ace2000 personal page - To The Moon

ace2000

ace2000

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03-25

$TCH.HK 20250627 400.00 CALL$ for coins

03-19

$PING AN(02318)$

03-12

$TCH.HK 20250627 400.00 CALL$ for coin

03-06

$TCH.HK 20250627 400.00 CALL$ for my rewards

2024-07-04

Test

@TigerEvents:[10th Anniv] Discover exciting features & win a US$1,010 reward!

2024-01-09

Valid post...how many more day before this end

2024-01-08

This is a valid post...

2024-01-07

Valid post.... It is

2024-01-06

This is a valid post?

2024-01-05

Another valid post... This is

2024-01-04

2024-01-03

This is a valid comment

2024-01-02

This is 3nd8ng soon?

2024-01-01

Hosjhduskwj didhdjjd dudjddjdid dkdhdjd

2023-12-31

Jump over the lazy dog

2023-12-29

This is too much work...

2023-12-29

This is fun... Really

2023-12-28

Re posting

@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅

2023-12-28

This is confusing.... When will it end?

2023-12-21

Join Tiger with me

Find out more about me s8dush here:Join Tiger with me Open your account and make your first deposit to unlock free rewards!

Join Tiger with me

Go to Tiger App to see more news

Invest in Global Markets with Tiger Brokers!

