oliana personal page - To The Moon

oliana

oliana

No personal profile

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2023-02-28

Its time to buy. Market down.

2023-02-15

$Apple(AAPL)$ yehey im rich

2023-02-15

$Alibaba(BABA)$ down down up up

2023-02-14

$Apple(AAPL)$ the only green in sea of red

2023-02-14

Die already. What da

2023-01-12

$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$ to the moon

2023-01-11

$Alibaba(BABA)$ great

2023-01-11

$Alibaba(BABA)$ to the moon

2023-01-10

$Medtronic PLC(MDT)$ miracle needed

2023-01-06

$Apple(AAPL)$ share the plus

2023-01-06

$Apple(AAPL)$ koko

2023-01-06

$Apple(AAPL)$ can can

2023-01-06

Can

US STOCKS-Wall St Drops More Than 1% With Jobs Data Feeding Fears of More Fed Tightening

2023-01-06

Agree

The Many Forces Fueling Tesla’s $860 Billion Tumble

2023-01-06

Can

Strong U.S. Jobs, Wages Growth Expected in December

2022-12-01

$Alibaba(BABA)$ long haul

2022-12-01

$Alibaba(BABA)$ long way to go

2022-11-16

$Alibaba(BABA)$ still dying. Hopefully can recover

2022-11-11

$Apple(AAPL)$ done

2022-11-11

$Ford(F)$ just a feww more

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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as it keeps focused on inflation.</p><p>Thursday&#39;s ADP National Employment report showed a higher-than-expected rise in private employment in December. Another report showed weekly jobless claims fell last week.</p><p>On Wednesday, another data set showed a moderate fall in U.S. job openings. While a strong labor market would usually be welcomed as a sign of economic strength, investors currently see it as a reason for the Fed to keep interest rates high.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s very clear that good news on the labor market means bad news for the stock market. Data is showing that the labor market is very resilient,&#34; said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise in Tory Michigan.</p><p>&#34;As long as the labor market is resilient, the Federal Reserve has to continue to tighten financial conditions to bring inflation down,&#34; said that strategist who expects investors to be keenly focused on wage inflation in Friday&#39;s jobs report.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 339.69 points, or 1.02%, to 32,930.08, the S&amp;P 500 lost 44.87 points, or 1.16%, to 3,808.1 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 153.52 points, or 1.47%, to 10,305.24.</p><p>The indexes lost steam late in the day, ending close to their session lows. They had pared losses in the early afternoon when St. Louis Federal Reserve leader James Bullard said 2023 could finally bring some welcome relief on the inflation front.</p><p>While Saglimbene noted that Bullard&#39;s comments were not surprising, his suggestion that rate hikes were starting to show some signs of dampening inflation, provided some reassurance.</p><p>Among the S&amp;P&#39;s 11 major sectors, real estate - which was the biggest percentage gainer on Wednesday - lead Thursday&#39;s sector losses with a 2.9% drop, with utilities came next, falling 2.2%.</p><p>The sole gainer was energy, which closed up 1.99% after crude oil futures settled higher.</p><p>On Wednesday, Wall Street&#39;s main indexes had erased some of their gains after minutes from the Fed&#39;s December meeting showed officials were laser-focused on fighting inflation even as they agreed to slow the hiking pace to limit economic risks.</p><p>Earlier Thursday both Kansas City Fed leader Esther George and Atlanta President Raphael Bostic stressed that the central bank&#39;s priority was to curb inflation through policy tightening.</p><p>Traders see rates peaking at slightly above 5% in June.</p><p>The more comprehensive non farm payrolls report due on Friday, will be looked to for further clues on labor demand and the rate hike trajectory.</p><p>Among individual stocks, Tesla Inc ended down 2.9% after December sales of its China-made electric vehicles fell to a five-month low, while Amazon.com Inc    finished  down 2.4% after it announced increased layoff plans.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc finished down 6% at $35.19 after the drugstore chain posted a quarterly loss on an opioid litigation charge.</p><p>Shares in Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc plunged 29.9% to $1.69 after the home goods retailer said it was exploring options, including bankruptcy.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 8 new 52-week highs and 7 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 68 new highs and 66 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges was 10.21 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.79 billion moving average for the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Drops More Than 1% With Jobs Data Feeding Fears of More Fed Tightening</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Drops More Than 1% With Jobs Data Feeding Fears of More Fed Tightening\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-06 06:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes lost more than 1% on Thursday, with Nasdaq leading the declines, as evidence of a tight labor market eroded hopes that the Federal Reserve could pause its rating hiking cycle anytime soon as it keeps focused on inflation.</p><p>Thursday&#39;s ADP National Employment report showed a higher-than-expected rise in private employment in December. Another report showed weekly jobless claims fell last week.</p><p>On Wednesday, another data set showed a moderate fall in U.S. job openings. While a strong labor market would usually be welcomed as a sign of economic strength, investors currently see it as a reason for the Fed to keep interest rates high.