Morgan Stanley has released a report stating that LENOVO GROUP (00992) is set to announce its first-quarter results for the 2027 fiscal year, ending June 30, next week. The bank predicts that, driven by rising revenue and profit margins from the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) business, the company's adjusted net profit will reach approximately $788 million, a 102% year-on-year increase and a 41% quarter-on-quarter rise, which is about 12% higher than market expectations.
Morgan Stanley's forecasts for LENOVO GROUP's adjusted net profit for the 2027 to 2029 fiscal years are 14%, 20%, and 25% above market consensus. Consequently, the target price has been raised from HK$30 to HK$34, with the 'Overweight' rating maintained.
The bank notes that supply chain channel data continues to indicate sustained strong order momentum for both AI and general-purpose servers. It believes the market may be underestimating LENOVO GROUP's ISG order backlog and earnings execution capabilities. Morgan Stanley currently projects first-quarter revenue for LENOVO GROUP at $24 billion, representing a 27% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter increase.
Looking ahead, Morgan Stanley anticipates a structural improvement in memory supply-demand balance driven by AI demand, which should benefit LENOVO GROUP in passing on costs and maintaining profitability. The bank expects the IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) business profit margin to remain stable at 7% to 7.5%.
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