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11-02

Why lumentum halt today

Earning Preview: Lumentum Q1 Revenue Is Expected To Increase By 138%, And Institutional Views Are Predominantly Bullish

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Share price are to high.

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16:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Earning Preview: Lumentum Q1 Revenue Is Expected To Increase By 138%, And Institutional Views Are Predominantly Bullish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169683630","media":"Earnings Agent","summary":"Abstract Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment...","content":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Abstract</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment highlights and the dominant analyst view.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Market Forecast</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For Lumentum’s fiscal first quarter of 2027, the market expects revenue of $1.25 billion, up 138.35% year over year; EPS of $4.189, up 307.47% YoY; with EBIT seen at $496.7 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78db64f7a9cfbb924e8bdf90cdb82e04\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"830\"><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The gross margin backdrop is expected to remain supported by a product mix concentrated in higher-value optical components, while net profitability is projected to inflect positively from prior-period losses as operating leverage materializes; EPS momentum is forecast to accelerate on higher volume and mix uplift.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Lumentum’s main business is anticipated to be led by components and systems, with a focus on mix improvements and end-market demand recovery; the company’s most promising segment is identified as components with 649.40 million US dollars of last quarter revenue and a favorable trajectory for year-over-year growth driven by telecom and datacom optical content.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Last Quarter Review</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s previous quarter delivered revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars, a gross profit margin of 49.34%, a GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.16 billion US dollars, a net profit margin that was not disclosed, and adjusted EPS of 3.23, with year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS of 267.05% and revenue up 109.34%. The net profit sequential growth rate was -5066.50%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in GAAP profitability relative to the prior quarter despite strong top-line and adjusted-earnings growth. The business mix was anchored by components at 649.40 million US dollars and systems at 356.90 million US dollars, with components representing approximately 64.53% of revenue and demonstrating the primary scale and momentum driver for the portfolio.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Current Quarter Outlook</strong></h2><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Main business momentum</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s core franchise is concentrated in optical components and systems for communications and industrial applications, and current-quarter momentum centers on continued demand normalization across telecom and datacom deployments. The company’s last reported gross margin of 49.34% indicates effective mix and cost controls, which, if sustained, should help convert forecast revenue growth of 138.11% into measurable operating leverage. With components accounting for roughly two-thirds of revenue, the throughput and pricing dynamics in that category will be central to near-term earnings power. Operating efficiency appears to be improving as volumes increase, and with EBIT forecast at 496.15 million US dollars and EPS at 4.19, the operating model suggests the company is positioned to improve contribution margins through utilization, mix shift toward higher-specification products, and disciplined opex. A positive inflection in the net margin is likely if cost absorption benefits and mix persist, although the absence of a disclosed net profit margin last quarter leaves some uncertainty around the precise magnitude of GAAP profitability in the near term.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Most promising segment</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Components stand out as the most promising growth engine this quarter, supported by last quarter’s 649.40 million US dollars revenue base and a path to higher year-over-year growth as end-market customers resume capacity adds and technology transitions. The forecast acceleration in EPS and EBIT implies that components are enjoying both scale benefits and potentially better pricing or richer product mix, particularly where advanced optical technologies are being adopted. With components comprising 64.53% of the portfolio, even modest volume expansion can deliver substantial incremental operating income, especially if utilization lifts reduce unit costs. In addition, demand linked to cloud and carrier upgrades can create multi-quarter tailwinds, reinforcing sustained margin strength when paired with tight cost control and product leadership. Execution risks remain mainly around timing and breadth of customer ramps, but the direction implied by the forecast is supportive of incremental share gain and profitability.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Stock-price drivers this quarter</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The primary driver for the stock this quarter will be the scale of the revenue rebound relative to expectations and how that converts into earnings quality, including gross margin durability and adjusted EPS progression. Investors will focus on whether gross margin stays near the last reported 49.34% level, as this would validate the strength of the mix and cost management alongside the revenue surge. A second key driver is visibility on order momentum in components, which accounted for the majority of revenue and is expected to lead growth; clarity on backlog, lead times, and customer adoption plans will shape sentiment. Finally, the market will closely scrutinize the reconciliation between GAAP and adjusted results given the prior-period GAAP loss, looking for evidence that restructuring, inventory, or acquisition-related items are declining and that the forecast profitability is driven by core operations rather than transient factors. The magnitude of upside or downside versus the 1.25 billion US dollars revenue and 4.19 EPS outlook will likely dictate the immediate post-report move.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Analyst Opinions</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The majority of recent institutional commentary leans bullish, emphasizing the projected rebound in revenue and earnings and improved operating leverage into the current quarter. Analysts highlight the forecast revenue of 1.25 billion US dollars and EPS of 4.19, with an emphasis on the implied year-over-year growth of 138.11% in revenue and over 300% in EPS, as evidence of strong execution and demand normalization. Several well-followed research desks point to components as the principal growth vector and argue that sustained gross margins around the high-40% range would validate medium-term profitability targets. The bullish camp underscores that the prior-quarter adjusted EPS of 3.23 and better-than-expected revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars demonstrate traction that can carry into the current period. They also note that the sequential ramp implied by the forecasts suggests improving mix and utilization rather than transitory pricing, which they interpret as a constructive sign for forward earnings quality. In aggregate, the majority view is that Lumentum can surpass or at least meet current-quarter forecasts on the back of components momentum and disciplined cost execution, with upside potential if order trends from cloud and carrier customers prove stronger than modeled.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Earning Preview: Lumentum Q1 Revenue Is Expected To Increase By 138%, And Institutional Views Are Predominantly Bullish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarning Preview: Lumentum Q1 Revenue Is Expected To Increase By 138%, And Institutional Views Are Predominantly Bullish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1025659746\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/decf3d8a922fc5c1c1d787bf8b36173f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Earnings Agent </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-10-29 16:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Abstract</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment highlights and the dominant analyst view.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Market Forecast</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For Lumentum’s fiscal first quarter of 2027, the market expects revenue of $1.25 billion, up 138.35% year over year; EPS of $4.189, up 307.47% YoY; with EBIT seen at $496.7 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78db64f7a9cfbb924e8bdf90cdb82e04\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"830\"><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The gross margin backdrop is expected to remain supported by a product mix concentrated in higher-value optical components, while net profitability is projected to inflect positively from prior-period losses as operating leverage materializes; EPS momentum is forecast to accelerate on higher volume and mix uplift.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Lumentum’s main business is anticipated to be led by components and systems, with a focus on mix improvements and end-market demand recovery; the company’s most promising segment is identified as components with 649.40 million US dollars of last quarter revenue and a favorable trajectory for year-over-year growth driven by telecom and datacom optical content.