 3.583%, down from more than 4% at one point last week.</p><p>“After falling more than 9% in September and extending its year-to-date decline to nearly 25% as of Friday’s close, we think the S&amp;P 500 was looking oversold,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management. “In addition, some of last week’s selling pressure may have been driven by quarter-end rebalancing, which has now ended.”</p><p>“With sentiment toward equities already very weak, periodic rebounds are to be expected,” he added. “But markets are likely to stay volatile in the near term, driven primarily by expectations around inflation and policy rates.”</p><p>Investors will watch for new data Tuesday from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey administered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154684404","content_text":"U.S. Stocks surged to start the day Tuesday as Wall Street aimed to build on a sharp rally seen in the previous session.The Dow Jones Industrial Average were up 388 points, or 1.3%. The S&P 500 increased 1.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 2%.Monday brought a respite from slides seen throughout September and the prior quarter. The Dow jumped nearly 2.7%, or about 765 points. It was its best day since June 24. The S&P 500 advanced about 2.6% in its best day since July 27. The Nasdaq Composite increased roughly 2.3%.Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note extended its decline and was trading at about 3.583%, down from more than 4% at one point last week.“After falling more than 9% in September and extending its year-to-date decline to nearly 25% as of Friday’s close, we think the S&P 500 was looking oversold,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management. “In addition, some of last week’s selling pressure may have been driven by quarter-end rebalancing, which has now ended.”“With sentiment toward equities already very weak, periodic rebounds are to be expected,” he added. “But markets are likely to stay volatile in the near term, driven primarily by expectations around inflation and policy rates.”Investors will watch for new data Tuesday from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey administered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916340413,"gmtCreate":1664517713132,"gmtModify":1676537470539,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916340413","repostId":"1121656018","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121656018","pubTimestamp":1664504430,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121656018?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-30 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google Vs. Meta: Which Is More Attractive?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121656018","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBoth Alphabet and Meta currently have an attractive valuation: while Alphabet has a P/E [FWD]","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Both Alphabet and Meta currently have an attractive valuation: while Alphabet has a P/E [FWD] Ratio of 19.05, Meta’s is even lower at 14.30.</li><li>Alphabet has a higher brand value, a higher cash position and a stronger credit rating than Meta.</li><li>However, Meta has a higher EBIT margin and shows a higher free cash flow yield.</li><li>In this comparative analysis, I will show you which of the two companies I would pick if I could only choose one.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83986253810705267bbca929658b8dce\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>JHVEPhoto</p><h2><b>Investment Thesis</b></h2><ul><li>In this comparative analysis on Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:META), I come to the conclusion that I would select Alphabet over Meta if I could only invest in one of the two companies.</li><li>Alphabet has ahigher brand value than Meta ($263,425M compared to Facebook&#39;s brand value of $101,201M as according to Brand Finance), a higher cash position ($124,997M in Total Cash &amp; ST Investments compared to $40,489M) and a stronger credit rating by Moody&#39;s (Aa2 compared to A1).</li><li>I see an investment in Alphabet as being less risky, particularly due to the fact its business is less dependent on advertising than Meta&#39;s.</li><li>I currently rate Meta as a buy and Alphabet as a strong buy. I consider Alphabet to be even more attractive when it comes to risk and reward.</li><li>My investment thesis is underlined by the results of theHQC Scorecardin which Alphabet scores 91/100 while Meta scores 80/100. Furthermore, it is supported by the results of the Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking, in which Alphabet is ranked 2nd within the Interactive Media and Services Industry while Meta is ranked 14th (both out of 61).</li><li>At the current stock prices, I expect a compound annual rate of return of about 18% for Alphabet and one of 16% for Meta. Both are based on the calculations of my DCF Models.</li></ul><h2><b>The Competitive Positions of Alphabet and Meta</b></h2><p>For both Alphabet and Meta I see the enormous amount of data and their ability to analyse and use this data as strong competitive advantages over their rivals in the Interactive Media and Services Industry. In addition to that, both companies are among the top 10 of the world&#39;s most valuable brands: according toBrand Finance, Google is ranked 3rd with a brand value of $263,425M and Facebook is ranked 7th with a brand value of $101,201M.</p><p>Both Alphabet and Meta have a proven ability of successfully integrating new businesses into their companies. One of Alphabet&#39;s most successful acquisitions was YouTube, for which the company paid $1.65 billion back in 2006. Meta acquired Instagram for$1.0 billionin 2012 and WhatsApp for$19 billionin 2014.</p><p>The enormous financial strength of Alphabet and Meta provide them with another significant competitive advantage: while Alphabet has $124,997M in Total Cash &amp; ST Investments at this moment in time, Meta currently disposes of $40,489M. Having a high amount of cash puts both companies in a position to make large acquisitions in order to ensure further future growth. This financial strength is also backed up by a Moody&#39;s credit rating of Aa2 for Alphabet and A1 for Meta.</p><p>Both Alphabet and Meta have strong competitive advantages. However, I would like to summarize that Alphabet is slightly ahead of Meta when it comes to brand value (Alphabet has a brand value of $263,425M while the one of Facebook is $101,201M) and when considering financial strength (Alphabet has a higher cash position and a stronger credit rating by Moody&#39;s). This supports my investment thesis to prefer Alphabet over Meta.</p><h2><b>The Valuation of Alphabet and Meta</b></h2><p><b>Discounted Cash Flow [DCF]-Model</b></p><p>In terms of valuation, I have used the DCF Model to determine the intrinsic value of Alphabet and Meta. The method calculates a fair value of $141.71 for Alphabet and $190.02 for Meta. At the current stock prices, this gives Alphabet an upside of 42.90% and Meta an upside of 35.30%.</p><p>My calculations are based on the following assumptions as presented below (in $ millions except per share items):</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Alphabet</b></p></td><td><p><b>Meta</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Company Ticker</p></td><td><p>GOOG</p></td><td><p>META</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Revenue Growth Rate for the next 5 years</p></td><td><p>8%</p></td><td><p>5%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EBIT Growth Rate for the next 5 years</p></td><td><p>8%</p></td><td><p>5%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Tax Rate</p></td><td><p>15.7%</p></td><td><p>16.7</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Discount Rate [WACC]</p></td><td><p>7.75%</p></td><td><p>7.75%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Perpetual Growth Rate</p></td><td><p>4%</p></td><td><p>3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EV/EBITDA Multiple</p></td><td><p>12x</p></td><td><p>7.2x</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Current Price/Share</p></td><td><p>$99.17</p></td><td><p>$140.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Shares Outstanding</p></td><td><p>13,044</p></td><td><p>2,688</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Debt</p></td><td><p>$28,810</p></td><td><p>$16,679</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Cash</p></td><td><p>$17,936</p></td><td><p>$12,681</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Capex</p></td><td><p>$29,816</p></td><td><p>$32,000</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Author</p><p>Based on the above, I calculated the following results:</p><p><b>Market Value vs. Intrinsic Value</b></p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Alphabet</b></p></td><td><p><b>Meta</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Market Value</p></td><td><p>$99.17</p></td><td><p>$140.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Upside</p></td><td><p>42.90%</p></td><td><p>35.30%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Intrinsic Value</p></td><td><p>$141.71</p></td><td><p>$190.02</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Author</p><p><b>Internal Rate of Return for Alphabet</b></p><p>TheInternal Rate of Return[IRR] is defined as the expected compound annual rate of return earned on an investment. Below you can find the Internal Rate of Return as according to my DCF Model (when assuming different purchase prices for the Alphabet stock).</p><p>At Alphabet&#39;s current stock price of $99.17, my DCF Model indicates an Internal Rate of Return of approximately 18% for the company (while assuming a Revenue and EBIT Growth Rate of 8% for the next 5 years and a Perpetual Growth Rate of 4% afterwards). (In bold you can see the Internal Rate of Return for Alphabet&#39;s current stock price of $99.17.) Please note that the Internal Rates of Return below are a result of the calculations of my DCF Model and changing its assumptions could result in different results.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Purchase Price</b></p><p><b>of the Alphabet Stock</b></p></td><td><p><b>Internal Rate of Return</b></p><p><b>as according to my DCF Model</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$75.00</p></td><td><p>26%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$80.00</p></td><td><p>24%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$85.00</p></td><td><p>22%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$90.00</p></td><td><p>21%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$95.00</p></td><td><p>19%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>$99.17</b></p></td><td><p><b>18%</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$100.00</p></td><td><p>18%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$105.00</p></td><td><p>16%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$110.00</p></td><td><p>15%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$115.00</p></td><td><p>13%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$120.00</p></td><td><p>12%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$125.00</p></td><td><p>11%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Author</p><p><b>Internal Rate of Return for Meta</b></p><p>At Meta&#39;s current stock price of $140.41, my DCF Model indicates an Internal Rate of Return of approximately 16% for the company (while assuming a Revenue and EBIT Growth Rate of 5% for the next 5 years and a Perpetual Growth Rate of 3% afterwards). (In bold you can see the Internal Rate of Return for Meta&#39;s current stock price of $140.41.)</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Purchase Price</b></p><p><b>of the Meta Stock</b></p></td><td><p><b>Internal Rate of Return</b></p><p><b>as according to my DCF Model</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$120.00</p></td><td><p>21%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$125.00</p></td><td><p>20%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$130.00</p></td><td><p>19%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$135.00</p></td><td><p>17%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$140.00</p></td><td><p>16%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>$140.41</b></p></td><td><p><b>16%</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$145.00</p></td><td><p>15%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$150.00</p></td><td><p>14%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$155.00</p></td><td><p>13%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$160.00</p></td><td><p>12%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$165.00</p></td><td><p>12%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$170.00</p></td><td><p>11%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Author</p><p><b>Relative Valuation ModelsTheP/E [FWD] Ratio for Alphabet and Meta</b></p><p>Alphabet&#39;s P/E [FWD] Ratio is currently 19.05, which is 31.55% below its 5 Year Average (27.84), providing us with an indicator that the company is currently undervalued.</p><p>Meta&#39;s current P/E [FWD] Ratio is 14.30, which is 42.78% below its 5 Year Average of 24.99, indicating that Meta is also currently undervalued.</p><h2><b>Fundamentals: Alphabet vs. Meta</b></h2><p>Alphabet&#39;s market capitalization is currently $1.29T, more than three times higher than the one of its competitor Meta ($377.36B). Meta currently has a slightly lower P/E [FWD] Ratio of 14.30 when compared to Alphabet (19.05).</p><p>Although Meta&#39;s EBIT Margin (33.41% compared to Alphabet&#39;s 29.65%) and Free Cash Flow Yield [TTM] (9.27% compared to 4.97%) are higher, the following contributes to the fact that I would select Alphabet if I had to choose one of the two companies from the Interactive Media and Services Industry:</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s ROE of 29.22% is higher than Meta&#39;s (25.48%), which implies that Alphabet is even more efficient in converting its equity financing into profits.</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s Average EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] over the last three years of 33.92% is also higher than that of Meta (with an EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] of 22.80% in the same period of time).</p><p>In addition to that, Alphabet&#39;s EPS Growth Rate Diluted [FWD] of 27.01% is higher than the one of Meta (3.12%), indicating that Alphabet is growing its profitability with a higher rate.</p><p>Additionally, Alphabet&#39;s Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate [FWD] of 24.39% is significantly superior to Meta&#39;s (4.23%), demonstrating that Alphabet&#39;s potential to produce cash and profits is growing faster than its rival&#39;s.</p><p>This analysis of the companies&#39; fundamentals strengthens my investment thesis that Alphabet is currently the more attractive of the two. Below you can find an overview of selected financial data for both Alphabet and Meta.</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p><b>Alphabet</b></p></td><td><p><b>Meta</b></p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>General Information</b></p></td><td><p>Ticker</p></td><td><p>GOOG</p></td><td><p>META</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Sector</p></td><td><p>Communication Services</p></td><td><p>Communication Services</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Industry</p></td><td><p>Interactive Media and Services</p></td><td><p>Interactive Media and Services</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Market Cap</p></td><td><p>1.29T</p></td><td><p>377.36B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Profitability</b></p></td><td><p>EBIT Margin</p></td><td><p>29.65%</p></td><td><p>33.41%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>ROE</p></td><td><p>29.22%</p></td><td><p>25.48%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Valuation</b></p></td><td><p>P/E GAAP [FWD]</p></td><td><p>19.05</p></td><td><p>14.30</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>P/E GAAP [TTM]</p></td><td><p>18.36</p></td><td><p>11.61</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Growth</b></p></td><td><p>Revenue Growth 3 Year [CAGR]</p></td><td><p>23.32%</p></td><td><p>24.02%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Revenue Growth 5 Year [CAGR]</p></td><td><p>22.88%</p></td><td><p>29.20%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EBIT Growth 3 Year [CAGR]</p></td><td><p>33.92%</p></td><td><p>22.80%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EPS Growth Diluted [FWD]</p></td><td><p>27.01%</p></td><td><p>3.12%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Free Cash Flow</b></p></td><td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield [TTM]</p></td><td><p>4.97%</p></td><td><p>9.27%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate [FWD]</p></td><td><p>24.39%</p></td><td><p>4.23%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Dividends</b></p></td><td><p>Dividend Yield [FWD]</p></td><td><p>-</p></td><td><p>-</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Dividend Growth 3 Yr [CAGR]</p></td><td><p>-</p></td><td><p>-</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Dividend Growth 5 Yr [CAGR]</p></td><td><p>-</p></td><td><p>-</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth</p></td><td><p>-</p></td><td><p>-</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Dividend Frequency</p></td><td><p>-</p></td><td><p>-</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Income Statement</b></p></td><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>278.14B</p></td><td><p>119.41B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>EBITDA</p></td><td><p>96.89B</p></td><td><p>48.03B</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p></td><td><p>Total Debt to Equity Ratio</p></td><td><p>11.28%</p></td><td><p>13.26%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Seeking Alpha</p><h2><b>The High-Quality Company [HQC] Scorecard</b></h2><p>&#34;The aim of the HQC Scorecard that I have developed is to help investors identify companies which are attractive long-term investments in terms of risk and reward.