Chris Luk
Chris Luk
I’m more interested in a company’s fundamentals rather than technical analysis.
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Ah, the age-old debate: big fish or small fry? I've always been a fan of the "small gains" approach. It's like those tiny, adorable kittens that you just want to cuddle all day. Sure, they might not be as impressive as a majestic lion, but they're consistent, reliable, and less likely to maul your face. I mean, let's be honest, the "big picture" strategy sounds great in theory. Find an undervalued gem, sit back, and watch it soar. But in practice, it's like trying to predict the next viral TikTok dance: you can never be quite sure. And let's not forget the heart-pounding anxiety of holding onto a losing position, hoping against hope that it'll turn around. On the other hand, with the "small gains" approach, you're essentially playing a game of chess, not checkers. Every little move counts.

Reply: Breaking the September Curse—A Strong Month for My Portfolio

Great topic! Let's delve into why the September curse appears to have been broken this year and analyze my portfolio's performance in light of this trend. Factors Contributing to the Broken Curse: Several factors likely contributed to the S&P 500's strong performance in September and the subsequent breaking of the curse: Robust Earnings Season: The third-quarter earnings season has been impressive so far, with many companies reporting better-than-expected results and raising their guidance. This positive earnings momentum has boosted investor sentiment and fueled market gains. Strong Economic Indicators: The U.S. economy continues to exhibit resilience, with key economic indicators like GDP growth, employment data, and consumer spending coming in stronger than anticipated. This sugges
Reply: Breaking the September Curse—A Strong Month for My Portfolio

Comparing Palantir and Amazon: An Analysis of AI Platform Potential and Fundamental Financial Metrics

In the rapidly growing field of Artificial Intelligence (AI), both Palantir Technologies ( $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ) and Amazon ( $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ) are notable contenders with promising platforms that cater to diverse AI-driven needs across industries. Given the bullish outlook by IDC on AI-platform spending, which is projected to compound at an annual growth rate of 51% through 2028, it's essential to analyze the fundamentals of these companies to gauge their potential and sustainability in this expanding market. Palantir Technologies Palantir, primarily known for its sophisticated data analytics software including Foundry and Gotham, has recently ventured into AI through its Artificial In
Comparing Palantir and Amazon: An Analysis of AI Platform Potential and Fundamental Financial Metrics
Nvidia $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang recently completed a planned sale of over $700 million worth of Nvidia shares, as part of a pre-arranged compensation plan. While some may view this as a signal to question the company's outlook, it's important to maintain perspective. (1) Planned Sale, Not a Red Flag: Huang's share sale was not a sudden move, but part of a scheduled plan related to his compensation package. Executives often liquidate shares for practical reasons, whether for lifestyle needs, tax purposes, or portfolio diversification. Holding onto all company stock would be unusual—treating shares as a collectible rather than a financial asset is not realistic. (2) Impact on Nvidia's Market Cap: Huang’s sale is minuscule in comparison t

Bullish Case for Flowserve ($FLS): A Hidden Play with Strong Growth Potential

Flowserve ( $Flowserve(FLS)$ ) presents a compelling investment opportunity, driven by its strong financial fundamentals, a favourable technical setup, and a promising business outlook, particularly in the nuclear energy sector. Here’s why Flowserve’s stock rise may just be the beginning. 1. Fundamentals: Profit Growth & Undervalued P/E Ratio Flowserve's earnings growth and profitability make it an attractive investment. The company has been growing its earnings per share (EPS) at an impressive 14% per year over the last three years. This is accompanied by an improving EBIT margin, which rose by 2.1 percentage points to 10% over the last year—showing that its growth is sustainable and rooted in operational efficiency. Moreover, Flowserve is tr
Bullish Case for Flowserve ($FLS): A Hidden Play with Strong Growth Potential

GE Vernova's Rising Share Price: A Financial Analysis and Outlook for Sustainability

GE Vernova's ( $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ ) share price has exhibited a remarkable rally since its spin-off from General Electric in April 2024. With shares more than doubling from an initial closing price below $123 to around $253, investors have been pleasantly surprised by the stock's upward trajectory. This rise has been driven by several factors, including growing demand for electricity, optimism around the energy transition, and positive analyst sentiment. However, the key question is whether this rally is sustainable in the long term. Key Drivers Behind the Price Surge Energy Transition and Demand Growth One of the most significant factors behind GE Vernova's price increase is the growing demand for electricity, fueled by global trends such as
GE Vernova's Rising Share Price: A Financial Analysis and Outlook for Sustainability

Qualcomm's Pursuit of Intel: A Game-Changing Acquisition or a Costly Gamble?

