Citigroup has issued a research report announcing the initiation of a 30-day positive catalyst watch on TOPSPORTS (06110), maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of HK$3.8. The report indicates that Nike plans to significantly reduce its wholesale shipments to the Chinese market from March to May, with sales in China during this period expected to decline by 20% year-on-year. This move will substantially reduce the supply of Nike products in the Chinese market over the coming quarters and significantly lower the retail discounts on Nike products. The bank views this as beneficial for TOPSPORTS' gross margin in fiscal year 2027. Amid tightening supply of Nike products, the bank expects Nike to prioritize shipments to its largest retailer in China, TOPSPORTS, which is anticipated to gain market share within Nike's China business. TOPSPORTS is scheduled to announce its fiscal year 2026 results in May, and the bank expects the company to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, with a dividend yield of approximately 9%, ranking among the highest in the industry.
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