&#34; Here you can find adetailed descriptionof how the HQC Scorecard works.</p><p><b>Overview of the Items on the HQC Scorecard</b></p><p>&#34;In the graphic below, you can find the individual items and weighting for each category of theHQC Scorecard. A score between 0 and 5 is given (with 0 being the lowest rating and 5 the highest) for each item on the Scorecard. Furthermore, you can see the conditions that must be met for each point of every rated item.&#34;</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faeb3c51917ef152ddf3a5712155e673\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: The Author</p><p><b>Alphabet and Meta According to the HQC Scorecard</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af2bd93cd88da9505eea2a2524677ae1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: The Author</p><p>Although both companies are rated as very attractive as according to the HQC Scorecard, Alphabet&#39;s overall score (91/100) is slightly higher than the one of Meta (80/100).</p><p>In the category of Economic Moat, Alphabet scores 93/100 points while Meta only reaches 57/100.</p><p>In terms of Financial Strength, both are rated as very attractive. These strong results are a consequence of both companies having a low Total Debt to Equity Ratio, as well as a high Current Ratio (Alphabet&#39;s is 2.81 and Meta&#39;s is 2.52), Quick Ratio (2.62 and 2.34) and Cash Ratio (2.0 and 1.8).</p><p>In the category of Profitability, both companies are rated with 100/100 points, a result of having high EBIT Margins (Alphabet&#39;s is 29.65% and Meta&#39;s is 33.41%) and high ROE&#39;s (29.22% and 25.48%).</p><p>For Valuation, Alphabet receives 80/100 while Meta gets 92/100. Meta&#39;s higher scoring in this category is a consequence of its even lower P/E [FWD] Ratio of 14.30 as compared to Alphabet&#39;s 19.05.</p><p>For Growth, Alphabet receives 88/100 and Meta gets 76/100.</p><p>For Expected Return, both receive 100/100 points, this is mostly due to the high Expected Internal Rate of Return for the companies as according to my DCF Model.</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s higher overall rating (91/100) as according to the HQC Scorecard, strengthens my opinion of choosing the company over Meta at this moment in time.</p><p><b>Alphabet and Meta According to the Seeking Alpha Quant Factor Grades</b></p><p>When taking into consideration the Seeking Alpha Quant Factor Grades, we can see that Meta is rated slightly better in terms of Valuation (with a C-) as compared to Alphabet (D rating). In terms of Growth, however, Alphabet (C- rating) is better rated than Meta (D- rating). For Profitability, both companies receive an A+ rating. For Momentum, Alphabet is more appealing (C+) than Meta (C rating).</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s better rating in terms of Growth and Momentum once again underlines my investment thesis.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78786f44287999703b96d424cf579307\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Seeking Alpha</p><h2><b>Alphabet and Meta According to the Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking</b></h2><p>My investment thesis is also underlined by the results of the Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking where Alphabet is ranked significantly better than Meta: while Alphabet is 2nd in the Interactive Media and Services Industry, Meta is ranked 14th (both out of 61). Within the Communication Services Sector, Alphabet is currently ranked 7th and Meta is in 52nd place (both out of 247). The Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking reinforces my opinion to select Alphabet over Meta.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9089ef15c1e03dcf81b8420660782c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Seeking Alpha</p><h2><b>Alphabet and Meta According to the Seeking Alpha Authors Rating and Wall Street Analysts Rating</b></h2><p>As according to the Seeking Alpha Quant Rating, Alphabet is currently a strong buy and Meta a hold. The Seeking Alpha Authors rate both companies as a buy while the Wall Street Analysts rate Alphabet as a strong buy and Meta as a buy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0183857b361e5803d79ef3e2d9f66812\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"175\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Seeking Alpha</p><h2><b>Risks</b></h2><p>One of the main risk factors I see for both Alphabet and Meta is the fact that the largest portion of the companies&#39; business results depend on advertising.</p><p>When taking a closer look at Alphabet, it can be highlighted that80%of the company&#39;s revenue is generated by its business unit Google Advertising. However, Alphabet&#39;s other business units are becoming more and more important (in 2Q22, Google Cloud accounted for 9% of Alphabet&#39;s total revenue while it was only 7.5% in the same quarter of the year before).</p><p>While having a deeper look into Meta&#39;s business, we find that its dependency on advertising is even higher than that of its competitor:98%of the company&#39;s revenue is generated by advertising from Facebook and Instagram.</p><p>This comparison of the companies&#39; advertising dependency indicates that a reduction in customer spending on marketing would impact Meta&#39;s business to a higher amount than it would affect Alphabet. Meta&#39;s significantly higher dependence on advertising contributes to the fact that I see an investment in Alphabet as being less risky.</p><p>Another additional risk factor when investing in Meta is the company&#39;s high spending to build the metaverse. In 2021 alone, the company spent about$10 billionthrough its Reality Labs division in order to build the metaverse. This amount is five times higher than what the company paid to buyOculus VR business in 2014and 10 times higher than the amountit paid to buy Instagramback in 2012. Although the investments could pay off in the future, they currently represent a risk for the shareholders due to the fact that the success of this project is not yet foreseeable.</p><p>Additionally, I see the effect that data privacy will continue to have on the operating results of Meta as an additional risk factor for the company. At the beginning of this year, Alphabet announced new privacy restrictions which cut tracking across apps on its Android devices, following a similar move to Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). This resulted in a decrease of Meta&#39;s revenue by about$10 billion.</p><p>Summarizing, I see Alphabet as the lower-risk investment when compared with Meta, which once again underlines my thoughts on picking Alphabet out of the two. This lower risk also contributes to the fact that I would overweight the Alphabet position in an investment portfolio. On the other hand, the higher risk factors concerning Meta, contribute to my opinion of giving the company a small position in a long-term investment portfolio.</p><h2><b>The Bottom Line</b></h2><p>I consider the valuation of both Alphabet and Meta to currently be very appealing. However, when considering risk and reward, I came to the conclusion of selecting Alphabet over Meta. My opinion is based on the following facts and thoughts:</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s ROE of 29.22% is higher than the one of Meta (25.48%), implying that Alphabet is even more efficient in converting its equity financing into profits. Furthermore, Alphabet&#39;s Average EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] over the last three years of 33.92% is also higher than the one of Meta (which has an EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] of 22.80% over the same period).</p><p>Alphabet&#39;s higher brand value ($263,425M as compared to Meta&#39;s $101,201M), as well as its higher cash position ($124,997M in Total Cash &amp; ST Investments vs. $40,489M) and higher credit rating (Aa2 credit rating by Moody&#39;s compared to A1) additionally support my investment thesis to select the company over Meta.</p><p>My opinion is further underlined by the rating of the HQC Scorecard in which Alphabet scores 91/100 points while Meta scores 80/100. Additionally, the theory is strengthened by the results of the Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking, where Alphabet is ranked 2nd in the Interactive Media and Services Industry while Meta is 14th (both out of 61).</p><p>When it comes to risk, I also see Alphabet as being ahead of Meta. Alphabet is less dependent on its advertising business: while 98% of Meta&#39;s revenue is from Facebook and Instagram advertising, Alphabet generates about 80% of its revenue from advertising. Furthermore, Alphabet is becoming more independent from its advertising business through the increasing revenue of its cloud business. In addition to that, Meta&#39;s high spending in the metaverse implies an additional risk factor for the Meta shareholder.</p><p>The investment thesis of selecting Alphabet over Meta is also reflected in my own personal long-term investment portfolio, in which Alphabet holds one of my largest positions, while Meta only has a small position. My investment decision has been based on the fact that I consider Alphabet to be significantly more attractive than Meta in terms of risk and reward.</p><p>Which is your favorite out of Alphabet and Meta?</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google Vs. Meta: Which Is More Attractive?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle Vs. Meta: Which Is More Attractive?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-30 10:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543761-google-vs-meta-more-attractive><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBoth Alphabet and Meta currently have an attractive valuation: while Alphabet has a P/E [FWD] Ratio of 19.05, Meta’s is even lower at 14.30.Alphabet has a higher brand value, a higher cash ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543761-google-vs-meta-more-attractive\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543761-google-vs-meta-more-attractive","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121656018","content_text":"SummaryBoth Alphabet and Meta currently have an attractive valuation: while Alphabet has a P/E [FWD] Ratio of 19.05, Meta’s is even lower at 14.30.Alphabet has a higher brand value, a higher cash position and a stronger credit rating than Meta.However, Meta has a higher EBIT margin and shows a higher free cash flow yield.In this comparative analysis, I will show you which of the two companies I would pick if I could only choose one.JHVEPhotoInvestment ThesisIn this comparative analysis on Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:META), I come to the conclusion that I would select Alphabet over Meta if I could only invest in one of the two companies.Alphabet has ahigher brand value than Meta ($263,425M compared to Facebook's brand value of $101,201M as according to Brand Finance), a higher cash position ($124,997M in Total Cash & ST Investments compared to $40,489M) and a stronger credit rating by Moody's (Aa2 compared to A1).I see an investment in Alphabet as being less risky, particularly due to the fact its business is less dependent on advertising than Meta's.I currently rate Meta as a buy and Alphabet as a strong buy. I consider Alphabet to be even more attractive when it comes to risk and reward.My investment thesis is underlined by the results of theHQC Scorecardin which Alphabet scores 91/100 while Meta scores 80/100. Furthermore, it is supported by the results of the Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking, in which Alphabet is ranked 2nd within the Interactive Media and Services Industry while Meta is ranked 14th (both out of 61).At the current stock prices, I expect a compound annual rate of return of about 18% for Alphabet and one of 16% for Meta. Both are based on the calculations of my DCF Models.The Competitive Positions of Alphabet and MetaFor both Alphabet and Meta I see the enormous amount of data and their ability to analyse and use this data as strong competitive advantages over their rivals in the Interactive Media and Services Industry. In addition to that, both companies are among the top 10 of the world's most valuable brands: according toBrand Finance, Google is ranked 3rd with a brand value of $263,425M and Facebook is ranked 7th with a brand value of $101,201M.Both Alphabet and Meta have a proven ability of successfully integrating new businesses into their companies. One of Alphabet's most successful acquisitions was YouTube, for which the company paid $1.65 billion back in 2006. Meta acquired Instagram for$1.0 billionin 2012 and WhatsApp for$19 billionin 2014.The enormous financial strength of Alphabet and Meta provide them with another significant competitive advantage: while Alphabet has $124,997M in Total Cash & ST Investments at this moment in time, Meta currently disposes of $40,489M. Having a high amount of cash puts both companies in a position to make large acquisitions in order to ensure further future growth. This financial strength is also backed up by a Moody's credit rating of Aa2 for Alphabet and A1 for Meta.Both Alphabet and Meta have strong competitive advantages. However, I would like to summarize that Alphabet is slightly ahead of Meta when it comes to brand value (Alphabet has a brand value of $263,425M while the one of Facebook is $101,201M) and when considering financial strength (Alphabet has a higher cash position and a stronger credit rating by Moody's). This supports my investment thesis to prefer Alphabet over Meta.The Valuation of Alphabet and MetaDiscounted Cash Flow [DCF]-ModelIn terms of valuation, I have used the DCF Model to determine the intrinsic value of Alphabet and Meta. The method calculates a fair value of $141.71 for Alphabet and $190.02 for Meta. At the current stock prices, this gives Alphabet an upside of 42.90% and Meta an upside of 35.30%.My calculations are based on the following assumptions as presented below (in $ millions except per share items):AlphabetMetaCompany TickerGOOGMETARevenue Growth Rate for the next 5 years8%5%EBIT Growth Rate for the next 5 years8%5%Tax Rate15.7%16.7Discount Rate [WACC]7.75%7.75%Perpetual Growth Rate4%3%EV/EBITDA Multiple12x7.2xCurrent Price/Share$99.17$140.41Shares Outstanding13,0442,688Debt$28,810$16,679Cash$17,936$12,681Capex$29,816$32,000Source: The AuthorBased on the above, I calculated the following results:Market Value vs. Intrinsic ValueAlphabetMetaMarket Value$99.17$140.41Upside42.90%35.30%Intrinsic Value$141.71$190.02Source: The AuthorInternal Rate of Return for AlphabetTheInternal Rate of Return[IRR] is defined as the expected compound annual rate of return earned on an investment. Below you can find the Internal Rate of Return as according to my DCF Model (when assuming different purchase prices for the Alphabet stock).At Alphabet's current stock price of $99.17, my DCF Model indicates an Internal Rate of Return of approximately 18% for the company (while assuming a Revenue and EBIT Growth Rate of 8% for the next 5 years and a Perpetual Growth Rate of 4% afterwards). (In bold you can see the Internal Rate of Return for Alphabet's current stock price of $99.17.) Please note that the Internal Rates of Return below are a result of the calculations of my DCF Model and changing its assumptions could result in different results.Purchase Priceof the Alphabet StockInternal Rate of Returnas according to my DCF Model$75.0026%$80.0024%$85.0022%$90.0021%$95.0019%$99.1718%$100.0018%$105.0016%$110.0015%$115.0013%$120.0012%$125.0011%Source: The AuthorInternal Rate of Return for MetaAt Meta's current stock price of $140.41, my DCF Model indicates an Internal Rate of Return of approximately 16% for the