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s very clear that good news on the labor market means bad news for the stock market. Data is showing that the labor market is very resilient,&#34; said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise in Tory Michigan.</p><p>&#34;As long as the labor market is resilient, the Federal Reserve has to continue to tighten financial conditions to bring inflation down,&#34; said that strategist who expects investors to be keenly focused on wage inflation in Friday&#39;s jobs report.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 339.69 points, or 1.02%, to 32,930.08, the S&amp;P 500 lost 44.87 points, or 1.16%, to 3,808.1 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 153.52 points, or 1.47%, to 10,305.24.</p><p>The indexes lost steam late in the day, ending close to their session lows. They had pared losses in the early afternoon when St. Louis Federal Reserve leader James Bullard said 2023 could finally bring some welcome relief on the inflation front.</p><p>While Saglimbene noted that Bullard&#39;s comments were not surprising, his suggestion that rate hikes were starting to show some signs of dampening inflation, provided some reassurance.</p><p>Among the S&amp;P&#39;s 11 major sectors, real estate - which was the biggest percentage gainer on Wednesday - lead Thursday&#39;s sector losses with a 2.9% drop, with utilities came next, falling 2.2%.</p><p>The sole gainer was energy, which closed up 1.99% after crude oil futures settled higher.</p><p>On Wednesday, Wall Street&#39;s main indexes had erased some of their gains after minutes from the Fed&#39;s December meeting showed officials were laser-focused on fighting inflation even as they agreed to slow the hiking pace to limit economic risks.</p><p>Earlier Thursday both Kansas City Fed leader Esther George and Atlanta President Raphael Bostic stressed that the central bank&#39;s priority was to curb inflation through policy tightening.</p><p>Traders see rates peaking at slightly above 5% in June.</p><p>The more comprehensive non farm payrolls report due on Friday, will be looked to for further clues on labor demand and the rate hike trajectory.</p><p>Among individual stocks, Tesla Inc ended down 2.9% after December sales of its China-made electric vehicles fell to a five-month low, while Amazon.com Inc    finished  down 2.4% after it announced increased layoff plans.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc finished down 6% at $35.19 after the drugstore chain posted a quarterly loss on an opioid litigation charge.</p><p>Shares in Bed Bath &amp; Beyond Inc plunged 29.9% to $1.69 after the home goods retailer said it was exploring options, including bankruptcy.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 8 new 52-week highs and 7 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 68 new highs and 66 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges was 10.21 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.79 billion moving average for the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4082":"医疗保健设备","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU0354030438.USD":"富国美国大盘成长基金Cl A Acc","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4128":"药品零售","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4007":"制药","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4196":"保健护理服务","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301916295","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes lost more than 1% on Thursday, with Nasdaq leading the declines, as evidence of a tight labor market eroded hopes that the Federal Reserve could pause its rating hiking cycle anytime soon as it keeps focused on inflation.Thursday's ADP National Employment report showed a higher-than-expected rise in private employment in December. Another report showed weekly jobless claims fell last week.On Wednesday, another data set showed a moderate fall in U.S. job openings. While a strong labor market would usually be welcomed as a sign of economic strength, investors currently see it as a reason for the Fed to keep interest rates high.\"It's very clear that good news on the labor market means bad news for the stock market. Data is showing that the labor market is very resilient,\" said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise in Tory Michigan.\"As long as the labor market is resilient, the Federal Reserve has to continue to tighten financial conditions to bring inflation down,\" said that strategist who expects investors to be keenly focused on wage inflation in Friday's jobs report.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 339.69 points, or 1.02%, to 32,930.08, the S&P 500 lost 44.87 points, or 1.16%, to 3,808.1 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 153.52 points, or 1.47%, to 10,305.24.The indexes lost steam late in the day, ending close to their session lows. They had pared losses in the early afternoon when St. Louis Federal Reserve leader James Bullard said 2023 could finally bring some welcome relief on the inflation front.While Saglimbene noted that Bullard's comments were not surprising, his suggestion that rate hikes were starting to show some signs of dampening inflation, provided some reassurance.Among the S&P's 11 major sectors, real estate - which was the biggest percentage gainer on Wednesday - lead Thursday's sector losses with a 2.9% drop, with utilities came next, falling 2.2%.The sole gainer was energy, which closed up 1.99% after crude oil futures settled higher.On Wednesday, Wall Street's main indexes had erased some of their gains after minutes from the Fed's December meeting showed officials were laser-focused on fighting inflation even as they agreed to slow the hiking pace to limit economic risks.Earlier Thursday both Kansas City Fed leader Esther George and Atlanta President Raphael Bostic stressed that the central bank's priority was to curb inflation through policy tightening.Traders see rates peaking at slightly above 5% in June.The more comprehensive non farm payrolls report due on Friday, will be looked to for further clues on labor demand and the rate hike trajectory.Among individual stocks, Tesla Inc ended down 2.9% after December sales of its China-made electric vehicles fell to a five-month low, while Amazon.com Inc    finished  down 2.4% after it announced increased layoff plans.Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc finished down 6% at $35.19 after the drugstore chain posted a quarterly loss on an opioid litigation charge.Shares in Bed Bath & Beyond Inc plunged 29.9% to $1.69 after the home goods retailer said it was exploring options, including bankruptcy.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 8 new 52-week highs and 7 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 68 new highs and 66 new lows.On U.S. exchanges was 10.21 billion shares changed hands compared with the 10.79 billion moving average for the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959291626,"gmtCreate":1672987059366,"gmtModify":1676538766716,"author":{"id":"4087619900366220","authorId":"4087619900366220","name":"oliana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c145e3dccc975a6569afcf9567171ef4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087619900366220","idStr":"4087619900366220"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agree","listText":"Agree","text":"Agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959291626","repostId":"1128856051","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128856051","pubTimestamp":1672974368,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128856051?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-06 11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Many Forces Fueling Tesla’s $860 Billion Tumble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128856051","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Investors in Elon Musk’s day job are feeling a lot less excited about the future.Until fairly recent","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Investors in Elon Musk’s day job are feeling a lot less excited about the future.</li></ul><p>Until fairly recently, higher-end Tesla cars had a setting called “ludicrous mode,” which used their high-torque electric engines to achieve superfast acceleration. In the past year, ludicrous mode has also been an apt description of Tesla Inc.’s share price—except it’s been running in reverse.</p><p>From about $1.2 trillion at the start of 2022, the company’s market value has fallen more than 70%, to $340 billion. That still makes it by far the most valuable automaker in the world. Ford Motor, General Motors, Stellantis and Toyota Motor are worth about the same amount combined. But another way to put it is that Tesla’s fall has wiped out the equivalent of the value of four major car companies, more than twice over. And Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has made history by losing more money in his personal fortune than anyone ever.</p><p>The most obvious explanation is that Tesla is an especially high-growth, high-speculation stock in a market that pumped up such companies in 2020 and 2021 before abruptly turning on them in 2022 as interest rates rose and the stock market fell overall. Musk pointed to this dynamic in a mid-December Twitter post. (More on the tweets in a moment.) He said that when people can earn higher rates without risk, they tend to move money “out of stocks into cash.”</p><p>Yet, Tesla’s decline is conspicuous even among once-frothy tech stocks. In 2022 the stock was the worst performer in the NYSE FANG+ Index—a gauge of 10 large technology companies that includes Amazon.com, Apple and Meta Platforms. That index is down about 40% over the past year, which is still much less than Tesla’s drop. The carmaker’s shares had largely traded in line with other major technology stocks last year until around September, then they diverged sharply. In the past three months, Tesla fell 59%, compared with a 6.7% loss for the FANG+ and a 6.7% rise for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>The rest of the explanation is what Mark Stoeckle, CEO of Adams Funds, which holds Tesla shares, calls “a cocktail of misery.” As a leader, Musk has given any investor nervous about Tesla’s lofty valuation plenty of headlines to justify selling, while the company itself deals with new challenges.</p><p>Start with Musk’s Twitter adventures—both as a heavy user of the social media platform and now as the owner. The first blow came in November 2021, when he conducted a Twitter poll asking whether he should sell 10% of his stake in Tesla. Respondents said yes. Within two months, Musk had sold $16 billion of Tesla shares. Things escalated quickly in 2022 after he announced his intention to acquire Twitter Inc.</p><p>After trying to wriggle out of the deal, Musk finally had to go through with it. All along, Tesla investors worried about his needing to sell even more of his stake in the car company to pay for Twitter. Another concern was that his obvious preoccupation with the platform was distracting him from Tesla.</p><p>Musk has now sold almost $40 billion of Tesla shares since late 2021. And though he recently said he has no plans to sell more stock anytime soon, the market almost always dislikes the idea of a company insider selling, taking it as a sign of low confidence.