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.SPX: The Unavoidable Loophole of a "Rational Trader"

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 The Unavoidable Loophole of a "rational trader": (1) the following $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Daily roadmap was posted to MPW subs on Apirl 4th, in Scroll 218. (2) I had two options for SPX, Black path is primary wave count & Blue path is alternate. (3) However, in retrospect, I made a mistake here by being too rational. BLUE is the right path. Why? (4) I read a lot of reflections from bulls and bears about the ongoing, insane, irrational melt-up rise. All in all, I believe this is a perfectly fitting "exclamation mark" to an insanely long and over-extended BULL MARKET from March 2009. The giant clock of market God is ticking toward the finish line and yeah, time is
.SPX: The Unavoidable Loophole of a "Rational Trader"
avatarMasterWU
04-14 13:38

SPY: A Very Slim Chance to Fill the Large Gap

Market Review: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ (1) the opening gap down was so small and short-lived, which already cast doubt on the ultra-bearish theory. (2) as I noted a few days ago--"if 6800 is broken to the upside, then it would signal a large W-3" to ATH. It looks like that will be the case now. (3) I have updated my primary count in Bamboo Scroll #219, posted to SUBS on April 11th, which already adopted this new roadmap. That was posted before the failed negotiation. (4) short-term, today's run is indeed wild and a bit unexpected--I was stopped out half of my 4/20 675 puts BE; & re-entered again mid-day near 6860 zone. (5) the last hour's squeeze-higher only appears in two spots: either the 3rd of 3rd of a bullish leg,
SPY: A Very Slim Chance to Fill the Large Gap

SPY: Buddha Smile W-C to 6800

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Buddha Smile W-C to 6800: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) a large zigzag from 6316 low has formed; now, it is the sideway w(4) of W-C, which will probably extend to Friday to resolve. (2) if breaking 6800 to the upside--which I DOUBT, that would signal a large W-3, rather than a corrective W-C. 2 6812--that should be it [My target range]. Buying 4/20 SPY 675 puts and will keep radio silent till next Monday. GLTA. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now S
SPY: Buddha Smile W-C to 6800

.SPX: 6600 Strong Resistance

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 6600 strong resistance: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) geopolitical conflicts aside, the market is sitting on a confluence zone near 6600-6620. (2) it has to make a decision soon--probably coinciding with Trump's presser at 1:00pm. (3) my vote is DOWN, to form a flat w-b; or worse, a larger W(B) for W-[2] For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater Flexibility Now Find out more here. Complete your first Cash
.SPX: 6600 Strong Resistance

SPY: Next Monday's Low Would Be a Good Entry for LONG

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 6480--here we are! $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 1, told you that I loaded my small option day-trading account with 4/6 & 4/10 SPY puts--I drew the roadmap ystdy, and told you where I entered the trade. 2, will set up trailing stop and hard stop at open--most likely an "easy double"--as I used to say. GLTA Busy Trading Session: (1) a trending day with key levels to watch; (2) will get to my 6450 zone mid-day, and expect a small rebound in last hour or so; (3) the long weekend may usher in a totally different war picture--ground troop joining the conflict, will keep some 4/6 puts. Out of HALF positions at open with trailing stops. Added some 0dtx SPY puts
SPY: Next Monday's Low Would Be a Good Entry for LONG

.SPX: Quarter-ending Window Dressing Goes Extreme

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Quarter-ending Window Dressing Goes Extreme: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) this huge rebound has nothing to do with reality; but has everything to do with bond-re-adjustment; (2) so far, only 3-wave off the low at 6316; also, THE BLACK TRENDLINE should be respected, at least short-term. SHORT at 6540 2 Beauty of EWT: (1) While fintwit is filled with comments of the "biggest bull trap" and "dead-cat bounce," I saw the beauty of a classic 5-wave up with an extended 1st wave. (2) it is a pure beauty--if true--then tmrw, a zigzag retrace would take SPX to at least 6455 mid-day. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD
.SPX: Quarter-ending Window Dressing Goes Extreme

.SPX: 6440 Will Be Retested AGAIN

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Green Path: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) large gap-up to open the last trading sessions of March, as well as first quarter. (2) 6440 will serve as a MAJOR resistance and I think it will stop today's rebounds. (3) also, the hand-pointed trendline would serve as strong support--btw, gap-fill is possible. As expected, the LARGE opening gap is alomst closed. Now, large chopping sideway moves btw 6440 and 6360; Nimble traders would make money by trading both ways. 6388 PIN: (1) dragged by two forces between 6440 and 6360, there won't be any breakthrough today. (2) I would bet that SPX closes near 6388, with chopping moves in-between for the next four hours. (3) will tra
.SPX: 6440 Will Be Retested AGAIN

