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2022-10-28

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2022-06-22

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2022-02-22

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Moderna, Alibaba, Coinbase, Home Depot, Etsy, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week

2022-02-20

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Will Fed rate hikes crush the stock market? Here's why speed matters

2021-07-02

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07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna, Alibaba, Coinbase, Home Depot, Etsy, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132983285","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning seas","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning season resumes when Wall Street returns, with results from Agilent Technologies, Home Depot, and Medtronic on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Booking Holdings, eBay, Lowe’s, Stellantis, and TJX report.</p><p>Thursday will be particularly busy: Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum will be among the highlights. Finally, EOG Resources and Liberty Media close the week on Friday.</p><p>The economic data highlights of the week will include IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for February––all on Tuesday. The surveys are each expected to come in flat to down versus January.</p><p>The Census Bureau will also report January durable-goods orders on Friday, which are often seen as a proxy for business investment. Finally, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending for January on Friday. American consumers are expected to have spent more and earned slightly less compared with the prior month.</p><h2>Monday 2/21</h2><p>Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Presidents Day.</p><h2>Tuesday 2/22</h2><p>Agilent Technologies, Cadence Design Systems, CenterPoint Energy, Home Depot, Medtronic, Palo Alto Networks, Public Storage, and Realty Income release earnings.</p><p>IHS Markit releases its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February. Consensus estimates are for a 56 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 52.2 for the Services PMI. This compares with 55.5 and 51.2, respectively, in January. The January Services PMI was the lowest reading since July 2020.</p><p>The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for February. Economists forecast a 110.8 reading, roughly three points less than the January data.</p><h2>Wednesday 2/23</h2><p>Booking Holdings, Coterra Energy, eBay, Lowe’s, Molson Coors Beverage, Stellantis, and TJX Cos. report quarterly results.</p><p>The General Assembly of the United Nations holds a meeting to debate the ongoing tensions in Ukraine.</p><p>Cummins holds its 2022 analyst day.</p><h2>Thursday 2/24</h2><p>The BEA reports its second estimate of fourth-quarter 2021 gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 5.9% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, one percentage less than the advance estimate of 6.9%.</p><p>Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, American Electric Power, Autodesk, Block, CBRE Group, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Intuit, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, NRG Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Public Service Enterprise Group, Royal Bank of Canada, and VMware release earnings.</p><p>The Census Bureau reports new-home sales for January. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 792,000 new single-family houses sold, 19,000 fewer than in December.</p><h2>Friday 2/25</h2><p>Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, EOG Resources, Liberty Media, and Sempra Energy hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p>The Census Bureau releases the January durable-goods report. Consensus estimate is for new orders for manufactured durable goods to rise 1% month over month to $270.3 billion.</p><p>The National Association of Realtors releases its Pending Home Sales index for January. In December, pending home sales fell 3.8%, the second consecutive month of declines. Rising mortgage rates and record-high home prices have taken some of the wind out of the housing market.</p><p>The BEA reports personal income and spending for January. Income is expected to decline 0.3% month over month, while expenditures are seen rising 1.4%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna, Alibaba, Coinbase, Home Depot, Etsy, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna, Alibaba, Coinbase, Home Depot, Etsy, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-22 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-moderna-alibaba-coinbase-51645240255><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning season resumes when Wall Street returns, with results from Agilent Technologies, Home Depot, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-moderna-alibaba-coinbase-51645240255\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","BABA":"阿里巴巴","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","HD":"家得宝","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-moderna-alibaba-coinbase-51645240255","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132983285","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning season resumes when Wall Street returns, with results from Agilent Technologies, Home Depot, and Medtronic on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Booking Holdings, eBay, Lowe’s, Stellantis, and