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09-29

Great article, would you like to share it?

@Pinkspider:Top 10 S&P 500 by decades

09-29

Great article, would you like to share it?

@Jim1995:$XIAOMI-W(01810)$

$Baidu(BIDU)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ The US and Chinese Equities are exactly at opposite positions in their economic cycle right now.One of them needed to flood their economy with a stimulus and the other needed to cool theirs downYou accumulate positions in the one that is waiting for a stimulus[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]That’s it.Image

09-29

Great article, would you like to share it?

@KienBoon:$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Oh no. What's wrong with TSM ? Thought it was bullish. Is there any negative news ? Strange sentiment indeed.

09-25

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ upupup

09-25

Going up

09-25

Yayy

06-28

TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.

Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!

TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.

06-28

TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.

Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!

TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.

06-28

TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.

Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!

TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.

04-11

That's because banks can predict market trends as well as my dog.

1 Rate Cut, Then 5, Then 2: Why Goldman Keeps Revising Its Calls

01-14

😀😀😀😀😀😀

01-14

😀😀😀😀😀

01-13

😀😀😀😀😀

01-12

😀😀😀😀😀

01-11

😀😀😀😀😀

01-10

😀😀😀😀😀

01-09

😀😀😀😀😀

01-07

😀😀😀😀😀😀

01-06

😀😀😀😀😀

01-05

😀😀😀😀😀😀

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/354432770965784","repostId":"354208934711536","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":354208934711536,"gmtCreate":1727484978136,"gmtModify":1727484984790,"author":{"id":"3563842318594455","authorId":"3563842318594455","name":"Pinkspider","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2643891549304031c32c05b207f0f2b6","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3563842318594455","authorIdStr":"3563842318594455"},"themes":[],"title":"Top 10 S&P 500 by decades","htmlText":"Who will be the top for 2024-2034 ? 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I do say<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a>, Netflix , Microsoft and which 2 more ? &nbsp;","text":"Who will be the top for 2024-2034 ? I do say$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ , Netflix , Microsoft and which 2 more ?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb2f98cf114e26b45da695b954d9f8ba","width":"1179","height":"1467"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/354208934711536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":53,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354432856256728,"gmtCreate":1727539624375,"gmtModify":1727539628788,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/354432856256728","repostId":"353927032807592","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":353927032807592,"gmtCreate":1727442675594,"gmtModify":1727444343055,"author":{"id":"3479274715548779","authorId":"3479274715548779","name":"Jim1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5301b3bd4f234ea34f854f5c2163132e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3479274715548779","authorIdStr":"3479274715548779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIDU\">$Baidu(BIDU)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> The US and Chinese Equities are exactly at opposite positions in their economic cycle right now.One of them needed to flood their economy with a stimulus and the other needed to cool theirs downYou accumulate positions in the one that is waiting for a stimulus[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]That’s it.Image","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BIDU\">$Baidu(BIDU)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> The US and Chinese Equities are exactly at opposite positions in their economic cycle right now.One of them needed to flood their economy with a stimulus and the other needed to cool theirs downYou accumulate positions in the one that is waiting for a stimulus[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]That’s it.Image","text":"$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $Baidu(BIDU)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ The US and Chinese Equities are exactly at opposite positions in their economic cycle right now.One of them needed to flood their economy with a stimulus and the other needed to cool theirs downYou accumulate positions in the one that is waiting for a stimulus[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]That’s it.Image","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66246ac479e2471bffd9fc55b026ae43","width":"900","height":"747"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/353927032807592","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354327857357008,"gmtCreate":1727539616689,"gmtModify":1727539620621,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great article, would you like to share it?","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/354327857357008","repostId":"354060866060312","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":354060866060312,"gmtCreate":1727448733254,"gmtModify":1727448736961,"author":{"id":"3583571359572641","authorId":"3583571359572641","name":"KienBoon","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e7090d1e1d330d9f46f450df88abac91","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583571359572641","authorIdStr":"3583571359572641"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; Oh no. What's wrong with TSM ? Thought it was bullish. Is there any negative news ? Strange sentiment indeed.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; Oh no. What's wrong with TSM ? Thought it was bullish. Is there any negative news ? Strange sentiment indeed.&nbsp;","text":"$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Oh no. What's wrong with TSM ? Thought it was bullish. Is there any negative news ? Strange sentiment indeed.