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2023-12-02

While December started strong with bullish sentiments and new highs for major indices, analysts warn of potential volatility ahead. Key factors like upcoming Fed decisions and global economic uncertainties could disrupt the rally, making December a mixed bag for investors.

2023-10-26

This is good insights. Thanks for sharing.

Google's Stock Sheds Market Cap the Size of Nike in One of Wall Street's Five Worst Drops Ever

2023-03-08

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2023-03-08

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Apple Debuts Yellow iPhone 14 to Boost Interest Until New Model

2023-03-08

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2023-03-08

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2023-03-08

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What’s Next for Stocks After Fed’s Powell Triggers Market-Rattling Rate Jolt

2023-03-06

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The Car of the Future? Ford Applies for Patent on Car That Can Automatically Repossess Itself

2023-03-06

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UBS Cuts Bonuses 10% After Deal Slump; Hamers Gets Boost

2023-03-06

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Stock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 13 Trading Sessions

2023-03-06

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2023-03-06

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Jobs Report; Powell Testifies; Sea, JD.com, CrowdStrike Earnings: What to Know This Week

2023-02-26

This is an excellent article that provides some insights to Buffett Strategy.

Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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December started strong with bullish sentiments and new highs for major indices, analysts warn of potential volatility ahead. Key factors like upcoming Fed decisions and global economic uncertainties could disrupt the rally, making December a mixed bag for investors.","listText":"While December started strong with bullish sentiments and new highs for major indices, analysts warn of potential volatility ahead. Key factors like upcoming Fed decisions and global economic uncertainties could disrupt the rally, making December a mixed bag for investors.","text":"While December started strong with bullish sentiments and new highs for major indices, analysts warn of potential volatility ahead. Key factors like upcoming Fed decisions and global economic uncertainties could disrupt the rally, making December a mixed bag for investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/247452373225536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234646340894920,"gmtCreate":1698295650397,"gmtModify":1698295654561,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is good insights. Thanks for sharing.&nbsp;","listText":"This is good insights. Thanks for sharing.&nbsp;","text":"This is good insights. Thanks for sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234646340894920","repostId":"2378078336","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2378078336","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1698276633,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2378078336?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-10-26 07:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google's Stock Sheds Market Cap the Size of Nike in One of Wall Street's Five Worst Drops Ever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2378078336","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Alphabet’s stock suffers worst daily selloff in more than three yearsAlphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.The selloff in Alphabet Inc. shares Wednesda","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Alphabet’s stock suffers worst daily selloff in more than three years</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a97470fc26b8385afcc494de205d4fe\" alt=\"Alphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.\" title=\"Alphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\"/><span>Alphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.</span></p><p>The selloff in Alphabet Inc. shares Wednesday resulted in the fifth-largest one-day decline in market value for any U.S. company on record.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Alphabet’s stock fell 9.5% in Wednesday’s action, wiping out $166.64 billion in market value for the Google parent company, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The decline in market cap is the largest one-day loss for Alphabet on record, though Meta Platforms Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. all suffered worse losses in the past.</p><p>The company’s daily drop in valuation is more than the entire market capitalizations of each of Nike Inc., Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Walt Disney Co.</p><p>The 9.5% fall in Alphabet Class A shares Wednesday made for their worst single-day percentage decline since March 16, 2020, when they shed 11.6%.</p><p>The decline also marked the worst post-earnings one-day percentage decline for the Class A shares since July 18, 2008, when they dropped 9.8%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Alphabet late Tuesday beat overall revenue and earnings expectations, though the cloud-computing business underwhelmed and analysts left feeling less upbeat about the company’s margin potential going forward.</p><p>“Expectations were high heading into GOOG results, and while the top-line delivered in the most important areas, we wouldn’t be surprised if investors rotate a bit into other mega cap tech names near-term,” Barclays analyst Ross Sandler wrote following Tuesday afternoon’s earnings report.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle's Stock Sheds Market Cap the Size of Nike in One of Wall Street's Five Worst Drops Ever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-10-26 07:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Alphabet’s stock suffers worst daily selloff in more than three years</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a97470fc26b8385afcc494de205d4fe\" alt=\"Alphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.\" title=\"Alphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\"/><span>Alphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.</span></p><p>The selloff in Alphabet Inc. shares Wednesday resulted in the fifth-largest one-day decline in market value for any U.S. company on record.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Alphabet’s stock fell 9.5% in Wednesday’s action, wiping out $166.64 billion in market value for the Google parent company, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The decline in market cap is the largest one-day loss for Alphabet on record, though Meta Platforms Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. all suffered worse losses in the past.</p><p>The company’s daily drop in valuation is more than the entire market capitalizations of each of Nike Inc., Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Walt Disney Co.</p><p>The 9.5% fall in Alphabet Class A shares Wednesday made for their worst single-day percentage decline since March 16, 2020, when they shed 11.6%.</p><p>The decline also marked the worst post-earnings one-day percentage decline for the Class A shares since July 18, 2008, when they dropped 9.8%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Alphabet late Tuesday beat overall revenue and earnings expectations, though the cloud-computing business underwhelmed and analysts left feeling less upbeat about the company’s margin potential going forward.</p><p>“Expectations were high heading into GOOG results, and while the top-line delivered in the most important areas, we wouldn’t be surprised if investors rotate a bit into other mega cap tech names near-term,” Barclays analyst Ross Sandler wrote following Tuesday afternoon’s earnings report.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0052756011.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4528":"SaaS概念","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU2265009873.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Growth Equity AS SGD-H","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0494093205.USD":"贝莱德ESG灵活多元资产A2 USD-H","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1804176565.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0965509010.AUD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (AUDHDG) INC","BK4558":"双十一","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU1691799644.USD":"Amundi Funds Polen Capital Global Growth A2 (C) USD","LU0861579265.USD":"联博低波幅策略股票基金A","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","GOOGL":"谷歌A","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","GOOG":"谷歌","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1303367103.USD":"摩根大通多经理另类基金 A (acc)","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","LU0557290698.USD":"施罗德环球可持续增长基金","BK4146":"鞋类"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/googles-stock-sheds-market-cap-the-size-of-nike-in-one-of-wall-streets-five-worst-drops-ever-734be4d5?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2378078336","content_text":"Alphabet’s stock suffers worst daily selloff in more than three yearsAlphabet shed more market capitalization Wednesday than it had in any single day prior.The selloff in Alphabet Inc. shares Wednesday resulted in the fifth-largest one-day decline in market value for any U.S. company on record.Alphabet’s stock fell 9.5% in Wednesday’s action, wiping out $166.64 billion in market value for the Google parent company, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The decline in market cap is the largest one-day loss for Alphabet on record, though Meta Platforms Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. all suffered worse losses in the past.The company’s daily drop in valuation is more than the entire market capitalizations of each of Nike Inc., Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Walt Disney Co.The 9.5% fall in Alphabet Class A shares Wednesday made for their worst single-day percentage decline since March 16, 2020, when they shed 11.6%.The decline also marked the worst post-earnings one-day percentage decline for the Class A shares since July 18, 2008, when they dropped 9.8%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Alphabet late Tuesday beat overall revenue and earnings expectations, though the cloud-computing business underwhelmed and analysts left feeling less upbeat about the company’s margin potential going forward.“Expectations were high heading into GOOG results, and while the top-line delivered in the most important areas, we wouldn’t be surprised if investors rotate a bit into other mega cap tech names near-term,” Barclays analyst Ross Sandler wrote following Tuesday afternoon’s earnings report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024234,"gmtCreate":1678251897329,"gmtModify":1678251901690,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024234","repostId":"2317412064","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024643,"gmtCreate":1678251874182,"gmtModify":1678251877893,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024643","repostId":"2317995964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317995964","pubTimestamp":1678259746,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317995964?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 15:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Debuts Yellow iPhone 14 to Boost Interest Until New Model","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317995964","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Apple Inc. is returning to a frequent trick it uses to keep buyers interested in its current iPhone ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple Inc. is returning to a frequent trick it uses to keep buyers interested in its current iPhone line until the new model arrives: adding a new color.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20dc8f4d14c1841621dda53e9ab19afb\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"743\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Apple’s yellow iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus  Source: Apple</span></p><p>The company announced a yellow version of the iPhone 14 and 14 Plus on Tuesday, adding to the existing midnight, blue, purple, red and starlight options. The new model — which doesn’t add any additional enhancements — becomes available for preorder on March 10 and will go on sale in retail stores on March 14, the company said.</p><p>The color addition gives Apple a new way to market a product that went on sale about six months ago — keeping it top-of-mind for consumers at a time when the iPhone 15 launch is still another six months away. Apple has used the tactic frequently in recent years.</p><p>In 2017 and 2018, the company released red versions of the iPhone 7 and iPhone 8 lines, respectively. In 2021, it added a purple iPhone 12. Last year, it released green versions of both the iPhone 13 and 13 Pro.</p><p>For 2023, the company hasn’t added a new iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max color. Those models continues to come in black, gold, silver and purple.</p><p>With the next generation of iPhone, expected in September, Apple is planning to add the Dynamic Island — the new interface at the top of the device — to the lower-end versions. Though the standard iPhone 15 will retain the look of the previous model, theiPhone 15 Prowill get more significant changes, including a new titanium design, faster processor and periscope camera with much-improved zoom.</p><p>As it has done in the past, Apple has also added new colors for its iPhone cases and watch bands. In the coming months, the company is also planning new Macs — including new MacBook Air models and the first Apple Silicon-based Mac Pro — as well as theintroductionof its first mixed-reality headset.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Debuts Yellow iPhone 14 to Boost Interest Until New Model</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Debuts Yellow iPhone 14 to Boost Interest Until New Model\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-08 15:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-07/apple-debuts-yellow-iphone-14-to-boost-interest-until-new-model><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple Inc. is returning to a frequent trick it uses to keep buyers interested in its current iPhone line until the new model arrives: adding a new color.Apple’s yellow iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus  ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-07/apple-debuts-yellow-iphone-14-to-boost-interest-until-new-model\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","AAPL":"苹果","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4576":"AR","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4566":"资本集团","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4588":"碎股","LU0511384066.AUD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (AUDHDG) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus","BK4017":"黄金","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-07/apple-debuts-yellow-iphone-14-to-boost-interest-until-new-model","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317995964","content_text":"Apple Inc. is returning to a frequent trick it uses to keep buyers interested in its current iPhone line until the new model arrives: adding a new color.Apple’s yellow iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus  Source: AppleThe company announced a yellow version of the iPhone 14 and 14 Plus on Tuesday, adding to the existing midnight, blue, purple, red and starlight options. The new model — which doesn’t add any additional enhancements — becomes available for preorder on March 10 and will go on sale in retail stores on March 14, the company said.The color addition gives Apple a new way to market a product that went on sale about six months ago — keeping it top-of-mind for consumers at a time when the iPhone 15 launch is still another six months away. Apple has used the tactic frequently in recent years.In 2017 and 2018, the company released red versions of the iPhone 7 and iPhone 8 lines, respectively. In 2021, it added a purple iPhone 12. Last year, it released green versions of both the iPhone 13 and 13 Pro.For 2023, the company hasn’t added a new iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max color. Those models continues to come in black, gold, silver and purple.With the next generation of iPhone, expected in September, Apple is planning to add the Dynamic Island — the new interface at the top of the device — to the lower-end versions. Though the standard iPhone 15 will retain the look of the previous model, theiPhone 15 Prowill get more significant changes, including a new titanium design, faster processor and periscope camera with much-improved zoom.As it has done in the past, Apple has also added new colors for its iPhone cases and watch bands. In the coming months, the company is also planning new Macs — including new MacBook Air models and the first Apple Silicon-based Mac Pro — as well as theintroductionof its first mixed-reality headset.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024848,"gmtCreate":1678251865185,"gmtModify":1678251869041,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024848","repostId":"1181525228","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024129,"gmtCreate":1678251856461,"gmtModify":1678251860213,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024129","repostId":"2317516102","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024397,"gmtCreate":1678251846420,"gmtModify":1678251850536,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024397","repostId":"2317410170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317410170","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1678244750,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317410170?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 11:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What’s Next for Stocks After Fed’s Powell Triggers Market-Rattling Rate Jolt","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317410170","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Dow slumps 500 points as 2-year-yield tops 5%, dollar soarsJerome Powell NICHOLAS KAMM/AGENCE FRANCE","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Dow slumps 500 points as 2-year-yield tops 5%, dollar soars</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/688e7c6aa5dcec787eb241c36bf897ed\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jerome Powell NICHOLAS KAMM/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>U.S. stocks and other financial markets were jolted Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made clear interest rates would rise further than policy makers previously expected, and opened the door wide open to speeding up rate hikes if the data warrants it.</p><p>&#34;Jay Powell pulled no punches when it came to the Fed&#39;s first priority to get inflation under control, and to go as far and as fast with rates as those numbers required,&#34; said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at U.K. broker AJ Bell, in emailed comments.</p><p>The main event was a surge in the policy sensitive 2-year Treasury yield , which jumped nearly 12 basis points and topped 5% for the first time since 2007. Yields and debt prices move opposite each other.</p><p>The move came as fed-funds futures showed that traders now see a more-than-60% chance that policy makers will lift the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points or half a percentage point, at the end of the next Fed meeting on March 22. That&#39;s up from around 34% on Monday and 9% a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>The surge in the 2-year yield led the dollar higher versus major rivals, lifting the ICE U.S. Dollar Index  by 1.2% to its highest since Jan. 6.</p><p>Gold slumped in response to rising yields and a stronger dollar. And equities dropped, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending with a loss of 574.98 points, or 1.7%, while the S&amp;P 500  slid 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite  dropped 1.3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ca7bfd778c6fe0ead54ce9cb08feb6\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>&#34;If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes,&#34; Powell said, in his prepared testimony before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p>Later, in the question-and-answer session with lawmakers, Powell noted that policy makers &#34;have two or three more very important data releases to analyze before the time of the FOMC meeting,&#34; referring to the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.</p><p>Analysts said Powell left little room for interpretation.</p><p>&#34;To summarize his speech in one sentence: a 50 basis point hike in March is on the table,&#34; said Daniel Berkowitz, investment director for investment manager Prudent Management Associates, in a note.</p><p>While markets are still somewhat split on the magnitude of the next rate hike per data from CME FedWatch, this morning&#39;s comments make clearer that regardless of the next increase, the likelihood of a Fed policy pivot has been pushed further down the road.</p><p>When it comes to major data releases, the February jobs report is set for Friday. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal, on average, look for the economy to have added 225,000 jobs, slowing from a blowout 517,000 increase in January that helped set in motion a market repricing of rate-hike expectations.</p><p>&#34;The seemingly unwavering strength of the job market, we believe, has heightened the Fed&#39;s fears of inflation embedding into the economy,&#34; said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, in emailed comments. &#34;As such, we believe members of the Fed will be willing to set aside positive trends on prices and continue to raise rates until it sees what it interprets as meaningful signs that the labor market is faltering,&#34;</p><p>&#34;The Fed&#39;s insistence on focusing on this lagging indicator is why we continue to view a recession as the likely outcome in the months or quarters ahead,&#34; he said. Though the relative financial strength of consumers and businesses means a downturn will likely be &#34;shallow, short and uneven.&#34;</p><p>In addition to the February jobs report on Friday, investors next week will see the February readings for the consumer-price index and the producer-price index.</p><p>A half percentage point interest rate hike isn&#39;t written in stone, said Andrew Hunter, deputy U.S. chief economist at Capital Economics, in a note.</p><p>The decision &#34;is likely to hinge on the strength of the February employment and CPI inflation data. If, as we expect, the January surge in payrolls proves to be a blip (we&#39;re forecasting a 200,000 gain in February) and the earlier downward pressure on core inflation re-emerges, another 25bp still looks more likely,&#34; he wrote.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What’s Next for Stocks After Fed’s Powell Triggers Market-Rattling Rate Jolt</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat’s Next for Stocks After Fed’s Powell Triggers Market-Rattling Rate Jolt\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-08 11:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Dow slumps 500 points as 2-year-yield tops 5%, dollar soars</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/688e7c6aa5dcec787eb241c36bf897ed\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jerome Powell NICHOLAS KAMM/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>U.S. stocks and other financial markets were jolted Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made clear interest rates would rise further than policy makers previously expected, and opened the door wide open to speeding up rate hikes if the data warrants it.