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Goldman Sees Holiday Sales Creating Volatility in Retail Stocks

2022-11-17

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@JacQi.Q:$Alphabet(GOOG)$ so many speculations whether to buy/sell... Google is such a big player, in the long term it will still recover... Not worried at all [Happy]

2022-10-15

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@Stocks_Pedia:Iron Mountain: An American enterprise information management services company

2022-09-30

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07:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Holiday Sales Creating Volatility in Retail Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140309956","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Thanksgiving holiday sales season is here, and history says that means increased volatility for cons","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Thanksgiving holiday sales season is here, and history says that means increased volatility for consumer stocks next week.</p><p>From 2011 to 2021, basket of 34 large-cap consumer shares tracked by Goldman Sachs -- including Walmart Inc., Home Depot and Amazon.com Inc. -- saw average swings of nearly 3% in either direction between the day before Thanksgiving and the day after Cyber Monday. By contrast, the $374 billion SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust (ticker SPY), the world’s largest exchange-traded fund which tracks the S&amp;P, averaged a 1.3% variation.</p><p>What’s more, Goldman expects even higher-than-normal holiday-season volatility in consumer stocks this year do to the wide variations in investor expectations.</p><p>“We believe option prices on select consumer-focused stocks are attractive ahead of the holiday shopping season around Thanksgiving, Black Friday and Cyber Monday,” Goldman strategists led by Vishal Vivek wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60c75d0553ecaea39b6920a57e7c7df2\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The average stock in Goldman’s consumer basket derived 29% of its revenue in the fourth quarter from 2011 to 2019, compared with 26% for the average stock in the broader S&amp;P 500 Index. Sales were even higher for consumer companies over the past two years -- rising to 31% in the final three months of the year -- since the pandemic drove massive shifts in American’s spending habits, according to the bank.</p><p>For instance, retailers like Burlington Stores Inc., Ross Stores Inc. and luxury fashion company Tapestry Inc. saw a sharp jump in revenues in the final quarter of 2020, while airline stocks like United Airlines Holdings Inc and Delta Air Lines Inc. benefited from a return to travel-related spending in 2021.</p><p>Heading into this year’s holiday shopping season, Goldman sees the potential for heightened volatility in these names, “driven by an uncertain macro environment and reversals from the prior two years of pandemic-induced spending,” Vivek wrote.</p><p>“Following a decline in implied volatility in these stocks over the past month, we believe long option strategies on these names are attractive in the near-term,” he added.</p><p>Separately, Goldman surveyed 1,000 US consumers about their plans for holiday shopping. Overall, results point to a choppier season, with 46% of consumers planning on spending less.</p><p>The bank, however, sees the potential for outperformance in select corners of the consumer market, including companies that offer steep discounts since survey respondents indicated a “willingness to trade down to lower price/quality products” as consumers hunt for cheaper prices in the face of decades-high inflation.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Holiday Sales Creating Volatility in Retail Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Holiday Sales Creating Volatility in Retail Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-19 07:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-18/goldman-sees-holiday-sales-creating-volatility-in-retail-stocks><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Thanksgiving holiday sales season is here, and history says that means increased volatility for consumer stocks next week.From 2011 to 2021, basket of 34 large-cap consumer shares tracked by Goldman ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-18/goldman-sees-holiday-sales-creating-volatility-in-retail-stocks\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛","TGT":"塔吉特"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-18/goldman-sees-holiday-sales-creating-volatility-in-retail-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140309956","content_text":"Thanksgiving holiday sales season is here, and history says that means increased volatility for consumer stocks next week.From 2011 to 2021, basket of 34 large-cap consumer shares tracked by Goldman Sachs -- including Walmart Inc., Home Depot and Amazon.com Inc. -- saw average swings of nearly 3% in either direction between the day before Thanksgiving and the day after Cyber Monday. By contrast, the $374 billion SPDR S&P 500 Trust (ticker SPY), the world’s largest exchange-traded fund which tracks the S&P, averaged a 1.3% variation.What’s more, Goldman expects even higher-than-normal holiday-season volatility in consumer stocks this year do to the wide variations in investor expectations.“We believe option prices on select consumer-focused stocks are attractive ahead of the holiday shopping season around Thanksgiving, Black Friday and Cyber Monday,” Goldman strategists led by Vishal Vivek wrote in a note to clients.The average stock in Goldman’s consumer basket derived 29% of its revenue in the fourth quarter from 2011 to 2019, compared with 26% for the average stock in the broader S&P 500 Index. Sales were even higher for consumer companies over the past two years -- rising to 31% in the final three months of the year -- since the pandemic drove massive shifts in American’s spending habits, according to the bank.For instance, retailers like Burlington Stores Inc., Ross Stores Inc. and luxury fashion company Tapestry Inc. saw a sharp jump in revenues in the final quarter of 2020, while airline stocks like United Airlines Holdings Inc and Delta Air Lines Inc. benefited from a return to travel-related spending in 2021.Heading into this year’s holiday shopping season, Goldman sees the potential for heightened volatility in these names, “driven by an uncertain macro environment and reversals from the prior two years of pandemic-induced spending,” Vivek wrote.