Peter H personal page - To The Moon

Peter H

Peter H

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2024-09-05

[财迷]

@孙哥888:$三倍做多半導體ETF-Direxion Daily CALENDAR 241018/240830 PUT 40.0/PUT 40.0$ roll forward soxl sp , 賺4500刀。 long 芯片 long ai

2023-11-08

[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]

2023-11-07

[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]

2023-10-26

[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]

2023-04-28

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Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-12-20

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@3597f278:彭博經濟研究：美國經濟衰退可能從何時開始？模型指向2023年9月

2022-12-12

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-11

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-07

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-07

👍🏻

Hong Kong stocks open | Hang Seng Index open low 0.31%, Country Garden down over 8%

2022-12-06

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-05

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-04

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-03

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-02

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-12-01

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-11-30

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-11-29

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-11-28

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

2022-11-28

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$

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H","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f99182119cf9d2b7ee5fcb2fc0b37102","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091876880408250","authorIdStr":"4091876880408250"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926834233","repostId":"623505648","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":623505648,"gmtCreate":1671502511785,"gmtModify":1676538547109,"author":{"id":"4133401387369660","authorId":"4133401387369660","name":"3597f278","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4133401387369660","authorIdStr":"4133401387369660"},"themes":[],"title":"彭博經濟研究：美國經濟衰退可能從何時開始？模型指向2023年9月","htmlText":"11月，我們所有的模型所顯示的未來12個月衰退概率均出現飆升。在基於3個月/18個月遠期利差的模型中，前景惡化的程度最爲嚴重，作爲美聯儲主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾青睞的模型，該模型現在預計明年經濟陷入衰退的可能性爲59%，而六個月前顯示可能性幾乎爲零。彭博經濟研究的一系列模型顯示，經濟衰退最有可能於2023年9月左右開始。詳細分析：彭博經濟研究通過一系列模型來評估未來幾個月經濟陷入衰退的可能性：包括三個收益率曲線模型，分別納入2年/10年期，3個月/10年期和3個月/18個月期遠期美國國債收益率，以及一個基於13項金融和宏觀經濟指標的模型。上述所有三個收益率曲線在11月都進一步倒掛，表明明年經濟下滑的可能性變得更大。值得注意的是，3個月/18個月期遠期美國國債收益率曲線今年首次倒掛，而基於該指標的模型顯示12個月內發生經濟衰退的可能性爲59%（上一次更新時顯示同期經濟衰退的可能性爲32%）——意味着衰退將會在2023年11月發生。11月，2年/10年期和3個月/10年期收益率曲線的倒掛程度加深。相應地，這些模型表明，未來12個月經濟陷入衰退的可能性分別上升至66%（之前爲61%）和68%（之前爲54%）。彭博經濟研究基於未來1至24個月的13個指標估測值的一個模型預計明年經濟陷入衰退的可能性爲100%，與一個月前持平。不過，經濟衰退提早發生的風險——6至8個月內——高於之前的預估。最明確的經濟衰退信號出現於未來10個月，即2023年9月。模型顯示經濟衰退開始於2023年9月圖片結合模型結果和我們的判斷，我們的最終評估結果顯示，明年經濟陷入衰退的概率爲80%。這考慮了當前經濟不同尋常的情況：強勁的家庭資產負債表，針對年長美國人社保金中生活成本部分的大幅調整，以及其他來自聯邦和州政府層面提振收入的政策。如果中國無序退出疫情管控措施加上2023年開始的溫暖冬季使美國通脹降溫，那麼美國經濟","listText":"11月，我們所有的模型所顯示的未來12個月衰退概率均出現飆升。在基於3個月/18個月遠期利差的模型中，前景惡化的程度最爲嚴重，作爲美聯儲主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾青睞的模型，該模型現在預計明年經濟陷入衰退的可能性爲59%，而六個月前顯示可能性幾乎爲零。彭博經濟研究的一系列模型顯示，經濟衰退最有可能於2023年9月左右開始。詳細分析：彭博經濟研究通過一系列模型來評估未來幾個月經濟陷入衰退的可能性：包括三個收益率曲線模型，分別納入2年/10年期，3個月/10年期和3個月/18個月期遠期美國國債收益率，以及一個基於13項金融和宏觀經濟指標的模型。