The chip industry was abuzz on Friday after reports surfaced that Qualcomm ( $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ ) had approached Intel ( $Intel(INTC)$ ) with a potential acquisition offer, valuing the latter at roughly $90 billion. While the details of this proposal remain unclear, the market responded with mixed signals: Intel shares jumped 3%, while Qualcomm’s stock dipped 3%. Let's explore whether this acquisition could be a strategic win or a financial risk while assessing the potential impact on Intel’s stock price, which I still target at $25. The Strategic Rationale Behind Qualcomm’s Move Qualcomm’s interest in Intel, though surprising, is not completely out of left field. Qualcomm is predominantly seen as a mobil
Qualcomm's Pursuit of Intel: A Game-Changing Acquisition or a Costly Gamble?
it's still too early to say for sure whether we're in a recession or not. We need to see a few more months of economic data like GDP growth, unemployment rates, and inflation to get a clearer picture. Even with this rate cut, interest rates are still pretty high historically. This could still be tough for businesses, especially with the global economy. On the other hand, some might argue that the market has already priced in this rate cut, so we might not see huge swings in the stock market. As for the hotdog prices at Costco, I guess that's a sign of inflation, but it's not necessarily a recession indicator. We'll have to wait and see!

Alphabet: Riding an Eight-Day Winning Streak with Strong Fundamentals – A Buy Opportunity?

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG $Alphabet(GOOG)$ ) is making waves on Wall Street, currently trading at $162.97 with an eight-day winning streak—the longest since April 2019. The stock has surged 9.63% over this period, reflecting solid investor sentiment. As it approaches its highest close since August 2024, Alphabet’s upward momentum offers a compelling case for bullish investors. Key Drivers Behind Alphabet’s Rally The tech giant's performance isn't just a short-term win. With a year-to-date gain of 16.67%, Alphabet continues to show resilience in the market, despite being down 14.76% from its all-time high of $191.18 in July. This presents a buying opportunity, especially as the stock is up 25.12% from a year ago and 33.4% from its 52-week low. A
Alphabet: Riding an Eight-Day Winning Streak with Strong Fundamentals – A Buy Opportunity?
I recently bought shares of IO Biotech (IOBT) at $0.83. In my view, investing in pharma stocks is like betting on a horse race — you’re watching to see which company crosses the finish line with breakthrough results. IO Biotech’s positive Phase 2 trial data for IO102-IO103 in treating advanced head and neck cancer caught my attention, signaling potential upside. With the stock price currently at an all-time low, I believe it’s a good entry point to bet on their success in the next phases.

Analyzing the Market Reaction to the Fed's 50 Basis Points Rate Cut

On September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve took a decisive step by reducing the federal funds rate by 50 basis points, marking a significant shift in U.S. monetary policy. This move, aimed at supporting a softening labour market and controlling still-elevated inflation levels, led to a variety of immediate reactions in financial markets, reflecting the complex interplay of investor expectations, economic indicators, and monetary policy. Market Movements The stock market initially reacted positively, with major indices like the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting the day’s highs shortly after the announcement. This rally was underpinned by the relief among investors who had been anticipating aggressive action from the Fed to counteract recent economic slowdowns. Howeve
Analyzing the Market Reaction to the Fed's 50 Basis Points Rate Cut

Fed Rate Cut Dilemma: Will a 25 or 50 Basis Point Move Propel Markets or Trigger a Sell-Off?

