经济学家预测：美联储下周加息75基点，然后放慢步伐

华尔街见闻2022-07-23

作者：曹泽熙本月初，市场一度预计美联储将在下周加息100基点，之后也会维持激进加息的步伐。不过，目前，经济学家们的主流观点是，美联储在下周的议息会议上将加息75个基点，之后可能会放缓加息的步伐。经济学家们预计，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将在9月加息50基点，然后在今年剩余的两次会议上分别加息25个基点。如此一来，联邦基金利率上限到2022年底升至3.5％，为2008年初以来的最高水平。目前，...

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Jackyteo86
2022-07-23
Jackyteo86
👍👍👍
Youn7276
2022-07-23
Youn7276
Ok
- MyKhoo:
  K
- Bin8:
  ok
- cy8:
  yes

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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3665581><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：曹泽熙本月初，市场一度预计美联储将在下周加息100基点，之后也会维持激进加息的步伐。不过，目前，经济学家们的主流观点是，美联储在下周的议息会议上将加息75个基点，之后可能会放缓加息的步伐。经济学家们预计，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将在9月加息50基点，然后在今年剩余的两次会议上分别加息25个基点。如此一来，联邦基金利率上限到2022年底升至3.5％，为2008年初以来的最高水平。目前，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3665581\">Source 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Bostic也警告称，美联储行动过于剧烈会产生负面的溢出效应。几乎所有参与调查的经济学家都认为，在当前这个利率周期内，美联储任何时候都无意加息整整100个基点。不过，野村证券的美国经济研究团队除外，他们预计美联储7月加息100个基点。除了加息之外，经济学家们预计，美联储最终将加快缩减资产负债表。美联储的缩表始于6月份，美联储正在逐步加快缩表步伐，最终达到每年1.1万亿美元。经济学家预测，到年底，美联储的资产负债表规模将降至8.4万亿美元，到2024年12月将降至6.5万亿美元。大多数经济学家认为，美联储最终将直接出售抵押贷款支持证券，这与他们已经阐明的倾向一致，即长期而言，美联储持有的资产将只有美国国债。不过，经济学家们对美联储何时开始出售抵押贷款支持证券有不同看法，多数人认为会在2023年或者更晚开始。展望7月的会议，经济学家们预计FOMC声明将保留其对利率作出指引的措辞，将承诺继续加息，但不会说明具体加息幅度。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9077296346,"gmtCreate":1658531747985,"gmtModify":1676536171063,"author":{"id":"4095631963582230","authorId":"4095631963582230","name":"Jackyteo86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7d0fa0d1da7218a46558c43a32c7495","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4095631963582230","authorIdStr":"4095631963582230"},"htmlText":"👍👍👍&nbsp;","listText":"👍👍👍&nbsp;","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077296346","repostId":1137706109,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9077645554,"gmtCreate":1658528104078,"gmtModify":1676536170426,"author":{"id":"3577393549070429","authorId":"3577393549070429","name":"Youn7276","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487c5c26a5e210d6b88adaeaba12329b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577393549070429","authorIdStr":"3577393549070429"},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077645554","repostId":1137706109,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":103027402,"gmtCreate":1658534454561,"gmtModify":1675836895314,"authorId":3567334721242358,"author":{"id":3567334721242358,"idStr":"3567334721242358","authorId":3567334721242358,"name":"MyKhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71f130b587a20deffeafc3a3dd2f3d5b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9077645554,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"K","text":"K","html":"K"},{"id":103027015,"gmtCreate":1658532912879,"gmtModify":1675836890062,"authorId":3581566554984741,"author":{"id":3581566554984741,"idStr":"3581566554984741","authorId":3581566554984741,"name":"Bin8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4547f1e0822b414bcadb0942d311dbc","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9077645554,"type":1,"supId":103026976,"prevId":0,"content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok"},{"id":103026976,"gmtCreate":1658532714904,"gmtModify":1675836889503,"authorId":3581664796192339,"author":{"id":3581664796192339,"idStr":"3581664796192339","authorId":3581664796192339,"name":"cy8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e0b4689f72344b9882519e0991e43e","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9077645554,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"yes","text":"yes","html":"yes"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":46,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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