Following their announcements of transitioning to token-based operations at the start of the year, the performance trends of China's three major telecom operators have drawn significant industry attention. Financial results for the first quarter show that
A comparison of the operators' disclosed data reveals that profit performance has notably weakened compared to the same period in 2025. Growth is increasingly concentrated in new business areas such as computing power, cloud services, and intelligent solutions.
Notably, market expectations had already factored in first-quarter profit pressure due to two key factors: a policy change increasing the value-added tax rate for telecom services from 6% to 9% effective January 1, 2026, and slowing growth in traditional connectivity businesses.
If evaluated solely by revenue, the three operators' quarterly performance appears reasonable. However, a longer-term perspective reveals clear limitations in their traditional connectivity operations. Although
Cost and profit metrics more directly highlight the pressure.
This indicates that operators must confront both peak connectivity revenue and compressed profit margins due to tax burdens, depreciation, labor, and network support costs. Following the telecom tax adjustment implementation early this year, industry predictions of operators entering a "profit pressure preceding revenue adjustment" phase are materializing.
However, the slowdown in traditional businesses doesn't imply instability in core operations.
This demonstrates that connectivity businesses remain cash flow and customer base anchors for operators, though they increasingly function as "steady-state operations" rather than core valuation drivers. Future profit trends will increasingly depend on emerging businesses like computing power, cloud services, and AI applications.
The most closely watched aspect of recent financial reports is operators' prominently announced token operation strategy. Tokens represent the smallest data units in text processing. AI-based token operations focus on consumption, optimization, cost control, and value conversion, aiming to transform token usage into tangible business value.
While
At the 2026 World Mobile Congress,
The first quarter is too brief to fully assess operators' transformation outcomes. However, current information suggests that token operations are shifting operators from mere "pipeline providers" to integrators of model calls, inference computing, industry applications, and infrastructure—creating billable, deliverable, and replicable AI service chains. This transforms computing resources into directly manageable services.
The critical question remains whether token operations can genuinely convert to profits, depending on scale effects and pricing capabilities. Q1 results haven't yet demonstrated strong convincing power:
Nevertheless, industry consensus holds that collective transition to token operations aligns with the AI industry's shift from training to inference. IDC predicts that by 2027, over 85% of Chinese organizations will transform traditional cloud environments into AI-native platforms, migrating value focus to AI-native architectures. Multiple studies indicate exploding inference-side demand, positioning token calls and inference computing as new growth engines.
Operators—with networks, data centers, edge nodes, enterprise clients, and localized delivery capabilities—are naturally positioned to assume infrastructure and application roles in the inference era. Thus, Q1 2026 financial reports represent a watershed moment: traditional connectivity businesses continue providing stable cash flow while emerging operations assume dual roles as strategic narratives and growth engines.
Token operations will further propel operators from "traffic managers" to "AI service providers." The key observation for China's telecom industry isn't whether individual operators can quickly reverse profit declines, but whether they can develop sustainable monetization paths through industry models, inference computing, edge nodes, enterprise privatization deployments, and overseas services. Only when tokens evolve from concept to revenue will this transformation cycle gain market recognition.
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