</p><p>At the same time, Musk has stirred the pot of countless social and political controversies since taking over Twitter, with his own trolling tweets and sudden changes to moderation policies. The chaotic Twitter sideshow matters because Musk’s persona is so closely associated with Tesla. “A lot of damage has been done to the brand and the story, and the news flow may stay negative on Elon Musk for a while,” says Catherine Faddis, senior portfolio manager at Fernwood Investment Management LLC.</p><p>Still, most Tesla investors are probably more focused on the electric vehicle business—and the company has simply faced a high bar of expectations. After all, this is a stock that rose more than 1,100% over 2020 and 2021. Whereas analysts on average expect GM’s or Ford’s revenue to expand at a pace of low- to mid-single-digit percentages over the next five years, for Tesla they model an average 25% jump every year.</p><p>That thesis has started to show some cracks, after the company’s vehicle deliveries failed to meet analysts’ expectations for three straight quarters. The latest miss was reported on Jan. 2, sending the stock to its lowest since August 2020. Tesla still delivered a 40% annual increase while setting a quarterly record, but to many it was a relative disappointment that augurs a new reality for the EV industry as well as for Tesla.</p><p>Economists are warning of a possible global recession in 2023. Meanwhile, high inflation over the past year and the increased cost of financing for a car are pushing consumers to delay plans for purchasing expensive vehicles, and electric cars are typically pricier than gas-fueled ones.</p><p>Tesla rarely discounts, but it recently offered customers in the US a $7,500 yearend deal to boost deliveries. It’s also cut prices and production in China. “Our base case assumption is that year-over-year growth (while remaining impressive overall) is likely to decline each year from here on out,” JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. analyst Ryan Brinkman wrote in a note to clients after the release of Tesla’s latest quarterly delivery numbers.</p><p>An economic slowdown will be responsible for some of that, but Brinkman also points to the rising threat from competition. Older carmakers may have been late to the electric game, but they’re planning to flood the market with a slew of EVs over the next few years. A report from S&amp;P Global Mobility in November found that Tesla’s share in EV sales was set to drop to below 20% by 2025, from a dominant 79% in 2020.</p><p>Bulls can point to how the EV market is still growing fast enough for Tesla to sell more cars even if its share drops. For now the company is still synonymous with EVs for vast groups of potential electric car buyers who haven’t made the switch. And the colossal Japanese auto industry has been slow to move on EVs.</p><p>“The current growth story for Tesla is positive, and while we’ve seen a large drop in the price of Tesla’s stock, we haven’t seen any material decline in the operations of the company,” says Brian Mulberry, client portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management. “Sales estimates are still stable, margins are improving, and earnings are growing.”</p><p>As Tesla’s history in the bull market shows, the stock is sensitive to market psychology. Among big tech-related stocks, it’s most similar to Meta, which fell 64% last year. Both companies face specific issues—with Meta they include slipping social media revenue and CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s focus on the metaverse—but also a fierce, general mood of skepticism among investors. They’re less willing to cut managers slack today based on hopes for growth in the farther-off future. That might shift quickly again should economic data and Tesla’s results improve.</p><p>Adams Funds’ Stoeckle says Tesla stock still isn’t cheap, even at these prices. It remains an optimist’s bet. “It’s important not to simply expect that a significant drop in the price of a stock means it’s therefore attractive—so many stocks in 2022 were rerated and deserved to be,” he says. “There are enough questions about the operations of Tesla—China demand, price cuts, good competition—that makes it hard to declare the current valuation is correct.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Many Forces Fueling Tesla’s $860 Billion Tumble</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Many Forces Fueling Tesla’s $860 Billion Tumble\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-06 11:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-05/tesla-tsla-stock-price-reflects-multiple-headwinds><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors in Elon Musk’s day job are feeling a lot less excited about the future.Until fairly recently, higher-end Tesla cars had a setting called “ludicrous mode,” which used their high-torque ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-05/tesla-tsla-stock-price-reflects-multiple-headwinds\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-05/tesla-tsla-stock-price-reflects-multiple-headwinds","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128856051","content_text":"Investors in Elon Musk’s day job are feeling a lot less excited about the future.Until fairly recently, higher-end Tesla cars had a setting called “ludicrous mode,” which used their high-torque electric engines to achieve superfast acceleration. In the past year, ludicrous mode has also been an apt description of Tesla Inc.’s share price—except it’s been running in reverse.From about $1.2 trillion at the start of 2022, the company’s market value has fallen more than 70%, to $340 billion. That still makes it by far the most valuable automaker in the world. Ford Motor, General Motors, Stellantis and Toyota Motor are worth about the same amount combined. But another way to put it is that Tesla’s fall has wiped out the equivalent of the value of four major car companies, more than