上述所有三個收益率曲線在11月都進一步倒掛，表明明年經濟下滑的可能性變得更大。值得注意的是，3個月/18個月期遠期美國國債收益率曲線今年首次倒掛，而基於該指標的模型顯示12個月內發生經濟衰退的可能性爲59%（上一次更新時顯示同期經濟衰退的可能性爲32%）——意味着衰退將會在2023年11月發生。11月，2年/10年期和3個月/10年期收益率曲線的倒掛程度加深。相應地，這些模型表明，未來12個月經濟陷入衰退的可能性分別上升至66%（之前爲61%）和68%（之前爲54%）。彭博經濟研究基於未來1至24個月的13個指標估測值的一個模型預計明年經濟陷入衰退的可能性爲100%，與一個月前持平。不過，經濟衰退提早發生的風險——6至8個月內——高於之前的預估。最明確的經濟衰退信號出現於未來10個月，即2023年9月。模型顯示經濟衰退開始於2023年9月圖片結合模型結果和我們的判斷，我們的最終評估結果顯示，明年經濟陷入衰退的概率爲80%。這考慮了當前經濟不同尋常的情況：強勁的家庭資產負債表，針對年長美國人社保金中生活成本部分的大幅調整，以及其他來自聯邦和州政府層面提振收入的政策。如果中國無序退出疫情管控措施加上2023年開始的溫暖冬季使美國通脹降溫，那麼美國經濟","text":"11月，我們所有的模型所顯示的未來12個月衰退概率均出現飆升。在基於3個月/18個月遠期利差的模型中，前景惡化的程度最爲嚴重，作爲美聯儲主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾青睞的模型，該模型現在預計明年經濟陷入衰退的可能性爲59%，而六個月前顯示可能性幾乎爲零。彭博經濟研究的一系列模型顯示，經濟衰退最有可能於2023年9月左右開始。詳細分析：彭博經濟研究通過一系列模型來評估未來幾個月經濟陷入衰退的可能性：包括三個收益率曲線模型，分別納入2年/10年期，3個月/10年期和3個月/18個月期遠期美國國債收益率，以及一個基於13項金融和宏觀經濟指標的模型。上述所有三個收益率曲線在11月都進一步倒掛，表明明年經濟下滑的可能性變得更大。值得注意的是，3個月/18個月期遠期美國國債收益率曲線今年首次倒掛，而基於該指標的模型顯示12個月內發生經濟衰退的可能性爲59%（上一次更新時顯示同期經濟衰退的可能性爲32%）——意味着衰退將會在2023年11月發生。11月，2年/10年期和3個月/10年期收益率曲線的倒掛程度加深。相應地，這些模型表明，未來12個月經濟陷入衰退的可能性分別上升至66%（之前爲61%）和68%（之前爲54%）。彭博經濟研究基於未來1至24個月的13個指標估測值的一個模型預計明年經濟陷入衰退的可能性爲100%，與一個月前持平。不過，經濟衰退提早發生的風險——6至8個月內——高於之前的預估。最明確的經濟衰退信號出現於未來10個月，即2023年9月。模型顯示經濟衰退開始於2023年9月圖片結合模型結果和我們的判斷，我們的最終評估結果顯示，明年經濟陷入衰退的概率爲80%。這考慮了當前經濟不同尋常的情況：強勁的家庭資產負債表，針對年長美國人社保金中生活成本部分的大幅調整，以及其他來自聯邦和州政府層面提振收入的政策。如果中國無序退出疫情管控措施加上2023年開始的溫暖冬季使美國通脹降溫，那麼美國經濟","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/623505648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923143076,"gmtCreate":1670814029095,"gmtModify":1676538438891,"author":{"id":"4091876880408250","authorId":"4091876880408250","name":"Peter 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H","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f99182119cf9d2b7ee5fcb2fc0b37102","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091876880408250","authorIdStr":"4091876880408250"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"&nbsp;👍🏻","listText":"&nbsp;👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967766587","repostId":"1132309386","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132309386","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1670376181,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1132309386?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 09:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Hong Kong stocks open | Hang Seng Index open low 0.31%, Country Garden down over 8%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132309386","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"12月7日讯，受隔夜美股下跌影响，港股低开，恒指跌0.31%，国指跌0.3%，恒生科技指数跌0.18%。盘面上，大型科技股多数走低，网易跌近2%，百度跌1.5%，美团、腾讯、阿里巴巴均下跌，京东涨0.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>December 7th - Affected by the overnight decline in US stocks, Hong Kong stocks were open low, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.31%, the Hong Kong Composite Index down 0.3%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.18%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1151c38e42f5160f42074d78906ed3b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On the market, most large technology stocks declined.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">NetEase</a>It fell nearly 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">Baidu</a>Meituan fell 1.5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">Tencent</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a>All declined.