“Following a decline in implied volatility in these stocks over the past month, we believe long option strategies on these names are attractive in the near-term,” he added.Separately, Goldman surveyed 1,000 US consumers about their plans for holiday shopping. Overall, results point to a choppier season, with 46% of consumers planning on spending less.The bank, however, sees the potential for outperformance in select corners of the consumer market, including companies that offer steep discounts since survey respondents indicated a “willingness to trade down to lower price/quality products” as consumers hunt for cheaper prices in the face of decades-high inflation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963623629,"gmtCreate":1668666916161,"gmtModify":1676538094031,"author":{"id":"4093907034004550","authorId":"4093907034004550","name":"PSYBen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03111156f4390a84846fe5d8b464737d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093907034004550","authorIdStr":"4093907034004550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963623629","repostId":"9963629882","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9963629882,"gmtCreate":1668666584146,"gmtModify":1676538094000,"author":{"id":"4114842132987932","authorId":"4114842132987932","name":"JacQi.Q","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114842132987932","authorIdStr":"4114842132987932"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$ &nbsp;</a>so many speculations whether to buy/sell... Google is such a big player, in the long term it&nbsp;will still recover... Not worried at all&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$ &nbsp;</a>so many speculations whether to buy/sell... Google is such a big player, in the long term it&nbsp;will still recover... Not worried at all&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"$Alphabet(GOOG)$ so many speculations whether to buy/sell... Google is such a big player, in the long term it will still recover... Not worried at all [Happy]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/739a5846a66a48c2f0ec05ae2dd67ea3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963629882","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980743275,"gmtCreate":1665829138797,"gmtModify":1676537670280,"author":{"id":"4093907034004550","authorId":"4093907034004550","name":"PSYBen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03111156f4390a84846fe5d8b464737d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093907034004550","authorIdStr":"4093907034004550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980743275","repostId":"9980750340","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9980750340,"gmtCreate":1665822954281,"gmtModify":1676537669857,"author":{"id":"3479274794225176","authorId":"3479274794225176","name":"Stocks_Pedia","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/59e1332ef20049fa9607ec1058f5a3ea","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3479274794225176","authorIdStr":"3479274794225176"},"themes":[],"title":"Iron Mountain: An American enterprise information management services company","htmlText":"Hey, this is Stocks_Pedia.Here I would like to introduce you to some unfamiliar companies that you may probably haven't heard of, and hope it can be of some help to your investments.The company I'm going to introduce this time is <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IRM\">$Iron Mountain(IRM)$</a>.It went public on 1th July 1997.[Company Profile]Iron Mountain Inc. (NYSE: IRM) is an American enterprise information management services company founded in 1951 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. Its records management, information destruction, and data backup and recovery services are supplied to more than 220,000 customers in 58 countries throughout North America, Europe, Latin America, Africa, Asia, and Australia.[History &amp; Events]2010:&nbsp;The company acquired a California-based eDis","listText":"Hey, this is Stocks_Pedia.Here I would like to introduce you to some unfamiliar companies that you may probably haven't heard of, and hope it can be of some help to your investments.The company I'm going to introduce this time is <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IRM\">$Iron Mountain(IRM)$</a>.It went public on 1th July 1997.[Company Profile]Iron Mountain Inc. (NYSE: IRM) is an American enterprise information management services company founded in 1951 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. Its records management, information destruction, and data backup and recovery services are supplied to more than 220,000 customers in 58 countries throughout North America, Europe, Latin America, Africa, Asia, and Australia.[History &amp; Events]2010:&nbsp;The company acquired a California-based eDis","text":"Hey, this is Stocks_Pedia.Here I would like to introduce you to some unfamiliar companies that you may probably haven't heard of, and hope it can be of some help to your investments.The company I'm going to introduce this time is $Iron Mountain(IRM)$.It went public on 1th July 1997.[Company Profile]Iron Mountain Inc. (NYSE: IRM) is an American enterprise information management services company founded in 1951 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. Its records management, information destruction, and data backup and recovery services are supplied to more than 220,000 customers in 58 countries throughout North America, Europe, Latin America, Africa, Asia, and Australia.