</p><p>&#34;Jay Powell pulled no punches when it came to the Fed&#39;s first priority to get inflation under control, and to go as far and as fast with rates as those numbers required,&#34; said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at U.K. broker AJ Bell, in emailed comments.</p><p>The main event was a surge in the policy sensitive 2-year Treasury yield , which jumped nearly 12 basis points and topped 5% for the first time since 2007. Yields and debt prices move opposite each other.</p><p>The move came as fed-funds futures showed that traders now see a more-than-60% chance that policy makers will lift the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points or half a percentage point, at the end of the next Fed meeting on March 22. That&#39;s up from around 34% on Monday and 9% a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>The surge in the 2-year yield led the dollar higher versus major rivals, lifting the ICE U.S. Dollar Index  by 1.2% to its highest since Jan. 6.</p><p>Gold slumped in response to rising yields and a stronger dollar. And equities dropped, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending with a loss of 574.98 points, or 1.7%, while the S&amp;P 500  slid 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite  dropped 1.3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ca7bfd778c6fe0ead54ce9cb08feb6\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>&#34;If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes,&#34; Powell said, in his prepared testimony before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p>Later, in the question-and-answer session with lawmakers, Powell noted that policy makers &#34;have two or three more very important data releases to analyze before the time of the FOMC meeting,&#34; referring to the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.</p><p>Analysts said Powell left little room for interpretation.</p><p>&#34;To summarize his speech in one sentence: a 50 basis point hike in March is on the table,&#34; said Daniel Berkowitz, investment director for investment manager Prudent Management Associates, in a note.</p><p>While markets are still somewhat split on the magnitude of the next rate hike per data from CME FedWatch, this morning&#39;s comments make clearer that regardless of the next increase, the likelihood of a Fed policy pivot has been pushed further down the road.</p><p>When it comes to major data releases, the February jobs report is set for Friday. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal, on average, look for the economy to have added 225,000 jobs, slowing from a blowout 517,000 increase in January that helped set in motion a market repricing of rate-hike expectations.</p><p>&#34;The seemingly unwavering strength of the job market, we believe, has heightened the Fed&#39;s fears of inflation embedding into the economy,&#34; said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, in emailed comments. &#34;As such, we believe members of the Fed will be willing to set aside positive trends on prices and continue to raise rates until it sees what it interprets as meaningful signs that the labor market is faltering,&#34;</p><p>&#34;The Fed&#39;s insistence on focusing on this lagging indicator is why we continue to view a recession as the likely outcome in the months or quarters ahead,&#34; he said. Though the relative financial strength of consumers and businesses means a downturn will likely be &#34;shallow, short and uneven.&#34;</p><p>In addition to the February jobs report on Friday, investors next week will see the February readings for the consumer-price index and the producer-price index.</p><p>A half percentage point interest rate hike isn&#39;t written in stone, said Andrew Hunter, deputy U.S. chief economist at Capital Economics, in a note.</p><p>The decision &#34;is likely to hinge on the strength of the February employment and CPI inflation data. If, as we expect, the January surge in payrolls proves to be a blip (we&#39;re forecasting a 200,000 gain in February) and the earlier downward pressure on core inflation re-emerges, another 25bp still looks more likely,&#34; he wrote.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317410170","content_text":"Dow slumps 500 points as 2-year-yield tops 5%, dollar soarsJerome Powell NICHOLAS KAMM/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESU.S. stocks and other financial markets were jolted Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made clear interest rates would rise further than policy makers previously expected, and opened the door wide open to speeding up rate hikes if the data warrants it.\"Jay Powell pulled no punches when it came to the Fed's first priority to get inflation under control, and to go as far and as fast with rates as those numbers required,\" said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at U.K. broker AJ Bell, in emailed comments.The main event was a surge in the policy sensitive 2-year Treasury yield , which jumped nearly 12 basis points and topped 5% for the first time since 2007. Yields and debt prices move opposite each other.The move came as fed-funds futures showed that traders now see a more-than-60% chance that policy makers will lift the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points or half a percentage point, at the end of the next Fed meeting on March 22. That's up from around 34% on Monday and 9% a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.The surge in the 2-year yield led the dollar higher versus major rivals, lifting the ICE U.S. Dollar Index  by 1.2% to its highest since Jan. 6.Gold slumped in response to rising yields and a stronger dollar. And equities dropped, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending with a loss of 574.98 points, or 1.7%, while the S&P 500  slid 1.5% and the Nasdaq Composite  dropped 1.3%.\"If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes,\" Powell said, in his prepared testimony before the Senate Banking Committee.Later, in the question-and-answer session with lawmakers, Powell noted that policy makers \"have two or three more very important data releases to analyze before the time of the FOMC meeting,\" referring to the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.Analysts said Powell left little room for interpretation.\"To summarize his speech in one sentence: a 50 basis point hike in March is on the table,\" said Daniel Berkowitz, investment director for investment manager Prudent Management Associates, in a note.While markets are still somewhat split on the magnitude of the next rate hike per data from CME FedWatch, this morning's comments make clearer that regardless of the next increase, the likelihood of a Fed policy pivot has been pushed further down the road.When it comes to major data releases, the February jobs report is set for Friday. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal, on average, look for the economy to have added 225,000 jobs, slowing from a blowout 517,000 increase in January that helped set in motion a market repricing of rate-hike expectations.\"The seemingly unwavering strength of the job market, we believe, has heightened the Fed's fears of inflation embedding into the economy,\" said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, in emailed comments. \"As such, we believe members of the Fed will be willing to set aside positive trends on prices and continue to raise rates until it sees what it interprets as meaningful signs that the labor market is faltering,\"\"The Fed's insistence on focusing on this lagging indicator is why we continue to view a recession as the likely outcome in the months or quarters ahead,\" he said. Though the relative financial strength of consumers and businesses means a downturn will likely be \"shallow, short and uneven.\"In addition to the February jobs report on Friday, investors next week will see the February readings for the consumer-price index and the producer-price index.A half percentage point interest rate hike isn't written in stone, said Andrew Hunter, deputy U.S. chief economist at Capital Economics, in a note.The decision \"is likely to hinge on the strength of the February employment and CPI inflation data. If, as we expect, the January surge in payrolls proves to be a blip (we're forecasting a 200,000 gain in February) and the earlier downward pressure on core inflation re-emerges, another 25bp still looks more likely,\" he wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405824,"gmtCreate":1678086273069,"gmtModify":1678086275621,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405824","repostId":"2317552137","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317552137","pubTimestamp":1678085258,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317552137?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Car of the Future? Ford Applies for Patent on Car That Can Automatically Repossess Itself","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317552137","media":"CNN","summary":"(CNN) — Ford has some interesting ideas on what self-driving cars might soon be able to do. Besides ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>(</b><b>CNN)</b><b> — </b>Ford has some interesting ideas on what self-driving cars might soon be able to do. Besides freeing us from the tedium of commuting, the company envisions cars that could repossess themselves.</p><p>According to a document recently published on the United States Patent and Trademark Office website, Ford said it is considering a system that would allow a car to, on its own, leave you if you stop making your monthly auto payments.</p><p>Don’t worry, though. The patent hasn’t been approved yet. And Ford insists it’s just a thought.</p><p>“We don’t have any plans to deploy this,” Ford said in a statement, pointing out that the company was granted — not just applied for, but actually granted — 1,342 patents last year. That’s an average of 3.7 patents per day.</p><p>Companies apply for patents to protect ideas from being used by others, whether or not they actually use the intellectual property themselves, explained patent attorney Michael Messinger, a partner in the Washington, DC, office of the firm Vorys. These processes can take a long time, said Messinger, with lots of back-and-forth.</p><p>But maybe some parts of Ford’s 14-page application, filled with ideas for getting people to pay up, may be more patentable than others.</p><p>Before getting to the point where the car would simply drive itself away, delinquent payers would be subject to a litany of annoyances. First, badgering messages on owners’ smartphones and even on the screens inside the car. These messages would demand at least an acknowledgment or, better yet, on-the-spot payment.</p><p>If the owner persists in ignoring these messages, the vehicle would, in the words of Ford’s patent application, “initiate execution of a multi-step repossession procedure.”</p><p>Step one involves making the owner pay in other ways. Features like the air conditioning, cruise control, or the radio might stop working. (Some of that is already possible in many vehicles.)</p><p>If that doesn’t work, the vehicle could become proactively irritating. The stereo might be programmed to “emit an incessant and unpleasant sound every time the owner is present in the vehicle,” according to the patent.</p><p>There would be just one way to turn off the noise, which would of course involve “….making contact with the lending institution to address the payment delinquency.”</p><p>Failing that, the car would make itself unusable by, for starters, refusing to unlock its doors. This is where things get really complicated.</p><p>A borrower might need to drive to work in order to earn the money to pay back the loan. The car could be restricted to allow itself only to be taken to work and, maybe, to buy groceries or drop the kids off at school. That’s it. And all the while, the driver will be unable to listen to the stereo, might not have air conditioning and could be subjected to that irritating, unstoppable noise.</p><p>Then there is the issue of what to do if there’s a medical emergency. In a situation like this, according to Ford’s application, the car could be enabled to drive itself to the nearest emergency room or even to coordinate with emergency medical personnel to rendezvous at a location. The car would then go back to locking out its owner.</p><p>Only in the most extreme non-payment scenario would the car receive an over-the-air command to quit its owner. In that case, if the car isn’t capable of fully self-driving in traffic, it might just move itself to a place where it would be easy for a tow truck to retrieve it, like the edge of a street.</p><p>Sometimes, though, borrowers who are behind on payments will take the step of locking their car in a garage or placing it somewhere that makes it impossible to simply drive itself away. In the end, a good old-fashioned human being taking back the car may be the only answer.</p><p>So, while Ford’s idea for a self-repossessing car might never be granted an actual patent, some of the ideas included in the patent — a car that makes horrible noises if you don’t pay, for instance, or that lets you drive to only one or two places — those just might be patentable, said Messinger.</p><p>It may not have been your idea of the “car of the future” but, if you don’t pay up, it just might be.</p></body></html>","source":"CNN","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Car of the Future? Ford Applies for Patent on Car That Can Automatically Repossess Itself</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Car of the Future? Ford Applies for Patent on Car That Can Automatically Repossess Itself\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-06 14:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/03/business/ford-repossessing-car-patent><strong>CNN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(CNN) — Ford has some interesting ideas on what self-driving cars might soon be able to do. Besides freeing us from the tedium of commuting, the company envisions cars that could repossess themselves....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/03/business/ford-repossessing-car-patent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4588":"碎股","BK4555":"新能源车","F":"福特汽车","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/03/business/ford-repossessing-car-patent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317552137","content_text":"(CNN) — Ford has some interesting ideas on what self-driving cars might soon be able to do. Besides freeing us from the tedium of commuting, the company envisions cars that could repossess themselves.According to a document recently published on the United States Patent and Trademark Office website, Ford said it is considering a system that would allow a car to, on its own, leave you if you stop making your monthly auto payments.Don’t worry, though. The patent hasn’t been approved yet. And Ford insists it’s just a thought.“We don’t have any plans to deploy this,” Ford said in a statement, pointing out that the company was granted — not just applied for, but actually granted — 1,342 patents last year. That’s an average of 3.7 patents per day.Companies apply for patents to protect ideas from being used by others, whether or not they actually use the intellectual property themselves, explained patent attorney Michael Messinger, a partner in the Washington, DC, office of the firm Vorys. These processes can take a long time, said Messinger, with lots of back-and-forth.But maybe some parts of Ford’s 14-page application, filled with ideas for getting people to pay up, may be more patentable than others.Before getting to the point where the car would simply drive itself away, delinquent payers would be subject to a litany of annoyances. First, badgering messages on owners’ smartphones and even on the screens inside the car. These messages would demand at least an acknowledgment or, better yet, on-the-spot payment.If the owner persists in ignoring these messages, the vehicle would, in the words of Ford’s patent application, “initiate execution of a multi-step repossession procedure.”Step one involves making the owner pay in other ways. Features like the air conditioning, cruise control, or the radio might stop working. (Some of that is already possible in many vehicles.)If that doesn’t work, the vehicle could become proactively irritating. The stereo might be programmed to “emit an incessant and unpleasant sound every time the owner is present in the vehicle,” according to the patent.There would be just one way to turn off the noise, which would of course involve “….making contact with the lending institution to address the payment delinquency.”Failing that, the car would make itself unusable by, for starters, refusing to unlock its doors. This is where things get really complicated.A borrower might need to drive to work in order to earn the money to pay back the loan. The car could be restricted to allow itself only to be taken to work and, maybe, to buy groceries or drop the kids off at school. That’s it. And all the while, the driver will be unable to listen to the stereo, might not have air conditioning and could be subjected to that irritating, unstoppable noise.Then there is the issue of what to do if there’s a medical emergency. In a situation like this, according to Ford’s application, the car could be enabled to drive itself to the nearest emergency room or even to coordinate with emergency medical personnel to rendezvous at a location. The car would then go back to locking out its owner.Only in the most extreme non-payment scenario would the car receive an over-the-air command to quit its owner. In that case, if the car isn’t capable of fully self-driving in traffic, it might just move itself to a place where it would be easy for a tow truck to retrieve it, like the edge of a street.Sometimes, though, borrowers who are behind on payments will take the step of locking their car in a garage or placing it somewhere that makes it impossible to simply drive itself away. In the end, a good old-fashioned human being taking back the car may be the only answer.So, while Ford’s idea for a self-repossessing car might never be granted an actual patent, some of the ideas included in the patent — a car that makes horrible noises if you don’t pay, for instance, or that lets you drive to only one or two places — those just might be patentable, said Messinger.It may not have been your idea of the “car of the future” but, if you don’t pay up, it just might be.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405168,"gmtCreate":1678086260255,"gmtModify":1678087027654,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405168","repostId":"1103618722","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103618722","pubTimestamp":1678085640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103618722?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 14:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UBS Cuts Bonuses 10% After Deal Slump; Hamers Gets Boost","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103618722","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Hamers had warned bonuses may be cut if deals don’t reboundCEO Hamers received $13 million for 2022,","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Hamers had warned bonuses may be cut if deals don’t rebound</li><li>CEO Hamers received $13 million for 2022, up from prior year</li></ul><p>UBS Group AG cut employee bonuses for last year by 10% after its dealmakers saw revenue erode by a slump in mergers and capital raisings.</p><p>Chief Executive Officer Ralph Hamers received 12.2 million Swiss francs ($13 million) for his second full year in the job, an increase from the 11 million francs a year earlier. The Zurich-based lender set aside $3.3 billion for employee bonuses last year, down from about $3.7 billion, according to its annual report on Monday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96f815b9bfe7b5fc87820b47e2b66538\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Ralph Hamers. Photographer: Jose Sarmento Matos/Bloomberg</span></p><p>The pay awards cap an uneven year for Switzerland’s largest bank, with a roughly 50% slump in the business of advising on mergers and capital raisings offsetting gains in trading and inflows in wealth management. Hamers previously warned that bonuses could be cut if dealmaking didn’t come back. He said in January that UBS has a “healthy culture of pay for performance,” though he didn’t see a need for a bidding war.</p><p>That’s in part because several Wall Street rivals that only a year earlier were still competing for talent have begun to cut jobs in preparation for an economic slowdown. Cross-town rival Credit Suisse is mired in a complicated restructuring that includes thousands of job cuts and a spin-out of the investment bank. The firm slashed the bonus pool for 2022 by about half and said the management board took nothing after its worst year since the financial crisis.</p><p>Some rivals, however, are still handing out large increases. Italy’s UniCredit SpA is set to boost the pool for last year by 20%, likely one of the most generous awards among European banks, Bloomberg reported. CEO Andrea Orcel, a former UBS investment banker, was given a 30% compensation increase after he received €7.5 million for 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d40ba9665876298716e08fe31df2fb60\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"711\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>UBS stood out among global peers in its confidence that large-scale job cuts seen across Wall Street can be avoided. Cost pressures playing out in the industry where particularly acute for investment bank units.</p><p>Hamers faced a major setback in September when the bank announced that it was pulling out of a deal to buy US robo-advisor Wealthfront, a purchase that was meant to widen its reach to the lower rungs of the wealthy there. Instead, UBS retrenched, saying it would focus on its traditional high net worth customer base.</p><p>New Chairman Colm Kelleher earned 4.8 million francs after taking over at last year’s annual general meeting. Axel Weber, who stepped down from that role in April after a decade, earned 5.2 million francs, according to the report.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UBS Cuts Bonuses 10% After Deal Slump; Hamers Gets Boost</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUBS Cuts Bonuses 10% After Deal Slump; Hamers Gets Boost\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-06 14:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-06/ubs-cuts-bonuses-10-after-dealmaking-slump-hamers-gets-boost?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hamers had warned bonuses may be cut if deals don’t reboundCEO Hamers received $13 million for 2022, up from prior yearUBS Group AG cut employee bonuses for last year by 10% after its dealmakers saw ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-06/ubs-cuts-bonuses-10-after-dealmaking-slump-hamers-gets-boost?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBS":"瑞银"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-06/ubs-cuts-bonuses-10-after-dealmaking-slump-hamers-gets-boost?