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/354060866060312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353015838634040,"gmtCreate":1727194612141,"gmtModify":1727194616342,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ </a> upupup","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ </a> upupup","text":"$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ upupup","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/62f67ef217aa4132bc56264df82e38bc","width":"876","height":"1720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/353015838634040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353015522332728,"gmtCreate":1727194534919,"gmtModify":1727194540096,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going up","listText":"Going up","text":"Going up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a312b1ccb98493957ad6cfbfe9d3385e","width":"876","height":"1720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/353015522332728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352888382341280,"gmtCreate":1727194482708,"gmtModify":1727194487841,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yayy","listText":"Yayy","text":"Yayy","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/14c72648bc169e7eefa4209d27189fcd","width":"876","height":"1720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/352888382341280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321719685423176,"gmtCreate":1719575204774,"gmtModify":1719579864218,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"title":"TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8LdPBs\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade &amp; win $1,010 worth of rewards!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8LdPBs\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade &amp; win $1,010 worth of rewards!","text":"Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321719685423176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321718947528784,"gmtCreate":1719575140750,"gmtModify":1719579864031,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"title":"TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8LlpJI\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade &amp; win $1,010 worth of rewards!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8LlpJI\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade &amp; win $1,010 worth of rewards!","text":"Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321718947528784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321719098724456,"gmtCreate":1719575062738,"gmtModify":1719579863458,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"title":"TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8LzDdS\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade &amp; win $1,010 worth of rewards!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8LzDdS\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade &amp; win $1,010 worth of rewards!","text":"Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321719098724456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":294042580521152,"gmtCreate":1712819296462,"gmtModify":1712820863948,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That's because banks can predict market trends as well as my dog.","listText":"That's because banks can predict market trends as well as my dog.","text":"That's because banks can predict market trends as well as my dog.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/294042580521152","repostId":"1106235971","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106235971","pubTimestamp":1712817000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106235971?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-04-11 14:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Rate Cut, Then 5, Then 2: Why Goldman Keeps Revising Its Calls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106235971","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s pathGoldman economists change call after third hot CPI reportTo see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict whe","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s path</p></li><li><p>Goldman economists change call after third hot CPI report</p></li></ul><p>To see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict where the Federal Reserve is headed, look no further than Goldman Sachs Group Inc.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As recently as November, the bank’s team of economists led by Jan Hatzius was bucking the broader consensus by predicting that the Fed would cut its benchmark rate by just a quarter percentage point in 2024, given how strong the economy had been.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then one month later, after the Fed signaled its was finally done hiking, Hatzius and his colleagues changed their call sharply, expecting five such reductions, with the first in March. One reason was because the six-month annualized rate in the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge had been moving toward the central bank’s 2% target — and they started trimming their rate-cut forecast as the disinflation trend began to reverse.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Now, with another higher-than-expected consumer price index jump causing a reset on Wall Street, Hatzius’s team — like others — revised its call yet again: They now expect only two cuts this year, with the first move coming in July, followed by another in November. That’s roughly what derivative traders are pricing in, too.</p><p>The Fed will “need to see the string of three firmer inflation prints from January to March balanced by a longer series of softer prints in subsequent months,” Hatzius and his colleagues wrote in a note shortly after the increase in the CPI topped economists’ forecasts for a third month in a row.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f324e90b9798780866fb7819f4db2b9\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an e-mailed response, Hatzius acknowledged that he was “whipsawed” by the “surprising deceleration” in inflation in the second half of 2023, followed by a “surprising re-acceleration” so far this year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Hatzius said he’s not alone in getting the call wrong, pointing out that bond investors had to reduce their rate expectations from more than six cuts at the beginning of the year, to less than two now.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Goldman Sachs’s revisions track the broader struggle of analysts to predict the Fed’s path after the first big inflation wave in four decades, with traders also constantly recalibrating their bets as new data rolls in. On Wednesday, that was on display again, with stock prices tumbling and bond yields surging after the CPI release.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After policymakers started raising rates in 2022, traders consistently misjudged how far it would go — and kept prematurely betting on a rapid about-face, wrongly assuming the economy would snap under the onslaught.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On that front, Hatzius has been prescient. When most economists were predicting a recession in 2023, he argued that the Fed would bring down inflation by cooling the labor market without triggering a sharp rise in unemployment. That’s become a dominant view, now that the economy remains strong and the Fed is seen as done tightening policy.