As the Federal Reserve prepares for its highly anticipated rate announcement this Wednesday, market participants are faced with a significant dilemma: will the central bank opt for a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut, or could it go further with a 50 bps reduction? Traders have been ramping up their bets on the latter, with the CME's FedWatch Tool showing a 59% probability of a 50 bps cut, up from 43% just last Friday. This marks a crucial moment for both the Fed and investors, as the rate cut may either propel the markets higher or trigger an unexpected sell-off. The 25 bps vs. 50 bps Debate is more than just about the size of the rate cut; it’s about the underlying message the Fed conveys. If the central bank opts for a 25 bps cut, it signals a cautious yet optimistic approach, suggesting th
Fed Rate Cut Dilemma: Will a 25 or 50 Basis Point Move Propel Markets or Trigger a Sell-Off?

Intel's AI and Restructuring Moves: A Buy Opportunity Under $20?

Intel Corporation ( $Intel(INTC)$ ) has been making headlines recently with its ambitious restructuring efforts, AI-driven initiatives, and crucial deals with tech giants like Amazon. Despite these positive developments, the company's challenges persist, raising questions about whether Intel has reached a bottom in its stock price and presents a buying opportunity under $20. Key Developments Driving Investor Confidence Intel's multi-year collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to manufacture custom AI chips is a significant step forward. This deal highlights Intel’s commitment to expanding its presence in AI, a sector currently dominated by competitors like NVIDIA. The custom AI chip production, alongside Intel’s proposed restructuring of its
Intel's AI and Restructuring Moves: A Buy Opportunity Under $20?
Each of these approaches reflects a different mindset towards trend-following or contrarian investment. Left-side trading refers to an investment approach where the investor buys during a downtrend or sells during an uptrend, positioning themselves against the prevailing market sentiment. It is often associated with contrarian investing, where the investor believes that the current trend is overextended and due for a reversal. A classic example of left-side trading is value investing, where investors look for companies trading below their intrinsic value due to temporary setbacks, broad market declines, or negative sentiment. This style requires patience and conviction, as the market may continue to move against the position before eventually correcting. Risk management is essential, as be

Nvidia's Surge: Can It Break Through Resistance and Head Towards $130?

A New Rally in the Making On September 11, Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang set off a significant rally in the U.S. stock market with his remarks at a Goldman Sachs technology conference. Citing "massive AI chip demand" and "customer tensions," Huang’s comments helped erase earlier losses, culminating in a V-shaped rebound with technology and chip stocks like Nvidia $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ leading the charge. The question now is whether this rally represents the end of the recent selloff or if it is merely a temporary resurgence. Technical Analysis: Signs of a Bullish Reversal A closer look at Nvidia’s daily trading chart shows promising signs of a bullish reversal. The stock has formed a bullish triangle pattern, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergenc
Nvidia's Surge: Can It Break Through Resistance and Head Towards $130?

Will a U.S. Fed Rate Cut Bring Relief to Australian Borrowers?

Michele Bullock, The RBA governor As the U.S. Federal Reserve moves closer to cutting interest rates, Australian borrowers might wonder what this means for them. Historically, economic moves in the U.S. tend to ripple across the globe, influencing policies in nations like Australia. While U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals rate cuts aimed at easing inflation and stimulating the economy, Australians hoping for similar relief might be disappointed. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), led by Governor Michele Bullock, has made it clear that rate cuts are unlikely in the near future. The Global Trend of Rate Cuts The U.S. is poised to join other major economies, including the UK, Canada, China, and New Zealand, in reducing interest rates. These cuts reflect a global trend toward easing mone
Will a U.S. Fed Rate Cut Bring Relief to Australian Borrowers?

Cautionary Outlook on Goldman Sachs (GS) in the Short Term

Goldman Sachs $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ faces several challenges ahead, particularly in the short term, as it prepares to report its third-quarter earnings. While the stock has performed well so far in 2024, rising 26%, recent developments hint at potential volatility and downside risks, especially with a notable decline in trading revenue expected and a continued focus on shifting business models. Declining Trading Revenue and Market Conditions CEO David Solomon has already cautioned that trading revenue for Goldman Sachs is likely to drop by 10% in Q3, with fixed income, currencies, and commodities (FICC) being the hardest hit. This is not an isolated issue but reflects broader macroeconomic conditions, particularly the challenging environment seen in
Cautionary Outlook on Goldman Sachs (GS) in the Short Term

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