Open App

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Not only can you explore our unique tech-driven features, but you also stand a chance to win incredible rewards. Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to dive","listText":"🎉 Unlock Your Path to $1,010 voucher with Our Winning Guide! 🎉Our exclusive anniversary event is now LIVE, and we want YOU to join in the fun! Not only can you explore our unique tech-driven features, but you also stand a chance to win incredible rewards. Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to dive","text":"🎉 Unlock Your Path to $1,010 voucher with Our Winning Guide! 🎉Our exclusive anniversary event is now LIVE, and we want YOU to join in the fun! Not only can you explore our unique tech-driven features, but you also stand a chance to win incredible rewards. 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It is","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260499131289840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":260192871436360,"gmtCreate":1704534113223,"gmtModify":1704534117761,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is a valid post?","listText":"This is a valid post?","text":"This is a valid post?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/260192871436360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259750776639536,"gmtCreate":1704426189780,"gmtModify":1704426194902,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another valid post... 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[Miser] [What] [Cool] [Cry] [Tongue] [Sad] [Grin] [Surprised] [Speechless] [Speechless] [Grin] [Sad] [Sad] [Surprised] [Sad]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259374138822728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258942863085736,"gmtCreate":1704252507367,"gmtModify":1704252511638,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is a valid comment&nbsp;","listText":"This is a valid comment&nbsp;","text":"This is a valid comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258942863085736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258604112523536,"gmtCreate":1704169671566,"gmtModify":1704169675607,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is 3nd8ng soon?","listText":"This is 3nd8ng soon?","text":"This is 3nd8ng soon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258604112523536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258247172775952,"gmtCreate":1704082640815,"gmtModify":1704082645007,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hosjhduskwj didhdjjd dudjddjdid dkdhdjd","listText":"Hosjhduskwj didhdjjd dudjddjdid dkdhdjd","text":"Hosjhduskwj didhdjjd dudjddjdid dkdhdjd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258247172775952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257905787838520,"gmtCreate":1703999314141,"gmtModify":1704004476133,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jump over the lazy dog","listText":"Jump over the lazy dog","text":"Jump over the lazy dog","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257905787838520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257370023649280,"gmtCreate":1703868361245,"gmtModify":1703868365247,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is too much work...","listText":"This is too much work...","text":"This is too much work...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257370023649280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257148105662536,"gmtCreate":1703814194636,"gmtModify":1703814198839,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is fun... Really","listText":"This is fun... Really","text":"This is fun... Really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257148105662536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256823772876896,"gmtCreate":1703735012279,"gmtModify":1703735016096,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Re posting","listText":"Re posting","text":"Re posting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256823772876896","repostId":"248312805347464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":248312805347464,"gmtCreate":1701660745864,"gmtModify":1703059991513,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅","htmlText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256823667867712,"gmtCreate":1703734975483,"gmtModify":1703734979483,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is confusing.... When will it end?","listText":"This is confusing.... When will it end?","text":"This is confusing.... When will it end?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256823667867712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254396536561944,"gmtCreate":1703145185391,"gmtModify":1703147472923,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088986410425270","idStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger with me","htmlText":"Find out more about me s8dush here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/5AjV1r?utm_campaign=20231208151108&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;shareID=95ea55c695e55acb8fe28b492cba0cea&amp;invite=ZTS2DK&amp;lang=en_US&amp;platform=android&amp;utm_source=invite\">Join Tiger with me</a> Open your account and make your first deposit to unlock free rewards!","listText":"Find out more about me s8dush here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/5AjV1r?utm_campaign=20231208151108&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;shareID=95ea55c695e55acb8fe28b492cba0cea&amp;invite=ZTS2DK&amp;lang=en_US&amp;platform=android&amp;utm_source=invite\">Join Tiger with me</a> Open your account and make your first deposit to unlock free rewards!","text":"Find out more about me s8dush here:Join Tiger with me Open your account and make your first deposit to unlock free rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254396536561944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9912516046,"gmtCreate":1664850777885,"gmtModify":1676537519107,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>oouch","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>oouch","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$oouch","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0d3a45c6356f21447e9fa8508dfbe509","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912516046","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915940797,"gmtCreate":1664942268719,"gmtModify":1676537533532,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>long