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Last Quarter Review</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s previous quarter delivered revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars, a gross profit margin of 49.34%, a GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.16 billion US dollars, a net profit margin that was not disclosed, and adjusted EPS of 3.23, with year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS of 267.05% and revenue up 109.34%. The net profit sequential growth rate was -5066.50%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in GAAP profitability relative to the prior quarter despite strong top-line and adjusted-earnings growth. The business mix was anchored by components at 649.40 million US dollars and systems at 356.90 million US dollars, with components representing approximately 64.53% of revenue and demonstrating the primary scale and momentum driver for the portfolio.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Current Quarter Outlook</strong></h2><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Main business momentum</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s core franchise is concentrated in optical components and systems for communications and industrial applications, and current-quarter momentum centers on continued demand normalization across telecom and datacom deployments. The company’s last reported gross margin of 49.34% indicates effective mix and cost controls, which, if sustained, should help convert forecast revenue growth of 138.11% into measurable operating leverage. With components accounting for roughly two-thirds of revenue, the throughput and pricing dynamics in that category will be central to near-term earnings power. Operating efficiency appears to be improving as volumes increase, and with EBIT forecast at 496.15 million US dollars and EPS at 4.19, the operating model suggests the company is positioned to improve contribution margins through utilization, mix shift toward higher-specification products, and disciplined opex. A positive inflection in the net margin is likely if cost absorption benefits and mix persist, although the absence of a disclosed net profit margin last quarter leaves some uncertainty around the precise magnitude of GAAP profitability in the near term.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Most promising segment</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Components stand out as the most promising growth engine this quarter, supported by last quarter’s 649.40 million US dollars revenue base and a path to higher year-over-year growth as end-market customers resume capacity adds and technology transitions. The forecast acceleration in EPS and EBIT implies that components are enjoying both scale benefits and potentially better pricing or richer product mix, particularly where advanced optical technologies are being adopted. With components comprising 64.53% of the portfolio, even modest volume expansion can deliver substantial incremental operating income, especially if utilization lifts reduce unit costs. In addition, demand linked to cloud and carrier upgrades can create multi-quarter tailwinds, reinforcing sustained margin strength when paired with tight cost control and product leadership. Execution risks remain mainly around timing and breadth of customer ramps, but the direction implied by the forecast is supportive of incremental share gain and profitability.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Stock-price drivers this quarter</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The primary driver for the stock this quarter will be the scale of the revenue rebound relative to expectations and how that converts into earnings quality, including gross margin durability and adjusted EPS progression. Investors will focus on whether gross margin stays near the last reported 49.34% level, as this would validate the strength of the mix and cost management alongside the revenue surge. A second key driver is visibility on order momentum in components, which accounted for the majority of revenue and is expected to lead growth; clarity on backlog, lead times, and customer adoption plans will shape sentiment. Finally, the market will closely scrutinize the reconciliation between GAAP and adjusted results given the prior-period GAAP loss, looking for evidence that restructuring, inventory, or acquisition-related items are declining and that the forecast profitability is driven by core operations rather than transient factors. The magnitude of upside or downside versus the 1.25 billion US dollars revenue and 4.19 EPS outlook will likely dictate the immediate post-report move.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Analyst Opinions</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The majority of recent institutional commentary leans bullish, emphasizing the projected rebound in revenue and earnings and improved operating leverage into the current quarter. Analysts highlight the forecast revenue of 1.25 billion US dollars and EPS of 4.19, with an emphasis on the implied year-over-year growth of 138.11% in revenue and over 300% in EPS, as evidence of strong execution and demand normalization. Several well-followed research desks point to components as the principal growth vector and argue that sustained gross margins around the high-40% range would validate medium-term profitability targets. The bullish camp underscores that the prior-quarter adjusted EPS of 3.23 and better-than-expected revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars demonstrate traction that can carry into the current period. They also note that the sequential ramp implied by the forecasts suggests improving mix and utilization rather than transitory pricing, which they interpret as a constructive sign for forward earnings quality. In aggregate, the majority view is that Lumentum can surpass or at least meet current-quarter forecasts on the back of components momentum and disciplined cost execution, with upside potential if order trends from cloud and carrier customers prove stronger than modeled.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LITE":"Lumentum"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169683630","content_text":"Abstract Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment highlights and the dominant analyst view.Market ForecastFor Lumentum’s fiscal first quarter of 2027, the market expects revenue of $1.25 billion, up 138.35% year over year; EPS of $4.189, up 307.47% YoY; with EBIT seen at $496.7 million.The gross margin backdrop is expected to remain supported by a product mix concentrated in higher-value optical components, while net profitability is projected to inflect positively from prior-period losses as operating leverage materializes; EPS momentum is forecast to accelerate on higher volume and mix uplift.Lumentum’s main business is anticipated to be led by components and systems, with a focus on mix improvements and end-market demand recovery; the company’s most promising segment is identified as components with 649.40 million US dollars of last quarter revenue and a favorable trajectory for year-over-year growth driven by telecom and datacom optical content.Last Quarter Review Lumentum’s previous quarter delivered revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars, a gross profit margin of 49.34%, a GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.16 billion US dollars, a net profit margin that was not disclosed, and adjusted EPS of 3.23, with year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS of 267.05% and revenue up 109.34%. The net profit sequential growth rate was -5066.50%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in GAAP profitability relative to the prior quarter despite strong top-line and adjusted-earnings growth. The business mix was anchored by components at 649.40 million US dollars and systems at 356.90 million US dollars, with components representing approximately 64.53% of revenue and demonstrating the primary scale and momentum driver for the portfolio.Current Quarter OutlookMain business momentum Lumentum’s core franchise is concentrated in optical components and systems for communications and industrial applications, and current-quarter momentum centers on continued demand normalization across telecom and datacom deployments. The company’s last reported gross margin of 49.34% indicates effective mix and cost controls, which, if sustained, should help convert forecast revenue growth of 138.11% into measurable operating leverage. With components accounting for roughly two-thirds of revenue, the throughput and pricing dynamics in that category will be central to near-term earnings power. Operating efficiency appears to be improving as volumes increase, and with EBIT forecast at 496.15 million US dollars and EPS at 4.19, the operating model suggests the company is positioned to improve contribution margins through utilization, mix shift toward higher-specification products, and disciplined opex. A positive inflection in the net margin is likely if cost absorption benefits and mix persist, although the absence of a disclosed net profit margin last quarter leaves some uncertainty around the precise magnitude of GAAP profitability in the near term.Most promising segment Components stand out as the most promising growth engine this quarter, supported by last quarter’s 649.40 million US dollars revenue base and a path to higher year-over-year growth as end-market customers resume capacity adds and technology transitions. The forecast acceleration in EPS and EBIT implies that components are enjoying both scale benefits and potentially better pricing or richer product mix, particularly where advanced optical technologies are being adopted. With components comprising 64.53% of the portfolio, even modest volume expansion can deliver substantial incremental operating income, especially if utilization lifts reduce unit costs. In addition, demand linked to cloud and carrier upgrades can create multi-quarter tailwinds, reinforcing sustained margin strength when paired with tight cost control and product leadership. Execution risks remain mainly around timing and breadth of customer ramps, but the direction implied by the forecast is supportive of incremental share gain and profitability.Stock-price