This week, the closing votes on the Nasdaq, gold, crude oil, and silver have successfully concluded. The event was a mix of market volatility and shifting sentiment, amplified by the distribution of 13 valuable $15 gift cards, with even more rewards like gold beans promised for the future! Some participants accurately predicted the outcomes and won prizes, while others, overly optimistic, missed the mark and left empty-handed, with the silver vote delivering particularly high suspense. Each exciting moment serves as a vivid snapshot of a real-world financial user survey based on actual data!
In the Nasdaq survey, market consensus demonstrated remarkable accuracy. The 23,500-24,000 (inclusive) range garnered 4,050 votes, topping the poll with 37% support and perfectly predicting the Nasdaq's closing point of 23,515, making it the biggest winner. Simultaneously, the bullish camp betting on above 24,000 also secured 30% support, meaning the two highest intervals collectively accounted for 67% of the vote. The bearish camp (below 23,000) held a mere 16%, highlighting a stark disparity in bullish versus bearish sentiment and reflecting the dominant optimistic mood in the current U.S. stock market.
The gold survey, however, turned into a "Waterloo for optimists"! The market collectively fell into a fantasy of higher prices, with the 4,600-4,700 (inclusive) range leading with 35% support, and the aggressively bullish faction betting above 4,700 claiming another 28%. Together, these high intervals amassed 63% of the total votes. Unexpectedly, gold's final Friday closing price settled at 4,595, with only 18% of users correctly identifying this outcome. Many missed the mark by excessively amplifying safe-haven sentiment, perfectly illustrating that "emotional fervor can be wilder than actual market moves."
Following events related to Venezuela and Iran, geopolitical risks escalated rapidly, pushing crude oil up for five consecutive days with a cumulative gain of over 10%, before a significant correction set in as Middle East tensions eased, pulling prices back below $60/barrel. The market exhibited wide fluctuations amid a tug-of-war between supply and demand, with fundamental factors gradually reasserting dominance. The crude oil survey showed 34% of users betting on prices above $62, hoping renewed geopolitical risks would drive prices higher. However, supply-side pressures clearly constrained further gains. Ultimately, NYMEX crude closed at $59.22, landing in the $58-60 (inclusive) range, which was correctly chosen by 26% of users—a figure nearly tied with the 25% support for the $60-62 range. Bears betting below $58 accounted for only 15%. Successful predictors appeared to focus more on cost support and supply-demand dynamics to claim their prizes.
The most thrilling contest this week was undoubtedly silver! Spot silver in London recorded an annual gain of approximately 147% for 2025, recently hitting a historic high near $94/ounce while also experiencing sharp single-day corrections exceeding 7%. It consistently engaged in intense battles around the key $90 level, revealing significant divergence between institutional and retail traders. In the decisive vote on whether it would "hold above $90," supporters of "yes" (334 votes) and "no" (338 votes) reached a perfect stalemate, each holding exactly 50% share, where every single vote determined the final outcome. London silver ultimately closed at a nail-biting $90.04, allowing the bulls to clinch a narrow victory. This evenly matched contest maximized the week's voting suspense, creating both elation and regret among participants.
Emotion drives preference, but sound judgment relies on logic. This voting round was packed with rewards, and all 13 of the $15 gift cards have been distributed to users who selected the correct answers! Analyzing the actual user survey reveals an overall optimistic market bias, yet few predictions withstood the test of actual price action: the majority successfully gauged the Nasdaq's trend. Conversely, in the gold and crude oil segments, many users, swayed by amplified short-term sentiment, saw their bullish expectations deviate from reality, leading to incorrect guesses. The extreme vote split in silver directly illustrates the essence of bull-bear battles at critical price levels. Ultimately, blindly following bullish trends is prone to pitfalls; only by finding a balance between fundamental and technical analysis can one truly grasp market movements and consistently predict outcomes to pocket valuable rewards like gift cards and gold beans!
Visit Sina Finance for genuine financial user surveys! Track real-time market sentiment, witness thrilling bull-bear showdowns, and participate in rewarded voting to win fantastic prizes!
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