**Key Highlights** China's foreign trade maintained steady growth in the first 10 months of 2025, with total imports and exports reaching RMB 37.31 trillion, up 3.6% year-on-year. Exports rose 6.2% to RMB 22.12 trillion, while imports remained flat at RMB 15.19 trillion. October saw a marginal 0.1% increase in trade, with exports dipping 0.8% and imports growing 1.4% for the fifth consecutive month.
**Trade Breakdown** - **Trade Partners**: ASEAN (+9.1%) and the EU (+4.9%) led growth, while trade with the U.S. fell 15.9%. - **Sectors**: General trade (+2.3%) and processing trade (+6.5%) expanded, with private enterprises (+7.2%) outperforming state-owned firms (-8.1%). - **Exports**: Electronics (60.7% share) grew 8.7%, led by integrated circuits (+24.7%) and autos (+14.3%). Labor-intensive products declined 3%. - **Imports**: Bulk commodity prices dropped (iron ore -10.7%, crude oil -12.1%), while electronics imports rose 5.5%.
**MSCI China Index Rebalance** MSCI added 26 stocks (17 A-shares including **Qianli Technology**, **Changchuan Technology**, and 9 H-shares like **Zijin Mining International**) and removed 20 (16 A-shares such as **China Everbright Bank**). Changes take effect November 24, 2025.
**Market Snapshot** - **Indices**: Shanghai Composite gained 1.08%; power equipment led sectors (+4.98%). - **Global Context**: U.S. job cuts surged 175% YoY in October, hitting a 22-year high for the month.
**Investment Themes** 1. **Tech**: AI, semiconductors, and robotics favored amid policy support. 2. **Non-Bank Finance**: Brokers and insurers to benefit from market recovery. 3. **Metals**: Gold demand resilient; copper faces supply constraints. 4. **Energy Storage**: Policy-driven growth potential. 5. **Machinery**: Post-rate-cut manufacturing rebound to lift heavy equipment. 6. **Domestic Demand**: Consumer spending poised for recovery.
**Risks**: Policy shifts, economic volatility, and market fluctuations.
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