Minjow personal page - To The Moon

Minjow

Minjow

No personal profile

74Follow

4Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2023-12-13

$Apple(AAPL)$ will up up up till end of the year

2023-12-13

Good, it will drive for a short period

2023-04-06

good

@Capital_Insights:Q2 Outlook of Macro Economic, Stocks, Oil, Gold & Bitcoin…

2022-09-02

Good

What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? "Too Hot" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4119137903653662","uuid":"4119137903653662","gmtCreate":1661825302184,"gmtModify":1662429823576,"name":"Minjow","pinyin":"minjow","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":4,"headSize":74,"tweetSize":4,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"init","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-1","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Debut Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 500 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.01.12","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 30","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"60.95%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.03.04","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.03","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":30,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":251445169291400,"gmtCreate":1702425208435,"gmtModify":1702432159186,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> will up up up till end of the year","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> will up up up till end of the year","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ will up up up till end of the year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251445169291400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4165515526200422","authorId":"4165515526200422","name":"三千万到手","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/85f2fea76a5539862582834e22265ac9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4165515526200422","idStr":"4165515526200422"},"content":"AAPL has no negative news yet. It should break through 200 this week","text":"AAPL has no negative news yet. It should break through 200 this week","html":"AAPL has no negative news yet. It should break through 200 this week"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251444601323784,"gmtCreate":1702425071470,"gmtModify":1702432155740,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good,&nbsp; it will drive for a short period","listText":"Good,&nbsp; it will drive for a short period","text":"Good, it will drive for a short period","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251444601323784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948710987,"gmtCreate":1680789614949,"gmtModify":1680791475604,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948710987","repostId":"9948797513","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9948797513,"gmtCreate":1680787709132,"gmtModify":1680787921373,"author":{"id":"3527667668165440","authorId":"3527667668165440","name":"Capital_Insights","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfdc66fff48bb2b9e2d328ac5eb33100","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668165440","idStr":"3527667668165440"},"themes":[],"title":"Q2 Outlook of Macro Economic, Stocks, Oil, Gold & Bitcoin…","htmlText":"US stocks technology stocks return to the king in Q1 2023, see Weekly: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/9941529960\" target=\"_blank\">After Tech's Q1, How Will You Trade a Strong April Market?</a>The Q1 presented both risks and opportunities. The risk was that the Feb U.S. non-agricultural data exceeded expectations; the market expected that Europe and the United States will accelerate interest rate hikes, and U.S. bond interest rates rose sharply; On March 10th, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SIVBQ\">$SVB Financial Group(SIVBQ)$</a> collapsed within 48 hours. After that, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CS\">$Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$</a> collapsed, resulting in a banking crisis, then central banks in Europe and the US vigorously rescued the market. The market fluctuated violently.Th","listText":"US stocks technology stocks return to the king in Q1 2023, see Weekly: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/9941529960\" target=\"_blank\">After Tech's Q1, How Will You Trade a Strong April Market?</a>The Q1 presented both risks and opportunities. The risk was that the Feb U.S. non-agricultural data exceeded expectations; the market expected that Europe and the United States will accelerate interest rate hikes, and U.S. bond interest rates rose sharply; On March 10th, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SIVBQ\">$SVB Financial Group(SIVBQ)$</a> collapsed within 48 hours. After that, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CS\">$Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$</a> collapsed, resulting in a banking crisis, then central banks in Europe and the US vigorously rescued the market. The market fluctuated violently.Th","text":"US stocks technology stocks return to the king in Q1 2023, see Weekly: After Tech's Q1, How Will You Trade a Strong April Market?The Q1 presented both risks and opportunities. The risk was that the Feb U.S. non-agricultural data exceeded expectations; the market expected that Europe and the United States will accelerate interest rate hikes, and U.S. bond interest rates rose sharply; On March 10th, the $SVB Financial Group(SIVBQ)$ collapsed within 48 hours. After that, $Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$ collapsed, resulting in a banking crisis, then central banks in Europe and the US vigorously rescued the market. The market fluctuated violently.Th","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c0fefde5f37e1178e2a20fbde74a910","width":"1191","height":"757"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a477d715d5a03e3673f00cde1df2bd79","width":"879","height":"842"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c33795ccc336a4bd6dc1188fe041962e","width":"1052","height":"714"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948797513","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939812391,"gmtCreate":1662083319519,"gmtModify":1676536803749,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939812391","repostId":"2264210771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264210771","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662076475,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264210771?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-02 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264210771","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Frid","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a &#39;less intense&#39; way than last Friday&#39;s Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday&#39;s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>&#34;The labor market needs to show signs that it&#39;s on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that&#39;s not good for stocks,&#34; wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>&#39;Too Hot&#39;</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in &#34;too hot&#34; with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a &#34;less-intense repeat&#34; of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target &#34;until the job is done&#34;.</p><p>&#34;Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;Practically, this would increase the chances the &#39;terminal&#39; fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.&#34;</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>&#39;Just Right&#39;</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>&#34;We wouldn&#39;t expect an explosion higher in stocks because a &#39;Just Right&#39; jobs report still wouldn&#39;t bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.&#34;</p><h2>&#39;Too Cold&#39;</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a &#34;bad is good&#34; mindset though the Fed won&#39;t pivot away from its monetary tightening as &#34;a soft number won&#39;t change the Fed&#39;s calculus for the next several meetings -- &#39;we&#39;re still getting 50-75 bps in September&#39;, so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,&#34; according to Essaye.