.SPX Faces the Crossroad Now?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 The Year of Firy Horse (1966 vs. 2026) --first chart is DJI weekly chart from 1965-1967 --second chart is DJI weekly chart from 2025-2027 --third chart is a comparison. [BTW, this comparison & roadmap was presented to MPW Bamboo Scroll subs on Dec. 20th, 2025, in Scroll #203]. 2 "No Country for Slow Traders": (1) if you don't know how to properly set up stops and place fewer than 20 trades per day, stay away from the current market. (2) to SUBs: my 30-min roadmap didn't draw the path for a prolonged bottoming process, which is possible too--see below. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
.SPX Faces the Crossroad Now?

.SPX: This Type and Structure is CRASHY

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $S&P 500(.SPX)$Indeed, "gap down and touch 6430" -- the target that I marked on the chart for some time. There is a lower gap-fill level at 6410; however, if SPX does go that low, then 6400 will likely be broken in a fast flash. In any case, BULLS need to fill today's opening gap, otherwise... 2 Keep it Simple: 1, the 6410 gap was closed--by two points. 2, no impulsive upward moves so far--pay attention to the downward trendline. First task for bulls to conquer. 3, IF TODAY'S opening gap can NOT be filled by the end of day, then next Monday is leaning bearish too. 3 Seriously, this type and structure is CRASHY. Bulls have about 40-min to turn the ship, otherwi
.SPX: This Type and Structure is CRASHY

.SPX: Once 6520 is Gone, then Retest the Previous Low

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you~! 1 Bought CALLS at open, as the market would continue chopping between 6530 and 6620, until Friday, when "who is begging whom" for ceasefire negotiation is clear. Either Blue Path or Red Path to new low after hitting 6616 one more time. Not convinced either way, leaning BLUE. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 Out of 80% 0dtx SPY calls at double. Keep 3/27 SPY 658 calls for a potential "peace talk" announcement after today's close--President Trump is scheduled to make an announcement after close, some speculated it may be a "war threat," but my suspect that would be THE LAST TACO. 3 If 6520 is gone, then retest of previous LOW is in progress. OUT OF ALL CALLS--added small amount
.SPX: Once 6520 is Gone, then Retest the Previous Low

Trading Ideas: How to be the Winner!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: (1) with the constant war drums beating in the background, the market prediction business turns into a game of blind-man shooting in the dark; (2) Or, does it? --See some of my shots posted to Subs on 3/21. 2 Top Ten Institutional Holders include some of the BIG BOYS: + Vanguard Group + BlackRock Inc. + Geode Capital Management + Goldman Sachs Group ....... + Jane Street Group. This list was tallied at the end of 2025; Let's check out who else joined the board THIS quarter. $XMAX Inc.(XWIN)$ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US sto
Trading Ideas: How to be the Winner!

.SPX: Just to Kill the Volatility and Earn the Premiums

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ still aiming at 6710 zone, however, the zigzag formation yesterday gives rise the second option--BLUE PATH, for later this week. Either way, bulls are NOT out of the woods yet, which means the bottom at 6473 still may get retested later--that test, SHOULD PINPOINT THE LOW. Blue Path [adjusted] NOW. The high of rebound is 6635, missed by a point. The sideway chops would ran through the rest of day, between 6600 and 6540. DMA200=6630 and it is still a tremendous resistance level. Blue Path Confirmed. No breakout until tmrw or Thursday, most likely to upper range at 6685-6700. Won't trade much today, as there is no better entry for either directio
.SPX: Just to Kill the Volatility and Earn the Premiums

XWIM: Buying Spree

$XMAX Inc.(XWIN)$ 's Buying Spree: (1) just did some study of XMax's 8-K filings--since late 2025, it announced that it has purchased, in multiple transactions, tens of millions of shares of SpaceX. (2) with Elon Musk's SpaceX eyeing at IPO this year, these investments will be hugely rewarding; (3) with XWIN today's announcement of a major transformation of its business model, XMax seems to have a well-planned vision and strategy for its future. Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Gr
XWIM: Buying Spree

.SPX: Turnaround Tuesday?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Turnaround Tuesday? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) SPX closed way lower than 6624 ystdy, effectively opening the door for lower low. (2) however, I believe 6540 would stop the bleeding and resume higher. (3) the current oversold condition would trigger a rocket any moment when a Trump tweet comes out. Image TURNAROUND in progress--after hitting 6525 low, now spiking over 70 points in a sharp rebound. Expect 6700-6720 zone to be tested sometime this week. That would tell whether this new-born bull has legs or not. Image Interestingly, my last blog 1 hour ago, MARKED a regional top of this rebound. Always remember: with VIX elevated, any rise or drop may be short-lived--the best trading s
.SPX: Turnaround Tuesday?