TJX report.Thursday will be particularly busy: Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, and Occidental Petroleum will be among the highlights. Finally, EOG Resources and Liberty Media close the week on Friday.The economic data highlights of the week will include IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for February––all on Tuesday. The surveys are each expected to come in flat to down versus January.The Census Bureau will also report January durable-goods orders on Friday, which are often seen as a proxy for business investment. Finally, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending for January on Friday. American consumers are expected to have spent more and earned slightly less compared with the prior month.Monday 2/21Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Presidents Day.Tuesday 2/22Agilent Technologies, Cadence Design Systems, CenterPoint Energy, Home Depot, Medtronic, Palo Alto Networks, Public Storage, and Realty Income release earnings.IHS Markit releases its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February. Consensus estimates are for a 56 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 52.2 for the Services PMI. This compares with 55.5 and 51.2, respectively, in January. The January Services PMI was the lowest reading since July 2020.The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for February. Economists forecast a 110.8 reading, roughly three points less than the January data.Wednesday 2/23Booking Holdings, Coterra Energy, eBay, Lowe’s, Molson Coors Beverage, Stellantis, and TJX Cos. report quarterly results.The General Assembly of the United Nations holds a meeting to debate the ongoing tensions in Ukraine.Cummins holds its 2022 analyst day.Thursday 2/24The BEA reports its second estimate of fourth-quarter 2021 gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 5.9% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, one percentage less than the advance estimate of 6.9%.Alibaba Group Holding, Anheuser-Busch InBev, American Electric Power, Autodesk, Block, CBRE Group, Coinbase Global, Dell Technologies, Etsy, Intuit, Moderna, Newmont, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, NRG Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Public Service Enterprise Group, Royal Bank of Canada, and VMware release earnings.The Census Bureau reports new-home sales for January. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 792,000 new single-family houses sold, 19,000 fewer than in December.Friday 2/25Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, EOG Resources, Liberty Media, and Sempra Energy hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Census Bureau releases the January durable-goods report. Consensus estimate is for new orders for manufactured durable goods to rise 1% month over month to $270.3 billion.The National Association of Realtors releases its Pending Home Sales index for January. In December, pending home sales fell 3.8%, the second consecutive month of declines. Rising mortgage rates and record-high home prices have taken some of the wind out of the housing market.The BEA reports personal income and spending for January. Income is expected to decline 0.3% month over month, while expenditures are seen rising 1.4%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HD":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"ETSY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097967196,"gmtCreate":1645319313000,"gmtModify":1676534017777,"author":{"id":"4088082204944440","authorId":"4088082204944440","name":"Sean79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fffee721868b6b91994dbb33ce01b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088082204944440","idStr":"4088082204944440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097967196","repostId":"2212671091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2212671091","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1645319101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2212671091?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-20 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Fed rate hikes crush the stock market? Here's why speed matters","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2212671091","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognostic","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognosticators have been quick to reassure investors that history shows stocks tend to do just fine as policy makers embark on a monetary policy tightening cycle.</p><p>But like most things related to markets, there&#39;s more to the story.</p><p>It turns out that when the Fed moves fast to hike rates, as it has signaled it&#39;s prepared to do in a scramble to rein in U.S. inflation running at its hottest since the early 1980s, the stock market&#39;s short-term performance hasn&#39;t been quite as stellar, said Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis Research.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s intuitive that the Fed&#39;s job when they start to raise rates is to take the punch bowl away before the party gets going too much,&#34; he said, in a Thursday interview. So it shouldn&#39;t be a surprise that &#34;the quicker they&#39;ve been, the more markets have taken note.