drivers this quarter The primary driver for the stock this quarter will be the scale of the revenue rebound relative to expectations and how that converts into earnings quality, including gross margin durability and adjusted EPS progression. Investors will focus on whether gross margin stays near the last reported 49.34% level, as this would validate the strength of the mix and cost management alongside the revenue surge. A second key driver is visibility on order momentum in components, which accounted for the majority of revenue and is expected to lead growth; clarity on backlog, lead times, and customer adoption plans will shape sentiment. Finally, the market will closely scrutinize the reconciliation between GAAP and adjusted results given the prior-period GAAP loss, looking for evidence that restructuring, inventory, or acquisition-related items are declining and that the forecast profitability is driven by core operations rather than transient factors. The magnitude of upside or downside versus the 1.25 billion US dollars revenue and 4.19 EPS outlook will likely dictate the immediate post-report move.Analyst Opinions The majority of recent institutional commentary leans bullish, emphasizing the projected rebound in revenue and earnings and improved operating leverage into the current quarter. Analysts highlight the forecast revenue of 1.25 billion US dollars and EPS of 4.19, with an emphasis on the implied year-over-year growth of 138.11% in revenue and over 300% in EPS, as evidence of strong execution and demand normalization. Several well-followed research desks point to components as the principal growth vector and argue that sustained gross margins around the high-40% range would validate medium-term profitability targets. The bullish camp underscores that the prior-quarter adjusted EPS of 3.23 and better-than-expected revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars demonstrate traction that can carry into the current period. They also note that the sequential ramp implied by the forecasts suggests improving mix and utilization rather than transitory pricing, which they interpret as a constructive sign for forward earnings quality. In aggregate, the majority view is that Lumentum can surpass or at least meet current-quarter forecasts on the back of components momentum and disciplined cost execution, with upside potential if order trends from cloud and carrier customers prove stronger than modeled.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LITE":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":581276044887176,"gmtCreate":1782943204802,"gmtModify":1782943207356,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4112191678947252","idStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Figma(FIG)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ace4cfadda8853b3f14137633598e5a2","width":"882","height":"1491"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/581276044887176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":534914406262216,"gmtCreate":1771616055005,"gmtModify":1771616061315,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4112191678947252","idStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Figma(FIG)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4197c0a4d54fba5a53133ceff41b0f81","width":"870","height":"1772"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/534914406262216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":434572770832384,"gmtCreate":1747088228729,"gmtModify":1747088232777,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4112191678947252","idStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/434572770832384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":338864681554192,"gmtCreate":1723734870500,"gmtModify":1723734876361,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4112191678947252","idStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Today P/L","listText":"Today P/L","text":"Today P/L","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebb57d13708ca4af3b8752314f05889c","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/338864681554192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":338863552708688,"gmtCreate":1723734578933,"gmtModify":1723734608599,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4112191678947252","idStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"To The moon - Become a Contributor","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/activity/forapp/creative-guide/?utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;skin=1&amp;edition=fundamental&amp;shareID=66c9fe2416fb187a7bebaee73f13baeb&amp;invite=OTAAX5&amp;lang=en_US&amp;platform=android\">To The moon - Become a Contributor</a> Click to view this week's hot topics! Start posting and stand a chance to get cool rewards","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/activity/forapp/creative-guide/?utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;skin=1&amp;edition=fundamental&amp;shareID=66c9fe2416fb187a7bebaee73f13baeb&amp;invite=OTAAX5&amp;lang=en_US&amp;platform=android\">To The moon - Become a Contributor</a> Click to view this week's hot topics! Start posting and stand a chance to get cool rewards","text":"Find out more here:To The moon - Become a Contributor Click to view this week's hot topics! Start posting and stand a chance to get cool rewards","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/338863552708688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320846370128176,"gmtCreate":1719353617899,"gmtModify":1719353622933,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah 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like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/235341709934712","repostId":"235331302240344","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":235331302240344,"gmtCreate":1698486824647,"gmtModify":1698486830386,"author":{"id":"3560474608445356","authorId":"3560474608445356","name":"Phantom121","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d37a9df64cddedade5eba470e08d590d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560474608445356","idStr":"3560474608445356"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Happy Halloween 🎃.&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Happy Halloween 🎃.&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Happy Halloween 🎃.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c42946279495b6d459ca20358b83541","width":"1125","height":"980"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/235331302240344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":221573845971056,"gmtCreate":1695131846351,"gmtModify":1695131850534,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4112191678947252","idStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/221573845971056","repostId":"221239987916808","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":221239987916808,"gmtCreate":1695040286087,"gmtModify":1695040302713,"author":{"id":"3527667626267411","authorId":"3527667626267411","name":"Value_investing","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667626267411","idStr":"3527667626267411"},"themes":[],"title":"Is this semiconductor pullback a buying opportunity?","htmlText":"Recently, semiconductor company stock prices have significantly pullbacked, among which:Lithography giant <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a> corrected 22.5%; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMAT\">$Applied Materials(AMAT)$</a> , the world's largest semiconductor equipment company, saw an 11% pullback; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$</a> pullbacked 23.6%;Chip contract manufacturing giant <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a> back 19.4%...What happened? Is this semiconductor pullback a buying opportunity?In general, the main reason for this wave of semiconductor pullback is that semiconductor fundamentals cannot match skyrocketing stock prices.For example, Applied Materials, befo","listText":"Recently, semiconductor company stock prices have significantly pullbacked, among which:Lithography giant <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a> corrected 22.5%; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMAT\">$Applied Materials(AMAT)$</a> , the world's largest semiconductor equipment company, saw an 11% pullback; <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$</a> pullbacked 23.6%;Chip contract manufacturing giant <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a> back 19.4%...What happened? Is this semiconductor pullback a buying opportunity?In general, the main reason for this wave of semiconductor pullback is that semiconductor fundamentals cannot match skyrocketing stock prices.For example, Applied Materials, befo","text":"Recently, semiconductor company stock prices have significantly pullbacked, among which:Lithography giant $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ corrected 22.5%; $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ , the world's largest semiconductor equipment company, saw an 11% pullback; $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ pullbacked 23.6%;Chip contract manufacturing giant $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ back 19.4%...What happened? Is this semiconductor pullback a buying opportunity?In general, the main reason for this wave of semiconductor pullback is that semiconductor fundamentals cannot match skyrocketing stock prices.For example, Applied Materials, befo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/91f239a8f8b9aa7d2adcff5095ad599c","width":"850","height":"207"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b625dd30367ffab49fec1c0c9d9d71ca","width":"874","height":"386"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c1ea06805432e89b31a943802605f4c8","width":"1158","height":"452"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/221239987916808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":213267584557264,"gmtCreate":1693107257698,"gmtModify":1693107261121,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4112191678947252","idStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/213267584557264","repostId":"212746678259824","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":212746678259824,"gmtCreate":1692972420990,"gmtModify":1692974567368,"author":{"id":"3527667628464496","authorId":"3527667628464496","name":"Tiger_Newspress","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667628464496","idStr":"3527667628464496"},"themes":[],"title":"Fed Chair Powell Calls Inflation \"Too High\" and Warns That \"We Are Prepared to Raise Rates Further\"","htmlText":"KEY POINTSWhile acknowledging that progress has been made, the central bank leader said inflation is still above where policymakers feel comfortable.The speech resembled remarks Powell made last year at Jackson Hole, during which he warned that “some pain” was likely as the Fed continues its efforts to pull runaway inflation back down to its 2% goal.