twice over. And Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has made history by losing more money in his personal fortune than anyone ever.The most obvious explanation is that Tesla is an especially high-growth, high-speculation stock in a market that pumped up such companies in 2020 and 2021 before abruptly turning on them in 2022 as interest rates rose and the stock market fell overall. Musk pointed to this dynamic in a mid-December Twitter post. (More on the tweets in a moment.) He said that when people can earn higher rates without risk, they tend to move money “out of stocks into cash.”Yet, Tesla’s decline is conspicuous even among once-frothy tech stocks. In 2022 the stock was the worst performer in the NYSE FANG+ Index—a gauge of 10 large technology companies that includes Amazon.com, Apple and Meta Platforms. That index is down about 40% over the past year, which is still much less than Tesla’s drop. The carmaker’s shares had largely traded in line with other major technology stocks last year until around September, then they diverged sharply. In the past three months, Tesla fell 59%, compared with a 6.7% loss for the FANG+ and a 6.7% rise for the S&P 500.The rest of the explanation is what Mark Stoeckle, CEO of Adams Funds, which holds Tesla shares, calls “a cocktail of misery.” As a leader, Musk has given any investor nervous about Tesla’s lofty valuation plenty of headlines to justify selling, while the company itself deals with new challenges.Start with Musk’s Twitter adventures—both as a heavy user of the social media platform and now as the owner. The first blow came in November 2021, when he conducted a Twitter poll asking whether he should sell 10% of his stake in Tesla. Respondents said yes. Within two months, Musk had sold $16 billion of Tesla shares. Things escalated quickly in 2022 after he announced his intention to acquire Twitter Inc.After trying to wriggle out of the deal, Musk finally had to go through with it. All along, Tesla investors worried about his needing to sell even more of his stake in the car company to pay for Twitter. Another concern was that his obvious preoccupation with the platform was distracting him from Tesla.Musk has now sold almost $40 billion of Tesla shares since late 2021. And though he recently said he has no plans to sell more stock anytime soon, the market almost always dislikes the idea of a company insider selling, taking it as a sign of low confidence.At the same time, Musk has stirred the pot of countless social and political controversies since taking over Twitter, with his own trolling tweets and sudden changes to moderation policies. The chaotic Twitter sideshow matters because Musk’s persona is so closely associated with Tesla. “A lot of damage has been done to the brand and the story, and the news flow may stay negative on Elon Musk for a while,” says Catherine Faddis, senior portfolio manager at Fernwood Investment Management LLC.Still, most Tesla investors are probably more focused on the electric vehicle business—and the company has simply faced a high bar of expectations. After all, this is a stock that rose more than 1,100% over 2020 and 2021. Whereas analysts on average expect GM’s or Ford’s revenue to expand at a pace of low- to mid-single-digit percentages over the next five years, for Tesla they model an average 25% jump every year.That thesis has started to show some cracks, after the company’s vehicle deliveries failed to meet analysts’ expectations for three straight quarters. The latest miss was reported on Jan. 2, sending the stock to its lowest since August 2020. Tesla still delivered a 40% annual increase while setting a quarterly record, but to many it was a relative disappointment that augurs a new reality for the EV industry as well as for Tesla.Economists are warning of a possible global recession in 2023. Meanwhile, high inflation over the past year and the increased cost of financing for a car are pushing consumers to delay plans for purchasing expensive vehicles, and electric cars are typically pricier than gas-fueled ones.Tesla rarely discounts, but it recently offered customers in the US a $7,500 yearend deal to boost deliveries. It’s also cut prices and production in China. “Our base case assumption is that year-over-year growth (while remaining impressive overall) is likely to decline each year from here on out,” JPMorgan Chase & Co. analyst Ryan Brinkman wrote in a note to clients after the release of Tesla’s latest quarterly delivery numbers.An economic slowdown will be responsible for some of that, but Brinkman also points to the rising threat from competition. Older carmakers may have been late to the electric game, but they’re planning to flood the market with a slew of EVs over the next few years. A report from S&P Global Mobility in November found that Tesla’s share in EV sales was set to drop to below 20% by 2025, from a dominant 79% in 2020.Bulls can point to how the EV market is still growing fast enough for Tesla to sell more cars even if its share drops. For now the company is still synonymous with EVs for vast groups of potential electric car buyers who haven’t made the switch. And the colossal Japanese auto industry has been slow to move on EVs.