&#34;</p><p>Clissold and Thanh Nguyen, NDR&#39;s senior quantitative analyst, detailed the difference between market performance in &#34;fast&#34; versus &#34;slow&#34; cycles in a Feb. 9 note. They found that in the year following the initial rate increase, the S&amp;P 500  rose an average 10.5% in slow cycles versus an average fall of 2.7% in fast cycles (see chart below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b209a13e185df7837bbe56e3518647ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"558\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Ned Davis Research</span></p><p>The median gain during the first year of a slow cycle was 13.4% versus 2.4% for fast cycles. The median maximum drawdown in slow cycles was 11%, compared with 12.1% for fast cycles.</p><p>Overall, the &#34;return and drawdown statistics of a fast cycle are consistent with choppy conditions, but not necessarily a major bear market,&#34; Clissold and Nguyen wrote.</p><p>So how fast is fast? It&#39;s a bit subjective, Clissold told MarketWatch, but past cycles have shaken out relatively clearly between the two categories. NDR expects four or more rate increases over the Fed&#39;s seven remaining policy meetings in 2022 alongside the start of a reduction in the size of the central bank&#39;s balance sheet -- a pace that would put the cycle clearly in the &#34;fast&#34; category.</p><p>Some Fed watchers see a faster pace than that, and fed-funds futures traders have increasingly priced in the prospect of policy makers kicking off the cycle with a half-point rate increase rather than the typical quarter-point, or 25 basis point, move.</p><p>The market&#39;s pricing of an aggressive rate-hike scenario appears reasonable given the inflation picture, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments.</p><p>That said, it&#39;s worth remembering that both the market and the Fed itself, via the central bank&#39;s so-called dot-plot forecast for benchmark interest rates, have been relatively poor at predicting the actual rate outcome, she noted, in a phone interview.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a criticism, she said. Rather it merely reflects just how difficult it is to make accurate rate predictions. New York Life Investments, for its part, looks for four quarter-point rate increases in 2022, possibly frontloaded.</p><p>The point, she said, is that there has already been substantial volatility around rate expectations and, moreover, that&#39;s likely to continue as data comes in. That could make for more volatility in the rates market and the yield curve, which has flattened significantly since the beginning of the year as rates at the short end have risen sharply in anticipation of Fed tightening while longer-dated yields have risen less sharply.</p><p>The yield curve is viewed as an important indicator in itself. An inversion of the curve, particularly when the 2-year or shorter-dated yields rise above the 10-year yield, has been a reliable recession indicator.</p><p>That hasn&#39;t happened yet, but the rapid flattening of the curve may reflect fears aggressive Fed tightening could throw the economy into recession, some analysts say. Others offer a more benign interpretation, with the flattening reflecting expectations a quick response by the Fed will help wrestle down inflation without requiring rates to rise to eye-watering levels.</p><p>On the surface, the latter scenario would seem to favor stocks of companies tied to the economic cycle, particularly those that are able to pass on rising costs and navigate rising capital costs, Goodwin said. In asset class terms, that would tend to favor value stocks over growth stocks, she said.</p><p>But it&#39;s not that simple. &#34;It really depends on the company and that their capital structure and competitiveness in this type of environment,&#34; she said, noting that some technology stocks have fared very well in an environment that seems to no longer favor growth, while others have suffered.</p><p>That makes for a more &#34;company by company&#34; picture that favors active managers, Goodwin said.</p><p>It&#39;s all part of a &#34;midcycle&#34; environment. Economic growth remains healthy, which is constructive for stocks, but growth is only likely to slow from here, she said, and that makes &#34;earnings and earnings quality particularly important.&#34;</p><p>That will change when there are clearer signs the economy is simply decelerating, which is when more broad level asset class considerations play a bigger role in determining outcomes for investors, she said.</p><p>U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. Meanwhile, investors, like Fed officials, will remain glued to inflation data, while keeping watch on developments around Ukraine as U.S. officials warn of the threat of a Russian invasion.</p><p>Ukraine-related jitters were blamed in part for the stock market&#39;s stumble over the past week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  falling 1.9%, while the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.6% and the Nasdaq Composite  lost 1.2%.</p><p>Friday will bring the Fed&#39;s favored reading on price pressures with the release of the January personal consumption and expenditures, or PCE, inflation reading. The University of Michigan&#39;s final February take on five-year consumer inflation expectations is also due Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Fed rate hikes crush the stock market? Here's why speed matters</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Fed rate hikes crush the stock market? Here's why speed matters\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-20 09:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-fed-rate-hikes-crush-the-stock-market-heres-why-speed-matters-11645270790?