Analyst: Bank of Japan Expected to Maintain Gradual Rate Hikes, Likely Every Six to Twelve Months

Deep News12:10

An SMBC Tokyo Forex chief strategist noted that while the single dissenting vote was somewhat unexpected, it had no significant impact on the foreign exchange market as the dissenting member, known for his long-standing dovish stance, was the one who cast it. Overall, the market's focus had been on whether a 50 basis point rate hike would be proposed, but ultimately no such proposal materialized.

Regarding the future path of rate increases, this is positive for risk asset prices as it indicates the central bank is likely to avoid aggressive hikes. The Bank of Japan is expected to persist with a gradual pace of rate increases, likely occurring once every six months to a year.

If anything differs from this outlook, it would be the possibility of bringing forward the timing of the next hike in the event of accelerating inflation or a further weakening of the Japanese yen.

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