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Rate Cut, Then 5, Then 2: Why Goldman Keeps Revising Its Calls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Rate Cut, Then 5, Then 2: Why Goldman Keeps Revising Its Calls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-04-11 14:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/goldman-sachs-changes-fed-call-to-two-cuts-in-2024-from-three><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s pathGoldman economists change call after third hot CPI reportTo see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/goldman-sachs-changes-fed-call-to-two-cuts-in-2024-from-three\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/goldman-sachs-changes-fed-call-to-two-cuts-in-2024-from-three","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106235971","content_text":"Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s pathGoldman economists change call after third hot CPI reportTo see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict where the Federal Reserve is headed, look no further than Goldman Sachs Group Inc.As recently as November, the bank’s team of economists led by Jan Hatzius was bucking the broader consensus by predicting that the Fed would cut its benchmark rate by just a quarter percentage point in 2024, given how strong the economy had been.Then one month later, after the Fed signaled its was finally done hiking, Hatzius and his colleagues changed their call sharply, expecting five such reductions, with the first in March. One reason was because the six-month annualized rate in the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge had been moving toward the central bank’s 2% target — and they started trimming their rate-cut forecast as the disinflation trend began to reverse.Now, with another higher-than-expected consumer price index jump causing a reset on Wall Street, Hatzius’s team — like others — revised its call yet again: They now expect only two cuts this year, with the first move coming in July, followed by another in November. That’s roughly what derivative traders are pricing in, too.The Fed will “need to see the string of three firmer inflation prints from January to March balanced by a longer series of softer prints in subsequent months,” Hatzius and his colleagues wrote in a note shortly after the increase in the CPI topped economists’ forecasts for a third month in a row.In an e-mailed response, Hatzius acknowledged that he was “whipsawed” by the “surprising deceleration” in inflation in the second half of 2023, followed by a “surprising re-acceleration” so far this year.Hatzius said he’s not alone in getting the call wrong, pointing out that bond investors had to reduce their rate expectations from more than six cuts at the beginning of the year, to less than two now.Goldman Sachs’s revisions track the broader struggle of analysts to predict the Fed’s path after the first big inflation wave in four decades, with traders also constantly recalibrating their bets as new data rolls in. On Wednesday, that was on display again, with stock prices tumbling and bond yields surging after the CPI release.After policymakers started raising rates in 2022, traders consistently misjudged how far it would go — and kept prematurely betting on a rapid about-face, wrongly assuming the economy would snap under the onslaught.On that front, Hatzius has been prescient. When most economists were predicting a recession in 2023, he argued that the Fed would bring down inflation by cooling the labor market without triggering a sharp rise in unemployment. That’s become a dominant view, now that the economy remains strong and the Fed is seen as done tightening 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upupup","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/62f67ef217aa4132bc56264df82e38bc","width":"876","height":"1720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/353015838634040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":294042580521152,"gmtCreate":1712819296462,"gmtModify":1712820863948,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That's because banks can predict market trends as well as my dog.","listText":"That's because banks can predict market trends as well as my dog.","text":"That's because banks can predict market trends as well as my dog.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/294042580521152","repostId":"1106235971","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106235971","pubTimestamp":1712817000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106235971?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-04-11 14:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Rate Cut, Then 5, Then 2: Why Goldman Keeps Revising Its Calls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106235971","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s pathGoldman economists change call after third hot CPI reportTo see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict whe","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s path</p></li><li><p>Goldman economists change call after third hot CPI report</p></li></ul><p>To see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict where the Federal Reserve is headed, look no further than Goldman Sachs Group Inc.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As recently as November, the bank’s team of economists led by Jan Hatzius was bucking the broader consensus by predicting that the Fed would cut its benchmark rate by just a quarter percentage point in 2024, given how strong the economy had been.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then one month later, after the Fed signaled its was finally done hiking, Hatzius and his colleagues changed their call sharply, expecting five such reductions, with the first in March. One reason was because the six-month annualized rate in the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge had been moving toward the central bank’s 2% target — and they started trimming their rate-cut forecast as the disinflation trend began to reverse.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Now, with another higher-than-expected consumer price index jump causing a reset on Wall Street, Hatzius’s team — like others — revised its call yet again: They now expect only two cuts this year, with the first move coming in July, followed by another in November. That’s roughly what derivative traders are pricing in, too.</p><p>The Fed will “need to see the string of three firmer inflation prints from January to March balanced by a longer series of softer prints in subsequent months,” Hatzius and his colleagues wrote in a note shortly after the increase in the CPI topped economists’ forecasts for a third month in a row.