“The current growth story for Tesla is positive, and while we’ve seen a large drop in the price of Tesla’s stock, we haven’t seen any material decline in the operations of the company,” says Brian Mulberry, client portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management. “Sales estimates are still stable, margins are improving, and earnings are growing.”As Tesla’s history in the bull market shows, the stock is sensitive to market psychology. Among big tech-related stocks, it’s most similar to Meta, which fell 64% last year. Both companies face specific issues—with Meta they include slipping social media revenue and CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s focus on the metaverse—but also a fierce, general mood of skepticism among investors. They’re less willing to cut managers slack today based on hopes for growth in the farther-off future. That might shift quickly again should economic data and Tesla’s results improve.Adams Funds’ Stoeckle says Tesla stock still isn’t cheap, even at these prices. It remains an optimist’s bet. “It’s important not to simply expect that a significant drop in the price of a stock means it’s therefore attractive—so many stocks in 2022 were rerated and deserved to be,” he says. “There are enough questions about the operations of Tesla—China demand, price cuts, good competition—that makes it hard to declare the current valuation is correct.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959291126,"gmtCreate":1672987050165,"gmtModify":1676538766709,"author":{"id":"4087619900366220","authorId":"4087619900366220","name":"oliana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c145e3dccc975a6569afcf9567171ef4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087619900366220","idStr":"4087619900366220"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can","listText":"Can","text":"Can","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959291126","repostId":"1135759994","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135759994","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1672982170,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135759994?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-06 13:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strong U.S. Jobs, Wages Growth Expected in December","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135759994","media":"Reuters","summary":"SummaryNonfarm payrolls forecast increasing 200,000 in DecemberUnemployment rate seen unchanged at 3","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Nonfarm payrolls forecast increasing 200,000 in December</li><li>Unemployment rate seen unchanged at 3.7%</li><li>Average hourly earnings forecast gaining 0.4%; up 5.0% y/y</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - The U.S. economy likely maintained a solid pace of job and wage growth in December, but rising borrowing costs as the Federal Reserve fights inflation could slow labor market momentum significantly by mid-year.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s closely watched employment report on Friday is also expected to show the unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7% last month. The labor market has remained strong since the Fed embarked last March on its fastest interest rate-hiking since the 1980s.</p><p>Rate-sensitive industries like housing and finance, as well as technology companies, including Twitter, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> and Facebook parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a> have slashed jobs, yet airlines, hotels, restaurants and bars are desperate for workers as the leisure and hospitality industries continue to recover from the pandemic.</p><p>Labor market resilience has underpinned the economy by sustaining consumer spending, but could prompt the Fed to lift its target interest rate above the 5.1% peak the U.S. central bank projected last month and keep it there for a while.</p><p>&#34;All indications are that the labor market remains strong,&#34; said Sung Won Sohn, a finance and economics professor at</p><p>Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles. &#34;Leisure and hospitality employers are not able to get anybody even after wages have been going up. That pattern has and will continue for a while, so that&#39;s where the rubber hits the road.&#34;</p><p>The survey of business establishments is likely to show that nonfarm payrolls increased by 200,000 jobs last month after rising 263,000 in November, according to a Reuters poll of economists. That would be the smallest gain in two years.</p><p>However, job growth would far exceed the pace needed to keep up with growth in the working-age population, comfortably in the 150,000-300,000 range that economists associate with tight labor markets.</p><p>Estimates ranged from as low as 130,000 to as high as the 350,000 predicted by TD Securities.</p><p>Data from payroll scheduling and tracking company Homebase showed employers held on to workers in December, which suggested a smaller-than-normal drop in not seasonally adjusted (NSA) terms.</p><h3>SEASONAL BOOST</h3><p>&#34;This means that the seasonal factor, which should be adjusting over a plus 200,000 NSA decline, would be adding over a stronger than expected figure,&#34; said TD Securities macro strategist Oscar Munoz. &#34;The seasonal adjustment has added around 430,000 jobs, on average, over the last five Decembers.&#34;</p><p>An ongoing strike by 36,000 teachers in California is seen depressing government payrolls. The government will revise the seasonally adjusted data for the household survey, from which the unemployment rate is derived, for the last five years.</p><p>Household employment decreased in October and November, leading some economists to speculate that overall job growth was overstated. Some Fed officials have also latched on to the divergence between the two measures.</p><p>Yet the household survey tends to be volatile and most economists expect household employment would be revised toward nonfarm payrolls.</p><p>&#34;Whenever trends in household employment have diverged from payroll employment, corrections have tended to come through household employment correcting towards now-stronger payrolls,&#34; said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York. &#34;We would not be surprised to see an even larger rebound in household employment in December or over the coming months.