company (while assuming a Revenue and EBIT Growth Rate of 5% for the next 5 years and a Perpetual Growth Rate of 3% afterwards). (In bold you can see the Internal Rate of Return for Meta's current stock price of $140.41.)Purchase Priceof the Meta StockInternal Rate of Returnas according to my DCF Model$120.0021%$125.0020%$130.0019%$135.0017%$140.0016%$140.4116%$145.0015%$150.0014%$155.0013%$160.0012%$165.0012%$170.0011%Source: The AuthorRelative Valuation ModelsTheP/E [FWD] Ratio for Alphabet and MetaAlphabet's P/E [FWD] Ratio is currently 19.05, which is 31.55% below its 5 Year Average (27.84), providing us with an indicator that the company is currently undervalued.Meta's current P/E [FWD] Ratio is 14.30, which is 42.78% below its 5 Year Average of 24.99, indicating that Meta is also currently undervalued.Fundamentals: Alphabet vs. MetaAlphabet's market capitalization is currently $1.29T, more than three times higher than the one of its competitor Meta ($377.36B). Meta currently has a slightly lower P/E [FWD] Ratio of 14.30 when compared to Alphabet (19.05).Although Meta's EBIT Margin (33.41% compared to Alphabet's 29.65%) and Free Cash Flow Yield [TTM] (9.27% compared to 4.97%) are higher, the following contributes to the fact that I would select Alphabet if I had to choose one of the two companies from the Interactive Media and Services Industry:Alphabet's ROE of 29.22% is higher than Meta's (25.48%), which implies that Alphabet is even more efficient in converting its equity financing into profits.Alphabet's Average EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] over the last three years of 33.92% is also higher than that of Meta (with an EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] of 22.80% in the same period of time).In addition to that, Alphabet's EPS Growth Rate Diluted [FWD] of 27.01% is higher than the one of Meta (3.12%), indicating that Alphabet is growing its profitability with a higher rate.Additionally, Alphabet's Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate [FWD] of 24.39% is significantly superior to Meta's (4.23%), demonstrating that Alphabet's potential to produce cash and profits is growing faster than its rival's.This analysis of the companies' fundamentals strengthens my investment thesis that Alphabet is currently the more attractive of the two. Below you can find an overview of selected financial data for both Alphabet and Meta.AlphabetMetaGeneral InformationTickerGOOGMETASectorCommunication ServicesCommunication ServicesIndustryInteractive Media and ServicesInteractive Media and ServicesMarket Cap1.29T377.36BProfitabilityEBIT Margin29.65%33.41%ROE29.22%25.48%ValuationP/E GAAP [FWD]19.0514.30P/E GAAP [TTM]18.3611.61GrowthRevenue Growth 3 Year [CAGR]23.32%24.02%Revenue Growth 5 Year [CAGR]22.88%29.20%EBIT Growth 3 Year [CAGR]33.92%22.80%EPS Growth Diluted [FWD]27.01%3.12%Free Cash FlowFree Cash Flow Yield [TTM]4.97%9.27%Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth Rate [FWD]24.39%4.23%DividendsDividend Yield [FWD]--Dividend Growth 3 Yr [CAGR]--Dividend Growth 5 Yr [CAGR]--Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth--Dividend Frequency--Income StatementRevenue278.14B119.41BEBITDA96.89B48.03BBalance SheetTotal Debt to Equity Ratio11.28%13.26%Source: Seeking AlphaThe High-Quality Company [HQC] Scorecard\"The aim of the HQC Scorecard that I have developed is to help investors identify companies which are attractive long-term investments in terms of risk and reward.\" Here you can find adetailed descriptionof how the HQC Scorecard works.Overview of the Items on the HQC Scorecard\"In the graphic below, you can find the individual items and weighting for each category of theHQC Scorecard. A score between 0 and 5 is given (with 0 being the lowest rating and 5 the highest) for each item on the Scorecard. Furthermore, you can see the conditions that must be met for each point of every rated item.\"Source: The AuthorAlphabet and Meta According to the HQC ScorecardSource: The AuthorAlthough both companies are rated as very attractive as according to the HQC Scorecard, Alphabet's overall score (91/100) is slightly higher than the one of Meta (80/100).In the category of Economic Moat, Alphabet scores 93/100 points while Meta only reaches 57/100.In terms of Financial Strength, both are rated as very attractive. These strong results are a consequence of both companies having a low Total Debt to Equity Ratio, as well as a high Current Ratio (Alphabet's is 2.81 and Meta's is 2.52), Quick Ratio (2.62 and 2.34) and Cash Ratio (2.0 and 1.8).In the category of Profitability, both companies are rated with 100/100 points, a result of having high EBIT Margins (Alphabet's is 29.65% and Meta's is 33.41%) and high ROE's (29.22% and 25.48%).For Valuation, Alphabet receives 80/100 while Meta gets 92/100. Meta's higher scoring in this category is a consequence of its even lower P/E [FWD] Ratio of 14.30 as compared to Alphabet's 19.05.For Growth, Alphabet receives 88/100 and Meta gets 76/100.For Expected Return, both receive 100/100 points, this is mostly due to the high Expected Internal Rate of Return for the companies as according to my DCF Model.Alphabet's higher overall rating (91/100) as according to the HQC Scorecard, strengthens my opinion of choosing the company over Meta at this moment in time.Alphabet and Meta According to the Seeking Alpha Quant Factor GradesWhen taking into consideration the Seeking Alpha Quant Factor Grades, we can see that Meta is rated slightly better in terms of Valuation (with a C-) as compared to Alphabet (D rating). In terms of Growth, however, Alphabet (C- rating) is better rated than Meta (D- rating). For Profitability, both companies receive an A+ rating. For Momentum, Alphabet is more appealing (C+) than Meta (C rating).Alphabet's better rating in terms of Growth and Momentum once again underlines my investment thesis.Source: Seeking AlphaAlphabet and Meta According to the Seeking Alpha Quant RankingMy investment thesis is also underlined by the results of the Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking where Alphabet is ranked significantly better than Meta: while Alphabet is 2nd in the Interactive Media and Services Industry, Meta is ranked 14th (both out of 61). Within the Communication Services Sector, Alphabet is currently ranked 7th and Meta is in 52nd place (both out of 247). The Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking reinforces my opinion to select Alphabet over Meta.Source: Seeking AlphaAlphabet and Meta According to the Seeking Alpha Authors Rating and Wall Street Analysts RatingAs according to the Seeking Alpha Quant Rating, Alphabet is currently a strong buy and Meta a hold. The Seeking Alpha Authors rate both companies as a buy while the Wall Street Analysts rate Alphabet as a strong buy and Meta as a buy.Source: Seeking AlphaRisksOne of the main risk factors I see for both Alphabet and Meta is the fact that the largest portion of the companies' business results depend on advertising.When taking a closer look at Alphabet, it can be highlighted that80%of the company's revenue is generated by its business unit Google Advertising. However, Alphabet's other business units are becoming more and more important (in 2Q22, Google Cloud accounted for 9% of Alphabet's total revenue while it was only 7.5% in the same quarter of the year before).While having a deeper look into Meta's business, we find that its dependency on advertising is even higher than that of its competitor:98%of the company's revenue is generated by advertising from Facebook and Instagram.This comparison of the companies' advertising dependency indicates that a reduction in customer spending on marketing would impact Meta's business to a higher amount than it would affect Alphabet. Meta's significantly higher dependence on advertising contributes to the fact that I see an investment in Alphabet as being less risky.Another additional risk factor when investing in Meta is the company's high spending to build the metaverse. In 2021 alone, the company spent about$10 billionthrough its Reality Labs division in order to build the metaverse. This amount is five times higher than what the company paid to buyOculus VR business in 2014and 10 times higher than the amountit paid to buy Instagramback in 2012. Although the investments could pay off in the future, they currently represent a risk for the shareholders due to the fact that the success of this project is not yet foreseeable.Additionally, I see the effect that data privacy will continue to have on the operating results of Meta as an additional risk factor for the company. At the beginning of this year, Alphabet announced new privacy restrictions which cut tracking across apps on its Android devices, following a similar move to Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). This resulted in a decrease of Meta's revenue by about$10 billion.Summarizing, I see Alphabet as the lower-risk investment when compared with Meta, which once again underlines my thoughts on picking Alphabet out of the two. This lower risk also contributes to the fact that I would overweight the Alphabet position in an investment portfolio. On the other hand, the higher risk factors concerning Meta, contribute to my opinion of giving the company a small position in a long-term investment portfolio.The Bottom LineI consider the valuation of both Alphabet and Meta to currently be very appealing. However, when considering risk and reward, I came to the conclusion of selecting Alphabet over Meta. My opinion is based on the following facts and thoughts:Alphabet's ROE of 29.22% is higher than the one of Meta (25.48%), implying that Alphabet is even more efficient in converting its equity financing into profits. Furthermore, Alphabet's Average EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] over the last three years of 33.92% is also higher than the one of Meta (which has an EBIT Growth Rate [CAGR] of 22.80% over the same period).Alphabet's higher brand value ($263,425M as compared to Meta's $101,201M), as well as its higher cash position ($124,997M in Total Cash & ST Investments vs. $40,489M) and higher credit rating (Aa2 credit rating by Moody's compared to A1) additionally support my investment thesis to select the company over Meta.My opinion is further underlined by the rating of the HQC Scorecard in which Alphabet scores 91/100 points while Meta scores 80/100. Additionally, the theory is strengthened by the results of the Seeking Alpha Quant Ranking, where Alphabet is ranked 2nd in the Interactive Media and Services Industry while Meta is 14th (both out of 61).When it comes to risk, I also see Alphabet as being ahead of Meta. Alphabet is less dependent on its advertising business: while 98% of Meta's revenue is from Facebook and Instagram advertising, Alphabet generates about 80% of its revenue from advertising. Furthermore, Alphabet is becoming more independent from its advertising business through the increasing revenue of its cloud business. In addition to that, Meta's high spending in the metaverse implies an additional risk factor for the Meta shareholder.The investment thesis of selecting Alphabet over Meta is also reflected in my own personal long-term investment portfolio, in which Alphabet holds one of my largest positions, while Meta only has a small position. My investment decision has been based on the fact that I consider Alphabet to be significantly more attractive than Meta in terms of risk and reward.Which is your favorite out of Alphabet and Meta?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911198422,"gmtCreate":1664153016266,"gmtModify":1676537397564,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911198422","repostId":"1140085931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140085931","pubTimestamp":1664147803,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140085931?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 07:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"One Bitcoin Equals One Bitcoin Becomes the Narrative as the Drop Gets \"Too Painful\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140085931","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Bitcoin, other digital tokens are tumbling while Fed tightens1 BTC = 1 BTC is something Bitcoin maxi","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Bitcoin, other digital tokens are tumbling while Fed tightens</li><li>1 BTC = 1 BTC is something Bitcoin maximalists say, says Lim</li></ul><p>Virtual money,digital gold,inflation hedge, uncorrelated asset, store of value: those are phrases once used by Bitcoin’s fans to describe the cryptocurrency’s virtues. Its newnarrative? A Bitcoin is a Bitcoin.</p><p>That’s the expression that’s making its rounds on Twitter in recent days, where users, amid adeep declinein prices, have been posting that 1 BTC = 1 BTC. The idea is that it doesn’t really matter what the coin’s price is. Its supply is fixed and that should, theoretically, act as a buoy for prices in the long run.</p><p>“1 BTC = 1 BTC is something Bitcoin maximalists say tongue-in-cheek when looking at the USD price of BTC becomes too painful,” said Joshua Lim, former head of derivatives at Genesis Trading. “The implication is that BTC will eventually become a unit of account so just focus on the absolute number of BTC you own today.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e857d224e1d16d24fa142db1c224c07c\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Anyone paying attention to the crypto market has become familiar with the many cloaks Bitcoin has donned over the years. Fans had, before 2022, utilized a number of narratives for the coin, including that it could at some point replace gold, or thatit’s a great inflation hedge. Most of those narratives have fallen by the wayside this year as prices plunged amid monetary policy tightening. Bitcoin has lost roughly 60% this year and has been trading below $19,000 in recent days, down from a near-$69,000 high at the end of 2021.</p><p>Bitcoin. Blockchain. Web3.Make sense of it all with our new crypto newsletter.Sign up to this newsletter</p><p>When the pandemic first broke out, crypto investors ran with the idea that Bitcoin, thanks to that limited supply, could act as a hedge against rising prices. But consumer price pressures have remained sticky this year all the while prices for most cryptocurrencies plunged. Many market-watchers say that investors are now searching for a new narrative for the digital-assets market. Twitter has been flooded with posts proclaiming that all that matters is that 1 BTC equals 1 BTC.</p><p>Tagus Capital’s Ilan Solot says that the Bitcoin-as-an-inflation hedge narrative argued by the proponents has been misunderstood. It’s incorrect to think of it as Bitcoin not rising while prices skyrocket. “The narrative was never really Bitcoin is an inflation tracker, it’s not TIPS,” he said. “Bitcoin was a hedge against irresponsible money-printing by the central banks.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885111cfe107997fa915f51c941a36a0\" tg-width=\"549\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Still, that’s not to say that diehard crypto investors have been deterred. The percentage of Bitcoin that has not been moved for over a year has held steady -- at 68%, the metric is currently at its highest level since 2014, according to data compiled by FRNT Financial Inc.</p><p>Bitcoin is still caught up in the macro environment and hasn’t broken its correlation with risk assets, said Stephane Ouellette, chief executive of FRNT.</p><p>“Narrative tend to follow markets, more often than the other way around,” he said. “When things are correlated, one way of looking at it is that it’s the same kind of traders of strategies that are involved. Ultimately, there is a growing and significant percentage of BTC holders who will never sell their BTC and those that use it for commercial purposes. At a certain point, BTC will start behaving differently than risk assets, but clearly it’s not there yet.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d790e12170880c1ed01cbce6be179ba\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"250\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Yet it’s clear that Bitcoin’s other narratives haven’t borne out, said Peter Mallouk, president of Creative Planning. “We now know that cryptocurrencies are not an inflation hedge, it’s proven that to us now,” he said. “It’s a big, big speculative play for anybody that’s interested in it.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>One Bitcoin Equals One Bitcoin Becomes the Narrative as the Drop Gets \"Too Painful\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOne Bitcoin Equals One Bitcoin Becomes the Narrative as the Drop Gets \"Too Painful\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 07:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-25/1-btc-1-btc-crypto-looks-for-new-narrative-as-plunge-goes-on><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin, other digital tokens are tumbling while Fed tightens1 BTC = 1 BTC is something Bitcoin maximalists say, says LimVirtual money,digital gold,inflation hedge, uncorrelated asset, store of value:...