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD.com</a>Up 0.17%; Mainland property stocks, which rallied yesterday afternoon, generally fell, as did shipping stocks, dairy stocks, film concept stocks, oil stocks, and gas stocks. On the other hand, internet healthcare stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">Ping An Good Doctor</a>The stock continued to rise by more than 5%, with biotechnology and auto stocks showing significant strength.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02007\">Country Garden</a>The stock fell more than 8% and plans to raise HK$4.74 billion through a discounted rights issue.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stocks open | Hang Seng Index open low 0.31%, Country Garden down over 8%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stocks open | Hang Seng Index open low 0.31%, Country Garden down over 8%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-12-07 09:23</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>December 7th - Affected by the overnight decline in US stocks, Hong Kong stocks were open low, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.31%, the Hong Kong Composite Index down 0.3%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.18%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1151c38e42f5160f42074d78906ed3b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On the market, most large technology stocks declined.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">NetEase</a>It fell nearly 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">Baidu</a>Meituan fell 1.5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">Tencent</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a>All declined.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD.com</a>Up 0.17%; Mainland property stocks, which rallied yesterday afternoon, generally fell, as did shipping stocks, dairy stocks, film concept stocks, oil stocks, and gas stocks. On the other hand, internet healthcare stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01833\">Ping An Good Doctor</a>The stock continued to rise by more than 5%, with biotechnology and auto stocks showing significant strength.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02007\">Country Garden</a>The stock fell more than 8% and plans to raise HK$4.74 billion through a discounted rights issue.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{"513600":"恒生指数ETF南方","BK1555":"内房股","BK1589":"北水核心资产","BK1240":"房地产开发","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","02833":"恒指ETF","02007":"碧桂园","HSI":"恒生指数","BK1507":"粤港澳大湾区"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132309386","content_text":"12月7日讯，受隔夜美股下跌影响，港股低开，恒指跌0.31%，国指跌0.3%，恒生科技指数跌0.18%。盘面上，大型科技股多数走低，网易跌近2%，百度跌1.5%，美团、腾讯、阿里巴巴均下跌，京东涨0.17%；昨日午后拉升的的内房股普跌，海运股、乳制品股、电影概念股、石油股、燃气股普跌。另一方面，互联网医疗股平安好医生继续上涨超5%，生物科技股、汽车股走强明显。碧桂园跌超8%，拟折价配股融资47.4亿港元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513600":0.9,"MCHmain":0.9,"02833":0.9,"HHImain":0.9,"MHImain":0.9,"HSImain":0.9,"HSI":0.9,"02007":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967327906,"gmtCreate":1670278377908,"gmtModify":1676538333244,"author":{"id":"4091876880408250","authorId":"4091876880408250","name":"Peter 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