&#34;</p><p>Little impact is seen on the unemployment rate from the revision to the household data. Average hourly earnings are expected to have risen by 0.4% after surging 0.6% in November. That would lower the year-on-year increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.1% in November.</p><p>Strong wage growth is likely to persist in January as several states raise their minimum wage and most workers across the country get cost of living adjustments. There were 10.458 million job openings at the end of November, which translated to 1.74 jobs for every unemployed person.</p><p>But the trend in employment growth could slow significantly by mid-year. The Fed last year raised its policy rate by 425 basis points from near zero to a 4.25%-4.50% range, the highest since late 2007. Last month, it projected at least an additional 75 basis points of hikes in borrowing costs by the end of 2023.</p><p>Confidence among chief executive officers is at its lowest level since the Great Recession, according to a recent survey from the Conference Board.</p><p>&#34;If they think demand is weakening and revenues are going to slow, they&#39;re probably going to feel pressure to cut costs to maintain profitability,&#34; said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. &#34;That does suggest that the pace of employment growth is likely to slow quite quickly through this year, and we could in fact, start to see some job losses in the middle of the year.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strong U.S. Jobs, Wages Growth Expected in December</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrong U.S. Jobs, Wages Growth Expected in December\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-06 13:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Nonfarm payrolls forecast increasing 200,000 in December</li><li>Unemployment rate seen unchanged at 3.7%</li><li>Average hourly earnings forecast gaining 0.4%; up 5.0% y/y</li></ul><p>(Reuters) - The U.S. economy likely maintained a solid pace of job and wage growth in December, but rising borrowing costs as the Federal Reserve fights inflation could slow labor market momentum significantly by mid-year.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s closely watched employment report on Friday is also expected to show the unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7% last month. The labor market has remained strong since the Fed embarked last March on its fastest interest rate-hiking since the 1980s.</p><p>Rate-sensitive industries like housing and finance, as well as technology companies, including Twitter, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> and Facebook parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a> have slashed jobs, yet airlines, hotels, restaurants and bars are desperate for workers as the leisure and hospitality industries continue to recover from the pandemic.</p><p>Labor market resilience has underpinned the economy by sustaining consumer spending, but could prompt the Fed to lift its target interest rate above the 5.1% peak the U.S. central bank projected last month and keep it there for a while.</p><p>&#34;All indications are that the labor market remains strong,&#34; said Sung Won Sohn, a finance and economics professor at</p><p>Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles. &#34;Leisure and hospitality employers are not able to get anybody even after wages have been going up. That pattern has and will continue for a while, so that&#39;s where the rubber hits the road.&#34;</p><p>The survey of business establishments is likely to show that nonfarm payrolls increased by 200,000 jobs last month after rising 263,000 in November, according to a Reuters poll of economists. That would be the smallest gain in two years.</p><p>However, job growth would far exceed the pace needed to keep up with growth in the working-age population, comfortably in the 150,000-300,000 range that economists associate with tight labor markets.</p><p>Estimates ranged from as low as 130,000 to as high as the 350,000 predicted by TD Securities.</p><p>Data from payroll scheduling and tracking company Homebase showed employers held on to workers in December, which suggested a smaller-than-normal drop in not seasonally adjusted (NSA) terms.</p><h3>SEASONAL BOOST</h3><p>&#34;This means that the seasonal factor, which should be adjusting over a plus 200,000 NSA decline, would be adding over a stronger than expected figure,&#34; said TD Securities macro strategist Oscar Munoz. &#34;The seasonal adjustment has added around 430,000 jobs, on average, over the last five Decembers.&#34;</p><p>An ongoing strike by 36,000 teachers in California is seen depressing government payrolls. The government will revise the seasonally adjusted data for the household survey, from which the unemployment rate is derived, for the last five years.</p><p>Household employment decreased in October and November, leading some economists to speculate that overall job growth was overstated. Some Fed officials have also latched on to the divergence between the two measures.</p><p>Yet the household survey tends to be volatile and most economists expect household employment would be revised toward nonfarm payrolls.</p><p>&#34;Whenever trends in household employment have diverged from payroll employment, corrections have tended to come through household employment correcting towards now-stronger payrolls,&#34; said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York. &#34;We would not be surprised to see an even larger rebound in household employment in December or over the coming months.