.SPX: Watching 6624 for SPX

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Simpy AMAZING! The retrace low is 6565--and I marked on the 5-min chart is 6560--when $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was traded at 6640 zone. That is a 80-point move mapped out 2 hours in advance. Even I myself was amazed by this type of ACCURACY. Mind you: this is 5-min chart, and all lines are original 2 Another 60+ bounce from the MARK at 6560. I am speechless.... 3 Watching 6624 for SPX. (1) the key level to watch for is 6624: IF, TODAY'S CLOSE is above this level, then the bottom is difinitely IN. (2) IF, it is lower than that, then, still a chance to revisit 6473. (3) My vote: SPX will close a hair above that level to keep suspense. For SG users only, Welcome to ope
.SPX: Watching 6624 for SPX

.SPX: BULL FLAG OR BEARISH RETREAT?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 6538 LOW: (1) Now, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ reached the Fib level of 6530 zone and paused for the next move. (2) all indicators line up for a sizable rebound to get rid of late bears--with the panic mood and geo-political instability, market needs a boost to aim higher. (3) I am NOT bullish yet, but entering some lottery calls. Bull-flag Breakout: (1) even with the selloff of the broader market, there are a few names bucking the trend. (2) $XMAX Inc.(XWIN)$ is one of them--after a lengthy base-building, this ticker broke out of the tight range a few days ago. (3) the company has repositioned itself with new
.SPX: BULL FLAG OR BEARISH RETREAT?

SpaceX+X+xAi, The So-called "Muskonomy"

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$“In Musk We Trust”: (1) as SpaceX's IPO countdown begins, a new investment strategy emerges--riding on Elon Musk’s trillion$ Eco-System by buying its private equity. (2) institutional investors allocate their capital to bet on Musk's ambitious enterprises, SpaceX+X+xAi, the so-called "Muskonomy"; (3) a few notable public listed companies also followed this approach, aiming for big wins; Nasdaq-listed $XMAX Inc.(XWIN)$ has been doing this quietly over the last year after a business reshuffle. Now, retail investors have a direct access to Musk's business empire even before its IPO. From $XMAX Inc.(XW
SpaceX+X+xAi, The So-called "Muskonomy"

.SPX: Highest Bearish Sentiment In a Year🧨

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Highest Bearish Sentiment In a Year: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) the latest AAII numbers recorded 52% bears, the highest since 4/3-4/10/25, when tariff scare hit. (2) However, at this juncture, I begin to feel BULLISH--first time in 2026. (3) tmrw marks a significant turning window--MPW leans bullish! 2 6557 has the potential to be THE BOTTOM of this entire correction from 7003. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ This is NOT a minor claim, as you can imagine. Very short-term, TEACT model signals a large rebound is due--if today's openning gap is closed, then most likely the turning window of 3/19-20 is working For SG user
.SPX: Highest Bearish Sentiment In a Year🧨

.SPX: 6750-60 as RALLY TARGET

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 6750-60 as RALLY TARGET: (1) The Blue ZIGZIG captured the rally move perfectly. Now, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ offically gets into the gap-fill zone. (2) at minimum, this rebound should reach 6732--which it does just now; and the ideal target would be 6760. (3) after that, well, the return of BEARS. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater Flexibility Now Find out more here. Complete your first Cash
.SPX: 6750-60 as RALLY TARGET

.SPX: Expect for A Rally in the Future!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! Back-test the support of the broken trendline (purple)--now, the previous strong resistance turned into support. If failed, then the opening gap is in danger of getting filled [yeah, that is possible]--but, I doubt it. Bet on a support and continued rally after the test. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 6730 Reached; 6750-60 Next: (1) as expected, a double back-test of Purple Line was supported, and SPX spiked to 6730 with HUANG's "1-trillion" shocker. (2) the rebound is forming a zigzag, to fill the overhead gap--red zone--btw 6730-60. (3) expect a further rally tmrw, THEN⤵️ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 w
.SPX: Expect for A Rally in the Future!

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