Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says S&P 500 Could Drop 26% in Months

Bloomberg2023-02-21

Risk-reward for stocks is extremely poor amid hawkish Fed: MSS&P 500 to slide to as low as 3,000 in first half: WilsonExpensive US equities are flashing a major warning sign that could see the S&P 500...

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jazzspeed
2023-02-21
jazzspeed
could be in days
Aidukas
2023-02-21
Aidukas
Nice

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That’s left rates higher across the curve and stocks more expensive than at any time since 2007 by the measure of equity risk premium, they added.Equity risk premium has entered a level known as the “death zone”, making risk-reward very poor especially as the Fed is far from ending its monetary tightening and earnings expectations remain 10% to 20% too high, Wilson said. “It’s time to head back to base camp before the next guide down in earnings,” he wrote in a note on Monday.Source: BloombergThe strategists hold a view that the S&P 500 can slide to as low as 3,000 — a 26% drop from its most recent close — in the first half of 2023. That’s “very much out of consensus at this point,” especially as active institutional and retail investors are more bullish than they have been in over a year, they said.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9957306714,"gmtCreate":1676969856939,"gmtModify":1676969861244,"author":{"id":"3580340700781087","authorId":"3580340700781087","name":"jazzspeed","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/279520f8a08ed94bc72bf186dcf094e9","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580340700781087","authorIdStr":"3580340700781087"},"htmlText":"could be in days&nbsp;","listText":"could be in days&nbsp;","text":"could be in days","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957306714","repostId":1116350952,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9957308294,"gmtCreate":1676968334119,"gmtModify":1676968337724,"author":{"id":"4133623950260892","authorId":"4133623950260892","name":"Aidukas","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4133623950260892","authorIdStr":"4133623950260892"},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957308294","repostId":1116350952,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":28,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.4","shortVersion":"4.29.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1116350952"}