way to go. Why doesn't this work","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>long way to go. Why doesn't this work","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$long way to go. Why doesn't this work","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a87030406194b8954c8e9360080a567b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915940797","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9066230266,"gmtCreate":1651899818755,"gmtModify":1676534995083,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/02318\">$PING AN(02318)$</a>d..","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/02318\">$PING AN(02318)$</a>d..","text":"$PING AN(02318)$d..","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93e9c54917215f6d9b6db960c7b8ce90","width":"1080","height":"2119"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9066230266","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961491666,"gmtCreate":1669009186855,"gmtModify":1676538138892,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting...","listText":"Interesting...","text":"Interesting...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961491666","repostId":"1117170787","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117170787","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669002303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117170787?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-21 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Minutes May Deliver A Massive Blow To The Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117170787","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.The bond and currency markets a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.</li><li>The bond and currency markets are already preparing for very hawkish minutes.</li><li>Fed board members appear to think rates may head towards 5%.</li></ul><p>It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, but it will not be short on news events. The massive news event will come on Wednesday at 2 PM with the release of the November Fed minutes. These minutes will likely reverse the equity market&#39;s celebration following a lower-than-expected October CPI report, as the Fed has a different view and is already pushing back hard.</p><p>Since the release of that CPI report on November 10, Fed-speak has been crystal clear - slower rate hikes do not mean a lower terminal rate, and one better-than-expected CPI report isn&#39;t going to change the path of monetary policy. Ultimately, these speakers seem to think rates are going even higher.</p><p>St. Louis Fed Governor James Bullard suggested dovish assumptions about monetary policy justified additional rate hikes.</p><p>The November FOMC statement indicated the likelihood of a slower pace of rate hikes coming, while the FOMC press conference indicated that the terminal rate was likely to be higher than previously expected in September. Since the FOMC meeting, a strong case has been laid out by many FOMC members for the overnight rate to head over 5% and potentially to go as high as 5.25% in 2023.</p><p>If this message of higher rates is correctly delivered in the FOMC minutes, then it seems more likely than not that the equity market rally since the October CPI report in mid-November should not only pause but reverse.</p><p><b>VIX Positioning</b></p><p>Additionally, the VIX should rise sharply heading into the FOMC meeting on December 14. Not on worries over a 50 or 75 bps rate hike but due to concerns over the Fed&#39;s Summary of Economic Projections and the committee&#39;s dot plot for terminal rate for the end of 2023.</p><p>In fact, throughout 2022, there has been a pattern of the VIX rising or falling into the FOMC meeting following the market&#39;s perception of the Fed minutes. Currently, the VIX is trading towards the lower end of its trading range, around 23. The last time the VIX was this low heading into the release of the FOMC minutes came back on August 17, which also marked the end of the August rally and was followed by a sharp rise in the VIX and a very sharp decline in the S&amp;P 500. The same thing also happened at the beginning of April, which also marked the end of the March rally, and early January, which marked the market peak.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eb742a0f644a317b0c584c79d197735\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TradingView</p><p><b>Rates And The Dollar</b></p><p>The bond market is already anticipating the more hawkish commentary out of the Fed minutes to be released this week. The Fed funds rates again call for the peak rate to be above 5% and back to levels seen immediately following the November FOMC meeting. Additionally, that peak rate is now seen coming in July instead of May, incorporating smaller rate hikes.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/085a10f01649229138206ef78793ac66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The view of higher rates has also helped lift the 2-year yield, moving it back above 4.5%, and stopped the bleeding of the dollar index. These are critical signs that the bond and currency markets are listening to what the FOMC members are saying and taking the calls for higher rates very seriously. The Fed minutes should enforce the view of the Fed officials and should only help to push the dollar and rates even higher.</p><p>Higher rates and a strong dollar should help financial conditions tighten, pushing stock prices lower and increasing implied volatility levels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d88b54ba9843396edf02be5023d2da16\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TradingView</p><p><b>Fall Back Plan</b></p><p>Just in case the market doesn&#39;t respond appropriately to these minutes. The Fed is taking no chances heading into the FOMC meeting this time and will ensure that there will be no mix-ups from a potential article drop heading into the December meeting. There will be no repeat of the October version of the dovish pivot.