Gold stocks jumped in premarket trading as spot gold rose 2% to $4,425 an ounce.
Hycroft Mining up 24%; Coeur Mining up 5%; Harmony Gold up 4%; Gold Fields, Kinross, Newmont up 3%.
The latest push higher comes as traders bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice in 2026, as US President Donald Trump also advocates for looser monetary policy. Lower rates are typically a tailwind for precious metals, which don’t pay interest.
Rising geopolitical tensions are also enhancing the haven appeal of gold and silver. The US has intensified an oil blockade against Venezuela, stepping up pressure on the government of President Nicolás Maduro, while Ukraine attacked an oil tanker from Russia’s shadow fleet in the Mediterranean Sea for the first time.
Gold has surged by nearly 70% this year, underpinned by increased central-bank purchases and inflows into bullion-backed exchange-traded funds. Trump’s aggressive moves to reshape global trade — as well as his threats to the US central bank’s independence — added fuel to the scorching rally earlier this year.
Investors have also played an important role in gold’s ascent, spurred in part by the so-called debasement trade — a retreat from sovereign bonds and the currencies they are denominated in over fears their value will erode over time due to ballooning debt levels. Gold-backed ETFs have seen inflows rise over the last four straight weeks, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, and World Gold Council figures show total holdings in these funds have risen every month this year except May.
“Today’s rally is largely driven by early positioning around Fed rate-cut expectations, amplified by thin year-end liquidity,” said Dilin Wu, a strategist at Pepperstone Group Ltd. Sluggish jobs growth and softer-than-expected US inflation in November supported the narrative for more rate cuts, she said.
Other precious metals also surged, with palladium rallying as much as 5.1% to hit the highest in nearly three years. Platinum rose for an eighth straight session and traded above $2,000 for the first time since 2008.
Gold has bounced back quickly after a retreat from its peak in October, when the rally was seen as crowded and overheated, and is now positioned to carry these gains into next year. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is among several banks who predict prices will keep rising in 2026, issuing a base-case scenario of $4,900 an ounce with risks to the upside. ETF investors, it said, are starting to compete with central banks for limited physical supply.
Central-bank buying, physical demand and geopolitical hedging were “medium- to long-term anchors, while Fed policy and real rates continue to drive cyclical swings,” according to Pepperstone’s Wu. New entrants to the gold market, such as stablecoin issuers like Tether Holdings SA and certain corporate treasury departments, were creating a “broader capital base” that “adds resilience to demand,” she said in a note.
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