OCBC Bank Group Research has lowered its quarterly crude oil price forecasts through the second quarter of 2027, citing a recovery in supply volumes through the Strait of Hormuz.
In a research note, two strategists from the bank stated, "Following a memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran, shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz—and consequently crude supply—has recovered."
"Expectations for a normalization of supply have quickly pushed oil prices back to pre-conflict levels, reigniting the narrative of oversupply," the strategists added.
The bank has revised its Brent crude price forecast for the third quarter of 2026 down to $75 per barrel from $85, and for the fourth quarter of 2026 down to $75 from $80. For the first quarter of 2027, the forecast is lowered to $73 from $75, and for the second quarter of 2027, it is reduced to $71 from $75 per barrel.
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