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-25/1-btc-1-btc-crypto-looks-for-new-narrative-as-plunge-goes-on\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-25/1-btc-1-btc-crypto-looks-for-new-narrative-as-plunge-goes-on","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140085931","content_text":"Bitcoin, other digital tokens are tumbling while Fed tightens1 BTC = 1 BTC is something Bitcoin maximalists say, says LimVirtual money,digital gold,inflation hedge, uncorrelated asset, store of value: those are phrases once used by Bitcoin’s fans to describe the cryptocurrency’s virtues. Its newnarrative? A Bitcoin is a Bitcoin.That’s the expression that’s making its rounds on Twitter in recent days, where users, amid adeep declinein prices, have been posting that 1 BTC = 1 BTC. The idea is that it doesn’t really matter what the coin’s price is. Its supply is fixed and that should, theoretically, act as a buoy for prices in the long run.“1 BTC = 1 BTC is something Bitcoin maximalists say tongue-in-cheek when looking at the USD price of BTC becomes too painful,” said Joshua Lim, former head of derivatives at Genesis Trading. “The implication is that BTC will eventually become a unit of account so just focus on the absolute number of BTC you own today.”Anyone paying attention to the crypto market has become familiar with the many cloaks Bitcoin has donned over the years. Fans had, before 2022, utilized a number of narratives for the coin, including that it could at some point replace gold, or thatit’s a great inflation hedge. Most of those narratives have fallen by the wayside this year as prices plunged amid monetary policy tightening. Bitcoin has lost roughly 60% this year and has been trading below $19,000 in recent days, down from a near-$69,000 high at the end of 2021.Bitcoin. Blockchain. Web3.Make sense of it all with our new crypto newsletter.Sign up to this newsletterWhen the pandemic first broke out, crypto investors ran with the idea that Bitcoin, thanks to that limited supply, could act as a hedge against rising prices. But consumer price pressures have remained sticky this year all the while prices for most cryptocurrencies plunged. Many market-watchers say that investors are now searching for a new narrative for the digital-assets market. Twitter has been flooded with posts proclaiming that all that matters is that 1 BTC equals 1 BTC.Tagus Capital’s Ilan Solot says that the Bitcoin-as-an-inflation hedge narrative argued by the proponents has been misunderstood. It’s incorrect to think of it as Bitcoin not rising while prices skyrocket. “The narrative was never really Bitcoin is an inflation tracker, it’s not TIPS,” he said. “Bitcoin was a hedge against irresponsible money-printing by the central banks.”Still, that’s not to say that diehard crypto investors have been deterred. The percentage of Bitcoin that has not been moved for over a year has held steady -- at 68%, the metric is currently at its highest level since 2014, according to data compiled by FRNT Financial Inc.Bitcoin is still caught up in the macro environment and hasn’t broken its correlation with risk assets, said Stephane Ouellette, chief executive of FRNT.“Narrative tend to follow markets, more often than the other way around,” he said. “When things are correlated, one way of looking at it is that it’s the same kind of traders of strategies that are involved. Ultimately, there is a growing and significant percentage of BTC holders who will never sell their BTC and those that use it for commercial purposes. At a certain point, BTC will start behaving differently than risk assets, but clearly it’s not there yet.”Yet it’s clear that Bitcoin’s other narratives haven’t borne out, said Peter Mallouk, president of Creative Planning. “We now know that cryptocurrencies are not an inflation hedge, it’s proven that to us now,” he said. “It’s a big, big speculative play for anybody that’s interested in it.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911003348,"gmtCreate":1664079119484,"gmtModify":1676537387575,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is just the game of Wall Street! Mostly small investor will follow the panic!&nbsp;","listText":"It is just the game of Wall Street! Mostly small investor will follow the panic!&nbsp;","text":"It is just the game of Wall Street! Mostly small investor will follow the panic!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911003348","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932676310,"gmtCreate":1662942180430,"gmtModify":1676537166869,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932676310","repostId":"2266808256","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2266808256","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1662744095,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266808256?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-10 01:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Service - CNBC","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266808256","media":"Reuters","summary":"Sept 9 (Reuters) - :Amazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Servic","content":"<html><body><p>Sept 9 (Reuters) - :Amazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Service  - Cnbc.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Service - CNBC</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Service - CNBC\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-10 01:21</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>Sept 9 (Reuters) - :Amazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Service  - Cnbc.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4192":"特殊消费者服务","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SCI":"Service Corp International","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266808256","content_text":"Sept 9 (Reuters) - :Amazon Plans Job Cuts In Health-Care Business After Shuttering Telehealth Service  - Cnbc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":361344537874672,"gmtCreate":1729252359795,"gmtModify":1729770879223,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Personally I don't really agreed with the comment. First, the insider is selling their share based on the guideline. Second, as a successful person must also be successful in personal financial plan. Thus, selling at good price for more income is normal. Furthermore, the CEO is also an investor! So, the person who do the analysis/study has the tendency of always hoping people to help while they are not in good term (my personal analysis). The company decided to buy back at high price is showing they have confident with their performance.&nbsp;","listText":"Personally I don't really agreed with the comment. First, the insider is selling their share based on the guideline. Second, as a successful person must also be successful in personal financial plan. Thus, selling at good price for more income is normal. Furthermore, the CEO is also an investor! So, the person who do the analysis/study has the tendency of always hoping people to help while they are not in good term (my personal analysis). The company decided to buy back at high price is showing they have confident with their performance.&nbsp;","text":"Personally I don't really agreed with the comment. First, the insider is selling their share based on the guideline. Second, as a successful person must also be successful in personal financial plan. Thus, selling at good price for more income is normal. Furthermore, the CEO is also an investor! So, the person who do the analysis/study has the tendency of always hoping people to help while they are not in good term (my personal analysis). The company decided to buy back at high price is showing they have confident with their performance.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":20,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/361344537874672","repostId":"2476471829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2476471829","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1729241637,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2476471829?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-18 16:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Insiders Sell Stock. Their Companies Buy. It's Not a Good Sign","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2476471829","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they're buying with their other.In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies' cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn't bode well for the market.Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That's the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns' analysis.In contrast to the insiders' stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies' shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron's that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations' announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that \"by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.\". In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies' repurchase decisions, in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they&#39;re buying with their other.</p><p>In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies&#39; cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn&#39;t bode well for the market.</p><p>Insiders&#39; stinginess when it comes to their own money is illustrated by data compiled by InsiderSentiment.com, a website maintained by Nejat and Jon Seyhun. The former is a finance professor at the University of Michigan and one of academia&#39;s leading experts on interpreting the behavior of insiders. The latter is an analyst at InsiderSentiment.</p><p>Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That&#39;s the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns&#39; analysis.</p><p>Consider Nvidia. Over the past three months, insiders have sold more than $700 million of the company&#39;s stock and bought none, according to Yahoo Finance data. Yet the company is in fifth place in a ranking of companies based on the greatest dollar amount of repurchase announcements this year, according to Jeffrey Yale Rubin, president of Birinyi Associates.</p><p>In contrast to the insiders&#39; stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies&#39; shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron&#39;s that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations&#39; announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that &#34;by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.&#34;</p><p>This contradictory behavior hasn&#39;t been the norm over the past decade. Since 2014, there has been a rough correlation between insiders&#39; behavior in their own portfolios and moves made with corporate cash. Their recent behavior is unusual and deserving of closer analysis.</p><p>The insiders&#39; implicit divergent messages can&#39;t both be right, needless to say. Winston Chua, a liquidity analyst at EPFR, a leading provider of fund flow data, says that &#34;if I had to bet which will prove to be correct -- the bullish message of corporate repurchases or the bearish message of the insiders -- I&#39;d bet with the insiders.&#34; Prof. Seyhun concurs.</p><p>There are several reasons to agree with their assessment. One is that corporations historically have been poor market timers with their repurchase decisions. &#34;Most buybacks are &#39;buy high&#39; situations,&#34; Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, said in an email. Even if we didn&#39;t know that insiders with their own money were such heavy net sellers, therefore, the record pace of recent buybacks would be a source of concern.</p><p>In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies&#39; repurchase decisions, insiders historically have been more right than wrong in the timing of their personal purchases of their companies&#39; shares. Prof. Seyhun has found from his research that the insider buy ratio has one of the best track records when forecasting the market&#39;s 12-month return -- superior to many better-known valuation indicators.</p><p>To be sure, the insiders as a group have been pessimistic for more than a year now and, at the same time, corporations have been aggressively buying back their shares -- and yet the stock market has continued ever higher. While that might incline you to bet on the bullish message from repurchases rather than the pessimistic message from insiders, such a bet extrapolates the recent past and ignores the much longer history that suggests the contrary.</p><p>The Seyhuns write that &#34;recent insider selling...is looking like the beginning of a larger pattern of indiscriminate insider selling.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Insiders Sell Stock. Their Companies Buy. It's Not a Good Sign</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInsiders Sell Stock. Their Companies Buy. It's Not a Good Sign\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-18 16:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they&#39;re buying with their other.</p><p>In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies&#39; cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn&#39;t bode well for the market.</p><p>Insiders&#39; stinginess when it comes to their own money is illustrated by data compiled by InsiderSentiment.com, a website maintained by Nejat and Jon Seyhun. The former is a finance professor at the University of Michigan and one of academia&#39;s leading experts on interpreting the behavior of insiders. The latter is an analyst at InsiderSentiment.</p><p>Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That&#39;s the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns&#39; analysis.</p><p>Consider Nvidia. Over the past three months, insiders have sold more than $700 million of the company&#39;s stock and bought none, according to Yahoo Finance data. Yet the company is in fifth place in a ranking of companies based on the greatest dollar amount of repurchase announcements this year, according to Jeffrey Yale Rubin, president of Birinyi Associates.</p><p>In contrast to the insiders&#39; stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies&#39; shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron&#39;s that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations&#39; announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that &#34;by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.&#34;</p><p>This contradictory behavior hasn&#39;t been the norm over the past decade. Since 2014, there has been a rough correlation between insiders&#39; behavior in their own portfolios and moves made with corporate cash. Their recent behavior is unusual and deserving of closer analysis.</p><p>The insiders&#39; implicit divergent messages can&#39;t both be right, needless to say. Winston Chua, a liquidity analyst at EPFR, a leading provider of fund flow data, says that &#34;if I had to bet which will prove to be correct -- the bullish message of corporate repurchases or the bearish message of the insiders -- I&#39;d bet with the insiders.&#34; Prof. Seyhun concurs.</p><p>There are several reasons to agree with their assessment. One is that corporations historically have been poor market timers with their repurchase decisions. &#34;Most buybacks are &#39;buy high&#39; situations,&#34; Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, said in an email. Even if we didn&#39;t know that insiders with their own money were such heavy net sellers, therefore, the record pace of recent buybacks would be a source of concern.</p><p>In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies&#39; repurchase decisions, insiders historically have been more right than wrong in the timing of their personal purchases of their companies&#39; shares. Prof. Seyhun has found from his research that the insider buy ratio has one of the best track records when forecasting the market&#39;s 12-month return -- superior to many better-known valuation indicators.</p><p>To be sure, the insiders as a group have been pessimistic for more than a year now and, at the same time, corporations have been aggressively buying back their shares -- and yet the stock market has continued ever higher. While that might incline you to bet on the bullish message from repurchases rather than the pessimistic message from insiders, such a bet extrapolates the recent past and ignores the much longer history that suggests the contrary.</p><p>The Seyhuns write that &#34;recent insider selling...is looking like the beginning of a larger pattern of indiscriminate insider selling.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","IE0034235295.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BN29S564.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A3\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","HK0000320264.USD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","IE00BDCRKT87.