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognosticators have been quick to reassure investors that history shows stocks tend to do just fine as policy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-fed-rate-hikes-crush-the-stock-market-heres-why-speed-matters-11645270790?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-fed-rate-hikes-crush-the-stock-market-heres-why-speed-matters-11645270790?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2212671091","content_text":"With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognosticators have been quick to reassure investors that history shows stocks tend to do just fine as policy makers embark on a monetary policy tightening cycle.But like most things related to markets, there's more to the story.It turns out that when the Fed moves fast to hike rates, as it has signaled it's prepared to do in a scramble to rein in U.S. inflation running at its hottest since the early 1980s, the stock market's short-term performance hasn't been quite as stellar, said Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis Research.\"It's intuitive that the Fed's job when they start to raise rates is to take the punch bowl away before the party gets going too much,\" he said, in a Thursday interview. So it shouldn't be a surprise that \"the quicker they've been, the more markets have taken note.\"Clissold and Thanh Nguyen, NDR's senior quantitative analyst, detailed the difference between market performance in \"fast\" versus \"slow\" cycles in a Feb. 9 note. They found that in the year following the initial rate increase, the S&P 500  rose an average 10.5% in slow cycles versus an average fall of 2.7% in fast cycles (see chart below).Ned Davis ResearchThe median gain during the first year of a slow cycle was 13.4% versus 2.4% for fast cycles. The median maximum drawdown in slow cycles was 11%, compared with 12.1% for fast cycles.Overall, the \"return and drawdown statistics of a fast cycle are consistent with choppy conditions, but not necessarily a major bear market,\" Clissold and Nguyen wrote.So how fast is fast? It's a bit subjective, Clissold told MarketWatch, but past cycles have shaken out relatively clearly between the two categories. NDR expects four or more rate increases over the Fed's seven remaining policy meetings in 2022 alongside the start of a reduction in the size of the central bank's balance sheet -- a pace that would put the cycle clearly in the \"fast\" category.Some Fed watchers see a faster pace than that, and fed-funds futures traders have increasingly priced in the prospect of policy makers kicking off the cycle with a half-point rate increase rather than the typical quarter-point, or 25 basis point, move.The market's pricing of an aggressive rate-hike scenario appears reasonable given the inflation picture, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments.That said, it's worth remembering that both the market and the Fed itself, via the central bank's so-called dot-plot forecast for benchmark interest rates, have been relatively poor at predicting the actual rate outcome, she noted, in a phone interview.That isn't a criticism, she said. Rather it merely reflects just how difficult it is to make accurate rate predictions. New York Life Investments, for its part, looks for four quarter-point rate increases in 2022, possibly frontloaded.The point, she said, is that there has already been substantial volatility around rate expectations and, moreover, that's likely to continue as data comes in. That could make for more volatility in the rates market and the yield curve, which has flattened significantly since the beginning of the year as rates at the short end have risen sharply in anticipation of Fed tightening while longer-dated yields have risen less sharply.The yield curve is viewed as an important indicator in itself. An inversion of the curve, particularly when the 2-year or shorter-dated yields rise above the 10-year yield, has been a reliable recession indicator.That hasn't happened yet, but the rapid flattening of the curve may reflect fears aggressive Fed tightening could throw the economy into recession, some analysts say. Others offer a more benign interpretation, with the flattening reflecting expectations a quick response by the Fed will help wrestle down inflation without requiring rates to rise to eye-watering levels.On the surface, the latter scenario would seem to favor stocks of companies tied to the economic cycle, particularly those that are able to pass on rising costs and navigate rising capital costs, Goodwin said. In asset class terms, that would tend to favor value stocks over growth stocks, she said.But it's not that simple. \"It really depends on the company and that their capital structure and competitiveness in this type of environment,\" she said, noting that some technology stocks have fared very well in an environment that seems to no longer favor growth, while others have suffered.That makes for a more \"company by company\" picture that favors active managers, Goodwin said.It's all part of a \"midcycle\" environment. Economic growth remains healthy, which is constructive for stocks, but growth is only likely to slow from here, she said, and that makes \"earnings and earnings quality particularly important.\"That will change when there are clearer signs the economy is simply decelerating, which is when more broad level asset class considerations play a bigger role in determining outcomes for investors, she said.U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. Meanwhile, investors, like Fed officials, will remain glued to inflation data, while keeping watch on developments around Ukraine as U.S. officials warn of the threat of a Russian invasion.Ukraine-related jitters were blamed in part for the stock market's stumble over the past week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  falling 1.