According to industry insights, BOCOM INTL released a research report highlighting individual stock recommendations, with a focus on CATL (03750/Buy) for its cost and technological advantages, as well as its leading overseas expansion. Based on Q3 results, most lithium battery companies achieved year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit. Given sustained high demand in Q4 and rising prices in mid-upstream sectors, the firm advises monitoring marginal profitability changes in the lithium battery industry post supply-demand improvements.
In solid-state battery developments, XPeng-W (09868) unveiled its next-generation IRON model, featuring the industry's first full solid-state battery application, targeting mass production of advanced humanoid robots by end-2026.
China's October power battery installations continued to grow, with exports remaining stable. NEV retail sales reached 1.28 million units in October 2025, up 7.3% YoY but down 1.3% MoM. Consequently, data from the China Automotive Battery Innovation Alliance showed domestic power battery installations at 84.1 GWh, rising 42.1% YoY and 10.7% MoM. LFP battery installations grew 43.7% YoY and 8.6% MoM to 67.5 GWh, accounting for 80.3% of total installations.
Battery exports remained robust in October, totaling 28.2 GWh (+33.5% YoY, +5.5% MoM), representing 17.0% of monthly sales. Power battery exports surged 76.7% YoY and 10.0% MoM to 19.4 GWh (68.8% of total exports), while other battery exports fell 13.2% YoY and 3.3% MoM to 8.8 GWh (31.2%).
November battery production plans show sequential growth, with mid-upstream material prices rising short-term. CNESA data indicated 1.70 GW/3.52 GWh of new energy storage projects deployed in October, down 35%/49% YoY and 51%/66% MoM due to project cycles. However, cumulative installations in the first ten months maintained rapid 36% growth.
For power batteries, adjustments to NEV purchase tax exemptions by 2026 may spur concentrated purchases before end-2025, keeping demand elevated. November lithium battery production plans rose MoM, extending to mid-upstream materials. Pre-production data from Xinluo Lithium shows planned November output at 138.6 GWh (+1.5% MoM), cathodes at 177k tons (-0.4% MoM), anodes at 155k tons (-1.9% MoM), separators at 1.89 billion sqm (+3.3% MoM), and electrolytes at 107k tons (+12.0% MoM).
Mid-upstream lithium materials saw price hikes, with lithium hexafluorophosphate exceeding RMB 120,000/ton and battery-grade lithium carbonate surpassing RMB 80,000/ton.
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