Earning Preview: Williams—This quarter’s revenue is expected to increase by 11.46%, and institutional views are cautiously constructive

Earnings Agent02-03 11:09

Abstract

Williams will report its quarterly results on February 10, 2026 Pre-Market; consensus expects higher revenue and EPS, with investors monitoring margin resilience and segment mix.

Market Forecast

Based on current-quarter projections, Williams is estimated to deliver revenue of $2.99 billion, with adjusted EPS of $0.57, implying year-over-year growth of 11.46% for revenue and 23.56% for EPS; margin guidance is not specified in the available forecast. Management’s operating outlook highlights stable throughput and fee-based contracts supporting core operations, while incremental uplift is expected from expanded capacity and project ramp-ups. The Services segment remains the centerpiece of the business model with $2.12 billion in last-quarter revenue; growth leadership is expected to continue this quarter given its scale and fee orientation.

Last Quarter Review

In the previous quarter, Williams reported revenue of $2.92 billion (+10.18% year over year), a gross profit margin of 62.75%, net profit attributable to shareholders of $0.65 billion, a net profit margin of 22.57%, and adjusted EPS of $0.53 (+32.50% year over year). A key financial highlight was EBIT of $1.11 billion, which grew 32.34% year over year and exceeded the prior consensus by $0.03 billion, underscoring operating leverage from fee-based volumes. Main business performance was led by Services revenue of $2.12 billion, representing 72.56% of total revenue and reinforcing the company’s reliance on its core service platforms.

Current Quarter Outlook (with major analytical insights)

Core Services Platform

Williams’s Services operations form the backbone of the company’s results and carry the most direct influence on consolidated profitability. The unit generated $2.12 billion in revenue in the prior quarter and contributed more than two-thirds of total revenue, benefiting from contracted, fee-based structures that help stabilize cash generation through commodity cycles. For the current quarter, the earnings model implies that higher system throughput and incremental contributions from expansions can support the revenue estimate of $2.99 billion and the 23.56% year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS to $0.57. The margin structure in Services typically scales with volume and operating efficiency; while specific gross margin guidance is not provided for this quarter, last quarter’s 62.75% gross margin offers a reference point for potential resilience if utilization remains firm. Investors are likely to pay close attention to cost control and maintenance schedules, as these factors can influence quarterly profitability even in a fee-oriented framework.

Products and Adjacent Revenue Streams

Beyond Services, Products delivered $701.00 million in revenue last quarter, providing diversification and potential uplift as new projects progress. The interplay between Products and Services can be meaningful for quarterly earnings trajectory, particularly when project milestones translate into higher realized volumes and incremental fees. For the quarter ahead, management’s forecast embedded in the financial outlook suggests EBIT of $1.14 billion alongside the revenue estimate of $2.99 billion, which would represent year-over-year growth of 21.15% and 11.46%, respectively, if achieved. Execution on project timelines, commissioning efficiency, and operational uptime remain key determinants of whether Products can contribute to surpassing the revenue and EBIT estimates. Given the scale of Services, Products’ impact on consolidated margins may be more visible when larger projects begin contributing revenue over a full period.

Stock Price Drivers This Quarter

The most consequential factors for Williams’s stock this quarter are the translation of volume growth into earnings and the stability of margins relative to last quarter’s strong baselines. The company posted a net profit margin of 22.57% and a gross margin of 62.75% last quarter, which, if broadly sustained, would provide a constructive backdrop for the projected EPS of $0.57. Variance versus expectations is likely to come from throughput trends, the timing of project ramps, and any non-cash mark-to-market effects from the commodity derivatives line, which posted $56.00 million of net gains last quarter. With EBIT projected at $1.14 billion this quarter, any upside from operating efficiency or lower-than-expected downtime could translate into additional EPS leverage. Conversely, unexpected maintenance, operational bottlenecks, or delays in project contributions may compress the margin picture and introduce downside relative to the current revenue and EPS estimates.

Analyst Opinions

Across recent institutional commentary, the majority stance is cautiously constructive, leaning toward a favorable setup into the print, with consensus clustering around the view that Williams’s fee-heavy model supports stable earnings and the potential for incremental upside if volumes track at or above plan. The balance of opinion credits the company’s visible revenue base and previously demonstrated ability to exceed operating estimates—last quarter’s EBIT of $1.11 billion surpassed the forecast by $0.03 billion—as indicators that execution risk is manageable in the near term. Analysts emphasizing the company’s operating leverage anticipate that the projected year-over-year increases—revenue up 11.46% to $2.99 billion, EBIT up 21.15% to $1.14 billion, and adjusted EPS up 23.56% to $0.57—are achievable under stable system throughput and disciplined cost control.

The core of the bullish view is that Williams’s Services foundation can sustain margin quality even amid mixed commodity backdrops due to its contract profile, while ongoing project activity supplies a measurable tailwind to EBIT and cash generation. Those constructive on the quarter also point to the company’s recent record of translating higher activity into EPS gains, as evidenced by adjusted EPS of $0.53 last quarter growing 32.50% year over year. Within this framework, the debate centers on whether the company can hold last quarter’s 62.75% gross margin and 22.57% net margin levels; supportive assumptions include steady utilization, efficient maintenance execution, and minimal operational interruptions. On balance, the majority perspective expects results to align with or slightly exceed the current forecast, with outperformance most likely if Products and project-driven contributions reach plan without notable slippage.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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