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday called for more vigilance in the fight against inflation, warning that additional interest rate increases could be yet to come.While acknowledging that progress has been made, the central bank leader said inflation is still above where policymakers feel comfortable. He noted that the Fed will remain flexible as it contemplates further moves, but gave little indication that it’s ready to start easing","listText":"KEY POINTSWhile acknowledging that progress has been made, the central bank leader said inflation is still above where policymakers feel comfortable.The speech resembled remarks Powell made last year at Jackson Hole, during which he warned that “some pain” was likely as the Fed continues its efforts to pull runaway inflation back down to its 2% goal.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday called for more vigilance in the fight against inflation, warning that additional interest rate increases could be yet to come.While acknowledging that progress has been made, the central bank leader said inflation is still above where policymakers feel comfortable. He noted that the Fed will remain flexible as it contemplates further moves, but gave little indication that it’s ready to start easing","text":"KEY POINTSWhile acknowledging that progress has been made, the central bank leader said inflation is still above where policymakers feel comfortable.The speech resembled remarks Powell made last year at Jackson Hole, during which he warned that “some pain” was likely as the Fed continues its efforts to pull runaway inflation back down to its 2% goal.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday called for more vigilance in the fight against inflation, warning that additional interest rate increases could be yet to come.While acknowledging that progress has been made, the central bank leader said inflation is still above where policymakers feel comfortable. He noted that the Fed will remain flexible as it contemplates further moves, but gave little indication that it’s ready to start easing","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/65d48fe70b5f8a345e984a371a9e677a","width":"929","height":"523"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/212746678259824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983177099,"gmtCreate":1666194117312,"gmtModify":1676537721008,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah 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meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Figma(FIG)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ace4cfadda8853b3f14137633598e5a2","width":"882","height":"1491"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/581276044887176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251309510619368,"gmtCreate":1702392219126,"gmtModify":1702392221410,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6ccfc55097a642b5f0a9896e7e6d8087","width":"596","height":"1005"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251309510619368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983174160,"gmtCreate":1666194021650,"gmtModify":1676537720977,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983174160","repostId":"1178125812","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":625065636852064,"gmtCreate":1793622054777,"gmtModify":1793622057729,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Why lumentum halt today&nbsp;","listText":"Why lumentum halt today&nbsp;","text":"Why lumentum halt today","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/625065636852064","repostId":"1169683630","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169683630","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Focus on earnings forecast and in-depth analysis","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Earnings Agent","id":"1025659746","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/decf3d8a922fc5c1c1d787bf8b36173f"},"pubTimestamp":1793261924,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169683630?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-10-29 16:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Earning Preview: Lumentum Q1 Revenue Is Expected To Increase By 138%, And Institutional Views Are Predominantly Bullish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169683630","media":"Earnings Agent","summary":"Abstract Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment...","content":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Abstract</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment highlights and the dominant analyst view.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Market Forecast</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For Lumentum’s fiscal first quarter of 2027, the market expects revenue of $1.25 billion, up 138.35% year over year; EPS of $4.189, up 307.47% YoY; with EBIT seen at $496.7 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78db64f7a9cfbb924e8bdf90cdb82e04\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"830\"><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The gross margin backdrop is expected to remain supported by a product mix concentrated in higher-value optical components, while net profitability is projected to inflect positively from prior-period losses as operating leverage materializes; EPS momentum is forecast to accelerate on higher volume and mix uplift.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Lumentum’s main business is anticipated to be led by components and systems, with a focus on mix improvements and end-market demand recovery; the company’s most promising segment is identified as components with 649.40 million US dollars of last quarter revenue and a favorable trajectory for year-over-year growth driven by telecom and datacom optical content.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Last Quarter Review</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s previous quarter delivered revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars, a gross profit margin of 49.34%, a GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.16 billion US dollars, a net profit margin that was not disclosed, and adjusted EPS of 3.23, with year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS of 267.05% and revenue up 109.34%. The net profit sequential growth rate was -5066.50%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in GAAP profitability relative to the prior quarter despite strong top-line and adjusted-earnings growth. The business mix was anchored by components at 649.40 million US dollars and systems at 356.90 million US dollars, with components representing approximately 64.53% of revenue and demonstrating the primary scale and momentum driver for the portfolio.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Current Quarter Outlook</strong></h2><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Main business momentum</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s core franchise is concentrated in optical components and systems for communications and industrial applications, and current-quarter momentum centers on continued demand normalization across telecom and datacom deployments. The company’s last reported gross margin of 49.34% indicates effective mix and cost controls, which, if sustained, should help convert forecast revenue growth of 138.11% into measurable operating leverage. With components accounting for roughly two-thirds of revenue, the throughput and pricing dynamics in that category will be central to near-term earnings power. Operating efficiency appears to be improving as volumes increase, and with EBIT forecast at 496.15 million US dollars and EPS at 4.19, the operating model suggests the company is positioned to improve contribution margins through utilization, mix shift toward higher-specification products, and disciplined opex. A positive inflection in the net margin is likely if cost absorption benefits and mix persist, although the absence of a disclosed net profit margin last quarter leaves some uncertainty around the precise magnitude of GAAP profitability in the near term.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Most promising segment</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Components stand out as the most promising growth engine this quarter, supported by last quarter’s 649.40 million US dollars revenue base and a path to higher year-over-year growth as end-market customers resume capacity adds and technology transitions. The forecast acceleration in EPS and EBIT implies that components are enjoying both scale benefits and potentially better pricing or richer product mix, particularly where advanced optical technologies are being adopted. With components comprising 64.53% of the portfolio, even modest volume expansion can deliver substantial incremental operating income, especially if utilization lifts reduce unit costs. In addition, demand linked to cloud and carrier upgrades can create multi-quarter tailwinds, reinforcing sustained margin strength when paired with tight cost control and product leadership. Execution risks remain mainly around timing and breadth of customer ramps, but the direction implied by the forecast is supportive of incremental share gain and profitability.