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Weekly | Is HK Stock Bull Over After Two-Day Plunge?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market saw a pullback after reaching a new high for the year. The $HSI(HSI)$ fell for two consecutive days, closing the week down by 1.13%.Economic Data and Corporate EarningsOn Monday, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released strong economic data. In January-February, retail sales of consumer goods grew 4% year-on-year, surpassing the 3.8% forecast and beating December’s 3.7% increase. Industrial output grew 5.9%, beating the 5.3% forecast, and fixed asset investment rose 4.1%, also exceeding expectations.On Tuesday after market hours, $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ reported its fourth-quarter earnings, claiming to have delivered the strongest financial results in its history. Rev
Weekly | Is HK Stock Bull Over After Two-Day Plunge?

Weekly | HK Stocks Face Major Test Ahead!

This week, Hong Kong stocks experienced significant volatility, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 1.12%, dropping below the key 24,000-point mark.US Market Drops Drag Down Hong Kong StocksThe US stock market took a sharp dive this week, with the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ down 4.9%. The cause? Trump’s aggressive stance on tariffs, raising fears that the US economy could slide into recession. In response to the market plunge, Trump softened his tone, admitting some economic turbulence ahead but reaffirming his goal to bring wealth back to Americans, which will take time.Later, the US reported a 2.8% year-on-year CPI for February, marking a new low since last November. The number was slightly below expectations, which cause
Weekly | HK Stocks Face Major Test Ahead!

Weekly | HK Stocks Surge into a Super Bull Market!

This week, Hong Kong stocks continued to rise, with the $HSI(HSI)$ gaining 5.6%, reclaiming the 24,000-point mark, and hitting a three-year high.Positive Economic Data Sparks OptimismLast weekend, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released its February manufacturing PMI data, showing a rise to 50.2%, back in the expansion zone and surpassing analysts’ forecast of 49.9%.At the same time, Caixin published its own February manufacturing PMI at 50.8%, up 0.7 percentage points and beating expectations, marking the highest in three months.With China’s highly anticipated Two Sessions meetings this week, the government announced key economic targets. The 2025 GDP growth target is set at around 5%, with a budget deficit rate around 4%. A moderately rela
Weekly | HK Stocks Surge into a Super Bull Market!

Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over as HK Stocks Plunge?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market surged before pulling back, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 2.29%.Negative News Floods InThere are more signs of the US economy cooling off, increasing the risk of stagflation. First-time unemployment claims reached 242,000 last week, the highest since early December last year. The housing market is also struggling due to high prices, high interest rates, and natural disasters. In January, the number of unsold homes dropped by 4.6%, reaching a historic low. Additionally, PCE inflation was revised up to 2.7%, fueling inflation concerns once again.On Thursday, President Trump announced a 10% tariff on Chinese imports starting March 4. With a previous 10% tariff already in place, this new measure brings the total to
Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over as HK Stocks Plunge?

Weekly | HK Stocks Surge in Historic Bull Run!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market continued its surge. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 3.79%, surpassing its highest point from October 7th last year, hitting a three-year high!Key News Driving the RallyOn Monday, February 17th, President Xi attended a symposium with private business leaders and delivered an important speech. He emphasized that the government's policies on private economic development are now firmly embedded in China's socialist system. These policies will remain consistent and unchanged. The future of the private economy is full of potential, and now is the perfect time for private entrepreneurs to shine.Attendees included major figures like Robin Zeng (Chairman of CATL), Jack Ma (Founder of $BABA-W
Weekly | HK Stocks Surge in Historic Bull Run!

Weekly | The Bull Market Is Back!

This week, Hong Kong stocks surged, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 7.04% and reclaiming the 22,000-point mark, approaching the highs seen during the National Day holidays!The Catalyst: DeepSeek Breaks the AI NarrativeThe key driving force behind the rally is DeepSeek, which has completely overturned the AI narrative. The idea that Chinese AI could only follow the U.S. has been shattered, and both domestic and international funds are reevaluating tech stock investments. UBS even stated that the rise in the Chinese stock market driven by DeepSeek has only completed half of its potential!Alibaba Leads the ChargeIn AI tech stocks, $BABA-W(09988)$ is leading the way. Not only did it launch the Qwen 2.5-Max AI mode
Weekly | The Bull Market Is Back!

Weekly | DeepSeek Breaks US Computing Power Blockade, China's Assets Surge!

The first week of the Year of the Snake saw a stellar performance in Hong Kong stocks, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 4.49% weekly, hitting its highest level since mid-October last year!"Sputnik Moment" for AIThe buzz around DeepSeek continues to grow. Marc Andreessen, the godfather of Wall Street venture capital, called it a "Sputnik Moment" for AI!For context, the "Sputnik Moment" refers to 1957 when the Soviet Union launched the first artificial satellite, Sputnik 1, shocking the U.S. and igniting a tech race.DeepSeek's emergence has shattered the U.S. blockade on compute power, making it possible for Chinese AI to surpass the U.S. This has stirred up the capital markets. Deutsche Bank released a report predicting that 2025 will be the year China ov
Weekly | DeepSeek Breaks US Computing Power Blockade, China's Assets Surge!