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.6% and the Nasdaq Composite  lost 1.2%.Friday will bring the Fed's favored reading on price pressures with the release of the January personal consumption and expenditures, or PCE, inflation reading. The University of Michigan's final February take on five-year consumer inflation expectations is also due Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.76}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156376723,"gmtCreate":1625199350862,"gmtModify":1703738210190,"author":{"id":"4088082204944440","authorId":"4088082204944440","name":"Sean79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fffee721868b6b91994dbb33ce01b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088082204944440","idStr":"4088082204944440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"...","listText":"...","text":"...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156376723","repostId":"1133090424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151981660,"gmtCreate":1625061745050,"gmtModify":1703735150544,"author":{"id":"4088082204944440","authorId":"4088082204944440","name":"Sean79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fffee721868b6b91994dbb33ce01b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088082204944440","idStr":"4088082204944440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151981660","repostId":"1102107523","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151914109,"gmtCreate":1625061611501,"gmtModify":1703735143046,"author":{"id":"4088082204944440","authorId":"4088082204944440","name":"Sean79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fffee721868b6b91994dbb33ce01b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088082204944440","idStr":"4088082204944440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; .","listText":"&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; .","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151914109","repostId":"2147139718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9097506390,"gmtCreate":1645491727733,"gmtModify":1676534032475,"author":{"id":"4088082204944440","authorId":"4088082204944440","name":"Sean79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fffee721868b6b91994dbb33ce01b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088082204944440","idStr":"4088082204944440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097506390","repostId":"1132983285","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097967196,"gmtCreate":1645319313000,"gmtModify":1676534017777,"author":{"id":"4088082204944440","authorId":"4088082204944440","name":"Sean79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71fffee721868b6b91994dbb33ce01b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088082204944440","idStr":"4088082204944440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097967196","repostId":"2212671091","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2212671091","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1645319101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2212671091?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-20 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Fed rate hikes crush the stock market? Here's why speed matters","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2212671091","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognostic","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognosticators have been quick to reassure investors that history shows stocks tend to do just fine as policy makers embark on a monetary policy tightening cycle.</p><p>But like most things related to markets, there&#39;s more to the story.</p><p>It turns out that when the Fed moves fast to hike rates, as it has signaled it&#39;s prepared to do in a scramble to rein in U.S. inflation running at its hottest since the early 1980s, the stock market&#39;s short-term performance hasn&#39;t been quite as stellar, said Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis Research.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s intuitive that the Fed&#39;s job when they start to raise rates is to take the punch bowl away before the party gets going too much,&#34; he said, in a Thursday interview. So it shouldn&#39;t be a surprise that &#34;the quicker they&#39;ve been, the more markets have taken note.&#34;</p><p>Clissold and Thanh Nguyen, NDR&#39;s senior quantitative analyst, detailed the difference between market performance in &#34;fast&#34; versus &#34;slow&#34; cycles in a Feb. 9 note. They found that in the year following the initial rate increase, the S&amp;P 500  rose an average 10.5% in slow cycles versus an average fall of 2.7% in fast cycles (see chart below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b209a13e185df7837bbe56e3518647ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"558\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Ned Davis Research</span></p><p>The median gain during the first year of a slow cycle was 13.4% versus 2.4% for fast cycles. The median maximum drawdown in slow cycles was 11%, compared with 12.1% for fast cycles.</p><p>Overall, the &#34;return and drawdown statistics of a fast cycle are consistent with choppy conditions, but not necessarily a major bear market,&#34; Clissold and Nguyen wrote.