Option Focus | AMD’s $2.46 Million Bullish Call Condor Targets Upside by 2026, While a $3.80 Million Short Put Sells Premium Below $400

Option Witch07-29 10:31

Advanced Micro Devices closed at $454.62, down 8.15%, after opening at $467.00, touching an intraday high of $472.75 and a low of $442.27, resulting in a 6.16% trading range.

Amid the wide swing, options flow revealed a calculated upside bias, headlined by a $2.46 million bullish call condor targeting the $575.00–$590.00 zone and a massive $3.80 million short put at the $400.00 strike, both expiring in 2026, suggesting large traders are positioning for longer-term strength rather than bracing for a sustained breakdown.

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Options Indicators

AMD’s implied volatility is 85.42%, and with an IV percentile of 92.83%, current option volatility sits in a clearly elevated regime, indicating that AMD options are priced expensively relative to their own recent history. The IV/HV ratio of 1.14 further suggests implied volatility is running above realized volatility, meaning the market is assigning a premium to upcoming uncertainty and event risk. In this setup, long premium positions face a richer entry cost, while premium-selling structures or defined-risk spreads may offer a more efficient way to express a view. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.16.

Large Trades

A $2.46 million four-leg CALL combination stood out as one of the day’s key structured trades, built with short 470.0 calls, long 477.5 calls, long 575.0 calls, and short 590.0 calls, all expiring on 2026-07-31. With AMD referenced at $454.62, all four legs were out of the money, making this a defined-risk call spread structure positioned above spot. The trade was executed for a net debit of $2.46 million, which points to a directional upside strategy rather than premium collection. Strategically, this looks like a bullish call condor-style structure that seeks gains from a move into the higher strike region by expiration while keeping risk capped on both sides.

A $3.80 million short 400.0 PUT expiring on 2026-08-07 was the single largest outright large trade of the session. With the stock at $454.62, the strike sat out of the money, and the seller collected premium on downside exposure below $400.00. As an out-of-the-money put sale, this is a moderately bullish to neutral-income position: the trader is expressing confidence that AMD can remain above the strike through expiration, while also signaling willingness to take on downside assignment risk at a lower effective entry level.

Overall large-trade sentiment leaned bullish, with total bullish flow at $6.79 million versus $4.39 million in bearish flow, leaving a net bullish difference of $2.41 million. The directional read is therefore moderately bullish. That conclusion is supported by the dominance of premium-selling put activity on lower strikes and the presence of a sizable upside-oriented call combination, suggesting traders were more inclined to position for AMD to hold support and potentially grind higher rather than preparing for a major downside break.

Strategy Reference

Given the elevated IV percentile, premium-selling strategies remain attractive; traders seeking a lower margin commitment could consider a put credit spread by pairing the short $400.00 put with a long put around $350.00 to define risk while still collecting elevated premium from the rich volatility environment.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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