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC","IE00BHPRN162.USD":"BNY MELLON BLOCKCHAIN INNOVATION \"B\" (USD) ACC","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0048584097.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS  GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4141":"半导体产品","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","NVDA":"英伟达","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BYXW3230.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"AA\" (USD) ACC","IE00BDRTCR15.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC A","IE00B775H168.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A5M\" (HKD) INC","IE00BKPKM429.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0057025933.USD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0006306889.USD":"SCHRODER ISF US LARGE CAP \"A\" (USD) INC AV","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","HK0000320223.HKD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","BK4567":"ESG概念"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2476471829","content_text":"Corporate insiders are selling with one hand what they're buying with their other.In their personal accounts, they are selling shares of their companies at near-record rates. With their companies' cash, in contrast, they are repurchasing shares at a record rate. This schizophrenic behavior doesn't bode well for the market.Insiders' stinginess when it comes to their own money is illustrated by data compiled by InsiderSentiment.com, a website maintained by Nejat and Jon Seyhun. The former is a finance professor at the University of Michigan and one of academia's leading experts on interpreting the behavior of insiders. The latter is an analyst at InsiderSentiment.Among all companies with any insider transactions so far in October, just 13% have experienced more insider buying than insider selling. That's the lowest insider buy ratio in at least a decade, according to the Seyhuns' analysis.Consider Nvidia. Over the past three months, insiders have sold more than $700 million of the company's stock and bought none, according to Yahoo Finance data. Yet the company is in fifth place in a ranking of companies based on the greatest dollar amount of repurchase announcements this year, according to Jeffrey Yale Rubin, president of Birinyi Associates.In contrast to the insiders' stinginess in their personal portfolios is their eagerness to purchase their companies' shares with corporate cash. Rubin told Barron's that based on year-to-date buyback activity, corporations' announced buybacks have now exceeded $1 trillion and that \"by the end of 2024, announced buybacks for the year will set a new record.\"This contradictory behavior hasn't been the norm over the past decade. Since 2014, there has been a rough correlation between insiders' behavior in their own portfolios and moves made with corporate cash. Their recent behavior is unusual and deserving of closer analysis.The insiders' implicit divergent messages can't both be right, needless to say. Winston Chua, a liquidity analyst at EPFR, a leading provider of fund flow data, says that \"if I had to bet which will prove to be correct -- the bullish message of corporate repurchases or the bearish message of the insiders -- I'd bet with the insiders.\" Prof. Seyhun concurs.There are several reasons to agree with their assessment. One is that corporations historically have been poor market timers with their repurchase decisions. \"Most buybacks are 'buy high' situations,\" Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, said in an email. Even if we didn't know that insiders with their own money were such heavy net sellers, therefore, the record pace of recent buybacks would be a source of concern.In contrast to the poor market timing exhibited by companies' repurchase decisions, insiders historically have been more right than wrong in the timing of their personal purchases of their companies' shares. Prof. Seyhun has found from his research that the insider buy ratio has one of the best track records when forecasting the market's 12-month return -- superior to many better-known valuation indicators.To be sure, the insiders as a group have been pessimistic for more than a year now and, at the same time, corporations have been aggressively buying back their shares -- and yet the stock market has continued ever higher. While that might incline you to bet on the bullish message from repurchases rather than the pessimistic message from insiders, such a bet extrapolates the recent past and ignores the much longer history that suggests the contrary.The Seyhuns write that \"recent insider selling...is looking like the beginning of a larger pattern of indiscriminate insider selling.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9015794452,"gmtCreate":1649553164404,"gmtModify":1676534528343,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Waiting for another opportunity to buy in!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Waiting for another opportunity to buy in!&nbsp;","text":"$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$Waiting for another opportunity to buy in!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37d897bde7285740c0e82b7e931e6c16","width":"1125","height":"4106"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":76,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9015794452","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3584407285056666","authorId":"3584407285056666","name":"prestomanik","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/291a6fc2eda70ba0370b0b9146e01fa6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3584407285056666","authorIdStr":"3584407285056666"},"content":"is this considered a meme stock?","text":"is this considered a meme stock?","html":"is this considered a meme stock?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9089819258,"gmtCreate":1649980946817,"gmtModify":1676534619850,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a>When market is volatile and more towards downtrend, could consider to own this stock toearn some money!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a>When market is volatile and more towards downtrend, could consider to own this stock toearn some money!&nbsp;","text":"$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$When market is volatile and more towards downtrend, could consider to own this stock toearn some money!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d08c9fd85d0f298b6c8f3f5f65c607bf","width":"1125","height":"4571"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9089819258","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4111618005145192","authorId":"4111618005145192","name":"aaaj","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4111618005145192","authorIdStr":"4111618005145192"},"content":"Medium","text":"Medium","html":"Medium"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9017475637,"gmtCreate":1649808944921,"gmtModify":1676534579765,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01299\">$AIA(01299)$</a>A stock that could be considered to invest for long or medium term. Personal observation is it has it quarterly movement around the quarterly result announcement.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01299\">$AIA(01299)$</a>A stock that could be considered to invest for long or medium term. Personal observation is it has it quarterly movement around the quarterly result announcement.&nbsp;","text":"$AIA(01299)$A stock that could be considered to invest for long or medium term. Personal observation is it has it quarterly movement around the quarterly result announcement.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5264038e16abadb741c9d1290798faa0","width":"1125","height":"4106"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017475637","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911003348,"gmtCreate":1664079119484,"gmtModify":1676537387575,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is just the game of Wall Street! Mostly small investor will follow the panic!&nbsp;","listText":"It is just the game of Wall Street! Mostly small investor will follow the panic!&nbsp;","text":"It is just the game of Wall Street! Mostly small investor will follow the panic!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911003348","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9017013484,"gmtCreate":1649724505794,"gmtModify":1676534557902,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a>Waiting for another opportunity after this round of downturn. Personal Target at $7.30. What is yours?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a>Waiting for another opportunity after this round of downturn. Personal Target at $7.30. What is yours?&nbsp;","text":"$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$Waiting for another opportunity after this round of downturn. Personal Target at $7.30. What is yours?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f0a5ceb7dc5415768f9f6817a16363f4","width":"1125","height":"4106"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9017013484","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":251,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9099526726,"gmtCreate":1643386377169,"gmtModify":1676533815220,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>Up down up down! I still hold you.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>Up down up down! I still hold you.&nbsp;","text":"$Micron Technology(MU)$Up down up down! I still hold you.","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/00106ce7aa37911b5de27b1275daa119","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9099526726","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005434210,"gmtCreate":1642379826538,"gmtModify":1676533705662,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy more when it drop !","listText":"Buy more when it drop !","text":"Buy more when it drop !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005434210","repostId":"1169852230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169852230","pubTimestamp":1642295348,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169852230?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-16 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169852230","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Palantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.</li><li>Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.</li><li>Commercial revenue acceleration, new product launches, expansion of the free cash flow margin and potential SPAC deal pay-offs support Palantir’s valuation.</li></ul><p>The new year is just fourteen days old and shares of Palantir (PLTR) already fell 12%, continuing a sell-off that started back in November 2021. I don&#39;t see any good reason or justification for the sell-off as Palantir will continue to grow its top line rapidly and new service offerings are set to fuel the firm&#39;s commercial growth. That Palantir is overvalued, is a myth!</p><p><b>Commercial revenue growth could accelerate as new products launch</b></p><p>There are few industries that have as fantastic growth prospects as the big data and analytics industry. Companies are accumulating more and more data from customers and their operations, requiring software solutions and artificial intelligence support to monetize this data most efficiently.</p><p>What am I most excited about, as a Palantir investor, is Palantir&#39;s opening of a new growth frontier in the big data world. Palantir will start to roll out its &#34;Foundry for Crypto&#34; in FY 2022 which offers banks, FinTechs and other companies involved in the crypto economy a way to validate customer information and to implement anti-money laundering tools. Since the crypto universe is still highly unregulated, Palantir&#39;s Foundry for Crypto could make a big difference in legitimizing this industry.</p><p>Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are here to stay and Palantir has a huge opportunity at its hands to develop a multi-million-dollar revenue business within a very short period of time. Key customers for Palantir&#39;s Foundry for Crypto are likely going to be financial institutions and crypto trading marketplaces like Coinbase (COIN) which have massive customer bases. Adoption of Palantir&#39;s Foundry for Crypto platform by leading market institutions could materially accelerate Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue growth.</p><p>Because of the opening of a new business segment, I see strong prospects for revenue acceleration for Palantir in the foreseeable future. Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue growth accelerated throughout FY 2021 due to strong customer acquisition and growing adoption of the firm&#39;s products and services. Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue growth accelerated from 19% in Q1&#39;21 to 28% in Q2&#39;21, and then to 37% in Q3&#39;21. Palantir&#39;s revenue acceleration in the commercial business was the reason why Palantir raised its free cash flow and revenue guidance for FY 2021. Because the commercial segment is growing increasingly fast, Palantir already raised its free cash flow outlook twice in FY 2021. The firm now expects free cash flow of $400M+ for FY 2021, after raising the guidance by 33% in Q3&#39;21.</p><p><b>Palantir is not overvalued based on expected free cash flow ramp</b></p><p>Palantir&#39;s business reached a critical point in FY 2021 and the proof is in the company&#39;s growing free cash flow margins. As the firm scales its services and leads more customers through its onboarding process, Palantir should see a significant improvement of its free cash flow margin going forward. Palantir&#39;s Q3&#39;21 free cash flow was $119M which calculates to a free cash flow margin of 30%. I believe Palantir could grow its free cash flow margin to 40% by 2025, meaning the firm is set to become a seriously profitable business within the next four years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e54fb7120d0b51650400b5081ae56a9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>I also expect Palantir to grow revenues faster than the 30% that have been mentioned as a long-term growth target. The reason for this is that Palantir is signing on more customers and those customers spend more money on the firm&#39;s products and services over time, meaning monetization is improving. Assuming that Palantir can grow revenues at an annual 35% rate over the next four years, Palantir is looking at $5.0B in revenues and $2.0B in free cash flow by FY 2025. The calculation below is built on the assumption that Palantir&#39;s free cash flow margin will grow from 30% in FY 2021 to 40% by FY 2025. Over the next four years, Palantir should be able to increase its annual free cash flow by at least a factor of 4 X.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48214b624573bdb844c741431b6fac4e\" tg-width=\"599\" tg-height=\"163\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>And investors should not forget about this potentially massive income stream…</p><p><b>The &#34;forgotten&#34; SPAC business</b></p><p>Palantir has come up with a clever revenue growth strategy that combines upside in SPAC investments with long-term software servicing contracts. Palantir is committing investing capital to startups that look to finance growth and, in return, the company gets equity and a signed contract for the provision of its software platforms. I rarely see this business discussed, but it presents considerable valuation upside for Palantir. In Q3&#39;21, the firm&#39;s total investments in startups summarized to $226.5M. Palantir only needs one big exit from one of these SPAC investments listed below to generate a massive windfall.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c452699a2b9ef7ab9b9b5f16074fd788\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Risks with Palantir</b></p><p>The biggest risk for shares of Palantir, as I see it, is continual selling pressure that is the result of a profound misunderstanding related to how the firm&#39;s business model works in practice. Palantir&#39;s business is evolving and progress is measurable and undeniable. The proof is in Palantir&#39;s improving free cash flow margin and accelerating (commercial) revenue growth. Revenues can only accelerate if more companies adopt Palantir&#39;s services. Customers are also growing their platform spend, meaning each customer that signs with Palantir is going to have a higher value for the firm in the future, unless they cancel their relationship of course. Since the business had a net customer add of 34 in Q3&#39;21, there is no evidence that customers are unhappy with the services they receive. Palantir&#39;s total customer base increased at a massive 20% rate quarter over quarter in Q3&#39;21, proving significant momentum in customer sign-ups.