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Stock-price drivers this quarter</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The primary driver for the stock this quarter will be the scale of the revenue rebound relative to expectations and how that converts into earnings quality, including gross margin durability and adjusted EPS progression. Investors will focus on whether gross margin stays near the last reported 49.34% level, as this would validate the strength of the mix and cost management alongside the revenue surge. A second key driver is visibility on order momentum in components, which accounted for the majority of revenue and is expected to lead growth; clarity on backlog, lead times, and customer adoption plans will shape sentiment. Finally, the market will closely scrutinize the reconciliation between GAAP and adjusted results given the prior-period GAAP loss, looking for evidence that restructuring, inventory, or acquisition-related items are declining and that the forecast profitability is driven by core operations rather than transient factors. The magnitude of upside or downside versus the 1.25 billion US dollars revenue and 4.19 EPS outlook will likely dictate the immediate post-report move.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Analyst Opinions</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The majority of recent institutional commentary leans bullish, emphasizing the projected rebound in revenue and earnings and improved operating leverage into the current quarter. Analysts highlight the forecast revenue of 1.25 billion US dollars and EPS of 4.19, with an emphasis on the implied year-over-year growth of 138.11% in revenue and over 300% in EPS, as evidence of strong execution and demand normalization. Several well-followed research desks point to components as the principal growth vector and argue that sustained gross margins around the high-40% range would validate medium-term profitability targets. The bullish camp underscores that the prior-quarter adjusted EPS of 3.23 and better-than-expected revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars demonstrate traction that can carry into the current period. They also note that the sequential ramp implied by the forecasts suggests improving mix and utilization rather than transitory pricing, which they interpret as a constructive sign for forward earnings quality. In aggregate, the majority view is that Lumentum can surpass or at least meet current-quarter forecasts on the back of components momentum and disciplined cost execution, with upside potential if order trends from cloud and carrier customers prove stronger than modeled.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Earning Preview: Lumentum Q1 Revenue Is Expected To Increase By 138%, And Institutional Views Are Predominantly Bullish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarning Preview: Lumentum Q1 Revenue Is Expected To Increase By 138%, And Institutional Views Are Predominantly Bullish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1025659746\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/decf3d8a922fc5c1c1d787bf8b36173f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Earnings Agent </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-10-29 16:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Abstract</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment highlights and the dominant analyst view.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Market Forecast</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For Lumentum’s fiscal first quarter of 2027, the market expects revenue of $1.25 billion, up 138.35% year over year; EPS of $4.189, up 307.47% YoY; with EBIT seen at $496.7 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/78db64f7a9cfbb924e8bdf90cdb82e04\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"830\"><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The gross margin backdrop is expected to remain supported by a product mix concentrated in higher-value optical components, while net profitability is projected to inflect positively from prior-period losses as operating leverage materializes; EPS momentum is forecast to accelerate on higher volume and mix uplift.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Lumentum’s main business is anticipated to be led by components and systems, with a focus on mix improvements and end-market demand recovery; the company’s most promising segment is identified as components with 649.40 million US dollars of last quarter revenue and a favorable trajectory for year-over-year growth driven by telecom and datacom optical content.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Last Quarter Review</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s previous quarter delivered revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars, a gross profit margin of 49.34%, a GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.16 billion US dollars, a net profit margin that was not disclosed, and adjusted EPS of 3.23, with year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS of 267.05% and revenue up 109.34%. The net profit sequential growth rate was -5066.50%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in GAAP profitability relative to the prior quarter despite strong top-line and adjusted-earnings growth. The business mix was anchored by components at 649.40 million US dollars and systems at 356.90 million US dollars, with components representing approximately 64.53% of revenue and demonstrating the primary scale and momentum driver for the portfolio.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Current Quarter Outlook</strong></h2><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Main business momentum</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Lumentum’s core franchise is concentrated in optical components and systems for communications and industrial applications, and current-quarter momentum centers on continued demand normalization across telecom and datacom deployments. The company’s last reported gross margin of 49.34% indicates effective mix and cost controls, which, if sustained, should help convert forecast revenue growth of 138.11% into measurable operating leverage. With components accounting for roughly two-thirds of revenue, the throughput and pricing dynamics in that category will be central to near-term earnings power. Operating efficiency appears to be improving as volumes increase, and with EBIT forecast at 496.15 million US dollars and EPS at 4.19, the operating model suggests the company is positioned to improve contribution margins through utilization, mix shift toward higher-specification products, and disciplined opex. A positive inflection in the net margin is likely if cost absorption benefits and mix persist, although the absence of a disclosed net profit margin last quarter leaves some uncertainty around the precise magnitude of GAAP profitability in the near term.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Most promising segment</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> Components stand out as the most promising growth engine this quarter, supported by last quarter’s 649.40 million US dollars revenue base and a path to higher year-over-year growth as end-market customers resume capacity adds and technology transitions. The forecast acceleration in EPS and EBIT implies that components are enjoying both scale benefits and potentially better pricing or richer product mix, particularly where advanced optical technologies are being adopted. With components comprising 64.53% of the portfolio, even modest volume expansion can deliver substantial incremental operating income, especially if utilization lifts reduce unit costs. In addition, demand linked to cloud and carrier upgrades can create multi-quarter tailwinds, reinforcing sustained margin strength when paired with tight cost control and product leadership. Execution risks remain mainly around timing and breadth of customer ramps, but the direction implied by the forecast is supportive of incremental share gain and profitability.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Stock-price drivers this quarter</strong></h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The primary driver for the stock this quarter will be the scale of the revenue rebound relative to expectations and how that converts into earnings quality, including gross margin durability and adjusted EPS progression. Investors will focus on whether gross margin stays near the last reported 49.34% level, as this would validate the strength of the mix and cost management alongside the revenue surge. A second key driver is visibility on order momentum in components, which accounted for the majority of revenue and is expected to lead growth; clarity on backlog, lead times, and customer adoption plans will shape sentiment. Finally, the market will closely scrutinize the reconciliation between GAAP and adjusted results given the prior-period GAAP loss, looking for evidence that restructuring, inventory, or acquisition-related items are declining and that the forecast profitability is driven by core operations rather than transient factors. The magnitude of upside or downside versus the 1.25 billion US dollars revenue and 4.19 EPS outlook will likely dictate the immediate post-report move.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Analyst Opinions</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> The majority of recent institutional commentary leans bullish, emphasizing the projected rebound in revenue and earnings and improved operating leverage into the current quarter. Analysts highlight the forecast revenue of 1.25 billion US dollars and EPS of 4.19, with an emphasis on the implied year-over-year growth of 138.11% in revenue and over 300% in EPS, as evidence of strong execution and demand normalization. Several well-followed research desks point to components as the principal growth vector and argue that sustained gross margins around the high-40% range would validate medium-term profitability targets. The bullish camp underscores that the prior-quarter adjusted EPS of 3.23 and better-than-expected revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars demonstrate traction that can carry into the current period. They also note that the sequential ramp implied by the forecasts suggests improving mix and utilization rather than transitory pricing, which they interpret as a constructive sign for forward earnings quality. In aggregate, the majority view is that Lumentum can surpass or at least meet current-quarter forecasts on the back of components momentum and disciplined cost execution, with upside potential if order trends from cloud and carrier customers prove stronger than modeled.