Iggy's Journal: UOB Kay Hian Puts an $11.85 Target on City Developments. Its Operating Profit Doesn't Cover the Interest Bill. 25 September 2026, Evening Video Release I keep coming back to one number on this one: 0.99 times interest coverage. CDL's RNAV story may well be real, but paper asset value doesn't pay an interest bill, and that's the gap between the target price and what the balance sheet is actually telling me right now. The Numbers UOB Kay Hian's $11.85 target depends on actual, fairly priced disposals happening, not simply on a strategic review headline being announced. The numbers underneath tell a harder story. Gearing sits at 69 percent, nearly double the 35 percent ceiling I use as a hard gate. Net debt to EBITDA is at 15.7 times, well past the 10 times mark I treat as a r

Iggy's Journal: T-Bills Jump to 1.92%. What It Means for Your CPF and SRS Cash. 25 September 2026, Afternoon Podcast The surprising part of this auction wasn't simply that yields rose again. It's that they rose despite genuinely strong demand, which is usually the thing that's supposed to hold a cut-off down, not push it up. The Numbers The auction drew S$15.8 billion in applications, real demand, plenty of investors competing for allocation, and the cut-off still jumped 22 basis points in two weeks to 1.92 percent. That combination tells me the auction is clearing at a genuinely higher price for short-term cash right now, not just drifting because supply happened to be thin. For CPF Ordinary Account money, the comparison is straightforward: 1.92 percent still sits about 60 basis points be

Iggy's Journal: The Real Price of a Debt-Free $4,500 a Month in Retirement Is $711,000, Not $1.8 Million. 25 September 2026, Evening Video Release The biggest distortion I found in this comparison wasn't the retirement target itself. It was treating CPF as though it contributes nothing, then asking a portfolio to fund the entire S$4,500 a month alone. The Numbers Once CPF LIFE is actually counted, the FRS to ERS tranche produces an estimated 9.04 percent annual payout ratio, a genuinely strong number, but it comes with a real cost: that money stops being liquid capital the moment it goes in. At the Enhanced Retirement Sum, the remaining portfolio gap falls to S$1,060 a month, which requires S$270,638 at my 4.7 percent yield hurdle. Add that to the ERS itself and you land at roughly S$711,0

Iggy's Journal: Three Out of Four Singapore REITs Trade Below Book Value. Here's Why Almost Nobody Is Merging Them. 24 September 2026, Afternoon Podcast The average S-REIT trades at 0.77 times book value. If markets worked the way textbooks say they should, that gap alone would trigger a wave of mergers. It hasn't. The count sits stuck at 39. The Numbers External managers earn fees on the size of the REIT they run, so a merger that fixes the discount also erases someone's income. That's why consolidation only happens within the same sponsor's stable, fees never actually leave the building, they just move from one entity to another under the same roof. The pressure on the sector isn't easing either. DBS just cut target prices by 9.6 percent after the Fed hiked to 3.75 to 4 percent, adding a

Iggy's Journal: Three Out of Four Singapore REITs Trade Below Book Value. Here's Why Almost Nobody Is Merging Them. 24 September 2026, Afternoon Podcast The average S-REIT trades at 0.77 times book value. If markets worked the way textbooks say they should, that gap alone would trigger a wave of mergers. It hasn't. The count sits stuck at 39. The Numbers External managers earn fees on the size of the REIT they run, so a merger that fixes the discount also erases someone's income. That's why consolidation only happens within the same sponsor's stable, fees never actually leave the building, they just move from one entity to another under the same roof. The pressure on the sector isn't easing either. DBS just cut target prices by 9.6 percent after the Fed hiked to 3.75 to 4 percent, adding a

Iggy's Journal: The Fed, the ECB, and the Bank of Japan Are All Raising Rates. The UK, India, and China Are Not. Here's What That Means for Your CPF and SRS. 23 September 2026, Morning Podcast Everyone assumed hiking banks are the hawks and holding banks are the doves. That's the wrong frame entirely, and it took me a minute to see it too. The Numbers The BOJ hiked to 1.25% even though Japan carries one of the most indebted governments in the world, while China held for a sixteenth straight month despite industrial production actually strengthening. The real split isn't hawkish versus dovish. It's whose demand needs restraining versus whose credit demand is too weak to justify tightening at all. MAS doesn't set a policy rate the way the Fed or ECB does, but SORA mortgages, T-bill yields, a