</p><p>I am willing to change my opinion on Palantir if the firm&#39;s actual revenue growth rates and free cash flow margins drop below my estimates.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>Based off of free cash flow estimates, which do not include pay-offs from SPAC divestments, shares of Palantir trade at 16 X FY 2025 projected free cash flow, assuming a 10 PP FCF margin improvement in the next four years. This margin improvement could result from the launch of new high-margin products like Foundry for Crypto, the accelerating roll-out of Foundry for Builders and higher product spend on a per-customer basis. It is a myth that Palantir is overvalued and the stock has considerable rebound potential in FY 2022!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-16 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.Commercial revenue...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1169852230","content_text":"SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.Commercial revenue acceleration, new product launches, expansion of the free cash flow margin and potential SPAC deal pay-offs support Palantir’s valuation.The new year is just fourteen days old and shares of Palantir (PLTR) already fell 12%, continuing a sell-off that started back in November 2021. I don't see any good reason or justification for the sell-off as Palantir will continue to grow its top line rapidly and new service offerings are set to fuel the firm's commercial growth. That Palantir is overvalued, is a myth!Commercial revenue growth could accelerate as new products launchThere are few industries that have as fantastic growth prospects as the big data and analytics industry. Companies are accumulating more and more data from customers and their operations, requiring software solutions and artificial intelligence support to monetize this data most efficiently.What am I most excited about, as a Palantir investor, is Palantir's opening of a new growth frontier in the big data world. Palantir will start to roll out its \"Foundry for Crypto\" in FY 2022 which offers banks, FinTechs and other companies involved in the crypto economy a way to validate customer information and to implement anti-money laundering tools. Since the crypto universe is still highly unregulated, Palantir's Foundry for Crypto could make a big difference in legitimizing this industry.Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are here to stay and Palantir has a huge opportunity at its hands to develop a multi-million-dollar revenue business within a very short period of time. Key customers for Palantir's Foundry for Crypto are likely going to be financial institutions and crypto trading marketplaces like Coinbase (COIN) which have massive customer bases. Adoption of Palantir's Foundry for Crypto platform by leading market institutions could materially accelerate Palantir's commercial revenue growth.Because of the opening of a new business segment, I see strong prospects for revenue acceleration for Palantir in the foreseeable future. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated throughout FY 2021 due to strong customer acquisition and growing adoption of the firm's products and services. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated from 19% in Q1'21 to 28% in Q2'21, and then to 37% in Q3'21. Palantir's revenue acceleration in the commercial business was the reason why Palantir raised its free cash flow and revenue guidance for FY 2021. Because the commercial segment is growing increasingly fast, Palantir already raised its free cash flow outlook twice in FY 2021. The firm now expects free cash flow of $400M+ for FY 2021, after raising the guidance by 33% in Q3'21.Palantir is not overvalued based on expected free cash flow rampPalantir's business reached a critical point in FY 2021 and the proof is in the company's growing free cash flow margins. As the firm scales its services and leads more customers through its onboarding process, Palantir should see a significant improvement of its free cash flow margin going forward. Palantir's Q3'21 free cash flow was $119M which calculates to a free cash flow margin of 30%. I believe Palantir could grow its free cash flow margin to 40% by 2025, meaning the firm is set to become a seriously profitable business within the next four years.I also expect Palantir to grow revenues faster than the 30% that have been mentioned as a long-term growth target. The reason for this is that Palantir is signing on more customers and those customers spend more money on the firm's products and services over time, meaning monetization is improving. Assuming that Palantir can grow revenues at an annual 35% rate over the next four years, Palantir is looking at $5.0B in revenues and $2.0B in free cash flow by FY 2025. The calculation below is built on the assumption that Palantir's free cash flow margin will grow from 30% in FY 2021 to 40% by FY 2025. Over the next four years, Palantir should be able to increase its annual free cash flow by at least a factor of 4 X.And investors should not forget about this potentially massive income stream…The \"forgotten\" SPAC businessPalantir has come up with a clever revenue growth strategy that combines upside in SPAC investments with long-term software servicing contracts. Palantir is committing investing capital to startups that look to finance growth and, in return, the company gets equity and a signed contract for the provision of its software platforms. I rarely see this business discussed, but it presents considerable valuation upside for Palantir. In Q3'21, the firm's total investments in startups summarized to $226.5M. Palantir only needs one big exit from one of these SPAC investments listed below to generate a massive windfall.Risks with PalantirThe biggest risk for shares of Palantir, as I see it, is continual selling pressure that is the result of a profound misunderstanding related to how the firm's business model works in practice. Palantir's business is evolving and progress is measurable and undeniable. The proof is in Palantir's improving free cash flow margin and accelerating (commercial) revenue growth. Revenues can only accelerate if more companies adopt Palantir's services. Customers are also growing their platform spend, meaning each customer that signs with Palantir is going to have a higher value for the firm in the future, unless they cancel their relationship of course. Since the business had a net customer add of 34 in Q3'21, there is no evidence that customers are unhappy with the services they receive. Palantir's total customer base increased at a massive 20% rate quarter over quarter in Q3'21, proving significant momentum in customer sign-ups.I am willing to change my opinion on Palantir if the firm's actual revenue growth rates and free cash flow margins drop below my estimates.Final thoughtsBased off of free cash flow estimates, which do not include pay-offs from SPAC divestments, shares of Palantir trade at 16 X FY 2025 projected free cash flow, assuming a 10 PP FCF margin improvement in the next four years. This margin improvement could result from the launch of new high-margin products like Foundry for Crypto, the accelerating roll-out of Foundry for Builders and higher product spend on a per-customer basis. It is a myth that Palantir is overvalued and the stock has considerable rebound potential in FY 2022!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915010894,"gmtCreate":1664926579918,"gmtModify":1676537528806,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915010894","repostId":"2273862431","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273862431","pubTimestamp":1664920860,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273862431?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-05 06:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"After-Hours Stock Movers: Emerson Gains on Asset Sale Talk, PG&E Falls on Block Sale","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273862431","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"After-Hours Stock Movers:Emerson Electric  4% HIGHER; Blackstone (NYSE: BX) in talks to acquire cert","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>After-Hours Stock Movers:</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMR\">Emerson Electric </a> 4% HIGHER; Blackstone (NYSE: BX) in talks to acquire certain Emerson Electric assets for $5-10B - Bloomberg</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMLX\">Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a> 3% LOWER; announced the launch of an underwritten public offering of 6,000,000 shares of common stock.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PCG\">PG&amp;E Corp. </a> 3% LOWER; a block of 35 million shares is being offered for sale after-hours, according to Bloomberg</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb Inc. </a> 1% HIGHER; Bernstein initiates coverage with an Outperform rating and a price target of $143.00.</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After-Hours Stock Movers: Emerson Gains on Asset Sale Talk, PG&E Falls on Block Sale</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter-Hours Stock Movers: Emerson Gains on Asset Sale Talk, PG&E Falls on Block Sale\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-05 06:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20665798><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After-Hours Stock Movers:Emerson Electric  4% HIGHER; Blackstone (NYSE: BX) in talks to acquire certain Emerson Electric assets for $5-10B - BloombergAmylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 3% LOWER; announced ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20665798\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQ":"Block","EMR":"艾默生电气","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","PCG":"太平洋煤气电力","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20665798","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273862431","content_text":"After-Hours Stock Movers:Emerson Electric  4% HIGHER; Blackstone (NYSE: BX) in talks to acquire certain Emerson Electric assets for $5-10B - BloombergAmylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 3% LOWER; announced the launch of an underwritten public offering of 6,000,000 shares of common stock.PG&E Corp.  3% LOWER; a block of 35 million shares is being offered for sale after-hours, according to BloombergAirbnb Inc.  1% HIGHER; Bernstein initiates coverage with an Outperform rating and a price target of $143.00.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911198422,"gmtCreate":1664153016266,"gmtModify":1676537397564,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911198422","repostId":"1140085931","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936003210,"gmtCreate":1662681511230,"gmtModify":1676537115272,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936003210","repostId":"2266813339","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266813339","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1662677960,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266813339?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-09 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, Gains Driven By Banks, Healthcare","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266813339","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low* Regeneron soars on positive trial update* Dow up 0.61%, S&P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street's ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance</p><p>* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low</p><p>* Regeneron soars on positive trial update</p><p>* Dow up 0.61%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%</p><p>Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes posted gains on Thursday mainly lifted by financial institutions and healthcare companies, as investors digested hawkish remarks from policymakers that cemented bets of a large interest rate hike later this month.</p><p>Indexes bounced back and forth in a choppy trading as concerns over Federal Reserve&#39;s next steps to tame a surging inflation remain.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s just a lot of uncertainty and I think people aren&#39;t going to really make up their minds for longer than five minutes or five seconds, you know, until there&#39;s a little bit more clarity or light at the end of the tunnel,&#34; said Grace Lee, an equity income senior portfolio manager at Boston-based Columbia Threadneedle Investments.</p><p>Money market traders see 87% odds that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points at this month&#39;s meeting.</p><p>Bank of America, Barclays and Jefferies said they now see a 75-basis points interest rate hike. Before Barclays had said it could be a 50- or 75-basis point increase, while Bank of America and Jefferies were betting on a 50-basis point rise.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is &#34;strongly committed&#34; to bringing inflation down and needs to keep going until it gets the job done.</p><p>Chicago Fed President Charles Evans joined his fellow policymakers in saying that reining in inflation is &#34;job one.&#34;</p><p>Investors are also awaiting the U.S. August inflation report next week for fresh clues on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by half or three-quarters of a percentage point at the next policy meeting due Sept. 20-21.</p><p>Worries over aggressive monetary tightening across the globe stalled equity markets on Thursday after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points and signaled further hikes.</p><p>Meanwhile, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to a three-month low, underscoring the robustness of the labor market even as the Fed raises interest rates.</p><p>With increasing odds of another outsized rate hike, both the rate-sensitive S&amp;P 500 bank index and the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector rose 2.8% and 1.8%, respectively.</p><p>The healthcare sector was boosted by news that Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc&#39;s anti-blindness treatment Eylea was shown to work as well when given at a higher dose at a longer interval between injections. The drugmaker&#39;s shares jumped 18.8%.</p><p>&#34;People are embracing safety. Healthcare is a very safe sector and it&#39;s still fairly cheap, the same way with the broader financial sector,&#34; said Lee.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 193.24 points, or 0.61%, to 31,774.52, the S&amp;P 500 gained 26.31 points, or 0.66%, to 4,006.18 and the Nasdaq Composite added 70.23 points, or 0.6%, to 11,862.13.</p><p>GameStop Corp surged 7.4% after the video game retailer reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss.</p><p>American Eagle Outfitters Inc tumbled 8.7% after the apparel maker missed second-quarter profit estimates and said it would pause quarterly dividend as it fortifies its finances against a hit from inflation.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>On Wednesday, Wall Street&#39;s main indexes climbed the most in about a month as bond yields retreated after a recent surge that was driven by expectations of higher interest rates. Still, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 is down over 16% year-to-date.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.34-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.48-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 7 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 37 new highs and 153 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, Gains Driven By Banks, Healthcare</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Higher, Gains Driven By Banks, Healthcare\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-09 06:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance</p><p>* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low</p><p>* Regeneron soars on positive trial update</p><p>* Dow up 0.61%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%</p><p>Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes posted gains on Thursday mainly lifted by financial institutions and healthcare companies, as investors digested hawkish remarks from policymakers that cemented bets of a large interest rate hike later this month.</p><p>Indexes bounced back and forth in a choppy trading as concerns over Federal Reserve&#39;s next steps to tame a surging inflation remain.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s just a lot of uncertainty and I think people aren&#39;t going to really make up their minds for longer than five minutes or five seconds, you know, until there&#39;s a little bit more clarity or light at the end of the tunnel,&#34; said Grace Lee, an equity income senior portfolio manager at Boston-based Columbia Threadneedle Investments.</p><p>Money market traders see 87% odds that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points at this month&#39;s meeting.