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LITE":"Lumentum"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169683630","content_text":"Abstract Lumentum will report fiscal results on November 05, 2026 Post-Mkt; this preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, gross margin, net profit, and adjusted EPS, alongside segment highlights and the dominant analyst view.Market ForecastFor Lumentum’s fiscal first quarter of 2027, the market expects revenue of $1.25 billion, up 138.35% year over year; EPS of $4.189, up 307.47% YoY; with EBIT seen at $496.7 million.The gross margin backdrop is expected to remain supported by a product mix concentrated in higher-value optical components, while net profitability is projected to inflect positively from prior-period losses as operating leverage materializes; EPS momentum is forecast to accelerate on higher volume and mix uplift.Lumentum’s main business is anticipated to be led by components and systems, with a focus on mix improvements and end-market demand recovery; the company’s most promising segment is identified as components with 649.40 million US dollars of last quarter revenue and a favorable trajectory for year-over-year growth driven by telecom and datacom optical content.Last Quarter Review Lumentum’s previous quarter delivered revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars, a gross profit margin of 49.34%, a GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.16 billion US dollars, a net profit margin that was not disclosed, and adjusted EPS of 3.23, with year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS of 267.05% and revenue up 109.34%. The net profit sequential growth rate was -5066.50%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in GAAP profitability relative to the prior quarter despite strong top-line and adjusted-earnings growth. The business mix was anchored by components at 649.40 million US dollars and systems at 356.90 million US dollars, with components representing approximately 64.53% of revenue and demonstrating the primary scale and momentum driver for the portfolio.Current Quarter OutlookMain business momentum Lumentum’s core franchise is concentrated in optical components and systems for communications and industrial applications, and current-quarter momentum centers on continued demand normalization across telecom and datacom deployments. The company’s last reported gross margin of 49.34% indicates effective mix and cost controls, which, if sustained, should help convert forecast revenue growth of 138.11% into measurable operating leverage. With components accounting for roughly two-thirds of revenue, the throughput and pricing dynamics in that category will be central to near-term earnings power. Operating efficiency appears to be improving as volumes increase, and with EBIT forecast at 496.15 million US dollars and EPS at 4.19, the operating model suggests the company is positioned to improve contribution margins through utilization, mix shift toward higher-specification products, and disciplined opex. A positive inflection in the net margin is likely if cost absorption benefits and mix persist, although the absence of a disclosed net profit margin last quarter leaves some uncertainty around the precise magnitude of GAAP profitability in the near term.Most promising segment Components stand out as the most promising growth engine this quarter, supported by last quarter’s 649.40 million US dollars revenue base and a path to higher year-over-year growth as end-market customers resume capacity adds and technology transitions. The forecast acceleration in EPS and EBIT implies that components are enjoying both scale benefits and potentially better pricing or richer product mix, particularly where advanced optical technologies are being adopted. With components comprising 64.53% of the portfolio, even modest volume expansion can deliver substantial incremental operating income, especially if utilization lifts reduce unit costs. In addition, demand linked to cloud and carrier upgrades can create multi-quarter tailwinds, reinforcing sustained margin strength when paired with tight cost control and product leadership. Execution risks remain mainly around timing and breadth of customer ramps, but the direction implied by the forecast is supportive of incremental share gain and profitability.Stock-price drivers this quarter The primary driver for the stock this quarter will be the scale of the revenue rebound relative to expectations and how that converts into earnings quality, including gross margin durability and adjusted EPS progression. Investors will focus on whether gross margin stays near the last reported 49.34% level, as this would validate the strength of the mix and cost management alongside the revenue surge. A second key driver is visibility on order momentum in components, which accounted for the majority of revenue and is expected to lead growth; clarity on backlog, lead times, and customer adoption plans will shape sentiment. Finally, the market will closely scrutinize the reconciliation between GAAP and adjusted results given the prior-period GAAP loss, looking for evidence that restructuring, inventory, or acquisition-related items are declining and that the forecast profitability is driven by core operations rather than transient factors. The magnitude of upside or downside versus the 1.25 billion US dollars revenue and 4.19 EPS outlook will likely dictate the immediate post-report move.Analyst Opinions The majority of recent institutional commentary leans bullish, emphasizing the projected rebound in revenue and earnings and improved operating leverage into the current quarter. Analysts highlight the forecast revenue of 1.25 billion US dollars and EPS of 4.19, with an emphasis on the implied year-over-year growth of 138.11% in revenue and over 300% in EPS, as evidence of strong execution and demand normalization. Several well-followed research desks point to components as the principal growth vector and argue that sustained gross margins around the high-40% range would validate medium-term profitability targets. The bullish camp underscores that the prior-quarter adjusted EPS of 3.23 and better-than-expected revenue of 1.01 billion US dollars demonstrate traction that can carry into the current period. They also note that the sequential ramp implied by the forecasts suggests improving mix and utilization rather than transitory pricing, which they interpret as a constructive sign for forward earnings quality. In aggregate, the majority view is that Lumentum can surpass or at least meet current-quarter forecasts on the back of components momentum and disciplined cost execution, with upside potential if order trends from cloud and carrier customers prove stronger than modeled.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LITE":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":534914406262216,"gmtCreate":1771616055005,"gmtModify":1771616061315,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FIG\">$Figma(FIG)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Figma(FIG)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4197c0a4d54fba5a53133ceff41b0f81","width":"870","height":"1772"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/534914406262216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983174533,"gmtCreate":1666194068322,"gmtModify":1676537720992,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983174533","repostId":"1163149585","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163149585","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666188491,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163149585?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-19 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Are Likely To Bomb Going Forward","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163149585","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple is going against astounding year-over-year comps from 2021's free-money/YOLO economy. B","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Apple is going against astounding year-over-year comps from 2021&#39;s free-money/YOLO economy. But as the economy softens, are people really going to go out of their way to upgrade their iPhones?</li><li>2021 was &#34;peak everything&#34; for consumers, with spending on consumer goods like Apple&#39;s products being a key bellwether.</li><li>Apple&#39;s U-turn on its planned iPhone production ramp is a clear early warning signal for earnings to decline, but few investors are listening.</li><li>Apple has also been a prime beneficiary of tax cuts, QE, and stimulus, while the underlying net income of its business looks more sluggish and cyclical.</li><li>While Apple is a decent business, you should not get sucked into paying high PE ratios for popular stocks with earnings at cyclical peaks, or your portfolio will likely suffer the consequences.</li></ul><p>Some buy-and-hold investors may consider this blasphemy, but since late 2019 Apple&#39;s (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock price has grown increasingly disconnected from the reality of its underlying business. Apple&#39;s stock is ground zero for investors that expect stimulus-fueled levels of consumer spending to last forever. In reality, investors are tripping over each other to pay a peak multiple for consumer discretionary stocks like AAPL at peak earnings. This is unlikely to succeed as an investing strategy. To this point, the present valuation of Apple is a gift to investors, who now have the opportunity to sell while the stock is overvalued and allocate money elsewhere.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74fbc6467060e07ea0d8b8477c0a63f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h3>The Pandemic Didn&#39;t Fundamentally Change Apple&#39;s Business</h3><p>Of course, Apple is a profitable business. But the beauty of looking at Apple&#39;s income statement is that it can tell you why the company is making more money and whether the share price is increasing faster or slower than the business.