Why Holiday Slowdown Won’t Send AAPL Stock Plunging

InvestorPlace2022-11-18

As iPhone production hiccups continue, analysts are walking back estimates for Apple(AAPL).Yet while certainly not a positive development, the prospect of muted results this holiday season is already ...

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Comments

Huat1333
2022-11-20
Huat1333
[Allin] [Allin]
- Huat1333:
  yes....LONG [Allin] [Allin]
MeowKitty
2022-11-19
MeowKitty
Noted 👌
- MeowKitty:
  好的
- MeowKitty:
  收到
- MeowKitty:
  Good
- CL_Wong:
  收到
- CL_Wong:
  Great
CL_Wong
2022-11-19
CL_Wong
Okay 👌
- CL_Wong:
  Ok
- AK1228:
  ok
- Derrick_1234:
  👌👌
- Derrick_1234:
  Done
- Derrick_1234ReplyCL_Wong:
  🙏
ericbqlee
2022-11-19
ericbqlee
🙂
- ACECHUA:
  Ok
NovSnow
2022-11-19
NovSnow
Apple anyone?
T202311701
2022-11-19
T202311701
O

Leave a comment

201

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Unlike other major mega-cap tech stocks, AAPL stock hasn’t been knocked lower by a poorly-received earnings release. In fact, investorsresponded positivelyto its most recent quarterly earnings report on Oct 27.In contrast to Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG,NASDAQ:GOOGL), and Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:META), Apple has yet to announce a big wave of layoffs. Instead, as InvestorPlace’s Samuel O’Brient reported Nov. 16, the company has confirmedit’s still hiring.But while lately the iPhone maker has remained resilient, there’s something currently in play that may have some worried about AAPL’s performance in the near term: the impact of macro headwinds on sales during the current quarter.However, while many signs point to more muted results this holiday season, don’t expect it to send this stock plunging like its peers. Here’s why.AAPLApple$150.72What a Holiday Slowdown Means for AAPL StockIn the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter results (year ending Sept. 24), Apple reported8% revenue growth, and earnings per share growth of 4% compared to the prior year’s quarter. Although not exactly earth-shattering, these were stellar numbers compared to the quarterly figures released by Apple’s fellow FAANG members.This quarter, though, which coincides with the holiday shopping season, could bring an even more muted performance. At least, that’s a growing view amongst the sell-side community. Citing production hiccups caused by the Covid-related shutdown of Apple’s iPhone assembler in China, more and more analysts arewalking back their forecasts.With this new concern, atop existing concerns, such asinflationary pressures and the global economic slowdown, it may prove difficult for the company to report year-over-year revenue/earnings growth during the December quarter. Much less, deliver the level of growth reported last quarter.Still, if you think this will cause AAPL stock to experience a sell-off on par with that of AMZN, GOOG, and META, think otherwise. The market is aware that Fiscal 2023 will be a transitory year. More importantly, these current challenges will clear up relatively sooner than the issues affecting other tech firms.How Apple Can Hold on (and Grow) From HereAt today’s prices, Apple stock trades for around 24 times trailing twelve-month earnings. To some, this may appear pricey, given the potential for growth deceleration, plus the fact that, with rising interest rates, even the most high-quality of stocks have moved down to valuations under 20 times earnings.However, it’s possible that AAPL stock can maintain this valuation, throughout the current rough patch. Although the market has its concerns, it’s well aware that this company is much better-positioned to bounce back from the in-progress downturn than its peers.While Alphabet and Meta may be still struggling to get earnings back to pandemic-era highs in 2024,FY2024 earnings forecastscall for Apple to report earnings of $6.83 per share, well above the $6.11 per share reported this fiscal year, and the $5.61 in EPS reported during FY21.With less uncertainty over future results, it’s doubtful investors will push AAPL stock much lower than it currently stands today. From there, as the recovery takes shape, and the anticipated re-acceleration of earnings growth begins to appear in its results, shares will likely kick off a trip back toward their all-time high, and then onto new highs.Bottom LineApple has a solid recovery path, but keep in mind that this stock’s future gains will likely come in far more gradually, compared to the preceding two years.Having said that, shares could still produce worthwhile returns, with the stock rising in tandem with earnings growth.Through new growth opportunities such as services, as well as new device markets such as AR/VR headsets, Apple has the potential to keep delivering the level of earnings growth necessary to drive above-average long-term price appreciation. Coupled with its dividend, this could produce more-than-satisfactory returns for your portfolio.Likely to hold steady in the near-term, and to keep growing in the long-term, there’s little reason to exit AAPL stock if you already own it, and good reason to consider if you’ve yet to add it as a position.AAPL stock earns a B rating in Portfolio Grader.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9961168801,"gmtCreate":1668897961204,"gmtModify":1676538124272,"author":{"id":"3559014783889591","authorId":"3559014783889591","name":"Huat1333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a4c138e1ce20043d7996468a91a225ac","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a4c8d97279fa9f8f1fa9749a6bdff4","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3559014783889591","idStr":"3559014783889591"},"htmlText":"[Allin]&nbsp;[Allin]&nbsp;","listText":"[Allin]&nbsp;[Allin]&nbsp;","text":"[Allin] [Allin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961168801","repostId":1104505171,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":104877508,"gmtCreate":1668897983309,"gmtModify":1668897995835,"authorId":3559014783889591,"author":{"id":3559014783889591,"idStr":"3559014783889591","authorId":3559014783889591,"name":"Huat1333","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a4c138e1ce20043d7996468a91a225ac","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9961168801,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"yes....LONG  [Allin] [Allin]","text":"yes....LONG  [Allin] [Allin]","html":"yes....LONG  [Allin] [Allin]"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9961072015,"gmtCreate":1668812894237,"gmtModify":1676538115891,"author":{"id":"4127954790020922","authorId":"4127954790020922","name":"MeowKitty","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5801ac0c36a39786f5114e0b7bde5a4d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4127954790020922","idStr":"4127954790020922"},"htmlText":"Noted 👌","listText":"Noted 👌","text":"Noted 👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961072015","repostId":1104505171,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":104870728,"gmtCreate":1668829592706,"gmtModify":1668829606615,"authorId":4127954790020922,"author":{"id":4127954790020922,"idStr":"4127954790020922","authorId":4127954790020922,"name":"MeowKitty","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5801ac0c36a39786f5114e0b7bde5a4d","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-1","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Debut Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 500 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class=\"s1\">Good</span>"},{"id":104870709,"gmtCreate":1668829448424,"gmtModify":1668829458101,"authorId":3586994859303940,"author":{"id":3586994859303940,"idStr":"3586994859303940","authorId":3586994859303940,"name":"CL_Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a974b1a26fc593e3134cf7e90be9c166","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 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class=\"s1\">Great</span>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9961076646,"gmtCreate":1668812862986,"gmtModify":1676538115873,"author":{"id":"3586994859303940","authorId":"3586994859303940","name":"CL_Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a974b1a26fc593e3134cf7e90be9c166","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3586994859303940","idStr":"3586994859303940"},"htmlText":"Okay 👌&nbsp;","listText":"Okay 👌&nbsp;","text":"Okay 👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961076646","repostId":1104505171,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":104878603,"gmtCreate":1668903804948,"gmtModify":1668903818427,"authorId":3586994859303940,"author":{"id":3586994859303940,"idStr":"3586994859303940","authorId":3586994859303940,"name":"CL_Wong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a974b1a26fc593e3134cf7e90be9c166","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 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