On May 29, NIO-SW fell 3.02% in regular trading, trading at 42.96 HKD/share, with trading volume of approximately 37.35 million HKD. The stock continued to weaken following its Q1 earnings release on May 21, as market focus shifted from solid backward-looking results to forward-looking execution risks.
While NIO achieved consecutive quarterly non-GAAP profitability and a vehicle gross margin of 18.8% — a four-year high — the Q2 delivery guidance of 110,000 to 115,000 units has raised execution concerns. April deliveries reached only 29,400 units, implying May and June each require over 40,000 units, representing a sequential increase exceeding 30%. Management acknowledged that raw material price increases in lithium carbonate, nickel, cobalt, copper, and aluminum have added over 10,000 RMB in cost per vehicle. The full-year vehicle gross margin target was consequently lowered to 17%-18%, with cost pressures expected to intensify in Q2. The ramp-up of ES9 and Onvo L80 deliveries will be critical to achieving the ambitious quarterly targets.
(The above content is based on publicly available market information, generated by a program or algorithm, and is intended solely as a stock movement alert. It does not constitute investment advice or a basis for trading decisions.)
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