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103618722","content_text":"Hamers had warned bonuses may be cut if deals don’t reboundCEO Hamers received $13 million for 2022, up from prior yearUBS Group AG cut employee bonuses for last year by 10% after its dealmakers saw revenue erode by a slump in mergers and capital raisings.Chief Executive Officer Ralph Hamers received 12.2 million Swiss francs ($13 million) for his second full year in the job, an increase from the 11 million francs a year earlier. The Zurich-based lender set aside $3.3 billion for employee bonuses last year, down from about $3.7 billion, according to its annual report on Monday.Ralph Hamers. Photographer: Jose Sarmento Matos/BloombergThe pay awards cap an uneven year for Switzerland’s largest bank, with a roughly 50% slump in the business of advising on mergers and capital raisings offsetting gains in trading and inflows in wealth management. Hamers previously warned that bonuses could be cut if dealmaking didn’t come back. He said in January that UBS has a “healthy culture of pay for performance,” though he didn’t see a need for a bidding war.That’s in part because several Wall Street rivals that only a year earlier were still competing for talent have begun to cut jobs in preparation for an economic slowdown. Cross-town rival Credit Suisse is mired in a complicated restructuring that includes thousands of job cuts and a spin-out of the investment bank. The firm slashed the bonus pool for 2022 by about half and said the management board took nothing after its worst year since the financial crisis.Some rivals, however, are still handing out large increases. Italy’s UniCredit SpA is set to boost the pool for last year by 20%, likely one of the most generous awards among European banks, Bloomberg reported. CEO Andrea Orcel, a former UBS investment banker, was given a 30% compensation increase after he received €7.5 million for 2022.UBS stood out among global peers in its confidence that large-scale job cuts seen across Wall Street can be avoided. Cost pressures playing out in the industry where particularly acute for investment bank units.Hamers faced a major setback in September when the bank announced that it was pulling out of a deal to buy US robo-advisor Wealthfront, a purchase that was meant to widen its reach to the lower rungs of the wealthy there. Instead, UBS retrenched, saying it would focus on its traditional high net worth customer base.New Chairman Colm Kelleher earned 4.8 million francs after taking over at last year’s annual general meeting. Axel Weber, who stepped down from that role in April after a decade, earned 5.2 million francs, according to the report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405977,"gmtCreate":1678086248899,"gmtModify":1678087027566,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405977","repostId":"1149355219","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149355219","pubTimestamp":1678055441,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149355219?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 06:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 13 Trading Sessions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149355219","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tapForward implied volatility on payrolls ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tap</li><li>Forward implied volatility on payrolls data underpriced: Citi</li></ul><p>Four major events over the next 13 trading sessions will be the key catalysts in determining whether this year’s stock-market revival gets derailed or starts rolling again after a February slump.</p><p>It all begins Tuesday, when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivers his two-day biannual monetary policy testimony on Capitol Hill. With the S&amp;P 500 Index coming off its best week in a month, investors will be searching for any hint on the central bank’s interest-rate hiking path.</p><p>“The market is clinging to every single positive thing Powell says,” Emily Hill, founding partner at Bowersock Capital, said. “The minute the word ‘disinflation’ left his lips in a speech earlier this year, the market soared.”</p><p>Indeed, the rally at the end of last week was spurred by Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic saying the central bank couldpausethis summer.</p><p>After Powell, comes the February jobs report on March 10 and consumer-price index on March 14. Another hot reading on employment growth and inflation could dash any hopes that the Fed will pullback soon.</p><p>“There are such conflicting signals in the economy,” Hill said. “So you’re going to see overreactions from investors to the upcoming data.”</p><p>Then, on March 22, the Fed will give its policy decision and quarterly interest-rate projections, and Powell will hold his press conference. After that, investors should have a pretty clear idea of whether the central bank will halt its rate hikes some time in the coming months.</p><p>Investors are anxious about most of this. Forward implied volatility is back in the low 30s for the consumer-price-index day and nearing 40 for Fed rate-decision day later, meaning traders are betting on some big swings, data compiled by Citigroup show. However, a forward implied volatility reading of 26 on jobs data day indicates the market is underpricing that risk, according to Stuart Kaiser, Citigroup’s head of US equity trading strategy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbd504a85128f8547bc6c1e2733c9f1a\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"662\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Citigroup</span></p><p>As for the stock market itself, the prevailing sense has been calm. The S&amp;P 500 posted a daily move of less than 0.5% in either direction for the three-trading days ending March 1, a streak of tranquility last seen in January when investors boosted their bets that the US economy may avert a recession as inflation ebbs.</p><p>Here’s what traders will be monitoring.</p><p><b>Powell Testimony</b></p><p>The Fed chair’s biannual monetary policy report to the US Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday and the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday are likely to offer hints on the US economic outlook, specifically inflation, wage pressures and employment. Traders will also look for clues on additional steps the Fed will take to control elevated prices.</p><p><b>Jobs Report</b></p><p>The labor market was strong in January. That’s an important driver of inflation, because wage growth can keep prices higher. And it’s a risk for stock prices because sticky inflation would prevent the Fed from pausing rate hikes. Economists predict that the February unemployment rate will come in at 3.4%, unchanged from January. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to drop to 215,000 after a surprising burst of 517,000 jobs a month earlier. But ultimately the data comes down to wages and whether the Fed thinks they’re slowing fast enough to drive inflation lower.</p><p><b>Inflation Data</b></p><p>The February consumer price index reading is crucial, after it jumped to start the year. Any sign of persistent inflation could push the Fed to raise rates even higher than already expected. The forecast for February’s CPI is 6%, an improvement from January’s 6.4%. Core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy components and is seen as a better underlying indicator than the headline measure, is projected to rise 5.4% from February 2022 and 0.4% from a month earlier. The Fed’s inflation target, which takes in more than just the CPI reading, is 2%.</p><p><b>Fed Decision</b></p><p>The market is pricing in a September peak in interest rates at 5.4%, nearly a percentage point above the current effective federal funds rate. Traders are preparing for the possibility of the Fed returning to jumbo rate hikes, with overnight index swaps pricing in about 31 basis points of tightening later this month.</p><p>Of course, the Fed’s forward expectations and Powell’s comments after the decision will affect market sentiment. But it’s about big misses, like inflation readings coming in much hotter than expected, that would derail the stock market’s recovery attempts, according to Michael Antonelli, market strategist at Baird.</p><p>“If the terminal rate goes from 5% to 5.5%, that will be a headwind, but it won’t crater the stock market the way it did last year,” Antonelli said in a phone interview. “Last year, we didn’t know what the worse-case scenarios was going to look like, but this year the window of potential outcomes is much narrower. And investors like that.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 13 Trading Sessions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 13 Trading Sessions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-06 06:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-05/stock-market-s-fate-comes-down-to-the-next-13-trading-sessions?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tapForward implied volatility on payrolls data underpriced: CitiFour major events over the next 13 trading sessions will be the key catalysts ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-05/stock-market-s-fate-comes-down-to-the-next-13-trading-sessions?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-05/stock-market-s-fate-comes-down-to-the-next-13-trading-sessions?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149355219","content_text":"Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tapForward implied volatility on payrolls data underpriced: CitiFour major events over the next 13 trading sessions will be the key catalysts in determining whether this year’s stock-market revival gets derailed or starts rolling again after a February slump.It all begins Tuesday, when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivers his two-day biannual monetary policy testimony on Capitol Hill. With the S&P 500 Index coming off its best week in a month, investors will be searching for any hint on the central bank’s interest-rate hiking path.“The market is clinging to every single positive thing Powell says,” Emily Hill, founding partner at Bowersock Capital, said. “The minute the word ‘disinflation’ left his lips in a speech earlier this year, the market soared.”Indeed, the rally at the end of last week was spurred by Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic saying the central bank couldpausethis summer.After Powell, comes the February jobs report on March 10 and consumer-price index on March 14. Another hot reading on employment growth and inflation could dash any hopes that the Fed will pullback soon.“There are such conflicting signals in the economy,” Hill said. “So you’re going to see overreactions from investors to the upcoming data.”Then, on March 22, the Fed will give its policy decision and quarterly interest-rate projections, and Powell will hold his press conference. After that, investors should have a pretty clear idea of whether the central bank will halt its rate hikes some time in the coming months.Investors are anxious about most of this. Forward implied volatility is back in the low 30s for the consumer-price-index day and nearing 40 for Fed rate-decision day later, meaning traders are betting on some big swings, data compiled by Citigroup show. However, a forward implied volatility reading of 26 on jobs data day indicates the market is underpricing that risk, according to Stuart Kaiser, Citigroup’s head of US equity trading strategy.Source: CitigroupAs for the stock market itself, the prevailing sense has been calm. The S&P 500 posted a daily move of less than 0.5% in either direction for the three-trading days ending March 1, a streak of tranquility last seen in January when investors boosted their bets that the US economy may avert a recession as inflation ebbs.Here’s what traders will be monitoring.Powell TestimonyThe Fed chair’s biannual monetary policy report to the US Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday and the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday are likely to offer hints on the US economic outlook, specifically inflation, wage pressures and employment. Traders will also look for clues on additional steps the Fed will take to control elevated prices.Jobs ReportThe labor market was strong in January. That’s an important driver of inflation, because wage growth can keep prices higher. And it’s a risk for stock prices because sticky inflation would prevent the Fed from pausing rate hikes. Economists predict that the February unemployment rate will come in at 3.4%, unchanged from January. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to drop to 215,000 after a surprising burst of 517,000 jobs a month earlier. But ultimately the data comes down to wages and whether the Fed thinks they’re slowing fast enough to drive inflation lower.Inflation DataThe February consumer price index reading is crucial, after it jumped to start the year. Any sign of persistent inflation could push the Fed to raise rates even higher than already expected. The forecast for February’s CPI is 6%, an improvement from January’s 6.4%. Core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy components and is seen as a better underlying indicator than the headline measure, is projected to rise 5.4% from February 2022 and 0.4% from a month earlier. The Fed’s inflation target, which takes in more than just the CPI reading, is 2%.Fed DecisionThe market is pricing in a September peak in interest rates at 5.4%, nearly a percentage point above the current effective federal funds rate. Traders are preparing for the possibility of the Fed returning to jumbo rate hikes, with overnight index swaps pricing in about 31 basis points of tightening later this month.Of course, the Fed’s forward expectations and Powell’s comments after the decision will affect market sentiment. But it’s about big misses, like inflation readings coming in much hotter than expected, that would derail the stock market’s recovery attempts, according to Michael Antonelli, market strategist at Baird.“If the terminal rate goes from 5% to 5.5%, that will be a headwind, but it won’t crater the stock market the way it did last year,” Antonelli said in a phone interview. “Last year, we didn’t know what the worse-case scenarios was going to look like, but this year the window of potential outcomes is much narrower. And investors like that.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405059,"gmtCreate":1678086236972,"gmtModify":1678087027667,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405059","repostId":"2317250161","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940402716,"gmtCreate":1678086222835,"gmtModify":1678087027756,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940402716","repostId":"2317160870","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317160870","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1678056831,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317160870?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 06:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs Report; Powell Testifies; Sea, JD.com, CrowdStrike Earnings: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317160870","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports w","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  By Nicholas Jasinski \n</p>\n<p>\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports will be this week's highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, which would be a slight decline from December. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Friday, the BLS releases February jobs data. Economists expect a gain of 215,000 nonfarm payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.4%. Job growth surprised to the upside in January, with the U.S. economy adding 517,000 payrolls. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Companies reporting this week will include Ciena on Monday, CrowdStrike Holdings and Dick's Sporting Goods on Tuesday, and  Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday.  JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty will release results on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric will host an investor day on Thursday. Management will discuss expectations and plans for the year ahead and for the upcoming spinoff of GE's power business. Apple will hold its annual shareholders meeting on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Finally, the Bank of Japan will announce a monetary-policy decision on Friday. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 3/6 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Ciena, Nutanix, and Trip.com report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Merck hosts an investor event in New Orleans to discuss its cardiovascular drug pipeline, in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology and World Heart Federation Expo. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 3/7 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Casey's General Store, CrowdStrike Holdings, and Dick's Sporting Goods announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for January. In 2022, total consumer debt increased 7.8%, the largest jump since 2001, to a record $4.78 trillion. Nonrevolving credit -- mainly mortgages as well as auto and student loans -- rose 5.6%, while revolving credit -- mostly credit-card debt -- spiked 14.8%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 3/8 \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment report for February. Economists forecast an increase of 180,000 private-sector jobs, after a rise of 106,000 in January. The leisure and hospitality industry led the way in January. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Brown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and MongoDB release quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, slightly less than in December. Job openings remained historically elevated, and there are currently nearly two openings for every unemployed person. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 3/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty hold conference calls to discuss earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric hosts an investor meeting to discuss the coming year and the pending spinoff of GE Vernova, which includes GE's Digital, Renewable Energy, and Power business. The spinoff is expected to be completed early next year. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the U.S., which includes total household net worth data, for the fourth quarter. As of Sept. 30, household net worth totaled $143.3 trillion, about $7 trillion less than the record high reached in the fourth quarter of 2021. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 3/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Apple holds its annual shareholders meeting in a virtual format. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. Haruhiko Kuroda, the governor of the BOJ and architect of its negative interest-rate policy, will retire in April. Incoming Gov. Kazuo Ueda is expected to maintain the BOJ's ultraloose monetary policy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for February. The economy is expected to have added 215,000 nonfarm jobs, following a gain of 517,000 in January. The January data outpaced consensus estimate by more than 300,000. Economists forecast the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.4%, the lowest in more than a half-century. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<p>\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 05, 2023 21:48 ET (02:48 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobs Report; Powell Testifies; Sea, JD.com, CrowdStrike Earnings: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobs Report; Powell Testifies; Sea, JD.com, CrowdStrike Earnings: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-06 06:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  By Nicholas Jasinski \n</p>\n<p>\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports will be this week's highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, which would be a slight decline from December. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Friday, the BLS releases February jobs data. Economists expect a gain of 215,000 nonfarm payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.4%. Job growth surprised to the upside in January, with the U.S. economy adding 517,000 payrolls. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Companies reporting this week will include Ciena on Monday, CrowdStrike Holdings and Dick's Sporting Goods on Tuesday, and  Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday.  JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty will release results on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric will host an investor day on Thursday. Management will discuss expectations and plans for the year ahead and for the upcoming spinoff of GE's power business. Apple will hold its annual shareholders meeting on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Finally, the Bank of Japan will announce a monetary-policy decision on Friday. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 3/6 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Ciena, Nutanix, and Trip.com report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Merck hosts an investor event in New Orleans to discuss its cardiovascular drug pipeline, in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology and World Heart Federation Expo. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 3/7 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Casey's General Store, CrowdStrike Holdings, and Dick's Sporting Goods announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for January. In 2022, total consumer debt increased 7.8%, the largest jump since 2001, to a record $4.78 trillion. Nonrevolving credit -- mainly mortgages as well as auto and student loans -- rose 5.6%, while revolving credit -- mostly credit-card debt -- spiked 14.8%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 3/8 \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment report for February. Economists forecast an increase of 180,000 private-sector jobs, after a rise of 106,000 in January. The leisure and hospitality industry led the way in January. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Brown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and MongoDB release quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, slightly less than in December. Job openings remained historically elevated, and there are currently nearly two openings for every unemployed person. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 3/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty hold conference calls to discuss earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric hosts an investor meeting to discuss the coming year and the pending spinoff of GE Vernova, which includes GE's Digital, Renewable Energy, and Power business. The spinoff is expected to be completed early next year. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the U.S., which includes total household net worth data, for the fourth quarter. As of Sept. 30, household net worth totaled $143.3 trillion, about $7 trillion less than the record high reached in the fourth quarter of 2021. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 3/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Apple holds its annual shareholders meeting in a virtual format. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. Haruhiko Kuroda, the governor of the BOJ and architect of its negative interest-rate policy, will retire in April. Incoming Gov. Kazuo Ueda is expected to maintain the BOJ's ultraloose monetary policy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for February. The economy is expected to have added 215,000 nonfarm jobs, following a gain of 517,000 in January. The January data outpaced consensus estimate by more than 300,000. Economists forecast the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.4%, the lowest in more than a half-century. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<p>\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 05, 2023 21:48 ET (02:48 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","GE":"GE航空航天","ORCL":"甲骨文",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ISBC":"投资者银行","AAPL":"苹果","SE":"Sea Ltd","CIEN":"Ciena科技",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317160870","content_text":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports will be this week's highlights. \n\n\n     On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, which would be a slight decline from December. \n\n\n     On Friday, the BLS releases February jobs data. Economists expect a gain of 215,000 nonfarm payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.4%. Job growth surprised to the upside in January, with the U.S. economy adding 517,000 payrolls. \n\n\n     Companies reporting this week will include Ciena on Monday, CrowdStrike Holdings and Dick's Sporting Goods on Tuesday, and  Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday.  JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty will release results on Thursday. \n\n\n     General Electric will host an investor day on Thursday. Management will discuss expectations and plans for the year ahead and for the upcoming spinoff of GE's power business. Apple will hold its annual shareholders meeting on Friday. \n\n\n     Finally, the Bank of Japan will announce a monetary-policy decision on Friday. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. \n\n\n     Monday 3/6 \n\n\n     Ciena, Nutanix, and Trip.com report quarterly results. \n\n\n     Merck hosts an investor event in New Orleans to discuss its cardiovascular drug pipeline, in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology and World Heart Federation Expo. \n\n\n     Tuesday 3/7 \n\n\n     Casey's General Store, CrowdStrike Holdings, and Dick's Sporting Goods announce earnings. \n\n\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for January. In 2022, total consumer debt increased 7.8%, the largest jump since 2001, to a record $4.78 trillion. Nonrevolving credit -- mainly mortgages as well as auto and student loans -- rose 5.6%, while revolving credit -- mostly credit-card debt -- spiked 14.8%. \n\n\n     Wednesday 3/8 \n\n\n     ADP releases its National Employment report for February. Economists forecast an increase of 180,000 private-sector jobs, after a rise of 106,000 in January. The leisure and hospitality industry led the way in January. \n\n\n     Brown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and MongoDB release quarterly results. \n\n\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, slightly less than in December. Job openings remained historically elevated, and there are currently nearly two openings for every unemployed person. \n\n\n     Thursday 3/9 \n\n\n     JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty hold conference calls to discuss earnings. \n\n\n     General Electric hosts an investor meeting to discuss the coming year and the pending spinoff of GE Vernova, which includes GE's Digital, Renewable Energy, and Power business. The spinoff is expected to be completed early next year. \n\n\n     The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the U.S., which includes total household net worth data, for the fourth quarter. As of Sept. 30, household net worth totaled $143.3 trillion, about $7 trillion less than the record high reached in the fourth quarter of 2021. \n\n\n     Friday 3/10 \n\n\n     Apple holds its annual shareholders meeting in a virtual format. \n\n\n     The Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. Haruhiko Kuroda, the governor of the BOJ and architect of its negative interest-rate policy, will retire in April. Incoming Gov. Kazuo Ueda is expected to maintain the BOJ's ultraloose monetary policy. \n\n\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for February. The economy is expected to have added 215,000 nonfarm jobs, following a gain of 517,000 in January. The January data outpaced consensus estimate by more than 300,000. Economists forecast the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.4%, the lowest in more than a half-century. \n\n\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n\n\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 05, 2023 21:48 ET (02:48 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957562274,"gmtCreate":1677411539199,"gmtModify":1677413434536,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4122179212780352","idStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is an excellent article that provides some insights to Buffett Strategy.&nbsp;","listText":"This is an excellent article that provides some insights to Buffett Strategy.&nbsp;","text":"This is an excellent article that provides some insights to Buffett Strategy.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957562274","repostId":"1117520516","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117520516","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1677334099,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117520516?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-25 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117520516","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks rais","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117520516","content_text":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.Read the full letter here:To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?What We DoCharlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.* * * * * * * * * * * *At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.The Secret SauceIn August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.The Past Year in BriefBerkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.* * * * * * * * * * * *A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.And that is a promise we can make.* * * * * * * * * * * *Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.58 Years – and a Few FiguresIn 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.Some Surprising Facts About Federal TaxesDuring the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.* * * * * * * * * * * *Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”* * * * * * * * * * * *At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.Nothing Beats Having a Great PartnerCharlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.* * * * * * * * * * * *I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.A Family Gathering in OmahaCharlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.* * * * * * * * * * * *Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9957562274,"gmtCreate":1677411539199,"gmtModify":1677413434536,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is an excellent article that provides some insights to Buffett Strategy.&nbsp;","listText":"This is an excellent article that provides some insights to Buffett Strategy.&nbsp;","text":"This is an excellent article that provides some insights to Buffett Strategy.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957562274","repostId":"1117520516","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117520516","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1677334099,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117520516?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-25 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117520516","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks rais","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuffett’s Annual Letter: Berkshire Will Always Hold a Boatload of Cash and U.S. Treasury Bills\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett is still betting on America.</p><p>Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.</p><p>“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.</p><p>Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.</p><p>The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.</p><p>As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.</p><p>“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.</p><p>The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.</p><p>Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.</p><p>Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.</p><p>Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.</p><p>“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.</p><h2>Read the full letter here:</h2><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.</p><p>A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.</p><p>Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.</p><p>The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.</p><p>Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?</p><h2>What We Do</h2><p>Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.</p><p>In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.</p><p>Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”</p><p>One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.</p><p>Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)</p><p>Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.</p><h2>The Secret Sauce</h2><p>In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.</p><p>The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.</p><p>American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.</p><p>These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.</p><p>Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.</p><p>The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.</p><h2>The Past Year in Brief</h2><p>Berkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e74650656620f9fa3f1e55c15a90e5\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"207\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.</p><p>A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.</p><p>Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.</p><p>The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.</p><p>Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?</p><p>When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).</p><p>Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.</p><p>And that is a promise we can make.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.</p><p>That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.</p><h2>58 Years – and a Few Figures</h2><p>In 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.</p><p>And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.</p><p>Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.</p><p>Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&amp;P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.</p><p>In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.</p><p>At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.</p><p>In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and</p><p>$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.</p><p>As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.</p><p>At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.</p><h2>Some Surprising Facts About Federal Taxes</h2><p>During the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.</p><p>Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.</p><p>The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.</p><p>And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:</p><p>- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.</p><p>- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.</p><p>- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.</p><p>When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.</p><p>I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.</p><h2>Nothing Beats Having a Great Partner</h2><p>Charlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.</p><p>Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:</p><p>- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.</p><p>- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.</p><p>- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.</p><p>- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.</p><p>- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.</p><p>- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.</p><p>- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.</p><p>- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.</p><p>- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.</p><p>- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.</p><p>- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.</p><p>- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.</p><p>- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.</p><p>- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.</p><p>- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”</p><p>And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.</p><h2>A Family Gathering in Omaha</h2><p>Charlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.</p><p>From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?</p><p>I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.</p><p>On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.</p><p>Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.</p><p>February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett </p><p>Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117520516","content_text":"Warren Buffett is still betting on America.Stocks and bonds slumped in 2022 after central banks raised interest rates at a rapid pace to try to rein in inflation. But Mr. Buffett retained his sense of optimism in his annual letter to investors Saturday, saying he attributes much of his success over the years to the resilience of the U.S. economy.“I have been investing for 80 years—more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant—almost enthusiasm—for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America,” Mr. Buffett said in the letter.Mr. Buffett, widely regarded as one of the world’s top investors, has been publishing the letters for more than half a century. Over that time, he hasn’t just reflected on the past year for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., but also shared his thoughts on everything from esoteric accounting rules to his aversion to excessive risk-taking.Saturday’s letter offered readers a glimpse into how Mr. Buffett, 92, viewed what wound up being a shaky stretch for markets.The volatility offered Berkshire an opportunity to jump in and buy stocks. While Berkshire largely bought back its own shares in 2021, it focused more in 2022 on investing in other companies—opening up new positions in media company Paramount Global and building-materials manufacturer Louisiana-Pacific Corp., among other businesses, and swiftly becoming Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s single biggest shareholder.As of the end of 2022, Berkshire was the largest shareholder of eight companies—American Express Co., Bank of America Corp., Chevron Corp., Coca-Cola Co., HP Inc., Moody’s Corp., Occidental and Paramount Global.“America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true,” Mr. Buffett said.Berkshire also released its results for 2022 on Saturday.The Omaha, Neb., company, which owns businesses including insurer Geico, railroad BNSF Railway and chocolate maker See’s Candies, posted a loss of $22.82 billion for the year, stung by $67.9 billion in investment and derivative contract losses. In 2021, Berkshire posted a profit of $90.8 billion.Total revenue rose 9.4% to $302.1 billion.Berkshire’s operating earnings, which exclude some investment results, rose to a record $30.8 billion.Mr. Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive, has long held that operating earnings are a better reflection of how Berkshire is doing, since accounting rules require the company to include unrealized gains and losses from its massive investment portfolio in its net income. Volatile markets can make Berkshire’s net income change substantially from quarter to quarter, regardless of how its underlying businesses are doing.“Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades,” Mr. Buffett said in his letter. “But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors,” he said, adding that he and his right-hand man Charlie Munger urged shareholders to focus instead on Berkshire’s operating earnings, which rose to a record for the full year in 2022.Read the full letter here:To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing the savings of a great number of individuals. We are grateful for their enduring trust, a relationship that often spans much of their adult lifetime. It is those dedicated savers that are forefront in my mind as I write this letter.A common belief is that people choose to save when young, expecting thereby to maintain their living standards after retirement. Any assets that remain at death, this theory says, will usually be left to their families or, possibly, to friends and philanthropy.Our experience has differed. We believe Berkshire’s individual holders largely to be of the once-a-saver, always-a-saver variety. Though these people live well, they eventually dispense most of their funds to philanthropic organizations. These, in turn, redistribute the funds by expenditures intended to improve the lives of a great many people who are unrelated to the original benefactor. Sometimes, the results have been spectacular.The disposition of money unmasks humans. Charlie and I watch with pleasure the vast flow of Berkshire-generated funds to public needs and, alongside, the infrequency with which our shareholders opt for look-at-me assets and dynasty-building.Who wouldn’t enjoy working for shareholders like ours?What We DoCharlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually buying 100% of each. Berkshire directs capital allocation at these subsidiaries and selects the CEOs who make day-by-day operating decisions. When large enterprises are being managed, both trust and rules are essential. Berkshire emphasizes the former to an unusual – some would say extreme – degree. Disappointments are inevitable. We are understanding about business mistakes; our tolerance for personal misconduct is zero.In our second category of ownership, we buy publicly-traded stocks through which we passively own pieces of businesses. Holding these investments, we have no say in management.Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and trustworthy managers. Please note particularly that we own publicly-traded stocks based on our expectations about their long-term business performance, not because we view them as vehicles for adroit purchases and sales. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.Over the years, I have made many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses currently consists of a few enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many that enjoy very good economic characteristics, and a large group that are marginal. Along the way, other businesses in which I have invested have died, their products unwanted by the public. Capitalism has two sides: The system creates an ever-growing pile of losers while concurrently delivering a gusher of improved goods and services. Schumpeter called this phenomenon “creative destruction.”One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s crucial to understand that stocks often trade at truly foolish prices, both high and low. “Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks. In truth, marketable stocks and bonds are baffling, their behavior usually understandable only in retrospect.Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at bargain valuations. Unless under duress, the owner of a controlled business gives no thought to selling at a panic-type valuation.* * * * * * * * * * * *At this point, a report card from me is appropriate: In 58 years of Berkshire management, most of my capital-allocation decisions have been no better than so-so. In some cases, also, bad moves by me have been rescued by very large doses of luck. (Remember our escapes from near-disasters at USAir and Salomon? I certainly do.)Our satisfactory results have been the product of about a dozen truly good decisions – that would be about one every five years – and a sometimes-forgotten advantage that favors long-term investors such as Berkshire. Let’s take a peek behind the curtain.The Secret SauceIn August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.These dividend gains, though pleasing, are far from spectacular. But they bring with them important gains in stock prices. At yearend, our Coke investment was valued at $25 billion while Amex was recorded at $22 billion. Each holding now accounts for roughly 5% of Berkshire’s net worth, akin to its weighting long ago.Assume, for a moment, I had made a similarly-sized investment mistake in the 1990s, one that flat-lined and simply retained its $1.3 billion value in 2022. (An example would be a high-grade 30-year bond.) That disappointing investment would now represent an insignificant 0.3% of Berkshire’s net worth and would be delivering to us an unchanged $80 million or so of annual income.The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.The Past Year in BriefBerkshire had a good year in 2022. The company’s operating earnings – our term for income calculated using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”), exclusive of capital gains or losses from equity holdings – set a record at $30.8 billion. Charlie and I focus on this operational figure and urge you to do so as well. The GAAP figure, absent our adjustment, fluctuates wildly and capriciously at every reporting date. Note its acrobatic behavior in 2022, which is in no way unusual:The GAAP earnings are 100% misleading when viewed quarterly or even annually. Capital gains, to be sure, have been hugely important to Berkshire over past decades, and we expect them to be meaningfully positive in future decades. But their quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.A second positive development for Berkshire last year was our purchase of Alleghany Corporation, a property-casualty insurer captained by Joe Brandon. I’ve worked with Joe in the past, and he understands both Berkshire  and insurance. Alleghany delivers special value to us because Berkshire’s unmatched financial strength allows its insurance subsidiaries to follow valuable and enduring investment strategies unavailable to virtually all competitors.Aided by Alleghany, our insurance float increased during 2022 from $147 billion to $164 billion. With disciplined underwriting, these funds have a decent chance of being cost-free over time. Since purchasing our first property-casualty insurer in 1967, Berkshire’s float has increased 8,000-fold through acquisitions, operations and innovations. Though not recognized in our financial statements, this float has been an extraordinary asset for Berkshire. New shareholders can get an understanding of its value by reading our annually updated explanation of float on page A-2.* * * * * * * * * * * *A very minor gain in per-share intrinsic value took place in 2022 through Berkshire share repurchases as well as similar moves at Apple and American Express, both significant investees of ours. At Berkshire, we directly increased your interest in our unique collection of businesses by repurchasing 1.2% of the company’s outstanding shares. At Apple and Amex, repurchases increased Berkshire’s ownership a bit without any cost to us.The math isn’t complicated: When the share count goes down, your interest in our many businesses goes up. Every small bit helps if repurchases are made at value-accretive prices. Just as surely, when a company overpays for repurchases, the continuing shareholders lose. At such times, gains flow only to the selling shareholders and to the friendly, but expensive, investment banker who recommended the foolish purchases.Gains from value-accretive repurchases, it should be emphasized, benefit all owners – in every respect. Imagine, if you will, three fully-informed shareholders of a local auto dealership, one of whom manages the business. Imagine, further, that one of the passive owners wishes to sell his interest back to the company at a price attractive to the two continuing shareholders. When completed, has this transaction harmed anyone? Is the manager somehow favored over the continuing passive owners? Has the public been hurt?When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).Almost endless details of Berkshire’s 2022 operations are laid out on pages K-33 – K-66. Charlie and I, along with many Berkshire shareholders, enjoy poring over the many facts and figures laid out in that section. These pages are not, however, required reading. There are many Berkshire centimillionaires and, yes, billionaires who have never studied our financial figures. They simply know that Charlie and I – along with our families and close friends – continue to have very significant investments in Berkshire, and they trust us to treat their money as we do our own.And that is a promise we can make.