</p><p>Bank of America, Barclays and Jefferies said they now see a 75-basis points interest rate hike. Before Barclays had said it could be a 50- or 75-basis point increase, while Bank of America and Jefferies were betting on a 50-basis point rise.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is &#34;strongly committed&#34; to bringing inflation down and needs to keep going until it gets the job done.</p><p>Chicago Fed President Charles Evans joined his fellow policymakers in saying that reining in inflation is &#34;job one.&#34;</p><p>Investors are also awaiting the U.S. August inflation report next week for fresh clues on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by half or three-quarters of a percentage point at the next policy meeting due Sept. 20-21.</p><p>Worries over aggressive monetary tightening across the globe stalled equity markets on Thursday after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points and signaled further hikes.</p><p>Meanwhile, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to a three-month low, underscoring the robustness of the labor market even as the Fed raises interest rates.</p><p>With increasing odds of another outsized rate hike, both the rate-sensitive S&amp;P 500 bank index and the S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector rose 2.8% and 1.8%, respectively.</p><p>The healthcare sector was boosted by news that Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc&#39;s anti-blindness treatment Eylea was shown to work as well when given at a higher dose at a longer interval between injections. The drugmaker&#39;s shares jumped 18.8%.</p><p>&#34;People are embracing safety. Healthcare is a very safe sector and it&#39;s still fairly cheap, the same way with the broader financial sector,&#34; said Lee.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 193.24 points, or 0.61%, to 31,774.52, the S&amp;P 500 gained 26.31 points, or 0.66%, to 4,006.18 and the Nasdaq Composite added 70.23 points, or 0.6%, to 11,862.13.</p><p>GameStop Corp surged 7.4% after the video game retailer reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss.</p><p>American Eagle Outfitters Inc tumbled 8.7% after the apparel maker missed second-quarter profit estimates and said it would pause quarterly dividend as it fortifies its finances against a hit from inflation.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>On Wednesday, Wall Street&#39;s main indexes climbed the most in about a month as bond yields retreated after a recent surge that was driven by expectations of higher interest rates. Still, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 is down over 16% year-to-date.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.34-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.48-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 7 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 37 new highs and 153 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","REGN":"再生元制药公司",".DJI":"道琼斯","AEO":"美鹰服饰"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266813339","content_text":"* Powell reaffirms hawkish stance* Weekly jobless claims fall to 3-month low* Regeneron soars on positive trial update* Dow up 0.61%, S&P 500 up 0.66%, Nasdaq up 0.60%Sept 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes posted gains on Thursday mainly lifted by financial institutions and healthcare companies, as investors digested hawkish remarks from policymakers that cemented bets of a large interest rate hike later this month.Indexes bounced back and forth in a choppy trading as concerns over Federal Reserve's next steps to tame a surging inflation remain.\"There's just a lot of uncertainty and I think people aren't going to really make up their minds for longer than five minutes or five seconds, you know, until there's a little bit more clarity or light at the end of the tunnel,\" said Grace Lee, an equity income senior portfolio manager at Boston-based Columbia Threadneedle Investments.Money market traders see 87% odds that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points at this month's meeting.Bank of America, Barclays and Jefferies said they now see a 75-basis points interest rate hike. Before Barclays had said it could be a 50- or 75-basis point increase, while Bank of America and Jefferies were betting on a 50-basis point rise.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is \"strongly committed\" to bringing inflation down and needs to keep going until it gets the job done.Chicago Fed President Charles Evans joined his fellow policymakers in saying that reining in inflation is \"job one.\"Investors are also awaiting the U.S. August inflation report next week for fresh clues on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by half or three-quarters of a percentage point at the next policy meeting due Sept. 20-21.Worries over aggressive monetary tightening across the globe stalled equity markets on Thursday after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points and signaled further hikes.Meanwhile, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to a three-month low, underscoring the robustness of the labor market even as the Fed raises interest rates.With increasing odds of another outsized rate hike, both the rate-sensitive S&P 500 bank index and the S&P 500 healthcare sector rose 2.8% and 1.8%, respectively.The healthcare sector was boosted by news that Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc's anti-blindness treatment Eylea was shown to work as well when given at a higher dose at a longer interval between injections. The drugmaker's shares jumped 18.8%.\"People are embracing safety. Healthcare is a very safe sector and it's still fairly cheap, the same way with the broader financial sector,\" said Lee.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 193.24 points, or 0.61%, to 31,774.52, the S&P 500 gained 26.31 points, or 0.66%, to 4,006.18 and the Nasdaq Composite added 70.23 points, or 0.6%, to 11,862.13.GameStop Corp surged 7.4% after the video game retailer reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss.American Eagle Outfitters Inc tumbled 8.7% after the apparel maker missed second-quarter profit estimates and said it would pause quarterly dividend as it fortifies its finances against a hit from inflation.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.On Wednesday, Wall Street's main indexes climbed the most in about a month as bond yields retreated after a recent surge that was driven by expectations of higher interest rates. Still, the benchmark S&P 500 is down over 16% year-to-date.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.34-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.48-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 7 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 37 new highs and 153 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9018018784,"gmtCreate":1648947868902,"gmtModify":1676534425538,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Based on technical chart, Lemonade could have your attention.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Based on technical chart, Lemonade could have your attention.&nbsp;","text":"$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$Based on technical chart, Lemonade could have your attention.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/73f57548ac885460eaa23e99dcdfde95","width":"1125","height":"4106"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9018018784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3578714358697025","authorId":"3578714358697025","name":"YSSI","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33243cf4747aad39b0ccebbdf2f7c153","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578714358697025","authorIdStr":"3578714358697025"},"content":"One of my portfolio","text":"One of my portfolio","html":"One of my portfolio"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915893591,"gmtCreate":1665009849913,"gmtModify":1676537541545,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915893591","repostId":"1137334453","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915038960,"gmtCreate":1664926167050,"gmtModify":1676537528610,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915038960","repostId":"1154684404","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9012166909,"gmtCreate":1649293690553,"gmtModify":1676534486618,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>down again! Shall buy more or hold&nbsp;or sell? 🤔","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>down again! Shall buy more or hold&nbsp;or sell? 🤔","text":"$Novavax(NVAX)$down again! Shall buy more or hold or sell? 🤔","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf184b9b8fc2f6ec36dcd6788a64a94d","width":"1125","height":"4106"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9012166909","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583318222987864","authorId":"3583318222987864","name":"TheMilkyWay","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/190d59bcbcc876e15543cbd430d8c1f2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3583318222987864","authorIdStr":"3583318222987864"},"content":"You do you but I wont buy more. This company is extremely problematic. I would either bear the pain & sell once it rebounds to 70-80/ wait for a miracle like another huge Covid wave with a new variant","text":"You do you but I wont buy more. This company is extremely problematic. I would either bear the pain & sell once it rebounds to 70-80/ wait for a miracle like another huge Covid wave with a new variant","html":"You do you but I wont buy more. This company is extremely problematic. I would either bear the pain & sell once it rebounds to 70-80/ wait for a miracle like another huge Covid wave with a new variant"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9003537919,"gmtCreate":1641007571965,"gmtModify":1676533564225,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I thoughts it shall be a green to end 2021, last it end with Red 😂","listText":"I thoughts it shall be a green to end 2021, last it end with Red 😂","text":"I thoughts it shall be a green to end 2021, last it end with Red 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9003537919","repostId":"1114332157","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1114332157","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1640995557,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114332157?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-01 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks End Lower on New Year’s Eve, but S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Score Big Gains for 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114332157","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"S&P 500 gains about 27% this year, its best yearly advance since 2019.Major U.S. stock indexes close","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>S&amp;P 500 gains about 27% this year, its best yearly advance since 2019.</p><p>Major U.S. stock indexes closed lower Friday, as risk appetite waned on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> Year’s Eve, but the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite all closed out the month, quarter and year with gains despite the pandemic.</p><p><b>How did stock benchmarks trade?</b></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 59.78 points, or 0.2%, to close at 36,338.30.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 SPX slipped 12.55 points, or 0.3%, to finish at 4,766.18.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 96.59 points, or 0.6%, to end at 15,644.97.</p><p>On Thursday, the Dow closed down 90.55 points, or 0.3%, to 36,398.08, the S&amp;P 500 index fell 14.33 points, or 0.3%, to close at 4,778.73, the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 24.65 points to 15,741.56, a 0.2% loss.</p><p>For the week, the Dow logged a 1.1% gain, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.9% and the Nasdaq shed about 0.1%. For December, the Dow gained 5.4%, the S&amp;P 500 climbed 4.4% and the Nasdaq edged up 0.7%. All three benchmarks also booked gains for the fourth quarter, with the Dow climbing 7.4%, the S&amp;P 500 jumping 10.7% and the Nasdaq advancing 8.3%.</p><p>For 2021, the S&amp;P 500 soared 26.9%, beating both the Nasdaq’s 21.4% rise and the Dow’s 18.7% climb.</p><p><b>What drove the market?</b></p><p>Major U.S. stock indexes fell in the final trading session of the year, as market participants closed out their trading logs for 2021, but the S&amp;P 500 and Dow remained less 1% off their record highs. They also scored their best yearly gains since 2019, before the pandemic disrupted daily life across the globe.</p><p>“Today should be a relatively quiet day,” said Matthew Bartolini, head of SPDR Americas Research at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street Global Advisors, in a phone interview Friday morning. Trading is thin, he said, with “more market movements” potentially coming toward the end of the day as investors closed out their positions for the year.</p><p>Thinner holiday volumes meant potential choppiness in the action in the final session of 2021, following a strong start to the past week of December, as investors assessed the path ahead for markets, a path that has been colored by a global pandemic that already has lasted about two years.</p><p>Despite recent dips, both the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 posted record-high closes this week, with the rise for equities supported by the belief that disruptions from the omicron variant that causes COVID-19 won’t be lasting.</p><p>The seven-day average of COVID-19 cases in the U.S. has risen at a parabolic pace to 344,543 on Thursday, up from 301,477 on Wednesday, which is up about fourfold since Dec. 1 and 37% above the January 2021 daily peak of 251,232, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYT\">New York Times</a> tracker. Hospitalizations also kept climbing, but at a slower pace, as the daily average reached 81,847 on Thursday.</p><p>Airlines canceled hundreds of flights Thursday because of labor shortages after thousands were scrubbed during the Christmas weekend, while the Federal Aviation Administration warned of possible delays tied to the virus at the agency. Also, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recommended that Americans avoid taking cruises, whether they are vaccinated or not.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co. is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> prominent bank that has offered its employees the option of working from home to start 2022. The money-center bank run by Jamie Dimon is “allowing for more flexibility during the first two weeks of January to work from home (if your role allows) at your manager’s discretion,” Bloomberg reported, citing a Thursday memo to employees.</p><p>However, in South Africa, where the omicron variant of COVID was first identified, the government said the country’s latest viral wave had subsided and it would be easing restrictions. In the U.S., while daily COVID cases soared to a record high, the CDC said that hospitalizations or deaths as a result of omicron are comparatively low. And White House medical expert Anthony Fauci has said that he is expecting the omicron outbreak to peak by the end of January.</p><p>There was no U.S. economic data scheduled for release due to the New Year’s Eve holiday and the bond market closed an hour earlier at 2 p.m. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EML\">Eastern</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIME\">Time</a> on Friday.</p><p>The U.S. stock market’s strong performance in 2021 has been driven by corporate earnings growth, said State Street’s Bartolini, with the S&amp;P 500 index scoring a third straight year of double-digit gains.</p><p>“I think everyone just kinda wants to close out the year on a good note,” he said. “Market returns aside, it’s been quite a turbulent year.”</p><p><b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> Micro Devices Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> said Thursday that its acquisition of fellow semiconductor company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLNX\">Xilinx</a> Inc. XLNX would not close by the end of 2021, but that it expects the deal to be sealed early in the new year. Shares of AMD and Xilinx closed 0.9% lower Friday.</p><p>Shares of Zepp Health Corp. ZEPP were flat, after the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a>-based smart health technology company cut its fourth-quarter revenue outlook, citing a “greater than anticipated effects of COVID” and a more persistent global shortage of semiconductors.</p><p>The U.K. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MDCO\">Medicines</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> products Regulatory Agency said it has approved <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>’s PFE Paxlovid oral antiviral for people with mild to moderate COVID-19 who have at least one risk factor for developing severe illness. Shares of Pfizer rose 1.1%.