Nio Stock Is on the Verge of a Dip, so Get Ready to Pounce

InvestorPlace2021-09-10

Nio will be a buy on its "September slump". Despite elevating risks for companies listed in China,Nio(NYSE:NIO) stock is holding up well. NIO stock is not facing the same volatility as that ofAlibaba...

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Comments

Scuttlebutt
2021-09-13
Scuttlebutt
Buy the dip [Happy]
Tanyl
2021-09-11
Tanyl
NIO is a good share
- kuppi:
  like
Nai
2021-09-11
Nai
Great news
Snakewood
2021-09-11
Snakewood
Got it, got out... waiting to go in again.. ?
MengKeng
2021-09-11
MengKeng
Yup, buy sell and then sell high to make BIG profits
kianhua84
2021-09-10
kianhua84
Oo
- kianhua84:
  o
- Menghui:
  Ok

Leave a comment

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The company forecasts weaker deliveries for the third quarter while shipments fell in August.\nThe company posted deliveries of 5,880in August, up 48.3% year-over-year but down sequentially by 25.9%. The comparisonto July’s 7,931is more relevant because the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 exaggerates the yearly increase. Still, Nio recorded all-time high new orders, driven by the strong interest in ES6 and EC6.\nIn the month, Nio delivered 1,738 ES8s, its six-seater model and 2,342 ES6s, a five-seater premium sports coupe SUV.\nLooking ahead, continued uncertainty and volatility from semiconductor supply are disrupting production. As a result, Nio’s management adjusted its delivery outlook for the third quarter.\nIt expects vehicle production and deliveries in the range of 22,500 to 23,500 vehicles.\nNio Stock Buying Opportunity\nNio stock briefly dipped after the monthly delivery report but promptly recovered. Markets rewarded investors for buying the dip. Since the stock is trading far from its 52-week high of $66.99, investors are betting on renewed growth.\nAnalysts are also forecasting smaller losses.\nFor example, analysts call for estimated earnings pershare loss of 7 centsin the third quarter. This is a sharp improvement from the Q3/2020 loss of 14 cents a share and matches the 7-cent loss in Q2/2021.\nAs shown in the seasonal performance against the S&P 500 above, Nio usually under-performs in September. From October through to February, the stock will out-perform the index.\nInvestors could use this as a guide from the Stock Rover research to buy shares soon. As the stock pulls back this month on worries of weak demand, Nio will fall to a better buying price.\nNext month, markets will overcome concerns about growing EV competition, and once Nio posts stronger monthly deliveries, the stock will rebound.\nCompetitorTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is facing backlash in China for its poor quality Model 3. Demand for Tesla vehicles is weakening so much that the company had tocut prices by $2,323 in July.\nNio has positive consumer buying interest and strong orders to grow its market share as Tesla struggles further.\nRisks and Upside\nXPeng(NYSE:XPEV) posted strong deliveryresults for August. The EV supplier began to transition production for the G3 SUV to a G3i model.\nThis mid-cycle facelift negatively affected production in August. This month, the start of G3i deliveries could pressure Nio. Nio also delivered fewer unitsthan XPeng in July.\nFortunately, Nio has a network of 2,025battery swap stations. This keeps the prices of Nio vehicles low and is a source of recurring subscription revenue. Competitors cannot match the offering nor may it sell EVs that exclude the cost of the battery.\nThe chip shortage hurting the entire EV market shows no signs of improving. Nio may adjust its quarterly delivery forecast lower. Others may do the same, forcing investors to accept another loss for the next few quarters.\nOn Wall Street, the average analyst has a price target on Nio stock at $66,according to Tipranks. This interactive five-yeardiscounted cash flow revenue exit modelvalidates the analyst price target.\nThe model uses a revenue exit multiple to calculate the terminal value after five years. Readers may adjust the multiples and the revenue growth rate to re-calculate the fair value in the mid-$65 range.\nYour Takeaway\nInvestors are still willing to hold Nio shares even as it loses money. The chip shortage will delay Nio’s path to profitability.\nIf stock markets are bullish, shareholders will ignore the losses for now. Conversely, market sentiment may shift unexpectedly. That would pressure Nio’s stock performance to the downside.\nSeasonal patterns may repeat, which suggests that a drop is a good buying opportunity for investors not holding Nio. Wait for another downtrend in the stock this month and start an initial position. The company’s prospects are still strong. Investors with a long-term time horizon will come out ahead.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":888849739,"gmtCreate":1631490334321,"gmtModify":1676530554263,"author":{"id":"3576802536242665","authorId":"3576802536242665","name":"Scuttlebutt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/311d9dc7e09f0bd058964ad44b4d0212","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3576802536242665","idStr":"3576802536242665"},"htmlText":"Buy the dip [Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"Buy the dip [Happy]&nbsp;","text":"Buy the dip [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/888849739","repostId":1101752608,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":881588714,"gmtCreate":1631363525538,"gmtModify":1676530535843,"author":{"id":"4087109808120260","authorId":"4087109808120260","name":"Tanyl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/174329973340cf0f5b68791ee5b08afd","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4087109808120260","idStr":"4087109808120260"},"htmlText":"NIO is a good share","listText":"NIO is a good share","text":"NIO is a good 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news&nbsp;","listText":"Great news&nbsp;","text":"Great news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881516632","repostId":1101752608,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":881875344,"gmtCreate":1631327126388,"gmtModify":1676530529435,"author":{"id":"3586224735052437","authorId":"3586224735052437","name":"Snakewood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc93ca606276924f9b006b7e016cae4d","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3586224735052437","idStr":"3586224735052437"},"htmlText":"Got it, got out... waiting to go in again.. ?","listText":"Got it, got out... waiting to go in again.. ?","text":"Got it, got out... waiting to go in again.. ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881875344","repostId":1101752608,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":881192618,"gmtCreate":1631314947534,"gmtModify":1676530524913,"author":{"id":"3582668988155006","authorId":"3582668988155006","name":"MengKeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daf999525f61ba41d3c13b0ed728eb77","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3582668988155006","idStr":"3582668988155006"},"htmlText":"Yup, buy sell and then sell high to make BIG profits","listText":"Yup, buy sell and then sell high to make BIG profits","text":"Yup, buy sell and then sell high to make BIG profits","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881192618","repostId":1101752608,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":881906136,"gmtCreate":1631283685425,"gmtModify":1676530519688,"author":{"id":"3574055938126700","authorId":"3574055938126700","name":"kianhua84","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574055938126700","idStr":"3574055938126700"},"htmlText":"Oo","listText":"Oo","text":"Oo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/881906136","repostId":1101752608,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5821192,"gmtCreate":1631283691748,"gmtModify":1663233683451,"authorId":3574055938126700,"author":{"id":3574055938126700,"idStr":"3574055938126700","authorId":3574055938126700,"name":"kianhua84","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":881906136,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>o</u>","text":"<u>o</u>","html":"<u>o</u>"},{"id":5821523,"gmtCreate":1631284787788,"gmtModify":1634803207724,"authorId":3573208750244335,"author":{"id":3573208750244335,"idStr":"3573208750244335","authorId":3573208750244335,"name":"Menghui","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78313b2880982008ec8b550c3e213dd7","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":881906136,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":69,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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