* * * * * * * * * * * *Finally, an important warning: Even the operating earnings figure that we favor can easily be manipulated by managers who wish to do so. Such tampering is often thought of as sophisticated by CEOs, directors and their advisors. Reporters and analysts embrace its existence as well. Beating “expectations” is heralded as a managerial triumph.That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate numbers: Only a deep desire to deceive is required. “Bold imaginative accounting,” as a CEO once described his deception to me, has become one of the shames of capitalism.58 Years – and a Few FiguresIn 1965, Berkshire was a one-trick pony, the owner of a venerable – but doomed – New England textile operation. With that business on a death march, Berkshire needed an immediate fresh start. Looking back, I was slow to recognize the severity of its problems.And then came a stroke of good luck: National Indemnity became available in 1967, and we shifted our resources toward insurance and other non-textile operations.Thus began our journey to 2023, a bumpy road involving a combination of continuous savings by our owners (that is, by their retaining earnings), the power of compounding, our avoidance of major mistakes and – most important of all – the American Tailwind. America would have done fine without Berkshire. The reverse is not true.Berkshire now enjoys major ownership in an unmatched collection of huge and diversified businesses. Let’s first look at the 5,000 or so publicly-held companies that trade daily on NASDAQ, the NYSE and related venues. Within this group is housed the members of the S&P 500 Index, an elite collection of large and well-known American companies.In aggregate, the 500 earned $1.8 trillion in 2021. I don’t yet have the final results for 2022. Using, therefore, the 2021 figures, only 128 of the 500 (including Berkshire itself) earned $3 billion or more. Indeed, 23 lost money.At yearend 2022, Berkshire was the largest owner of eight of these giants: American Express, Bank of America, Chevron, Coca-Cola, HP Inc., Moody’s, Occidental Petroleum and Paramount Global.In addition to those eight investees, Berkshire owns 100% of BNSF and 92% of BH Energy, each with earnings that exceed the $3 billion mark noted above ($5.9 billion at BNSF and$4.3 billion at BHE). Were these companies publicly-owned, they would replace two present members of the 500. All told, our ten controlled and non-controlled behemoths leave Berkshire more broadly aligned with the country’s economic future than is the case at any other U.S. company. (This calculation leaves aside “fiduciary” operations such as pension funds and investment companies.) In addition, Berkshire’s insurance operation, though conducted through many individually-managed subsidiaries, has a value comparable to BNSF or BHE.As for the future, Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills along with a wide array of businesses. We will also avoid behavior that could result in any uncomfortable cash needs at inconvenient times, including financial panics and unprecedented insurance losses. Our CEO will always be the Chief Risk Officer – a task it is irresponsible to delegate. Additionally, our future CEOs will have a significant part of their net worth in Berkshire shares, bought with their own money. And yes, our shareholders will continue to save and prosper by retaining earnings.At Berkshire, there will be no finish line.Some Surprising Facts About Federal TaxesDuring the decade ending in 2021, the United States Treasury received about $32.3 trillion in taxes while it spent $43.9 trillion.Though economists, politicians and many of the public have opinions about the consequences of that huge imbalance, Charlie and I plead ignorance and firmly believe that near-term economic and market forecasts are worse than useless. Our job is to manage Berkshire’s operations and finances in a manner that will achieve an acceptable result over time and that will preserve the company’s unmatched staying power when financial panics or severe worldwide recessions occur. Berkshire also offers some modest protection from runaway inflation, but this attribute is far from perfect. Huge and entrenched fiscal deficits have consequences.The $32 trillion of revenue was garnered by the Treasury through individual income taxes (48%), social security and related receipts (3412%), corporate income tax payments (812%) and a wide variety of lesser levies. Berkshire’s contribution via the corporate income tax was $32 billion during the decade, almost exactly a tenth of 1% of all money that the Treasury collected.And that means – brace yourself – had there been roughly 1,000 taxpayers in the U.S. matching Berkshire’s payments, no other businesses nor any of the country’s 131 million households would have needed to pay any taxes to the federal government. Not a dime.* * * * * * * * * * * *Millions, billions, trillions – we all know the words, but the sums involved are almost impossible to comprehend. Let’s put physical dimensions to the numbers:- If you convert $1 million into newly-printed $100 bills, you will have a stack that reaches your chest.- Perform the same exercise with $1 billion – this is getting exciting! – and the stack reaches about 34 of a mile into the sky.- Finally, imagine piling up $32 billion, the total of Berkshire’s 2012-21 federal income tax payments. Now the stack grows to more than 21 miles in height, about three times the level at which commercial airplanes usually cruise.When it comes to federal taxes, individuals who own Berkshire can unequivocally state “I gave at the office.”* * * * * * * * * * * *At Berkshire we hope and expect to pay much more in taxes during the next decade. We owe the country no less: America’s dynamism has made a huge contribution to whatever success Berkshire has achieved – a contribution Berkshire will always need. We count on the American Tailwind and, though it has been becalmed from time to time, its propelling force has always returned.I have been investing for 80 years – more than one-third of our country’s lifetime. Despite our citizens’ penchant – almost enthusiasm – for self-criticism and self-doubt, I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.Nothing Beats Having a Great PartnerCharlie and I think pretty much alike. But what it takes me a page to explain, he sums up in a sentence. His version, moreover, is always more clearly reasoned and also more artfully – some might add bluntly – stated.Here are a few of his thoughts, many lifted from a very recent podcast:- The world is full of foolish gamblers, and they will not do as well as the patient investor.- If you don’t see the world the way it is, it’s like judging something through a distorted lens.- All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there. And a related thought: Early on, write your desired obituary – and then behave accordingly.- If you don’t care whether you are rational or not, you won’t work on it. Then you will stay irrational and get lousy results.- Patience can be learned. Having a long attention span and the ability to concentrate on one thing for a long time is a huge advantage.- You can learn a lot from dead people. Read of the deceased you admire and detest.- Don’t bail away in a sinking boat if you can swim to one that is seaworthy.- A great company keeps working after you are not; a mediocre company won’t do that.- Warren and I don’t focus on the froth of the market. We seek out good long-term investments and stubbornly hold them for a long time.- Ben Graham said, “Day to day, the stock market is a voting machine; in the long term it’s a weighing machine.” If you keep making something more valuable, then some wise person is going to notice it and start buying.- There is no such thing as a 100% sure thing when investing. Thus, the use of leverage is dangerous. A string of wonderful numbers times zero will always equal zero. Don’t count on getting rich twice.- You don’t, however, need to own a lot of things in order to get rich.- You have to keep learning if you want to become a great investor. When the world changes, you must change.- Warren and I hated railroad stocks for decades, but the world changed and finally the country had four huge railroads of vital importance to the American economy. We were slow to recognize the change, but better late than never.- Finally, I will add two short sentences by Charlie that have been his decision-clinchers for decades: “Warren, think more about it. You’re smart and I’m right.”And so it goes. I never have a phone call with Charlie without learning something. And, while he makes me think, he also makes me laugh.* * * * * * * * * * * *I will add to Charlie’s list a rule of my own:   Find   a   very   smart   high-grade partner – preferably slightly older than you – and then listen very carefully to what he says.A Family Gathering in OmahaCharlie and I are shameless. Last year, at our first shareholder get-together in three years, we greeted you with our usual commercial hustle.From the opening bell, we went straight for your wallet. In short order, our See’s kiosk sold you eleven tons of nourishing peanut brittle and chocolates. In our P.T. Barnum pitch, we promised you longevity. After all, what else but candy from See’s could account for Charlie and me making it to 99 and 92?I know you can’t wait to hear the specifics of last year’s hustle.On Friday, the doors were open from noon until 5 p.m., and our candy counters rang up 2,690 individual sales. On Saturday, See’s registered an additional 3,931 transactions between 7 a.m. and 4:30 p.m., despite the fact that 612 of the 912 operating hours occurred while our movie and the question-and-answer session were limiting commercial traffic.Do the math: See’s rang up about 10 sales per minute during its prime operating time (racking up $400,309 of volume during the two days), with all the goods purchased at a single location selling products that haven’t been materially altered in 101 years. What worked for See’s in the days of Henry Ford’s model T works now.* * * * * * * * * * * *Charlie, I, and the entire Berkshire bunch look forward to seeing you in Omaha on May 5-6. We will have a good time and so will you.February 25, 2023 Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024397,"gmtCreate":1678251846420,"gmtModify":1678251850536,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024397","repostId":"2317410170","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024129,"gmtCreate":1678251856461,"gmtModify":1678251860213,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024129","repostId":"2317516102","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317516102","pubTimestamp":1678242305,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317516102?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 10:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Price Cuts: Flagging Demand Or Tactic to Boost Sales?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317516102","media":"The Associated Press","summary":"DETROIT (AP) — In explaining why Tesla Inc. keeps cutting prices on its electric vehicles, the auto ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>DETROIT (AP) — In explaining why Tesla Inc. keeps cutting prices on its electric vehicles, the auto industry is pretty much divided into two camps.</p><p>On one side are analysts who see an aggressive move by the leading manufacturer of EVs to gobble up sales and market share from its competitors just as they’re beginning to bring more vehicles to market.</p><p>On the other side are critics who argue that with demand for Tesla’s older vehicles beginning to wane, the company feels forced to slash prices to attract buyers.</p><p>Over the weekend, Tesla cut the prices of its two costliest vehicles, from $5,000 to $10,000, or from 4.3% to just over 9%. A Model S two-motor sedan now starts at $89,990, with the Plaid “performance” version beginning at $109,990. A Model X SUV dual motor starts at $99,990, the performance version at $109,990.</p><p>It was the company’s second price cut of the year in the United States. In January, Tesla slashed prices on several versions of its EVs, making some of them eligible for a new federal tax credit. The company cut U.S. prices nearly 20% on some versions of its top-selling Model Y SUV. It also reduced the base price of the Model 3, its least expensive vehicle, by about 6%.</p><p>Seth Goldstein, an analyst at Morningstar, suggested that Tesla is trying to strike a balance between securing the best prices possible and sustaining buyer demand so that its factories run fast enough to reduce the cost of producing each vehicle.</p><p>The company does have higher profit margins than other automakers, Goldstein said, in part because it has devised more efficient manufacturing methods and because EVs have fewer moving parts to assemble</p><p>“This could be a way for Tesla to hold off some of the new entrants” into the EV market, Goldstein said. The company is sending a message to rivals that “you have to offer the best technology at a compelling price while keeping your costs down.”</p><p>Goldstein said he doesn’t foresee additional Tesla price cuts this year, unless the U.S. economy were to slide into a recession.</p><p>Sales of the Models S and X represent only a fraction of Tesla’s overall sales, but they had been rising over the past two years. Still, from the third quarter of last year to the fourth quarter, their sales fell just over 8%.</p><p>Sam Abuelsamid, e-mobility analyst for Guidehouse Research, noted that both models are expensive, out of reach of mainstream buyers. And they are aging, another factor in their flagging sales: The S debuted in 2012, the X in 2015.</p><p>Abuelsamid said he suspects that Tesla decided to cut prices after demand for the two higher-priced vehicles fell in January and February. Because Tesla reports sales only quarterly, its sales picture won’t be clear until early April.</p><p>The latest price cuts, he said, should reduce the values of used Teslas simply because the new ones will cost less.</p><p>Though Tesla updated the interiors, electronics and performance of its Plaid editions, their exteriors still look basically as they did when they were first introduced. As a result , Abuelsamid said, the Teslas look older than similar models being produced by startups and legacy automakers.</p><p>“Under the skin there are a lot of differences” in the Teslas, he said. “Customers don’t really see those differences.”</p><p>During Tesla’s investor day event last week, CEO Elon Musk conceded that affordability remains a drag on sales.</p><p>“The desire for people to own a Tesla is extremely high,” Musk asserted. “The limiting factor is their ability to pay for a Tesla.”</p><p>In January, when Tesla announced its earlier price cuts, more versions of its popular Model Y small SUV became eligible for a $7,500 federal electric vehicle tax credit by bringing them under government price caps. That round of Tesla price cuts didn’t spark a price war as some analysts expected, though Ford did reduce the price of its Mustang Mach-E, a Model Y competitor.</p><p>Abuelsamid noted that there’s still limited availability for high-end luxury SUVs made by BMW, Mercedes-Benz and others because automakers aren’t producing many of them. Over time, he said, the other automakers could be forced to cut prices on their luxury models.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1642508350625","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Price Cuts: Flagging Demand Or Tactic to Boost Sales?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Price Cuts: Flagging Demand Or Tactic to Boost Sales?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-08 10:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://apnews.com/article/tesla-musk-price-cut-demand-sales-f5e5c4b8e2bb8916a384d32ee6f816f2><strong>The Associated Press</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>DETROIT (AP) — In explaining why Tesla Inc. keeps cutting prices on its electric vehicles, the auto industry is pretty much divided into two camps.On one side are analysts who see an aggressive move ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://apnews.com/article/tesla-musk-price-cut-demand-sales-f5e5c4b8e2bb8916a384d32ee6f816f2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://apnews.com/article/tesla-musk-price-cut-demand-sales-f5e5c4b8e2bb8916a384d32ee6f816f2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317516102","content_text":"DETROIT (AP) — In explaining why Tesla Inc. keeps cutting prices on its electric vehicles, the auto industry is pretty much divided into two camps.On one side are analysts who see an aggressive move by the leading manufacturer of EVs to gobble up sales and market share from its competitors just as they’re beginning to bring more vehicles to market.On the other side are critics who argue that with demand for Tesla’s older vehicles beginning to wane, the company feels forced to slash prices to attract buyers.Over the weekend, Tesla cut the prices of its two costliest vehicles, from $5,000 to $10,000, or from 4.3% to just over 9%. A Model S two-motor sedan now starts at $89,990, with the Plaid “performance” version beginning at $109,990. A Model X SUV dual motor starts at $99,990, the performance version at $109,990.It was the company’s second price cut of the year in the United States. In January, Tesla slashed prices on several versions of its EVs, making some of them eligible for a new federal tax credit. The company cut U.S. prices nearly 20% on some versions of its top-selling Model Y SUV. It also reduced the base price of the Model 3, its least expensive vehicle, by about 6%.Seth Goldstein, an analyst at Morningstar, suggested that Tesla is trying to strike a balance between securing the best prices possible and sustaining buyer demand so that its factories run fast enough to reduce the cost of producing each vehicle.The company does have higher profit margins than other automakers, Goldstein said, in part because it has devised more efficient manufacturing methods and because EVs have fewer moving parts to assemble“This could be a way for Tesla to hold off some of the new entrants” into the EV market, Goldstein said. The company is sending a message to rivals that “you have to offer the best technology at a compelling price while keeping your costs down.”Goldstein said he doesn’t foresee additional Tesla price cuts this year, unless the U.S. economy were to slide into a recession.Sales of the Models S and X represent only a fraction of Tesla’s overall sales, but they had been rising over the past two years. Still, from the third quarter of last year to the fourth quarter, their sales fell just over 8%.Sam Abuelsamid, e-mobility analyst for Guidehouse Research, noted that both models are expensive, out of reach of mainstream buyers. And they are aging, another factor in their flagging sales: The S debuted in 2012, the X in 2015.Abuelsamid said he suspects that Tesla decided to cut prices after demand for the two higher-priced vehicles fell in January and February. Because Tesla reports sales only quarterly, its sales picture won’t be clear until early April.The latest price cuts, he said, should reduce the values of used Teslas simply because the new ones will cost less.Though Tesla updated the interiors, electronics and performance of its Plaid editions, their exteriors still look basically as they did when they were first introduced. As a result , Abuelsamid said, the Teslas look older than similar models being produced by startups and legacy automakers.“Under the skin there are a lot of differences” in the Teslas, he said. “Customers don’t really see those differences.”During Tesla’s investor day event last week, CEO Elon Musk conceded that affordability remains a drag on sales.“The desire for people to own a Tesla is extremely high,” Musk asserted. “The limiting factor is their ability to pay for a Tesla.”In January, when Tesla announced its earlier price cuts, more versions of its popular Model Y small SUV became eligible for a $7,500 federal electric vehicle tax credit by bringing them under government price caps. That round of Tesla price cuts didn’t spark a price war as some analysts expected, though Ford did reduce the price of its Mustang Mach-E, a Model Y competitor.Abuelsamid noted that there’s still limited availability for high-end luxury SUVs made by BMW, Mercedes-Benz and others because automakers aren’t producing many of them. Over time, he said, the other automakers could be forced to cut prices on their luxury models.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405168,"gmtCreate":1678086260255,"gmtModify":1678087027654,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405168","repostId":"1103618722","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":247452373225536,"gmtCreate":1701451089189,"gmtModify":1701454518550,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"While December started strong with bullish sentiments and new highs for major indices, analysts warn of potential volatility ahead. Key factors like upcoming Fed decisions and global economic uncertainties could disrupt the rally, making December a mixed bag for investors.","listText":"While December started strong with bullish sentiments and new highs for major indices, analysts warn of potential volatility ahead. Key factors like upcoming Fed decisions and global economic uncertainties could disrupt the rally, making December a mixed bag for investors.","text":"While December started strong with bullish sentiments and new highs for major indices, analysts warn of potential volatility ahead. Key factors like upcoming Fed decisions and global economic uncertainties could disrupt the rally, making December a mixed bag for investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/247452373225536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234646340894920,"gmtCreate":1698295650397,"gmtModify":1698295654561,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is good insights. Thanks for sharing.&nbsp;","listText":"This is good insights. Thanks for sharing.&nbsp;","text":"This is good insights. Thanks for sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234646340894920","repostId":"2378078336","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024234,"gmtCreate":1678251897329,"gmtModify":1678251901690,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024234","repostId":"2317412064","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317412064","pubTimestamp":1678260638,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317412064?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 15:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Sea Monster Turned Cash Cow","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317412064","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySea Limited stock has popped over 20% following Q4 earnings.The company has been surprised by","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Sea Limited stock has popped over 20% following Q4 earnings.</li><li>The company has been surprised by delivering strong profitability in its commerce segment.</li><li>There are improving demographics and accelerated digitalization in SE Asia.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a18fd1dd89ab445ba2c92c3ebf67c2c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>nikkusha/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><h2>Thesis Summary</h2><p>Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) has exploded by over 20% following surprisingly good Q4 results. The company has shown great growth and profitability in its e-commerce segment, but the same can&#39;t be said ofits two other segments.</p><p>All in all, SE is well-positioned to benefit from improving demographics and accelerated digitalization in SE Asia. This is a potential multi-bagger.