</p><p><b>How did other assets fare?</b></p><p>The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was trading around 1.496%, marking its biggest yearly yield climb since 2013.</p><p>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, fell 0.3%.</p><p>Oil futures fell, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSTC\">West</a> Texas Intermediate crude for February delivery declining 2.3% to settle at $75.21 a barrel. WTI rose more than 55% in 2021, its largely annual gain in 12 years.</p><p>Gold futures for February delivery GCG22 rose 0.8% to settle at $1,828.60 an ounce Friday. The precious metal fell 3.6% in 2021.</p><p>Bitcoin was up 1.7% at $47,985.</p><p>The FTSE 10 fell about 0.2% Friday, but ended the year with gains of 14.3%. The Stoxx Europe declined 0.2% Friday and posted gains of around 22.2% for 2021.</p><p>In Asian trade, the Shanghai Composite ended 0.6% higher Friday, logging a 4.8% gain for the year. The Hang Seng Index HSI climbed 1.2% Friday, but remained down 14.1% for the year. China’s CSI 300 booked a 0.4% advance Friday, but lost 5.2% for the year. The NIKKEI 225 index gained 4.9% in 2021, with Japan’s market closed on Friday.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks End Lower on New Year’s Eve, but S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Score Big Gains for 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks End Lower on New Year’s Eve, but S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Score Big Gains for 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-01 08:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>S&amp;P 500 gains about 27% this year, its best yearly advance since 2019.</p><p>Major U.S. stock indexes closed lower Friday, as risk appetite waned on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> Year’s Eve, but the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite all closed out the month, quarter and year with gains despite the pandemic.</p><p><b>How did stock benchmarks trade?</b></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 59.78 points, or 0.2%, to close at 36,338.30.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 SPX slipped 12.55 points, or 0.3%, to finish at 4,766.18.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 96.59 points, or 0.6%, to end at 15,644.97.</p><p>On Thursday, the Dow closed down 90.55 points, or 0.3%, to 36,398.08, the S&amp;P 500 index fell 14.33 points, or 0.3%, to close at 4,778.73, the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 24.65 points to 15,741.56, a 0.2% loss.</p><p>For the week, the Dow logged a 1.1% gain, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.9% and the Nasdaq shed about 0.1%. For December, the Dow gained 5.4%, the S&amp;P 500 climbed 4.4% and the Nasdaq edged up 0.7%. All three benchmarks also booked gains for the fourth quarter, with the Dow climbing 7.4%, the S&amp;P 500 jumping 10.7% and the Nasdaq advancing 8.3%.</p><p>For 2021, the S&amp;P 500 soared 26.9%, beating both the Nasdaq’s 21.4% rise and the Dow’s 18.7% climb.</p><p><b>What drove the market?</b></p><p>Major U.S. stock indexes fell in the final trading session of the year, as market participants closed out their trading logs for 2021, but the S&amp;P 500 and Dow remained less 1% off their record highs. They also scored their best yearly gains since 2019, before the pandemic disrupted daily life across the globe.</p><p>“Today should be a relatively quiet day,” said Matthew Bartolini, head of SPDR Americas Research at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street Global Advisors, in a phone interview Friday morning. Trading is thin, he said, with “more market movements” potentially coming toward the end of the day as investors closed out their positions for the year.</p><p>Thinner holiday volumes meant potential choppiness in the action in the final session of 2021, following a strong start to the past week of December, as investors assessed the path ahead for markets, a path that has been colored by a global pandemic that already has lasted about two years.</p><p>Despite recent dips, both the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 posted record-high closes this week, with the rise for equities supported by the belief that disruptions from the omicron variant that causes COVID-19 won’t be lasting.</p><p>The seven-day average of COVID-19 cases in the U.S. has risen at a parabolic pace to 344,543 on Thursday, up from 301,477 on Wednesday, which is up about fourfold since Dec. 1 and 37% above the January 2021 daily peak of 251,232, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYT\">New York Times</a> tracker. Hospitalizations also kept climbing, but at a slower pace, as the daily average reached 81,847 on Thursday.</p><p>Airlines canceled hundreds of flights Thursday because of labor shortages after thousands were scrubbed during the Christmas weekend, while the Federal Aviation Administration warned of possible delays tied to the virus at the agency. Also, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recommended that Americans avoid taking cruises, whether they are vaccinated or not.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co. is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> prominent bank that has offered its employees the option of working from home to start 2022. The money-center bank run by Jamie Dimon is “allowing for more flexibility during the first two weeks of January to work from home (if your role allows) at your manager’s discretion,” Bloomberg reported, citing a Thursday memo to employees.</p><p>However, in South Africa, where the omicron variant of COVID was first identified, the government said the country’s latest viral wave had subsided and it would be easing restrictions. In the U.S., while daily COVID cases soared to a record high, the CDC said that hospitalizations or deaths as a result of omicron are comparatively low. And White House medical expert Anthony Fauci has said that he is expecting the omicron outbreak to peak by the end of January.</p><p>There was no U.S. economic data scheduled for release due to the New Year’s Eve holiday and the bond market closed an hour earlier at 2 p.m. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EML\">Eastern</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIME\">Time</a> on Friday.</p><p>The U.S. stock market’s strong performance in 2021 has been driven by corporate earnings growth, said State Street’s Bartolini, with the S&amp;P 500 index scoring a third straight year of double-digit gains.</p><p>“I think everyone just kinda wants to close out the year on a good note,” he said. “Market returns aside, it’s been quite a turbulent year.”</p><p><b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> Micro Devices Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> said Thursday that its acquisition of fellow semiconductor company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLNX\">Xilinx</a> Inc. XLNX would not close by the end of 2021, but that it expects the deal to be sealed early in the new year. Shares of AMD and Xilinx closed 0.9% lower Friday.</p><p>Shares of Zepp Health Corp. ZEPP were flat, after the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a>-based smart health technology company cut its fourth-quarter revenue outlook, citing a “greater than anticipated effects of COVID” and a more persistent global shortage of semiconductors.</p><p>The U.K. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MDCO\">Medicines</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> products Regulatory Agency said it has approved <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>’s PFE Paxlovid oral antiviral for people with mild to moderate COVID-19 who have at least one risk factor for developing severe illness. Shares of Pfizer rose 1.1%.</p><p><b>How did other assets fare?</b></p><p>The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was trading around 1.496%, marking its biggest yearly yield climb since 2013.</p><p>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, fell 0.3%.</p><p>Oil futures fell, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSTC\">West</a> Texas Intermediate crude for February delivery declining 2.3% to settle at $75.21 a barrel. WTI rose more than 55% in 2021, its largely annual gain in 12 years.</p><p>Gold futures for February delivery GCG22 rose 0.8% to settle at $1,828.60 an ounce Friday. The precious metal fell 3.6% in 2021.</p><p>Bitcoin was up 1.7% at $47,985.</p><p>The FTSE 10 fell about 0.2% Friday, but ended the year with gains of 14.3%. The Stoxx Europe declined 0.2% Friday and posted gains of around 22.2% for 2021.</p><p>In Asian trade, the Shanghai Composite ended 0.6% higher Friday, logging a 4.8% gain for the year. The Hang Seng Index HSI climbed 1.2% Friday, but remained down 14.1% for the year. China’s CSI 300 booked a 0.4% advance Friday, but lost 5.2% for the year. The NIKKEI 225 index gained 4.9% in 2021, with Japan’s market closed on Friday.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4017":"黄金","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","NGD":"New Gold","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114332157","content_text":"S&P 500 gains about 27% this year, its best yearly advance since 2019.Major U.S. stock indexes closed lower Friday, as risk appetite waned on New Year’s Eve, but the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite all closed out the month, quarter and year with gains despite the pandemic.How did stock benchmarks trade?The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 59.78 points, or 0.2%, to close at 36,338.30.The S&P 500 SPX slipped 12.55 points, or 0.3%, to finish at 4,766.18.The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 96.59 points, or 0.6%, to end at 15,644.97.On Thursday, the Dow closed down 90.55 points, or 0.3%, to 36,398.08, the S&P 500 index fell 14.33 points, or 0.3%, to close at 4,778.73, the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 24.65 points to 15,741.56, a 0.2% loss.For the week, the Dow logged a 1.1% gain, the S&P 500 rose 0.9% and the Nasdaq shed about 0.1%. For December, the Dow gained 5.4%, the S&P 500 climbed 4.4% and the Nasdaq edged up 0.7%. All three benchmarks also booked gains for the fourth quarter, with the Dow climbing 7.4%, the S&P 500 jumping 10.7% and the Nasdaq advancing 8.3%.For 2021, the S&P 500 soared 26.9%, beating both the Nasdaq’s 21.4% rise and the Dow’s 18.7% climb.What drove the market?Major U.S. stock indexes fell in the final trading session of the year, as market participants closed out their trading logs for 2021, but the S&P 500 and Dow remained less 1% off their record highs. They also scored their best yearly gains since 2019, before the pandemic disrupted daily life across the globe.“Today should be a relatively quiet day,” said Matthew Bartolini, head of SPDR Americas Research at State Street Global Advisors, in a phone interview Friday morning. Trading is thin, he said, with “more market movements” potentially coming toward the end of the day as investors closed out their positions for the year.Thinner holiday volumes meant potential choppiness in the action in the final session of 2021, following a strong start to the past week of December, as investors assessed the path ahead for markets, a path that has been colored by a global pandemic that already has lasted about two years.Despite recent dips, both the Dow and the S&P 500 posted record-high closes this week, with the rise for equities supported by the belief that disruptions from the omicron variant that causes COVID-19 won’t be lasting.The seven-day average of COVID-19 cases in the U.S. has risen at a parabolic pace to 344,543 on Thursday, up from 301,477 on Wednesday, which is up about fourfold since Dec. 1 and 37% above the January 2021 daily peak of 251,232, according to a New York Times tracker. Hospitalizations also kept climbing, but at a slower pace, as the daily average reached 81,847 on Thursday.Airlines canceled hundreds of flights Thursday because of labor shortages after thousands were scrubbed during the Christmas weekend, while the Federal Aviation Administration warned of possible delays tied to the virus at the agency. Also, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recommended that Americans avoid taking cruises, whether they are vaccinated or not.JPMorgan Chase & Co. is one prominent bank that has offered its employees the option of working from home to start 2022. The money-center bank run by Jamie Dimon is “allowing for more flexibility during the first two weeks of January to work from home (if your role allows) at your manager’s discretion,” Bloomberg reported, citing a Thursday memo to employees.However, in South Africa, where the omicron variant of COVID was first identified, the government said the country’s latest viral wave had subsided and it would be easing restrictions. In the U.S., while daily COVID cases soared to a record high, the CDC said that hospitalizations or deaths as a result of omicron are comparatively low. And White House medical expert Anthony Fauci has said that he is expecting the omicron outbreak to peak by the end of January.There was no U.S. economic data scheduled for release due to the New Year’s Eve holiday and the bond market closed an hour earlier at 2 p.m. Eastern Time on Friday.The U.S. stock market’s strong performance in 2021 has been driven by corporate earnings growth, said State Street’s Bartolini, with the S&P 500 index scoring a third straight year of double-digit gains.“I think everyone just kinda wants to close out the year on a good note,” he said. “Market returns aside, it’s been quite a turbulent year.”Which companies were in focus?Advanced Micro Devices Inc. AMD said Thursday that its acquisition of fellow semiconductor company Xilinx Inc. XLNX would not close by the end of 2021, but that it expects the deal to be sealed early in the new year. Shares of AMD and Xilinx closed 0.9% lower Friday.Shares of Zepp Health Corp. ZEPP were flat, after the China-based smart health technology company cut its fourth-quarter revenue outlook, citing a “greater than anticipated effects of COVID” and a more persistent global shortage of semiconductors.The U.K. Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency said it has approved Pfizer’s PFE Paxlovid oral antiviral for people with mild to moderate COVID-19 who have at least one risk factor for developing severe illness. Shares of Pfizer rose 1.1%.How did other assets fare?The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was trading around 1.496%, marking its biggest yearly yield climb since 2013.The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, fell 0.3%.Oil futures fell, with West Texas Intermediate crude for February delivery declining 2.3% to settle at $75.21 a barrel. WTI rose more than 55% in 2021, its largely annual gain in 12 years.Gold futures for February delivery GCG22 rose 0.8% to settle at $1,828.60 an ounce Friday. The precious metal fell 3.6% in 2021.Bitcoin was up 1.7% at $47,985.The FTSE 10 fell about 0.2% Friday, but ended the year with gains of 14.3%. The Stoxx Europe declined 0.2% Friday and posted gains of around 22.2% for 2021.In Asian trade, the Shanghai Composite ended 0.6% higher Friday, logging a 4.8% gain for the year. The Hang Seng Index HSI climbed 1.2% Friday, but remained down 14.1% for the year. China’s CSI 300 booked a 0.4% advance Friday, but lost 5.2% for the year. The NIKKEI 225 index gained 4.9% in 2021, with Japan’s market closed on Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9019266967,"gmtCreate":1648601745283,"gmtModify":1676534362034,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a>Believe it will up further!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a>Believe it will up further!&nbsp;","text":"$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$Believe it will up further!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e65328c10fc1ce86c8e6f2b8d5354713","width":"1125","height":"4106"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9019266967","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9098160852,"gmtCreate":1644045983238,"gmtModify":1676533886034,"author":{"id":"3585785590601618","authorId":"3585785590601618","name":"Miketee74","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/09ea58a03e562828bff08f7347bbcdb4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585785590601618","authorIdStr":"3585785590601618"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>It will up for more! Join me for a profit!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>It will up for more! Join me for a profit!&nbsp;","text":"$Micron Technology(MU)$It will up for more! Join me for a profit!","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/a417b5e7cf19ccd6b5b1d4fe06abecab","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9098160852","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}