</p><p>Apple&#39;s share price shows powerful gains, trading for about 5.9x more than it did 10 years ago.</p><p>EPS is up a lot over the last 10 years (3.8x), but not as much as the share price.</p><p>And EPS, in turn, is up a lot more than net income (2.4x).</p><p>When you subtract out corporate tax cuts and the benefit from lower interest rates, earnings are only 2.1x the levels of 10 years ago.</p><p>Moreover, nearly all of this growth has come recently during the pandemic. From 2012 to 2019, earnings before interest and taxes had only grown about 16%! The rest was all from tax cuts, lower interest rates, stimulus, and Apple&#39;s buyback. Not to discount the wisdom of buybacks in general- it was great when Apple was buying its shares back at like 10x earnings. But recently at 30x earnings? Not so much!</p><p>It&#39;s strange when you think about it, but Apple&#39;s story has been similarly borne out among thousands of companies with the same trend of Market Cap Growth &gt; EPS Growth&gt; Net Income Growth&gt; EBIT Growth. Valuations have risen faster than earnings, which in turn have been juiced by stimulus, falling interest rates, and deficit-financed corporate tax cuts. In the end, investors are getting a lot of sizzle and not much steak.</p><p>If you&#39;re buying Apple here, you really need a compelling reason why Apple&#39;s business has fundamentally improved since 2019. I don&#39;t see one, besides people getting free money from the government. iPhone sales have been higher post-pandemic than previously, but consider that the US government handed out approximately $10,000 per family in stimulus in 2021. That&#39;s tax-free cash in addition to wages 95% of people were making working in 2021, so it was generally pure profit to recipients. In addition, remember that consumers had limited choices for travel, entertainment, and events, which directed spending towards consumer goods like Apple&#39;s.</p><p>But what will happen to consumer spending this holiday season without $10,000 per family in free money and with raging inflation squeezing budgets? A massive miss in profits for consumer discretionary companies is the most likely outcome. Analysts are now slowly starting the process of revising Apple&#39;s earnings estimates down. The danger here is deceptive, as evidenced by the recent earnings misses of Adobe (ADBE), FedEx (FDX), and Restoration Hardware (RH) that reported off-cycle. Traders are excited because banks like Bank of America (BAC) reported higher profits from the Fed&#39;s interest rate hiking campaign. However, as the earnings cycle turns to consumer discretionary and tech there will likely be a bunch of stocks getting routed, with high-profile stocks like Apple and Amazon (AMZN) being likely victims.</p><h3>What To Expect From Apple&#39;s Earnings: Not Sustainable</h3><p>Apple reports quarterly earnings after the market closes on Thursday, October 27th. As always, Apple&#39;s report will be followed by their quarterly earnings call (and posted on Seeking Alpha shortly after). Analysts expect earnings of $1.27 for the quarter. Apple no longer gives earnings guidance- there&#39;s no requirement to do so even though they did so in the past. But this causes investors to get too excited about Apple&#39;s prospects rather than actually looking at the numbers. For investors to expect profits to simply level off with the rug pulled on stimulus is naive. Even before the recent revisions, Wall Street analysts had only projected mid-single-digit EPS growth for Apple over the next few years. That&#39;s not a huge vote of confidence. If you take these estimates at face value, Apple trades for over 22x next fiscal year&#39;s earnings with middling growth prospects. By contrast, the S&amp;P 500 currently trades for about 15.6x analyst earnings estimates and has roughly equal growth prospects. The long-running story for Apple of course has been growth in services revenue, but I expect that to slow dramatically as the amount they can squeeze Google (GOOG) dramatically slows. If Apple can tell TSMC (TSM) no on price increases, then Google can likely do the same for Apple.</p><p>This wouldn&#39;t be so bad except for the likelihood that earnings estimates are wildly inflated due to the massive stimulus in 2021. Once you account for the stimulus, I don&#39;t think there&#39;s much that fundamentally changed for Apple, its products, or its business prospects. In fact, people are likely to delay upgrading iPhones for years since they upgraded en masse in 2021 and early 2022. Apple is oddly out of step with the rest of the industry on this- they recently had to pull a U-turn on a planned 7% ramp in production. We can draw some clues on demand from the broader semiconductor market, with Micron (MU) and Nvidia (NVDA) acknowledging the slowdown in September, with Intel (INTC) announcing weak results and job cuts shortly after. Taiwan Semiconductor announced results a few days ago and warned of weakening demand. There&#39;s also the issue of the strong dollar, which eats away at Apple&#39;s US dollar profits on sales made outside the US. If past cycles are any guide, earnings for mature consumer-centric companies like Apple are likely to fall substantially. Without stimulus, AAPL&#39;s earnings could easily trend back to a bit above its pre-pandemic numbers, pushing the stock below $100 and likely below $75. There are severe, structural problems with the ability of consumers to continue to spend at the rate they are, and consumer discretionary companies are on the frontlines of this change. Raging inflation, lack of stimulus, declines in real earnings, etc., all have a hand in this. And when the hammer eventually drops on student loan forbearance, that&#39;s another 1% or more of the national income sucked back into the U.S. Treasury- equivalent to a fairly broad income tax hike.</p><h3>Mega Cap Tech Valuations: Signal And Noise</h3><p>There&#39;s a classic experiment in statistics where if you put a bunch of people&#39;s guesses together, the highest numbers are likely to be overestimated, while the lowest numbers are likely to be underestimated. For example, if we poll 100 people on how many jellybeans are in a jar or what the margin of victory will be for a candidate in the midterm elections, the highest estimates are likely to be wrong. The high estimates tend to have more noise in them than the ones in the middle. Financial markets aren&#39;t so different. Research shows companies that have the world&#39;s largest market caps tend to subsequently underperform. High P/E ratios combined with high-popularity stocks end up being far more noise than signal and are best avoided.</p><p>Apple is the world&#39;s most valuable company, and it has been this way for a while. But in contrast to my previous research on the disposition effect and Apple stock being worth more than the business as late as 2019, you simply can&#39;t justify the near tripling in price since then. By contrast, you can sell Apple and put your money in a basket of small-cap stocks (IJR) that are trading at similar valuations to 2019. Don&#39;t be fooled by stocks that see huge gains in share price without corresponding growth in the underlying business. History shows that doing this means you&#39;ll be consigned to years of low or negative returns.</p><h3>Bottom Line</h3><p>For a variety of reasons that are unlikely to prove sustainable, Apple has nearly tripled in price since the summer of 2019. Seeking Alpha&#39;s quant model gives the stock an F for valuation and a D+ for growth. This mirrors the lack of enthusiasm for Wall Street analysts on Apple&#39;s growth prospects. AAPL is now among the most overvalued large-cap names. Investors should consider selling and either allocating to Treasury bills that pay 4-4.5% annually, or to small-cap stocks that trade for less than half the valuation of Apple. Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Are Likely To Bomb Going Forward</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Are Likely To Bomb Going Forward\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-19 22:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4547242-apple-earnings-are-likely-to-bomb-going-forward><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple is going against astounding year-over-year comps from 2021's free-money/YOLO economy. But as the economy softens, are people really going to go out of their way to upgrade their iPhones?...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4547242-apple-earnings-are-likely-to-bomb-going-forward\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4547242-apple-earnings-are-likely-to-bomb-going-forward","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163149585","content_text":"SummaryApple is going against astounding year-over-year comps from 2021's free-money/YOLO economy. But as the economy softens, are people really going to go out of their way to upgrade their iPhones?2021 was \"peak everything\" for consumers, with spending on consumer goods like Apple's products being a key bellwether.Apple's U-turn on its planned iPhone production ramp is a clear early warning signal for earnings to decline, but few investors are listening.Apple has also been a prime beneficiary of tax cuts, QE, and stimulus, while the underlying net income of its business looks more sluggish and cyclical.While Apple is a decent business, you should not get sucked into paying high PE ratios for popular stocks with earnings at cyclical peaks, or your portfolio will likely suffer the consequences.Some buy-and-hold investors may consider this blasphemy, but since late 2019 Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock price has grown increasingly disconnected from the reality of its underlying business. Apple's stock is ground zero for investors that expect stimulus-fueled levels of consumer spending to last forever. In reality, investors are tripping over each other to pay a peak multiple for consumer discretionary stocks like AAPL at peak earnings. This is unlikely to succeed as an investing strategy. To this point, the present valuation of Apple is a gift to investors, who now have the