JPMorgan released a research report stating that KUAISHOU-W (01024) is reportedly planning to spin off its video generation large model business, Kling AI, targeting a valuation of $20 billion. Kling AI's recent annualized revenue (ARR) has already reached $500 million. Kling AI is projected to achieve an ARR of $1.3 billion by the first quarter of 2027. The bank believes that a potential spin-off of Kling AI could become a significant value-unlocking event for KUAISHOU-W. Based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) analysis, if Kling AI reaches a valuation of $52 billion—assuming a first-quarter 2027 ARR of $1.3 billion and a valuation multiple of 40 times ARR—KUAISHOU-W's target share price could reach HK$73 per share. Therefore, the bank views KUAISHOU-W's current stock price as having upside potential, primarily driven by the value unlock from Kling AI.
JPMorgan believes that a potential spin-off listing or independent financing of Kling AI could act as a catalyst for a re-rating of KUAISHOU-W's valuation, providing upside for the stock price. The bank downgraded its rating on KUAISHOU-W in March, mainly due to slowing revenue growth in its core short-video business (excluding Kling AI). However, it also noted at the time that Kling AI, as one of the few global AI applications to achieve an ARR of $300 million, holds significant value whose realization could create potential upside for the stock price.
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