</p><p>This time Jay Powell will take things into his own hands and talk for an hour at the Brookings Institute on November 30, starting at 1:30 PM ET. The talk is even more critical because it will come one day before the official FOMC blackout period starts heading into the December 14 FOMC meeting. It will be Powell&#39;s chance to make sure the market does not veer off course over those two weeks.</p><p>The Fed has been telling the market all year that it intended to raise rates aggressively and wanted financial conditions to tighten. Yes, there have been countertrend rallies along the way, but if one thing is clear, the Fed has been committed to higher rates. If the minutes do not deliver that message this week, Powell will be sure to do on November 30 what he did on August 26 at Jackson Hole, putting the hammer down on the equity market again.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Minutes May Deliver A Massive Blow To The Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Minutes May Deliver A Massive Blow To The Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 11:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559258-fed-minutes-may-deliver-massive-blow-to-stock-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.The bond and currency markets are already preparing for very hawkish minutes.Fed board members appear to think rates may head ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559258-fed-minutes-may-deliver-massive-blow-to-stock-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559258-fed-minutes-may-deliver-massive-blow-to-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117170787","content_text":"SummaryThe November Fed Minutes will be released Wednesday afternoon.The bond and currency markets are already preparing for very hawkish minutes.Fed board members appear to think rates may head towards 5%.It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, but it will not be short on news events. The massive news event will come on Wednesday at 2 PM with the release of the November Fed minutes. These minutes will likely reverse the equity market's celebration following a lower-than-expected October CPI report, as the Fed has a different view and is already pushing back hard.Since the release of that CPI report on November 10, Fed-speak has been crystal clear - slower rate hikes do not mean a lower terminal rate, and one better-than-expected CPI report isn't going to change the path of monetary policy. Ultimately, these speakers seem to think rates are going even higher.St. Louis Fed Governor James Bullard suggested dovish assumptions about monetary policy justified additional rate hikes.The November FOMC statement indicated the likelihood of a slower pace of rate hikes coming, while the FOMC press conference indicated that the terminal rate was likely to be higher than previously expected in September. Since the FOMC meeting, a strong case has been laid out by many FOMC members for the overnight rate to head over 5% and potentially to go as high as 5.25% in 2023.If this message of higher rates is correctly delivered in the FOMC minutes, then it seems more likely than not that the equity market rally since the October CPI report in mid-November should not only pause but reverse.VIX PositioningAdditionally, the VIX should rise sharply heading into the FOMC meeting on December 14. Not on worries over a 50 or 75 bps rate hike but due to concerns over the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections and the committee's dot plot for terminal rate for the end of 2023.In fact, throughout 2022, there has been a pattern of the VIX rising or falling into the FOMC meeting following the market's perception of the Fed minutes. Currently, the VIX is trading towards the lower end of its trading range, around 23. The last time the VIX was this low heading into the release of the FOMC minutes came back on August 17, which also marked the end of the August rally and was followed by a sharp rise in the VIX and a very sharp decline in the S&P 500. The same thing also happened at the beginning of April, which also marked the end of the March rally, and early January, which marked the market peak.TradingViewRates And The DollarThe bond market is already anticipating the more hawkish commentary out of the Fed minutes to be released this week. The Fed funds rates again call for the peak rate to be above 5% and back to levels seen immediately following the November FOMC meeting. Additionally, that peak rate is now seen coming in July instead of May, incorporating smaller rate hikes.BloombergThe view of higher rates has also helped lift the 2-year yield, moving it back above 4.5%, and stopped the bleeding of the dollar index. These are critical signs that the bond and currency markets are listening to what the FOMC members are saying and taking the calls for higher rates very seriously. The Fed minutes should enforce the view of the Fed officials and should only help to push the dollar and rates even higher.Higher rates and a strong dollar should help financial conditions tighten, pushing stock prices lower and increasing implied volatility levels.TradingViewFall Back PlanJust in case the market doesn't respond appropriately to these minutes. The Fed is taking no chances heading into the FOMC meeting this time and will ensure that there will be no mix-ups from a potential article drop heading into the December meeting. There will be no repeat of the October version of the dovish pivot.This time Jay Powell will take things into his own hands and talk for an hour at the Brookings Institute on November 30, starting at 1:30 PM ET. The talk is even more critical because it will come one day before the official FOMC blackout period starts heading into the December 14 FOMC meeting. It will be Powell's chance to make sure the market does not veer off course over those two weeks.The Fed has been telling the market all year that it intended to raise rates aggressively and wanted financial conditions to tighten. Yes, there have been countertrend rallies along the way, but if one thing is clear, the Fed has been committed to higher rates. If the minutes do not deliver that message this week, Powell will be sure to do on November 30 what he did on August 26 at Jackson Hole, putting the hammer down on the equity market again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886225541,"gmtCreate":1631597652683,"gmtModify":1676530585964,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F34.SI\">$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$</a> no good....","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F34.SI\">$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$</a> no good....","text":"$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$ no good....","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19cbf70fe5027394947a882979cc131","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/886225541","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884817376,"gmtCreate":1631878310495,"gmtModify":1676530659452,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/9CI.SI\">$CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LIMITED(9CI.SI)$</a>haha...