Fed's "Record Liquidity Injection" on Final Trading Day of 2025

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The Federal Reserve's Standing Repo Facility saw record-high usage on the last trading day of 2025. The New York Fed's Standing Repo Facility (SRF) provided $74.6 billion in loans to eligible financial institutions on Wednesday, significantly surpassing the previous record high of $50.35 billion set on October 31st. These loans were collateralized by $31.5 billion in U.S. Treasuries and $43.1 billion in mortgage-backed securities.

Despite the record borrowing volume, market participants and analysts widely view this as a routine operation by financial institutions to manage year-end regulatory and settlement requirements, rather than a crisis signal indicating structural stress in the market.

Jan Nevruzi, a U.S. rates strategist at TD Securities, noted that stress could be considerably greater if the Fed had not resumed its role as an active buyer of short-term U.S. government bonds. Concurrently, the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility absorbed $106 billion, reaching its highest level since early August.

The cryptocurrency market actively discussed this liquidity injection, but Bitcoin's price action remained subdued, continuing its narrow fluctuation within the $85,000 to $90,000 range, with both trading volume and volatility staying at low levels.

Year-end balance sheet pressures are driving increased borrowing demand. Financial institutions typically tighten funding and preserve cash to manage their balance sheets at quarter-ends and year-ends, a seasonal pattern that pushes up short-term borrowing costs in the repo market. Data from the New York Fed shows the repo rate, as measured by the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), recently climbed, hitting a more-than-two-week high of 3.77% on Monday before retreating to 3.71% on Tuesday.

Wednesday's surge in SRF usage is directly linked to market rate movements. Scott Skyrm, Executive Vice President at Curvature Securities, pointed out that the general collateral repo rate was around 3.9% on Wednesday morning, higher than the SRF rate of 3.75%, incentivizing banks to borrow from the Fed at a lower cost rather than turning to the open market.

Nevertheless, the $74.6 billion borrowing figure remains relatively small compared to the daily trading volume exceeding $1.3 trillion in the tri-party general collateral market. Market participants anticipate that Wednesday's borrowing surge will subside as normal trading conditions are restored in the coming days.

The Federal Reserve is actively encouraging the use of its liquidity tools. The SRF is part of the Fed's toolkit for managing short-term rates to achieve monetary policy goals and has effectively replaced the discretionary repo operations the central bank used in the past.

The Fed has been actively signaling its encouragement for eligible institutions to utilize the SRF when they have liquidity needs. During its policy meeting earlier this month, the Fed raised the overall cap for SRF operations. Roberto Perli, the New York Fed official responsible for monetary policy implementation, stated in November:

"There's no reason not to participate in size if it makes economic sense."

Minutes from the December 9-10 FOMC meeting revealed active discussions between market participants and the central bank regarding how to calibrate the SRF to function as policymakers intend. Simultaneously, the Fed halted the runoff of its balance sheet earlier this month and began expanding it again to ensure sufficient cash in the system maintains relatively stable money market rates.

Skyrm commented that the SRF is functioning as intended, alleviating the typical tensions seen at year-end. He stated:

"Given the relatively mild funding environment heading into year-end, the funding market seems safer, with less panic and more confidence in the SRF working."

The crypto market's reaction has been muted. Although cryptocurrency commentators are fervently discussing the Fed's liquidity injection, the market reaction has been relatively tepid so far. Historically, global liquidity expansion has often coincided with strong performance in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, yet Bitcoin continues to trade within a narrow range.

This disconnect may reflect the complexity of the current cycle, where ample liquidity collides with restrictive policy rates, regulatory uncertainty, and persistent caution following a turbulent year. The latest FOMC meeting minutes indicated that most participants believe further rate cuts are only appropriate if inflation continues to decline as expected, with markets now pushing back expectations for the next rate cut to at least March 2026.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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