Market is 'completely ignoring' serious risks associated with U.S.-China relations, Asia expert Stephen Roach warns

cnbc2021-04-15

There's a significant risk catching economist Stephen Roach's attention, and it has nothing to do with earnings season.Roach, one of the world's leading authorities on Asia, is concerned U.S.-China ...

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Comments

EV8
2021-04-16
EV8
Wow 35% down? What’s your thoughts?
- beankim:
  yeay
Acella
2021-04-16
Acella
This is a risk that need to be considered when buying stocks..
- Acella:
  that's true. ?
- EV8:
  doesnt looks good. stock price up but if usd drop, still lost.
braddoo
2021-04-15
braddoo
A war that is unavoidable
- Tan123:
  flash war
- lowzihong02:
  Like and commend
Rol
2021-04-15
Rol
Put in a JY
Rol
2021-04-15
Rol
At is
mavishhs
2021-04-15
mavishhs
[微笑]

Leave a comment

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His reason: it reflects a hard-line approach against China that could spark retaliation.\"My fear for the last several years is that what started out as trade war would turn into a tech war, and then eventually morph into a cold war,\" Roach said. \"Those fears have come to pass. Just this week, there are significant developments that lead me to underscore that risk.\"He also lists a new U.S. intelligence report as particularly worrisome.'The annual threat assessment was released yesterday [Tuesday] by the office of national intelligence and it clearly labeled China as America's No. 1 threat,\" said Roach, who's monitoringbuilding tensions between China and Japan, too.According to Roach,it appears President Joe Biden will continuemany of theTrump administration's policies against China.Roach warns the increased U.S.-China tensions exacerbate his dollar crash call. Late last spring,he predicted the greenback would drop 35%against other major currencies over the next year or two.\"The dollar moved down sharply in the second half of 2020. It reversed course in the first quarter of this year and now it's under downward pressure again,\" Roach said. \"It reflects my concerns over the current account deficit in the United States, unwillingness of the Fed to tighten interest rates for the conceivable future, and then the possibility that Europe may end up having a stronger commitment to fiscal policy than any of us, myself included, thought.\"He's also concerned the current backdrop with China could exacerbate the danger.\"You add to that pressures on America's role as a global leader that may be brought into play by frictions with China and there's still, in my view, considerable downside left for the U.S. dollar,\" Roach said.TheU.S. Dollar Currency Indexis off almost 1% over the past week. It's down more than 7% over the past year.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":370059242,"gmtCreate":1618537889886,"gmtModify":1704712391629,"author":{"id":"3576472032670521","authorId":"3576472032670521","name":"EV8","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49db5086746d5ad4581b298b77a14995","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3576472032670521","authorIdStr":"3576472032670521"},"htmlText":"Wow 35% down? What’s your thoughts?","listText":"Wow 35% down? What’s your thoughts?","text":"Wow 35% down? What’s your thoughts?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370059242","repostId":1129541872,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4054497,"gmtCreate":1618585597077,"gmtModify":1663225480729,"authorId":3568042901804000,"author":{"id":3568042901804000,"idStr":"3568042901804000","authorId":3568042901804000,"name":"beankim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e86bf0ae7dd84473464d6af842304eb","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-1","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Boss Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches 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is a risk that need to be considered when buying stocks..","listText":"This is a risk that need to be considered when buying stocks..","text":"This is a risk that need to be considered when buying stocks..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370096159","repostId":1129541872,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4060353,"gmtCreate":1618653497943,"gmtModify":1680784440316,"authorId":3563150446821026,"author":{"id":3563150446821026,"idStr":"3563150446821026","authorId":3563150446821026,"name":"Acella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2712c4bb0bfbec4d2773e012189db3bc","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":370096159,"type":1,"supId":4049080,"prevId":0,"content":"that's true. ?","text":"that's true. ?","html":"that's true. ?"},{"id":4049080,"gmtCreate":1618537218566,"gmtModify":1680784273700,"authorId":3576472032670521,"author":{"id":3576472032670521,"idStr":"3576472032670521","authorId":3576472032670521,"name":"EV8","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49db5086746d5ad4581b298b77a14995","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 30","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"60.33%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":370096159,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"doesnt looks good. stock price up but if usd drop, still lost.","text":"doesnt looks good. stock price up but if usd drop, still lost.","html":"doesnt looks good. stock price up but if usd drop, still lost."}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":347298991,"gmtCreate":1618495815813,"gmtModify":1704711774274,"author":{"id":"3555108806658376","authorId":"3555108806658376","name":"braddoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c723063e2cdbd6804ad104bb19d1190","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555108806658376","authorIdStr":"3555108806658376"},"htmlText":"A war that is unavoidable","listText":"A war that is unavoidable","text":"A war that is 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