Weekly | Busy Next Week Before Holiday!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market experienced a steady rise. The $HSI(HSI)$ climbed 2.5%, reclaiming the 20,000-point mark and closing at 20,066.19.Key Data and Market PerformanceOn Monday, Trump took the oath of office as the 47th President of the United States. Right from the start, he avoided tough rhetoric on China, expressing his willingness to visit China within his first 100 days in office and stating he would prefer not to impose more tariffs. This gives hope for improved China-US relations.On Thursday, six Chinese government departments jointly released a plan to encourage long-term capital inflows into the stock market. The policy targets large state-owned insurance companies, aiming for them to invest 30% of their new premiums in A-s
Weekly | Busy Next Week Before Holiday!

Weekly | Is the HK Market Set for Stability?

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw a strong rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 2.73% over the week.Key Data and Market Reactions On Friday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that 256,000 jobs were added in December, far exceeding the market's expectation of 165,000. The unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% in November to 4.1%. This led to speculation that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts, which caused a drop in U.S. stocks and negatively impacted the Hong Kong market.On Wednesday, the U.S. December CPI showed a 2.9% year-on-year increase, matching expectations. Core CPI, which had been rising for months, showed signs of slowing down. The market now anticipates the Fed might cut rates by July, earlier than the previous forecast of September.Positi
Weekly | Is the HK Market Set for Stability?

Weekly | Tencent in Trouble, Huge Capital Inflows, Big Events Ahead!

This week, Hong Kong stocks took a hit, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 3.52%, reaching its lowest point since September 25 last year.Sector Performance and Upcoming Big EventsOn Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Defense added $TENCENT(00700)$ to its list of Chinese military companies (1260H list). Despite Tencent’s statement saying it’s not a military firm and will resolve the misunderstanding, its stock kept dropping, dragging down the entire Hong Kong market.On Thursday, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released December CPI and PPI data. CPI rose 0.1%, the lowest growth in 9 months. PPI fell 2.3%, marking its 27th consecutive month of contraction, though the decline was the smallest in four months.This
Weekly | Tencent in Trouble, Huge Capital Inflows, Big Events Ahead!

Weekly | A Rough Start to 2025 for HSI!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market wrapped up 2024 with a strong finish. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose over 17% for the year, breaking a four-year streak of losses. However, 2025 kicked off on a sour note. On the first trading day, the HSI plummeted by 2.18%, marking the worst start in five years.Economic News: Manufacturing PMI Slips Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics revealed that the manufacturing PMI for December stood at 50.1%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. While still indicating expansion, it fell short of expectations. Additionally, the Caixin PMI for December, released on Thursday, came in at 50.5, dropping 1.0 percentage point from November and significantly below analysts' forecasts of 51.7.With China’s annual
Weekly | A Rough Start to 2025 for HSI!
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2024-12-27

Weekly | High Dividends Boost HSI Above 20,000 Points!

This week, despite a shortened trading week due to the Christmas holidays, Hong Kong stocks saw solid gains. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose by 1.87%, reclaiming the 20,000-point mark, driven largely by strong performance in high-dividend stocks.Market OverviewThe global market was relatively quiet this week, with many overseas markets also closed for Christmas. However, the release of China’s industrial profit data for January-November 2024 showed a 4.7% year-on-year decline, with November's drop at 7.3%. Bloomberg's economic forecast was a 6% decline, so the figures came in worse than expected.In the face of weaker macroeconomic conditions, high-dividend stocks continued to attract investor interest. Agricultural Bank of China, for example, surged 5.5%, hitt
Weekly | High Dividends Boost HSI Above 20,000 Points!
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2024-12-20

Weekly | HSI Slumped As Multiple Headwinds Hit!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market faced a tough time, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 1.25%.Economic Data Misses ExpectationsThe latest economic data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed weaker-than-expected results. In November, retail sales of consumer goods totaled RMB 43,763 billion, growing by 3.0%, well below the 5% expected and down from the 4.8% growth in October. On the other hand, industrial production rose 5.4%, in line with forecasts.U.S. Fed’s Rate Cut Overseas, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points as expected. However, their updated forecast suggests only two rate cuts next year, far fewer than the market had anticipated. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is nearing the end of
Weekly | HSI Slumped As Multiple Headwinds Hit!
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2024-12-13

Weekly | Volatile HK Stocks and Next Week's Events in Focus!