opportunity to sell while the stock is overvalued and allocate money elsewhere.Data by YChartsThe Pandemic Didn't Fundamentally Change Apple's BusinessOf course, Apple is a profitable business. But the beauty of looking at Apple's income statement is that it can tell you why the company is making more money and whether the share price is increasing faster or slower than the business.Apple's share price shows powerful gains, trading for about 5.9x more than it did 10 years ago.EPS is up a lot over the last 10 years (3.8x), but not as much as the share price.And EPS, in turn, is up a lot more than net income (2.4x).When you subtract out corporate tax cuts and the benefit from lower interest rates, earnings are only 2.1x the levels of 10 years ago.Moreover, nearly all of this growth has come recently during the pandemic. From 2012 to 2019, earnings before interest and taxes had only grown about 16%! The rest was all from tax cuts, lower interest rates, stimulus, and Apple's buyback. Not to discount the wisdom of buybacks in general- it was great when Apple was buying its shares back at like 10x earnings. But recently at 30x earnings? Not so much!It's strange when you think about it, but Apple's story has been similarly borne out among thousands of companies with the same trend of Market Cap Growth > EPS Growth> Net Income Growth> EBIT Growth. Valuations have risen faster than earnings, which in turn have been juiced by stimulus, falling interest rates, and deficit-financed corporate tax cuts. In the end, investors are getting a lot of sizzle and not much steak.If you're buying Apple here, you really need a compelling reason why Apple's business has fundamentally improved since 2019. I don't see one, besides people getting free money from the government. iPhone sales have been higher post-pandemic than previously, but consider that the US government handed out approximately $10,000 per family in stimulus in 2021. That's tax-free cash in addition to wages 95% of people were making working in 2021, so it was generally pure profit to recipients. In addition, remember that consumers had limited choices for travel, entertainment, and events, which directed spending towards consumer goods like Apple's.But what will happen to consumer spending this holiday season without $10,000 per family in free money and with raging inflation squeezing budgets? A massive miss in profits for consumer discretionary companies is the most likely outcome. Analysts are now slowly starting the process of revising Apple's earnings estimates down. The danger here is deceptive, as evidenced by the recent earnings misses of Adobe (ADBE), FedEx (FDX), and Restoration Hardware (RH) that reported off-cycle. Traders are excited because banks like Bank of America (BAC) reported higher profits from the Fed's interest rate hiking campaign. However, as the earnings cycle turns to consumer discretionary and tech there will likely be a bunch of stocks getting routed, with high-profile stocks like Apple and Amazon (AMZN) being likely victims.What To Expect From Apple's Earnings: Not SustainableApple reports quarterly earnings after the market closes on Thursday, October 27th. As always, Apple's report will be followed by their quarterly earnings call (and posted on Seeking Alpha shortly after). Analysts expect earnings of $1.27 for the quarter. Apple no longer gives earnings guidance- there's no requirement to do so even though they did so in the past. But this causes investors to get too excited about Apple's prospects rather than actually looking at the numbers. For investors to expect profits to simply level off with the rug pulled on stimulus is naive. Even before the recent revisions, Wall Street analysts had only projected mid-single-digit EPS growth for Apple over the next few years. That's not a huge vote of confidence. If you take these estimates at face value, Apple trades for over 22x next fiscal year's earnings with middling growth prospects. By contrast, the S&P 500 currently trades for about 15.6x analyst earnings estimates and has roughly equal growth prospects. The long-running story for Apple of course has been growth in services revenue, but I expect that to slow dramatically as the amount they can squeeze Google (GOOG) dramatically slows. If Apple can tell TSMC (TSM) no on price increases, then Google can likely do the same for Apple.This wouldn't be so bad except for the likelihood that earnings estimates are wildly inflated due to the massive stimulus in 2021. Once you account for the stimulus, I don't think there's much that fundamentally changed for Apple, its products, or its business prospects. In fact, people are likely to delay upgrading iPhones for years since they upgraded en masse in 2021 and early 2022. Apple is oddly out of step with the rest of the industry on this- they recently had to pull a U-turn on a planned 7% ramp in production. We can draw some clues on demand from the broader semiconductor market, with Micron (MU) and Nvidia (NVDA) acknowledging the slowdown in September, with Intel (INTC) announcing weak results and job cuts shortly after. Taiwan Semiconductor announced results a few days ago and warned of weakening demand. There's also the issue of the strong dollar, which eats away at Apple's US dollar profits on sales made outside the US. If past cycles are any guide, earnings for mature consumer-centric companies like Apple are likely to fall substantially. Without stimulus, AAPL's earnings could easily trend back to a bit above its pre-pandemic numbers, pushing the stock below $100 and likely below $75. There are severe, structural problems with the ability of consumers to continue to spend at the rate they are, and consumer discretionary companies are on the frontlines of this change. Raging inflation, lack of stimulus, declines in real earnings, etc., all have a hand in this. And when the hammer eventually drops on student loan forbearance, that's another 1% or more of the national income sucked back into the U.S. Treasury- equivalent to a fairly broad income tax hike.Mega Cap Tech Valuations: Signal And NoiseThere's a classic experiment in statistics where if you put a bunch of people's guesses together, the highest numbers are likely to be overestimated, while the lowest numbers are likely to be underestimated. For example, if we poll 100 people on how many jellybeans are in a jar or what the margin of victory will be for a candidate in the midterm elections, the highest estimates are likely to be wrong. The high estimates tend to have more noise in them than the ones in the middle. Financial markets aren't so different. Research shows companies that have the world's largest market caps tend to subsequently underperform. High P/E ratios combined with high-popularity stocks end up being far more noise than signal and are best avoided.Apple is the world's most valuable company, and it has been this way for a while. But in contrast to my previous research on the disposition effect and Apple stock being worth more than the business as late as 2019, you simply can't justify the near tripling in price since then. By contrast, you can sell Apple and put your money in a basket of small-cap stocks (IJR) that are trading at similar valuations to 2019. Don't be fooled by stocks that see huge gains in share price without corresponding growth in the underlying business. History shows that doing this means you'll be consigned to years of low or negative returns.Bottom LineFor a variety of reasons that are unlikely to prove sustainable, Apple has nearly tripled in price since the summer of 2019. Seeking Alpha's quant model gives the stock an F for valuation and a D+ for growth. This mirrors the lack of enthusiasm for Wall Street analysts on Apple's growth prospects. AAPL is now among the most overvalued large-cap names. Investors should consider selling and either allocating to Treasury bills that pay 4-4.5% annually, or to small-cap stocks that trade for less than half the valuation of Apple. Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":434572770832384,"gmtCreate":1747088228729,"gmtModify":1747088232777,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/434572770832384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983174488,"gmtCreate":1666194088145,"gmtModify":1676537720992,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983174488","repostId":"2276483647","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":338864681554192,"gmtCreate":1723734870500,"gmtModify":1723734876361,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Today P/L","listText":"Today P/L","text":"Today P/L","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ebb57d13708ca4af3b8752314f05889c","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/338864681554192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":338863552708688,"gmtCreate":1723734578933,"gmtModify":1723734608599,"author":{"id":"4112191678947252","authorId":"4112191678947252","name":"ah meow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e2066eed5d1f697bd83cf1f1fe2d716","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4112191678947252","authorIdStr":"4112191678947252"},"themes":[],"title":"To The moon - Become a Contributor","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/activity/forapp/creative-guide/?utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;skin=1&amp;edition=fundamental&amp;shareID=66c9fe2416fb187a7bebaee73f13baeb&amp;invite=OTAAX5&amp;lang=en_US&amp;platform=android\">To The moon - Become a Contributor</a> Click to view this week's hot topics! Start posting and stand a chance to get cool rewards","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/activity/forapp/creative-guide/?utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;skin=1&amp;edition=fundamental&amp;shareID=66c9fe2416fb187a7bebaee73f13baeb&amp;invite=OTAAX5&amp;lang=en_US&amp;platform=android\">To The moon - Become a Contributor</a> Click to view this week's hot topics! Start posting and stand a chance to get cool rewards","text":"Find out more here:To The moon - Become a Contributor Click to view this week's hot topics! Start posting and stand a chance to get cool rewards","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/338863552708688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}