One of the world's largest lithium producers, Sociedad Quimica Y Minera De Chile SA (SQM.US), has indicated that global demand for the battery metal is expected to increase by approximately 25% this year, as the industry gradually emerges from a period of global oversupply. The company's latest quarterly sales volume, which reached a record high, appears to support this view. The operator of the world's richest lithium brine resource reported in its financial results that sales volume for the fourth quarter of last year rose to over 66,000 metric tons, an increase of more than 50% compared to the same period the previous year. The company stated that growth in lithium demand will be primarily driven by electric vehicles and energy storage systems. This is the first financial report released by Sociedad Quimica Y Minera De Chile SA since introducing Chilean state-owned copper giant Codelco as a partner in the Atacama project. The two parties plan to increase production at this large integrated project by about 30% over the coming years. The Atacama project utilizes evaporation extraction technology, which consumes less water, chemicals, and energy compared to the hard-rock mining methods commonly used in Australia, the world's largest producer. Their joint venture, NovAndino, is preparing to submit plans to regulators to introduce new technologies, including direct extraction, which is expected to further boost production. NovAndino is aiming to capitalize on the opportunity presented by double-digit growth in global lithium consumption—market expansion fueled by increasing demand for large-scale battery energy storage alongside electric vehicle demand. As the industry slowly moves past a phase of prolonged oversupply and price pressure, this production expansion could put pressure on higher-cost competitors. On another front, a suspension of lithium concentrate exports by Zimbabwe, a major global lithium producer, has raised market concerns about tightening global supply for the battery metal, which could provide support for lithium prices. However, it is important to note that although spot lithium prices have more than doubled from their low in June of last year, they remain over 70% lower than the peak seen in 2022. According to Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines, the country has implemented a comprehensive ban on lithium concentrate exports effective this past Wednesday. Mines Minister Polite Kambamura stated that the measure is intended to promote the development of local processing industries and combat illegal ore exports. He emphasized that the ban will remain in place until mining companies fully comply with government regulations. According to the United States Geological Survey, the African nation accounted for about 10% of global lithium ore production last year. Cameron Hughes, an analyst at commodity consultancy CRU Group, noted, "Sustained high lithium prices and rampant illegal export activities are likely key factors driving this policy adjustment."
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