</p><h2>Recent Results</h2><p>Sea Limited has surprised investors, beating on both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter. Let&#39;s have a look at the financials below:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daee4927dc0480fac9803531149d139f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Operating Income and EBITDA (Investor Presentation)</span></p><p>SE operates in three main segments: Digital Entertainment (&#34;DE&#34;), E-commerce, and Digital Financial Services/SeaMoney.</p><p>Starting from the top, we can see that DE EBITDA has come down noticeably. DE has, for some time, been the company&#39;s cash cow, thanks to the success of its Free Fire game. However, we are seeing anotable slowdown in this segment.</p><p>With that said, this negative news has been overshadowed by the success of eCommerce, which continues to grow and has turned a profit for the first time:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edbe34f49326246fddce85dafc5cc519\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"724\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>E-commerce financials (Investor Presentation)</span></p><p>Sea Limited managed to bring in $196 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q4, and the segment has grown 44% YoY. For a long time, there was a concern that Shoppe, the company&#39;s e-commerce brand, would fail to turn a profit. After all, even large companies like Amazon (AMZN) have struggled with this for decades. But SE has surprised investors this quarter.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb876befc8784759be2b2ef706cf5ef0\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"710\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Financial Services growth (Investor Presentation)</span></p><p>Lastly, Financial Services are up 92% YoY, with total loans receivable at $2.1 billion. Also if we refer to the first slide, we can see that Digital Money has also improved its profitability by a lot, actually turning in a profit in Q4.</p><p>Sea has brought in $422.8 million in net income this quarter. Last time this year, the company reported a loss of $616.3 million for the quarter.</p><p>When the numbers are this good, there&#39;s not much the market can do but bid up the stock price. With that said, let&#39;s look at insights from the earnings call to see how SE achieved such great results, and what we can expect moving forward.</p><h2>Earnings Call Insights</h2><p>Analysts wasted no time, going straight to the key question we all wanted an answer to. How did Shopee increase profitability so fast?</p><blockquote>In terms of top line, we managed to increase our take rate and the monetization across various types of revenue, including the core marketplace revenue, which are relatively high margin as well as other types of revenue as our sellers invest more in the platform to grow with us.</blockquote><blockquote>And also on the cost front and expense front, we reduced sales marketing expenses. If you noticed, our sales and marketing for Shopee dropped more than 50% year-on-year, while GMV sustained and grew around 7%...&#34;</blockquote><p>Source: Earnings call.</p><p>Sales and marketing costs dropped by a whopping 50%. After several years of aggressive marketing efforts, Shoppy has now become a household name, allowing GMV to keep growing without more investment in marketing. A key factor was also core marketplace revenues which carry a higher margin. These consist mainly of transaction-based fees and advertising revenues.</p><p>But investors must be wary, that despite the success of Shopee, Financial services were down QoQ:</p><blockquote>In terms of the loan book growth, as we -- as I mentioned before, for the credit business and the SeaMoney business as a whole, we don&#39;t expect to be -- at least at this stage that we&#39;re not going to invest significantly to drive rapid growth and land grabbing.</blockquote><p>Source: Earnings call.</p><p>The outlook for the DE sector was also not that great. The company does not make a habit of discussing unreleased games, so we don&#39;t know much about the coming pipeline. What we do know is Free Fire has been losing momentum.</p><blockquote>But also, more importantly, the key focus in the near term still on the core games and, in particular, Free Fire that we want to turn into a strong evergreen franchise. Although we continue to see some weakening in user trends in comparison to the significant growth it achieved during the COVID times, we do believe that there is a core defensible user base we can achieve, and it is a long-lasting franchise.</blockquote><p>Source: Earnings call.</p><p>Gaming is a big opportunity, but also a competitive industry and repeating the success of Free Fire will be a tall order.</p><p>All in all, SE has managed to turn things around in commerce just in time, because, at least compared with previous performance, its other two sectors are floundering. Commerce does represent the biggest opportunity, so the market&#39;s excitement is understandable.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>Following the promising results, SE is up over 20%, but I believe this is still far from its intrinsic value:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1bd724a6da356ae46a8e254fcd19651\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"548\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DCF Model (Finbox)</span></p><p>Using a 5 year discounted cash flow (&#34;DCF&#34;) revenue exit model, we have a target price of $87.42. This assumes the company will increase its EBITDA margin to 12%, with a revenue CAGR for the next 5 years of 15%. In the last quarter, EBITDA margin was close to 14%, with revenues growing 25% for the whole year.</p><p>This valuation seems more than possible, and I wouldn&#39;t be surprised to see SE trade much higher in the next few years. At its peak, SE was trading at $360.</p><h2>Risks and Other considerations</h2><p>Sea Limited operates mainly in South East Asia, and has expanded to countries in Latin America. With these stocks, another layer of currency and political risk must be considered. However, it has become quite clear that investors are starting to favor emerging markets. According to Reuters, January saw the largest flow into emerging markets in two years.</p><p>The truth is, these kinds of stocks have a lot going for them. SE is riding on the back of favorable demographics and accelerated digitalization.</p><h2>Takeaway</h2><p>In conclusion, I remain bullish on Sea Limited despite the current macroeconomic uncertainty. The last quarter is strong proof that the company has found a spot in the market and can run its main operations, e-commerce, at a profit. Moving forward, I expect a lot more good surprises from Sea Limited.</p><p><i>This article is written by The Digital Trend for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Sea Monster Turned Cash Cow</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Sea Monster Turned Cash Cow\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-08 15:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4585275-sea-limited-monster-turned-cash-cow><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySea Limited stock has popped over 20% following Q4 earnings.The company has been surprised by delivering strong profitability in its commerce segment.There are improving demographics and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4585275-sea-limited-monster-turned-cash-cow\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SG9999005177.SGD":"Legg Mason Martin Currie - Southeast Asia Trust A Acc SGD","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0532188223.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - ASEAN Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0048573645.USD":"富达东盟基金","SG9999013460.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore Dividend Equity Fund SGD","SG9999013486.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC A","LU0251143029.SGD":"Fidelity ASEAN A-SGD","SG9999002604.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore/Malaysia SGD","SG9999002679.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore Balanced SGD","BK4566":"资本集团","SE":"Sea Ltd","SG9999002414.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE TRUST (USD) ACC","SG9999013478.USD":"利安新加坡股息基金","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","SGXZ58947870.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999002406.SGD":"利安新加坡信托基金","BK4588":"碎股","BK4526":"热门中概股","SG9999014484.SGD":"Nikko AM ASEAN Equity Fund A SGD","SG9999014492.USD":"NIKKO AM ASEAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","SG9999002620.SGD":"LionGlobal South East Asia SGD","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4585275-sea-limited-monster-turned-cash-cow","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2317412064","content_text":"SummarySea Limited stock has popped over 20% following Q4 earnings.The company has been surprised by delivering strong profitability in its commerce segment.There are improving demographics and accelerated digitalization in SE Asia.nikkusha/iStock via Getty ImagesThesis SummarySea Limited (NYSE:SE) has exploded by over 20% following surprisingly good Q4 results. The company has shown great growth and profitability in its e-commerce segment, but the same can't be said ofits two other segments.All in all, SE is well-positioned to benefit from improving demographics and accelerated digitalization in SE Asia. This is a potential multi-bagger.Recent ResultsSea Limited has surprised investors, beating on both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter. Let's have a look at the financials below:Operating Income and EBITDA (Investor Presentation)SE operates in three main segments: Digital Entertainment (\"DE\"), E-commerce, and Digital Financial Services/SeaMoney.Starting from the top, we can see that DE EBITDA has come down noticeably. DE has, for some time, been the company's cash cow, thanks to the success of its Free Fire game. However, we are seeing anotable slowdown in this segment.With that said, this negative news has been overshadowed by the success of eCommerce, which continues to grow and has turned a profit for the first time:E-commerce financials (Investor Presentation)Sea Limited managed to bring in $196 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q4, and the segment has grown 44% YoY. For a long time, there was a concern that Shoppe, the company's e-commerce brand, would fail to turn a profit. After all, even large companies like Amazon (AMZN) have struggled with this for decades. But SE has surprised investors this quarter.Financial Services growth (Investor Presentation)Lastly, Financial Services are up 92% YoY, with total loans receivable at $2.1 billion. Also if we refer to the first slide, we can see that Digital Money has also improved its profitability by a lot, actually turning in a profit in Q4.Sea has brought in $422.8 million in net income this quarter. Last time this year, the company reported a loss of $616.3 million for the quarter.When the numbers are this good, there's not much the market can do but bid up the stock price. With that said, let's look at insights from the earnings call to see how SE achieved such great results, and what we can expect moving forward.Earnings Call InsightsAnalysts wasted no time, going straight to the key question we all wanted an answer to. How did Shopee increase profitability so fast?In terms of top line, we managed to increase our take rate and the monetization across various types of revenue, including the core marketplace revenue, which are relatively high margin as well as other types of revenue as our sellers invest more in the platform to grow with us.And also on the cost front and expense front, we reduced sales marketing expenses. If you noticed, our sales and marketing for Shopee dropped more than 50% year-on-year, while GMV sustained and grew around 7%...\"Source: Earnings call.Sales and marketing costs dropped by a whopping 50%. After several years of aggressive marketing efforts, Shoppy has now become a household name, allowing GMV to keep growing without more investment in marketing. A key factor was also core marketplace revenues which carry a higher margin. These consist mainly of transaction-based fees and advertising revenues.But investors must be wary, that despite the success of Shopee, Financial services were down QoQ:In terms of the loan book growth, as we -- as I mentioned before, for the credit business and the SeaMoney business as a whole, we don't expect to be -- at least at this stage that we're not going to invest significantly to drive rapid growth and land grabbing.Source: Earnings call.The outlook for the DE sector was also not that great. The company does not make a habit of discussing unreleased games, so we don't know much about the coming pipeline. What we do know is Free Fire has been losing momentum.But also, more importantly, the key focus in the near term still on the core games and, in particular, Free Fire that we want to turn into a strong evergreen franchise. Although we continue to see some weakening in user trends in comparison to the significant growth it achieved during the COVID times, we do believe that there is a core defensible user base we can achieve, and it is a long-lasting franchise.Source: Earnings call.Gaming is a big opportunity, but also a competitive industry and repeating the success of Free Fire will be a tall order.All in all, SE has managed to turn things around in commerce just in time, because, at least compared with previous performance, its other two sectors are floundering. Commerce does represent the biggest opportunity, so the market's excitement is understandable.ValuationFollowing the promising results, SE is up over 20%, but I believe this is still far from its intrinsic value:DCF Model (Finbox)Using a 5 year discounted cash flow (\"DCF\") revenue exit model, we have a target price of $87.42. This assumes the company will increase its EBITDA margin to 12%, with a revenue CAGR for the next 5 years of 15%. In the last quarter, EBITDA margin was close to 14%, with revenues growing 25% for the whole year.This valuation seems more than possible, and I wouldn't be surprised to see SE trade much higher in the next few years. At its peak, SE was trading at $360.Risks and Other considerationsSea Limited operates mainly in South East Asia, and has expanded to countries in Latin America. With these stocks, another layer of currency and political risk must be considered. However, it has become quite clear that investors are starting to favor emerging markets. According to Reuters, January saw the largest flow into emerging markets in two years.The truth is, these kinds of stocks have a lot going for them. SE is riding on the back of favorable demographics and accelerated digitalization.TakeawayIn conclusion, I remain bullish on Sea Limited despite the current macroeconomic uncertainty. The last quarter is strong proof that the company has found a spot in the market and can run its main operations, e-commerce, at a profit. Moving forward, I expect a lot more good surprises from Sea Limited.This article is written by The Digital Trend for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024643,"gmtCreate":1678251874182,"gmtModify":1678251877893,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024643","repostId":"2317995964","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405824,"gmtCreate":1678086273069,"gmtModify":1678086275621,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405824","repostId":"2317552137","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940402716,"gmtCreate":1678086222835,"gmtModify":1678087027756,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940402716","repostId":"2317160870","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317160870","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1678056831,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317160870?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 06:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs Report; Powell Testifies; Sea, JD.com, CrowdStrike Earnings: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317160870","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports w","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  By Nicholas Jasinski \n</p>\n<p>\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports will be this week's highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, which would be a slight decline from December. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Friday, the BLS releases February jobs data. Economists expect a gain of 215,000 nonfarm payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.4%. Job growth surprised to the upside in January, with the U.S. economy adding 517,000 payrolls. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Companies reporting this week will include Ciena on Monday, CrowdStrike Holdings and Dick's Sporting Goods on Tuesday, and  Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday.  JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty will release results on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric will host an investor day on Thursday. Management will discuss expectations and plans for the year ahead and for the upcoming spinoff of GE's power business. Apple will hold its annual shareholders meeting on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Finally, the Bank of Japan will announce a monetary-policy decision on Friday. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 3/6 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Ciena, Nutanix, and Trip.com report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Merck hosts an investor event in New Orleans to discuss its cardiovascular drug pipeline, in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology and World Heart Federation Expo. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 3/7 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Casey's General Store, CrowdStrike Holdings, and Dick's Sporting Goods announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for January. In 2022, total consumer debt increased 7.8%, the largest jump since 2001, to a record $4.78 trillion. Nonrevolving credit -- mainly mortgages as well as auto and student loans -- rose 5.6%, while revolving credit -- mostly credit-card debt -- spiked 14.8%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 3/8 \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment report for February. Economists forecast an increase of 180,000 private-sector jobs, after a rise of 106,000 in January. The leisure and hospitality industry led the way in January. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Brown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and MongoDB release quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, slightly less than in December. Job openings remained historically elevated, and there are currently nearly two openings for every unemployed person. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 3/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty hold conference calls to discuss earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric hosts an investor meeting to discuss the coming year and the pending spinoff of GE Vernova, which includes GE's Digital, Renewable Energy, and Power business. The spinoff is expected to be completed early next year. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the U.S., which includes total household net worth data, for the fourth quarter. As of Sept. 30, household net worth totaled $143.3 trillion, about $7 trillion less than the record high reached in the fourth quarter of 2021. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 3/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Apple holds its annual shareholders meeting in a virtual format. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. Haruhiko Kuroda, the governor of the BOJ and architect of its negative interest-rate policy, will retire in April. Incoming Gov. Kazuo Ueda is expected to maintain the BOJ's ultraloose monetary policy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for February. The economy is expected to have added 215,000 nonfarm jobs, following a gain of 517,000 in January. The January data outpaced consensus estimate by more than 300,000. Economists forecast the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.4%, the lowest in more than a half-century. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<p>\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 05, 2023 21:48 ET (02:48 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobs Report; Powell Testifies; Sea, JD.com, CrowdStrike Earnings: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobs Report; Powell Testifies; Sea, JD.com, CrowdStrike Earnings: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-06 06:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  By Nicholas Jasinski \n</p>\n<p>\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports will be this week's highlights. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, which would be a slight decline from December. \n</p>\n<p>\n     On Friday, the BLS releases February jobs data. Economists expect a gain of 215,000 nonfarm payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.4%. Job growth surprised to the upside in January, with the U.S. economy adding 517,000 payrolls. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Companies reporting this week will include Ciena on Monday, CrowdStrike Holdings and Dick's Sporting Goods on Tuesday, and  Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday.  JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty will release results on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric will host an investor day on Thursday. Management will discuss expectations and plans for the year ahead and for the upcoming spinoff of GE's power business. Apple will hold its annual shareholders meeting on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Finally, the Bank of Japan will announce a monetary-policy decision on Friday. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 3/6 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Ciena, Nutanix, and Trip.com report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Merck hosts an investor event in New Orleans to discuss its cardiovascular drug pipeline, in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology and World Heart Federation Expo. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 3/7 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Casey's General Store, CrowdStrike Holdings, and Dick's Sporting Goods announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for January. In 2022, total consumer debt increased 7.8%, the largest jump since 2001, to a record $4.78 trillion. Nonrevolving credit -- mainly mortgages as well as auto and student loans -- rose 5.6%, while revolving credit -- mostly credit-card debt -- spiked 14.8%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 3/8 \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment report for February. Economists forecast an increase of 180,000 private-sector jobs, after a rise of 106,000 in January. The leisure and hospitality industry led the way in January. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Brown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and MongoDB release quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, slightly less than in December. Job openings remained historically elevated, and there are currently nearly two openings for every unemployed person. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 3/9 \n</p>\n<p>\n     JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty hold conference calls to discuss earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     General Electric hosts an investor meeting to discuss the coming year and the pending spinoff of GE Vernova, which includes GE's Digital, Renewable Energy, and Power business. The spinoff is expected to be completed early next year. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the U.S., which includes total household net worth data, for the fourth quarter. As of Sept. 30, household net worth totaled $143.3 trillion, about $7 trillion less than the record high reached in the fourth quarter of 2021. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 3/10 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Apple holds its annual shareholders meeting in a virtual format. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. Haruhiko Kuroda, the governor of the BOJ and architect of its negative interest-rate policy, will retire in April. Incoming Gov. Kazuo Ueda is expected to maintain the BOJ's ultraloose monetary policy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for February. The economy is expected to have added 215,000 nonfarm jobs, following a gain of 517,000 in January. The January data outpaced consensus estimate by more than 300,000. Economists forecast the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.4%, the lowest in more than a half-century. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<p>\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 05, 2023 21:48 ET (02:48 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","GE":"GE航空航天","ORCL":"甲骨文",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ISBC":"投资者银行","AAPL":"苹果","SE":"Sea Ltd","CIEN":"Ciena科技",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317160870","content_text":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n  The latest data on the U.S. job market and several major earning reports will be this week's highlights. \n\n\n     On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, which would be a slight decline from December. \n\n\n     On Friday, the BLS releases February jobs data. Economists expect a gain of 215,000 nonfarm payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.4%. Job growth surprised to the upside in January, with the U.S. economy adding 517,000 payrolls. \n\n\n     Companies reporting this week will include Ciena on Monday, CrowdStrike Holdings and Dick's Sporting Goods on Tuesday, and  Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday.  JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty will release results on Thursday. \n\n\n     General Electric will host an investor day on Thursday. Management will discuss expectations and plans for the year ahead and for the upcoming spinoff of GE's power business. Apple will hold its annual shareholders meeting on Friday. \n\n\n     Finally, the Bank of Japan will announce a monetary-policy decision on Friday. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. \n\n\n     Monday 3/6 \n\n\n     Ciena, Nutanix, and Trip.com report quarterly results. \n\n\n     Merck hosts an investor event in New Orleans to discuss its cardiovascular drug pipeline, in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology and World Heart Federation Expo. \n\n\n     Tuesday 3/7 \n\n\n     Casey's General Store, CrowdStrike Holdings, and Dick's Sporting Goods announce earnings. \n\n\n     The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for January. In 2022, total consumer debt increased 7.8%, the largest jump since 2001, to a record $4.78 trillion. Nonrevolving credit -- mainly mortgages as well as auto and student loans -- rose 5.6%, while revolving credit -- mostly credit-card debt -- spiked 14.8%. \n\n\n     Wednesday 3/8 \n\n\n     ADP releases its National Employment report for February. Economists forecast an increase of 180,000 private-sector jobs, after a rise of 106,000 in January. The leisure and hospitality industry led the way in January. \n\n\n     Brown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and MongoDB release quarterly results. \n\n\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10.7 million job openings on the last business day of January, slightly less than in December. Job openings remained historically elevated, and there are currently nearly two openings for every unemployed person. \n\n\n     Thursday 3/9 \n\n\n     JD.com, Oracle, and Ulta Beauty hold conference calls to discuss earnings. \n\n\n     General Electric hosts an investor meeting to discuss the coming year and the pending spinoff of GE Vernova, which includes GE's Digital, Renewable Energy, and Power business. The spinoff is expected to be completed early next year. \n\n\n     The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the U.S., which includes total household net worth data, for the fourth quarter. As of Sept. 30, household net worth totaled $143.3 trillion, about $7 trillion less than the record high reached in the fourth quarter of 2021. \n\n\n     Friday 3/10 \n\n\n     Apple holds its annual shareholders meeting in a virtual format. \n\n\n     The Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. Haruhiko Kuroda, the governor of the BOJ and architect of its negative interest-rate policy, will retire in April. Incoming Gov. Kazuo Ueda is expected to maintain the BOJ's ultraloose monetary policy. \n\n\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for February. The economy is expected to have added 215,000 nonfarm jobs, following a gain of 517,000 in January. The January data outpaced consensus estimate by more than 300,000. Economists forecast the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.4%, the lowest in more than a half-century. \n\n\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n\n\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 05, 2023 21:48 ET (02:48 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949024848,"gmtCreate":1678251865185,"gmtModify":1678251869041,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949024848","repostId":"1181525228","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181525228","pubTimestamp":1678228120,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181525228?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 06:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell Sees Higher Peak for Interest Rates, Says Fed Prepared to Speed Up If Needed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181525228","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Traders switch bets to half-point hike at March meetingFed chief says path to lower inflation ‘likel","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Traders switch bets to half-point hike at March meeting</li><li>Fed chief says path to lower inflation ‘likely to be bumpy’</li></ul><p>Chair Jerome Powell said the Federal Reserve is likely to lift interest rates higher and potentially faster than previously anticipated with inflation persisting, an unexpectedly aggressive posture following last month’s step down in the pace of hikes.</p><p>The remarks, coming in testimony before Congress on Tuesday, opened the door to officials lifting the Fed’s benchmark lending rate by a half percentage point at the next meeting if upcoming reports on jobs and prices show rate hikes have done little to cool the economy.</p><p>“The latest economic data have come in stronger than expected, which suggests that the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated,” Powell told the Senate Banking Committee. “If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes.”</p><p>Near-term bond yields jumped, stocks fell and the dollar extended gains. Traders bet the Fed is likely to raise rates by a half point at the next meeting later this month, instead of continuing the quarter-point pace from the prior gathering. They now see rates peaking close to 5.6% this year, up from about 5.5% yesterday.</p><blockquote><b>What Bloomberg Economics Says...</b></blockquote><blockquote>“We now expect the dots tracing Powell’s expected path of policy rates – and those of multiple other committee members – to shift higher and stay higher for longer.”</blockquote><blockquote>— Anna Wong and Stuart Paul, economists</blockquote><p>Fed officials are trying to cool inflation without triggering a recession that drives up unemployment.</p><p>“Although inflation has been moderating in recent months, the process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go and is likely to be bumpy,” Powell said. Inflation remains well above the Fed’s longer-run objective, he added.</p><p>The Fed began an aggressive campaign to raise its federal-funds rate a year ago, moving to a range now of 4.5% to 4.75%. Even so, the U.S. economy has shown remarkable resilience. Payrolls increased by more than 1 million in the three months through January, and recent consumption and inflation data point to persistent price pressures.</p><p>“We do have two or three more very important data releases to analyze before the time of the FOMC meeting,” he told lawmakers, referring to the Federal Open Market Committee. “Those are going to be very important in the assessment we have of this relatively recent data.”</p><h2>Two Hearings</h2><p>Powell headed to Capitol Hill Tuesday for the first of two days of semiannual monetary policy testimony, his first appearance before Congress since June. He is set to testify before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday.</p><p>Senate Democrats are wary of the rapid rise in interest rates, while Republicans blame President Joe Biden for over-stimulating the economy and have urged Powell to keep up the inflation fight.</p><p>Democrat Elizabeth Warren warned that further rate hikes will lead to millions of job losses, according to the Fed’s own projections, but may do little to quell inflation that is driven by other factors, such as supply constraints. “Chair Powell, you are gambling with people’s lives,” she said.</p><p>The Fed leader is facing lawmakers who are already counting down to the 2024 presidential election, the outcome of which could hinge on Powell’s ability to steer inflation back toward the Fed’s 2% target without causing a significant downturn.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/521aa1dd4df2ac464f28246eda88f1fd\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Getty Images</span></p><p>US central bankers say they need to keep pushing interest rates higher to slow price increases. In December, officials estimated rates would peak at 5.1% this year, according to their median forecast, but several have said that a series of strong economic reports could mean rates need to move even higher.</p><p>Powell made clear Tuesday those forecasts will likely climb when officials submit new projections this month, and said the Fed would be prepared to return to a bigger rate hike at their next meeting if the data warrant. Officials raised rates by 25 basis points at their Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting, following a half-point hike in December and after four 75-basis-point increases last year.</p><p>Following Powell’s remarks, some economists upped their expectations for how aggressively the Fed will move when it meets in two weeks and for how high rates will need to go to cool prices.</p><p>“Powell’s comments make it sound as though they need to be convinced not to speed the pace up,” economists for LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics wrote in an emailed note Tuesday morning. “The presumption that’s been established is that they will hike 50 in March, unless they are convinced otherwise.”</p><h2>Inflation Pressures</h2><p>While inflation has eased since the last time Powell testified before Congress, it is still well above the Fed’s. The personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed’s preferred price gauge, rose 5.4% for the 12 months through January.</p><p>“The breadth of the reversal along with revisions to the previous quarter suggests that inflationary pressures are running higher than expected at the time of our previous Federal Open Market Committee meeting,” Powell said.</p><p>The labor market, which Powell for months has said is extremely tight and out of balance, has yet to buckle under higher borrowing costs. The unemployment rate dipped to 3.4% in January, the lowest in more than five decades, while Black unemployment fell to 5.4%, just above a record low.</p><p>“Despite the slowdown in growth, the labor market remains extremely tight,” Powell said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell Sees Higher Peak for Interest Rates, Says Fed Prepared to Speed Up If Needed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell Sees Higher Peak for Interest Rates, Says Fed Prepared to Speed Up If Needed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-08 06:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-07/powell-says-fed-prepared-to-increase-rate-hike-pace-if-needed?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders switch bets to half-point hike at March meetingFed chief says path to lower inflation ‘likely to be bumpy’Chair Jerome Powell said the Federal Reserve is likely to lift interest rates higher ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-07/powell-says-fed-prepared-to-increase-rate-hike-pace-if-needed?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-07/powell-says-fed-prepared-to-increase-rate-hike-pace-if-needed?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181525228","content_text":"Traders switch bets to half-point hike at March meetingFed chief says path to lower inflation ‘likely to be bumpy’Chair Jerome Powell said the Federal Reserve is likely to lift interest rates higher and potentially faster than previously anticipated with inflation persisting, an unexpectedly aggressive posture following last month’s step down in the pace of hikes.The remarks, coming in testimony before Congress on Tuesday, opened the door to officials lifting the Fed’s benchmark lending rate by a half percentage point at the next meeting if upcoming reports on jobs and prices show rate hikes have done little to cool the economy.“The latest economic data have come in stronger than expected, which suggests that the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated,” Powell told the Senate Banking Committee. “If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes.”Near-term bond yields jumped, stocks fell and the dollar extended gains. Traders bet the Fed is likely to raise rates by a half point at the next meeting later this month, instead of continuing the quarter-point pace from the prior gathering. They now see rates peaking close to 5.6% this year, up from about 5.5% yesterday.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“We now expect the dots tracing Powell’s expected path of policy rates – and those of multiple other committee members – to shift higher and stay higher for longer.”— Anna Wong and Stuart Paul, economistsFed officials are trying to cool inflation without triggering a recession that drives up unemployment.“Although inflation has been moderating in recent months, the process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go and is likely to be bumpy,” Powell said. Inflation remains well above the Fed’s longer-run objective, he added.The Fed began an aggressive campaign to raise its federal-funds rate a year ago, moving to a range now of 4.5% to 4.75%. Even so, the U.S. economy has shown remarkable resilience. Payrolls increased by more than 1 million in the three months through January, and recent consumption and inflation data point to persistent price pressures.“We do have two or three more very important data releases to analyze before the time of the FOMC meeting,” he told lawmakers, referring to the Federal Open Market Committee. “Those are going to be very important in the assessment we have of this relatively recent data.”Two HearingsPowell headed to Capitol Hill Tuesday for the first of two days of semiannual monetary policy testimony, his first appearance before Congress since June. He is set to testify before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday.Senate Democrats are wary of the rapid rise in interest rates, while Republicans blame President Joe Biden for over-stimulating the economy and have urged Powell to keep up the inflation fight.Democrat Elizabeth Warren warned that further rate hikes will lead to millions of job losses, according to the Fed’s own projections, but may do little to quell inflation that is driven by other factors, such as supply constraints. “Chair Powell, you are gambling with people’s lives,” she said.The Fed leader is facing lawmakers who are already counting down to the 2024 presidential election, the outcome of which could hinge on Powell’s ability to steer inflation back toward the Fed’s 2% target without causing a significant downturn.Source: Getty ImagesUS central bankers say they need to keep pushing interest rates higher to slow price increases. In December, officials estimated rates would peak at 5.1% this year, according to their median forecast, but several have said that a series of strong economic reports could mean rates need to move even higher.Powell made clear Tuesday those forecasts will likely climb when officials submit new projections this month, and said the Fed would be prepared to return to a bigger rate hike at their next meeting if the data warrant. Officials raised rates by 25 basis points at their Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting, following a half-point hike in December and after four 75-basis-point increases last year.Following Powell’s remarks, some economists upped their expectations for how aggressively the Fed will move when it meets in two weeks and for how high rates will need to go to cool prices.“Powell’s comments make it sound as though they need to be convinced not to speed the pace up,” economists for LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics wrote in an emailed note Tuesday morning. “The presumption that’s been established is that they will hike 50 in March, unless they are convinced otherwise.”Inflation PressuresWhile inflation has eased since the last time Powell testified before Congress, it is still well above the Fed’s. The personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed’s preferred price gauge, rose 5.4% for the 12 months through January.“The breadth of the reversal along with revisions to the previous quarter suggests that inflationary pressures are running higher than expected at the time of our previous Federal Open Market Committee meeting,” Powell said.The labor market, which Powell for months has said is extremely tight and out of balance, has yet to buckle under higher borrowing costs. The unemployment rate dipped to 3.4% in January, the lowest in more than five decades, while Black unemployment fell to 5.4%, just above a record low.“Despite the slowdown in growth, the labor market remains extremely tight,” Powell said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405977,"gmtCreate":1678086248899,"gmtModify":1678087027566,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405977","repostId":"1149355219","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149355219","pubTimestamp":1678055441,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149355219?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 06:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 13 Trading Sessions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149355219","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tapForward implied volatility on payrolls ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tap</li><li>Forward implied volatility on payrolls data underpriced: Citi</li></ul><p>Four major events over the next 13 trading sessions will be the key catalysts in determining whether this year’s stock-market revival gets derailed or starts rolling again after a February slump.</p><p>It all begins Tuesday, when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivers his two-day biannual monetary policy testimony on Capitol Hill. With the S&amp;P 500 Index coming off its best week in a month, investors will be searching for any hint on the central bank’s interest-rate hiking path.</p><p>“The market is clinging to every single positive thing Powell says,” Emily Hill, founding partner at Bowersock Capital, said. “The minute the word ‘disinflation’ left his lips in a speech earlier this year, the market soared.”</p><p>Indeed, the rally at the end of last week was spurred by Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic saying the central bank couldpausethis summer.</p><p>After Powell, comes the February jobs report on March 10 and consumer-price index on March 14. Another hot reading on employment growth and inflation could dash any hopes that the Fed will pullback soon.</p><p>“There are such conflicting signals in the economy,” Hill said. “So you’re going to see overreactions from investors to the upcoming data.”</p><p>Then, on March 22, the Fed will give its policy decision and quarterly interest-rate projections, and Powell will hold his press conference. After that, investors should have a pretty clear idea of whether the central bank will halt its rate hikes some time in the coming months.</p><p>Investors are anxious about most of this. Forward implied volatility is back in the low 30s for the consumer-price-index day and nearing 40 for Fed rate-decision day later, meaning traders are betting on some big swings, data compiled by Citigroup show. However, a forward implied volatility reading of 26 on jobs data day indicates the market is underpricing that risk, according to Stuart Kaiser, Citigroup’s head of US equity trading strategy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbd504a85128f8547bc6c1e2733c9f1a\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"662\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Citigroup</span></p><p>As for the stock market itself, the prevailing sense has been calm. The S&amp;P 500 posted a daily move of less than 0.5% in either direction for the three-trading days ending March 1, a streak of tranquility last seen in January when investors boosted their bets that the US economy may avert a recession as inflation ebbs.</p><p>Here’s what traders will be monitoring.</p><p><b>Powell Testimony</b></p><p>The Fed chair’s biannual monetary policy report to the US Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday and the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday are likely to offer hints on the US economic outlook, specifically inflation, wage pressures and employment. Traders will also look for clues on additional steps the Fed will take to control elevated prices.</p><p><b>Jobs Report</b></p><p>The labor market was strong in January. That’s an important driver of inflation, because wage growth can keep prices higher. And it’s a risk for stock prices because sticky inflation would prevent the Fed from pausing rate hikes. Economists predict that the February unemployment rate will come in at 3.4%, unchanged from January. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to drop to 215,000 after a surprising burst of 517,000 jobs a month earlier. But ultimately the data comes down to wages and whether the Fed thinks they’re slowing fast enough to drive inflation lower.</p><p><b>Inflation Data</b></p><p>The February consumer price index reading is crucial, after it jumped to start the year. Any sign of persistent inflation could push the Fed to raise rates even higher than already expected. The forecast for February’s CPI is 6%, an improvement from January’s 6.4%. Core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy components and is seen as a better underlying indicator than the headline measure, is projected to rise 5.4% from February 2022 and 0.4% from a month earlier. The Fed’s inflation target, which takes in more than just the CPI reading, is 2%.</p><p><b>Fed Decision</b></p><p>The market is pricing in a September peak in interest rates at 5.4%, nearly a percentage point above the current effective federal funds rate. Traders are preparing for the possibility of the Fed returning to jumbo rate hikes, with overnight index swaps pricing in about 31 basis points of tightening later this month.</p><p>Of course, the Fed’s forward expectations and Powell’s comments after the decision will affect market sentiment. But it’s about big misses, like inflation readings coming in much hotter than expected, that would derail the stock market’s recovery attempts, according to Michael Antonelli, market strategist at Baird.