本周,全球多个重要央行将公布货币政策决定:
明日
美联储将在美东时间下午2点公布决定。市场普遍预期降息25个基点。更大的关注点在于未来降息的节奏以及决策者之间是否存在分歧。美联储还将发布经济预测。
加拿大央行预计也将降息25个基点。受贸易战严重冲击,加拿大经济在第二季度出现萎缩。不过,7月份制造业数据显示出复苏迹象。
巴西和印尼这两个重要新兴市场也将公布决定,预计均将维持利率不变。在印尼,股市和汇率波动较大,该国央行在7月和8月都进行了降息。
周四
英国央行预计将维持4%的利率水平不变,投票结果可能为7比2,此前该行在上月已经降息。
挪威央行的决定更具不确定性。分析师预期其要么维持现状,要么降息25个基点至4%。
南非央行预计将再次降息25个基点,将回购利率降至7%。
周五
日本央行预计将维持0.5%的基准利率不变,此前日本首相辞职引发政治不确定性和市场波动。
下周,瑞典和瑞士也将公布利率决定。
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