华尔街“最悲观”银行：为遏制通胀，预计美联储或加息到近5%

华尔街见闻2022-09-19

这几乎是目前联邦基准利率的2倍，美股或暴跌20%。华尔街最悲观的银行德意志银行再发悲观预测：为抗击通胀，美联储到明年1季度或将利率提升至4.9%。德银美国首席经济学家Luzzetti表示，在过去的所有紧缩周期中，无论通胀水平如何，美联储总是将联邦基金利率目标置于通胀之上。要使政策具有限制性（能够控通胀），美国实际利率或通胀调整后的利率需要维持正数；而通胀预期无法下修则使整个问题复杂化。考虑到目前的...

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