</p><p>So how fast is fast? It&#39;s a bit subjective, Clissold told MarketWatch, but past cycles have shaken out relatively clearly between the two categories. NDR expects four or more rate increases over the Fed&#39;s seven remaining policy meetings in 2022 alongside the start of a reduction in the size of the central bank&#39;s balance sheet -- a pace that would put the cycle clearly in the &#34;fast&#34; category.</p><p>Some Fed watchers see a faster pace than that, and fed-funds futures traders have increasingly priced in the prospect of policy makers kicking off the cycle with a half-point rate increase rather than the typical quarter-point, or 25 basis point, move.</p><p>The market&#39;s pricing of an aggressive rate-hike scenario appears reasonable given the inflation picture, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments.</p><p>That said, it&#39;s worth remembering that both the market and the Fed itself, via the central bank&#39;s so-called dot-plot forecast for benchmark interest rates, have been relatively poor at predicting the actual rate outcome, she noted, in a phone interview.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a criticism, she said. Rather it merely reflects just how difficult it is to make accurate rate predictions. New York Life Investments, for its part, looks for four quarter-point rate increases in 2022, possibly frontloaded.</p><p>The point, she said, is that there has already been substantial volatility around rate expectations and, moreover, that&#39;s likely to continue as data comes in. That could make for more volatility in the rates market and the yield curve, which has flattened significantly since the beginning of the year as rates at the short end have risen sharply in anticipation of Fed tightening while longer-dated yields have risen less sharply.</p><p>The yield curve is viewed as an important indicator in itself. An inversion of the curve, particularly when the 2-year or shorter-dated yields rise above the 10-year yield, has been a reliable recession indicator.</p><p>That hasn&#39;t happened yet, but the rapid flattening of the curve may reflect fears aggressive Fed tightening could throw the economy into recession, some analysts say. Others offer a more benign interpretation, with the flattening reflecting expectations a quick response by the Fed will help wrestle down inflation without requiring rates to rise to eye-watering levels.</p><p>On the surface, the latter scenario would seem to favor stocks of companies tied to the economic cycle, particularly those that are able to pass on rising costs and navigate rising capital costs, Goodwin said. In asset class terms, that would tend to favor value stocks over growth stocks, she said.</p><p>But it&#39;s not that simple. &#34;It really depends on the company and that their capital structure and competitiveness in this type of environment,&#34; she said, noting that some technology stocks have fared very well in an environment that seems to no longer favor growth, while others have suffered.</p><p>That makes for a more &#34;company by company&#34; picture that favors active managers, Goodwin said.</p><p>It&#39;s all part of a &#34;midcycle&#34; environment. Economic growth remains healthy, which is constructive for stocks, but growth is only likely to slow from here, she said, and that makes &#34;earnings and earnings quality particularly important.&#34;</p><p>That will change when there are clearer signs the economy is simply decelerating, which is when more broad level asset class considerations play a bigger role in determining outcomes for investors, she said.</p><p>U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. Meanwhile, investors, like Fed officials, will remain glued to inflation data, while keeping watch on developments around Ukraine as U.S. officials warn of the threat of a Russian invasion.</p><p>Ukraine-related jitters were blamed in part for the stock market&#39;s stumble over the past week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  falling 1.9%, while the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.6% and the Nasdaq Composite  lost 1.2%.</p><p>Friday will bring the Fed&#39;s favored reading on price pressures with the release of the January personal consumption and expenditures, or PCE, inflation reading. The University of Michigan&#39;s final February take on five-year consumer inflation expectations is also due Friday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Fed rate hikes crush the stock market? Here's why speed matters</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Fed rate hikes crush the stock market? Here's why speed matters\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-20 09:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-fed-rate-hikes-crush-the-stock-market-heres-why-speed-matters-11645270790?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognosticators have been quick to reassure investors that history shows stocks tend to do just fine as policy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-fed-rate-hikes-crush-the-stock-market-heres-why-speed-matters-11645270790?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-fed-rate-hikes-crush-the-stock-market-heres-why-speed-matters-11645270790?