Analysis Suggests OpenAI Could Incur $9 Billion Losses This Year

Deep News11-12

On the 11th local time, NVIDIA's stock price dropped nearly 4% intraday after SoftBank liquidated its holdings to cash out. Analysts noted that SoftBank's strategy has not undergone a "fundamental shift." This is not the first time SoftBank has cashed out from NVIDIA—its Vision Fund was an early investor in 2017, holding approximately $4 billion in shares before selling them entirely by January 2019. Despite this latest divestment, SoftBank remains deeply focused on the AI sector.

Analysts suggest SoftBank is making "aggressive bets" on OpenAI. However, concerns have been raised about OpenAI's unsustainable "cash-burning model," with projections indicating losses could reach $9 billion this year. According to financial documents obtained by sources, OpenAI's losses may expand to $74 billion by 2028, with profitability not expected until 2030.

From a macroeconomic perspective, investor anxiety over massive AI spending by tech giants has spread from equities to the bond market, with bonds from several major tech firms showing weakness.

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