</p><p>“If the terminal rate goes from 5% to 5.5%, that will be a headwind, but it won’t crater the stock market the way it did last year,” Antonelli said in a phone interview. “Last year, we didn’t know what the worse-case scenarios was going to look like, but this year the window of potential outcomes is much narrower. And investors like that.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 13 Trading Sessions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 13 Trading Sessions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-06 06:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-05/stock-market-s-fate-comes-down-to-the-next-13-trading-sessions?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tapForward implied volatility on payrolls data underpriced: CitiFour major events over the next 13 trading sessions will be the key catalysts ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-05/stock-market-s-fate-comes-down-to-the-next-13-trading-sessions?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-05/stock-market-s-fate-comes-down-to-the-next-13-trading-sessions?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149355219","content_text":"Powell remarks, jobs and CPI updates and FOMC decision on tapForward implied volatility on payrolls data underpriced: CitiFour major events over the next 13 trading sessions will be the key catalysts in determining whether this year’s stock-market revival gets derailed or starts rolling again after a February slump.It all begins Tuesday, when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivers his two-day biannual monetary policy testimony on Capitol Hill. With the S&P 500 Index coming off its best week in a month, investors will be searching for any hint on the central bank’s interest-rate hiking path.“The market is clinging to every single positive thing Powell says,” Emily Hill, founding partner at Bowersock Capital, said. “The minute the word ‘disinflation’ left his lips in a speech earlier this year, the market soared.”Indeed, the rally at the end of last week was spurred by Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic saying the central bank couldpausethis summer.After Powell, comes the February jobs report on March 10 and consumer-price index on March 14. Another hot reading on employment growth and inflation could dash any hopes that the Fed will pullback soon.“There are such conflicting signals in the economy,” Hill said. “So you’re going to see overreactions from investors to the upcoming data.”Then, on March 22, the Fed will give its policy decision and quarterly interest-rate projections, and Powell will hold his press conference. After that, investors should have a pretty clear idea of whether the central bank will halt its rate hikes some time in the coming months.Investors are anxious about most of this. Forward implied volatility is back in the low 30s for the consumer-price-index day and nearing 40 for Fed rate-decision day later, meaning traders are betting on some big swings, data compiled by Citigroup show. However, a forward implied volatility reading of 26 on jobs data day indicates the market is underpricing that risk, according to Stuart Kaiser, Citigroup’s head of US equity trading strategy.Source: CitigroupAs for the stock market itself, the prevailing sense has been calm. The S&P 500 posted a daily move of less than 0.5% in either direction for the three-trading days ending March 1, a streak of tranquility last seen in January when investors boosted their bets that the US economy may avert a recession as inflation ebbs.Here’s what traders will be monitoring.Powell TestimonyThe Fed chair’s biannual monetary policy report to the US Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday and the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday are likely to offer hints on the US economic outlook, specifically inflation, wage pressures and employment. Traders will also look for clues on additional steps the Fed will take to control elevated prices.Jobs ReportThe labor market was strong in January. That’s an important driver of inflation, because wage growth can keep prices higher. And it’s a risk for stock prices because sticky inflation would prevent the Fed from pausing rate hikes. Economists predict that the February unemployment rate will come in at 3.4%, unchanged from January. Nonfarm payrolls growth is expected to drop to 215,000 after a surprising burst of 517,000 jobs a month earlier. But ultimately the data comes down to wages and whether the Fed thinks they’re slowing fast enough to drive inflation lower.Inflation DataThe February consumer price index reading is crucial, after it jumped to start the year. Any sign of persistent inflation could push the Fed to raise rates even higher than already expected. The forecast for February’s CPI is 6%, an improvement from January’s 6.4%. Core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy components and is seen as a better underlying indicator than the headline measure, is projected to rise 5.4% from February 2022 and 0.4% from a month earlier. The Fed’s inflation target, which takes in more than just the CPI reading, is 2%.Fed DecisionThe market is pricing in a September peak in interest rates at 5.4%, nearly a percentage point above the current effective federal funds rate. Traders are preparing for the possibility of the Fed returning to jumbo rate hikes, with overnight index swaps pricing in about 31 basis points of tightening later this month.Of course, the Fed’s forward expectations and Powell’s comments after the decision will affect market sentiment. But it’s about big misses, like inflation readings coming in much hotter than expected, that would derail the stock market’s recovery attempts, according to Michael Antonelli, market strategist at Baird.“If the terminal rate goes from 5% to 5.5%, that will be a headwind, but it won’t crater the stock market the way it did last year,” Antonelli said in a phone interview. “Last year, we didn’t know what the worse-case scenarios was going to look like, but this year the window of potential outcomes is much narrower. And investors like that.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940405059,"gmtCreate":1678086236972,"gmtModify":1678087027667,"author":{"id":"4122179212780352","authorId":"4122179212780352","name":"Maverick253","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/48d1672ba34b09897377e2c2a5137a4d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4122179212780352","authorIdStr":"4122179212780352"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940405059","repostId":"2317250161","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317250161","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1678056340,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317250161?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-06 06:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market Faces Crucial Test This Week: 3 Questions That Could Decide Rally’s Fate","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317250161","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Jobs data, remarks by Fed's Powell and rising Treasury yields set the stageJerome Powell testifies a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Jobs data, remarks by Fed&#39;s Powell and rising Treasury yields set the stage</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ce6bdebef8b1c5c18b4b32cfb064b6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jerome Powell testifies and U.S. February jobs data loom as investors wrestle with rising interest rate expectations in the week ahead.</span></p><p>There will be no rest for investors this coming week as they await a marquee report on the state of the U.S. labor market, along with biannual Congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.</p><p>Further complicating things, investors will also be watching to see how stocks react to more attractive risk-free returns in the bond market after the yield on the 10-year Treasury note last week temporarily topped the 4% threshold, with many expecting it to climb even further.</p><h2>Was January&#39;s jobs number a &#39;fluke&#39;?</h2><p>On the economic data front, the most important question that investors will be looking to answer is whether January&#39;s huge job gains continued in February. The U.S. economy added 517,000 jobs in January, according to the Labor Department, far outstripping expectations and setting in motion a market rethink on just how high the Federal Reserve will take interest rates in its effort to bring down inflation.</p><p>Since then, weekly jobless benefit claims have continued to show few Americans filing for unemployment benefits, fueling expectations that another blockbuster gain in jobs could be due in the data for February next Friday, which in turn could force the Federal Reserve to resort to even more aggressive interest rate hikes, according to Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, during a phone call with MarketWatch.</p><p>&#34;Will it turn out that the number we got last month was a fluke? Or is this part of a new trend?,&#34; Sosnick said.</p><h2>What will Powell say?</h2><p>Investors haven&#39;t heard from Powell since he participated in a Q&amp;A at the Economic Club of Washington on Feb. 7.</p><p>During his back-and-forth with private-equity billionaire David Rubenstein, Powell reiterated that signs of disinflation are emerging, although he acknowledged the journey back to the Fed&#39;s 2% target would likely be &#34;bumpy.&#34;</p><p>Since then, a run of hotter-than-expected inflation reports showed that a streak of waning price pressures might be coming to an end.</p><p>The cost of living rose 0.5% in January, the biggest increase in three months, according to the consumer-price index released Feb. 14. The annual rate of inflation, meanwhile, slowed again to 6.4% from 6.5%, but economists had expected an even larger decline. The January producer-price index and the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed&#39;s favored inflation measure, also came in hotter than expected.</p><p>As a result, investors will be listening closely to Powell to see what the Fed chair has to say about the central bank&#39;s efforts to crush inflation when he heads to Capitol Hill on Tuesday for testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, followed by testimony before the House Financial Services Committee a day later.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed truly is data dependent, the latest inflation data hasn&#39;t been at all what the Fed wants to see. So how will Powell dance around that?&#34; Sosnick told MarketWatch, in a phone interview.</p><h2>How will stocks respond to higher yields?</h2><p>On top of the economic data and commentary from Powell, investors will also be watching to see how higher bond yields will impact equities.</p><p>The fact that investors can now earn a yield north of 5% by simply buying six-month Treasury bills means stocks are now facing major competition from a far less risky asset class, according to Callie Cox, U.S. investment analyst at eToro.</p><p>What&#39;s more, many on Wall Street expect bond yields to continue to climb, potentially adding to the pressure facing U.S. equity benchmarks like the S&amp;P 500 index , Nasdaq Composite  and Dow Jones Industrial Average .</p><p>&#34;We expect the adjustment in rates is not over,&#34; according to a team of economists at Mizuho Securities.</p><h2>Uncertainty abounds</h2><p>Investors started the year with expectations that the Fed could cut interest rates as soon as this fall. However, hotter-than-expected economic data and warnings about more rate hikes from Fed officials have since tempered that view.</p><p>To wit, moves in Fed funds futures suggest investors see a much lower likelihood of rate cuts later this year, according to the CME&#39;s FedWatch tool. while the fed-funds rate is seen peaking well above 5%.</p><p>It remains to be seen exactly how far the Fed will hike interest rates. Some are betting that the central bank could eventually raise its policy rate as high as 6%, or perhaps even higher, according to Mohannad Aama, a portfolio manager at Beam Capital.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s still so much uncertainty,&#34; Aama said.</p><p>Because of this, every data point could potentially influence investors&#39; expectations about how far rates will rise, potentially delivering a hit, or boost, to stocks, he said.</p><p>U.S. stocks suffered in February, with major indexes losing ground and denting an early 2023 rally. However, stocks bounced last week, however, with the Dow snapping a run of four straight weekly losses and the S&amp;P 500 breaking a three-week streak.</p><p>The Dow rose 1.8% last week, while the S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.9% and the Nasdaq Composite added 2%.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market Faces Crucial Test This Week: 3 Questions That Could Decide Rally’s Fate</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market Faces Crucial Test This Week: 3 Questions That Could Decide Rally’s Fate\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-06 06:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Jobs data, remarks by Fed&#39;s Powell and rising Treasury yields set the stage</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ce6bdebef8b1c5c18b4b32cfb064b6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jerome Powell testifies and U.S. February jobs data loom as investors wrestle with rising interest rate expectations in the week ahead.</span></p><p>There will be no rest for investors this coming week as they await a marquee report on the state of the U.S. labor market, along with biannual Congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.</p><p>Further complicating things, investors will also be watching to see how stocks react to more attractive risk-free returns in the bond market after the yield on the 10-year Treasury note last week temporarily topped the 4% threshold, with many expecting it to climb even further.</p><h2>Was January&#39;s jobs number a &#39;fluke&#39;?</h2><p>On the economic data front, the most important question that investors will be looking to answer is whether January&#39;s huge job gains continued in February. The U.S. economy added 517,000 jobs in January, according to the Labor Department, far outstripping expectations and setting in motion a market rethink on just how high the Federal Reserve will take interest rates in its effort to bring down inflation.</p><p>Since then, weekly jobless benefit claims have continued to show few Americans filing for unemployment benefits, fueling expectations that another blockbuster gain in jobs could be due in the data for February next Friday, which in turn could force the Federal Reserve to resort to even more aggressive interest rate hikes, according to Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, during a phone call with MarketWatch.</p><p>&#34;Will it turn out that the number we got last month was a fluke? Or is this part of a new trend?,&#34; Sosnick said.</p><h2>What will Powell say?</h2><p>Investors haven&#39;t heard from Powell since he participated in a Q&amp;A at the Economic Club of Washington on Feb. 7.</p><p>During his back-and-forth with private-equity billionaire David Rubenstein, Powell reiterated that signs of disinflation are emerging, although he acknowledged the journey back to the Fed&#39;s 2% target would likely be &#34;bumpy.&#34;</p><p>Since then, a run of hotter-than-expected inflation reports showed that a streak of waning price pressures might be coming to an end.</p><p>The cost of living rose 0.5% in January, the biggest increase in three months, according to the consumer-price index released Feb. 14. The annual rate of inflation, meanwhile, slowed again to 6.4% from 6.5%, but economists had expected an even larger decline. The January producer-price index and the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed&#39;s favored inflation measure, also came in hotter than expected.</p><p>As a result, investors will be listening closely to Powell to see what the Fed chair has to say about the central bank&#39;s efforts to crush inflation when he heads to Capitol Hill on Tuesday for testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, followed by testimony before the House Financial Services Committee a day later.</p><p>&#34;If the Fed truly is data dependent, the latest inflation data hasn&#39;t been at all what the Fed wants to see. So how will Powell dance around that?&#34; Sosnick told MarketWatch, in a phone interview.</p><h2>How will stocks respond to higher yields?</h2><p>On top of the economic data and commentary from Powell, investors will also be watching to see how higher bond yields will impact equities.</p><p>The fact that investors can now earn a yield north of 5% by simply buying six-month Treasury bills means stocks are now facing major competition from a far less risky asset class, according to Callie Cox, U.S. investment analyst at eToro.</p><p>What&#39;s more, many on Wall Street expect bond yields to continue to climb, potentially adding to the pressure facing U.S. equity benchmarks like the S&amp;P 500 index , Nasdaq Composite  and Dow Jones Industrial Average .</p><p>&#34;We expect the adjustment in rates is not over,&#34; according to a team of economists at Mizuho Securities.</p><h2>Uncertainty abounds</h2><p>Investors started the year with expectations that the Fed could cut interest rates as soon as this fall. However, hotter-than-expected economic data and warnings about more rate hikes from Fed officials have since tempered that view.</p><p>To wit, moves in Fed funds futures suggest investors see a much lower likelihood of rate cuts later this year, according to the CME&#39;s FedWatch tool. while the fed-funds rate is seen peaking well above 5%.</p><p>It remains to be seen exactly how far the Fed will hike interest rates. Some are betting that the central bank could eventually raise its policy rate as high as 6%, or perhaps even higher, according to Mohannad Aama, a portfolio manager at Beam Capital.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s still so much uncertainty,&#34; Aama said.</p><p>Because of this, every data point could potentially influence investors&#39; expectations about how far rates will rise, potentially delivering a hit, or boost, to stocks, he said.</p><p>U.S. stocks suffered in February, with major indexes losing ground and denting an early 2023 rally. However, stocks bounced last week, however, with the Dow snapping a run of four straight weekly losses and the S&amp;P 500 breaking a three-week streak.</p><p>The Dow rose 1.8% last week, while the S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.9% and the Nasdaq Composite added 2%.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317250161","content_text":"Jobs data, remarks by Fed's Powell and rising Treasury yields set the stageJerome Powell testifies and U.S. February jobs data loom as investors wrestle with rising interest rate expectations in the week ahead.There will be no rest for investors this coming week as they await a marquee report on the state of the U.S. labor market, along with biannual Congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.Further complicating things, investors will also be watching to see how stocks react to more attractive risk-free returns in the bond market after the yield on the 10-year Treasury note last week temporarily topped the 4% threshold, with many expecting it to climb even further.Was January's jobs number a 'fluke'?On the economic data front, the most important question that investors will be looking to answer is whether January's huge job gains continued in February. The U.S. economy added 517,000 jobs in January, according to the Labor Department, far outstripping expectations and setting in motion a market rethink on just how high the Federal Reserve will take interest rates in its effort to bring down inflation.Since then, weekly jobless benefit claims have continued to show few Americans filing for unemployment benefits, fueling expectations that another blockbuster gain in jobs could be due in the data for February next Friday, which in turn could force the Federal Reserve to resort to even more aggressive interest rate hikes, according to Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, during a phone call with MarketWatch.\"Will it turn out that the number we got last month was a fluke? Or is this part of a new trend?,\" Sosnick said.What will Powell say?Investors haven't heard from Powell since he participated in a Q&A at the Economic Club of Washington on Feb. 7.During his back-and-forth with private-equity billionaire David Rubenstein, Powell reiterated that signs of disinflation are emerging, although he acknowledged the journey back to the Fed's 2% target would likely be \"bumpy.\"Since then, a run of hotter-than-expected inflation reports showed that a streak of waning price pressures might be coming to an end.The cost of living rose 0.5% in January, the biggest increase in three months, according to the consumer-price index released Feb. 14. The annual rate of inflation, meanwhile, slowed again to 6.4% from 6.5%, but economists had expected an even larger decline. The January producer-price index and the core personal consumption expenditure index, the Fed's favored inflation measure, also came in hotter than expected.As a result, investors will be listening closely to Powell to see what the Fed chair has to say about the central bank's efforts to crush inflation when he heads to Capitol Hill on Tuesday for testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, followed by testimony before the House Financial Services Committee a day later.\"If the Fed truly is data dependent, the latest inflation data hasn't been at all what the Fed wants to see. So how will Powell dance around that?\" Sosnick told MarketWatch, in a phone interview.How will stocks respond to higher yields?On top of the economic data and commentary from Powell, investors will also be watching to see how higher bond yields will impact equities.The fact that investors can now earn a yield north of 5% by simply buying six-month Treasury bills means stocks are now facing major competition from a far less risky asset class, according to Callie Cox, U.S. investment analyst at eToro.What's more, many on Wall Street expect bond yields to continue to climb, potentially adding to the pressure facing U.S. equity benchmarks like the S&P 500 index , Nasdaq Composite  and Dow Jones Industrial Average .\"We expect the adjustment in rates is not over,\" according to a team of economists at Mizuho Securities.Uncertainty aboundsInvestors started the year with expectations that the Fed could cut interest rates as soon as this fall. However, hotter-than-expected economic data and warnings about more rate hikes from Fed officials have since tempered that view.To wit, moves in Fed funds futures suggest investors see a much lower likelihood of rate cuts later this year, according to the CME's FedWatch tool. while the fed-funds rate is seen peaking well above 5%.It remains to be seen exactly how far the Fed will hike interest rates. Some are betting that the central bank could eventually raise its policy rate as high as 6%, or perhaps even higher, according to Mohannad Aama, a portfolio manager at Beam Capital.\"There's still so much uncertainty,\" Aama said.Because of this, every data point could potentially influence investors' expectations about how far rates will rise, potentially delivering a hit, or boost, to stocks, he said.U.S. stocks suffered in February, with major indexes losing ground and denting an early 2023 rally. However, stocks bounced last week, however, with the Dow snapping a run of four straight weekly losses and the S&P 500 breaking a three-week streak.The Dow rose 1.8% last week, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.9% and the Nasdaq Composite added 2%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}