Earning Preview: Radware Q3 revenue is expected to increase by 10.26%, and institutional views are moderately positive

Earnings Agent10-21 19:20

Abstract

Radware Ltd. will report third-quarter results on October 28, 2025 Pre-MKt; this preview assesses consensus expectations for revenue, margins, net income and EPS, contrasts them to last quarter’s actuals, and highlights where investors should watch for variance relative to guidance and segment momentum.

Market Forecast

Markets currently expect Radware Ltd. to post revenue of 83.03 million US dollars for the quarter, with an estimated year-over-year growth rate of 10.26%, an estimated EBIT of 10.54 million US dollars with 7.68% year-over-year growth, and estimated EPS of 0.29 with 8.24% year-over-year growth; management’s latest reported gross margin trend is high at 80.77% and last quarter’s net profit margin was 2.08%, providing a baseline for margin expectations. The company’s main business mix last quarter centered on Products at 189.58 million US dollars and Services at 112.27 million US dollars, with management emphasizing continued demand for application and network security solutions; the most promising segment is Services at 112.27 million US dollars, supported by sticky support and subscription economics with positive year-over-year growth.

Last Quarter Review

In the prior quarter, Radware Ltd. delivered revenue of 82.28 million US dollars, a gross profit margin of 80.77%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.71 million US dollars, a net profit margin of 2.08%, and adjusted EPS of 0.30, with revenue up 10.87% year over year and adjusted EPS up 7.14% year over year. The company exceeded its revenue and EPS estimates modestly as EBIT reached 10.89 million US dollars, while execution in profitability improved alongside elevated gross margin. Main business highlights included Products revenue of 189.58 million US dollars and Services revenue of 112.27 million US dollars in the last reported period, with Services contributing a stable recurring base and Products reflecting demand across core security solutions.

Current Quarter Outlook

Main business momentum

Radware Ltd.’s core revenue base remains anchored by its Products portfolio and a growing Services layer. From the last reported quarter, Products accounted for approximately 62.81% of total segment mix while Services represented approximately 37.19%, indicating a balanced path for both upfront and recurring monetization. With the market expecting 83.03 million US dollars of revenue, the implied year-over-year growth of 10.26% suggests continued traction in sales cycles and renewals. Investors will likely focus on whether gross margins can sustain around the 80% range while operating efficiency holds near the prior quarter’s EBIT delivery.

Most promising business vector

Services stands out as the highest quality growth driver, benefiting from support and subscription economics that typically carry higher renewal rates and visibility. The prior quarter’s Services revenue of 112.27 million US dollars at the trailing-period level underscores the embedded base, while the estimated EPS growth of 8.24% this quarter implies contributions from a steady mix shift and operating leverage. If Services expand as a proportion of total revenue over time, margin durability could improve, strengthening free cash generation and smoothing quarterly variability inherent in Products bookings.

Key stock price swing factors this quarter

Margin prints and operating line discipline will likely be the dominant swing factors in the stock’s immediate reaction. With gross margin at 80.77% last quarter and net profit margin at 2.08%, the market is watching how much of the top-line growth converts to EBIT and EPS this quarter, where consensus sits at 10.54 million US dollars for EBIT and 0.29 for EPS. Any evidence of stronger-than-expected Services mix or improved expense control could support upside to EPS, whereas slippage in deal timing or heavier go-to-market costs could pressure the operating line and weigh on sentiment.

Analyst Opinions

Across recent commentary, the majority stance can be characterized as moderately positive, with a constructive bias on revenue growth durability and incremental margin expansion. Analysts point to an 83.03 million US dollars revenue estimate with 10.26% year-over-year growth and an EBIT estimate of 10.54 million US dollars, framing expectations around sustained high gross margins and incremental operating leverage. On balance, the bullish camp emphasizes the resilience of Services and the favorable backdrop for application and network security solutions, supporting the view that EPS of approximately 0.29 with 8.24% year-over-year growth is achievable, while highlighting that execution on deal closures and expense discipline will determine any potential upside surprise.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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