[History & Events]2010: The company acquired a California-based 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LIMITED(A50.SI)$up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9de5a11bfddf2d3a798a4273d2193f9d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918141005","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918141266,"gmtCreate":1664342296656,"gmtModify":1676537437205,"author":{"id":"4093907034004550","authorId":"4093907034004550","name":"PSYBen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03111156f4390a84846fe5d8b464737d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093907034004550","authorIdStr":"4093907034004550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918141266","repostId":"2270869270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270869270","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664341903,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270869270?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-28 13:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ETF Opportunities Amid UK Currency Crisis","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270869270","media":"ETF.com","summary":"A currency crisis isn’t something typically associated with a large, developed country like the Unit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/251fa5e1b72237272d797c2418c2f8fe\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>A currency crisis isn’t something typically associated with a large, developed country like the United Kingdom, and yet that is exactly how some economists are characterizing the massive plunge seen in the pound sterling in the past few days.</p><p>The exchange rate between the pound and the U.S. dollar briefly tumbled to 1.035 on Monday—a record low—and now currency analysts are calling for the exchange rate to reach parity (£1 = $1) in the coming months.</p><p>The <b>Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (FXB)</b>, with $163 million in assets, is perhaps most affected by the pound’s woes. The exchange-traded fund, which gives investors long exposure to the pound against the dollar, is down by 21% this year. It has closely tracked the performance of the pound itself, which is lower by the same amount and is currently the worst performer among all major currencies.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a8526066e773443e7f72829258c9e09\" tg-width=\"468\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>An Economy on Shaky Ground</b></h2><p>While the plunge in the pound caught investors’ attention this week, it’s only a symptom of broader troubles within the U.K. economy. The world’s sixth-largest economy is widely expected to fall into a recession this year (if it already isn’t in one) and inflation in the country is running at a sky-high 10.1%.</p><p>But things could be even worse. In August, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecast that consumer prices in the U.K. could grow by as much as 22% early next year, while Citigroup Inc predicted they would jump by nearly 19%.</p><p>The reason for the dire forecasts is energy. Record-high natural gas prices across Europe have been painful for the United Kingdom. In September, Russia cut off all gas exports to the continent, sending prices of the fuel soaring. While the U.K. never imported much natural gas from Russia directly, it now must compete with the rest of Europe for the remaining limited supplies.</p><h2><b>Price Caps</b></h2><p>Fortunately, the jaw-dropping inflation forecasts from Goldman and Citi might not come to pass—but not because the energy crisis is over. Far from it; today, U.K. gas prices are six times what they averaged between 2016 and 2021.</p><p>Rather, energy price caps proposed by the new U.K. government headed by Prime Minister Liz Truss, will help shield households from market prices. Those caps will hold the cost of a typical U.K. household’s annual energy bill to £2,500 for two years.</p><p>Though providing much-needed relief to U.K. households, the energy price caps come with a steep cost of £100 billion, a bill that the government will have to foot somehow. That was already putting pressure on the pound, and then the market was hit by a shocker late last week.</p><h2><b>Borrowed Money</b></h2><p>On Friday, Prime Minister Truss’ government unveiled a package of tax cuts designed to boost growth. The budget contained tax reductions for Britain’s highest earners and corporations in a model that reminded many economists of the “trickle-down economics” of the Reagan and Bush administrations in the U.S.</p><p>The package is estimated to cost £161 billion over five years. Many are predicting the policies won’t work to sustainably boost growth. Moreover, any short-term economic benefits would run counter to the Bank of England’s goal of slowing the U.K. economy to bring inflation down.</p><p>As the U.K. is already running steep budget and trade deficits, the government’s spending must be funded by foreign investors, who will demand steep discounts on British assets before they step in.</p><p>Currency traders certainly had this in mind when they sent the pound plummeting earlier this week.</p><h2><b>Value In UK Stocks?</b></h2><p>Things look grim for the U.K. economy and asset prices in the near term. But with the pound at its lowest level ever, British assets could be attractive for value investors who can look past the current economic turmoil.</p><p>The <b>iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWU)</b>, which holds U.K. stocks, is down by 21.5% so far in 2022, which might not seem like much in a year in which the S&amp;P 500 is lower by 22.8%.</p><p>But valuations for U.K. stocks are much cheaper than their U.S. counterparts. According to data from Bloomberg, the forward price-to-earnings ratio for the MSCI United Kingdom Index is 8.2 versus 15.4 for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11a72b00831918f1781eb543fa995e71\" tg-width=\"495\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In fact, valuations for U.K. companies are the cheapest they have been since the financial crisis. To be sure, “cheap” alone isn’t a good enough reason to buy, but it could be the starting point of a more extensive due diligence process.</p><p>In any case, investors in U.K. assets will have to brace for a lot more potential volatility as the country’s economic and currency crises potentially intensify.