Defensive Market Sentiment and Dividend Season Propel Bank of China to Annual High; 10 Billion Yuan Bank ETF Surges Over 1% Against Market Trend, Attracting 312 Million Yuan in 5 Days

Deep News06-07

On June 5th, a defensive market sentiment re-emerged in the A-share market, leading to a collective strengthening of bank stocks. Bank Of China Limited (SHSE: 601988) led the gains, rising 2.54% to close at its highest level this year. Bank of Xiamen Co.,Ltd and China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. gained over 2%, while more than 20 other banks, including China Construction Bank Corporation, Industrial Bank Co., Ltd., Bank of Communications Co., Ltd., and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited, rose by over 1%. The 10-billion-yuan top-tier HuaBao Bank ETF (512800) saw its market price surge 1.29% on significant volume, reclaiming its 5-day and 20-day moving averages.

Market Rebalancing and Sector Appeal

Recently, the market has seen a rebalancing between growth and value styles. The concentration of trading in the technology sector has marginally declined, easing capital pressure on high-dividend sectors. As a typical high-dividend asset class, the banking sector stands to benefit. Data from the Shanghai Stock Exchange shows that the top-tier HuaBao Bank ETF (512800) has attracted concentrated capital inflows, amassing a total of over 312 million yuan over five consecutive days.

Dividend Season Catalyzes Gains

Catalyzing this move, the annual dividend season has arrived, with listed banks recently intensifying disclosures of their 2025 profit distribution implementation plans. Data indicates that A-share listed banks are set to distribute a record-high total cash dividend of approximately 645.6 billion yuan for 2025. The overall trend shows "major state-owned banks maintaining stability, while small and medium-sized banks exhibit divergence." The six major state-owned banks' total dividends amount to a substantial 427.4 billion yuan, with payout ratios generally maintained at 30% or above. Against the backdrop of low and fluctuating long-term interest rates, the banking sector maintains a continuous appeal for long-term capital.

Valuation at Historical Lows and Insider Confidence

Furthermore, following the extreme market movements this year, the banking sector's valuation has retreated to historically low levels. The price-to-book ratio (PB (LF)) of the CSI Bank Index is only 0.64 times, with all 42 listed banks trading below their net asset value. Frequent share purchases by major shareholders and senior executives demonstrate confidence in the sector's long-term value. According to incomplete statistics, banks like Postal Savings Bank Of China Co.,Ltd., China Everbright Bank Company Limited, Bank of Chengdu Co., Ltd., and Bank of Nanjing Co., Ltd. have seen share purchases by major shareholders, while executives at banks such as Zhejiang Ruifeng Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., Bank of Beijing Co., Ltd., and Bank of Changshu Co., Ltd. have also increased their holdings.

Analyst Perspectives on Value and Recovery

Analysis points out that as a core asset in the A-share market, the banking sector's previous weak and volatile performance was largely due to short-term market style rotation. Subsequently, once market capital flow shifts towards low-valuation, high-dividend sectors, bank stocks are expected to see significant valuation repair opportunities, highlighting their long-term allocation value.

A recent report noted that in the first quarter, the narrowing decline in bank net interest margins drove a strong recovery in revenue, but bank stock performance diverged from fundamentals. Looking ahead, policy interest rates are expected to remain relatively stable. Benefiting from the gradual maturity of high-interest deposits, net interest margins are still expected to recover moderately. Some capital may subsequently seek rotation from high-valuation to low-valuation sectors. As an undervalued sector with improving fundamentals, the banking sector is poised to benefit from market rebalancing.

ETF Overview and Investment Details

The Bank ETF (512800) and its feeder funds (Class A: 240019; Class C: 006697) passively track the CSI Bank Index. The index's constituent stocks include all 42 A-share listed banks, making it an efficient investment tool for tracking the overall performance of the banking sector. The latest size of the Bank ETF (512800) exceeds 10 billion yuan, with an average daily turnover of over 700 million yuan year-to-date, making it the largest and most liquid among the 10 banking sector ETFs in the A-share market.

Investors should note that when subscribing or redeeming fund shares, subscription/redemption agents may charge a commission of up to 0.5%, which includes relevant fees charged by stock exchanges and registration institutions. For the feeder funds: The subscription fee (front-end) for the Class A fund is 1,000 yuan per transaction for subscription amounts of 2 million yuan or more, 0.6% for amounts between 1 million yuan and 2 million yuan, and 1% for amounts below 1 million yuan. The redemption fee schedule is 1.5% for holdings under 7 days, 0.5% for 7 to 180 days, 0.25% for 180 days to 1 year, and 0% for 1 year or more. No sales service fee is charged. The Class C fund charges no subscription fee. Its redemption fee is 1.5% for holdings under 7 days, 0.5% for 7 to 30 days, and 0% for 30 days or more, with a sales service fee of 0.2%.

The Bank ETF passively tracks the CSI Bank Index. Investors should be aware that the index's base date is December 31, 2004, and its release date is July 15, 2013. The composition of the index's constituent stocks is adjusted according to its compilation rules, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The mention of index constituents is for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute investment advice in any form, nor does it represent the holdings or trading动向 of any fund managed by the asset manager. The fund manager assesses the risk level of this fund as R3-Medium Risk, suitable for investors with a Balanced (C3) or higher risk profile. Any information appearing herein is for reference only. Investors must be responsible for any independent investment decisions. Furthermore, any views, analysis, or forecasts herein do not constitute investment advice to readers in any form, and no liability is accepted for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use of this content. Fund investment carries risks. The past performance of a fund does not represent its future performance. The performance of other funds managed by the fund manager does not guarantee the performance of this fund. Caution is advised in fund investment.

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