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f324e90b9798780866fb7819f4db2b9\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an e-mailed response, Hatzius acknowledged that he was “whipsawed” by the “surprising deceleration” in inflation in the second half of 2023, followed by a “surprising re-acceleration” so far this year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Hatzius said he’s not alone in getting the call wrong, pointing out that bond investors had to reduce their rate expectations from more than six cuts at the beginning of the year, to less than two now.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Goldman Sachs’s revisions track the broader struggle of analysts to predict the Fed’s path after the first big inflation wave in four decades, with traders also constantly recalibrating their bets as new data rolls in. On Wednesday, that was on display again, with stock prices tumbling and bond yields surging after the CPI release.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">After policymakers started raising rates in 2022, traders consistently misjudged how far it would go — and kept prematurely betting on a rapid about-face, wrongly assuming the economy would snap under the onslaught.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">On that front, Hatzius has been prescient. When most economists were predicting a recession in 2023, he argued that the Fed would bring down inflation by cooling the labor market without triggering a sharp rise in unemployment. That’s become a dominant view, now that the economy remains strong and the Fed is seen as done tightening policy.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Rate Cut, Then 5, Then 2: Why Goldman Keeps Revising Its Calls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Rate Cut, Then 5, Then 2: Why Goldman Keeps Revising Its Calls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-04-11 14:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/goldman-sachs-changes-fed-call-to-two-cuts-in-2024-from-three><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s pathGoldman economists change call after third hot CPI reportTo see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/goldman-sachs-changes-fed-call-to-two-cuts-in-2024-from-three\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/goldman-sachs-changes-fed-call-to-two-cuts-in-2024-from-three","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106235971","content_text":"Echoes Wall Street’s broader difficulty predicting Fed’s pathGoldman economists change call after third hot CPI reportTo see how hard it’s been for even Wall Street’s best and brightest to predict where the Federal Reserve is headed, look no further than Goldman Sachs Group Inc.As recently as November, the bank’s team of economists led by Jan Hatzius was bucking the broader consensus by predicting that the Fed would cut its benchmark rate by just a quarter percentage point in 2024, given how strong the economy had been.Then one month later, after the Fed signaled its was finally done hiking, Hatzius and his colleagues changed their call sharply, expecting five such reductions, with the first in March. One reason was because the six-month annualized rate in the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge had been moving toward the central bank’s 2% target — and they started trimming their rate-cut forecast as the disinflation trend began to reverse.Now, with another higher-than-expected consumer price index jump causing a reset on Wall Street, Hatzius’s team — like others — revised its call yet again: They now expect only two cuts this year, with the first move coming in July, followed by another in November. That’s roughly what derivative traders are pricing in, too.The Fed will “need to see the string of three firmer inflation prints from January to March balanced by a longer series of softer prints in subsequent months,” Hatzius and his colleagues wrote in a note shortly after the increase in the CPI topped economists’ forecasts for a third month in a row.In an e-mailed response, Hatzius acknowledged that he was “whipsawed” by the “surprising deceleration” in inflation in the second half of 2023, followed by a “surprising re-acceleration” so far this year.Hatzius said he’s not alone in getting the call wrong, pointing out that bond investors had to reduce their rate expectations from more than six cuts at the beginning of the year, to less than two now.Goldman Sachs’s revisions track the broader struggle of analysts to predict the Fed’s path after the first big inflation wave in four decades, with traders also constantly recalibrating their bets as new data rolls in. On Wednesday, that was on display again, with stock prices tumbling and bond yields surging after the CPI release.After policymakers started raising rates in 2022, traders consistently misjudged how far it would go — and kept prematurely betting on a rapid about-face, wrongly assuming the economy would snap under the onslaught.On that front, Hatzius has been prescient. When most economists were predicting a recession in 2023, he argued that the Fed would bring down inflation by cooling the labor market without triggering a sharp rise in unemployment. That’s become a dominant view, now that the economy remains strong and the Fed is seen as done tightening policy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262318028288176,"gmtCreate":1705076719202,"gmtModify":1705076722900,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😀😀😀😀😀","listText":"😀😀😀😀😀","text":"😀😀😀😀😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262318028288176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258775862861992,"gmtCreate":1704211735828,"gmtModify":1704211739611,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😀😀😀😀😀😀","listText":"😀😀😀😀😀😀","text":"😀😀😀😀😀😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258775862861992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254411219472440,"gmtCreate":1703148877586,"gmtModify":1703148881466,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to play tycoon&nbsp;","listText":"Time to play tycoon&nbsp;","text":"Time to play tycoon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254411219472440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945617690,"gmtCreate":1681449950210,"gmtModify":1681449956206,"author":{"id":"4131365224490242","authorId":"4131365224490242","name":"mocheee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4131365224490242","authorIdStr":"4131365224490242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay can keep trying it","listText":"Okay can keep trying it","text":"Okay can keep trying 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