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ETF Opportunities Amid UK Currency Crisis</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nETF Opportunities Amid UK Currency Crisis\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-28 13:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etf-opportunities-amid-uk-currency-184500865.html><strong>ETF.com</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A currency crisis isn’t something typically associated with a large, developed country like the United Kingdom, and yet that is exactly how some economists are characterizing the massive plunge seen ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etf-opportunities-amid-uk-currency-184500865.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EWU":"英国ETF-iShares MSCI","BK4528":"SaaS概念","FXB":"英镑ETF-CurrencyShares","BK4205":"房地产经营公司"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etf-opportunities-amid-uk-currency-184500865.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2270869270","content_text":"A currency crisis isn’t something typically associated with a large, developed country like the United Kingdom, and yet that is exactly how some economists are characterizing the massive plunge seen in the pound sterling in the past few days.The exchange rate between the pound and the U.S. dollar briefly tumbled to 1.035 on Monday—a record low—and now currency analysts are calling for the exchange rate to reach parity (£1 = $1) in the coming months.The Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (FXB), with $163 million in assets, is perhaps most affected by the pound’s woes. The exchange-traded fund, which gives investors long exposure to the pound against the dollar, is down by 21% this year. It has closely tracked the performance of the pound itself, which is lower by the same amount and is currently the worst performer among all major currencies.An Economy on Shaky GroundWhile the plunge in the pound caught investors’ attention this week, it’s only a symptom of broader troubles within the U.K. economy. The world’s sixth-largest economy is widely expected to fall into a recession this year (if it already isn’t in one) and inflation in the country is running at a sky-high 10.1%.But things could be even worse. In August, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecast that consumer prices in the U.K. could grow by as much as 22% early next year, while Citigroup Inc predicted they would jump by nearly 19%.The reason for the dire forecasts is energy. Record-high natural gas prices across Europe have been painful for the United Kingdom. In September, Russia cut off all gas exports to the continent, sending prices of the fuel soaring. While the U.K. never imported much natural gas from Russia directly, it now must compete with the rest of Europe for the remaining limited supplies.Price CapsFortunately, the jaw-dropping inflation forecasts from Goldman and Citi might not come to pass—but not because the energy crisis is over. Far from it; today, U.K. gas prices are six times what they averaged between 2016 and 2021.Rather, energy price caps proposed by the new U.K. government headed by Prime Minister Liz Truss, will help shield households from market prices. Those caps will hold the cost of a typical U.K. household’s annual energy bill to £2,500 for two years.Though providing much-needed relief to U.K. households, the energy price caps come with a steep cost of £100 billion, a bill that the government will have to foot somehow. That was already putting pressure on the pound, and then the market was hit by a shocker late last week.Borrowed MoneyOn Friday, Prime Minister Truss’ government unveiled a package of tax cuts designed to boost growth. The budget contained tax reductions for Britain’s highest earners and corporations in a model that reminded many economists of the “trickle-down economics” of the Reagan and Bush administrations in the U.S.The package is estimated to cost £161 billion over five years. Many are predicting the policies won’t work to sustainably boost growth. Moreover, any short-term economic benefits would run counter to the Bank of England’s goal of slowing the U.K. economy to bring inflation down.As the U.K. is already running steep budget and trade deficits, the government’s spending must be funded by foreign investors, who will demand steep discounts on British assets before they step in.Currency traders certainly had this in mind when they sent the pound plummeting earlier this week.Value In UK Stocks?Things look grim for the U.K. economy and asset prices in the near term. But with the pound at its lowest level ever, British assets could be attractive for value investors who can look past the current economic turmoil.The iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWU), which holds U.K. stocks, is down by 21.5% so far in 2022, which might not seem like much in a year in which the S&P 500 is lower by 22.8%.But valuations for U.K. stocks are much cheaper than their U.S. counterparts. According to data from Bloomberg, the forward price-to-earnings ratio for the MSCI United Kingdom Index is 8.2 versus 15.4 for the S&P 500.In fact, valuations for U.K. companies are the cheapest they have been since the financial crisis. To be sure, “cheap” alone isn’t a good enough reason to buy, but it could be the starting point of a more extensive due diligence process.In any case, investors in U.K. assets will have to brace for a lot more potential volatility as the country’s economic and currency crises potentially intensify.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911900442,"gmtCreate":1664102218087,"gmtModify":1676537390890,"author":{"id":"4093907034004550","authorId":"4093907034004550","name":"PSYBen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03111156f4390a84846fe5d8b464737d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093907034004550","authorIdStr":"4093907034004550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/5BI.SI\">$POLARIS LTD.(5BI.SI)$</a>up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/5BI.SI\">$POLARIS LTD.(5BI.SI)$</a>up","text":"$POLARIS 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