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw huge swings. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 0.53% for the week, dipping below the 20,000-point mark.On Monday, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to discuss China's 2025 economic plans. The key takeaways were clear: stabilize the housing and stock markets, manage risks in key sectors, and guard against external shocks. The meeting also called for more aggressive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary measures to boost consumption and investment. There was a push to expand domestic demand.Some of the comments surprised the market, like the unprecedented mention of "strengthening extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments" and the first shift in monetary policy since 2011, aiming for "moderately l
Weekly | Volatile HK Stocks and Next Week's Events in Focus!
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2024-12-06

Weekly | Major Meeting Looms, HK Stocks at a Turning Point!

This week, Hong Kong stocks made a steady rebound. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 2.28%, closing near the 20,000-point mark.Positive Economic Data Drives Market Optimism On Monday, Caixin released China’s November manufacturing PMI, which came in at 51.5, the highest in seven months and far exceeding analysts' expectations. This indicates that the manufacturing sector is continuing to expand, driven by economic stimulus policies.With improving economic data, China plans to hold its annual closed-door Central Economic Work Conference next Wednesday to set economic targets and stimulus plans for 2025. The news sparked market speculation around more policy support, pushing stocks higher.Additionally, many major Wall Street firms expect China’s central bank to ma
Weekly | Major Meeting Looms, HK Stocks at a Turning Point!
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2024-11-29

Weekly | Rumors Abound as Major Conference Approaches!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market showed signs of stabilizing and rebounding, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 1% over the week.Market Buzz and RumorsWith the Central Economic Work Conference set for mid-December, rumors have been flying. On Wednesday, a rumor suggested that the meeting would be moved up and that the fiscal deficit target for next year would be increased, which sparked a rally in both Hong Kong and A-shares. However, soon after, international investment banks weighed in, predicting that the economic policies discussed at the December meeting would likely not exceed expectations. By Thursday, both Hong Kong and A-shares saw a noticeable drop.Friday’s trading was even more dramatic. After a sluggish start, major indices shot up in the
Weekly | Rumors Abound as Major Conference Approaches!
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2024-11-22

Weekly | Is the HK Stock Market Bull Run Over?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market continued to slide, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 1%, hitting its lowest level since September 26th.Weak Earnings A number of internet companies released their third-quarter results this week, and the market reaction was far from positive. Stocks of $XPENG-W(09868)$ fell 3%, $KUAISHOU-W(01024)$ dropped 11.7%, $BIDU-SW(09888)$ slid 8.6%, and $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ lost 10.6%.These internet giants are a key weight in the Hang Seng Index, making up over 30% of its total market cap. Their poor performance has significantly dampened market senti
Weekly | Is the HK Stock Market Bull Run Over?
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2024-11-15

Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market had a rough time, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling for the fourth consecutive day, down by 6.28%. The index has broken out of its sideways range since October.Domestic News Last Friday after the market closed, China announced a fiscal stimulus plan, with 6 trillion yuan in new funds for debt reduction. However, there was no mention of any policy support for the real estate or consumption sectors.On Wednesday, the Ministry of Finance rolled out a "big gift" with tax cuts, including reduced deed tax, land value-added tax, and VAT. For example, the deed tax for the purchase of a family's first or second home (under 140 square meters) has been cut to 1%, down from 1-1.5% for regular homes and 3% for non-standard homes.O
Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over?
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2024-11-08

Weekly | Heavyweight Meeting Over, Where Will HSI Go?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market saw sharp swings, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 1.08% by the end of the week, following a series of significant events.Positive Economic Data from ChinaDomestically, there was some good news. On Tuesday, Caixin’s PMI for October came in at 52, the highest in three months, well above analysts’ expectations of 50.5. On Thursday, China’s customs data showed a 12.7% year-on-year increase in exports in October, far outpacing the expected 5% growth.Overseas Events and Market ReactionsOverseas, the US election result added to market volatility. Trump’s victory raised concerns about escalating trade tensions, causing a sharp drop in both Hong Kong and mainland stocks. However, the market rebounded on Thursday as expectati
Weekly | Heavyweight Meeting Over, Where Will HSI Go?
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2024-11-01

Weekly | HSI Volatility and Major Events Could Shape Future Trends!

This week, the Hong Kong market saw some fluctuations, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dipping slightly by 0.41%. CRIC announced that the sales of China's top 100 real estate companies reached 435.49 billion yuan in October. That’s a 7.1% year-on-year increase and a 73% jump from the previous month—marking the second-highest monthly sales this year. It’s also the first time this year that we’ve seen positive year-on-year growth in a single month!In addition, the National Bureau of Statistics released the manufacturing PMI for October, which came in at 50.1, surpassing analysts’ expectations of 49.9. This figure crosses the crucial line into expansion territory, signaling that the manufacturing sector is on the rebound. It’s the first economic data released sin
Weekly | HSI Volatility and Major Events Could Shape Future Trends!

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