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-02 07:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a &#39;less intense&#39; way than last Friday&#39;s Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday&#39;s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>&#34;The labor market needs to show signs that it&#39;s on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that&#39;s not good for stocks,&#34; wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>&#39;Too Hot&#39;</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in &#34;too hot&#34; with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a &#34;less-intense repeat&#34; of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target &#34;until the job is done&#34;.</p><p>&#34;Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;Practically, this would increase the chances the &#39;terminal&#39; fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.&#34;</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>&#39;Just Right&#39;</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>&#34;We wouldn&#39;t expect an explosion higher in stocks because a &#39;Just Right&#39; jobs report still wouldn&#39;t bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.&#34;</p><h2>&#39;Too Cold&#39;</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a &#34;bad is good&#34; mindset though the Fed won&#39;t pivot away from its monetary tightening as &#34;a soft number won&#39;t change the Fed&#39;s calculus for the next several meetings -- &#39;we&#39;re still getting 50-75 bps in September&#39;, so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,&#34; according to Essaye.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264210771","content_text":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Friday's Powell speech, says Tom EssayeWith Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday's monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.The Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.\"The labor market needs to show signs that it's on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that's not good for stocks,\" wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.'Too Hot'According to Essaye, if the employment results come in \"too hot\" with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a \"less-intense repeat\" of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target \"until the job is done\".\"Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,\" said Essaye. \"Practically, this would increase the chances the 'terminal' fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.\"He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.'Just Right'However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.\"We wouldn't expect an explosion higher in stocks because a 'Just Right' jobs report still wouldn't bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,\" said Essaye. \"(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.\"'Too Cold'In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a \"bad is good\" mindset though the Fed won't pivot away from its monetary tightening as \"a soft number won't change the Fed's calculus for the next several meetings -- 'we're still getting 50-75 bps in September', so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,\" according to Essaye.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":251445169291400,"gmtCreate":1702425208435,"gmtModify":1702432159186,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> will up up up till end of the year","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a> will up up up till end of the year","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ will up up up till end of the year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251445169291400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4165515526200422","authorId":"4165515526200422","name":"三千万到手","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/85f2fea76a5539862582834e22265ac9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4165515526200422","idStr":"4165515526200422"},"content":"AAPL has no negative news yet. It should break through 200 this week","text":"AAPL has no negative news yet. It should break through 200 this week","html":"AAPL has no negative news yet. It should break through 200 this week"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939812391,"gmtCreate":1662083319519,"gmtModify":1676536803749,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939812391","repostId":"2264210771","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251444601323784,"gmtCreate":1702425071470,"gmtModify":1702432155740,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good,&nbsp; it will drive for a short period","listText":"Good,&nbsp; it will drive for a short period","text":"Good, it will drive for a short period","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251444601323784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948710987,"gmtCreate":1680789614949,"gmtModify":1680791475604,"author":{"id":"4119137903653662","authorId":"4119137903653662","name":"Minjow","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a10fa91aede862ce4bbed9b04d7a8d29","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4119137903653662","idStr":"4119137903653662"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948710987","repostId":"9948797513","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9948797513,"gmtCreate":1680787709132,"gmtModify":1680787921373,"author":{"id":"3527667668165440","authorId":"3527667668165440","name":"Capital_Insights","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfdc66fff48bb2b9e2d328ac5eb33100","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667668165440","idStr":"3527667668165440"},"themes":[],"title":"Q2 Outlook of Macro Economic, Stocks, Oil, Gold & Bitcoin…","htmlText":"US stocks technology stocks return to the king in Q1 2023, see Weekly: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/9941529960\" target=\"_blank\">After Tech's Q1, How Will You Trade a Strong April Market?</a>The Q1 presented both risks and opportunities. The risk was that the Feb U.S. non-agricultural data exceeded expectations; the market expected that Europe and the United States will accelerate interest rate hikes, and U.S. bond interest rates rose sharply; On March 10th, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SIVBQ\">$SVB Financial Group(SIVBQ)$</a> collapsed within 48 hours. After that, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CS\">$Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$</a> collapsed, resulting in a banking crisis, then central banks in Europe and the US vigorously rescued the market. The market fluctuated violently.Th","listText":"US stocks technology stocks return to the king in Q1 2023, see Weekly: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/9941529960\" target=\"_blank\">After Tech's Q1, How Will You Trade a Strong April Market?</a>The Q1 presented both risks and opportunities. The risk was that the Feb U.S. non-agricultural data exceeded expectations; the market expected that Europe and the United States will accelerate interest rate hikes, and U.S. bond interest rates rose sharply; On March 10th, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SIVBQ\">$SVB Financial Group(SIVBQ)$</a> collapsed within 48 hours. After that, <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CS\">$Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$</a> collapsed, resulting in a banking crisis, then central banks in Europe and the US vigorously rescued the market. The market fluctuated violently.Th","text":"US stocks technology stocks return to the king in Q1 2023, see Weekly: After Tech's Q1, How Will You Trade a Strong April Market?The Q1 presented both risks and opportunities. The risk was that the Feb U.S. non-agricultural data exceeded expectations; the market expected that Europe and the United States will accelerate interest rate hikes, and U.S. bond interest rates rose sharply; On March 10th, the $SVB Financial Group(SIVBQ)$ collapsed within 48 hours. After that, $Credit Suisse Group AG(CS)$ collapsed, resulting in a banking crisis, then central banks in Europe and the US vigorously rescued the market. The market fluctuated violently.Th","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c0fefde5f37e1178e2a20fbde74a910","width":"1191","height":"757"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a477d715d5a03e3673f00cde1df2bd79","width":"879","height":"842"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c33795ccc336a4bd6dc1188fe041962e","width":"1052","height":"714"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948797513","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}