Hong Kong Market Insights: Anticipating Policy Gaps, Insurance & Securities Stocks Rally Early

Stock News12-12

**Market Overview** Bolstered by the Fed's supportive stance, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit record closing highs on Thursday. U.S. indices demonstrate remarkable resilience, consistently rebounding post-dips and cooling off strategically during overheated phases. Barring a crisis, sustained weakness in U.S. stocks remains unlikely—volatility is cyclical. Hong Kong’s market, having adjusted preemptively yesterday, rose 1.75% post-key policy meetings.

**Credit Data Snapshot** China’s central bank reported aggregate financing of RMB33.39 trillion (+15.36 trillion in loans) for Jan-Nov 2025. November’s M2 grew 8% YoY to RMB336.99 trillion, while M1 expanded 4.9% to RMB112.89 trillion. Government bonds drove stability, though household credit lagged. The M1-M2 gap narrowing below M2 growth signals subdued short-term liquidity activity. On Dec 15, the PBOC will inject RMB600 billion via 6-month reverse repos to year-end liquidity.

**Sector Highlights** 1. **Insurance & Securities**: Early positioning fueled rallies—CPIC (02601), China Life (02628), EB Securities (06178), and CITIC SEC (06030) surged over 5%. 2. **Logistics**: J&T Express-W (01519) rose 5%+ as Latin America (50% Q3 parcel growth) becomes its growth engine, replicating Southeast Asia’s expansion. ZTO Express-W (02057) gained 4%. 3. **Agriculture Machinery**: First Tractor (00038) jumped 11% as domestic brands gain global traction (35% YTD tractor export growth). 4. **AI & Energy**: Overseas demand spillover lifted Harbin Electric (01133; +11%) and Dongfang Electric (01072; +13%). Three AI unicorns reportedly eye 2026 IPOs, boosting compute demand—Cambridge Tech (06166) and others rallied ~8%. 5. **Consumer Tech**: Playtika (09890; +9%) surged on IP collaborations. AR-related stocks like Tianyue Advanced (02631; +6%) and NetEase Optics (02276; +10%) climbed on smart-glass potential.

**Index Rebalancing** The Hang Seng Stock Connect Software Theme Index (formerly Semiconductor) added Tencent-backed阅文集团 (00772) and others, effective Dec 16.

**Engineering Machinery** November excavator sales rose 13.9% YoY (exports +18.8%), with YTD growth at 16.7%. Key players: Sany International (00631), Zoomlion (01157).

**Stock Spotlight: Tian Gong Int’l (00826)** The tool steel leader (global No.1 in模具钢) is expanding into titanium alloys (consumer electronics) and nuclear fusion materials. Its high-nitrogen steel for robotics, developed with local partners, could disrupt丝杠 production. Powder metallurgy advances may drive valuation upside.

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