Iggy's Journal: EP1828 - Singtel's Yield Looks Like 4.3%. Strip Out the One-Off Dividend and It's 3.1%. 22 September 2026, Evening Video Release UOB Kay Hian's $5.50 target and my 4.3% yield reading aren't actually disagreeing with each other. One is pricing a Nxera transaction that hasn't happened yet. The other is measuring the cash Singtel is paying out right now. The Numbers A stock can clear the first test and fail the second at the same time, and that's exactly what I found when I ran the current numbers. Strip out the one-off Value Realisation Dividend and Singtel's core yield drops to 3.08%, below what CPF Special Account already pays with zero equity risk attached. The balance sheet itself isn't the issue. Gearing sits at 23.3% and interest coverage at 19.0x, both clearing with wi

Chip Controls, a Boeing Deal, and a Taiwan Arms Sale All Converge on One Meeting. Here's the Singapore Read. 22 September 2026, Afternoon Podcast Everyone's watching whether Trump and Xi get along on September 24. I'm watching a different question. What happens to the equipment makers sitting underneath the chips, if nobody in that room even mentions them. The Numbers Export controls have been the sticking point through every round of talks this year, and the base case going in is that nothing changes on that front. That's the boring, correct expectation, not a surprise. AEM Holdings isn't on any export control list, but it posted 1H2026 revenue up 30 percent year on year to S$247.2 million on AI and high performance computing demand, the kind of order book that moves when the rules shift

Iggy's Journal: ETFs Cost 0.03%. Unit Trusts Hit You With 5% First. 21 September 2026, Afternoon I went through my own SRS lineup this week and checked the fee structure line by line, not just the headline expense ratio. What jumped out wasn't the ETF side. It was how much unit trusts are still costing people who probably don't know it. The Numbers Singapore's ETF market just crossed $20.5 billion, with CPF and SRS holdings up 380 percent. But fee compression isn't actually happening here. Banks earn 1.5 to 5 percent upfront sales charges on unit trusts, plus ongoing trailer fees worth 20 to 60 percent of the annual management fee. That structure keeps expensive unit trusts in favour, not because they perform better, but because they pay better to the people selling them. My Personal Take

Iggy's Journal: ETFs Cost 0.03%. Unit Trusts Hit You With 5% First. 21 September 2026, Afternoon I went through my own SRS lineup this week and checked the fee structure line by line, not just the headline expense ratio. What jumped out wasn't the ETF side. It was how much unit trusts are still costing people who probably don't know it. The Numbers Singapore's ETF market just crossed $20.5 billion, with CPF and SRS holdings up 380 percent. But fee compression isn't actually happening here. Banks earn 1.5 to 5 percent upfront sales charges on unit trusts, plus ongoing trailer fees worth 20 to 60 percent of the annual management fee. That structure keeps expensive unit trusts in favour, not because they perform better, but because they pay better to the people selling them. My Personal Take

Iggy's Journal: ETFs Cost 0.03%. Unit Trusts Hit You With 5% First. 21 September 2026, Afternoon I went through my own SRS lineup this week and checked the fee structure line by line, not just the headline expense ratio. What jumped out wasn't the ETF side. It was how much unit trusts are still costing people who probably don't know it. The Numbers Singapore's ETF market just crossed $20.5 billion, with CPF and SRS holdings up 380 percent. But fee compression isn't actually happening here. Banks earn 1.5 to 5 percent upfront sales charges on unit trusts, plus ongoing trailer fees worth 20 to 60 percent of the annual management fee. That structure keeps expensive unit trusts in favour, not because they perform better, but because they pay better to the people selling them. My Personal Take

Iggy's Journal: ETFs Cost 0.03%. Unit Trusts Hit You With 5% First. 21 September 2026, Afternoon I went through my own SRS lineup this week and checked the fee structure line by line, not just the headline expense ratio. What jumped out wasn't the ETF side. It was how much unit trusts are still costing people who probably don't know it. The Numbers Singapore's ETF market just crossed $20.5 billion, with CPF and SRS holdings up 380 percent. But fee compression isn't actually happening here. Banks earn 1.5 to 5 percent upfront sales charges on unit trusts, plus ongoing trailer fees worth 20 to 60 percent of the annual management fee. That structure keeps expensive unit trusts in favour, not because they perform better, but because they pay better to the people selling them. My Personal Take

Iggy's Journal: ETFs Cost 0.03%. Unit Trusts Hit You With 5% First. 21 September 2026, Afternoon I went through my own SRS lineup this week and checked the fee structure line by line, not just the headline expense ratio. What jumped out wasn't the ETF side. It was how much unit trusts are still costing people who probably don't know it. The Numbers Singapore's ETF market just crossed $20.5 billion, with CPF and SRS holdings up 380 percent. But fee compression isn't actually happening here. Banks earn 1.5 to 5 percent upfront sales charges on unit trusts, plus ongoing trailer fees worth 20 to 60 percent of the annual management fee. That structure keeps expensive unit trusts in favour, not because they perform better, but because they pay better to the people selling them. My Personal Take