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/9CI.SI\">$CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LIMITED(9CI.SI)$</a>haha...","text":"$CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LIMITED(9CI.SI)$haha...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/705912b43da106dc4bf7c5811fe734fe","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/884817376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3584326338630386","authorId":"3584326338630386","name":"YJ1990","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00d91ee3221290701742c3fb8747b37","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3584326338630386","authorIdStr":"3584326338630386"},"content":"so what does it actually mean?? change in counter? n not sure how much the starting price is?","text":"so what does it actually mean?? change in counter? n not sure how much the starting price is?","html":"so what does it actually mean?? change in counter? n not sure how much the starting price is?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980620624,"gmtCreate":1665718365369,"gmtModify":1676537654850,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>ffor coin","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>ffor coin","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$ffor coin","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bba5bb22b3f40e8072b2a10afe2d1518","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980620624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915949110,"gmtCreate":1664942388830,"gmtModify":1676537533541,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/03988\">$BANK OF CHINA(03988)$</a>ttesting","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/03988\">$BANK OF CHINA(03988)$</a>ttesting","text":"$BANK OF CHINA(03988)$ttesting","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2e687cdb1fab089ccfe6c80435af6cf0","width":"1080","height":"1507"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915949110","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041218422,"gmtCreate":1656054412166,"gmtModify":1676535760055,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/02318\">$PING AN(02318)$</a>coming back...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/02318\">$PING AN(02318)$</a>coming back...","text":"$PING AN(02318)$coming back...","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/eeec1edcce0296c4c7839222c5245f6a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041218422","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803535700,"gmtCreate":1627447100800,"gmtModify":1703490153356,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BN4.SI\">$KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED(BN4.SI)$</a>Still green... barely","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BN4.SI\">$KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED(BN4.SI)$</a>Still green... barely","text":"$KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED(BN4.SI)$Still green... barely","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cae05016f948d1812c329089ba619ad","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/803535700","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9095380823,"gmtCreate":1644823806257,"gmtModify":1676533965317,"author":{"id":"4088986410425270","authorId":"4088986410425270","name":"ace2000","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75377042d41860f2e7302e0e343fc82a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088986410425270","authorIdStr":"4088986410425270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oil is back","listText":"Oil is back","text":"Oil is back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9095380823","repostId":"2211200855","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2211200855","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644823501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2211200855?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-02-14 15:25","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"US$100 Oil Threatens to Compound World Economy's Inflation Shock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2211200855","media":"The Straits Times","summary":"HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - Oil's surge toward US$100 a barrel for the first time since 2014 is threaten","content":"<div>\n<p>HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - Oil's surge toward US$100 a barrel for the first time since 2014 is threatening to deal a double-blow to the world economy by further denting growth prospects and driving up ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/us100-oil-threatens-to-compound-world-economys-inflation-shock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"straits_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US$100 Oil Threatens to Compound World Economy's Inflation Shock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS$100 Oil Threatens to Compound World Economy's Inflation Shock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-14 15:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/us100-oil-threatens-to-compound-world-economys-inflation-shock><strong>The Straits Times</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - Oil's surge toward US$100 a barrel for the first time since 2014 is threatening to deal a double-blow to the world economy by further denting growth prospects and driving up ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/us100-oil-threatens-to-compound-world-economys-inflation-shock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/us100-oil-threatens-to-compound-world-economys-inflation-shock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2211200855","content_text":"HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) - Oil's surge toward US$100 a barrel for the first time since 2014 is threatening to deal a double-blow to the world economy by further denting growth prospects and driving up inflation.That's a worrying combination for the US Federal Reserve and fellow central banks as they seek to contain the strongest price pressures in decades without derailing recoveries from the pandemic. Group of 20 finance chiefs meet virtually this week for the first time this year with inflation among their top concerns.While energy exporters stand to benefit from the boom and oil's influence on economies isn't what it once was, much of the world will take a hit as companies and consumers find their bills rising and spending power squeezed by costlier food, transportation and heating.According to Bloomberg Economics' Shok model, a climb in crude to US$100 by the end of this month from around US$70 at the end of 2021 would lift inflation by about half a percentage point in the US and Europe in the second half of the year.More broadly, JPMorgan Chase & Co warns a run-up to US$150 a barrel would almost stall the global expansion and send inflation spiraling to over 7 per cent, more than three times the rate targeted by most monetary policy makers.\"The oil shock feeds into what is now a broader inflation problem,\" said long-time Fed official Peter Hooper, who's now global head of economic research for Deutsche Bank. \"There's a decent chance of a significant slowing of global growth\" as a result.Oil is about 50 per cent higher than a year ago, part of a broader rally in commodity prices that's swept up natural gas too. Among the drivers: A post-lockdown resurgence in worldwide demand, geopolitical tensions ignited by oil giant Russia and strained supply chains. Prospects for a renewed Iranian nuclear deal have at times cooled the market.Still, the rise has been piercing. Just two years ago, oil prices plunged briefly below zero.Fossil fuels - oil, as well as coal and natural gas - provide more than 80 per cent of the global economy's energy. And the cost of a typical basket of them is now up more than 50 per cent from a year ago, according to Gavekal Research, a consultancy.The energy crunch also compounds the ongoing squeeze in global supply chains, which drove up costs and delayed raw materials and finished goods.Vivian Lau, who runs a global logistics company based in Hong Kong, said her customers are already closely watching rising fuel costs.\"The price of oil is definitely a concern,\" said Lau, vice chair and group chief executive officer of Pacific Air Holdings. \"The increase is happening at a time when air freight prices are already very high.\"Economists are war gaming scenarios from here.More On This TopicBrent oil hits US$94 as red-hot rally extends on tightening supplyWhy are oil prices so high? Will they hit US$100 a barrel?Goldman Sachs Group, which sees oil at US$100 in the third quarter, estimates a 50 per cent increase lifts headline inflation by an average of 60 basis points, with emerging economies hit most.The International Monetary Fund recently raised its forecast for global consumer prices to an average 3.9 per cent in advanced economies this year, up from 2.3 per cent, and 5.9 per cent in emerging and developing nations.\"With inflation currently at multi-decade highs and uncertainty surrounding the inflation outlook already unprecedented, the last thing the recovering global economy needs is another leg higher in energy prices,\" HSBC economists Janet Henry and James Pomeroy wrote in a Feb 4 report. \"Yet that is what it is getting.\"China, the world's biggest oil importer and goods exporter, has so far enjoyed benign inflation. But it's economy remains vulnerable as producers are already juggling high input costs and concerns over energy shortages.With price pressures proving more tenacious than earlier expected, central bankers are now prioritizing inflation fighting over demand support. US consumer prices surprising to a four-decade high sent shocks through the system, increasing bets the Fed will raise rates seven times this year, a faster pace than earlier expected.Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey this month partly justified the decision to raise UK interest rates by pointing to a \"squeeze from energy prices.\" European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said recently that officials will \"carefully examine\" how energy prices will impact the economy as they signal a shift toward tightening. The Reserve Bank of India on Thursday (Feb 10) also flagged oil prices as a risk.To be sure, the world economy is no longer the oil guzzler it was during previous decades, especially the 1970s, and alternative energy offers some buffer. Other pandemic-era insulators include swelling household savings and higher wages amid a tight labor market.In the US the emergence of the shale oil industry means its economy is less vulnerable to fuel shocks: While consumers are paying more for gasoline, domestic producers are earning more.Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics, estimates that each US$10 per barrel increase shaves 0.1 percentage point off of economic growth the following year. That compares with a 0.3 to 0.4 point blow prior to the fracking revolution.Other oil producers will have reason to celebrate, too.Russia's budget, for example, could reap more than US$65 billion in extra revenue this year, helping buffer the Kremlin against possible sanctions over Ukraine. Other emerging market producers would benefit, as would Canada and Middle Eastern economies.But for most consumers, and central bankers, much rides on how fast and how far energy goes, particularly if economies lose momentum globally.\"A continued rapid rise can raise risks of recession-like conditions in some countries, especially if fiscal policy is also tightening notably,\" said Priyanka Kishore of Oxford Economics, which estimates that every US$10 per barrel increase in oil eats around 0.2 percentage points from world growth.\"Hopefully,\" she said, \"this is not the straw that breaks the camels 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