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2212671091","content_text":"With the Federal Reserve all but certain to begin raising interest rates in March, market prognosticators have been quick to reassure investors that history shows stocks tend to do just fine as policy makers embark on a monetary policy tightening cycle.But like most things related to markets, there's more to the story.It turns out that when the Fed moves fast to hike rates, as it has signaled it's prepared to do in a scramble to rein in U.S. inflation running at its hottest since the early 1980s, the stock market's short-term performance hasn't been quite as stellar, said Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis Research.\"It's intuitive that the Fed's job when they start to raise rates is to take the punch bowl away before the party gets going too much,\" he said, in a Thursday interview. So it shouldn't be a surprise that \"the quicker they've been, the more markets have taken note.\"Clissold and Thanh Nguyen, NDR's senior quantitative analyst, detailed the difference between market performance in \"fast\" versus \"slow\" cycles in a Feb. 9 note. They found that in the year following the initial rate increase, the S&P 500  rose an average 10.5% in slow cycles versus an average fall of 2.7% in fast cycles (see chart below).Ned Davis ResearchThe median gain during the first year of a slow cycle was 13.4% versus 2.4% for fast cycles. The median maximum drawdown in slow cycles was 11%, compared with 12.1% for fast cycles.Overall, the \"return and drawdown statistics of a fast cycle are consistent with choppy conditions, but not necessarily a major bear market,\" Clissold and Nguyen wrote.So how fast is fast? It's a bit subjective, Clissold told MarketWatch, but past cycles have shaken out relatively clearly between the two categories. NDR expects four or more rate increases over the Fed's seven remaining policy meetings in 2022 alongside the start of a reduction in the size of the central bank's balance sheet -- a pace that would put the cycle clearly in the \"fast\" category.Some Fed watchers see a faster pace than that, and fed-funds futures traders have increasingly priced in the prospect of policy makers kicking off the cycle with a half-point rate increase rather than the typical quarter-point, or 25 basis point, move.The market's pricing of an aggressive rate-hike scenario appears reasonable given the inflation picture, said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments.That said, it's worth remembering that both the market and the Fed itself, via the central bank's so-called dot-plot forecast for benchmark interest rates, have been relatively poor at predicting the actual rate outcome, she noted, in a phone interview.That isn't a criticism, she said. Rather it merely reflects just how difficult it is to make accurate rate predictions. New York Life Investments, for its part, looks for four quarter-point rate increases in 2022, possibly frontloaded.The point, she said, is that there has already been substantial volatility around rate expectations and, moreover, that's likely to continue as data comes in. That could make for more volatility in the rates market and the yield curve, which has flattened significantly since the beginning of the year as rates at the short end have risen sharply in anticipation of Fed tightening while longer-dated yields have risen less sharply.The yield curve is viewed as an important indicator in itself. An inversion of the curve, particularly when the 2-year or shorter-dated yields rise above the 10-year yield, has been a reliable recession indicator.That hasn't happened yet, but the rapid flattening of the curve may reflect fears aggressive Fed tightening could throw the economy into recession, some analysts say. Others offer a more benign interpretation, with the flattening reflecting expectations a quick response by the Fed will help wrestle down inflation without requiring rates to rise to eye-watering levels.On the surface, the latter scenario would seem to favor stocks of companies tied to the economic cycle, particularly those that are able to pass on rising costs and navigate rising capital costs, Goodwin said. In asset class terms, that would tend to favor value stocks over growth stocks, she said.But it's not that simple. \"It really depends on the company and that their capital structure and competitiveness in this type of environment,\" she said, noting that some technology stocks have fared very well in an environment that seems to no longer favor growth, while others have suffered.That makes for a more \"company by company\" picture that favors active managers, Goodwin said.It's all part of a \"midcycle\" environment. Economic growth remains healthy, which is constructive for stocks, but growth is only likely to slow from here, she said, and that makes \"earnings and earnings quality particularly important.\"That will change when there are clearer signs the economy is simply decelerating, which is when more broad level asset class considerations play a bigger role in determining outcomes for investors, she said.U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. Meanwhile, investors, like Fed officials, will remain glued to inflation data, while keeping watch on developments around Ukraine as U.S. officials warn of the threat of a Russian invasion.Ukraine-related jitters were blamed in part for the stock market's stumble over the past week, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  falling 1.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.6% and the Nasdaq Composite  lost 1.2%.Friday will bring the Fed's favored reading on price pressures with the release of the January personal consumption and expenditures, or PCE, inflation reading. The University of Michigan's final February take on five-year consumer inflation expectations is also due 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