&#34;</p><p>Little impact is seen on the unemployment rate from the revision to the household data. Average hourly earnings are expected to have risen by 0.4% after surging 0.6% in November. That would lower the year-on-year increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.1% in November.</p><p>Strong wage growth is likely to persist in January as several states raise their minimum wage and most workers across the country get cost of living adjustments. There were 10.458 million job openings at the end of November, which translated to 1.74 jobs for every unemployed person.</p><p>But the trend in employment growth could slow significantly by mid-year. The Fed last year raised its policy rate by 425 basis points from near zero to a 4.25%-4.50% range, the highest since late 2007. Last month, it projected at least an additional 75 basis points of hikes in borrowing costs by the end of 2023.</p><p>Confidence among chief executive officers is at its lowest level since the Great Recession, according to a recent survey from the Conference Board.</p><p>&#34;If they think demand is weakening and revenues are going to slow, they&#39;re probably going to feel pressure to cut costs to maintain profitability,&#34; said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. &#34;That does suggest that the pace of employment growth is likely to slow quite quickly through this year, and we could in fact, start to see some job losses in the middle of the year.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135759994","content_text":"SummaryNonfarm payrolls forecast increasing 200,000 in DecemberUnemployment rate seen unchanged at 3.7%Average hourly earnings forecast gaining 0.4%; up 5.0% y/y(Reuters) - The U.S. economy likely maintained a solid pace of job and wage growth in December, but rising borrowing costs as the Federal Reserve fights inflation could slow labor market momentum significantly by mid-year.The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday is also expected to show the unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7% last month. The labor market has remained strong since the Fed embarked last March on its fastest interest rate-hiking since the 1980s.Rate-sensitive industries like housing and finance, as well as technology companies, including Twitter, Amazon and Facebook parent Meta have slashed jobs, yet airlines, hotels, restaurants and bars are desperate for workers as the leisure and hospitality industries continue to recover from the pandemic.Labor market resilience has underpinned the economy by sustaining consumer spending, but could prompt the Fed to lift its target interest rate above the 5.1% peak the U.S. central bank projected last month and keep it there for a while.\"All indications are that the labor market remains strong,\" said Sung Won Sohn, a finance and economics professor atLoyola Marymount University in Los Angeles. \"Leisure and hospitality employers are not able to get anybody even after wages have been going up. That pattern has and will continue for a while, so that's where the rubber hits the road.\"The survey of business establishments is likely to show that nonfarm payrolls increased by 200,000 jobs last month after rising 263,000 in November, according to a Reuters poll of economists. That would be the smallest gain in two years.However, job growth would far exceed the pace needed to keep up with growth in the working-age population, comfortably in the 150,000-300,000 range that economists associate with tight labor markets.Estimates ranged from as low as 130,000 to as high as the 350,000 predicted by TD Securities.Data from payroll scheduling and tracking company Homebase showed employers held on to workers in December, which suggested a smaller-than-normal drop in not seasonally adjusted (NSA) terms.SEASONAL BOOST\"This means that the seasonal factor, which should be adjusting over a plus 200,000 NSA decline, would be adding over a stronger than expected figure,\" said TD Securities macro strategist Oscar Munoz. \"The seasonal adjustment has added around 430,000 jobs, on average, over the last five Decembers.\"An ongoing strike by 36,000 teachers in California is seen depressing government payrolls. The government will revise the seasonally adjusted data for the household survey, from which the unemployment rate is derived, for the last five years.Household employment decreased in October and November, leading some economists to speculate that overall job growth was overstated. Some Fed officials have also latched on to the divergence between the two measures.Yet the household survey tends to be volatile and most economists expect household employment would be revised toward nonfarm payrolls.\"Whenever trends in household employment have diverged from payroll employment, corrections have tended to come through household employment correcting towards now-stronger payrolls,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York. \"We would not be surprised to see an even larger rebound in household employment in December or over the coming months.\"Little impact is seen on the unemployment rate from the revision to the household data. Average hourly earnings are expected to have risen by 0.4% after surging 0.6% in November. That would lower the year-on-year increase in wages to 5.0% from 5.1% in November.Strong wage growth is likely to persist in January as several states raise their minimum wage and most workers across the country get cost of living adjustments. There were 10.458 million job openings at the end of November, which translated to 1.74 jobs for every unemployed person.But the trend in employment growth could slow significantly by mid-year. The Fed last year raised its policy rate by 425 basis points from near zero to a 4.25%-4.50% range, the highest since late 2007. 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