Iggy's Journal: ETFs Cost 0.03%. Unit Trusts Hit You With 5% First. 21 September 2026, Afternoon I went through my own SRS lineup this week and checked the fee structure line by line, not just the headline expense ratio. What jumped out wasn't the ETF side. It was how much unit trusts are still costing people who probably don't know it. The Numbers Singapore's ETF market just crossed $20.5 billion, with CPF and SRS holdings up 380 percent. But fee compression isn't actually happening here. Banks earn 1.5 to 5 percent upfront sales charges on unit trusts, plus ongoing trailer fees worth 20 to 60 percent of the annual management fee. That structure keeps expensive unit trusts in favour, not because they perform better, but because they pay better to the people selling them. My Personal Take

Iggy's Journal: Growing Faster, Bleeding Less, Still Not Paying You 19 September 2026, Evening Video Release Grab shares are sitting near a 52 week low. I pulled the actual Q2 2026 numbers before writing anything, and the share price wasn't what jumped out at me. The Numbers Financial Services revenue grew 59 percent to US$134 million, while the segment's EBITDA loss narrowed to US$15 million. That's growth with less bleeding, not profitability, and those are two very different things to be excited about. The Atome deal can't even consolidate into results until Q3 2027 at the earliest, so whatever story you're telling yourself about that acquisition today is getting ahead of the actual accounting. My Personal Take If you're holding Grab inside CPF or SRS, I want to be direct about what thi

Iggy's Journal: Growing Faster, Bleeding Less, Still Not Paying You 19 September 2026, Evening Video Release Grab shares are sitting near a 52 week low. I pulled the actual Q2 2026 numbers before writing anything, and the share price wasn't what jumped out at me. The Numbers Financial Services revenue grew 59 percent to US$134 million, while the segment's EBITDA loss narrowed to US$15 million. That's growth with less bleeding, not profitability, and those are two very different things to be excited about. The Atome deal can't even consolidate into results until Q3 2027 at the earliest, so whatever story you're telling yourself about that acquisition today is getting ahead of the actual accounting. My Personal Take If you're holding Grab inside CPF or SRS, I want to be direct about what thi

Iggy's Journal: Growing Faster, Bleeding Less, Still Not Paying You 19 September 2026, Evening Video Release Grab shares are sitting near a 52 week low. I pulled the actual Q2 2026 numbers before writing anything, and the share price wasn't what jumped out at me. The Numbers Financial Services revenue grew 59 percent to US$134 million, while the segment's EBITDA loss narrowed to US$15 million. That's growth with less bleeding, not profitability, and those are two very different things to be excited about. The Atome deal can't even consolidate into results until Q3 2027 at the earliest, so whatever story you're telling yourself about that acquisition today is getting ahead of the actual accounting. My Personal Take If you're holding Grab inside CPF or SRS, I want to be direct about what thi

Iggy's Journal: Growing Faster, Bleeding Less, Still Not Paying You 19 September 2026, Evening Video Release Grab shares are sitting near a 52 week low. I pulled the actual Q2 2026 numbers before writing anything, and the share price wasn't what jumped out at me. The Numbers Financial Services revenue grew 59 percent to US$134 million, while the segment's EBITDA loss narrowed to US$15 million. That's growth with less bleeding, not profitability, and those are two very different things to be excited about. The Atome deal can't even consolidate into results until Q3 2027 at the earliest, so whatever story you're telling yourself about that acquisition today is getting ahead of the actual accounting. My Personal Take If you're holding Grab inside CPF or SRS, I want to be direct about what thi

Iggy's Journal: Growing Faster, Bleeding Less, Still Not Paying You 19 September 2026, Evening Video Release Grab shares are sitting near a 52 week low. I pulled the actual Q2 2026 numbers before writing anything, and the share price wasn't what jumped out at me. The Numbers Financial Services revenue grew 59 percent to US$134 million, while the segment's EBITDA loss narrowed to US$15 million. That's growth with less bleeding, not profitability, and those are two very different things to be excited about. The Atome deal can't even consolidate into results until Q3 2027 at the earliest, so whatever story you're telling yourself about that acquisition today is getting ahead of the actual accounting. My Personal Take If you're holding Grab inside CPF or SRS, I want to be direct about what thi